Transcript 5171 MW
GEOTHERMAL IN INDONESIA (OVER VIEW) Sigit Rahardjo Operation Director PT PERTAMINA GEOTHERMAL ENERGY Jogjakarta , Mei 2013 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY CHARACTERISTIC OF GEOTHERMAL BUSINESS 1 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY INDONESIA HAS THE HIGHEST POTENTIAL FOR GEOTHERMAL ENERGY IN THE WORLD Conventional geothermal 2010 capacity and total potential capacity GW Indonesia U.S. Japan • 1 • 3 • 1 2 Philippines 2 Mexico 1 • Iceland 1 • New Zealand 1• Total • • 20 19 • Others1 • 27 18 Resource Utilization % 4 28 13 23 • 20 3 • 20 10 • 6 33 5 • 6 20 5 • 6 10 4 3• 16 4 11 102 • 113 10 • In spite of its world’s largest potential of geothermal resource, the utilization only remains 4% • Geothermal resource in Indonesia is also high temperature resource which enable more economical geothermal development project • • Installed Potential 1 Includes mostly South/South-East Asia and Africa SOURCE: GEA; DOE; EER; World Geothermal Congress; Energy Information Administration (EIA); interviews 2 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY INDONESIA’S WORLD LEADING GEOTHERMAL PROSPECT Borneo Sumatera Speculative : 13.258 MWe Probable * : 5.433 MWe Speculative : 45 MWe Probable * : - MWe Speculative : 27.141 MW Probable : 10.253 MW Current Installed Capacity : 1,337 MW Maluku Sulawesi Speculative : 1.907 MWe Probable * : 721 MWe Medan Speculative : 734 MWe Probable * : 142 MWe Manado Tanjung Karang Bandung Semarang Java Speculative : 9.471 MWe Probable * : 3.086 MWe Geothermal location Papua Bali & NTT Speculative : 1.676 MWe Probable * : 871 MWe Speculative : 50 MWe MAGMA Probable * : - MWe 3 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY GEOTHERMAL ROAD MAP (Based on President Decree No. 5/2006 on National Energy Policy; Modified by MEMR.REG. No. 15/2010) 2006 2008 2012 2016 2020 2025 2014 852 MW (Production) 1148 MW Existing WKP 2000 MW 3442 MW 5171 MW 12332 MW 7788 MW (Target baru ) 4600 MW * 1442 MW Existing WKP 3977 MW Existing WKP + New WKP 2617 MW New WKP 9500 MW * 4544 MW New WKP 1.337 MW Current Condition Ministry decree MEMR No. 15/2010 5171 MW Plus The second 10,000 MW fast track program Under the second 10,000 MW fast-track plan, 34% of energy development come from geothermal energy. (GSDM, 2010, Update Jan 2013) *) Road Map 2007 4 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY PERTAMINA AIMS TO BE A LEADER IN GEOTHERMAL DEVELOPMENT Geothermal development by operator type Capacity GW Indonesia SOE Philippines Share of SOE % 23 0.8 2.0 61 100 0 1.2 1.2 Private 1.3 1.2 Mexico Iceland 0.9 0.4 1 84 0.1 0.6 0.5 New Zealand 0.7 0.4 54 0.3 State-owned Enterprise energy companies developed more than 50% of geothermal energy in respective markets 1 State Owned Enterprise • SOURCE: company websites 5 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY PGE’s WORKING AREA TOTAL PGE’S INSTALLED CAPACITY: 402 MW 1 14 13 2 3 4 5 Ref. Ministerial Decree MEMR No 2067K/30/MEM/2012 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Sibayak-Sinabung Sibual-buali Sungai Penuh Hululais Lumut Balai & Margabayur 6 7 8 9 10 6. Gunung Waypanas 7. Cibeureum Parabakti 8. Pangalengan 9. Kamojang/Drajat 10. Karaha Cakrabuana 11 12 11. Gn. Iyang Argopuro 12. Tabanan 13. Kotamobago 14. Lahendong 6 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY GEOTHERMAL DEVELOPMENT CONCEPT TO SUPPORT ACCELERATION OF GEOTHERMAL DEVELOPMENT IN LINE WITH 10,000 MW POLICY STAGE II – EBTKE’S VISION 25/25 (5 % ENERGY MIX / 12.332 MW - 2025) IMPLEMENTATION PROJECT MANAGEMENT, RISK ASSESSMENT, ENV MGT BUSINESS PORTFOLIO ECONOMIC APPROACH LEGAL ASPECTS LAW, REGULATION, PERMIT TECHNICAL ASPECT GGGR, OPERATIONAL, MAINTENANCE GEOTHERMAL ENERGY DEVELOPMENT POLICY (PRES DECREE No. 5 / 2006; GOV’T REGULATION No. 3/2005 – No. 70/2010 : PERMEN ESDM. No. 5 / 2009; No. 2/2011; PERPRES No. 4/2010 : PERPRES No. 10/2011) 1000 MW : 42.250 BOEPD 6.1 JT TON CER”S/YEAR 7 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY IDEAL GEOTHERMAL BUSINESS PROCESS IN INDONESIA HEAD OF AGREEMENT PRICE AND CONTRACT NEGOTIATION Notice Of Resorces Confirmation Notice Of Intend to Develop COD US$ • AMDAL / UKL / UPL (EIA/Environment Management Effort/Environment Monitoring Effort) • Location Permit • Permit of Land usage for Exploration Activities – Forestry Minister • SIPPA (Surface Water Usage Permit) • IMB (Construction Permit) EPC FEED EXPLOITATION • • • • EXPLORATION INVENTORY WKP 2 Years AMDAL (EIA) Location Permit Land Usage Permit SIPPA (Surface Water Usage Permit) • IMB (Construction Permit) 3 Years 8 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY Pertamina aspires to achieve by 2015 •MW 2,295 2,445 2,505 •15 •16 •17 •2018 102 112 119 122 •2015 •2016 •2017 1,508 •Steam Availability 2,090 823 610 •2012 •13 •14 •K Boepd •Oil equivalent 73 30 •2012 40 •2013 •2014 9 •2018 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY KEY BARRIERS TO GEOTHERMAL DEVELOPMENT IN INDONESIA Description • Higher capital expenditure compared with other power generation technologies Uncertain economics High upfront • Cost of USD 35-50 Mn for preliminary studies including exploration wells to prove the reserves without any capital requirement external financing • Development and exploration costs are solely borne Uncertainty on pricing • by geothermal company and are not reimbursed by government unlike the practice in oil & gas industry Implementation of MEMR Decree on Feed In Tariff requires further negotiation with PLN as a single buyer • Most of the geothermal reserves are located in protected forests and geothermal activities are not allowed to carry out in forest conservation areas Uncertain environment Regulatory uncertainty • Overlapping jurisdictions increases lead time and complexity as local authorities often block the projects approved by the central government All these together mean that under the current environment, geothermal development projects are potentially high risk, especially for smaller operators • Tariff agreement with PLN often comes back for the renegotiation, hence no guarantee on the price Other risks • PLN off take is not guaranteed by government 10 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY 11 PGE PRODUCTION FIELD - OWN OPERATION POWER PLANT UNIT – 4 ( 60 MW ) POWER PLANT UNIT 1,2 & 3 (30; 2 x 55 MW) KAMOJANG GEOTHERMAL FIELDS POWER PLANT UNIT-1 SIBAYAK GEOTHERMAL FIELD PRODUCTION CLUSTER UNIT-2 POWER PLANT UNIT-4 LAHENDONG GEOTHERMAL FIELDS GEOTHERMAL ENERGY PGE GEOTHERMAL FIELDS UNDER JOC SCHEME WAYANG-WINDU GEOTHERMAL FIELDS (JOC-STAR ENERGY) PLTP 1x110 MW & 1x117 MW DARAJAT GEOTHERMAL FIELD (JOC-CHEVRON) PLTP 1x55 MW, 1x95 MW & 1x121 MW SALAK GEOTHERMAL FIELD (JOC-CHEVRON) PLTP 3x60 MW & 3x65 MW 12 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY PGE’S GEOTHERMAL ONGOING PROJECTS No Project Name Location Capacity (MW) Project Type 1 Lumutbalai Unit 1&2, Sumatera Selatan 2 x 55 MW Total Project 2 Lumutbalai Unit 3&4, Sumatera Selatan 2 x 55 MW Total Project 3 Ulubelu Unit 3&4, Lampung 2 x 55 MW Total Project 4 Kamojang Unit 5 Jawa Barat 30 MW Total Project 5 Lahendong Unit 5&6 Sulawesi Utara 2x20 MW Total Project 6 Kotamobagu Unit 1&2 Sulawesi Utara 2 x 20 MW Steam Supply 7 Hululais Unit 1&2 Bengkulu 2 x 55 MW Steam Supply 8 Sungai Penuh Unit 1 Jambi 55 MW Steam Supply 9 Karaha Jawa Barat 30 MW Total Project GEOTHERMAL ENERGY UPCOMING GREENFIELDS DEVELOPMENT PLAN Kotamobagu Name of Prospect Area Ins. Capacity (MW) Medan Sumatera Island Manado 1 2 3 4 Sinabung WKP Sungai Penuh 1. Semurup 40 WKP Hululais – Tambang Sawah 1.Tambang Sawah 2.Bukit Daun 70 110 WKP Lumut Balai 1. Margabayur 75 WKP Ulubelu – Way Panas 1. Way Panas Sumurup Tambang Sawah Bukit Daun Margabayur Way Panas Tanjung Karang MAGMA Ciharus Semarang Bandung Masigit-Guntur 120 Iyang Argopuro Java Island 5 6 Key Indicators: WKP Kamojang 1.G. Masigit Guntur 2.Ciharus 50 30 WKP Iyang Argopuro 1. Iyang Argopuro 55 Sulawesi Island 7 WKP Kotamobago 1. Kotamobago 60 • New Geothermal Power Generation Capacity : ± 610 MW • Additional Power Generation (kWh per year) : ± 4800 million • Avoided CO2 : ± 4,5 million tonnes per Year 14 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY THANK YOU Bekerja dan ibadah adalah energi kami Semoga semua upaya menghasilkan manfaat Insya Allah! 15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY