Transcript Document

PROGRESS AND EXPECTATION
FOR GEOTHERMAL DEVELOPMENT
Bangkitkan Energi Negeri
Pertamina Geothermal Energy
Direktur Utama,
Rony Gunawan
International Indonesia Geothermal Conference & Exhibition
Jakarta Convention Center, 4 – 6 Juni 2014
Volcanic Spreading & Plate Boundaries In The World
•Indonesia take place in the subduction zone between Australian & Asian Ocean Plate Tectonic
PT PERTAMINA (PERSERO)
PERTAMINA
File:Hen/srt/Sejarah Pengembangan Energi Geothermal Indonesia.ppt
2
Indonesia has the highest potential for geothermal
energy in the world
Conventional geothermal 2010 capacity and total
potential capacity
GW
Indonesia
1
3
U.S.
Japan
Others1
27
1
19
2
18
Potential
Resource
Utilization
%
4
28
20
Installed
13
23
20
3
20
10
• In spite of its world’s
largest potential of
geothermal resource,
the utilization only
remains 4%
• Geothermal resource in
Philippines
2
Mexico
1
Iceland
1
New Zealand 1 3
Total
6
33
5
6
20
5
6
10
4
16
4
11
1 Includes mostly South/South-East Asia and Africa
102
113
10
Indonesia is also high
temperature resource
which enable more
economical geothermal
development project
DISTRIBUTION OF GEOTHERMAL WORKING AREA
NAD 2 GWAs
 Jaboi: 70 MW
 Seulawah Agam: 130
MW
Lisence – Issued
Tender on Progress
Tender Preparation
Tender – Failed
NORTH SUMATERA 5 GWAs
•Sibayak – Sinabung: 130 MW
Sibual – Buali: 750 MW
Sipaholon Ria-ria: 75 MW
Sorik Marapi: 200 MW
Simbolon Samosir: 155 MW
NORTH SULAWESI 2 GWAs
 Kotamobagu: 410 MW
 Lahendong-Tompaso: 358
MW
GORONTALO 1
GWAs
 Suwawa: 110 MW
JAMBI 1 GWA
 Sungai Penuh: 70
MW
SOUTH SUMATERA 3
GWAs
 Lumut Balai: 250 MW
 Rantau Dedap: 106 MW
 Danau Ranau: 210 MW
WEST SUMATERA 4 GWAs
 Bukit Kili: 83 MW
 Gn Talang: 35 MW
 Liki Pinangawan: 400
MW
 Bonjol: 200 MW
BENGKULU 2 GWAs
 Tmbg Sawah-Hululais: 873
MW
 Kepahiang: 180 MW
LAMPUNG 5 GWAs
Gn.Rajabasa: 91 MW
Suoh Sekincau: 230 MW
Waypanas – Ulubelu: 556
MW
Danau Ranau: 210 MW
Way Ratai: 105 MW
: 38 GWAs
: 2 GWAs
: 13 GWAs
: 5 GWAs
BANTEN 2 GWAs
 Kaldera Danau Banten: 115
MW
 G. Endut: 80 MW
WEST JAVA 10 GWAs
Ciater - Tgkban Perahu: 60
MW
Cibeureum–Parabakti: 485
MW
Cibuni: 140 MW
Cisolok Cisukarame: 45 MW
Gn. Tampomas: 50 MW
Gn. Tgkuban Perahu: 100
MW
Kamojang-Darajat: 1465 MW
Karaha Cakrabuana: 725
MW
Pangalengan: 1106 MW
G. Ciremai: 150 MW
BALI 1 GWAs
 Tabanan: 276
MW
MALUT 2 GWAs
 Jailolo: 75 MW
 Songa Wayaua: 140
MW
CENTRAL SULAWESI 2
GWAs
 Marana: 35 MW
 Bora Pulu: 123 MW
CENTRAL JAVA 6 GWAs
 Baturaden: 175 MW
 Dataran Tinggi Dieng: 780
NTB 2 GWAs
MW
 Hu'u Daha: 65 MW
 Guci: 79 MW
 Sembalun: 100
 Gn. Ungaran: 100 MW
MW
 Candi Umbul Telomoyo: 72
MW
EAST JAVA 3 GWAs
 Gunung Lawu : 195 MW
Blawan – Ijen: 270 MW
Gn. Iyang Argopuro: 295
MW
Telaga Ngebel: 120 MW
MALUKU 1 GWA
 Tulehu: 100
MW
NTT 5 GWAs
 Atadei: 40 MW
 Sokoria: 30 MW
 Ulumbu: 199 MW
 Mataloko: 63 MW
 Oka Ile Ange: 40
MW
NRE&EC, MEMR IIGCE2013
Pertamina’s Geothermal Projects
Current Installed Capacity: 402 MW
LAHENDONG : 80 MW
KAMOJANG : 200 MW
SIBAYAK
: 12 MW
ULUBELU : 110 MW
On-going 9 Geothermal Projects
No
Project
Location
Capacity (MW)
Project Type
1
Lumutbalai Unit 1&2,
South Sumatera
2 x 55 MW
Total Project
2
Lumutbalai Unit 3&4,
South Sumatera
2 x 55 MW
Total Project
3
Ulubelu Unit 3&4,
Lampung
2 x 55 MW
Total Project
4
Kamojang Unit 5
West Java
30 MW
Total Project
5
Lahendong Unit 5&6
North Sulawesi
2x20 MW
Total Project
6
7
Kotamobagu Unit 1&2
Hulu Lais Unit 1&2
North Sulawesi
Bengkulu
2 x 20 MW
2 x 55 MW
Steam Supply
Steam Supply
8
Sungai Penuh Unit 1
Jambi
55 MW
Steam Supply
9
Karaha
West Java
30 MW
Total Project
SIBAYAK
OPERATION 12MW
SUNGAI PENUH
STEAM AVAILABLE 5MW
ON GOING EXPLORATION
Own Operation And Progres Projects
HULULAIS
STEAM AVAILABLE 30MW
ON GOING EXPLOITATION
SUMATERA
KOTAMOBAGU
EXPLORATION DRILLING (2 WELLS)
PROSPECT WITHIN CONSERVATION AREA
LAHENDONG
STEAM AVAILABLE 110MW
MALUKU
OPERATION 80MW
BIDDING PROCES EPCC 2X20MW
KALIMANTAN
SULAWESI
PAPUA
ULUBELU (4 x 55 MW)
STEAM AVAILABLE 190 MW
OPERATION 110 MW
ON GOING EXPLOITATION
BIDDING PROCESS 2X55MW
IYANG ARGOPURO
EXPLORATION GGG SURVEY
PROSPECT AREA WITHIN CONSERVATION
KARAHA
STEAM AVAILABLE 26MW
ON GOING EXPLOITATION
BIDDING PROCESS EPCC 30MW
LUMUTBALAI
STEAM AVAILABLE 90MW
ON GOING EXPLOITATION
BIDDING PROCESS EPCC 55MW
KAMOJANG (200 MW)
STEAM AVAILABLE 240 MW
OPERATION 200MW
EPCC 35MW
Additional Install Capacity by Years 2015-2022
Kamojang
Lahendong
Sibayak
Ulubelu
Lumut Balai
Hululais
Kotamobagu
Sungai Penuh
Karaha
SPN 2 (55 MW)
LMB 3&4 (110)
200
1057
892
235
235
120
12
120
12
220
HLS 1&2 (110 MW)
LMB 1&2 (110 MW)
LHD 5&6 (40MW)
KRH 1 (30MW)
727
UBL 3&4 (110 MW)
KMJ 5 (35 MW)
402
SPN 1 (55 MW)
547
235
235
120
12
437
837
235
120
12
220
220
220
235
80
12
80
12
110
80
12
110
220
2014
2015
2016
SOURCE: Pertamina Geothermal Energy
220
110
110
110
110
110
110
30
30
2017
2018
55
30
2019
110
30
2022
Upcoming Greenfields Development Plan
Name of Prospect Area
Ins. Capacity
(MW)
Kotamobagu
Sumatera Island
Medan
1
2
3
4
WKP Sungai Penuh
1. Semurup
WKP Hululais – Tambang
Sawah
1.Tambang Sawah
2.Bukit Daun
WKP Lumut Balai
1. Margabayur
WKP Ulubelu – Way Panas
1. Way Panas
40
70
110
6
120
50
30
WKP Iyang Argopuro
1. Iyang Argopuro
55
WKP Kotamobago
1. Kotamobago
MAGMA
Tanjung Karang
Bandung
Semarang
Ciharus
Masigit-Guntur
Iyang Argopuro
WKP Kamojang
1.G. Masigit Guntur
2.Ciharus
Sulawesi Island
7
Sumurup
Tambang Sawah
Bukit Daun
75
Margabayur
Way Panas
Java Island
5
Manado
Sinabung
60
Key Barriers To Geothermal Development In Indonesia
Description
– Higher capital expenditure compared with other
power generation technologies
High upfront – Cost of USD 35-50 Mln for preliminary studies
including exploration wells to prove the reserves
capital
Uncertain requirement without any external financing
economics
– Development and exploration costs are solely
borne by geothermal company and are not
reimbursed by government unlike the practice in oil
gas industry
Uncertainty – &
Implementation of MEMR Decree on Feed In Tariff
on pricing
requires further negotiation with PLN as a single buyer
– Most of the geothermal reserves are located in
protected forests and geothermal activities are
not allowed to carry out in forest conservation
Regulatory
areas
Uncertain uncertainty
environment
– Overlapping jurisdictions increases lead time
and complexity as local authorities often block
the projects approved by the central government
– Tariff agreement with PLN often comes back for
the renegotiation, hence no guarantee on the
Other risks
price
All these
together mean
that under the
current
environment,
geothermal
development
projects are
potentially high
risk, especially
for smaller
operators
GEOTHERMAL POTENTIAL WITHIN FORESTRY AREAS
Geothermal Energy Price
Negara
USA
Tarif (USD/ kWh)
Remark
0.19
< 5 MW
0.18
5 MW to 10 MW
0.115
10 MW to 20 MW
0.09
>20 MW
Exploration cost and risk taking by
government
Jerman
Filipina
Jepang
0.23
< 10 MW
0.15
> 10 MW
0.12 – 0.13
0.46
< 15 MW
0.30
> 15 MW
0.08 – 0.09
Exploration cost and risk taking by
government
~ 0.20
Low enthalpy
New Zealand
Chile
0.2 – 0.3
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Our Expectancy
 Government can help and reducing the risk of the developer, by taking
exploration risk and/or improving the price of electricity and steam.
This is absolutely necessary for successful acceleration for geothermal
development in Indonesia.
 Electricity fixed price policy, bidding process compete in commitment
and program.
 Open access for electricity transmission by toll fee mechanism.
 Licensing area in ​forest conservation.
 The same understanding between the Central Government and Local
Government regarding geothermal activity.
 Fiscal policy (tax and duty exemption on import).
 Synergy among State Owned Companies (BUMN) in accelerating
geothermal development.
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TERIMA
BANGKITKAN ENERGI NEGERI
KASIH