Transcript unitedwaytarrant.org

Population Change in Texas
and the United States:
Implications for Education and
the Socioeconomic Future
of Texas and The United States
Steve Murdock
Hobby Center for the Study of Texas
Allyn and Gladys Cline Professor of Sociology
Rice University
United Way of Tarrant County
Economic Summit
February 10, 2015
Total Population and Percent Population Change
in Texas and the United States, 1850-2010
Total Population
Year
1850
1860
1870
1880
1890
1900
1910
1920
1930
1940
1950
1960
1970
1980
1990
2000
2010
Texas
212,592
604,215
818,579
1,591,749
2,235,527
3,048,710
3,896,542
4,663,228
5,824,715
6,414,824
7,711,194
9,579,677
11,196,730
14,229,191
16,986,510
20,851,820
25,145,561
U.S.
23,191,876
31,443,321
39,818,449
50,155,783
62,947,714
75,994,575
91,972,266
105,710,620
122,775,046
131,669,275
150,697,361
179,323,175
203,302,031
226,545,805
248,709,873
281,421,906
308,745,538
Percent Change
Texas
--184.2
35.5
94.5
40.4
36.4
27.8
19.7
24.9
10.1
20.2
24.2
16.9
27.1
19.4
22.8
20.6
Source: Derived from the U.S. Census Bureau decennial census April 1 of reported year.
U.S.
--35.6
26.6
26.0
25.5
20.7
21.0
14.9
16.1
7.2
14.5
19.0
13.4
11.4
9.8
13.2
9.7
Millions
Estimates of the Unauthorized Immigrant Population
in the United States (in Millions), 2000-2012
14
12
10
9.40
9.70
2001
2002
10.10
10.70
11.10
11.60
12.20
11.70
11.30
11.40
11.50
11.20
2009
2010
2011
2012
8.60
8
6
4
2
0
2000
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
Source: Passel, Jeffrey and D’Vera Cohn, “Unauthorized Immigrant Totals Rise in 7 States, Fall in 14,” Washington, D.C. Pew
Hispanic Center, November 18, 2014.
3
Millions
Estimates of the Unauthorized Immigrant Population
in Texas (in Millions), 2000-2012
1.8
1.6
1.35
1.4
1.2
1.50
1.50
2005
2006
1.55
1.55
2007
2008
1.60
1.65
1.70
1.65
1.40
1.25
1.15
1.05
1.0
0.8
0.6
0.4
0.2
0.0
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2009
2010
2011
2012
Source: Passel, Jeffrey and D’Vera Cohn, “Unauthorized Immigrant Totals Rise in 7 States, Fall in 14,” Washington, D.C.Pew
Hispanic Center, November 18, 2014.
4
Ten States in the United States with the
Largest Numeric Population Increase 2000-2010
Change 2000-2010
2000
Population
2010
Population
Numeric
281,421,906
308,745,538
27,323,632
9.7
Texas
20,851,820
25,145,561
4,293,741
20.6
California
33,871,648
37,253,956
3,382,308
10.0
Florida
15,982,378
18,801,310
2,818,932
17.6
Georgia
8,186,453
9,687,653
1,501,200
18.3
North Carolina
8,049,313
9,535,483
1,486,170
18.5
Arizona
5,130,632
6,392,017
1,261,385
24.6
Virginia
7,078,515
8,001,024
922,509
13.0
Washington
5,894,121
6,724,540
830,419
14.1
Colorado
4,301,261
5,029,196
727,935
16.9
Nevada
1,998,257
2,700,551
702,294
35.1
State
United States
Population values as of April 1, 2000 and April 1, 2010.
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
Percent
Total Population in Texas Metropolitan Statistical Areas
Ranked by Numerical Change Between 2000 and 2010
Metropolitan Statistical Area
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugarland
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington
Austin-Round Rock
San Antonio-New Braunfels
McAllen-Edinburg-Mission
El Paso
Killeen-Temple-Fort Hood
Brownsville-Harlingen
Laredo
College Station-Bryan
Tyler
Lubbock
Corpus Christi
Amarillo
Midland
Waco
Longview
Odessa
Sherman-Denison
San Angelo
Texarkana*
Beaumont-Port Arthur
Victoria
Abilene
Wichita Falls
Total Population
2000
2010
4,693,161
5,920,416
5,204,126
6,426,214
1,249,763
1,716,289
1,711,703
2,142,508
569,463
774,769
682,966
804,123
330,714
405,300
335,227
406,220
193,117
250,304
184,885
228,660
174,706
209,714
256,250
290,805
403,280
428,185
228,707
251,933
120,755
141,671
232,093
252,679
194,042
214,369
121,123
137,130
110,595
120,877
105,781
111,823
89,306
92,565
400,162
403,190
91,016
94,003
160,245
162,252
151,524
151,306
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Population Division
Note: Metropolitan Statistical Areas as defined by U.S. OMB, Feb. 2013. *Texas portion only.
Change
Numeric
1,227,255
1,222,088
466,526
430,805
205,306
121,157
74,586
70,993
57,187
43,775
35,008
34,555
24,905
23,226
20,916
20,586
20,327
16,007
10,282
6,042
3,259
3,028
2,987
2,007
-218
%
26.1
23.5
37.3
25.2
36.1
17.7
22.6
21.2
29.6
23.7
20.0
13.5
6.2
10.2
17.3
8.9
10.5
13.2
9.3
5.7
3.6
0.8
3.3
1.3
-0.1
Ten Largest States in the United States
Ranked by Population Size in 2014
State
April 1,
2000
April 1,
2010
July 1,
2014
Change 2000-10
Numeric
%
Change 2010-14
Numeric
%
United States
281,421,906
308,745,538
318,857,056
27,323,632
9.7
10,111,518
3.3
California
Texas
Florida
New York
Illinois
Pennsylvania
Ohio
Georgia
North Carolina
Michigan
33,871,648
20,851,820
15,982,378
18,976,457
12,419,293
12,281,054
11,353,140
8,186,453
8,049,313
9,938,444
37,253,956
25,145,561
18,801,310
19,378,102
12,830,632
12,702,379
11,536,504
9,687,653
9,535,483
9,883,640
38,802,500
26,956,958
19,893,297
19,746,227
12,880,580
12,787,209
11,594,163
10,097,343
9,943,964
9,909,877
3,382,308
4,293,741
2,818,932
401,645
411,339
421,325
183,364
1,501,200
1,486,170
-54,804
10
20.6
17.6
2.1
3.3
3.4
1.6
18.3
18.5
-0.6
1,548,544
1,811,397
1,091,987
368,125
49,948
84,830
57,659
409,690
408,481
26,237
4.2
7.2
5.8
1.9
0.4
0.7
0.5
4.2
4.3
0.3
Source: U.S. Census Bureau.
Ten States in the United States with the
Largest Numeric Population Increase, 2010-2014
State
April 1,
2000
April 1,
2010
July 1,
2014
Change 2000-10
Numeric
%
Change 2010-14
Numeric
%
United States
281,421,906
308,745,538
318,857,056
27,323,632
9.7
10,111,518
3.3
Texas
California
Florida
Georgia
North Carolina
New York
Arizona
Washington
Colorado
Virginia
20,851,820
33,871,648
15,982,378
8,186,453
8,049,313
18,976,457
5,130,632
5,894,121
4,301,261
7,078,515
25,145,561
37,253,956
18,801,310
9,687,653
9,535,483
19,378,102
6,392,017
6,724,540
5,029,196
8,001,024
26,956,958
38,802,500
19,893,297
10,097,343
9,943,964
19,746,227
6,731,484
7,061,530
5,355,866
8,326,289
4,293,741
3,382,308
2,818,932
1,501,200
1,486,170
401,645
1,261,385
830,419
727,935
922,509
20.6
10.0
17.6
18.3
18.5
2.1
24.6
14.1
16.9
13.0
1,811,397
1,548,544
1,091,987
409,690
408,481
368,125
339,467
336,990
326,670
325,265
7.2
4.2
5.8
4.2
4.3
1.9
5.3
5.0
6.5
4.1
Source: U.S. Census Bureau.
Ten States in the United States with the
Largest Percentage Population Increase, 2010-2014
State
United States
North Dakota
Texas
Colorado
Utah
Florida
Arizona
Nevada
Washington
South Dakota
South Carolina
Source: U.S. Census
April 1,
2000
April 1,
2010
July 1,
2014
281,421,906 308,745,538 318,857,056
642,200
672,591
739,482
20,851,820 25,145,561 26,956,958
4,301,261
5,029,196
5,355,866
2,233,169
2,763,885
2,942,902
15,982,378 18,801,310 19,893,297
5,130,632
6,392,017
6,731,484
1,998,257
2,700,551
2,839,099
5,894,121
6,724,540
7,061,530
754,844
814,180
853,175
4,012,012
4,625,364
4,832,482
Change 2000-10
%
Numeric
27,323,632
9.7
30,391
4.7
4,293,741 20.6
727,935 16.9
530,716 23.8
2,818,932 17.6
1,261,385 24.6
702,294 35.1
830,419 14.1
59,336
7.9
613,352 15.3
Change 2010-14
Numeric
%
10,111,518
3.3
66,891
9.9
1,811,397
7.2
326,670
6.5
179,017
6.5
1,091,987
5.8
339,467
5.3
138,548
5.1
336,990
5.0
38,995
4.8
207,118
4.5
Population and Population Change for Texas and
the Twenty Largest Counties in Texas in 2013
Population
County
Texas
Harris County
Dallas County
Tarrant County
Bexar County
Travis County
Collin County
El Paso County
Hidalgo County
Denton County
Fort Bend County
Montgomery County
Williamson County
Cameron County
Nueces County
Brazoria County
Bell County
Galveston County
Lubbock County
Webb County
Jefferson County
2000
20,851,028
3,401,139
2,216,808
1,449,290
1,393,035
811,776
491,272
679,568
569,099
433,065
354,286
293,779
250,466
334,884
313,512
241,805
238,000
250,178
242,644
193,124
251,968
.
2010
2013
25,145,561
4,093,165
2,367,636
1,809,537
1,714,774
1,024,331
782,351
800,647
774,769
662,604
584,686
455,760
422,617
406,220
340,223
313,137
310,235
291,307
278,831
250,304
252,273
26,448,193
4,336,853
2,480,331
1,911,541
1,817,610
1,120,954
854,778
827,718
815,996
728,799
652,365
499,137
471,014
417,276
352,107
330,242
326,843
306,782
289,324
262,495
252,358
Change 2000 - 2010
Numeric
4,294,533
691,320
151,331
359,744
321,738
212,490
291,069
121,079
205,670
229,549
231,089
161,967
172,213
71,336
26,711
71,361
72,235
41,131
36,187
57,180
305
Percent
20.6
20.3
6.8
24.8
23.1
26.2
59.2
17.8
36.1
53.0
65.2
55.1
68.8
21.3
8.5
29.5
30.4
16.4
14.9
29.6
0.1
Change 2010 - 2013*
Numeric
1,302,632
243,688
112,695
102,004
102,836
96,623
72,427
27,071
41,227
66,195
67,679
43,377
48,397
11,056
11,884
17,105
16,608
15,475
10,493
12,191
85
Percent
5.2
6.0
4.8
5.6
6.0
9.4
9.3
3.4
5.3
10.0
11.6
9.5
11.5
2.7
3.5
5.5
5.4
5.3
3.8
4.9
0.0
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Population Estimates, Vintage 2013 and 2000-2010 Intercensal Estimates.
*39 months change from April 1, 2010 to July 1, 2013.
Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University
15
Population and Population Change for the Twenty Counties in Texas
with the Largest Numeric Increase from April 1, 2010 to July 1, 2013
County
Harris County
Dallas County
Bexar County
Tarrant County
Travis County
Collin County
Fort Bend County
Denton County
Williamson County
Montgomery County
Hidalgo County
El Paso County
Hays County
Brazoria County
Bell County
Galveston County
Midland County
Ector County
Webb County
Nueces County
2000
3,401,139
2,216,808
1,393,035
1,449,290
811,776
491,272
354,286
433,065
250,466
293,779
569,099
679,568
97,918
241,805
238,000
250,178
116,034
121,124
193,124
313,512
Population
2010
4,093,165
2,367,636
1,714,774
1,809,537
1,024,331
782,351
584,686
662,604
422,617
455,760
774,769
800,647
157,112
313,137
310,235
291,307
136,870
137,132
250,304
340,223
.
2013
4,336,853
2,480,331
1,817,610
1,911,541
1,120,954
854,778
652,365
728,799
471,014
499,137
815,996
827,718
176,026
330,242
326,843
306,782
151,468
149,378
262,495
352,107
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Population Estimates, Vintage 2013 and 2000-2010 Intercensal Estimates.
*39 months change from April 1, 2010 to July 1, 2013.
Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University
Change 2000 - 2010
Numeric
Percent
691,320
20.3
151,331
6.8
321,738
23.1
359,744
24.8
212,490
26.2
291,069
59.2
231,089
65.2
229,549
53.0
172,213
68.8
161,967
55.1
205,670
36.1
121,079
17.8
59,189
60.4
71,361
29.5
72,235
30.4
41,131
16.4
20,838
18.0
16,006
13.2
57,180
29.6
26,711
8.5
Change 2010 - 2013*
Numeric
Percent
243,688
6.0
112,695
4.8
102,836
6.0
102,004
5.6
96,623
9.4
72,427
9.3
67,679
11.6
66,195
10.0
48,397
11.5
43,377
9.5
41,227
5.3
27,071
3.4
18,914
12.0
17,105
5.5
16,608
5.4
15,475
5.3
14,598
10.7
12,246
8.9
12,191
4.9
11,884
3.5
Population and Population Change for the Twenty Counties in Texas
with the Largest Numeric Increase from April 1, 2010 to July 1, 2013
County
Harris County
Dallas County
Bexar County
Tarrant County
Travis County
Collin County
Fort Bend County
Denton County
Williamson County
Montgomery County
Hidalgo County
El Paso County
Hays County
Brazoria County
Bell County
Galveston County
Midland County
Ector County
Webb County
Nueces County
2000
3,401,139
2,216,808
1,393,035
1,449,290
811,776
491,272
354,286
433,065
250,466
293,779
569,099
679,568
97,918
241,805
238,000
250,178
116,034
121,124
193,124
313,512
Population
2010
4,093,165
2,367,636
1,714,774
1,809,537
1,024,331
782,351
584,686
662,604
422,617
455,760
774,769
800,647
157,112
313,137
310,235
291,307
136,870
137,132
250,304
340,223
.
2013
4,336,853
2,480,331
1,817,610
1,911,541
1,120,954
854,778
652,365
728,799
471,014
499,137
815,996
827,718
176,026
330,242
326,843
306,782
151,468
149,378
262,495
352,107
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Population Estimates, Vintage 2013 and 2000-2010 Intercensal Estimates.
*39 months change from April 1, 2010 to July 1, 2013.
Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University
Change 2000 - 2010
Numeric
Percent
691,320
20.3
151,331
6.8
321,738
23.1
359,744
24.8
212,490
26.2
291,069
59.2
231,089
65.2
229,549
53.0
172,213
68.8
161,967
55.1
205,670
36.1
121,079
17.8
59,189
60.4
71,361
29.5
72,235
30.4
41,131
16.4
20,838
18.0
16,006
13.2
57,180
29.6
26,711
8.5
Change 2010 - 2013*
Numeric
Percent
243,688
6.0
112,695
4.8
102,836
6.0
102,004
5.6
96,623
9.4
72,427
9.3
67,679
11.6
66,195
10.0
48,397
11.5
43,377
9.5
41,227
5.3
27,071
3.4
18,914
12.0
17,105
5.5
16,608
5.4
15,475
5.3
14,598
10.7
12,246
8.9
12,191
4.9
11,884
3.5
Population and Population Change for the Twenty Counties in Texas
with the Largest Percentage Change from April 1, 2010 to July 1, 2013
Population
County
Loving
Andrews
Kendall
Hays
Fort Bend
Williamson
Martin
Midland
Denton
Montgomery
Travis
Collin
Comal
Hemphill
Crane
Dimmit
Ector
Guadalupe
Rockwall
McMullen
2000
67
13,002
23,793
97,918
354,286
250,466
4,746
116,034
433,065
293,779
811,776
491,272
78,022
3,353
3,996
10,205
121,124
88,856
43,023
847
2010
82
14,786
33,410
157,112
584,686
422,617
4,799
136,870
662,604
455,760
1,024,331
782,351
108,472
3,807
4,375
9,996
137,132
131,537
78,337
707
*Midland, Ector and Adjacent Counties in bold.
*39 Months of Change from April 1, 2010 to July 1, 2013.
Change 2000 - 2010
2013
95
16,799
37,766
176,026
652,365
471,014
5,312
151,468
728,799
499,137
1,120,954
854,778
118,480
4,158
4,773
10,897
149,378
143,183
85,245
764
Numeric
15
1,784
9,617
59,189
231,089
172,213
53
20,838
229,549
161,967
212,490
291,069
30,450
454
379
-209
16,006
42,677
35,314
-140
Percent
22.4
13.7
40.4
60.4
65.2
68.8
1.1
18.0
53.0
55.1
26.2
59.2
39.0
13.5
9.5
-2.0
13.2
48.0
82.1
-16.5
Change 2010 - 2013*
Numeric
13
2,013
4,356
18,914
67,679
48,397
513
14,598
66,195
43,377
96,623
72,427
10,008
351
398
901
12,246
11,646
6,908
57
Percent
15.9
13.6
13.0
12.0
11.6
11.5
10.7
10.7
10.0
9.5
9.4
9.3
9.2
9.2
9.1
9.0
8.9
8.9
8.8
8.1
Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total
Population by Race/Ethnicity for Texas, 2000 and 2010
Population
Race/Ethnicity*
NH White
2000
2010
Population Change
Numeric
Percent
Percent of Total Population
Percent of
Total Change
2000
2010
10,933,313
11,397,345
464,032
4.2
10.8
52.4
45.3
Hispanic (All Races)
6,669,666
9,460,921
2,791,255
41.8
65.0
32.0
37.6
NH Black
2,364,255
2,886,825
522,570
22.1
12.2
11.3
11.5
NH Asian
554,445
948,426
393,981
71.1
9.2
2.7
3.8
NH Other
330,141
452,044
121,903
36.9
2.8
1.6
1.8
20,851,820
25,145,561
4,293,741
20.6
100.0
100.0
100.0
Total
*Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes
persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, NonHispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races.
Source: U.S. Census 2000 and 2010, P.L. 94-171.
Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu
Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Population
18 Years and Older by Race/Ethnicity for Texas, 2000 and 2010
Population
Race/Ethnicity*
Population Change
2000
2010
NH White
8,426,166
9,074,684
648,518
7.7
Hispanic (All Races)
4,282,901
6,143,144
1,860,243
NH Black
1,631,448
2,076,282
NH Asian
415,219
NH Other
Total
Numeric
Percent
Percent of Total Population
Percent of
Total Change
2000
2010
19.6
56.3
49.6
43.4
56.1
28.6
33.6
444,834
27.3
13.4
10.9
11.4
716,968
301,749
72.7
9.1
2.8
3.9
209,327
268,659
59,332
28.3
1.8
1.4
1.5
14,965,061
18,279,737
3,314,676
22.1
100.0
100.0
100.0
*Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes
persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, NonHispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races.
Source: U.S. Census 2000 and 2010, P.L. 94-171.
Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu
Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Population
Under 18 Years by Race/Ethnicity for Texas, 2000 and 2010
Population
Race/Ethnicity*
Population Change
2000
2010
NH White
2,507,147
2,322,661
-184,486
-7.4
Hispanic (All Races)
2,386,765
3,317,777
931,012
NH Black
732,807
810,543
NH Asian
139,226
NH Other
Total
Numeric
Percent
Percent of Total Population
Percent of
Total Change
2000
2010
-18.8
42.6
33.8
39.0
95.1
40.5
48.3
77,736
10.6
7.9
12.4
11.8
231,458
92,232
66.2
9.4
2.4
3.4
120,814
183,385
62,571
51.8
6.4
2.1
2.7
5,886,759
6,865,824
979,065
16.6
100.0
100.0
100.0
*Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes
persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, NonHispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races.
Source: U.S. Census 2000 and 2010, P.L. 94-171.
Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu
Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population
by Race/Ethnicity for the United States, 2000 and 2010
Population
Race/Ethnicity*
NH White
2000
2010
194,552,774 196,817,552
Population Change
Numeric
Percent
Percent of Total Population
Percent of
Total Change
2000
2010
2,264,778
1.2
8.3
69.1
63.7
Hispanic (All Races)
35,305,818
50,477,594
15,171,776
43.0
55.5
12.5
16.3
NH Black
33,947,837
37,685,848
3,738,011
11.0
13.7
12.1
12.2
NH Asian
10,123,169
14,465,124
4,341,955
42.9
15.9
3.6
4.7
NH Other
7,492,308
9,299,420
1,807,112
24.1
6.6
2.7
3.0
281,421,906 308,745,538
27,323,632
9.7
100.0
100.0
100.0
Total
*Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes
persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, NonHispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races.
Source: U.S. Census 2000 and 2010, P.L. 94-171.
Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu
Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Population
Under 18 Years by Race/Ethnicity for the United States, 2000 and 2010
Population
Race/Ethnicity*
Population Change
Percent of
Total Change
2000
2010
-9.8
-228.4
60.9
53.5
4,788,632
38.8
253.7
17.1
23.1
10,362,183
-248,081
-2.3
-13.1
14.7
14.0
2,420,274
3,176,129
755,855
31.2
40.0
3.3
4.3
2,893,928
3,795,702
901,774
31.2
47.8
4.0
5.1
72,293,812
74,181,467
1,887,655
2.6
100.0
100.0
100.0
2000
2010
Numeric
NH White
44,027,087
39,716,562
-4,310,525
Hispanic (All Races)
12,342,259
17,130,891
NH Black
10,610,264
NH Asian
NH Other
Total
Percent of Total Population
Percent
*Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes persons
identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, NonHispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races.
Source: U.S. Census 2000 and 2010, P.L. 94-171.
Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu
Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the
Total Population by Race/Ethnicity for the
Austin-Round Rock Metropolitan Statistical Area, 2000 and 2010
Population
Racial Group
Percent of
Total Change
Population Change
2010
2010
NH* White
758,302
938,474
180,172
23.8
38.6
60.7
54.7
NH Black
96,746
120,510
23,764
24.6
5.1
7.7
7.0
Hispanic
327,760
538,313
210,553
64.2
45.1
26.2
31.4
66,955
118,992
52,037
77.7
11.2
5.4
6.9
1,249,763
1,716,289
466,526
37.3
100.0
100.0
100.0
Total
Percent
2000
2000
NH Asian & Other
Numeric
Percent of
Total Change
Source: U.S. Census 2010, P.L. 94-171.
Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSAs) as defined by OMB in 2013.
*NH refers to nonHispanic values for categories labeled NH are only for the nonHispanic persons in each race category. Hispanic includes Hispanics
of all races.
Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the
Total Population Under Age 18 by Race/Ethnicity for the
Austin-Round Rock Metropolitan Statistical Area, 2000 and 2010
Population
Racial Group
Percent of
Total Change
Population Change
2000
2010
2000
2010
Numeric
NH* White
161,723
182,346
20,623
12.8
17.5
51.0
41.9
NH Black
28,862
32,637
3,775
13.1
3.2
9.1
7.5
Hispanic
109,686
185,913
76,227
69.5
64.8
34.6
42.8
16,751
33,864
17,113
102.2
14.5
5.3
7.8
317,022
434,760
117,738
37.1
100.0
100.0
100.0
NH Asian & Other
Total
Percent
Percent of
Total Change
Source: U.S. Census 2010, P.L. 94-171.
Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSAs) as defined by OMB in 2013.
*NH refers to nonHispanic values for categories labeled NH are only for the nonHispanic persons in each race category. Hispanic includes Hispanics
of all races.
Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the
Total Population by Race/Ethnicity for the Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington
Metropolitan Statistical Area, Texas 2000 and 2010
Population
Racial Group
NH* White
2000
2010
Population Change
Numeric
Percent of
Percent Total Change
Percent of
Total Change
2000
2010
3,081,734
3,248,509
166,775
5.4
13.6
59.3
50.5
NH Black
707,490
941,599
234,109
33.1
19.2
13.6
14.7
Hispanic
1,121,442
1,758,738
637,296
56.8
52.2
21.5
27.4
293,460
477,368
183,908
62.7
15.0
5.6
7.4
5,204,126
6,426,214
1,222,088
23.5
100.0
100.0
100.0
NH Asian & Other
Total
Source: U.S. Census 2010, P.L. 94-171.
Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSAs) as defined by OMB in 2013.
*NH refers to nonHispanic values for categories labeled NH are only for the nonHispanic persons in each race category. Hispanic includes Hispanics
of all races.
Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the
Total Population Under Age 18 by Race/Ethnicity for the
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington Metropolitan Statistical Area, 2000 and 2010
Population
Racial Group
Population Change
Percent of
Total Change
2000
2010
2000
2010
Numeric
NH* White
735,112
699,178
-35,934
-4.9
-11.1
50.2
39.1
NH Black
227,185
277,206
50,021
22.0
15.4
15.6
15.5
Hispanic
410,193
661,960
251,767
61.4
77.5
28.1
37.1
88,486
147,481
58,995
66.7
18.2
6.1
8.3
1,460,976
1,785,825
324,849
22.2
100.0
100.0
100.0
NH Asian & Other
Total
Percent
Percent of
Total Change
Source: U.S. Census 2010, P.L. 94-171.
Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSAs) as defined by OMB in 2013.
*NH refers to nonHispanic values for categories labeled NH are only for the nonHispanic persons in each race category. Hispanic includes Hispanics
of all races.
Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population
by Race/Ethnicity for the Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land
Metropolitan Statistical Area, 2000 and 2010
Population
Racial Group
NH* White
2000
2010
Percent of
Total Change
Population Change
Numeric
Percent of
Percent Total Change
2000
2010
2,256,857
2,340,268
83,411
3.7
6.8
48.1
39.6
NH Black
781,159
996,221
215,062
27.5
17.5
16.6
16.8
Hispanic
1,352,393
2,096,532
744,139
55.0
60.7
28.8
35.4
302,752
487,395
184,643
61.0
15.0
6.5
8.2
4,693,161
5,920,416
1,227,255
26.1
100.0
100.0
100.0
NH Asian & Other
Total
Source: U.S. Census 2010, P.L. 94-171.
Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSAs) as defined by OMB in 2013.
*NH refers to nonHispanic values for categories labeled NH are only for the nonHispanic persons in each race category. Hispanic includes Hispanics
of all races.
Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population
Under 18 by Race/Ethnicity for the Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land
Metropolitan Statistical Area, 2000 and 2010
Population
Racial Group
Population Change
Percent of
Total Change
2000
2010
2000
2010
Numeric
NH* White
542,563
494,054
-48,509
-8.9
-16.5
39.8
29.8
NH Black
244,702
282,991
38,289
15.6
13.0
18.0
17.1
Hispanic
489,495
744,227
254,732
52.0
86.8
35.9
45.0
85,634
134,692
49,058
57.3
16.7
6.3
8.1
1,362,394
1,655,964
293,570
21.5
100.0
100.0
100.0
NH Asian & Other
Total
Percent
Percent of
Total Change
Source: U.S. Census 2010, P.L. 94-171.
Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSAs) as defined by OMB in 2013.
*NH refers to nonHispanic values for categories labeled NH are only for the nonHispanic persons in each race category. Hispanic includes Hispanics
of all races.
Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the
Total Population by Race/Ethnicity for the San Antonio-New Braunfels
Metropolitan Statistical Area, 2000 and 2010
Population
Racial Group
Percent of
Total Change
Population Change
2000
2010
2000
2010
Numeric
NH* White
696,316
773,807
77,491
11.1
18.0
40.7
36.1
NH Black
102,441
130,070
27,629
27.0
6.4
6.0
6.1
Hispanic
863,162
1,158,148
294,986
34.2
68.5
50.4
54.0
49,784
80,483
30,699
61.7
7.1
2.9
3.8
1,711,703
2,142,508
430,805
25.2
100.0
100.0
100.0
NH Asian & Other
Total
Percent
Percent of
Total Change
Source: U.S. Census 2010, P.L. 94-171.
Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSAs) as defined by OMB in 2013.
*NH refers to nonHispanic values for categories labeled NH are only for the nonHispanic persons in each race category. Hispanic includes Hispanics
of all races.
Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population
Under 18 by Race/Ethnicity for the San Antonio-New Braunfels
Metropolitan Statistical Area, 2000 and 2010
Population
Racial Group
Population Change
2000
2010
Numeric
NH* White
151,728
148,028
-3,700
-2.4
NH Black
30,007
33,517
3,510
Hispanic
289,103
370,886
14,784
485,622
NH Asian & Other
Total
Percent of
Total Change
Percent
Percent of
Total Change
2000
2010
-4.1
31.2
25.7
11.7
3.9
6.2
5.8
81,783
28.3
90.9
59.6
64.5
23,139
8,355
56.5
9.3
3.0
4.0
575,570
89,948
18.5
100.0
100.0
100.0
Source: U.S. Census 2010, P.L. 94-171.
Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSAs) as defined by OMB in 2013.
*NH refers to nonHispanic values for categories labeled NH are only for the nonHispanic persons in each race category. Hispanic includes Hispanics
of all races.
POPULATION CHARACTERISTICS
AND SOCIOECONOMIC CONDITIONS
Total and Percent of the Population in Poverty and Median Household
Income by Race/Ethnicity for the United States, 1999 and 2010
1999
Race/
Ethnicity
2010
%
Median
Household
Income*
Population
in Poverty
%
Median
Household
Income*
16,026,542
8.3
$59,221
21,831,928
10.8
$53,988
Hispanic (All Races)
7,797,874
22.6
$44,079
12,583,542
24.8
$40,165
NH Black
7,970,165
24.8
$38,541
10,270,229
27.1
$33,568
NH Asian
1,241,291
12.6
$68,020
1,806,217
12.4
$67,142
33,899,812
12.4
$54,966
47,330,502
15.3
$50,046
NH White
Total
Population
in Poverty
*In 2010 Dollars.
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2000 Summary File 4, 2006-2010 American Community Survey
Not all race/ethnic groups are shown here but are included in the total.
Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu
Total and Percent of the Population in Poverty and Median
Household Income by Race/Ethnicity for Texas, 1999 and 2010
1999
Race/
Ethnicity
2010
%
Median
Household
Income*
856,055
7.9
$61,542
1,658,434
25.4
Black
515,859
Asian
NH White
Hispanic (All Races)
Total
%
Median
Household
Income*
1,111,251
9.5
$59,517
$39,101
2,555,080
26.8
$37,087
23.3
$38,378
717,458
24.7
$35,674
63,598
11.7
$65,633
120,601
12.6
$64,191
3,117,609
15.4
$52,260
4,521,023
17.9
$48,615
Population
in Poverty
Population
in Poverty
*In 2010 Dollars.
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2000 Summary File 4, 2006-2010 American Community Survey
Not all race/ethnic groups are shown here but are included in the total.
Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu
Total and Percent of the Population in Poverty and Median Household Income by
Race/Ethnicity for Austin-Round Rock-San Marcos MSA, Texas, 1999 and 2010
1999
Race/
Ethnicity
Population in
Poverty
2010
%
Median
Household
Income*
Population in
Poverty
%
Median
Household
Income*
NH White
52,995
7.0
$70,307
87,639
9.3
$64,893
Hispanic (All Races)
57,897
18.1
$50,599
139,333
25.6
$39,843
NH Black
15,932
17.8
$47,130
29,904
24.4
$38,465
6,502
15.6
$64,801
11,352
13.9
$67,317
134,589
11.1
$63,905
274,801
15.9
$55,744
Asian
Total
*In 2010 Dollars
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2000 Summary File 4, 2006-2010 American Community Survey
Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu
Total and Percent of the Population in Poverty and Median Household Income
by Race/Ethnicity for Dallas-Forth Worth-Arlington MSA, Texas, 1999 and 2010
1999
Race/
Ethnicity
2010
Population in
Poverty
%
Median
Household
Income*
%
Median
Household
Income*
NH White
168,399
5.5
$72,291
234,244
7.3
$66,611
Hispanic (All Races)
219,006
19.9
$46,782
419,024
23.7
$40,083
NH Black
134,474
19.7
$43,070
220,867
23.6
$37,539
Asian
19,165
10.0
$72,049
37,441
11.0
$70,006
Total
547,385
10.8
$63,245
934,827
14.6
$54,449
Population in
Poverty
*In 2010 Dollars
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2000 Summary File 4, 2006-2010 American Community Survey
Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu
Total and Percent of the Population in Poverty and Median Household Income
by Race/Ethnicity for Houston-Sugar Land-Baytown MSA, Texas, 1999 and 2010
1999
Race/
Ethnicity
2010
Population in
Poverty
%
Median
Household
Income*
%
Median
Household
Income*
NH White
142,906
6.2
$73,353
167,593
7.1
$72,480
Hispanic (All Races)
294,484
22.0
$43,087
533,716
25.2
$40,972
NH Black
167,271
22.0
$41,210
223,990
22.2
$39,638
Asian
25,338
11.4
$67,702
50,732
12.9
$67,333
Total
635,349
13.7
$58,497
986,220
16.5
$53,942
Population in
Poverty
*In 2010 Dollars
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2000 Summary File 4, 2006-2010 American Community Survey
Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu
Total and Percent of the Population in Poverty and Median Household Income
by Race/Ethnicity for San Antonio-New Braunfels MSA, Texas, 1999 and 2010
1999
Race/
Ethnicity
NH White
Hispanic (All Races)
NH Black
Asian
Total
2010
%
Median
Household
Income*
%
Median
Household
Income*
47,870
6.9
$63,329
57,496
7.4
$63,067
182,882
21.5
$40,849
258,421
22.1
$41,439
17,941
19.0
$42,457
24,354
18.5
$39,004
2,277
9.8
$53,032
4,778
11.1
$56,056
252,311
15.1
$51,091
351,737
16.3
$50,225
Population in
Poverty
Population in
Poverty
*In 2010 Dollars
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2000 Summary File 4, 2006-2010 American Community Survey
Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu
Percent of the Population Age 25 and Older in the
United States and Texas with Less Than High School
Diploma/GED by Race/Ethnicity, 2010
50
45
40.4
40
37.8
35
30
25
14.5 15.2 14.4
15
10
19.3
17.9
20
9.3
13.7 14.3
9.3
8
5
0
United States
NH White
Hispanic
Texas
NH Black
NH Asian
NH Other
Total
Educational Attainment for the Population Age 25 and over
by Race/Ethnicity, Austin, Texas, 2010
Race/
Ethnicity*
NH White
Black
Hispanic
Asian
NH Other
Total
Population
Less
Age 25 and than High
Older
School
277,412
2.6
39,246
12.1
150,364
38.8
27,243
6.6
7,767
2.5
502,032
14.4
Some
High
College or Bachelor
School Associates Degree or
Diploma
Degree
More
12.6
26.0
58.8
26.7
39.3
19.6
24.3
19.1
17.7
10.8
13.3
69.3
24.9
46.3
39.5
17.3
24.6
43.7
*Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. NonHispanic Other includes persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, NonHispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non-Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of
two or more races.
Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 American Community Survey
Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu
Educational Attainment for the Population Age 25 and over
by Race/Ethnicity, Dallas, Texas, 2010
Race/
Ethnicity*
NH White
NH Black
Hispanic
Asian
NH Other
Total
Population
Less
Age 25 and than High
Older
School
268,234
4.8
184,582
16.4
269,886
56.4
24,484
18.7
12,662
11.2
759,848
26.5
Some
High
College or Bachelor
School Associates Degree or
Diploma
Degree
More
14.5
23.5
57.2
35.6
33.1
14.9
23.8
12.2
7.6
10.7
16.2
54.4
14.2
36.5
38.1
22.8
21.8
28.9
*Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. NonHispanic Other includes persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, NonHispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non-Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of
two or more races.
Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 American Community Survey
Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu
Educational Attainment for the Population Age 25 and over
by Race/Ethnicity, Houston, Texas, 2010
Race/
Ethnicity*
NH White
NH Black
Hispanic
Asian
NH Other
Total
Population
Less
Age 25 and than High
Older
School
419,889
5.6
308,640
15.5
501,734
50.9
91,939
15.8
14,936
16.0
1,337,138
25.7
Some
High
College or Bachelor
School Associates Degree or
Diploma
Degree
More
16.0
25.9
52.5
31.6
34.9
18.0
22.8
16.4
9.8
15.0
17.1
52.1
17.3
34.5
35.7
22.1
23.9
28.3
*Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. NonHispanic Other includes persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, NonHispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non-Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of
two or more races.
Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 American Community Survey
Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu
Educational Attainment for the Population Age 25 and over
by Race/Ethnicity, San Antonio, Texas, 2010
Race/
Ethnicity*
NH White
NH Black
Hispanic
Asian
NH Other
Total
Population
Less
Age 25 and than High
Older
School
258,022
5.4
50,168
12.9
488,603
28.7
20,093
11.7
9,581
6.7
826,467
19.8
Some
High
College or Bachelor
School Associates Degree or
Diploma
Degree
More
19.0
33.4
42.2
24.3
41.8
21.0
29.9
28.7
12.7
15.2
21.4
51.6
12.6
30.0
42.0
25.6
30.8
23.7
*Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. NonHispanic Other includes persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, NonHispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non-Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of
two or more races.
Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 American Community Survey
Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu
PROJECTIONS
U.S. Population by Race and Hispanic Origin:
Census 2010 and Projected for 2020 to 2060
Year
(Resident population as of July 1, Number in thousands)
Non-Hispanic
Hispanic
All other
(any race)
White alone Black alone Asian alone
races
Total
2010
196,818
37,686
14,465
9,299
50,478
308,746
2020
199,312
41,776
18,246
10,778
63,784
333,896
2030
198,818
45,452
22,044
13,502
78,655
358,471
2040
193,887
48,769
25,881
16,603
94,876
380,016
2050
186,334
51,988
29,583
20,166
111,732
399,803
2060
178,952
55,302
33,106
24,128
128,780
420,268
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2010 Census and 2012 National Projections
Numeric Change in U.S. Population by Race and
Hispanic Origin: 2010 to 2060 (in millions)
120.0
111.5
100.0
78.3
80.0
60.0
40.0
20.0
17.6
18.6
NH Black
NH Asian
14.8
-17.9
0.0
-20.0
NH White
NH Other
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2010 Census and 2012 National Projections
Hispanic
(any race)
Total
Change in the U.S. Population by Race
and Hispanic Origin: 2010 to 2060
Non-Hispanic
White alone
0%
Non-Hispanic
Black alone
14%
Non-Hispanic
Asian alone
14%
Hispanic
61%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2010 Census and 2012 National Projections
Non-Hispanic
Other
11%
Age Distribution of the U.S. Population:
Census 2010 and Projected 2020 to 2060
(Percent of total resident population as of July 1)
Age Group
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
Under 5 years
6.5
6.5
6.2
6.1
6.0
5.9
5 to 19 years
20.4
18.8
18.6
18.1
17.8
17.7
20 to 44 years
33.6
33.0
32.3
31.5
31.6
31.3
45 to 64 years
26.4
24.9
22.6
23.3
23.7
23.2
65 years and over
13.1
16.8
20.3
21.0
20.9
21.9
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2010 Census and 2012 National Projections
Percent By Race and Hispanic Origin by
Selected Age Groups for the U.S. Population : 2010
Percent of each group's resident population as of April 1
Non-Hispanic
White
alone
Black
alone
Asian
alone
All other
races
Hispanic
(any race)
Total
63.8
12.2
4.7
3.0
16.3
100.0
Under 5 years
50.8
13.6
4.3
6.0
25.3
100.0
5 to 17 years
54.5
14.1
4.3
4.8
22.3
100.0
18 to 24 years
57.1
14.3
4.9
3.6
20.1
100.0
25 to 44 years
59.6
12.6
5.9
2.7
19.2
100.0
45 to 64 years
71.7
11.3
4.4
2.0
10.6
100.0
65 years and over
80.0
8.4
3.4
1.3
6.9
100.0
65 to 74 years
78.0
9.1
3.8
1.5
7.6
100.0
75 to 84 years
81.2
7.8
3.2
1.2
6.6
100.0
85 years and over
84.9
6.8
2.5
0.9
4.9
100.0
Age Group
Total
Elderly Age Groups
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2010 Census
Projected Percent By Race and Hispanic Origin by
Selected Age Groups for the U.S. Population: 2060
Percent of each group's resident population as of April 1
Age Group
Total
White
alone
Non-Hispanic
Black
Asian
alone
alone
All other Hispanic
races
(any race)
Total
42.6
13.2
7.9
5.7
30.6
100.0
Under 5 years
30.9
13.0
6.6
9.9
39.6
100.0
5 to 17 years
33.6
13.2
6.8
9.0
37.4
100.0
18 to 24 years
35.8
13.2
7.2
7.7
36.1
100.0
25 to 44 years
39.0
13.5
8.5
6.0
33.0
100.0
45 to 64 years
45.3
13.4
8.7
4.4
28.2
100.0
65 years and over
55.8
12.5
7.7
2.7
21.3
100.0
65 to 74 years
52.5
13.6
8.0
3.1
22.8
100.0
75 to 84 years
56.7
11.7
7.9
2.5
21.2
100.0
85 years and over
62.7
10.9
6.7
2.1
17.6
100.0
Elderly Age Groups
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2012 National Projections
Population in Texas by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projections of the Population in
Texas by Race/Ethnicity from 2020 to 2050 Under Alternative Assumptions of Age
and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Rates of Net Migration
Year
NH1
White
NH Black
Hispanic
NH Asian &
Other2
Total
1,400,470
1,536,693
1,638,249
1,714,232
1,728,206
25,145,561
27,373,597
29,289,963
30,823,159
32,052,506
Assuming Zero Net Migration
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
11,397,345
11,576,595
11,501,020
11,182,576
10,766,622
2,886,825
3,122,637
3,280,941
3,355,500
3,366,528
9,460,921
11,137,672
12,869,753
14,570,851
16,191,150
Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
11,397,345
11,752,530
11,850,180
11,676,157
11,376,576
2,886,825
3,295,198
3,658,997
3,951,909
4,182,155
9,460,921
12,031,059
15,082,058
18,489,803
22,268,390
1,400,470
1,825,130
2,309,763
2,881,525
3,483,178
25,145,561
28,903,917
32,900,998
36,999,394
41,310,299
Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
11,397,345
11,931,815
12,211,664
12,194,151
12,024,913
2,886,825
3,477,928
4,080,453
4,653,725
5,195,861
9,460,921
13,003,159
17,702,132
23,514,974
30,701,208
1,400,470
2,170,409
3,288,536
4,953,861
7,283,548
25,145,561
30,583,311
37,282,785
45,316,711
55,205,530
1NH
refers to Non-Hispanic; values shown are only for the non-Hispanic persons in each race category. Hispanic includes Hispanics
of all races.
2NH Asian & Other category includes non-Hispanic persons who identify themselves as belonging to two or more race groups.
63
Percent of the Population by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projected Through 2050
Under Alternative Assumptions of Age and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Rates of Net
Migration for the State of Texas
Year
NH1
White
NH Black
Hispanic
NH Asian
& Other2
Total
Assuming Zero Net Migration (Scenario 0.0)
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
45.3
42.3
39.3
36.3
33.6
11.5
11.4
11.2
10.9
10.5
37.6
40.7
43.9
47.2
50.5
5.6
5.6
5.6
5.6
5.4
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (Scenario 0.5)
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
45.3
40.7
36.0
31.6
27.5
11.5
11.4
11.1
10.7
10.2
37.6
41.6
45.8
50.0
53.9
5.6
6.3
7.1
7.7
8.4
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (Scenario 1.0)
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
1NH
45.3
39.0
32.8
26.9
21.8
11.5
11.4
10.9
10.3
9.4
37.6
42.5
47.5
51.9
55.6
5.6
7.1
8.8
10.9
13.2
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
refers to Non-Hispanic; values shown are only for the non-Hispanic persons in each race category. Hispanic includes Hispanics
of all races.
2NH Asian & Other category includes non-Hispanic persons who identify themselves as belonging to two or more race groups.
Percent of the Population by Age Group and Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projected
Percent of the Population by Age Group and Race/Ethnicity from 2030 to 2050
Assuming Age and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 for the
State of Texas (Scenario 1.0)
Age
NH1
White
NH Black
Hispanic
NH Asian
& Other2
Total
2010
<18
18-24
25-44
45-64
65+
20.4
8.7
25.7
29.8
15.4
28.1
11.2
29.1
24.0
7.6
35.1
11.7
30.1
17.5
5.6
29.6
10.2
32.3
21.4
6.5
27.3
10.2
28.2
24.0
10.3
29.7
10.8
29.9
19.8
9.8
21.7
11.5
31.6
24.1
11.1
24.9
9.6
27.5
22.2
15.8
27.3
10.6
27.8
21.4
12.9
21.9
8.6
30.5
24.9
14.1
24.0
9.4
26.9
22.8
16.9
2030
<18
18-24
25-44
45-64
65+
19.3
7.5
23.0
24.3
25.9
23.4
9.6
27.2
24.2
15.6
2050
<18
18-24
25-44
45-64
65+
18.2
7.4
23.0
23.7
27.7
20.7
8.9
25.5
25.6
19.3
1NH
refers to Non-Hispanic; values shown are only for the non-Hispanic persons in each race category. Hispanic includes Hispanics
of all races.
2NH Asian & Other category includes non-Hispanic persons who identify themselves as belonging to two or more race groups.
66
Percent of Age Group by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projected Percent of Age Group by
Race/Ethnicity from 2030 to 2050 Assuming Age and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration Equal
to 2000-2010 for the State of Texas (Scenario 1.0)
Age
NH1
White
NH Black
Hispanic
NH Asian
& Other2
Total
2010
<18
18-24
25-44
45-64
65+
33.8
38.7
41.5
56.1
67.6
11.8
12.6
11.9
11.5
8.4
48.3
43.2
40.2
27.4
20.5
6.0
5.5
6.4
5.0
3.5
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
56.6
53.0
51.7
42.4
29.4
7.7
10.6
10.1
9.6
6.2
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
63.4
62.0
57.5
52.4
42.5
12.0
12.0
15.0
14.4
11.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
2030
<18
18-24
25-44
45-64
65+
25.4
25.5
27.3
36.0
53.6
10.3
10.9
10.8
12.0
10.8
2050
<18
18-24
25-44
45-64
65+
16.5
17.1
18.6
22.7
35.7
8.1
8.9
8.9
10.5
10.8
1NH
refers to Non-Hispanic; values shown are only for the non-Hispanic persons in each race category. Hispanic includes Hispanics
of all races.
2NH Asian & Other category includes non-Hispanic persons who identify themselves as belonging to two or more race groups.
67
Percent of Persons
65 Years of Age and Older in
Texas Counties, 2010
68
68
Percent of Persons
65 Years of Age and Older in
Texas Counties, 2050*
* Assuming rates of net migration equal to 2000-2010
69
Population by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projections of the
Population by Race/Ethnicity from 2020 to 2050 Under Alternative
Scenarios of Age/Sex and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration
for Harris County
Year
NH White
NH Black
Hispanic
NH Asian &
Other
2010
1,349,646
754,258
1,671,540
317,015
4,092,459
347,798
363,946
371,176
370,587
4,532,775
4,882,019
5,169,611
5,392,104
Total
Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration
2020
2030
2040
2050
1,370,357
1,342,716
1,278,423
1,198,102
819,903
858,777
876,137
876,475
1,994,717
2,316,580
2,643,875
2,946,940
Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
1,313,873
1,232,849
1,118,087
998,149
840,336
901,576
934,326
945,431
2,153,854
2,698,721
3,289,505
3,909,739
400,856
482,625
563,900
646,530
4,708,919
5,315,771
5,905,818
6,499,849
459,092
637,362
851,405
1,115,138
4,889,972
5,772,960
6,660,144
7,572,473
Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
1,255,205
1,113,765
944,770
784,522
856,198
921,946
935,982
905,382
2,319,477
3,099,887
3,927,987
4,767,431
Source: Tx. State Data Center and Hobby Center for the Study of Texas
Percent of Population by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projections of the
Population by Race/Ethnicity from 2020 to 2050 Under Alternative
Scenarios of Age/Sex and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for
Harris County
Year
NH White
NH Black
Hispanic
2010
33.0
18.4
40.8
NH Asian &
Other
Total
7.7
100.0
7.7
7.5
7.2
6.9
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration
2020
2030
2040
2050
30.2
27.5
24.7
22.2
18.1
17.6
16.9
16.3
44.0
47.5
51.1
54.7
Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
27.9
23.2
18.9
15.4
17.8
17.0
15.8
14.5
45.7
50.8
55.7
60.2
8.5
9.1
9.5
9.9
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
9.4
11.0
12.8
14.7
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
25.7
19.3
14.2
10.4
17.5
16.0
14.1
12.0
47.4
53.7
59.0
63.0
Source: Tx. State Data Center and Hobby Center for the Study of Texas
Population by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projections of the
Population by Race/Ethnicity from 2020 to 2050 Under Alternative
Scenarios of Age/Sex and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration
for Dallas County
Year
NH White
NH Black
Hispanic
NH Asian &
Other
2010
784,693
518,732
905,940
158,774
2,368,139
177,105
186,873
193,673
196,091
2,640,105
2,864,864
3,068,453
3,257,805
Total
Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration
2020
2030
2040
2050
785,498
753,645
701,895
648,778
570,153
605,355
627,756
640,542
1,107,349
1,318,991
1,545,129
1,772,394
Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
701,757
597,468
491,394
401,233
581,409
627,910
656,513
671,539
1,155,350
1,435,586
1,742,378
2,070,126
198,537
231,333
264,046
295,884
2,637,053
2,892,297
3,154,331
3,438,782
221,701
285,943
358,341
443,121
2,636,066
2,922,752
3,215,326
3,522,190
Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
624,417
464,572
329,773
231,828
588,760
634,100
645,278
625,457
1,201,188
1,538,137
1,881,934
2,221,784
Source: Tx. State Data Center and Hobby Center for the Study of Texas
Percent of Population by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projections of the
Population by Race/Ethnicity from 2020 to 2050 Under Alternative
Scenarios of Age/Sex and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for
Dallas County
Year
NH White
NH Black
Hispanic
2010
33.1
21.9
38.3
NH Asian &
Other
Total
6.7
100.0
6.7
6.5
6.3
6.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration
2020
2030
2040
2050
29.8
26.3
22.9
19.9
21.6
21.1
20.5
19.7
41.9
46.0
50.4
54.4
Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
26.6
20.7
15.6
11.7
22.0
21.7
20.8
19.5
43.8
49.6
55.2
60.2
7.5
8.0
8.4
8.6
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
8.4
9.8
11.1
12.6
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
23.7
15.9
10.3
6.6
22.3
21.7
20.1
17.8
45.6
52.6
58.5
63.1
Source: Tx. State Data Center and Hobby Center for the Study of Texas
Population by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projections of the
Population by Race/Ethnicity from 2020 to 2050 Under Alternative
Scenarios of Age/Sex and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration
for Bexar County
Year
NH White
NH Black
Hispanic
2010
519,123
118,460
1,006,958
NH Asian &
Other
Total
70,232
1,714,773
77,163
81,862
84,628
84,692
1,880,182
2,013,760
2,115,302
2,195,644
Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration
2020
2030
2040
2050
528,196
520,278
501,507
481,423
128,549
135,508
139,706
143,029
1,146,274
1,276,112
1,389,461
1,486,500
Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
525,902
516,916
493,614
469,414
136,229
152,390
165,672
177,610
1,217,709
1,439,718
1,654,245
1,860,268
94,201
122,526
154,723
188,376
1,974,041
2,231,550
2,468,254
2,695,668
114,371
183,992
287,647
430,044
2,065,849
2,446,467
2,817,067
3,180,782
Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
522,129
505,748
469,453
432,051
143,464
166,495
184,464
195,931
1,285,885
1,590,232
1,875,503
2,122,756
Source: Tx. State Data Center and Hobby Center for the Study of Texas
Percent of Population by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projections of the
Population by Race/Ethnicity from 2020 to 2050 Under Alternative
Scenarios of Age/Sex and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for
Bexar County
Year
NH White
2010
30.3
NH Black
6.9
Hispanic
NH Asian &
Other
58.7
Total
4.1
100.0
4.1
4.1
4.0
3.9
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration
2020
2030
2040
2050
28.1
25.8
23.7
21.9
6.8
6.7
6.6
6.5
61.0
63.4
65.7
67.7
Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
26.6
23.2
20.0
17.4
6.9
6.8
6.7
6.6
61.7
64.5
67.0
69.0
4.8
5.5
6.3
7.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
5.5
7.5
10.2
13.5
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
25.3
20.7
16.7
13.6
6.9
6.8
6.5
6.2
62.2
65.0
66.6
66.7
Source: Tx. State Data Center and Hobby Center for the Study of Texas
Population by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projections of the
Population by Race/Ethnicity from 2020 to 2050 Under Alternative
Scenarios of Age/Sex and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration
for Travis County
Year
NH White
NH Black
Hispanic
2010
517,644
82,805
342,766
NH Asian &
Other
Total
81,051
1,024,266
90,150
95,689
100,435
102,802
1,132,853
1,202,423
1,256,304
1,297,403
Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration
2020
2030
2040
2050
542,467
536,215
513,780
486,487
88,465
91,785
92,461
91,175
411,771
478,734
549,628
616,939
Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
564,581
573,841
558,255
545,614
90,350
95,516
97,481
96,850
439,296
545,978
666,649
794,234
106,656
132,872
162,469
194,266
1,200,883
1,348,207
1,484,854
1,630,964
125,349
182,710
260,243
362,957
1,273,260
1,508,642
1,732,860
1,990,820
Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
588,721
614,740
598,425
591,906
91,589
96,704
96,434
91,337
467,601
614,488
777,758
944,620
Source: Tx. State Data Center and Hobby Center for the Study of Texas
Percent of Population by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projections of the
Population by Race/Ethnicity from 2020 to 2050 Under Alternative
Scenarios of Age/Sex and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for
Travis County
Year
2010
NH White
50.5
NH Black
8.1
Hispanic
NH Asian &
Other
33.5
Total
7.9
100.0
8.0
8.0
8.0
7.9
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration
2020
2030
2040
2050
47.9
44.6
40.9
37.5
7.8
7.6
7.4
7.0
36.3
39.8
43.7
47.6
Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
47.0
42.6
37.6
33.5
7.5
7.1
6.6
5.9
36.6
40.5
44.9
48.7
8.9
9.9
10.9
11.9
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
9.8
12.1
15.0
18.2
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
46.2
40.7
34.5
29.7
7.2
6.4
5.6
4.6
36.7
40.7
44.9
47.4
Source: Tx. State Data Center and Hobby Center for the Study of Texas
Population by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projections of the
Population by Race/Ethnicity from 2020 to 2050 Under Alternative
Scenarios of Age/Sex and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration
for the North Texas Commission Region
NH Black
Hispanic
Assuming Zero Net Migration
NH Asian
& Other
Year
NH White
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
3,201,677
941,695
1,752,166
476,235
3,291,525
1,028,019
2,106,960
523,718
3,297,974
1,088,152
2,482,330
558,554
3,216,851
1,119,388
2,864,710
587,879
3,077,518
1,125,712
3,224,164
593,245
Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010
6,371,773
6,950,222
7,427,010
7,788,828
8,020,639
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
3,201,677
941,695
1,752,166
476,235
3,298,699
1,111,747
2,344,307
630,752
3,332,280
1,276,615
3,094,667
809,194
3,304,370
1,423,723
3,989,821
1,034,284
3,222,986
1,550,341
5,026,409
1,276,403
Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010
6,371,773
7,385,505
8,512,756
9,752,198
11,076,139
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
3,201,677
3,318,505
3,404,731
3,470,600
3,491,754
6,371,773
7,894,214
10,001,371
12,890,587
16,768,007
941,695
1,201,696
1,505,257
1,840,462
2,200,328
1,752,166
2,617,034
3,916,152
5,733,710
8,243,463
476,235
756,979
1,175,231
1,845,815
2,832,462
Total
Percent of Population by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projections of the
Population by Race/Ethnicity from 2020 to 2050 Under Alternative
Scenarios of Age/Sex and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for the
North Texas Commission Region
Year
NH White
NH Black
Hispanic
NH Asian
& Other
Total
7.5
7.5
7.5
7.5
7.4
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
Assuming Zero Net Migration
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
50.2
47.4
44.4
41.3
38.4
14.8
14.8
14.7
14.4
14.0
27.5
30.3
33.4
36.8
40.2
Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
50.2
44.7
39.1
33.9
29.1
14.8
15.1
15.0
14.6
14.0
27.5
31.7
36.4
40.9
45.4
7.5
8.5
9.5
10.6
11.5
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
7.5
9.6
11.8
14.3
16.9
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
50.2
42.0
34.0
26.9
20.8
14.8
15.2
15.1
14.3
13.1
27.5
33.2
39.2
44.5
49.2
Population by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projections of the
Population by Race/Ethnicity from 2020 to 2050 Under Alternative
Scenarios of Age/Sex and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration
for the Collin County
NH Black
Hispanic
Assuming Zero Net Migration
NH Asian
& Other
Year
NH White
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
493,492
64,715
115,354
108,780
508,365
69,811
133,941
119,152
516,399
73,283
153,550
128,110
510,719
73,991
171,648
137,854
484,219
71,344
184,896
140,045
Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010
782,341
831,269
871,342
894,212
880,504
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
493,492
64,715
115,354
108,780
558,341
91,802
175,878
154,645
618,353
126,734
264,702
215,199
669,957
166,694
385,515
300,452
694,585
209,137
540,453
396,685
Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010
782,341
980,666
1,224,988
1,522,618
1,840,860
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
493,492
612,976
735,367
858,119
947,648
782,341
1,158,280
1,739,215
2,638,508
3,925,652
64,715
119,016
210,357
345,867
529,189
115,354
229,042
445,459
821,076
1,426,381
108,780
197,246
348,032
613,446
1,022,434
Total
Percent of Population by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projections of the
Population by Race/Ethnicity from 2020 to 2050 Under Alternative
Scenarios of Age/Sex and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for the
Collin County
Year
NH White
NH Black
Hispanic
NH Asian
& Other
Total
13.9
14.3
14.7
15.4
15.9
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
Assuming Zero Net Migration
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
63.1
61.2
59.3
57.1
55.0
8.3
8.4
8.4
8.3
8.1
14.7
16.1
17.6
19.2
21.0
Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
63.1
56.9
50.5
44.0
37.7
8.3
9.4
10.3
10.9
11.4
14.7
17.9
21.6
25.3
29.4
13.9
15.8
17.6
19.7
21.5
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
13.9
17.0
20.0
23.2
26.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
63.1
52.9
42.3
32.5
24.1
8.3
10.3
12.1
13.1
13.5
14.7
19.8
25.6
31.1
36.3
Population by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projections of the
Population by Race/Ethnicity from 2020 to 2050 Under Alternative
Scenarios of Age/Sex and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration
for the Dallas County
NH Black
Hispanic
Assuming Zero Net Migration
NH Asian
& Other
Year
NH White
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
784,693
518,732
905,940
158,774
785,498
570,153
1,107,349
177,105
753,645
605,355
1,318,991
186,873
701,895
627,756
1,545,129
193,673
648,778
640,542
1,772,394
196,091
Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010
2,368,139
2,640,105
2,864,864
3,068,453
3,257,805
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
784,693
518,732
905,940
158,774
701,757
581,409
1,155,350
198,537
597,468
627,910
1,435,586
231,333
491,394
656,513
1,742,378
264,046
401,233
671,539
2,070,126
295,884
Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010
2,368,139
2,637,053
2,892,297
3,154,331
3,438,782
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
784,693
624,417
464,572
329,773
231,828
2,368,139
2,636,066
2,922,752
3,215,326
3,522,190
518,732
588,760
634,100
645,278
625,457
905,940
1,201,188
1,538,137
1,881,934
2,221,784
158,774
221,701
285,943
358,341
443,121
Total
Percent of Population by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projections of the
Population by Race/Ethnicity from 2020 to 2050 Under Alternative
Scenarios of Age/Sex and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for the
Dallas County
Year
NH White
NH Black
Hispanic
NH Asian
& Other
Total
6.7
6.7
6.5
6.3
6.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
Assuming Zero Net Migration
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
33.1
29.8
26.3
22.9
19.9
21.9
21.6
21.1
20.5
19.7
38.3
41.9
46.0
50.4
54.4
Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
33.1
26.6
20.7
15.6
11.7
21.9
22.0
21.7
20.8
19.5
38.3
43.8
49.6
55.2
60.2
6.7
7.5
8.0
8.4
8.6
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
6.7
8.4
9.8
11.1
12.6
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
33.1
23.7
15.9
10.3
6.6
21.9
22.3
21.7
20.1
17.8
38.3
45.6
52.6
58.5
63.1
Population by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projections of the
Population by Race/Ethnicity from 2020 to 2050 Under Alternative
Scenarios of Age/Sex and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration
for the Denton County
Year
NH White
NH Black
Hispanic
Assuming Zero Net Migration
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
426,887
54,034
452,878
59,294
467,981
62,511
471,589
63,731
461,520
62,802
Assuming Net Migration Equal to
NH Asian
& Other
Total
120,836
60,857
142,899
67,087
165,519
72,172
187,428
76,893
205,303
78,019
One-Half of 2000-2010
662,614
722,158
768,183
799,641
807,644
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
426,887
54,034
120,836
60,857
481,205
73,889
184,583
88,310
529,006
97,327
276,811
125,393
566,006
123,560
403,004
175,625
586,121
150,855
565,068
233,915
Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010
662,614
827,987
1,028,537
1,268,195
1,535,959
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
426,887
509,967
590,791
661,119
708,065
662,614
953,698
1,410,541
2,121,522
3,167,198
54,034
91,842
150,299
234,056
342,003
120,836
237,286
456,825
837,517
1,444,621
60,857
114,603
212,626
388,830
672,509
Percent of Population by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projections of the
Population by Race/Ethnicity from 2020 to 2050 Under Alternative
Scenarios of Age/Sex and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for the
Denton County
Year
NH White
NH Black
Hispanic
NH Asian
& Other
Total
9.2
9.3
9.4
9.6
9.7
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
Assuming Zero Net Migration
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
64.4
62.7
60.9
59.0
57.1
8.2
8.2
8.1
8.0
7.8
18.2
19.8
21.5
23.4
25.4
Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
64.4
58.1
51.4
44.6
38.2
8.2
8.9
9.5
9.7
9.8
18.2
22.3
26.9
31.8
36.8
9.2
10.7
12.2
13.8
15.2
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
9.2
12.0
15.1
18.3
21.2
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
64.4
53.5
41.9
31.2
22.4
8.2
9.6
10.7
11.0
10.8
18.2
24.9
32.4
39.5
45.6
Population by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projections of the
Population by Race/Ethnicity from 2020 to 2050 Under Alternative
Scenarios of Age/Sex and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration
for the Tarrant County
Year
NH White
NH Black
Hispanic
Assuming Zero Net Migration
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
937,135
262,522
969,556
283,893
973,696
299,495
952,866
305,333
917,796
302,092
Assuming Net Migration Equal to
NH Asian
& Other
Total
482,977
126,400
572,116
137,146
667,237
145,976
759,178
152,728
838,461
152,449
One-Half of 2000-2010
1,809,034
1,962,711
2,086,404
2,170,105
2,210,798
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
937,135
262,522
482,977
126,400
935,007
311,143
639,591
160,667
906,218
357,619
838,801
198,160
852,460
395,752
1,062,007
242,240
788,282
422,882
1,301,694
284,341
Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010
1,809,034
2,046,408
2,300,798
2,552,459
2,797,199
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
937,135
898,252
829,034
735,847
637,354
1,809,034
2,136,765
2,553,661
3,032,999
3,561,600
262,522
338,457
416,495
483,183
526,350
482,977
713,378
1,041,683
1,431,251
1,865,942
126,400
186,678
266,449
382,718
531,954
Percent of Population by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projections of the
Population by Race/Ethnicity from 2020 to 2050 Under Alternative
Scenarios of Age/Sex and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for the
Tarrant County
Year
NH White
NH Black
Hispanic
NH Asian
& Other
Total
7.0
7.0
7.0
7.0
6.9
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
Assuming Zero Net Migration
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
51.8
49.4
46.7
43.9
41.5
14.5
14.5
14.4
14.1
13.7
26.7
29.1
32.0
35.0
37.9
Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
51.8
45.7
39.4
33.4
28.2
14.5
15.2
15.5
15.5
15.1
26.7
31.3
36.5
41.6
46.5
7.0
7.9
8.6
9.5
10.2
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
7.0
8.7
10.4
12.6
14.9
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
51.8
42.0
32.5
24.3
17.9
14.5
15.8
16.3
15.9
14.8
26.7
33.4
40.8
47.2
52.4
TEXAS EDUCATION
Education Level Is Related to
Employment and Earnings
Unemployment Rate
Median Weekly Earnings
Overall Unemployment Rate: 7.6%
Source: U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics, June 2013/first quarter 2013
Median: $827
122
Mean Household Income by Race/Ethnicity,
Educational Attainment, and Occupation In Texas in 2010
Occupations
Managerial & Professional
Technical, Sales, & Admin.
Precision Prod., Craft, & Repairers
Operatives and Laborers
Total
Managerial & Professional
Technical, Sales, & Admin.
Precision Prod., Craft, & Repairers
Operatives and Laborers
Total
Managerial & Professional
Technical, Sales, & Admin.
Precision Prod., Craft, & Repairers
Operatives and Laborers
Total
Managerial & Professional
Technical, Sales, & Admin.
Precision Prod., Craft, & Repairers
Operatives and Laborers
Total
Less Than
High School
High School
/GED
NH White
$ 72,446
$ 84,504
52,930
64,179
55,079
68,247
48,819
61,211
50,533
64,975
NH Black
$ 47,483
$ 52,186
33,980
43,933
42,767
53,192
37,811
46,296
31,072
42,465
Hispanic
$ 52,178
$ 61,992
40,131
50,127
42,302
51,527
41,273
47,455
38,221
47,760
NH Asian & Other
$ 84,172
$ 73,016
52,764
60,719
54,594
63,451
47,939
49,015
50,815
55,496
Bachelor's
Degree
Graduate/
Prof Degree
$ 120,792
112,843
94,875
77,581
114,698
$ 149,819
130,471
119,057
89,720
144,714
$ 84,758
75,416
82,885
66,181
78,933
$ 99,073
80,852
69,805
63,707
94,490
$ 88,036
81,005
63,695
54,282
81,548
$ 116,400
91,155
63,345
57,806
108,473
$ 103,737
86,039
70,778
60,895
93,474
$ 130,603
105,469
92,041
65,074
123,035
Source: Ruggles et al. 2010; U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2010 Public Use Microdata Sample, 2011.
Percent of Population 25 Years of Age and Older in Texas Who
Are High School Graduates and Higher or College Graduates and
Higher by Race/Ethnicity, 1990-2010
Educational
Attainment Level
NH White*
NH Black
Hispanic
NH Asian
& Other
Total
1990
High School and Higher
81.5
66.2
44.6
79.1
72.1
College and Higher
25.2
12.0
7.3
41.3
20.3
2000
High School and Higher
87.2
75.8
49.3
80.7
75.7
College and Higher
30.0
15.3
8.9
47.8
23.2
2010
High School and Higher
92.0
86.4
59.6
87.1
80.7
College and Higher
34.1
19.7
11.6
46.0
25.9
* NH refers to Non-Hispanic; values for categories labeled NH are only for the Non-Hispanic persons in each race category.
Hispanic includes Hispanics of all races.
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2010 American Community Survey, Census 2000, Summary File 3, Census of Population and
Housing, 1990: Summary Tape File 3, 2012, 2002, 1990, 1991.
General Revenue Expenditures (in $2010) for Texas Public Elementary and
Secondary Schools, Selected Education Programs, and Public Colleges and
Universities, and Percent Change in Expenditures, 2000 and 2010
Expenditures
2000
2010
Per
Student
Total
Per
Student
Total
Per
Student
Program
Total Elementary and
Secondary
$29,237,537,256
$7,308
$36,491,096,511
$7,527.28
24.8
3.0
Bilingual/ESL
Gifted and Talented
747,953,827
311,414,735
1,509
930
1,295,663,024
418,034,678
1,662
1,136
73.2
34.2
10.1
22.2
2,202,643,405
4,513
4,800,227,933
10,779
117.9
138.8
717,482,374
969
1,009,165,942
982
40.7
1.4
3,406,851,607
4,079
3,746,005,091
2,935
10.0
-28.1
Special Education
Career and Technology
Education*
Total Public Colleges and
Public Universities
Total
Percent Change
2000-2010
Note: Enrollment data based upon 1999-2000 and 2009-10 school years. *Enrollment calculated from percentage distribution.
Source: Texas Education Agency, 1999-00, Elementary and Secondary Program Enrollment and expenditures, Academic Excellence Indicator System
and 2000-10 State Profile Report; 2009-10 and 1999-00, Public Education Information Management System Budget Report; Texas Higher Education
Coordinating Board, 2009-2010 and1999-2000 Public College and University Enrollment Database and 2000 and 2010, An Overview of Article III
Senate Bill 1 81st Legislature, 2012.
Total Public Education (All Levels) and Public Elementary and Secondary School
Enrollment in Texas by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projected to 2050 Using the
Projections That Assume 2000–2010 Rates of Net Migration for Texas
Year
NHa White
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2,137,393
2,109,148
2,128,376
2,037,804
1,979,109
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
1,547,693
1,548,792
1,577,470
1,479,111
1,446,198
NH Black
Hispanic
Total Public Education (All Levels)*
832,202
2,805,785
874,294
3,490,796
955,194
4,428,574
1,028,997
5,778,539
1,095,342
7,207,206
Public Elementary and Secondary Schools
632,401
2,398,684
646,756
2,917,449
706,263
3,715,984
754,173
4,865,439
798,125
6,012,677
NH Asian
& Other
Total
348,791
533,046
682,196
973,986
1,469,755
6,124,171
7,007,284
8,194,340
9,819,326
11,751,412
269,066
406,755
480,533
726,452
1,109,443
4,847,844
5,519,752
6,480,250
7,825,175
9,366,443
Source: Projections by the authors and 2010 data and rates derived from Texas Education Agency, Enrollment in Texas Public
Schools 2011-2012, 2011; Texas Higher Education Coordinating Board, Demographic Data for Public Community College and
University Students for 1980-2010, 2011.
*Excludes public health related educational institutions.
Percent of Total Public Education (All Levels), Public Elementary and
Secondary School Enrollment in Texas by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and
Projected to 2050 Using the Projections That Assume 2000–2010 Rates of
Net Migration for Texas
Year
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
NH White
NH Black
Hispanic
Total Public Education (All Levels)*
34.9
13.6
45.8
30.1
12.5
49.8
26.0
11.7
54.0
20.8
10.5
58.8
16.8
9.3
61.3
Public Elementary and Secondary Schools
31.9
13.0
49.5
28.1
11.7
52.9
24.3
10.9
57.3
18.9
9.6
62.2
15.4
8.5
64.2
NH Asian
& Other
5.7
7.6
8.3
9.9
12.6
5.6
7.3
7.5
9.3
11.9
Source: Projections by the authors and 2010 data and rates derived from Texas Education Agency, Demographic Data
for Public School Students for 1980-2010, 2011;Texas Education Agency, Enrollment in Texas Public Schools 20112012, 2011; Texas Higher Education Coordinating Board 2011, Demographic Data for Public Community College and
University Students for 1980-2010, 2011.
*Excludes public health related educational institutions.
Note: Enrollment data based on 2009-10 school years.
Total Public Community College, Public University, and Total Public
College and University Enrollment in Texas by Race/Ethnicity in 2010
and Projected to 2050 Using the Projection that Assumes 2000-2010
Age and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for Texas
Year
NH White*
NH Black
Hispanic
NH Asian
& Other
Total
Public Community Colleges
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
314,976
299,721
296,231
297,987
285,152
130,786
149,167
163,939
181,123
196,248
263,600
370,868
459,618
590,855
771,788
37,261
58,999
92,693
117,643
170,627
746,623
878,755
1,012,481
1,187,608
1,423,815
42,464
67,292
108,970
129,891
189,685
529,704
608,777
701,609
806,543
961,154
79,725
126,291
201,663
247,534
360,312
1,276,327
1,487,532
1,714,090
1,994,151
2,384,969
Public Universities
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
274,724
260,635
254,675
260,706
247,759
69,015
78,371
84,992
93,701
100,969
143,501
202,479
252,972
322,245
422,741
Total Public Colleges and Universities
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
589,700
560,356
550,906
558,693
532,911
199,801
227,538
248,931
274,824
297,217
407,101
573,347
712,590
913,100
1,194,529
* NH refers to Non-Hispanic; values for categories labeled NH are only for the Non-Hispanic persons in each race category.
Hispanic includes Hispanics of all races.
Source: Projections by the authors; and Texas Higher Education Coordinating Board, 2010 Public College and University
Enrollment Database, 2012.
Percent of Public Community College, Public University, and Total Public
College and University Enrollment in Texas by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and
Projected to 2050 Using the Projection that Assumes 2000-2010 Age
and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for Texas
Year
NH White*
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
42.2
34.1
29.3
25.1
20.0
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
51.9
42.8
36.3
32.3
25.8
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
46.2
37.7
32.1
28.0
22.3
NH Black
Hispanic
Public Community Colleges
17.5
35.3
17.0
42.2
16.2
45.4
15.3
49.8
13.8
54.2
Public Universities
13.0
27.1
12.9
33.3
12.1
36.1
11.6
40.0
10.5
44.0
Total Public Colleges and Universities
15.7
31.9
15.3
38.5
14.5
41.6
13.8
45.8
12.5
50.1
NH Asian
& Other
5.0
6.7
9.1
9.8
12.0
8.0
11.0
15.5
16.1
19.7
6.2
8.5
11.8
12.4
15.1
Note: Enrollment data based upon 2009-10 school years.
* NH refers to Non-Hispanic; values for categories labeled NH are only for the Non-Hispanic persons in each race category.
Hispanic includes Hispanics of all races.
Source: Projections by the authors; and Texas Higher Education Coordinating Board, 2010 Public College and University
Enrollment Database, 2012.
Percent Change in Projected Number of Students with Financial Need
Unmet by Household Resources Enrolled at Public Colleges and
Universities in Texas in 2010 and Projected to 2050 Using the Population
Projection That Assumes 2000-2010 Rates of Net Migration (1.0 Scenario)
Year
NH White*
2010-20
2020-30
2030-40
2040-50
2010-50
-4.8
-1.2
0.6
-4.3
-9.5
2010-20
2020-30
2030-40
2040-50
2010-50
-5.1
-2.3
2.4
-5.0
-9.8
2010-20
2020-30
2030-40
2040-50
2010-50
-5.0
-1.8
1.6
-4.7
-9.7
NH Black
Hispanic
Public Community Colleges
14.1
40.7
9.9
23.9
10.5
28.6
8.4
30.6
50.1
192.8
Public Universities
13.6
41.1
8.4
24.9
10.2
27.4
7.8
31.2
46.3
194.6
Total Public Colleges and Universities
13.8
40.8
9.2
24.3
10.4
28.1
8.1
30.8
48.3
193.4
NH Asian
& Other
Total
58.3
57.1
26.9
45.0
357.9
22.7
17.9
19.8
22.9
112.9
58.5
61.9
19.2
46.0
346.7
17.9
17.3
15.9
20.9
93.8
58.4
60.0
22.3
45.6
351.3
20.4
17.6
18.1
22.0
104.0
* NH refers to Non-Hispanic; values for categories labeled NH are only for the Non-Hispanic persons in each race category.
Hispanic includes Hispanics of all races.
Source: Projections by the authors; and Texas Higher Education Coordinating Board, 2010 Financial Aid Database, 2013.
Mean Consumer Expenditures in 2010 and Projected for 2050
Under Alternative Assumptions of Socioeconomic Closure
Between Minority and NonHispanic White Households
$100,000
2050
2010
$90,000
$89,332
$80,000
$70,000
$60,000
$62,915
$50,000
$49,165
$40,000
$45,081
$30,000
$20,000
$10,000
$0
Current
Assuming
Avg. Rates of Closure,
Race/Ethnicity Specific
1980-2010
Rates
Full Closure to White
Rates for 2050
Percent of All Households in Poverty in 2010 and Projected for
2050 Under Alternative Assumptions of Socioeconomic Closure
Between Minority and NonHispanic White Households
25.0
2050
2010
20.0
20.9
20.3
17.8
15.0
11.9
10.0
5.0
0.0
Current
Assuming Race/Ethnicity Avg. Rates of Closure,
Specific Rates
1980-2010
Full Closure to White
Rates for 2050
Percent Change in Socioeconomic Resources Compared to
Percent Change in U. S. Households, 2010 - 2060
Percent Change
70
64.4
60
50
Households: 42.4%
40
35.3
31.8
27.4
30
20
16.1
10
0
-5.0
-18.5
-10
-20
Aggregate Aggregate Net
Average
Household
Worth
Household
Income
Income
Net Worth Per Households in Consumer Tax Revenue
Household
Poverty
Expenditures
The mark of a truly
educated man is to be
moved deeply by
statistics.
George Bernard Shaw
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