Transcript Revised NPRA Slides - Texas A&M International University

The Population of Texas and The United States:
Historical Patterns and Future Trends Affecting
Education, The Labor Force and Economic
Development
Steve H. Murdock
Department of Sociology
Rice University
Corpus Christi, Texas
October 14, 2010
Major Topics of the Presentation
__________________________
• Change in Rates and Sources of
Population Growth
• Increase in NonAnglo Populations
• Aging of the Population
• Implications of Demographic Change for
Education, the Labor Force and Economic
Development
Total Population and Percent Population Change in Texas
and the United States, 1850-2009
Total Population
Year
1850
1860
1870
1880
1890
1900
1910
1920
1930
1940
1950
1960
1970
1980
1990
2000
2009
Texas
212,592
604,215
818,579
1,591,749
2,235,527
3,048,710
3,896,542
4,663,228
5,824,715
6,414,824
7,711,194
9,579,677
11,196,730
14,229,191
16,986,510
20,851,820
24,782,302
U.S.
23,191,876
31,443,321
39,818,449
50,155,783
62,947,714
75,994,575
91,972,266
105,710,620
122,775,046
131,669,275
150,697,361
179,323,175
203,302,031
226,545,805
248,709,873
281,421,906
307,006,550
Percent Change
Texas
--184.2
35.5
94.5
40.4
36.4
27.8
19.7
24.9
10.1
20.2
24.2
16.9
27.1
19.4
22.8
18.8
U.S.
--35.6
26.6
26.0
25.5
20.7
21.0
14.9
16.1
7.2
14.5
19.0
13.4
11.4
9.8
13.2
9.1
*Source:
Derived from the U.S. Census Bureau decennial census and population estimates. Values
for years ending in 0 reference April 1 of the year. Value for 2009 is an estimate for July 1.
4
Components of Change,
U.S. and Texas, 2000-2009
United States
Texas
Percent
of Total
Change
Component
Numeric
Change
Total Change
25,584,644
100.0
3,930,482
100.0
15,875,579
62.1
2,124,124
54.0
----
---
848,702
21.6
9,709,065
37.9
957,656
24.4
Natural Increase
Net Domestic Migration
Net International Migration
Source: Derived from U.S. Bureau of the Census.
Numeric
Change
Percent
of Total
Change
Ten Largest States in the United States by
Population Size in 2009: Population in 2000 and 2009
State
2000
Population*
2009
Population*
Change 2000-2009
Numeric
Percent
California
33,871,648
36,961,664
3,090,016
9.1
Texas
20,851,820
24,782,302
3,930,482
18.8
New York
18,976,457
19,541,453
564,996
3.0
Florida
15,982,378
18,537,969
2,555,591
16.0
Illinois
12,419,293
12,910,409
491,116
4.0
Pennsylvania
12,281,054
12,604,767
323,713
2.6
Ohio
11,353,140
11,542,645
189,505
1.7
Michigan
9,938,444
9,969,727
31,283
0.3
Georgia
8,186,453
9,829,211
1,642,758
20.1
North Carolina
8,049,313
9,380,884
1,331,571
16.5
* Population values are decennial census counts for April 1 for 2000 and estimates for July 1 for 2009.
Source: Derived from U.S. Bureau, Population Division
9
Ten States in the United States with
Largest Numeric Population Increase: 2000-2009
State
2000
Population*
2009
Population*
Change 2000-2009
Numeric
Percent
Texas
20,851,820
24,782,302
3,930,482
18.8
California
33,871,648
36,961,664
3,090,016
9.1
Florida
15,982,378
18,537,969
2,555,591
16.0
Georgia
8,186,453
9,829,211
1,642,758
20.1
Arizona
5,130,632
6,595,778
1,465,146
28.6
North Carolina
8,049,313
9,380,884
1,331,571
16.5
Virginia
7,078,515
7,882,590
804,075
11.4
Washington
5,894,121
6,664,195
770,074
13.1
Colorado
4,301,261
5,024,748
723,487
16.8
Nevada
1,998,257
2,643,085
644,828
32.3
* Population values are decennial census counts for April 1 for 2000 and estimates for July 1 for 2009.
Source: Derived from U.S. Bureau, Population Division
10
Ten States in the United States with Largest Percentage
Population Increases: 2000-2009
State
2000
Population*
2009
Population*
Change 2000-2009
Numeric
Percent
Nevada
1,998,257
2,643,085
644,828
32.3
Arizona
5,130,632
6,595,778
1,465,146
28.6
Utah
2,233,169
2,784,572
551,403
24.7
Georgia
8,186,453
9,829,211
1,642,758
20.1
Idaho
1,293,953
1,545,801
251,848
19.5
Texas
20,851,820
24,782,302
3,930,482
18.8
Colorado
4,301,261
5,024,748
723,487
16.8
North Carolina
8,049,313
9,380,884
1,331,571
16.5
15,982,378
18,537,969
2,555,591
16.0
4,012,012
4,561,242
549,230
13.7
Florida
South Carolina
* Population values are decennial census counts for April 1 for 2000 and estimates for July 1 for 2009.
Source: Derived from U.S. Bureau, Population Division
11
Population Change in Texas Counties, 1990-2000
Source: Texas State Data Center
Percent C hange 1990-2000
< 0.0% (n=68)
0.0 - 9.9% (n=61)
10.0 - 21.9% (n=66)
22.0 - 86.2% (n=59)
Texas Regional Councils
of Governments
Councils of Governments in Texas Ranked by Total Population in 2009:
Total Population in 2000 and 2009; Numeric and Percent Change, 2000-2009;
and Percent of the State Population (2009) and State Population Change
Total Population
Council of Government
North Central Texas
Houston-Galveston
Alamo Area
Capital Area
Lower Rio Grande Valley
East Texas
Rio Grande
Coastal Bend
Central Texas
Panhandle
Permian Basin
South Plains
South East Texas
Deep East Texas
Heart of Texas
South Texas
West Central Texas
Brazos Valley
Ark-Tex
Nortex
Texoma
Golden Crescent
Middle Rio Grande
Concho Valley
State of Texas
Population Change
Percent of State
Population Change,
2009
2000-09
26.7
33.2
24.2
29.3
8.8
9.4
7.3
12.0
4.7
5.9
3.3
1.7
3.1
1.8
2.3
0.3
1.7
1.2
1.7
0.3
1.6
0.7
1.6
0.5
2000
5,309,270
4,854,447
1,807,877
1,346,835
924,780
745,180
704,318
549,014
374,513
402,856
376,670
377,870
2009
6,614,889
6,005,334
2,175,874
1,816,818
1,157,918
813,566
775,920
559,067
422,767
415,856
402,277
397,355
Numeric
1,305,619
1,150,887
367,997
469,983
233,138
68,386
71,602
10,053
48,254
13,000
25,607
19,485
%
24.6
23.7
20.4
34.9
25.2
9.2
10.2
1.8
12.9
3.2
6.8
5.2
385,090
355,861
321,533
264,177
324,897
267,087
270,475
224,362
178,202
183,906
154,385
148,213
378,477
369,671
345,308
323,142
317,539
301,428
278,570
217,270
191,679
187,532
163,408
150,637
-6,613
13,810
23,775
58,965
-7,358
34,341
8,095
-7,092
13,477
3,626
9,023
2,424
-1.7
3.9
7.4
22.3
-2.3
12.9
3.0
-3.2
7.6
2.0
5.8
1.6
1.5
1.5
1.4
1.3
1.3
1.2
1.1
0.9
0.8
0.8
0.7
0.6
-0.2
0.4
0.6
1.5
-0.2
0.9
0.2
-0.2
0.3
0.1
0.2
0.1
20,851,818 24,782,302
3,930,484
18.8
100.0
100.0
Texas Metropolitan
Statistical Areas
Metropolitan Statistical Areas in Texas Ranked by Numerical Change
Between 2000 and 2009: Total Population in 2000 and 2009 and
Numeric (U.S. Rank) and Percent Change, 2000-2009
Metropolitan Statistical Area
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington
Houston-Sugar Land-Baytown
Austin-Round Rock
San Antonio
McAllen-Edinburg-Mission
El Paso
Brownsville-Harlingen
Killeen-Temple-Fort Hood
Laredo
Tyler
College Station-Bryan
Lubbock
Amarillo
Waco
Midland
Odessa
Longview
Corpus Christi
Sherman-Denison
Texarkana /AR
San Angelo
Victoria
Abilene
Wichita Falls
Beaumont-Port Arthur
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
Total Population
2000
2009
5,161,544 6,447,615
4,715,407 5,867,489
1,249,763 1,705,075
1,711,703 2,072,128
569,463
741,152
679,622
751,296
335,227
396,371
330,714
379,231
193,117
241,438
174,706
204,665
184,885
212,268
249,700
276,659
226,522
246,474
213,517
233,378
116,009
132,316
121,123
134,625
194,042
206,874
403,280
416,095
110,595
120,030
129,749
137,486
105,781
110,119
111,663
115,396
160,245
160,070
151,524
147,421
385,090
378,477
Population Change
Numeric (Rank) %
1,286,078
(1) 24.9
1,152,072
(3) 24.4
455,329
(12) 36.4
360,412
(17) 21.1
171,681
(34) 30.1
71,674
(71) 10.5
61,144
(84) 18.2
48,522
(97) 14.7
48,321
(99) 25.0
29,959
(133) 17.1
27,383
(139) 14.8
26,962
(141) 10.8
19,952
(171) 8.8
19,859
(174) 9.3
16,307
(198) 14.1
13,502
(212) 11.1
12,832
(215) 6.6
12,813
(217) 3.2
9,435
(240) 8.5
7,732
(257) 6.0
4,338
(286) 4.1
3,728
(292) 3.3
-171
(318) -0.1
-4,103
(340) -2.7
-6,613
(349) -1.7
Population Change in Texas Counties, 2000-2003
Source: Texas State Data Center
Percent Change 2000-2003
< 0.0% (n=98)
0.0 - 1.9% (n=50)
2.0 - 5.4% (n=53)
5.5 - 28.2% (n=53)
Population Change in Texas Counties, 2000-2006
Source: Prepared from U.S. Bureau of the Census, 2006
County Estimates by the Texas State Data Center, The
University of Texas at San Antonio
Percent C hange 2000-2006
< 0.0% (n=103)
0.0 - 2.9% (n=40)
3.0 - 6.0% (n=38)
6.1 - 60.5% (n=73)
Population Change in Texas Counties, 2000-2008
Population of the United States by Regions, 1900-2000
Population (in thousands)a
United States/
Regions
1900
1950
1960
1970
1980
1990
2000
United States
76,212
151,326
179,323
203,302
226,546
248,710
281,422
21.7
25.9
33.3
19.1
20.4
24.0
34.4
21.2
19.0
22.9
35.6
22.5
Regionsb
Northeast
Midwest
South
West
Percent by Region
27.6
34.5
32.2
5.7
26.1
29.4
31.2
13.3
24.9
28.8
30.7
15.6
24.1
27.9
30.9
17.1
Proportion of U.S. Population by Race/Ethnicity
in Each Region in 2000
Region
Total
White
Black
Other
Hispanic
Anglo
Northeast
19.0
19.6
17.3
18.4
14.9
20.1
Midwest
22.9
25.5
19.0
12.5
8.8
26.8
South
35.6
34.4
54.5
20.7
32.8
33.8
West
22.5
20.5
9.2
48.4
43.5
19.3
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
U.S. Total
Population, Percent Population Change, and Proportion of
Population by Race/Ethnicity for Texas and the United States,
1980-1990
Number
Ethnic
Category
1980
1990
Proportion of
Population
Percent
Change
1980-90
1980
1990
Texas
Anglo
Black
Hispanic
Other
Total
9,350,297
1,692,542
2,985,824
200,528
10,291,680
1,976,360
4,339,905
378,565
10.1
16.8
45.4
88.8
65.7
11.9
21.0
1.4
60.6
11.6
25.6
2.2
14,229,191
16,986,510
19.4
100.0
100.0
75.7
11.7
9.0
3.6
United States
Anglo
Black
Hispanic
Other
180,602,838
26,091,857
14,603,683
5,247,427
188,128,296
29,216,293
22,354,059
9,011,225
4.2
12.0
53.1
71.7
79.7
11.5
6.5
2.3
Total
226,545,805
248,709,873
9.8
100.0
100.0
Source: Texas State Data Center using 1980 Census Sample Data and 1990 Summary Tape File 1 (STF 1) – 100-Percent Data
Population, Percent Change in Population and Proportion
of Population by Race/Ethnicity
for Texas and the United States, 1990 and 2000
Ethnic
Category
Number
1990
2000
Proportion of
Population
Percent
Change
1990-2000
1990
2000
Texas
Anglo
Black
Hispanic
Other
10,291,680
1,976,360
4,339,905
378,565
11,074,716
2,421,653
6,669,666
685,785
7.6
22.5
53.7
81.2
60.6
11.6
25.6
2.2
53.1
11.6
32.0
3.3
Total
16,986,510
20,851,820
22.8
100.0
100.0
United States
Anglo
Black
Hispanic
Other
188,128,296
29,216,293
22,354,059
9,011,225
197,165,673
35,195,894
35,305,818
13,754,521
4.8
20.5
57.9
52.6
75.7
11.7
9.0
3.6
70.1
12.5
12.5
4.9
Total
248,709,873
281,421,906
13.2
100.0
100.0
Source: Texas State Data Center
Population, Percent Change in Population and Proportion of
Total Population by Ethnicity for Texas and the United
States,
2000 and 2009
Population
Race/Ethnic Category
White Alone, Not Hispanic
Black Alone, Not Hispanic
Other, Not Hispanic
Hispanic
Total
2000
Texas
10,986,965
2,378,444
816,745
6,669,666
20,851,820
2009
11,583,116
2,812,015
1,239,115
9,148,056
24,782,302
Percent
Change
20002009
Proportion of
Population
2000
2009
5.4
18.2
51.7
37.2
18.8
52.7
11.4
3.9
32.0
100.0
46.7
11.3
5.0
36.9
100.0
2.2
9.8
29.7
37.1
9.1
69.5
12.2
5.8
12.5
100.0
65.1
12.3
6.9
15.8
100.0
United States
White Alone, Not Hispanic
Black Alone, Not Hispanic
Other, Not Hispanic*
Hispanic
Total
195,575,485
34,313,007
16,227,596
35,305,818
281,421,906
199,851,240
37,681,544
21,054,442
48,419,324
307,006,550
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Population Division, Population Estimates for the United States, 2009 Vintage
Proportion of Change in Population by Race/Ethnicity for
Texas and the United States from 2000 to 2009
Population, Percent Change in Population and Proportion of
Total Population by Ethnicity for Bexar County and Texas,
2000 and 2009
Percent
Change
20002009
2000
2009
516,932
111,859
60,057
962,600
1,651,448
3.3
15.6
55.4
27.2
18.6
35.9
6.9
2.8
54.3
100.0
31.3
6.8
3.6
58.3
100.0
11,583,116
2,812,015
1,239,115
9,148,056
24,782,302
5.4
18.2
51.7
37.2
18.8
Population
Race/Ethnic Category
2000
2009
Proportion of
Population
Bexar County
White Alone, Not Hispanic
Black Alone, Not Hispanic
Other, Not Hispanic
Hispanic
Total
500,477
96,768
38,653
757,033
1,392,931
Texas
White Alone, Not Hispanic
Black Alone, Not Hispanic
Other, Not Hispanic
Hispanic
Total
10,986,965
2,378,444
816,745
6,669,666
20,851,820
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Population Division, Population Estimates for the United States, 2009 Vintage
52.7
11.4
3.9
32.0
100.0
46.7
11.3
5.0
36.9
100.0
Population, Percent Change in Population and Proportion of
Total Population by Ethnicity for Dallas County and Texas,
2000 and 2009
Population
Race/Ethnic Category
White Alone, Not Hispanic
Black Alone, Not Hispanic
Other, Not Hispanic
Hispanic
Total
White Alone, Not Hispanic
Black Alone, Not Hispanic
Other, Not Hispanic
Hispanic
Total
2000
2009
Dallas County
989,665
448,697
117,808
662,729
2,218,899
Texas
10,986,965
2,378,444
816,745
6,669,666
20,851,820
Percent
Change
20002009
844,279
492,238
147,665
967,548
2,451,730
11,583,116
2,812,015
1,239,115
9,148,056
24,782,302
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Population Division, Population Estimates for the United States, 2009 Vintage
-14.7
9.7
25.3
46.0
10.5
5.4
18.2
51.7
37.2
18.8
Proportion of
Population
2000
44.6
20.2
5.3
29.9
100.0
52.7
11.4
3.9
32.0
100.0
2009
34.4
20.1
6.0
39.5
100.0
46.7
11.3
5.0
36.9
100.0
Population, Percent Change in Population and Proportion of
Total Population by Ethnicity for Harris County and Texas,
2000 and 2009
Population
Race/Ethnic Category
2000
2009
Percent
Change
20002009
Proportion of
Population
2000
2009
Harris County
White Alone, Not Hispanic
Black Alone, Not Hispanic
Other, Not Hispanic
Hispanic
Total
1,444,160
623,637
213,030
1,119,751
3,400,578
1,438,913
730,010
282,640
1,619,426
4,070,989
-0.4
17.1
32.7
44.6
19.7
42.5
18.3
6.3
32.9
100.0
35.3
17.9
6.9
39.8
100.0
11,583,116
2,812,015
1,239,115
9,148,056
24,782,302
5.4
18.2
51.7
37.2
18.8
52.7
11.4
3.9
32.0
100.0
46.7
11.3
5.0
36.9
100.0
Texas
White Alone, Not Hispanic
Black Alone, Not Hispanic
Other, Not Hispanic
Hispanic
Total
10,986,965
2,378,444
816,745
6,669,666
20,851,820
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Population Division, Population Estimates for the United States, 2009 Vintage
Population Change by Race/Ethnicity, continued
Race/
Ethnicity
2000
Census
Population
2005
Estimated
Population
Numerical
Change
20002005
Percent
Change
20002005
Percent of
Population
2000
2005
-3.0
4.6
21.6
40.2
19.0
10.6
0.4
88.3
0.7
100.0
8.7
0.3
90.2
0.8
100.0
-10.3
-2.1
8.5
25.8
1.1
38.3
4.2
55.8
1.7
100.0
34.0
4.1
59.8
2.1
100.0
-1.4
9.9
6.9
14.8
3.2
46.5
2.8
49.4
1.3
100.0
44.4
3.0
51.2
1.4
100.0
2.7
1.5
18.9
61.0
18.2
5.0
0.2
94.3
0.5
100.0
4.4
0.1
94.8
0.7
100.0
Hidalgo County
Anglo
Black
Hispanic
Other
Total
60,316
2,052
503,100
3,995
569,463
58,526
2,147
611,628
5,601
677,902
-1,790
95
108,528
1,606
108,439
Nueces County
Anglo
Black
Hispanic
Other
Total
120,191
13,294
174,951
5,209
313,645
107,811
13,018
189,764
6,551
317,144
-12,380
-276
14,813
1,342
3,499
San Patricio County
Anglo
Black
Hispanic
Other
Total
31,206
1,906
33,181
845
67,138
30,763
2,094
35,454
970
69,281
-443
188
2,273
125
2,143
Webb County
Anglo
Black
Hispanic
Other
Total
9,706
325
182,070
1,016
193,117
9,965
330
216,423
1,636
228,354
259
5
34,353
620
35,237
Source: Texas State Data Center, institute for Demographic and Socioeconomic
Research, University of Texas at San Antonio
Median Age in the United States and
Texas,
1900-2007
40.0
35.3
35.0
29.0
30.0
25.0
20.0
22.9
18.7
24.1
26.5
25.3
30.1
30.0
29.5
28.0
28.1
27.9
27.0
26.8
26.4
32.9
30.8
32.3
36.6
33.1
23.7
22.0
20.2
15.0
10.0
5.0
0.0
1900
1910
1920
1930
1940
1950
1960
United States
1970
Texas
1980
1990
2000
2007
Percent Change in Population by Age Group
in the United States and Texas, 1990-2000
Percent Change
70
60.3
60
49.4
50
40
30
20
24
21.7
20.7
16.3
13.7
15.3
14.8
12
5.3
10
1.5
0
<18
18-24
25-44
45-54
Age Groups
United States
Texas
55-64
65+
Percent Change in Population by Age Group
in the United States and Texas, 2000-2007
70.00%
60.00%
50.00%
40.00%
30.00%
20.00%
10.00%
0.00%
< 18 years
18-24 years
25-44 years
45-54 years
-10.00%
United States
Texas
55-64 years
65+ years
Percent of Texas Population by Age Group
and Ethnicity, 2000
Percent
80.0
72.6
66.4
67.1
63.5
60.2
60.0
57.2
53.0
47.8
44.0
40.0
39.5
45.0
45.0
41.641.3
38.0
38.4
43.1
40.5
44.4
38.6
35.3
30.5
26.7
20.0
24.2
22.4
20.6
20.3
16.7
0.0
s
s
s
s
s
s
s
s
s
s
s
s
s
s
ar
ar
ar
ar
ar
ar
ar
ar
ar
ar
ar
ar
ar
ar
e
e
e
e
e
e
e
e
e
e
e
e
e
e
y
y
y
y
y
y
y
y
y
y
y
y
y
y
5
9
4
9
4
9
4
9
4
9
4
9
4
+
1
1
2
2
3
3
4
4
5
5
6
<
to
65
to
to
to
to
to
to
to
to
to
to
to
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
55
60
Anglo
Hispanic
Percent of Texas Population by Age Group
and Ethnicity, 2040*
80.0
70.0
Percent
69.9
67.8
66.5
65.5
66.0
66.8
66.4
64.3
62.6
60.6
60.0
56.7
55.2
52.3
50.0
39.8
37.1
40.0
30.0
20.0
25.3
17.7
19.3
19.9
20.3
19.8
19.3
19.4
20.5
20.6
26.5
27.2
21.9
10.0
0.0
rs
rs
rs
rs
rs
rs
rs
rs
rs
rs
rs
rs
rs
rs
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
ye
ye
ye
ye
ye
ye
ye
ye
ye
ye
ye
ye
ye
ye
5
9
4
9
4
9
4
9
4
9
4
9
4
+
1
1
2
2
3
3
4
4
5
5
6
<
to
65
o
o
o
o
o
o
o
o
o
o
o
t
t
t
t
t
t
t
t
t
t
t
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
55
60
Anglo
* Proj ections are shown for the 1.0 scenario
Hispanic
Percent of United States Population By
Age Group and Ethnicity, 2000
Percent
16.4
21.5
21.7
23.4
25.8
78.5
78.3
76.6
74.2
28.1
71.9
31
34.8
38.1
69
65.2
61.9
38.9
40
36.9
37.2
40.1
41.6
61.1
62.8
59.9
58.4
60
63.1
80
83.6
100
20
0
<
5
s
ar
e
y
5
rs
to
9
a
ye
10
to
14
s
ar
e
y
15
to
19
s
ar
e
y
20
to
24
s
ar
e
y
25
to
29
s
ar
e
y
30
to
34
s
ar
e
y
Anglo
35
to
39
s
ar
e
y
40
to
44
s
ar
e
y
Non-anglo
45
to
49
s
ar
e
y
50
to
54
s
ar
e
y
55
to
59
s
ar
e
y
60
to
64
rs
s
ar
e
y
65
+
a
ye
POPULATION CHARACTERISTICS
AND SOCIOECONOMIC CONDITIONS
Median Household Income in the
United States by Age of Householder, 1999
Dollars
$56,917
$60,000
$50,873
$44,597
$50,000
$42,174
$40,000
$30,000
$27,304
$25,171
$19,161
$20,000
$10,000
$0
15-24
25-34
35-44
45-54
55-64
65-74
75+
Age of Householder
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Money Income in the United States: 1999, Current Population Report P60-209
Median Household Income in the United
States by Race/Ethnicity, 1989 and 1999 with
Percent Change 1989 to 1999
Median
Household Income
Race/Ethnicity
of Householder
1989
(in 1999 dollars)
Total
1999
Percent
Change
1989-99
$ 39,009
$ 41,994
7.7
Anglo
41,106
45,367
10.4
Black
25,643
29,423
14.7
Hispanic*
31,351
33,676
7.4
Asian
48,030
51,908
8.1
*Hispanics can be of any race.
Median Household Income In 1999 in
Texas by Race/Ethnicity of Householder
$60,000
$50,049
$47,162
$50,000
$40,000
$29,305
$29,873
$30,000
$20,000
$10,000
$0
Anglo
Black
Hispanic
Asian
Educational Attainment in 2000
in Texas for Persons 25+ Years
of Age By Race/Ethnicity
_____________________________________
Percent
< High School
High School
Hispanic
Black
Anglo
Asian
Some College
College or More
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Average (Mean) SAT Scores for College
Bound Seniors in the United States in 2001
by Selected Characteristics
SAT Score
Mean
Verbal
Mean
Math
506
514
Race/Ethnicity:
American Indian
African American or Black
Hispanic: Mexican American
Puerto Rican
Other Hispanic
White
Asian American or Pacific Islander
481
433
451
457
460
529
501
479
426
458
451
465
531
566
Household Income:
< $10,000
$10,000 - 20,000
$20,000 - 30,000
$30,000 - 40,000
$40,000 - 50,000
$50,000 - 60,000
$60,000 - 70,000
$70,000 - 80,000
$80,000 - 100,000
> $100,000
421
442
468
487
501
509
516
522
534
557
443
456
474
489
503
512
519
527
540
569
Characteristic
All Students
(N = 1,276,320)
Total and Percent of the Population in Poverty and
Median Household Income by Race/Ethnicity, 1999 and 2009
1999
2009
%
Median
Household
Income*
826,459
7.8
$60,839
1,010,170
9.0
$59,836
1,658,434
25.4
$38,536
2,364,407
26.4
$35,628
Black
525,082
23.4
$37,803
630,479
23.1
$35,438
Asian
65,048
11.9
$64,576
105,186
12.1
$63,692
Other
42,586
13.9
NA
40,000
11.9
NA
3,117,609
15.4
$51,506
4,150,242
17.2
$50,043
Population
in Poverty
Anglo
Hispanic
Total
Population
in Poverty
%
Median
Household
Income
*In 2009 Dollars
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2000 and American Community Survey, 2009
Educational Attainment by Ethnicity in
Corpus Christi and Texas, 2009
Corpus Christi
Number
Educational Attainment
Less than high school
H.S. diploma or equivalent
Some college
Bachelor's degree or more
Population Age 25 and Older
Anglo
4,237
15,877
23,471
23,781
67,366
Hispanic
30,433
29,480
27,682
11,141
98,736
Percent
Total
Population
36,807
48,282
56,042
37,864
178,995
Anglo
6.3
23.6
34.8
35.3
100.0
Total
Hispanic Population
30.8
20.6
29.9
27.0
28.0
31.3
11.3
21.2
100.0
100.0
State of Texas
Number
Educational Attainment
Less than high school
H.S. diploma or equivalent
Some college
Bachelor's degree or more
Population Age 25 and Older
Source: American Community Survey
Anglo
667,138
2,028,759
2,608,744
2,721,408
8,026,049
Hispanic
2,071,537
1,227,751
1,043,316
533,913
4,876,517
48
Percent
Total
Population
3,093,666
3,906,082
4,444,505
3,917,304
15,361,557
Anglo
8.3
25.3
32.5
33.9
100.0
Total
Hispanic Population
42.5
20.1
25.2
25.4
21.4
28.9
10.9
25.5
100.0
100.0
Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University
Educational Attainment by Ethnicity in
Nueces County and Texas, 2009
Nueces County
Number
Educational Attainment
Less than high school
H.S. diploma or equivalent
Some college
Bachelor's degree or more
Population Age 25 and Older
Anglo
5,357
18,568
27,562
26,026
77,513
Hispanic
35,937
33,252
31,031
12,709
112,929
Percent
Total
Population
43,431
54,903
63,550
41,871
203,755
Total
Anglo Hispanic Population
6.9
31.8
21.3
24.0
29.4
26.9
35.6
27.5
31.2
33.6
11.3
20.5
100.0
100.0
100.0
State of Texas
Number
Educational Attainment
Less than high school
H.S. diploma or equivalent
Some college
Bachelor's degree or more
Population Age 25 and Older
Source: American Community Survey
Anglo
667,138
2,028,759
2,608,744
2,721,408
8,026,049
Hispanic
2,071,537
1,227,751
1,043,316
533,913
4,876,517
49
Percent
Total
Population
3,093,666
3,906,082
4,444,505
3,917,304
15,361,557
Total
Anglo Hispanic Population
8.3
42.5
20.1
25.3
25.2
25.4
32.5
21.4
28.9
33.9
10.9
25.5
100.0
100.0
100.0
Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University
Educational Attainment by Ethnicity in
San Patricio County and Texas, 2009
San Patricio County
Number
Educational Attainment
Less than high school
H.S. diploma or equivalent
Some college
Bachelor's degree or more
Population Age 25 and Older
Anglo
1,438
7,104
7,371
4,092
20,005
Hispanic
7,482
6,739
5,289
1,160
20,670
Percent
Total
Population
9,439
14,694
12,740
5,444
42,317
Anglo
7.2
35.5
36.8
20.5
100.0
Total
Hispanic Population
36.2
22.3
32.6
34.7
25.6
30.1
5.6
12.9
100.0
100.0
State of Texas
Number
Educational Attainment
Less than high school
H.S. diploma or equivalent
Some college
Bachelor's degree or more
Population Age 25 and Older
Source: American Community Survey
Anglo
667,138
2,028,759
2,608,744
2,721,408
8,026,049
Hispanic
2,071,537
1,227,751
1,043,316
533,913
4,876,517
50
Percent
Total
Population
3,093,666
3,906,082
4,444,505
3,917,304
15,361,557
Total
Anglo Hispanic Population
8.3
42.5
20.1
25.3
25.2
25.4
32.5
21.4
28.9
33.9
10.9
25.5
100.0
100.0
100.0
Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University
Educational Attainment by Ethnicity in
Corpus Christi MSA and Texas, 2009
Corpus Christi MSA
Number
Educational Attainment
Less than high school
H.S. diploma or equivalent
Some college
Bachelor's degree or more
Population Age 25 and Older
Anglo
7,808
30,883
38,678
34,313
111,682
Hispanic
44,284
40,725
36,764
14,281
136,054
Percent
Total
Population
55,013
75,984
80,814
52,216
264,027
Total
Anglo Hispanic Population
7.0
32.5
20.8
27.7
29.9
28.8
34.6
27.0
30.6
30.7
10.5
19.8
100.0
100.0
100.0
State of Texas
Number
Educational Attainment
Less than high school
H.S. diploma or equivalent
Some college
Bachelor's degree or more
Population Age 25 and Older
Source: American Community Survey
Anglo
667,138
2,028,759
2,608,744
2,721,408
8,026,049
Hispanic
2,071,537
1,227,751
1,043,316
533,913
4,876,517
51
Percent
Total
Population
3,093,666
3,906,082
4,444,505
3,917,304
15,361,557
Total
Anglo Hispanic Population
8.3
42.5
20.1
25.3
25.2
25.4
32.5
21.4
28.9
33.9
10.9
25.5
100.0
100.0
100.0
Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University
Educational Attainment by Ethnicity in
Texas and the United States, 2009
State of Texas
Number
Educational Attainment
Less than high school
H.S. diploma or equivalent
Some college
Bachelor's degree or more
Population Age 25 and Older
Anglo
667,138
2,028,759
2,608,744
2,721,408
8,026,049
Hispanic
2,071,537
1,227,751
1,043,316
533,913
4,876,517
Percent
Total
Population
3,093,666
3,906,082
4,444,505
3,917,304
15,361,557
Total
Anglo Hispanic Population
8.3
42.5
20.1
25.3
25.2
25.4
32.5
21.4
28.9
33.9
10.9
25.5
100.0
100.0
100.0
United States
Number
Educational Attainment
Less than high school
H.S. diploma or equivalent
Some college
Bachelor's degree or more
Population Age 25 and Older
Source: American Community Survey
Anglo
13,467,562
40,968,940
41,990,049
43,535,648
139,962,199
Hispanic
10,210,226
6,829,539
5,778,537
3,288,285
26,106,587
52
Percent
Total
Population
29,785,248
57,551,671
58,279,810
56,335,654
201,952,383
Total
Anglo Hispanic Population
9.6
39.1
14.7
29.3
26.2
28.5
30.0
22.1
28.9
31.1
12.6
27.9
100.0
100.0
100.0
Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University
Occupation by Ethnicity in
Corpus Christi and Texas, 2009
Corpus Christi
Number
Occupation
Professional
Services
Sales & Office
Agriculture
Construction, Extraction, Repair & Related
Production, Transportation, & Related
Civilian Workforce
Anglo
18,004
5,520
11,564
86
4,616
3,805
43,595
Hispanic
17,031
15,974
16,047
340
9,897
8,380
67,669
Percent
Total
Workforce
37,569
23,996
30,181
572
14,893
13,658
120,869
Anglo
41.3
12.7
26.5
0.2
10.6
8.7
100.0
Hispanic
25.2
23.6
23.7
0.5
14.6
12.4
100.0
Total
Workforce
31.1
19.9
25.0
0.5
12.3
11.3
100.0
State of Texas
Number
Occupation
Professional
Services
Sales & Office
Agriculture
Construction, Extraction, Repair & Related
Production, Transportation, & Related
Civilian Workforce
Source: American Community Survey
Anglo
2,450,418
691,143
1,539,859
23,128
473,244
481,603
5,659,395
Hispanic
718,713
937,410
846,715
36,984
664,321
587,263
3,791,406
53
Percent
Total
Workforce
3,791,027
1,985,713
2,843,008
63,306
1,223,179
1,305,378
11,211,611
Anglo
43.3
12.2
27.2
0.4
8.4
8.5
100.0
Hispanic
19.0
24.7
22.3
1.0
17.5
15.5
100.0
Total
Workforce
33.8
17.7
25.4
0.6
10.9
11.6
100.0
Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University
Occupation by Ethnicity in
Nueces County and Texas, 2009
Nueces County
Number
Occupation
Professional
Services
Sales & Office
Agriculture
Construction, Extraction, Repair & Related
Production, Transportation, & Related
Civilian Workforce
Anglo
19,996
6,655
13,148
198
5,531
4,855
50,383
Hispanic
18,318
18,675
17,655
620
10,948
9,751
75,967
Percent
Total
Workforce
40,916
27,866
33,482
964
16,859
16,079
136,166
Anglo
39.7
13.2
26.1
0.4
11.0
9.6
100.0
Total
Hispanic Workforce
24.1
30.0
24.6
20.5
23.2
24.6
0.8
0.7
14.4
12.4
12.8
11.8
100.0
100.0
State of Texas
Number
Occupation
Professional
Services
Sales & Office
Agriculture
Construction, Extraction, Repair & Related
Production, Transportation, & Related
Civilian Workforce
Source: American Community Survey
Anglo
2,450,418
691,143
1,539,859
23,128
473,244
481,603
5,659,395
Hispanic
718,713
937,410
846,715
36,984
664,321
587,263
3,791,406
54
Percent
Total
Workforce
3,791,027
1,985,713
2,843,008
63,306
1,223,179
1,305,378
11,211,611
Anglo
43.3
12.2
27.2
0.4
8.4
8.5
100.0
Hispanic
19.0
24.7
22.3
1.0
17.5
15.5
100.0
Total
Workforce
33.8
17.7
25.4
0.6
10.9
11.6
100.0
Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University
Occupation by Ethnicity in
San Patricio County and Texas, 2009
San Patricio County
Number
Occupation
Professional
Services
Sales & Office
Agriculture
Construction, Extraction, Repair & Related
Production, Transportation, & Related
Civilian Workforce
Anglo
Hispanic
5,079
2,761
1,911
4,471
4,084
2,494
76
268
1,468
1,439
1,075
2,371
13,693
13,804
Percent
Total
Workforce
7,935
6,685
6,773
344
3,052
3,614
28,403
Anglo
37.1
14.0
29.8
0.6
10.7
7.9
100.0
Hispanic
20.0
32.4
18.1
1.9
10.4
17.2
100.0
Total
Workforce
27.9
23.5
23.8
1.2
10.7
12.7
100.0
State of Texas
Number
Occupation
Professional
Services
Sales & Office
Agriculture
Construction, Extraction, Repair & Related
Production, Transportation, & Related
Civilian Workforce
Source: American Community Survey
Anglo
Hispanic
2,450,418
718,713
691,143
937,410
1,539,859
846,715
23,128
36,984
473,244
664,321
481,603
587,263
5,659,395 3,791,406
55
Percent
Total
Workforce
3,791,027
1,985,713
2,843,008
63,306
1,223,179
1,305,378
11,211,611
Anglo
43.3
12.2
27.2
0.4
8.4
8.5
100.0
Total
Hispanic Workforce
19.0
33.8
24.7
17.7
22.3
25.4
1.0
0.6
17.5
10.9
15.5
11.6
100.0
100.0
Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University
Occupation by Ethnicity in
Corpus Christi MSA and Texas, 2009
Corpus Christi MSA
Number
Occupation
Professional
Services
Sales & Office
Agriculture
Construction, Extraction, Repair & Related
Production, Transportation, & Related
Civilian Workforce
Anglo
27,641
9,213
18,610
452
7,856
7,289
71,061
Hispanic
21,338
23,804
20,618
888
12,713
12,160
91,521
Percent
Total
Workforce
51,904
36,008
42,291
1,486
21,244
21,327
174,260
Anglo
38.9
13.0
26.2
0.6
11.1
10.3
100.0
Hispanic
23.3
26.0
22.5
1.0
13.9
13.3
100.0
Total
Workforce
29.8
20.7
24.3
0.9
12.2
12.2
100.0
State of Texas
Number
Occupation
Professional
Services
Sales & Office
Agriculture
Construction, Extraction, Repair & Related
Production, Transportation, & Related
Civilian Workforce
Source: American Community Survey
Anglo
2,450,418
691,143
1,539,859
23,128
473,244
481,603
5,659,395
Hispanic
718,713
937,410
846,715
36,984
664,321
587,263
3,791,406
56
Percent
Total
Workforce
3,791,027
1,985,713
2,843,008
63,306
1,223,179
1,305,378
11,211,611
Anglo
43.3
12.2
27.2
0.4
8.4
8.5
100.0
Hispanic
19.0
24.7
22.3
1.0
17.5
15.5
100.0
Total
Workforce
33.8
17.7
25.4
0.6
10.9
11.6
100.0
Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University
Occupation by Ethnicity in
Texas and the United States, 2009
State of Texas
Number
Occupation
Professional
Services
Sales & Office
Agriculture
Construction, Extraction, Repair & Related
Production, Transportation, & Related
Civilian Workforce
Percent
Total
Anglo
Hispanic Workforce
2,450,418
718,713
3,791,027
691,143
937,410
1,985,713
1,539,859
846,715
2,843,008
23,128
36,984
63,306
473,244
664,321
1,223,179
481,603
587,263
1,305,378
5,659,395 3,791,406 11,211,611
Total
Anglo Hispanic Workforce
43.3
19.0
33.8
12.2
24.7
17.7
27.2
22.3
25.4
0.4
1.0
0.6
8.4
17.5
10.9
8.5
15.5
11.6
100.0
100.0
100.0
United States
Number
Occupation
Professional
Services
Sales & Office
Agriculture
Construction, Extraction, Repair & Related
Production, Transportation, & Related
Civilian Workforce
Source: American Community Survey
Anglo
Hispanic
38,108,011 3,728,247
14,312,602 5,277,207
24,935,871 4,394,921
442,765
475,857
8,223,456 2,806,607
10,148,918 3,372,212
96,171,623 20,055,051
57
Percent
Total
Workforce
50,179,987
25,066,647
35,425,756
988,070
12,273,897
16,668,113
140,602,470
Anglo
39.6
14.9
25.9
0.5
8.6
10.6
100.0
Total
Hispanic Workforce
18.6
35.7
26.3
17.8
21.9
25.2
2.4
0.7
14.0
8.7
16.8
11.9
100.0
100.0
Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University
Median Household Income by
Householder Ethnicity in Selected Areas, 2009
Geographic Area
Corpus Christi
Nueces County
San Patricio County
Corpus Christi MSA
Texas
United States
Source: American Community Survey
Anglo
$52,350
$52,321
$57,139
$53,381
$59,836
$54,671
58
Hispanic
$36,538
$34,881
$41,302
$34,935
$35,628
$39,923
All
Households
$42,157
$40,831
$47,838
$42,278
$48,259
$50,221
Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University
PROJECTIONS
Projections of the U.S. Population by Race and
Hispanic Origin: 2000 to 2050
Year
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
(Resident population as of July 1. Numbers in thousands)
Non-Hispanic
Hispanic
All other
White alone Black alone Asian alone
(any race)
races
195,771
34,414
10,436
5,909
35,629
200,853
37,985
14,083
7,586
49,726
205,255
41,847
18,308
9,612
66,365
207,217
45,461
22,991
11,904
85,931
206,065
48,780
28,064
14,523
108,223
203,347
51,949
33,418
17,503
132,792
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2008 National Projections
Total
282,158
310,233
341,387
373,504
405,655
439,010
Numeric Change in the Projected U.S. Population by
Race and Hispanic Origin: 2000 to 2050 (in millions)
156.9
97.2
17.5
23.0
11.6
7.6
Non-Hispanic
White alone
Non-Hispanic
Black alone
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2008 National Projections
Non-Hispanic
Asian alone
Non-Hispanic all
other races
Hispanic (any
race)
Total
Projections of the U.S. Population by Race and
Hispanic Origin: 2000 to 2050
Year
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
(Percent of total resident population as of July 1)
Non-Hispanic
Hispanic
All other
White alone Black alone Asian alone
(any race)
races
69.4
12.2
3.7
2.1
12.6
64.7
12.2
4.5
2.4
16.0
60.1
12.3
5.4
2.8
19.4
55.5
12.2
6.2
3.2
23.0
50.8
12.0
6.9
3.6
26.7
46.3
11.8
7.6
4.0
30.2
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2008 National Projections
Projected Change in the U.S. Population by Race
and Hispanic Origin: 2000 to 2050
Non-Hispanic White
alone
5%
Non-Hispanic Black
alone
11%
Non-Hispanic Asian
alone
15%
Hispanic
62%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2008 National Projections
Non-Hispanic Other
7%
Projected Age Distribution of the U.S. Population:
2000 to 2050
Age Group
Under 5 years
5 to 19 years
20 to 44 years
45 to 64 years
65 to 84 years
85 years and over
(Percent of total resident population as of July 1)
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
6.8
6.8
6.7
6.5
6.4
6.4
21.7
20.3
19.9
19.7
19.4
19.3
36.9
33.8
32.7
32.0
31.5
31.7
22.1
26.1
24.7
22.6
22.7
22.4
10.9
11.1
14.1
17.0
16.5
15.8
1.5
1.9
1.9
2.3
3.5
4.3
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2008 National Projections
Percent Race and Hispanic Origin Distribution of the U.S.
Population by Selected Age Groups: 2000
Age
Total
Under 5 years
5 to 17 years
18 to 24 years
25 to 44 years
45 to 64 years
65 years and over
Non-Hispanic
White alone
69.4
58.7
62.1
62.0
67.4
76.7
83.7
65 to 74 years
75 to 84 years
85 years and over
81.6
85.8
86.9
(Percent of each age group's resident population as of July 1)
Non-Hispanic
Non-Hispanic
Non-Hispanic
Hispanic
Black alone
Asian alone
all other races
(any race)
12.2
3.7
2.1
12.6
14.4
3.6
3.8
19.5
15.0
3.4
3.1
16.4
13.9
4.2
2.5
17.4
12.5
4.4
1.9
13.8
10.4
3.5
1.5
7.9
8.0
2.3
0.9
5.0
8.7
7.2
7.3
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2008 National Projections
2.7
2.0
1.5
1.1
0.8
0.7
5.9
4.1
3.6
Total
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
Projected Percent Race and Hispanic Origin
Distribution of the U.S. Population by Selected Age
Groups: 2050
Age
Total
Under 5 years
5 to 17 years
18 to 24 years
25 to 44 years
45 to 64 years
65 years and over
Non-Hispanic
White alone
46.3
37.1
38.3
39.6
43.6
49.7
58.5
65 to 74 years
75 to 84 years
85 years and over
54.5
58.2
67.4
(Percent of each age group's resident population as of July 1)
Non-Hispanic
Non-Hispanic
Non-Hispanic
Hispanic
Black alone
Asian alone
all other races
(any race)
11.8
7.6
4.0
30.2
11.1
5.9
6.5
39.4
11.3
6.0
5.7
38.6
11.6
6.4
4.9
37.5
12.1
7.8
4.1
32.4
12.8
8.9
3.1
25.5
11.2
8.4
2.1
19.8
12.1
10.9
9.9
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2008 National Projections
9.3
8.8
5.9
2.4
2.0
1.8
21.7
20.2
15.1
Total
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
Population in Texas by Race/Ethnicity in 2000 and Projections
of the Population in Texas by Race/Ethnicity from 2010 to 2040
Year
Non-Hispanic
White
Black
2000
11,074,716
2,421,653
Hispanic
6,669,666
Other
Total
685,785
20,851,820
783,215
841,642
878,111
893,152
22,802,983
24,330,687
25,449,114
26,085,109
Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration
2010
2020
2030
2040
11,331,876
11,381,134
11,171,448
10,733,060
2,627,287
2,771,406
2,823,276
2,796,623
8,060,605
9,336,505
10,576,279
11,662,274
Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
11,533,976
11,796,448
11,789,274
11,525,089
2,754,751
3,052,417
3,268,623
3,403,163
9,080,459
11,882,980
15,140,100
18,804,311
961,460
1,273,895
1,632,578
2,028,602
24,330,646
28,005,740
31,830,575
35,761,165
Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
11,740,011
12,227,572
12,442,120
12,376,306
2,888,474
3,361,698
3,783,666
4,140,679
10,252,202
15,226,394
21,871,385
30,604,633
1,177,908
1,921,052
3,020,460
4,585,923
26,058,595
32,736,716
41,117,631
51,707,541
Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 2000-2007
2010
2020
2030
2040
11,441,595
11,612,122
11,525,269
11,196,427
2,925,751
3,447,896
3,922,900
4,341,627
9,847,852
13,940,031
18,973,424
25,090,745
1,158,749
1,858,400
2,863,893
4,243,239
25,373,947
30,858,449
37,285,486
44,872,038
Percent Change for Selected Time Periods for Projected Population
in Texas by Race/Ethnicity Under Alternative Scenarios of Age/Sex
and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration
Period
Non-Hispanic
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
Total
14.2
7.5
4.3
1.7
30.2
9.4
6.7
4.6
2.5
25.1
Assuming Zero Net Migration
2000-2010
2010-2020
2020-2030
2030-2040
2000-2040
2.3
0.4
-1.8
-3.9
-3.1
8.5
5.5
1.9
-0.9
15.5
20.9
15.8
13.3
10.3
74.9
Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000
2000-2010
2010-2020
2020-2030
2030-2040
2000-2040
4.1
2.3
-0.1
-2.2
4.1
13.8
10.8
7.1
4.1
40.5
36.1
30.9
27.4
24.2
181.9
40.2
32.5
28.2
24.3
195.8
16.7
15.1
13.7
12.3
71.5
Assuming Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000
2000-2010
2010-2020
2020-2030
2030-2040
2000-2040
6.0
4.2
1.8
-0.5
11.8
19.3
16.4
12.6
9.4
71.0
53.7
48.5
43.6
39.9
358.9
71.8
63.1
57.2
51.8
568.7
25.0
25.6
25.6
25.8
148.0
Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2007
2000-2010
2010-2020
2020-2030
2030-2040
2000-2040
3.3
1.5
-0.7
-2.9
1.1
20.8
17.8
13.8
10.7
79.3
47.7
41.6
36.1
32.2
276.2
69.0
60.4
54.1
48.2
518.7
21.7
21.6
20.8
20.3
115.2
Percent of Population in Texas by Race/Ethnicity in
2000 and Projections of the Population in Texas by
Race/Ethnicity from 2010 to 2040
Year
Non-Hispanic
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
2000
53.1
11.6
32.0
3.3
Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration
2010
2020
2030
2040
49.8
46.7
43.8
41.2
11.5
11.4
11.1
10.7
35.3
38.4
41.6
44.7
3.4
3.5
3.5
3.4
Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
47.4
42.2
37.0
32.2
11.3
10.9
10.3
9.5
37.3
42.4
47.6
52.6
4.0
4.5
5.1
5.7
Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
45.1
37.3
30.3
23.9
11.1
10.3
9.2
8.0
39.3
46.5
53.2
59.2
4.5
5.9
7.3
8.9
Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 2000-2007
2010
2020
2030
2040
45.1
37.6
30.9
24.9
11.5
11.2
10.5
9.7
38.8
45.2
50.9
55.9
4.6
6.0
7.7
9.5
Texas Counties with 50 Percent or More of Their Total Population That is Anglo
in 2000 and Projected for 2040 Under Alternative Projection Scenarios
2000
2040
(1.0 Scenario)
2040
2040
(0.5 Scenario)
(2000-2004 Scenario)
Percent Anglo Population
Less Than 50% Anglo Population
50% or Greater Anglo Population
Source: 2006 Population Projections, Texas State Data Center,
Institute for Demographic and Socioeconomic Research,
The University of Texas at San Antonio
Percent of Persons 65 Years of Age and Older in Texas Counties,
2000
Percent 65 Years Old and Older
< 11.9 (n=66)
12.0 - 14.9 (n=70)
15.0 - 19.9 (n=80)
20.0 or more (n=38)
Source: Institute for Demographic and Socioeconomic Research,
The University of Texas at San Antonio. Census 2000 Summary File 1.
Percent of Persons 65 Years of Age and Older in Texas Counties, 2040*
Percent 65 Years Old and Older
< 11.9 (n=2)
12.0 - 14.9 (n=19)
15.0 - 19.9 (n=79)
20.0 or more (n=154)
* Assuming rates of migration equal to 2000-2004
Source: Institute for Demographic and Socioeconomic Research,
The University of Texas at San Antonio. Texas Population Estimates
and Projections Program, 2006 Projections.
Population by Race/Ethnicity in 2000 and Projections of the
Population by Race/Ethnicity from 2010 to 2040 Under Alternative
Scenarios of Age/Sex and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for
the Coastal Bend Council of Governments
Year
Anglo
Black
Hispanic
Other
Total
2000
211,723
20,925
308,190
8,174
549,012
9,485
10,377
10,846
10,976
597,791
635,474
660,842
675,888
Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration
2010
2020
2030
2040
214,009
212,552
206,367
198,448
22,226
23,308
23,759
23,557
352,071
389,237
419,870
442,907
Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
213,946
211,318
201,933
188,909
22,802
24,522
25,604
25,830
374,776
440,665
501,925
556,767
10,993
14,072
17,238
20,358
622,517
690,577
746,700
791,864
Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
211,886
203,702
185,478
161,045
23,679
26,455
28,324
29,061
397,173
491,175
576,970
650,540
13,490
21,095
32,087
46,660
646,228
742,427
822,859
887,306
Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 2000-2004
2010
2020
2030
2040
192,512
167,853
137,520
107,037
22,651
23,694
23,450
21,951
356,153
389,509
401,620
392,741
11,849
15,645
19,433
23,512
583,165
596,701
582,023
545,241
Percent Change for Selected Time Periods for Projected
Population by Race/Ethnicity Under Alternative Scenarios of
Age/Sex and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for the
Coastal Bend Council of Governments
Period
Anglo
Black
Hispanic
Other
Total
16.0
9.4
4.5
1.2
34.3
8.9
6.3
4.0
2.3
23.1
Assuming Zero Net Migration
2000-2010
2010-2020
2020-2030
2030-2040
2000-2040
1.1
-0.7
-2.9
-3.8
-6.3
6.2
4.9
1.9
-0.9
12.6
14.2
10.6
7.9
5.5
43.7
Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000
2000-2010
2010-2020
2020-2030
2030-2040
2000-2040
1.0
-1.2
-4.4
-6.4
-10.8
9.0
7.5
4.4
0.9
23.4
21.6
17.6
13.9
10.9
80.7
34.5
28.0
22.5
18.1
149.1
13.4
10.9
8.1
6.0
44.2
Assuming Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000
2000-2010
2010-2020
2020-2030
2030-2040
2000-2040
0.1
-3.9
-8.9
-13.2
-23.9
13.2
11.7
7.1
2.6
38.9
28.9
23.7
17.5
12.8
111.1
65.0
56.4
52.1
45.4
470.8
17.7
14.9
10.8
7.8
61.6
Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2004
2000-2010
2010-2020
2020-2030
2030-2040
2000-2040
-9.1
-12.8
-18.1
-22.2
-49.4
8.2
4.6
-1.0
-6.4
4.9
15.6
9.4
3.1
-2.2
27.4
45.0
32.0
24.2
21.0
187.6
6.2
2.3
-2.5
-6.3
-0.7
Percent of Population by Race/Ethnicity in 2000 and Projections of
the Population by Race/Ethnicity from 2010 to 2040 Under
Alternative Scenarios of Age/Sex and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net
Migration for the Coastal Bend Council of Governments
Year
Anglo
Black
2000
38.6
3.8
Hispanic
56.1
Other
1.5
Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration
2010
2020
2030
2040
35.8
33.4
31.3
29.4
3.7
3.7
3.6
3.5
58.9
61.3
63.5
65.5
1.6
1.6
1.6
1.6
Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
34.3
30.6
27.1
23.8
3.7
3.6
3.4
3.3
60.2
63.8
67.2
70.3
1.8
2.0
2.3
2.6
Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
32.7
27.4
22.6
18.1
3.7
3.6
3.4
3.3
61.5
66.2
70.1
73.3
2.1
2.8
3.9
5.3
Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 2000-2004
2010
2020
2030
2040
33.0
28.1
23.7
19.7
3.9
4.0
4.0
4.0
61.1
65.3
69.0
72.0
2.0
2.6
3.3
4.3
Percent of Population by Age Group and Race/Ethnicity in 2000
and Projected Percent of Population by Age and Race/Ethnicity
from 2020 to 2040 Under Alternative Scenarios of Age/Sex and
Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for the Coastal Bend
Council of Governments
Age
Group
Anglo
Black
Hispanic
Other
Total
25.7
11.0
33.3
23.6
6.4
28.3
10.5
28.4
21.1
11.7
All Scenarios
<18
18-24
25-44
45-64
65+
21.7
8.3
27.5
25.6
16.9
28.1
13.9
33.1
16.3
8.6
32.9
11.7
28.7
18.2
8.5
Assuming Rates of Zero Migration
2020
<18
18-24
25-44
45-64
65+
20.4
7.5
25.7
25.3
21.1
21.6
12.3
34.1
21.1
10.9
29.0
10.5
27.9
21.0
11.6
20.8
8.2
24.9
25.9
20.2
25.7
9.6
27.3
22.5
14.9
17.9
7.7
24.3
25.6
24.5
17.1
11.0
30.3
25.9
15.7
24.4
9.8
27.7
22.8
15.3
16.2
7.3
22.2
22.8
31.5
22.1
9.2
26.7
23.7
18.3
2040
<18
18-24
25-44
45-64
65+
Percent of Net Change in the Population from 2000-2040
Due to Each Race/Ethnicity Group Under Alternative
Scenarios of Age/Sex and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net
Migration for the Coastal Bend Council of Governments
Race
Number
Percent
Assuming Zero Net Migration
Anglo
Black
Hispanic
Other
Total
-13,275
2,632
134,717
2,802
126,876
-10.5
2.1
106.2
2.2
100.0
Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000
Anglo
Black
Hispanic
Other
Total
-22,814
4,905
248,577
12,184
242,852
-9.4
2.0
102.4
5.0
100.0
Assuming Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000
Anglo
Black
Hispanic
Other
Total
-50,678
8,136
342,350
38,486
338,294
-15.0
2.4
101.2
11.4
100.0
Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2004
Anglo
Black
Hispanic
Other
Total
-104,686
1,026
84,551
15,338
-3,771
2776.0
-27.2
-2242.1
-406.7
100.0
Population by Race/Ethnicity in 2000 and Projections of the Population by
Race/Ethnicity from 2010 to 2040 Under Alternative Scenarios of Age/Sex
and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for the Corpus Christi
Metropolitian Statistical Area
Year
Anglo
Black
Hispanic
Other
Total
2000
168,207
15,544
212,703
6,826
403,280
7,870
8,630
9,024
9,161
438,841
466,125
484,193
493,873
Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration
2010
2020
2030
2040
170,536
169,748
164,991
158,596
16,482
17,338
17,645
17,393
243,953
270,409
292,533
308,723
Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
169,761
167,613
160,128
149,848
17,037
18,578
19,570
19,821
264,678
318,205
369,853
417,978
9,370
12,299
15,382
18,485
460,846
516,695
564,933
606,132
Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
167,414
160,641
146,406
127,730
17,829
20,376
22,262
23,213
285,689
367,889
446,978
519,696
11,761
19,021
29,678
44,012
482,693
567,927
645,324
714,651
Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 2000-2004
2010
2020
2030
2040
149,486
127,536
102,293
77,805
16,748
17,494
17,216
15,937
249,430
277,275
289,712
287,020
10,065
13,676
17,423
21,347
425,729
435,981
426,644
402,109
Percent Change for Selected Time Periods for Projected
Population by Race/Ethnicity Under Alternative Scenarios of
Age/Sex and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for the
Corpus Christi Metropolitian Statistical Area
Period
Anglo
Black
Hispanic
Other
Total
15.3
9.7
4.6
1.5
34.2
8.8
6.2
3.9
2.0
22.5
Assuming Zero Net Migration
2000-2010
2010-2020
2020-2030
2030-2040
2000-2040
1.4
-0.5
-2.8
-3.9
-5.7
6.0
5.2
1.8
-1.4
11.9
14.7
10.8
8.2
5.5
45.1
Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000
2000-2010
2010-2020
2020-2030
2030-2040
2000-2040
0.9
-1.3
-4.5
-6.4
-10.9
9.6
9.0
5.3
1.3
27.5
24.4
20.2
16.2
13.0
96.5
37.3
31.3
25.1
20.2
170.8
14.3
12.1
9.3
7.3
50.3
Assuming Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000
2000-2010
2010-2020
2020-2030
2030-2040
2000-2040
-0.5
-4.0
-8.9
-12.8
-24.1
14.7
14.3
9.3
4.3
49.3
34.3
28.8
21.5
16.3
144.3
72.3
61.7
56.0
48.3
544.8
19.7
17.7
13.6
10.7
77.2
Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2004
2000-2010
2010-2020
2020-2030
2030-2040
2000-2040
-11.1
-14.7
-19.8
-23.9
-53.7
7.7
4.5
-1.6
-7.4
2.5
17.3
11.2
4.5
-0.9
34.9
47.5
35.9
27.4
22.5
212.7
5.6
2.4
-2.1
-5.8
-0.3
Percent of Population by Race/Ethnicity in 2000 and
Projections of the Population by Race/Ethnicity from 2010 to
2040 Under Alternative Scenarios of Age/Sex and
Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for the Corpus Christi
Metropolitian Statistical Area
Year
Anglo
Black
Hispanic
Other
2000
41.7
3.9
52.7
1.7
Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration
2010
2020
2030
2040
38.8
36.4
34.1
32.1
3.8
3.7
3.6
3.5
55.6
58.0
60.4
62.5
1.8
1.9
1.9
1.9
Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
36.9
32.4
28.3
24.7
3.7
3.6
3.5
3.3
57.4
61.6
65.5
69.0
2.0
2.4
2.7
3.0
Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
34.7
28.3
22.7
17.9
3.7
3.6
3.4
3.2
59.2
64.8
69.3
72.7
2.4
3.3
4.6
6.2
Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 2000-2004
2010
2020
2030
2040
35.1
29.3
24.0
19.3
3.9
4.0
4.0
4.0
58.6
63.6
67.9
71.4
2.4
3.1
4.1
5.3
Percent of Population by Age Group and Race/Ethnicity in 2000
and Projected Percent of Population by Age and Race/Ethnicity
from 2020 to 2040 Under Alternative Scenarios of Age/Sex and
Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for the Corpus Christi
Metropolitian Statistical Area
Age
Group
Anglo
Black
Hispanic
Other
Total
17.0
6.8
21.9
23.1
31.2
22.4
8.9
26.3
23.7
18.7
All Scenarios
<18
18-24
25-44
45-64
65+
18.3
7.7
24.0
25.3
24.7
19.2
8.7
26.6
28.7
16.8
24.8
9.7
27.5
22.7
15.3
Assuming Rates of Zero Migration
2020
<18
18-24
25-44
45-64
65+
22.1
8.1
27.7
25.7
16.4
32.9
11.2
28.1
17.8
10.0
33.5
11.7
28.9
18.0
7.9
26.5
10.0
33.3
23.9
6.3
28.6
10.1
28.5
21.3
11.5
20.2
7.3
24.7
25.8
22.0
24.5
10.1
30.6
23.6
11.2
28.9
10.6
30.8
19.7
10.0
20.3
7.1
26.0
28.8
17.8
25.7
9.4
28.8
22.0
14.1
2040
<18
18-24
25-44
45-64
65+
Percent of Net Change in the Population from 2000-2040 Due
to Each Race/Ethnicity Group Under Alternative Scenarios of
Age/Sex and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for the
Corpus Christi Metropolitian Statistical Area
Race
Number
Percent
Assuming Zero Net Migration
Anglo
Black
Hispanic
Other
Total
-9,611
1,849
96,020
2,335
90,593
-10.6
2.0
106.0
2.6
100.0
Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000
Anglo
Black
Hispanic
Other
Total
-18,359
4,277
205,275
11,659
202,852
-9.0
2.1
101.2
5.7
100.0
Assuming Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000
Anglo
Black
Hispanic
Other
Total
-40,477
7,669
306,993
37,186
311,371
-13.0
2.5
98.6
11.9
100.0
Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2004
Anglo
Black
Hispanic
Other
Total
-90,402
393
74,317
14,521
-1,171
7720.2
-33.6
-6346.5
-1240.1
100.0
U.S. EDUCATION
Projected Elementary and Secondary School,
Community College and Public University Enrollment
in the United States by Race/Ethnicity, 2000-2050
Year
Non-Hispanic
White
Non-Hispanic
Black
Hispanic
Origin
Non-Hispanic
Other
Total
5,577,745
6,911,552
8,545,532
10,190,591
12,027,667
14,123,748
76,773,521
79,942,160
85,772,683
92,823,636
99,454,975
107,326,684
Total Enrollment
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
48,210,516
45,818,641
44,987,166
44,729,776
43,321,445
42,431,107
11,401,765
11,372,040
11,616,295
12,139,946
12,364,257
12,801,740
11,583,495
15,839,927
20,623,690
25,763,323
31,741,606
37,970,089
Elementary and Secondary Enrollment
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
36,491,940
33,735,042
33,566,335
33,328,448
31,941,753
31,386,808
9,163,622
8,825,219
8,984,880
9,393,383
9,463,222
9,786,556
9,695,332
13,412,715
17,413,828
21,607,545
26,572,664
31,637,838
3,917,404
4,858,347
6,023,510
7,063,674
8,308,712
9,745,502
59,268,298
60,831,323
65,988,553
71,393,050
76,286,351
82,556,704
1,660,341
2,053,205
2,522,022
3,126,917
3,718,955
4,378,246
17,505,223
19,110,837
19,784,130
21,430,586
23,168,624
24,769,980
College Enrollment
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
11,718,576
12,083,599
11,420,831
11,401,328
11,379,692
11,044,299
2,238,143
2,546,821
2,631,415
2,746,563
2,901,035
3,015,184
1,888,163
2,427,212
3,209,862
4,155,778
5,168,942
6,332,251
Percent of Projected Elementary and Secondary School,
Community College and Public University Enrollment
in the United States by Race/Ethnicity, 2000-2050
Year
Non-Hispanic
White
Non-Hispanic
Black
Hispanic
Origin
Non-Hispanic
Other
15.1
19.8
24.0
27.8
31.9
35.4
7.3
8.6
10.0
11.0
12.1
13.2
Total Enrollment
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
62.7
57.4
52.5
48.1
43.6
39.5
14.9
14.2
13.5
13.1
12.4
11.9
Elementary and Secondary Enrollment
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
61.5
55.5
50.9
46.6
41.9
38.0
15.5
14.5
13.6
13.2
12.4
11.9
16.4
22.0
26.4
30.3
34.8
38.3
6.6
8.0
9.1
9.9
10.9
11.8
10.8
12.7
16.2
19.4
22.3
25.6
9.5
10.7
12.7
14.6
16.1
17.7
College Enrollment
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
66.9
63.3
57.8
53.2
49.1
44.5
12.8
13.3
13.3
12.8
12.5
12.2
Percent Change for Selected Time Periods for Projected Elementary
and Secondary School, Community College and Public University
Enrollment in the United States by Race/Ethnicity, 2000-2050
Year
Non-Hispanic
White
Non-Hispanic
Black
Hispanic
Origin
Non-Hispanic
Other
Total
Total Enrollment
2000-2010
2010-2020
2020-2030
2030-2040
2040-2050
2000-2050
-5.0
-1.8
-0.6
-3.1
-2.1
-12.0
-0.3
2.1
4.5
1.8
3.5
12.3
36.7
30.2
24.9
23.2
19.6
227.8
23.9
23.6
19.3
18.0
17.4
153.2
4.1
7.3
8.2
7.1
7.9
39.8
24.0
24.0
17.3
17.6
17.3
148.8
2.6
8.5
8.2
6.9
8.2
39.3
23.7
22.8
24.0
18.9
17.7
163.7
9.2
3.5
8.3
8.1
6.9
41.5
Elementary and Secondary Enrollment
2000-2010
2010-2020
2020-2030
2030-2040
2040-2050
2000-2050
-7.6
-0.5
-0.7
-4.2
-1.7
-14.0
-3.7
1.8
4.5
0.7
3.4
6.8
38.3
29.8
24.1
23.0
19.1
226.3
College Enrollment
2000-2010
2010-2020
2020-2030
2030-2040
2040-2050
2000-2050
3.1
-5.5
-0.2
-0.2
-2.9
-5.8
13.8
3.3
4.4
5.6
3.9
34.7
28.5
32.2
29.5
24.4
22.5
235.4
Percent of Net Change in Elementary and Secondary School,
Community College and Public University Enrollment in the
United States Due to Each Race/Ethnicity, 2000-2050
Race
Number
Percent
Total Enrollment
Non-Hispanic White
Non-Hispanic Black
Hispanic Origin
Non-Hispanic Other
Total
-5,779,409
1,399,975
26,386,594
8,546,003
30,553,163
-19.0
4.6
86.4
28.0
100.0
Elementary and Secondary Enrollment
Non-Hispanic White
Non-Hispanic Black
Hispanic Origin
Non-Hispanic Other
Total
-5,105,132
622,934
21,942,506
5,828,098
23,288,406
-21.9
2.7
94.2
25.0
100.0
College Enrollment
Non-Hispanic White
Non-Hispanic Black
Hispanic Origin
Non-Hispanic Other
Total
-674,277
777,041
4,444,088
2,717,905
7,264,757
-9.3
10.7
61.2
37.4
100.0
U.S. LABOR
FORCE
Projections of the Civilian Labor Force of the United States from
2001 to 2050 by Race/Ethnicity from the Middle Projection Scenario
Year
Non-Hispanic
White
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
100,177,990
102,572,104
99,503,638
96,065,987
94,977,559
93,550,875
Non-Hispanic
Black
14,453,507
16,572,350
17,955,037
19,025,575
20,209,376
21,127,696
Hispanic
Non-Hispanic
Other
Total
14,719,717
20,337,473
26,838,744
34,158,931
42,394,793
52,120,668
8,317,584
10,991,486
13,848,138
17,002,785
20,351,836
24,013,290
137,668,798
150,473,413
158,145,557
166,253,278
177,933,564
190,812,529
Percent of the Projections of the Civilian Labor Force of the United States
from 2001 to 2050 by Race/Ethnicity for the Middle Projection Scenario
Year
Non-Hispanic
White
Non-Hispanic
Black
Hispanic
Non-Hispanic
Other
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
72.8
68.2
62.8
57.9
53.4
49.0
10.5
11.0
11.4
11.4
11.4
11.1
10.7
13.5
17.0
20.5
23.8
27.3
6.0
7.3
8.8
10.2
11.4
12.6
Percent Change for Selected Time Periods for Projected Civilian Labor
Force by Race/Ethnicity for The United States, 2000-2050
TIME
Non-Hispanic
White
Non-Hispanic
Black
2000-2010
2010-2020
2020-2030
2030-2040
2040-2050
2000-2050
2.4
-3.0
-3.5
-1.1
-1.5
-6.6
14.7
8.3
6.0
6.2
4.5
46.2
Hispanic
Non-Hispanic
Other
Total
38.2
32.0
27.3
24.1
22.9
254.1
32.1
26.0
22.8
19.7
18.0
188.7
9.3
5.1
5.1
7.0
7.2
38.6
Percent of Net Change in the U.S. Civilian Labor Force from 2000-2050
Due to Each Race/Ethnicity Group Under Middle Scenario
Race/Ethnicity
Non-Hispanic White
Non-Hispanic Black
Hispanic
Non-Hispanic Other
Total
Number
Percent
-6,627,115
6,674,189
37,400,951
15,695,706
53,143,731
-12.5
12.6
70.4
29.5
100.0
TEXAS
EDUCATION
Enrollment and Change in Enrollment of Economically
Disadvantaged and All Students by Ethnicity in Texas
Public Schools, 1998-99 and 2008-09 School Years
Enrollment
Race/Ethnic Category
White
African American
Other
Hispanic
Total
White
African American
Other
Hispanic
Total
1998-99
2008-09
Economically Disadvantaged
368,387
402,057
364,434
460,703
36,589
57,852
1,146,071
1,765,647
1,915,481
2,686,259
1,746,896
568,757
112,068
1,526,713
3,954,434
Total
1,616,115
671,871
186,487
2,275,098
4,749,571
10-Year Change
Numeric
Percent
33,670
96,269
21,263
619,576
770,778
9.1
26.4
58.1
54.1
40.2
-130,781
103,114
74,419
748,385
795,137
-7.5
18.1
66.4
49.0
20.1
Source: Texas Education Agency, Enrollment in Texas Public Schools, 2008-09 http://ritter.tea.state.tx.us/research/pdfs/enrollment_2008-09.pdf
Total Public School Students by Race/Ethnicity in the 10 Largest* School Districts in Texas, 2000-2001 and 2007-2008
District/County/School Year
Houston ISD (Harris)
2000-2001
2007-2008
Dallas ISD (Dallas)
2000-2001
2007-2008
Cypress-Fairbanks ISD (Harris)
2000-2001
2007-2008
Northside ISD (Bexar)
2000-2001
2007-2008
Austin ISD (Travis)
2000-2001
2007-2008
Fort Worth ISD ( Tarrant)
2000-2001
2007-2008
Fort Bend ISD (Fort Bend)
2000-2001
2007-2008
Arlington ISD (Tarrant)
2000-2001
2007-2008
North East ISD (Bexar)
2000-2001
2007-2008
El Paso ISD (El Paso)
2000-2001
2007-2008
White (%)
African
American (%)
Hispanic (%)
Asian/Pacific
Islander (%)
Native
American (%)
10.0
8.0
Total
Enrollment
32.1
28.4
54.9
60.3
2.9
3.2
.1
.1
208,462
198,769
7.8
4.8
35.9
28.7
54.5
65.3
1.4
1.0
.4
.2
161,548
157,605
58.5
38.8
10.0
15.2
23.4
37.1
7.9
8.6
.2
.3
63,497
96,546
36.7
25.4
6.6
7.8
54.3
63.2
2.2
3.3
.2
.3
63,739
85,544
33.7
26.4
15.7
12.1
47.8
58.0
2.5
3.3
.3
.2
77,816
82,181
21.4
14.3
30.9
25.6
45.4
58.2
2.1
1.6
.2
.3
79,661
78,732
37.8
24.4
28.0
31.8
18.1
23.0
16.0
20.6
.1
.2
53,999
67,780
47.3
31.4
21.3
23.9
24.0
37.2
6.8
7.1
.6
.4
58,866
62,560
49.1
39.2
9.4
9.4
38.8
47.4
2.5
3.7
.2
.3
50,875
61,910
15.2
12.2
4.8
4.8
78.5
81.3
1.2
1.4
.3
.3
62,325
61,839
*Largest enrollment based on 2007-2008 school year
Source: Data compiled by the Texas State Data Center from Texas Education Agency, Academic Excellence Indicator System (AEIS) District Profiles
Texas Higher Education Enrollment in Public Universities, Public 2-year Colleges and
Health-related Institutions by Race/Ethnicity, 2000 and 2008
Public
2-year Colleges
Health-related
Institutions
58.4
52.8
61.3
9.8
11.0
4.9
19.6
28.9
12.6
5.7
3.9
14.6
.5
.5
.5
5.3
2.4
4.8
.7
.5
1.3
414,626
447,998
13,806
White (%)
50.4
45.2
51.3
African American (%)
11.6
11.8
6.6
Hispanic (%)
24.3
34.1
13.8
6.6
4.2
14.5
.5
.5
.6
5.7
2.5
9.7
.9
1.7
3.5
509,136
617,507
20,421
Enrollment by
Race/Ethnicity
Public
Univ
2000 Enrollment
White (%)
African American (%)
Hispanic (%)
Asian (%)
American Indian (%)
International (%)
Unknown (%)
Total 2000 Enrollment
2008 Enrollment
Asian (%)
American Indian (%)
International (%)
Unknown (%)
Total 2008 Enrollment
Source: Data compiled by the Texas State Data Center using data from the Texas Higher
Education Coordinating Board (THECB)
Public Elementary and Secondary Public Community
College, and Public University Enrollment in Texas by
Race/Ethnicity in 2000 and Projections to 2040 Assuming
Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario)
Year
Anglo
Black
Hispanic
Other
Total
160,507
231,798
326,936
432,828
590,265
4,794,275
5,417,921
6,473,595
7,496,445
8,778,604
114,979
164,425
227,683
287,975
397,902
4,002,227
4,462,255
5,383,249
6,167,800
7,225,599
19,782
29,824
44,330
65,020
88,280
421,078
510,395
593,110
729,755
864,503
25,746
37,549
54,923
79,833
104,083
370,970
445,271
497,236
598,890
688,502
45,528
67,373
99,253
144,853
192,363
792,048
955,666
1,090,346
1,328,645
1,553,005
Total Public Education (All Levels)
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2,186,097
2,125,643
2,106,211
1,992,718
1,852,133
661,995
693,172
731,976
746,148
739,828
1,785,676
2,367,308
3,308,472
4,324,751
5,596,378
Public Elementary and Secondary
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
1,727,733
1,643,722
1,643,592
1,527,293
1,411,454
576,977
588,781
619,318
623,104
612,608
1,582,538
2,065,327
2,892,656
3,729,428
4,803,635
Public Community Colleges
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
230,497
239,191
232,120
232,363
220,266
46,742
56,798
62,178
68,156
70,850
124,057
184,582
254,482
364,216
485,107
Public Universities
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
227,867
242,730
230,499
233,062
220,413
38,276
47,593
50,480
54,888
56,370
79,081
117,399
161,334
231,107
307,636
Total Public Colleges and Universities
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
458,364
481,921
462,619
465,425
440,679
85,018
104,391
112,658
123,044
127,220
203,138
301,981
415,816
595,323
792,743
Percent of Public Elementary and Secondary, Public
Community College and Public University Enrollment in Texas
by Race/Ethnicity in 2000 and Projections to 2040 Assuming
Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario)
Year
Anglo
Black
Hispanic
Other
37.2
43.7
51.1
57.7
63.8
3.3
4.3
5.1
5.8
6.7
39.5
46.3
53.7
60.5
66.5
2.9
3.7
4.2
4.7
5.5
29.5
36.2
42.9
49.9
56.1
4.7
5.8
7.5
8.9
10.2
21.3
26.4
32.4
38.6
44.7
6.9
8.4
11.0
13.3
15.1
25.6
31.6
38.1
44.8
51.0
5.7
7.0
9.1
10.9
12.4
Public Education (All Levels)
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
45.7
39.2
32.5
26.5
21.1
13.8
12.8
11.3
10.0
8.4
Public Elementary and Secondary
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
43.2
36.8
30.6
24.7
19.5
14.4
13.2
11.5
10.1
8.5
Public Community Colleges
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
54.7
46.9
39.1
31.9
25.5
11.1
11.1
10.5
9.3
8.2
Public Universities
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
61.5
54.5
46.4
38.9
32.0
10.3
10.7
10.2
9.2
8.2
Total Public Colleges and Universities
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
58.0
50.5
42.5
35.0
28.4
10.7
10.9
10.3
9.3
8.2
Percent Change in Projected Public Elementary and
Secondary, Public Community College and Public University
Enrollment in Texas Assuming Rates of Net Migration
Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario)
Time
Period
Anglo
Black
Hispanic
Other
Total
44.4
41.0
32.4
36.4
267.8
13.0
19.5
15.8
17.1
83.1
43.0
38.5
26.5
38.2
246.1
11.5
20.6
14.6
17.2
80.5
50.8
48.6
46.7
35.8
346.3
21.2
16.2
23.0
18.5
105.3
45.8
46.3
45.4
30.4
304.3
20.0
11.7
20.4
15.0
85.6
48.0
47.3
45.9
32.8
322.5
20.7
14.1
21.9
16.9
96.1
Total Public Education (All Levels)
2000-2010
2010-2020
2020-2030
2030-2040
2000-2040
-2.8
-0.9
-5.4
-7.1
-15.3
4.7
5.6
1.9
-0.8
11.8
32.6
39.8
30.7
29.4
213.4
Public Elementary and Secondary Schools
2000-2010
2010-2020
2020-2030
2030-2040
2000-2040
-4.9
-0.0
-7.1
-7.6
-18.3
2.0
5.2
0.6
-1.7
6.2
30.5
40.1
28.9
28.8
203.5
Public Community Colleges
2000-2010
2010-2020
2020-2030
2030-2040
2000-2040
3.8
-3.0
0.1
-5.2
-4.4
21.5
9.5
9.6
4.0
51.6
48.8
37.9
43.1
33.2
291.0
Public Universities
2000-2010
2010-2020
2020-2030
2030-2040
2000-2040
6.5
-5.0
1.1
-5.4
-3.3
24.3
6.1
8.7
2.7
47.3
48.5
37.4
43.2
33.1
289.0
Total Public Colleges and Universities
2000-2010
2010-2020
2020-2030
2030-2040
2000-2040
5.1
-4.0
0.6
-5.3
-3.9
22.8
7.9
9.2
3.4
49.6
48.7
37.7
43.2
33.2
290.2
Number and Percent of Net Change in Projected Public Elementary
and Secondary, Public Community College and Public University
Enrollment in Texas Due To Each Race/Ethnicity Group,
Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario)
Race/
Ethnicity
Number
Percent
Total Public Education (All Levels)
Anglo
Black
Hispanic
Other
Total
-333,964
77,833
3,810,702
429,758
3,984,329
-8.4
2.0
95.6
10.8
100.0
Public Elementary and Secondary
Anglo
Black
Hispanic
Other
Total
-316,279
35,631
3,221,097
282,923
3,223,372
-9.8
1.1
99.9
8.8
100.0
Public College Colleges
Anglo
Black
Hispanic
Other
Total
-10,231
24,108
361,050
68,498
443,425
-2.2
5.4
81.4
15.4
100.0
Public Universities
Anglo
Black
Hispanic
Other
Total
-7,454
18,094
228,555
78,337
317,532
-2.4
5.7
72.0
24.7
100.0
Total Public Colleges and Universities
Anglo
Black
Hispanic
Other
Total
-17,685
42,202
589,605
146,835
760,957
-2.3
5.5
77.5
19.3
100.0
Future Demands for Specific Programs
76.2% Elementary and Secondary Enrollment Growth
Bilingual/ESL
186.8%
Economically
Disadvantaged
119.9%
Gifted and
Talented
48.5%
Immigrants
183%
Limited English
Proficiency (LEP)
Special Education
188.1%
64.7%
Title 1
Career and Technology
Education
0%
101.9%
69.9%
50%
100%
2000-2040 Percent Change
Source: The New Texas Challenge: Population Change and the Future of Texas
150%
200%
TEXAS LABOR
FORCE
Projections of Civilian Labor Force in Texas by Race/Ethnicity
Assuming Alternative Projection Scenarios, 2000 to 2040
Year
Anglo
Black
2000
5,741,765
1,053,552
Hispanic
2,700,075
Other
Total
335,167
9,830,559
368,732
372,710
364,545
352,305
10,678,181
11,052,468
11,289,625
11,459,449
Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration
2010
2020
2030
2040
5,810,029
5,563,393
5,312,914
5,110,308
1,199,667
1,265,378
1,279,307
1,274,155
3,299,753
3,850,987
4,332,859
4,722,681
Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
5,922,120
5,778,384
5,619,763
5,497,055
1,258,663
1,395,998
1,485,116
1,557,689
3,805,362
5,071,050
6,539,041
8,111,449
464,481
586,070
707,879
833,779
11,450,626
12,831,502
14,351,799
15,999,972
Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
6,036,408
6,001,817
5,944,488
5,913,114
1,320,511
1,539,959
1,723,492
1,903,402
4,394,254
6,720,289
9,917,813
13,980,316
582,258
915,688
1,364,129
1,958,552
12,333,431
15,177,753
18,949,922
23,755,384
Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 2000-2007
2010
2020
2030
2040
5,886,054
5,710,962
5,528,586
5,378,380
1,346,947
1,593,503
1,803,590
2,015,813
4,278,133
6,293,283
8,824,223
11,638,896
583,323
901,517
1,304,376
1,788,788
12,094,457
14,499,265
17,460,775
20,821,877
Percent Change in Projected Civilian Labor Force in Texas by
Race/Ethnicity Assuming Alternative Projection Scenarios,
2000-2040
Year
Anglo
Black
Hispanic
Other
Total
10.0
1.1
2.2
3.4
5.1
8.6
3.5
2.1
1.5
16.6
Assuming Zero Net Migration
2000-2010
2010-2020
2020-2030
2030-2040
2000-2040
1.2
4.2
4.5
3.8
11.0
13.9
5.5
1.1
0.4
20.9
22.2
16.7
12.5
9.0
74.9
Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000
2000-2010
2010-2020
2020-2030
2030-2040
2000-2040
3.1
2.4
2.7
2.2
4.3
19.5
10.9
6.4
4.9
47.9
40.9
33.3
28.9
24.0
200.4
38.6
26.2
20.8
17.8
148.8
16.5
12.1
11.8
11.5
62.8
Assuming Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000
2000-2010
2010-2020
2020-2030
2030-2040
2000-2040
5.1
0.6
1.0
0.5
3.0
25.3
16.6
11.9
10.4
80.7
62.7
52.9
47.6
41.0
417.8
73.7
57.3
49.0
43.6
484.4
25.5
23.1
24.9
25.4
141.6
Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2007
2000-2010
2010-2020
2020-2030
2030-2040
2000-2040
2.5
3.0
3.2
2.7
6.3
27.8
18.3
13.2
11.8
91.3
58.4
47.1
40.2
31.9
331.1
74.0
54.5
44.7
37.1
433.7
23.0
19.9
20.4
19.2
111.8
Projections of the Percent of Civilian Labor Force in Texas by
Race/Ethnicity Assuming Alternative Projection Scenarios,
2000-2040
Year
Anglo
Black
Hispanic
Other
2000
58.4
10.7
27.5
3.4
Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration
2010
2020
2030
2040
54.4
50.4
47.1
44.6
11.2
11.4
11.3
11.1
30.9
34.8
38.4
41.2
3.5
3.4
3.2
3.1
Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
51.7
45.0
39.2
34.4
11.0
10.9
10.3
9.7
33.2
39.5
45.6
50.7
4.1
4.6
4.9
5.2
Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
49.0
39.6
31.4
24.9
10.7
10.1
9.1
8.0
35.6
44.3
52.3
58.9
4.7
6.0
7.2
8.2
Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 2000-2007
2010
2020
2030
2040
48.7
39.4
31.7
25.8
11.1
11.0
10.3
9.7
35.4
43.4
50.5
55.9
4.8
6.2
7.5
8.6
Number and percent of Net Change in the Civilian Labor Force
in Texas Due to Each Race/Ethnicity Group, Assuming
Alternative Projection Scenarios
Race
Number
Percent
Assuming Zero Net Migration
Anglo
Black
Hspnc
Other
Total
-631,457
220,603
2,022,606
17,138
1,628,890
-38.8
13.5
124.2
1.1
100.0
Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000
Anglo
Black
Hspnc
Other
Total
-244,710
504,137
5,411,374
498,612
6,169,413
-4.0
8.2
87.7
8.1
100.0
Assuming Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000
Anglo
Black
Hspnc
Other
Total
171,349
849,850
11,280,241
1,623,385
13,924,825
1.2
6.1
81.0
11.7
100.0
Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2007
Anglo
Black
Hspnc
Other
Total
-363,385
962,261
8,938,821
1,453,621
10,991,318
-3.3
8.8
81.3
13.2
100.0
Average Household Income in Texas, 2000-2040* (in
2000 Dollars)
$60,000
$54,441
$52,639
$50,903
$49,326
$50,000
$47,883
$40,000
$30,000
2000
2010
* Projections are shown for the 1.0 scenario
2020
2030
2040
Projected Percent of Households in Poverty by
Family Type in Texas, 2000 and 2040
Percent in Poverty
35.0
30.0
26.7
30.0
25.0
18.9
20.0
15.0
18.9
17.0
15.4
16.6
15.0
14.4
11.8
11.4
7.5
10.0
5.0
0.0
Family
Households
Married
Couple
Male
Householder
2000
* Projections are shown for the 1.0 scenario
Female
Householder
2040
Nonfamily
Households
Total
Households
Projected Percent of Labor Force by Educational
Attainment in Texas, 2000 and 2040
Percent
35
30.1
29
28.7
28.7
30
23.9
25
18.8
18.2
20
12.9
15
10
5.3
4.4
5
0
No High
School Diploma
High School
Graduate
Some
College
2000
* Projections are shown for the 1.0 scenario
2040
Bachelor's
Degree
Graduate/Prof.
Degree
Average Annual Household Income in Texas and the United States by
Educational Attainment of Householder in 2000*
Average Income
$120,000
$102,410 $104,294
$100,000
$80,950
$80,327
$80,000
$52,552
$60,000
$42,271
$40,000
$30,412
$54,467
$44,068
$32,473
$20,000
$0
Less Than
High School
High School
Graduate
Some College or
Associate Degree
Texas
United States
*From Census 2000 Public Use Microdata Sample (1% File)
Bachelor's
Degree
Graduate/Professional
Degree
Percent of Persons 25 Years of Age or Older by Level of Educational
Attainment and Race/Ethnicity in 2000 and Projected to 2040*
Assuming 1990-2000 Trends in Educational Attainment Rates
Anglo
< High School
12.7
2.2
25.7
High School
16.6
31.6
33.4
30.0
Some Coll/Assoc
Bachelor's +
47.8
Black
< High School
24.0
4.3
29.9
High School
25.6
30.6
Some Coll/Assoc.
40.5
15.5
Bachelor's +
29.6
Hispanic
50.7
< High School
32.1
22.0
25.8
18.4
24.1
High School
Some Coll/Assoc
8.9
Bachelor's +
18.0
Other
21.0
< High School
High School
13.4
16.1
7.6
20.6
Some Coll/Assoc
11.0
42.3
Bachelor's +
68.0
0.0
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
Percent
2000
*Projections are shown for the 1.0 scenario
2040
60.0
70.0
80.0
Aggregate Income and Consumer Expenditures for Population
25 Years of Age or Older in Texas in 2000 and Projected Under
Alternative Educational Attainment Assumptions for 2040*
Billions
$1,200
$938
$1,000
$765
$800
$752
$629
$621
$528
$600
$400
$251
$210
$200
$0
2000
Base Values
2040 Assuming
2000 Attainment
Differentials
Aggregate Income
2040 Assuming
1990-2000 Trends
in Differentials
Consumer Expenditures
*Source: Texas State Data Center. Projections are shown for the 1.0 scenario
2040 Assuming
Anglo Trends
Apply to all Groups
The mark of a truly
educated man is to be
moved deeply by
statistics.
George Bernard Shaw
Steve Murdock
Phone: 210-867-4385
E-mail: [email protected]