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What Program Areas And In Which State Regions Do We Need to Grow? Part I Commission on Higher Education Access and Attainment December 10, 2012 Supplemental Information How We Classify the Educational Levels Needed by Various Occupations Yield Significantly Different Results 2 Employment by Educational Taxonomy (Slide repeated from Sept. 26 Presentation) 50% 45% 43% 40% 35% 37% 37% 30% 25% 26% 20% 20% 15% 16% 16% 10% 19% 19% 17% 14% 10% 5% 3% 4% 5% 4% 6% 5% 0% Graduate Degrees Bachelor's Degrees Associate's Degrees Florida Jobs (DOE/DEO Taxonomy) Postsecondary Vocational Florida Jobs (BLS Taxonomy) High School Diploma Less than High School National Jobs (BLS Taxonomy) SOURCE: Florida data is from the Dept. of Economic Opportunity; National data is from Bureau of Labor Statistics – see link. www.flbog.edu 3 Total Employment by Industry Sector Florida, July 2012 (Seasonally Adjusted) Education and Health Services 15.4% Professional and Business Services 14.9% Leisure and Hospitality 13.2% Other Services 4.1% Financial Activities 6.6% Information 1.8% Trade, Transportation, and Utilities 20.7% Total Government 14.8% Construction 4.2% Manufacturing 4.3% www.flbog.edu Jobs in Industry Sectors Requiring a Master’s or Higher Degree Leisure and Hospitality 550 0.2% Manufacturing 347 0.1% Other 210 0.1% Educational Services (Private and Public) 105,661 33.2% Other Services (Except Government) 738 Financial 0.2% Health Services Activities (Private and 1,470 Public) 0.5% Trade, 94,183 Transportation, 29.6% Government and Utilities 24,186 12,711 7.6% 4.0% Self-Employed Professional and and Unpaid Business Family Workers, Services All Jobs 43,409 34,443 13.7% 10.8% Source: Florida Department of Economic Opportunity, Labor Market Statistics Center, 2012-2020 Employment Projections. Workforce Demand 5 by Occupational Groups (for all education levels) Occupational Title (Major Groups) TOTAL 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 Retail Sales Workers Food and Beverage Serving Workers Information and Record Clerks Construction Trades Workers Health Diagnosing and Treating Practitioners Business Operations Specialists Preschool, Primary, Secondary, and Special Education School Teachers Cooks and Food Preparation Workers Material Moving Workers Health Technologists and Technicians Other Office and Administrative Support Workers Other Food Preparation and Serving Related Workers Financial Clerks Material Recording, Scheduling, Dispatching, and Distributing Workers Building Cleaning and Pest Control Workers Sales Representatives, Services Secretaries and Administrative Assistants Financial Specialists Other Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Occupations Other Personal Care and Service Workers Annual Annual Growth Replacement Openings Openings 127,815 7,504 8,069 6,039 7,782 6,698 5,019 3,369 3,152 2,241 3,883 3,104 1,440 3,105 1,092 2,878 2,424 3,151 2,966 3,180 3,029 195,249 20,270 17,287 11,255 5,153 5,595 4,576 4,817 4,893 5,328 3,384 4,012 5,642 3,960 5,957 3,974 4,214 3,432 3,595 3,256 2,922 Annual Total Openings 323,064 27,774 25,356 17,294 12,935 12,293 9,595 8,186 8,045 7,569 7,267 7,116 7,082 7,065 7,049 6,852 6,638 6,583 6,561 6,436 5,951 www.flbog.edu CIP Codes Explained The CIP taxonomy is organized on three levels: 1) the two-digit series, 2) the four-digit series, and 3) the six-digit series. The twodigit series represent the most general groupings of related programs. The four-digit series represent intermediate groupings of programs that have comparable content and objectives. The six-digit series, also referred to as six digit CIP Codes, represent specific instructional programs. Postsecondary educational institutions use six-digit CIP codes when completing the IPEDS Completions Survey. EXAMPLE: 51-0000 Health Professions and Related Programs 51-1200 Medicine 51-1201 Medicine (Medical School) 51.1400 Medical Clinical Sciences/Graduate Medical Studies 51-1401 Medical Scientist www.flbog.edu SOC Codes Explained Standard Occupational Classification and Coding Structure The occupations in the SOC are classified at four levels of aggregation to suit the needs of various data users: major group, minor group, broad occupation, and detailed occupation. Each lower level of detail identifies a more specific group of occupations. The 23 major groups, are divided into 97 minor groups, 461 broad occupations, and 840 detailed occupations. EXAMPLE: 29-0000 Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Occupations 29-1000 Health Diagnosing and Treating Practitioners 29-1060 Physicians and Surgeons 29-1062 Family and General Practitioners www.flbog.edu 8 Methodological Considerations 1) Preparation: Increasing some of the most challenge and high-demand degrees is not possible because too few qualified students are prepared for those programs 2) Co-ordination: There are 40 public, 31 ICUF (independent non-profit), and 114 CIE (independent, or-profit) institutions, as well as non-Florida on-line degree awarding institutions, that supply graduates to meet Florida employer demands. 3) Timing: Any new additional bachelors, masters & advanced degree-holders targeted in 2013 will complete their degrees no sooner than 2015 or later. 4) Costs: Many of the bachelors, masters and advanced degrees that are most in demand because of scarce faculty, high program costs and low tuition levels. 5) Exportation: Florida currently exports many degree-holders to graduate schools never to return and to jobs in other states & countries. 6) Immigration: Degree-holders from outside Florida and America will continue to be recruited, transferred and move to Florida as the employment grows notwithstanding demand/supply efforts. 7) History: Past projections of huge demand for teachers early last decade evaporated before the end of the decade. 8) Digital Learning Degrees: In state and out-state on-line degree programs must also be incorporated into any Demand/Supply “Gap” analysis, particularly when addressing regional demand. www.flbog.edu Florida’s Supply / Demand Web Portal The Supply/Demand Web Portal Encompasses Workforce, Education, Labor Market Information, and Current Job Ads All Users will be able to View and Benefit from: • Current online job ads as an indicator of occupational demand by region and statewide • Pipeline of education and training enrollees and recent completers/graduates by occupation • Contrast of supply to demand to see where occupational shortages exist 9 www.flbog.edu