Transcript Document
Demographic Characteristics and Trends in Texas and Edwards Aquifer Area Edwards Aquifer Authority Board December 9, 2014 San Antonio, Texas Total Population and Components of Population Change in Texas, 1950-2013 Year* Population Numeric Change -- Annual Percent Change 1950 7,711,194 -- 1960 9,579,677 1,868,483 2.4 1970 11,196,730 1,617,053 1.7 1980 14,229,191 3,032,461 2.7 1990 16,986,510 2,757,319 2.0 2000 20,851,820 3,865,310 2.3 2010 25,145,561 4,293,741 2.1 2012 26,060,796 915,235 1.8 2013 26,448,193 387,397 1.4 * All values for the decennial dates are for April 1st of the indicated census year. Values for 2012 and 2013 are for July 1 as estimated by the U.S. Census Bureau. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Census Counts and Population Estimates Texas Population 1950-2010 30,000,000 25,000,000 20,000,000 15,000,000 10,000,000 5,000,000 0 1950 1960 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Census Counts 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 Components of Population Change by Percent in Texas, 1950-2010 2000-2010 1990-2000 53.7% 49.7% 1980-1990 1970-1980 1960-1970 1950-1960 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Population Estimates 46.3% 50.3% 65.9% 41.5% 34.1% 58.5% 86.7% 89.5% Natural Increase 13.3% 10.5% Migration One third of the top 40 fastest growing counties in the United States are in Texas, 2012 to 2013 U.S. Rank 5 9 10 11 13 22 23 25 28 32 35 39 Geography Kendall County, Texas Fort Bend County, Texas Hays County, Texas Andrews County, Texas Dimmit County, Texas Comal County, Texas Ector County, Texas Ward County, Texas Williamson County, Texas Montgomery County, Texas Denton County, Texas Gaines County, Texas Population Estimate 2012 35,968 625,853 169,013 16,137 10,481 114,590 144,609 10,887 456,359 484,790 708,050 18,393 2013 37,766 652,365 176,026 16,799 10,897 118,480 149,378 11,244 471,014 499,137 728,799 18,921 Counties in bold had growth associated with oil and gas extraction. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2013 Vintage Population Estimates Change, 2012 to 2013 Number 1,798 26,512 7,013 662 416 3,890 4,769 357 14,655 14,347 20,749 528 Percent 5.0 4.2 4.1 4.1 4.0 3.4 3.3 3.3 3.2 3.0 2.9 2.9 One fourth of U.S. counties in the top 40 for numeric growth are in Texas, 2012-2013 U.S. Rank Geography Population Estimate Change, 2012 to 2013 2013 4,336,853 Number 82,890 Percent 1.9 1 Harris County, Texas 2012 4,253,963 6 Bexar County, Texas 1,785,787 1,817,610 31,823 1.8 8 Tarrant County, Texas 1,881,445 1,911,541 30,096 1.6 11 Fort Bend County, Texas 625,853 652,365 26,512 4.2 12 Dallas County, Texas 2,453,907 2,480,331 26,424 1.1 15 Travis County, Texas 1,096,246 1,120,954 24,708 2.3 22 Denton County, Texas 708,050 728,799 20,749 2.9 24 33 35 Collin County, Texas Williamson County, Texas Montgomery County, Texas 834,674 456,359 484,790 854,778 471,014 499,137 20,104 14,655 14,347 2.4 3.2 3.0 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2013 Vintage Population Estimates Total Estimated Population by County, Texas, 2013 Legend tl_2010_48_county10_dpsf POPESTIMATE2013 95-,10,000 10,001-50,000 Dallam Lipscomb Hansford Sherman Ochiltree Hartley Moore Roberts Hutchinson Hemphill Oldham Potter Carson Deaf Smith Armstrong Randall Parmer Castro 50,001-100,000 100,000-500,000 Gray Wheeler Collingsworth Donley Briscoe Swisher Hall Childress Hardeman Wilbarger Wichita Foard Clay Hockley Lamar Lubbock Crosby Dickens King Knox Baylor Archer Montague Cooke Grayson Fannin Cochran Bailey Lamb Hale Floyd Motley Cottle Bowie Titus Franklin Morris Cass Camp Stephens Rockwall Rains Palo Parker Tarrant Wood Upshur Marion Dallas Gaines Dawson Borden Scurry Fisher Shackelford Pinto Van Jones Gregg Harrison Kaufman Zandt Eastland Erath Hood Johnson Ellis Smith Nolan Taylor Callahan Andrews Martin Howard Somervell Henderson Rusk Panola Mitchell Navarro Cherokee Hill Comanche Coke Runnels Bosque Glasscock Loving Winkler Ector Anderson Shelby Sterling Coleman Brown Midland Hamilton Freestone Nacogdoches Culberson Tom Limestone Ward Crane Mills San Sabine Coryell McLennan Upton Reagan Irion Green Concho Reeves Leon Houston Augustine Falls McCulloch San Lampasas Jasper Trinity Bell Saba Robertson Madison Newton Schleicher Menard Burnet Crockett Polk Tyler Jeff Milam Pecos Walker Mason Llano San Brazos Williamson Davis Kimble Burleson Grimes Jacinto Sutton Blanco Gillespie Hardin Travis Lee Montgomery Washington Orange Terrell Bastrop Kerr Hays Liberty Presidio Edwards Val Kendall Waller Fayette Jefferson Real Harris Brewster Verde Comal Caldwell Bandera Austin Chambers Guadalupe Fort Colorado Bexar Bend Galveston Gonzales Lavaca Kinney Uvalde Medina Wharton Wilson Brazoria DeWitt Jackson Maverick Zavala Frio Atascosa Karnes Victoria Matagorda Goliad Calhoun Live Bee Dimmit La Salle Refugio Oak McMullen San Aransas Patricio Jim Webb Nueces Duval Wells 500,001-1,000,000 Yoakum Terry Lynn Garza Stonewall Throckmorton Jack Kent Young Haskell Wise Denton Collin 1,000,001-4,400,000 El Paso Hudspeth Red River Kleberg Jim Zapata Hogg Brooks Kenedy Starr Willacy Hidalgo Cameron Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2013 Vintage Population Estimates Delta Hunt McLennan Green Concho Falls McCulloch San Lampasas Estimated Change of the by Bell SabaTotal Population Rob Schleicher County, Menard Texas, 2010Burnet to 2013 Crockett Legend Milam Mason Llano Williamson tl_2010_48_county10_dpsf Kimble B Sutton Nch1013 Blanco Gillespie Travis Lee -800-0 n Reagan Irion 1-1,000 Val Verde 20,001-80,000 Edwards 1,001-20,000 Kerr Kendall Comal Bandera Guadalupe Bexar Gonzales Lavac Uvalde Medina Wilson DeWitt Real 80,000-228,000 tl_2010_48_county10_dpsf Kinney Pctch1013 -0.106707 - 0.000000 Bastrop Caldwell Faye Hays Frio Atascosa Karnes Victori 0.025001 - 0.050000 Goliad 0.050001 - 0.100000 C Live Bee Dimmit 0.100001 - 0.146341 La Salle Refugio Oak tl_2010_48_county10_dpsf McMullen San Aransas POPESTIMATE2013 99 counties lost population over the three year period. Patricio 95-,10,000 Jim Webb Source: U.S. 10,001-50,000 Census Bureau, 2013 Vintage Population Estimates. Duval Wells Nueces Maverick Zavala 0.000001 - 0.025000 Dallam Lipscomb Hansford Sherman Ochiltree Hartley Moore Roberts Hutchinson Hemphill Oldham Potter Carson Deaf Smith Armstrong Randall Gray Wheeler Collingsworth Donley Parmer Castro Briscoe Swisher Bailey Lamb Hale Hall Childress Floyd Motley Cottle Hockley Lubbock Crosby Dickens King Cochran Red River Bowie Delta Titus Wise Denton Collin Hunt Franklin Morris Cass Camp Rockwall Rains Palo Parker Tarrant Wood Dallas Upshur Marion Pinto Van Harrison Gregg Kaufman Zandt Eastland Erath Hood Johnson Ellis Smith Nolan Taylor Callahan Andrews Martin Howard Somervell Henderson Rusk Panola Mitchell Navarro Cherokee Hill Comanche Coke Runnels Bosque Glasscock Loving Winkler Ector Anderson Shelby Sterling Coleman Brown Midland Hamilton Freestone Nacogdoches Culberson Tom Limestone Ward Crane Mills San Sabine Coryell McLennan Upton Reagan Irion Green Concho Reeves Leon Houston Augustine Falls San McCulloch Lampasas Jasper Trinity Bell Saba Robertson Madison Newton Schleicher Menard Burnet Crockett Polk Tyler Jeff Milam Pecos Walker Mason Llano San Brazos Williamson Davis Kimble Burleson Grimes Jacinto Sutton Blanco Gillespie Hardin Travis Lee Montgomery Washington Orange Terrell Bastrop Kerr Hays Liberty Presidio Edwards Val Kendall Waller Fayette Jefferson Real Harris Brewster Verde Comal Caldwell Bandera Austin Chambers Guadalupe Fort Colorado Bexar Bend Galveston Gonzales Lavaca Kinney Uvalde Medina Wharton Wilson Brazoria DeWitt Jackson Maverick Zavala Frio Atascosa Karnes Victoria Matagorda Goliad Calhoun Live Bee Dimmit La Salle Refugio Oak McMullen San Aransas Patricio Jim Webb Duval Wells Nueces Yoakum Terry Lynn Garza Gaines Dawson Borden Scurry Fisher El Paso Hudspeth Hardeman Wilbarger Wichita Foard Clay Lamar Knox Baylor Archer Montague Cooke Grayson Fannin Stonewall Throckmorton Jack Kent Young Haskell Stephens Shackelford Jones Kleberg Jim Zapata Hogg Brooks Kenedy Starr Willacy Hidalgo Cameron Comanche Coke Runnels Bosque Glasscock Sterling Coleman Brown Midland Hamilton Tom Limes Mills Coryell McLennan UptonLegend Reagan Irion Green Concho Falls McCulloch San Lampasas tl_2010_48_county10_dpsf Bell Saba Roberts Pctch1013 Schleicher Menard Burnet Crockett Milam Mason Llano -11-0% Williamson Kimble Burle 0.1-2.5% Sutton Blanco Gillespie Travis Lee 2.51-5% Wa Terrell Bastrop Kerr Hays 5.1-10% Edwards Val Kendall 10.1-14.7% Real Caldwell Fayette Verde Comal Bandera Guadalupe Colo Bexar Gonzales Lavaca Medina Uvalde Kinney Wilson DeWitt Jack Maverick Zavala Frio Atascosa Karnes Victoria Goliad Calh Live Bee Dimmit La Salle Refugio Oak McMullen San Aransas Patricio Jim Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2013 Vintage Population Estimates. Webb Nueces Estimated Percent Change of the Total Population by , Texas, 2010 to 2013 Dallam Lipscomb Hansford Sherman Ochiltree Hartley Moore Roberts Hutchinson Hemphill Oldham Potter Carson Deaf Smith Armstrong Randall Parmer Castro Gray Wheeler Collingsworth Donley Briscoe Swisher Hall Childress Hardeman Wilbarger Wichita Foard Clay Lamar Red Knox Baylor Archer Montague Cooke Grayson Fannin River Bowie Stonewall Throckmorton Jack Wise Denton Delta Titus Collin Young Yoakum Terry Lynn Garza Kent Haskell Hunt Franklin Morris Cass Camp Stephens Rockwall Rains Wood Palo Parker Tarrant Dallas Upshur Marion Gaines Dawson Borden Scurry Fisher Shackelford Pinto Van Jones Gregg Harrison Kaufman Zandt Eastland Erath Hood Johnson Ellis Smith Nolan Taylor Callahan Andrews Martin Howard Somervell Henderson Rusk Panola Mitchell Navarro Cherokee Hill Comanche Coke Runnels Bosque Glasscock Loving Winkler Ector Anderson Shelby Sterling Coleman Brown Midland Hamilton Freestone Nacogdoches Culberson Tom Limestone Ward Crane Mills San Sabine Coryell Houston McLennan Upton Reagan Irion Green Concho Reeves Leon Augustine Falls McCulloch San Lampasas Jasper Trinity Bell Saba Robertson Madison Newton Schleicher Menard Burnet Crockett Polk Tyler Jeff Milam Pecos Walker Mason Llano San Brazos Williamson Davis Kimble Burleson Grimes Jacinto Sutton Blanco Gillespie Hardin Travis Lee Montgomery Washington Orange Terrell Bastrop Kerr Hays Liberty Presidio Edwards Val Kendall Waller Fayette Jefferson Real Harris Brewster Verde Comal Caldwell Bandera Austin Chambers Guadalupe Fort Colorado Bexar Bend Galveston Gonzales Lavaca Kinney Uvalde Medina Wharton Wilson Brazoria DeWitt Jackson Karnes Maverick Zavala Frio Atascosa Victoria Matagorda Goliad Calhoun Live Bee Dimmit La Salle Refugio Oak McMullen San Aransas Patricio Jim Webb Duval Wells Nueces Bailey Lamb Hale Floyd Motley Cottle Hockley Lubbock Crosby Dickens King Cochran El Paso Hudspeth Kleberg Jim Zapata Hogg Brooks Kenedy Starr Willacy Hidalgo Cameron Runnels Coleman Brown Sterling Midland Hamilton Tom Estimated Number of Limes Net Migrants by Mills Coryell McLennan pton Legend Reagan Irion Green Concho , Texas, 2012 to 2013 Falls McCulloch San Lampasas tl_2010_48_county10_dpsf Bell Saba Roberts NETMIG2013 Schleicher Menard Burnet Crockett Milam Mason Llano -10,500-0 Williamson 1-500 Kimble Burle Sutton Blanco 501-1,000 Gillespie Travis Lee Wa ell 1,001-5,000 Bastrop Kerr Hays Edwards 5,001-10,000 Val Kendall Real Caldwell Fayette Verde 10,001-40,200 Comal Bandera Guadalupe Colo Bexar Gonzales Lavaca Kinney Uvalde Medina Wilson Dallam Lipscomb Hansford Sherman Ochiltree DeWitt Jack Karnes Atascosa Frio Victoria Goliad Calh Live Bee Dimmit La Salle Refugio Oak McMullen San Aransas Patricio 10 Source: U.S. Census Bureau Population Estimates, 2013 Vintage. Jim Webb Hartley Moore Roberts Hutchinson Hemphill Oldham Potter Carson Deaf Smith Armstrong Randall Gray Wheeler Collingsworth Donley Parmer Castro Briscoe Swisher Bailey Lamb Hale Hall Childress Floyd Motley Cottle Hockley Lubbock Crosby Dickens King Cochran Red River Bowie Delta Titus Wise Denton Collin Hunt Franklin Morris Cass Camp Rockwall Rains Palo Parker Tarrant Wood Upshur Marion Dallas Pinto Van Gregg Harrison Kaufman Zandt Eastland Erath Hood Johnson Ellis Smith Nolan Taylor Callahan Andrews Martin Howard Somervell Henderson Rusk Panola Mitchell Navarro Cherokee Hill Comanche Coke Runnels Bosque Glasscock Loving Winkler Ector Anderson Shelby Sterling Coleman Brown Midland Hamilton Freestone Nacogdoches Culberson Tom Limestone Ward Crane Mills San Sabine Coryell McLennan Houston Upton Reagan Irion Green Concho Reeves Leon Augustine Falls McCulloch San Lampasas Jasper Trinity Bell Saba Robertson Madison Newton Schleicher Menard Burnet Crockett Polk Tyler Jeff Milam Pecos Walker Mason Llano San Brazos Williamson Davis Kimble Burleson Grimes Jacinto Sutton Blanco Gillespie Hardin Travis Lee Montgomery Washington Orange Terrell Bastrop Kerr Hays Liberty Presidio Edwards Val Kendall Waller Fayette Jefferson Real Harris Brewster Verde Comal Caldwell Bandera Austin Chambers Guadalupe Fort Colorado Bexar Bend Galveston Gonzales Lavaca Kinney Uvalde Medina Wharton Wilson Brazoria DeWitt Jackson Maverick Zavala Frio Atascosa Karnes Victoria Matagorda Goliad Calhoun Live Bee Dimmit La Salle Refugio Oak McMullen San Aransas Patricio Jim Webb Duval Wells Nueces Yoakum Terry Lynn Garza Stonewall Throckmorton Jack Kent Young Haskell Gaines Dawson Borden Scurry Fisher El Paso Hudspeth Hardeman Wilbarger Wichita Foard Clay Lamar Knox Baylor Archer Montague Cooke Grayson Fannin Maverick Zavala Stephens Shackelford Jones Kleberg Jim Zapata Hogg Brooks Kenedy Starr Willacy Hidalgo Cameron http://www.forbes.com/special-report/2011/migration.html 11 http://www.forbes.com/special-report/2011/migration.html 12 http://www.forbes.com/special-report/2011/migration.html 13 http://www.forbes.com/special-report/2011/migration.html 14 http://www.forbes.com/special-report/2011/migration.html 15 Irion McCulloch San Lampasas Percent of housing units built in Saba 2010 or later, Texas Bel Schleicher Menard Legend Counties, 2012 Burnet Crockett Mason Llano tl_2010_48_county10_dpsf Williamso pctblt2010later Kimble Sutton Blanco 0.0-0.25% Gillespie Travis 0.26-.0.5% 0.51-1.5% Val Verde 2.01-2.5% Edwards 1.51-2.0% Kinney Dallam Lipscomb Hansford Sherman Ochiltree Hartley Moore Roberts Hutchinson Hemphill Oldham Potter Carson Deaf Smith Armstrong Randall Parmer Castro Wilson Gray Wheeler Briscoe Swisher Hale Bas Hall Childress De Floyd Motley Cottle Frio Atascosa Karnes Goli Live Bee Dimmit La Salle R Oak McMullen 16 San Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 5-year sample, 2008-2012 Red River Bowie Delta Titus Wise Denton Collin Hunt Franklin Morris Cass Camp Rockwall Rains Palo Parker Tarrant Wood Dallas Upshur Marion Pinto Van Harrison Gregg Kaufman Zandt Eastland Erath Hood Johnson Ellis Smith Nolan Taylor Callahan Andrews Martin Howard Somervell Henderson Rusk Panola Mitchell Navarro Cherokee Hill Comanche Coke Runnels Bosque Glasscock Loving Winkler Ector Anderson Shelby Sterling Coleman Brown Midland Hamilton Freestone Nacogdoches Culberson Tom Limestone Ward Crane Mills San Sabine Coryell McLennan Upton Reagan Irion Green Concho Reeves Leon Houston Augustine Falls San McCulloch Lampasas Jasper Trinity Bell Saba Robertson Madison Newton Schleicher Menard Burnet Crockett Polk Tyler Jeff Milam Pecos Walker Mason Llano San Brazos Williamson Davis Kimble Burleson Grimes Jacinto Sutton Blanco Gillespie Hardin Travis Lee Montgomery Washington Orange Terrell Bastrop Kerr Hays Liberty Presidio Edwards Val Kendall Waller Fayette Jefferson Real Harris Brewster Verde Comal Caldwell Bandera Austin Chambers Guadalupe Fort Colorado Bexar Bend Galveston Gonzales Lavaca Kinney Uvalde Medina Wharton Wilson Brazoria DeWitt Jackson Maverick Zavala Frio Atascosa Karnes Victoria Matagorda Goliad Calhoun Live Bee Dimmit La Salle Refugio Oak McMullen San Aransas Patricio Jim Webb Duval Wells Nueces Yoakum Terry Lynn Garza Stonewall Throckmorton Jack Kent Young Haskell Gaines Dawson Borden Scurry Fisher El Paso Hays Kendall Real Comal Caldwell Bandera Guadalupe Bexar Gonzale Medina Uvalde Collingsworth Donley Hardeman Wilbarger Wichita Foard Clay Hockley Lamar Lubbock Crosby Dickens King Knox Baylor Archer Montague Cooke Grayson Fannin Cochran Bailey Lamb Kerr Hudspeth Stephens Shackelford Jones Kleberg Jim Zapata Hogg Brooks Kenedy Starr Willacy Hidalgo Cameron Maverick Zavala Green Concho McCulloch San Lampasas Mean travel time to work, Texas Saba Counties, 2008-2012Bell Legend Schleicher Menard Burnet Crockett tl_2010_48_county10_dpsf Mason Llano Williamson Avgtravworkmins Kimble 8-15 minutes Sutton Blanco Gillespie Travis 16-20 minutes Irion ell 21-25 minutes Edwards Val 31-40 Verde minutes 26-30 minutes Dallam Lipscomb Hansford Sherman Ochiltree Moore Roberts Hutchinson Hemphill Oldham Potter Carson Deaf Smith Armstrong Randall Bastr Kendall Comal Caldwell Bandera Guadalupe Bexar Gonzales Uvalde Medina Wilson Gray Wheeler DeW Collingsworth Donley Frio Atascosa Karnes Goliad Live Bee Dimmit La Salle Re Oak McMullen San A 17 Patricio Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 5-year sample, 2008-2012 Jim Parmer Castro Briscoe Swisher Bailey Lamb Hale Hall Childress Floyd Motley Cottle Hockley Lubbock Crosby Dickens King Cochran Hudspeth Hardeman Wilbarger Wichita Foard Clay Lamar Knox Baylor Archer Montague Cooke Grayson Fannin Maverick Zavala Red River Bowie Titus Franklin Morris Cass Camp Stephens Rockwall Rains Palo Parker Tarrant Wood Upshur Marion Dallas Gaines Dawson Borden Scurry Fisher Shackelford Pinto Van Jones Gregg Harrison Kaufman Zandt Eastland Erath Hood Johnson Ellis Smith Nolan Taylor Callahan Andrews Martin Howard Somervell Henderson Rusk Panola Mitchell Navarro Cherokee Hill Comanche Coke Runnels Bosque Glasscock Loving Winkler Ector Anderson Shelby Sterling Coleman Brown Midland Hamilton Freestone Nacogdoches Culberson Tom Limestone Ward Crane Mills San Sabine Coryell McLennan Upton Reagan Irion Green Concho Reeves Leon Houston Augustine Falls McCulloch San Lampasas Jasper Trinity Bell Saba Robertson Madison Newton Schleicher Menard Burnet Crockett Polk Tyler Jeff Milam Pecos Walker Mason Llano San Brazos Williamson Davis Kimble Burleson Grimes Jacinto Sutton Blanco Gillespie Hardin Travis Lee Montgomery Washington Orange Terrell Bastrop Kerr Hays Liberty Presidio Edwards Val Kendall Waller Fayette Jefferson Real Harris Brewster Verde Comal Caldwell Bandera Austin Chambers Guadalupe Fort Colorado Bexar Bend Galveston Gonzales Lavaca Kinney Uvalde Medina Wharton Wilson Brazoria DeWitt Jackson Maverick Zavala Frio Atascosa Karnes Victoria Matagorda Goliad Calhoun Live Bee Dimmit La Salle Refugio Oak McMullen San Aransas Patricio Jim Webb Duval Wells Nueces Yoakum Terry El Paso Hays Real Kinney Hartley Kerr Lynn Garza Stonewall Throckmorton Jack Kent Young Haskell Wise Denton Collin Kleberg Jim Zapata Hogg Brooks Kenedy Starr Willacy Hidalgo Cameron Delta Hunt Mc Green Concho Estimated Numeric Change ofSan the Lampasas Population McCulloch Legend Bel Saba Living in Unincorporated Areas tl_2010_48_county10_dpsf Schleicher Burnet betweenMenard 2010 and 2013, Texas Counties Crockett Mason Llano nchuninc Williamso -2,600-0 Kimble Sutton Blanco 1-1,000 Gillespie Travis pton Reagan Irion ell 1,001-1,500 1,501-5,000 Val 5,001-12,100 Verde Edwards Dallam Lipscomb Hansford Sherman Ochiltree Hartley Moore Roberts Hutchinson Hemphill Potter Carson Deaf Smith Armstrong Randall Parmer Castro Wilson Gray Wheeler Briscoe Swisher Hale Hall Childress Stonewall Throckmorton Lynn Garza Kent Haskell Young Gaines Dawson Borden Scurry Fisher El Paso Hudspeth De Floyd Motley Cottle Red River Bowie Delta Jack Wise Denton Collin Titus Hunt Franklin Cass Morris Camp Rockwall Rains Palo Parker Tarrant Dallas Wood Upshur Marion Pinto Kaufman Van Harrison Gregg Zandt Eastland Erath Hood Johnson Ellis Smith Nolan Taylor Callahan Andrews Martin Howard Somervell Henderson Rusk Panola Mitchell Navarro Cherokee Hill Comanche Coke Runnels Bosque Glasscock Loving Winkler Ector Anderson Shelby Sterling Coleman Brown Midland Hamilton Freestone Nacogdoches Tom Limestone Ward Culberson Mills Crane San Sabine Coryell McLennan Houston Upton Reagan Green Concho Reeves Leon Irion Augustine Falls McCulloch San Lampasas Jasper Trinity Bell Saba Robertson Madison Newton Schleicher Menard Burnet Crockett Polk Tyler Jeff Milam Pecos Walker Mason Llano San Brazos Williamson Davis Kimble Burleson Grimes Jacinto Sutton Blanco Gillespie Hardin Travis Lee Montgomery Terrell Washington Orange Bastrop Kerr Hays Liberty Presidio Edwards Val Kendall Waller Fayette Jefferson Real Harris Brewster Verde Comal Caldwell Bandera Austin Chambers Guadalupe Fort Colorado Bexar Bend Galveston Gonzales Lavaca Kinney Uvalde Medina Wharton Wilson Brazoria DeWitt Jackson Maverick Zavala Frio Atascosa Karnes Victoria Matagorda Goliad Calhoun Live Bee Dimmit La Salle Refugio Oak McMullen San Aransas Patricio Jim Webb Duval Wells Nueces Yoakum Terry Ba Kendall Comal Caldwel Bandera Guadalupe Bexar Gonzale Medina Uvalde Collingsworth Donley Hardeman Wilbarger Wichita Foard Clay Hockley Lamar Lubbock Crosby Dickens King Knox Baylor Archer Montague Cooke Grayson Fannin Cochran Bailey Lamb Hays Real Kinney Oldham Kerr Stephens Shackelford Jones Maverick Zavala Kleberg Jim Zapata Hogg Brooks Kenedy Starr Willacy Hidalgo Cameron Source: U.S. Census Bureau Population Estimates, 2013 Vintage. Dimmit Frio Atascosa Karnes Goli Live Bee La Salle R Oak McMullen 18 San Population by Census Year and Census Tract, 1970-2010 Sutton Kimble Travis Travis Gillespie Blanco 1980 1970 2010 2000 1990 Kerr Hays Edwards Kendall Legend Real tl_2010_48_tract10 Caldwell Caldwell Comal Bandera TRCTPOP7 0-1,000 Guadalupe Guadalupe 1,001-5,000 5,001-7,500 Bexar 7,501-10,000 10,001-34,000 Kinney Uvalde Gonzales Gonzales Medina Wilson Maverick Zavala Source: Geolytics, Neighborhood Change Database 2010 Frio Atascosa Karnes Karnes 19 Persons Per Square Mile by Census Year and Tract, 1970-2010 Sutton Sutton Kimble Kimble Kimble Travis Travis Travis Gillespie Gillespie Gillespie Blanco Blanco Blanco 2010 1970 1980 1990 2000 Hays Hays Hays Kerr Kerr Kerr Edwards Edwards Kendall Kendall Kendall Real Real Real Legend Comal Comal Comal Bandera Bandera Bandera tl_2010_48_tract10 txtract70_10$.PPSM10 Guadalupe Guadalupe Guadalupe 0-10 Bexar Bexar Bexar 11-50 51-500 Kinney Kinney Uvalde Uvalde Uvalde Medina Medina Medina 501-4,000 4,001-56,000 Wilson Wilson Wilson Atascosa Atascosa Atascosa Maverick Maverick Zavala Zavala Zavala Source: Geolytics, Neighborhood Change Database 2010 Frio Frio Frio Karnes Karnes Karnes 20 Population Estimates and Characteristics of Population Change, Texas and Edwards Aquifer Recharge Counties, 2010-2013 Population Estimate, 2013 Name Percent Percent Estimated Estimated Percent of Estimated Population in Population Population Population in Population Unincorporated Change in Change Due Incorporated Change, 2010Areas Unincorporated to NetAreas 2013 Areas, 2010-2013 Migration Texas 26,448,193 4.8% 47.0% 6,925,146 73.8% 298,635 Bexar 1,817,610 5.5% 52.9% 271,693 85.1% 9,851 Comal 118,480 8.3% 87.3% 56,523 52.3% 4,207 Hays 176,026 11.3% 77.0% 71,860 59.2% 2,722 Kinney 3,586 -0.4% -284.6% 1,816 49.4% (1) Medina 47,399 2.7% 66.1% 27,858 41.2% 711 Uvalde 26,926 1.8% 1.9% 8,947 66.8% (21) Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2013 Vintage Population Estimates 21 Projected Population Growth in Texas, 2010-2050 Migration Scenarios 60,000,000 Zero 55,000,000 .5 of 2000-2010 50,000,000 2000-2010 45,000,000 40,000,000 35,000,000 30,000,000 25,000,000 20,000,000 2010 2015 2020 2025 Source: Texas State Data Center 2012 Population Projections 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 22 Historic and Projected Population for Edwards Aquifer Recharge Counties, 2000-2030 2,500,000 2000 Population (Census) 2010 Population (Census) 2013 Estimate (U.S. Census Bureau) 2020 Projection (2014 TXSDC; 0.5) 2030 Projection (2014 TXSDC; 0.5) 2,000,000 1,500,000 1,000,000 500,000 0 Bexar Comal Hays Medina Uvalde Kinney 23``` Legend Projected Population Change, Texas Counties, 2010-2050 tl_2010_48_county10 F6 -6,200 - 0 1 - 2,000 2,001 - 10,000 10,001 - 100,000 100,001 - 1,000,000 1,000,001 -3,480,000 Source: Texas State Data Center 2012 Population Projections . 2000-2010 Migration Scenario 24 Projected Percent Population Legend Change, Texas Counties, 2010-2050 tl_2010_48_county10 F5 LT 0% 0-40% 41-100% 101-250% 251-500% Source: Texas State Data Center 2012 Population Projections . 2000-2010 Migration Scenario 25 Contact Lloyd Potter, Ph.D. Office: (512) 463-8390 or (210) 458-6530 Email: [email protected] Internet: http://osd.state.tx.us 26