Transcript World Meteorological Organization Working together in
World Meteorological Organization
Working together in weather, climate and water
WMO
Launch of Global Assessment Report on DRR
Workshop 3: Progress in Reducing Disaster Risk Thematic topic: Early Warning Systems Maryam Golnaraghi, Ph.D.
Chief of Disaster Risk Reduction Programme, WMO Bahrain 18 May 2009
www.wmo.int
Economic Losses Related to Disasters are on the Way Up !
Billions of USD per decade 500 450 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 4 0
Source: EM-DAT: The OFDA/CRED International Disaster Database - www.em dat.net - Université Catholique de Louvain - Brussels - Belgium
56-65 11 14 66-75 24 47 Geological Hydrometeorological 345 76-85 88 160 86-95 103 495 96-05 decade
While Casualties related to Hydro Meteorological Hazards are Decreasing!
3 Millions of casualties per decade 2.66
2.5
2 1.5
1 0.5
0.05
0
Source: EM-DAT: The OFDA/CRED International Disaster Database - www.em dat.net - Université Catholique de Louvain - Brussels - Belgium
56-65 0.17
66-75 1.73
0.39
76-85 0.65
86-95 Geological Hydrometeorological 0.22
0.25
0.67
0.22
96-05 decade
International Attention to Early Warning Systems …
• • • • • • • • • • •
First International Early Warning Conferences
(Postdam, 1998)
Second World Summit on Sustainable Development
(Johannesburg, 2002) - JPA
Second International Early Warning Conferences
(Bonn, 2003) -
PPEW
World Conference on Disaster Reduction
(Kobe, January 2005) -
HFA
G8 Summit and UN General Assembly
(2005, 2006)
Third International Early Warning Conference
(Bonn, March 2006)
–
Global Early Warning Survey
and
EWS check list First Symposium on Multi-Hazard EWS for Integrated Disaster Management (WMO with ISDR, World Bank, UNDP, IFRC, UNESCO, OCHA)
(Geneva, May 2006)
First Session of Global Platform for Disaster Risk Reduction
(5-7 June 2007)
Second Experts’ Symposium on EWS with Multi-Hazard MeteoFrance)
(Toulouse, 5-7 May 2009)
Approach (WMO and 2009 Global Risk Assessment Report
(To be launched in Bahrain, May 17, 2009)
Second Session of Global Platform for Disaster Risk Reduction
(16-19 June 2009)
International attention to this topic ….
NEXT….
Upcoming Documented Good Practices and Guidelines Training volumes to be published by Springer Verlag
EWS-II: Effective Early Warning Systems Must be People-centered (PPEW)
HFA: Early Warning Systems should be an intergral part of a comprehensive DRR strategy Planning, Legislation and Organizational Coordination and Cooperation (national to local) Risk Identification Risk Reduction Risk Transfer Historical/real-time hazard databases, analysis and modeling of changing hazard trends Exposed assets & vulnerability Risk quantification PREPAREDNESS: early warning systems emergency planning /response MITIGATION AND PREVENTION: Medium to long term sectoral planning (e.g. building resilient infrastructure) CAT insurance & bonds Weather Risk Management Other emerging products Information and Knowledge Sharing Education and training (national to local)
MHEWS-I: Need Multi-stakeholder
Coordination and Collaborations
at all levels
Disaster Risk Management/ Civil Protection and Humanitarian Media Multi-Sectoral Coordination Collaborations Other Scientific and Technical Services Academia and Research
MHEWS-I identified criteria for good practices in early warning systems…
ORGANIZATIONAL
Clarity of roles and responsibilities (national to local level)
Coordination and partnerships GOVERNANCE (interoperability, sustainability; reliability)
Integrated planning
Strong political commitment
Disaster management plans
Legislation and policies (national to local levels)
Legal and financial frameworks
OPERATIONAL Integration of information in decision processes Preparedness Education and drills & training
Effective dissemination and response mechanisms (matching resources and cultures)
Feedback mechanisms to improve the system http://www.wmo.int/pages/prog/drr/events/ews_symposium_2006
First International Experts’ Symposium on Multi-Hazard EWS (May 2006)
• Development and sustainability of EWS require political commitment and dedicated investments; • EWS should be an integral part of national and local disaster risk management planning and budgeting; • Enforceable legislation responsibilities to local levels; must explicitly define the roles and of various authorities and agencies from national • Implementation of EWS requires clear concept of operations enabling effective coordination among agencies across all components of EWS, at national and local levels; • Systematic feedback at all levels are needed, to ensure improvements of the system over time. • Public education
2009 GLOBAL ASSESSMENT REPORT ON DISASTER REDUCTION Thematic Progress Review Sub-Component on Early Warning Systems Coordinated and drafted by WMO in Collaboration with 18 international organization FAO, GFMC, IFRC ISDR-PPEW), ITU, OCHA, UNU, UNDP, UNEPUNESCO-IOC, UNICEF, UNOOS, UNOSAT, UNITAR, the World Bank, WFP, WHO and WMO
Sources of information
• WMO Country-level Survey (2006-2007) – 139 countries participated • PPEW-UNU survey (51 countries participated) • Extensive information collected by other international agencies
Some Highlights …
• Governence and coordination • Financial and Institutional • Technical capacities and multi-disciplinary cooperation • Incorporation of risk information in warning messages • Communication and Dissemination • Ability to respond to warnings on the ground
NMHS Category National DRR Capacity Assessment Survey (2006) Under estimated Planning & Legislation Infrastructure Observation Forecasting Telecom.
Technical Capacities Partnerships & Concept of Operations % countries
1 Need for development in all areas 12 2 42 3 4 Need for improvements in all areas Self sufficient Need for improvements in these areas Self sufficient Could benefit from sharing of good practices practices and guidelines 26 20
Over 60% of the countries are challenged in meeting technical needs!
Regional and International
• Trans-boundary and regional aspects • International support to national EWS development
Development and progress in EWS Yes!
Are we better off ????
Next steps ….
• EWS must be an integral part of DRR planning and implementation • Strengthening of operational technical capacities and info sharing (inter-disciplinary and regional cooperation) • Utilization of hazard and risk maps in emergency planning and improving warning messages • Communication and dissemination channels Significantly underdeveloped, – sustainability and cultural aspects are key issues!
Next steps ….
• Concept of Operations and Standard Operational Procedures for early warning systems • Effective regional-national-local, multi-agency operational evaluation and feedback mechanism • Coordinated approach among international agencies in supporting EWS development • Need for a different approach to benchmarking and surveying EWS • Investment in research to extend lead-time (climate …)
WMO is working with partners to assist its Members in Early Warning Systems
Identification of Good Practices Projects
•
Implementation of end-to-end EWS projects (planning, institutional coordination, operations)
•
Sharing of good practices
Building Capacities and sharing experiences and lessons’ learnt
Documentation of Good Practices and learning Lessons Development of Guidelines for EWS implementation based on Lessons Learnt
2 nd Multi Hazard Early Warning Symposium (May 2009, Toulouse, France)
1.
2.
3.
Discussed Documented “good practices” experiences in early warning systems France Vigilance system Shanghai MH-EWS and Emergency Preparedness System Bangladesh Cyclone Preparedness Programme Cuba tropical cyclone early warning system 10 other national examples and other national Finalized the Guidelines: “Capacity Development in Multi-Hazard Early Warning Systems with Focus on Institutional Coordination and Cooperation”; Recommend concrete actions for: Documentation of other good practices in EWS Trans-boundary and regional issues and initiatives
http://www.wmo.int/pages/prog/drr/events/MHEWS-II
Systematic Multi-Agency Cooperation Projects in DRR with EWS as a critical component….
Multiple Risk
Thank You
For more information please contact:
Maryam Golnaraghi, Ph.D.
Chief of Disaster Risk Reduction Programme World Meteorological Organization Tel. 41.22.730.8006
Fax. 41.22.730.8023
Email. [email protected]
http://www.wmo.int/disasters