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The 9th Economic and Social Development Plan & Strategic Framework for Economic and Social Restructuring Present to ASEAN SOMDP Office of the National Economic and Social Development Board 14 July 2005 1 NESDB2005 Guiding philosophy desirable society Quality Knowledge based society Caring society 4 Objectives To promote econ. stability Establishment of a strong national foundation Good governance at all levels 3 Missions 7 Strategies 1 2 3 4 Good governance Human potentials and social protection 5 Poverty reduction & empowerment of Thai people 6 7 S&T Competitiveness Rural & urban Environment and Macroeconomic management enhancement Development natural development resources Management to support the translation of the Master plan into Action plan 2 NESDB2005 ÇÒÃÐáËè§ªÒµÔ International Competitiveness Sustainable development Poverty & income distribution Social capital Domestic Economic Social 3 NESDB2005 Key Points Future Past 4 years Dual Track Policies Economic growth with stability Expand opportunities to grassroot level 2008 Paradigm Economic GDP restructuring 9.5 Tril. baht shifts Economic integration Technology Population and social change Environment and natural resource Consumption trend 4 Principles 6 strategies Economic Agricultural stability Value creation Proactive social policy Regional economic cooperation creation Industrial value creation Services base expansion Proactive social policy Security and international cooperation Public sector reform value 4 NESDB2005 Today The past 4 years TRACK I TRACK II Consumption Investment Employment Export of goods and services GDP growth average 5.2 % GDP 2004 6.5 Tril. baht Stability Inflation 2.7% Current account 6.2% of GDP Public debt 46.2% of GDP NPLs 11.4% of total loans Foreign reserves 48.9 bill$ 5 NESDB2005 From EAEM to Dual Track Development Model Dual Track Development Model Parallel emphases on two pillars First track emphasizes foreign direct investment and manufactured exports under economic integration with rest of the world Second track: domestic and grassroots Domestic demand element • • • • • Global competitiveness • • • • Local enterprise element OTOP Village Funds SMEs Bank and People Bank Venture Capital Housing project and housing loans for GPF member and SOEs employees Capital Creation Low price computer and internet fees 30 Baht health care Life insurance policy for low income 6 NESDB2005 Economic Integration Technology 5 Paradigm shifts Population & Social Envi. & Nat. Resource Consumption Trend 7 NESDB2005 Guiding Principles for Economic and Social Restructuring Economic stability and sustainability Value creation from knowledge applicationÅ Sustained Prosperity More Balanced Structure Better Distribution Global and regional positioning Proactive social policy to create positive externality 8 NESDB2005 International Economic Policies I. Global Reach and Local Link: Bilateral FTA II. Asia for Asia: ACD, Asian Bond III. Prosper Thy Neighbour: ECS 9 NESDB2005 International Economic Policies Asia for Asia: ACD, Asian Bond Prosper Thy Neighbour: ACMECS International Economic Policies Global Reach and Local Link: Bilateral FTA 10 NESDB2005 Dare to DREAM Business Country Level Level Linking investment Encouraging cooperation and productivity to balancing in power the region of the existing world order Thailand’s dreams 2. Active International Player • Thailand Global : WTO Overseas Investment • Continental : ACD, APEC • Regional : ASEAN • Neighbor : GMS, IMT-GT 11 Dare to dream Thailand from nowNESDB2005 to 2020 Economic Cooperation Strategies (ECS) Objectives I. Increase production capacity around the border II. Relocate production to neighboring countries III. Job creation and reduce income gap between Thailand and neighbouring countries 12 NESDB2005 Economic Cooperation Strategy FLOW of Factors of Production Neighbour Fund Technology Raw material labour Some problems such as illegal workers, smuggling, and narcotics Thai FLOW of Products Primary Product Neighbour Thai Finished Product 13 NESDB2005 Strategies for Economic and Social Restructuring • Agricultural value creation and natural resources • Industrial value creation • Services base expansion • Proactive social policy • Security and international cooperation • Public sector reform 14 NESDB2005 Agricultural value creation & natural resources Measures • Factors of production – Increase irrigated land by 6 mil.rai (incl. small reservoirs and pipe system) to reduce risks and divest main crops – Efficient water management for agriculture and other usages – Land quality improvement and increase biodiversity • Agricultural price stability by management of demand and supply of products, regional producers coordination, and ensure regional food security • Promote production and utilization of Ethanol and Biofuel created from main crops such as cassava, sugar cane and oil palm • Promote animal farming especially cows and increase researches on artificial insemination • Asset capitalization in fisheries sector (Seafood Bank) • Develop agricultural product standard and food safety system, and GAP • Increase investment in research and development (esp. horticulture and husbandry) • Support OTOP to create non-farm incomes for farmers • Improve marketing and distribution channel to deliver fresh products to consumers 15 NESDB2005 Industrial value creation Measures • • • • • • • • Cluster development Entrepreneur development for SMEs and community enterprises Develop national innovation system and intellectual property system Develop science and technology infrastructure Promote branding and design Increase IT application in SMEs Develop excellent centers for future technology Promote investment in new automobile model and improve quality in order to reach 1.8 cars production target • Develop “Energy Hub” • Promote green production and waste reduction 16 NESDB2005 Services base expansion Measures Tourism • Expand aviation networks through open sky policy and low cost airline • Linking tourism networks especially cultural package tour with neighboring countries • Develop new tourism sites and prevent deterioration of tourism environment • Establish standard for tourism facilities such as hotel, spa and traditional massage • Develop tourism standard and human resource Health • Promote talented overseas medical doctors and teachers to work in Thailand • Negotiate FTA to allow reimbursement of healthcare expenditure in Thailand from home (foreign) country’s social security system Financial • Promote Bangkok to be a region business and financial hub • Develop financial market, and new instruments • Develop secondary market for mortgage loans, and establish building and loan associations infrastructure • Develop logistics system and expand infrastructures • Develop broadband communication infrastructure 17 NESDB2005 Proactive Social Policy Human and Social Security Housing Aging Society • Promote community strength and role in managing safety and security in life and assets • Promote social protection for people in informal economy • Promote role of family in nurturing discipline, life-skill and social responsibility • Improve housing standard and public services in order to create good social environment and reduce health expenditure of people • Improve basic infrastructure and accessibility for aging and disability groups • Promote varieties of savings scheme for retirement and increase opportunities for work for aging group • Promote appropriate health behavior for aging group • Plan for the establishing of long-term healthcare system • Revive traditional value and culture of cohabitation of different age groups in society • Increase opportunities to utilize knowledge of aging group in economic and social development e.g. expanding the Brain Bank scheme 18 NESDB2005 Security and International Cooperation Warning Systems International Cooperation • Build an early warning system of natural disaster and network of regional cooperation in early warning systems • Accelerate ACMECS and JDS to support bordered economy including economic and social cooperation and seeking development partners • Negotiate trade agreement and cooperation at bilateral, regional and mutilateral levels in order to expand market access, arrange inter-agency mechanism for comprehensive and coordinated negotiation 19 NESDB2005 Public sector reform Enabling Competitiveness of Private Sector Building Social Harmony Domestic Regional Development Capacity Building of Central Agencies • • • • Reform law, rule, regulation and tax system Reform bureaucracy and public services Anti-corruption at every levels and professions Increase government budget for social, environment and natural resource while diversify sources of fund for infrastructure development • Campaign and ingrain Thai value and Thainess identity • Build mechanism in public sector and civil society for protection and reduction of conflict • Promote mechanism for people participation in economic and social development e.g. participate as Advisory board of CEO governor • Promote socially responsible and constructive media • Develop regional planning strategy to be management tools for CEO governor, provincial cluster and region • Build capacity for management and administration at regional level such as sub-district administration and CEO governor • Design urban plan and land usage plan, and expand infrastructure to support urban expansion and livable-city development • Establish resource allocation mechanism for public infrastructure investment with clear and efficient responsibility of central and local agencies • Building capacity of central agencies in order to be intelligence agency supporting trade negotiation and cooperation dialogue 20 NESDB2005 Think Economic and Social Strategy, Think NESDB.... www.nesdb.go.th 21 NESDB2005