Transcript Document
Institutional and Technological Innovations to address Climate Change Jerome C. Glenn The Millennium Project World Federation of UN Associations www.stateofthefuture.org 15 Global Challenges–the Agenda today 1 How cancan sustainable development How sustainable development be be achieved for all? achieved for all? 2 How can have sufficient How caneveryone everyone have sufficient clean waterwithout without conflict? clean water conflict? 15 How can ethical How can ethical considerations considerations 3 How can population growth and How can population growth and become moreroutinely routinely become more resources be brought into balance? resources be brought into balance? incorporatedinto into global decisions? incorporated global decisions? 4 14 How can democracy How cangenuine genuine democracy How can and How canscientific scientific and emergefrom from authoritarian emerge authoritarian technological technological breakthroughs breakthroughs be be regimes? accelerated to improve the regimes? accelerated to improve the human condition? 5 How Howcan can policymaking policymaking be be human condition? 13 mademore more sensitive to to How can energy made sensitive How cangrowing growing energy global long-term demandsbe bemet met safely and demands safely and global long-term perspectives? efficiently? efficiently? perspectives? How can transnational 6 12 How can transnational How can How canthe the global global organized crime networks be convergence of of information organized crime networks be convergence information stopped from becoming more and communications stopped from becoming more and communications technologies work for powerful and sophisticated powerful and sophisticated technologies work for everyone? global enterprises? global enterprises? everyone? 7How 11 How thechanging changing ethical market Howcan can the How can can ethical market status women improve statusof of women improve economies be encouraged to economies be encouraged to the human condition? help reduce the gap between the human condition? help reduce the gap rich and poor? How can shared values and new 10 How between rich and poor? can shared values and new 8 thethreat threat of new Howcan can the of new and and security strategies reduce ethnic How security strategies reduce ethnic reemerging diseases and immune conflicts, terrorism, and the useuse of of reemerging diseases and immune conflicts, terrorism, and the microorganisms be reduced? weapons of mass destruction? microorganisms be reduced? weapons of mass destruction? How can the capacity to decide be 9 How can the capacity to decide be improved thenature nature of work improvedas as the of work and and institutions change? change? institutions We Need A Global Strategy To Address Climate Change • Who leads? Who manages? • United Nations? • Bi-Lateral leadership? • Coalitions of global corporations? • What role for universities, NGOs, and Philanthropy? Potential UN Global Climate Change Strategic Development & Management • Connect government and UN agency future strategy units • • • • • via Web/intranet with the Offices of the SG and President of the GA Create an interoperable global futures scanning system in the SG’s Office and in each major UN organ Design a global situation room for the SG that might initially focus on global climate change Develop a UN integrated or collective intelligence system for just in time knowledge to support the Secretariat’s management Use Real-time Delphi to rapidly collect best judgments world-wide to support decisionmaking Support the UN situation room the UN-Gov Strategic Intranet, collective intelligence system, and RT Delphi In Addition To The Usual Suggestions On Climate Change: • • • • • Carbon Tax and Carbon Trading Reduce deforestation increase reforestration Industrial efficiencies and co-generation Conservation and recycling Renewable energy sources like wind, ground solar, hydro, regular geothermal, tidal, etc. • Which all are good, but other steps are very important that are less well understood Eleven Additional Steps To Turn Around GHG Emissions 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. 11. US-China Global Energy Strategy Saltwater Agriculture Carbon Sequestration Total Matrix Low cost electric car batteries Solar Power Satellites Enhanced Geothermal Animal protein without animals via stem cells Urban Systems Ecology TransInstitutions Global Climate Change Collective Intelligence UN Global Climate Change Strategic Coordination Can a global climate change collective intelligence be created… so that it can help politicians, energy experts, and the general public understand the whole energy picture… and get “just-in time knowledge” about specifics… to lead to better questions and decisions? One Approach 1. Build on a Phase I study by the Millennium Project for a global energy network and information system (GENIS) 2. Create prototypes, conduct initial tests (in cooperation with additional organizations (MIT, SRI, others) 3. Establish the operational system by others such as Google, Microsoft, Oracle, Branson’s Climate Change War Room, UN situation room) GENIS (Global Energy Network and Information System) • The Global Energy Network (GEN), providing communications and collaboration capabilities for a worldwide community of experts and others working on, or concerned with, energy issues; • The Global Energy Information System (GEIS), a repository (knowledge base) and associated interactive access facility for as much of the world's total knowledge (actual content, pointers to external systems, and ability to mashup from other databases into one integrated set of outputs) about energy as can be accumulated. Conventional user interface will be offered as well as alternatives User interfaces should show relation of parts and the whole An Information unit can be: • linked with ‘attributes’ in the column at the right • edited wikipedia-like by GEN • Receive additional inputs to be added to open- ended non-peer reviewed Example of an Issue overview An Application of GENIS in real-time during a political hearing for “just in time knowledge” Energy Dashboard GENIS Phase I is complete we are now seeking funds to build the Phase II prototypes The Millennium Project ... is a new kind of think tank It is Global... • Geographically •Institutionally •Disciplinarily • Research focus UN Universities Organizations Millennium Project Governments Corporations NGOs … May become a TransInstitution Millennium Project Nodes... are groups of individuals and institutions that connect global and local views in: Nodes identify participants, translate questionnaires and reports, and conduct interviews, special research, workshops, symposiums, and advanced training. …invaluable insights into the future for the UN, States, and civil society. --- Ban Ki-moon Secretary-General United Nations Enclosed CD contains over 6,000 pages For Further Information: Jerome C. Glenn The Millennium Project [email protected] www.millennium-project.org Millennium Project Scenarios • S&T 2030 • The World Wakes UP • Technology Develops a Mind of Its Own • Energy Scenarios 2020 • Business as Usual • Environmental Backlash • High Technology Pushes off Limits • Political Turmoil