Transcript Slide 1

An ambitious Vision for our Energy System
in 2030
Mechthild Wörsdörfer
Director - Energy Policy – DG ENER
European Commission
3rd Member States' Gas Forum 09/04/2014
Europe's priorities
Our goals
Why a 2030
framework now?
Competitiveness
Predictability
for policy-makers
and investors
Need for costeffective and joint
solutions
Security of
supply
Sustainability
Presentation of J.M. Barroso to the European Council, 20-21 March 2014
Speaking with
one voice
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A renewed ambition for 2030
2020
2030
20 %
GHG
20%
RES
40 %
GHG
20 %
EE
≥ 27
%
RES
New Key
Indicators
2014
New governance system
Gas increased role in EU power generation
Power generating capacities
in the EU in 2013 (in years)
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Renewables
(including hydro)
300,000
300.000 MW
MW
250,000
250.000 MW
MW
200,000
200.000 MW
MW
150,000
150.000 MW
MW
100,000
100.000 MW
MW
50,000
50.000 MW
00 MW
MW
<10
11-20
20-30
30-40
40-50
>50
Years
Presentation of J.M. Barroso to the European Council, 20-21 March 2014
Source: Platts Power Vision
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Role of Gas in the 2030 scenarios (1)
Gas in future energy mix: shares of GIC
45.00%
40.00%
Oil
35.00%
30.00%
25.00%
Gas
20.00%
Solids
15.00%
10.00%
RES
5.00%
0.00%
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
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2025
2030
Role of Gas in the 2030 scenarios (2)
Future power capacities
GW net
Capacity additions (GW net)
1600
Solar and other
1400
Wind
Hydro
1200
600
Solar and other
Wind
500
Biomass
1000
Peak devices
800
Gas/Oil Conv.
CCS gas
600
CCGT
400
Hydro
400
Biomass
Gas/Oil Conv.
300
CCGT
CCS
200
Solids
CCS solids
200
Solids
Nuclear
2050
2045
2040
2035
2030
2025
2020
2015
2010
2005
2000
0
100
Nuclear
0
2001-10 2011-20 2021-30 2031-40 2041-50
Connecting and diversifying
Reaping the benefits of a fully integrated
energy market up to 2030
Internal market:
€ 43 - 70 bn per
year in gas and
electricity
5 years of the EU
current gas consumption
Wind
offshore
Potential for
renewable energy
Wind
onshore
Hydroelectric
Future potential
for gas sources
Solar
Potential for
shale gas
15 years of the EU
current gas consumption
Presentation of J.M. Barroso to the European Council, 20-21 March 2014
250 years of the EU
current gas consumption
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Next steps
Follow-up on the European Council conclusions:
 European Council to agree on the 2030 framework by October 2014 at
the latest.
 For June European Council, progress should be made on:
- Impact at MS level of EU-wide targets for GHG reductions and RES;
- Mechanisms which will result in an overall fair effort sharing;
- Measures to prevent potential carbon leakage in order to ensure the
competitiveness of Europe's energy-intensive industries;
- A review of the Energy Efficiency Directive and an energy efficiency
framework.
 Interconnection objectives to be attained by 2030
 In-depth study on EU Energy Security and comprehensive plan for the
reduction of EU energy dependence by June 2014.
Presentation of J.M. Barroso to the European Council, 20-21 March 2014
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