Transcript Achieving the Full Portfolio: Climate Technology Demonstration Initiatives NARUC Winter Meetings/ERE Committee February 17, 2008 Ellen Petrill Director, Public/Private Partnerships [email protected] www.epri.com.

Achieving the Full Portfolio:
Climate Technology
Demonstration Initiatives
NARUC Winter Meetings/ERE Committee
February 17, 2008
Ellen Petrill
Director, Public/Private Partnerships
[email protected]
www.epri.com
EPRI Climate Technologies Action Plan
• Prism/MERGE results
• Required technology advancements
• Demonstration projects
• Next steps
© 2008 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
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EPRI Prism: Technical Potential for CO2 Reductions
3500
* Achieving all targets is very aggressive, but potentially feasible.
3000
U.S. Electric Sector
CO2 Emissions (million metric tons)
EIA Base Case 2007
2500
2000
Technology
1500
EIA 2007 Reference
Target
Load Growth ~ +1.5%/yr
Load Growth ~ +1.1%/yr
30 GWe by 2030
70 GWe by 2030
12.5 GWe by 2030
64 GWe by 2030
No Existing Plant Upgrades
40% New Plant Efficiency
by 2020–2030
150 GWe Plant Upgrades
46% New Plant Efficiency
by 2020; 49% in 2030
CCS
None
Widely Deployed After 2020
PHEV
None
10% of New Vehicles by 2017;
+2%/yr Thereafter
< 0.1% of Base Load in 2030
5% of Base Load in 2030
Efficiency
Renewables
Nuclear Generation
1000
500
Advanced Coal
Generation
DER
0
1990
1995
© 2008 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
2000
2005
2010
3
2015
2020
2025
2030
8
Trillion kWh per Year
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Coal
Gas
Oil
Hydro
Solar
Demand with No Policy
w/CCS
w/CCS
Nuclear
Wind
Biomass
Demand Reduction
8
Full Portfolio
7
Limited Portfolio
6
6
5
5
+260%
+45%
4
4
3
3
2
2
1
1
0
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2000
2010
2020
*Economy-wide CO2 emissions capped at 2010 levels until 2020 and then reduced at 3%/yr
© 2008 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
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2030
2040
0
2050
Trillion kWh per Year
Increase in Real Electricity Prices…2000 to 2050
Achieving the Full Portfolio: Required
Technology Advancements
1. Smart grids and communications infrastructures to
enable full exploitation of end-use efficiency, demand
response, distributed generation, and PHEVs.
2. Transmission grids and energy storage
infrastructures to enable intermittent renewables
3. Expanded deployment of advanced light-water
reactors
4. Advanced coal generation units with CO2 capture
and storage
© 2008 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
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Achieving the Full Portfolio:
Launch the Technology
Technology
Challenges
Smart Grids and
Communication
Infrastructure
Transmission Grids
and Energy Storage
Infrastructures
Advanced Light
Water Reactors
Coal Generation Units
with CO2 Capture and
Storage
Demonstration
Projects
Smart Grids for EE, DR,
PHEV
Compressed Air Energy
Storage
Concentrated Solar
Power Plant (CSP)
CCS using Chilled
Ammonia
CCS using a Different
Technology
Advanced Pulverized
Coal Plant – UltraGen I
IGCC with CCS
Low-Cost O2
Production
© 2008 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
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Status
• Developing business plans
• Scoping funding needs
• Anticipate EPRI Board
launch in April
© 2008 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
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Climate Technology Demonstration Projects
Require Urgent Attention
• Prism/MERGE shows need for full portfolio
• Technology challenges must be addressed
• EPRI members taking leadership roles to move forward
• Demonstration projects require broad support
• We want to collaborate with you
© 2008 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
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