Transcript Recent Mexican Data Sources in the study of international migration

Recent Mexican data
sources in the study of
international migration
Seminar:
The 2013 High-level Dialogue on International Migration and
Development: Implications for data collection
27 February 2013,
United Nations, New York
Purpose
• “The Seminar also provides a platform for
sharing country experiences in collecting
migration statistics and in using migration
data to inform policy makers”.
BACKGROUND
• Undocumented flow of Mexican nationals
both in and out of the country:
– Emigrants, mostly to the USA and Canada,
reluctant to take part in surveys and censuses
in receiving countries.
– Immigrants, mostly return migrants and their
foreign-born children. Growing proportion of
American and Canadian retirees.
Layout
• ENOE, Mexico’s quarterly labour force
survey
• 2010 Population and Housing Census
ENOE, MEXICO'S QUARTERLY
LABOUR FORCE SURVEY
ENOE
One of the longest-running statistical projects in
the country.
• Main purpose, to produce national and statelevel quarterly unemployment rates.
– Information collected continuously over threemonth periods.
– Sample size fixed at 120,060 dwellings every
quarter.
– New entries are randomly selected with unequal
probabilities from stratified sampling frame.
Rotation pattern
• Each quarter, 20% of households leave sample
after completing five-interview tour,
• replaced by new (semi-)panel with same size,
• remains in sample for five consecutive rounds of
interviews, one quarter apart.
• Hence, 80% quarter-to-quarter sample overlap.
• Useful in determining quarterly change patterns in
– household composition,
– occupational status of individuals,
– etc.
Rotation pattern as means to
gauge change
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Common sample in two successive quarters due to ENOE's Rotation Pattern
Numerical Results
Quarterly Migration Rates in Mexico, 20062012.
(per 10,000 inhabitants)
160
140
120
100
80
60
40
Internationa
l Emigration
Internationa
l
immigration
20
0
http://www.inegi.org.mx/inegi/contenidos/espanol/prensa/Boletines/Boletin/Comunicados/Especiales/2012/Diciembre/comunica4.pdf
Quarterly Net Migration Rates in Mexico,
2006-2012, (per 10,000 inhabitants).
20
0
-20
-40
-60
-80
-100
-120
http://www.inegi.org.mx/inegi/contenidos/espanol/prensa/Boletines/Boletin/Comunicados/Especiales/2012/Diciembre/comunica4.pdf
Year-over-Year Job Growth in Metropolitan
Areas, USA, 2001-2012
(Natural Resources, Mining, Construction)
15.00%
10.00%
5.00%
0.00%
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
-5.00%
-10.00%
-15.00%
-20.00%
Source: http://www.pittsburghtoday.org/view_economy_job_growth_years_change.html, Feb. 19, 2013.
Results.
• Declining trend in the number of out
migrants from 2006
– Burst of the housing bubble in the US?
• Also declining but less markedly for
immigration, includes return migrants.
• Distinct seasonal pattern exhibited by both
out- and in-migrants over the same period
– Regaining momentum.
2010 POPULATION CENSUS
International Migration in the Long Form
Over the last five years, in other words, from June 2005
to date, has anyone living with you now or at that time
(in this dwelling) gone to live in a different country?
Yes
(1)
No
(3) -> Go to section V
How many people?
|_|_|
Write number
Please give me the name of each
person who went to live abroad
between June, 2005 and today.
(Write name in item (4)).
For each person named, inquire:
Was (NAME) living
with
you
when
he/she left last time?
Mark only one code
YES … 1
NO … 3
Is (NAME)
female?
male
or
How old was (NAME)
when he/she left last
time?
State year and month
when (NAME) left last time
to live abroad?
Mark only one code
MALE … 1
IF UNDER ONE WRITE
“000”
|_|_|
WRITE MONTH
FEMALE … 3
|_|_|_|
WRITE AGE IN YEARS
|_|_|_|_|
WRITE YEAR
International Migrant population by current place of residence.
Unspecified
3%
Return Migrant
32%
Emigrant
65%
International migrant population by age group.
60
Unspecified 00-14 años
años y
5%
3%
50-59 años más
4%
2%
35-49 años
18%
15-24 años
41%
25-34 años
27%
International migrant population by country of destination.
Other country
7%
Unspecified
4%
United States of
America
89%
Return international migrant population by duration of migration.
Unspecified
10%
3 to 5 years
15%
1 to 3 years
41%
Under 1 year
34%
Conociendo México
01 800 111 46 34
www.inegi.org.mx
[email protected]
@inegi_informa
INEGI Informa