Transcript Clean Air for Europe Revision of the NECD TFIAM, 17-19 May 2006, Roma Eduard Dame DG ENV,Unit C5 European Commission: DG Environment.

Clean Air for Europe
Revision of the NECD
TFIAM, 17-19 May 2006, Roma
Eduard Dame
DG ENV,Unit C5
European Commission: DG Environment
New Unit C5 (1)
Energy &Environment
Mission:
 Connect and integrate energy and environment policies
 Deliver projections, scenario’s, CBA’s on atmospheric
emissions for IA’s related to legislative proposals and
communications
 Responsible for the implementation and the revision of
the National Emission Ceilings Directive
European Commission: DG Environment
New Unit C5
Head of Unit ff:
 Matti Vainio
Staff members (in alphabetical order):
 Scott Brockett
 Eduard Dame
 Jacques Delsalle
 Erik Tang
 Stefaan Vergote
 Andre Zuber
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Secretary:
 Sarah Asmanis de Schacht
European Commission: DG Environment
Thematic Strategy on Air Pollution
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Single directive for ambient air quality legislation
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Revision of the National Emission Ceilings Directive
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Integrating air quality into other policy area’s:
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Energy
Smaller combustion plants
VOC emissions at fuel stations
Transport
Aviation
Shipping
Agriculture
European Commission: DG Environment
Thematic Strategy on Air Pollution
Objective:
Costs: 7.1 bnEuro/year
European Commission: DG Environment
Air Quality Directive
Legislative proposal attached to TS:
 Simplification of air quality legislation
 Strengthening implementation
 Modernising monitoring and reporting
 Control of human exposure to PM2.5
Proposal now under discussion in Council and EP.
Possibly political agreement at Environment
Council of June 2006.
European Commission: DG Environment
Political context of NECD-revision (1)
TS on Air Pollution states:
 NECD-proposal will be based on same level of ambition
as TS
 Detailed IA is needed
 Integrated approach to nitrogen management will be
respected
 Ceilings for PM will be considered
 Simplified implementation and reporting provisions will
be considered
European Commission: DG Environment
Political context (2)
Council Conclusions of 9 March 2006:
 Welcomes a proposal as soon as possible
 Experiences and difficulties faced by the MS during
implementation should be taken into account
 Proposal should be based on a mix of national,
Community and international measures
EP has not finalized their opinion yet:
 Hearing at 11 May 2006
 Environment Commission votes at 12 June 2006
 The Plenary votes at 4 July 2006
European Commission: DG Environment
Articles 9 – 10 of NECD
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Review in 2004 and 2008
Take on board all elements of article 9
Evaluation of emission ceilings for the EU as a whole
CBA - Least possible uncertainty
Modification of the NEC’s and/or interim environmental
objectives
Proposals for further emission reduction as well
European Commission: DG Environment
The work to be done ……..
European Commission: DG Environment
Work plan
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Realistically, directive proposal in summer 2007
Some studies are still ongoing
Modelling work to start after new baseline has been
developed – September 2006
NECPI Working Group meets 6 times in 2006 and 2
times in 2007.
Regular Feedback from NECPI to CAFE SG
European Commission: DG Environment
Ongoing studies / contracts
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Integrated assessment modelling to revise the NECD
(IIASA)
Cost-Benefit Analysis (AEA Technology)
Energy modelling PRIMES (NTUA)
Estimation of emissions of PM2.5 in EU-25 (TNO)
Integrated measures to reduce NH3 emissions (Alterra)
Preparation of TREMOVE and policy scenario’s
(CU Leuven and AU Thessaloniki)
Baseline ship emissions (Entec, Met.NO and IIASA)
City Delta III project (JRC/IES)
Optimal control area’s & flexibility within the NECD
(TNO)
European Commission: DG Environment
NEC-PI meetings
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Input of Member States and stakeholders channeled
through NEC-PI
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3 meetings held
10 Nov 2005, 1 Feb 2006 and 15 March 2006
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5 more meetings to go
13 July 2006, 3-4 Oct 2006, 14 Dec 2006, Feb 2007 and
May 2007
European Commission: DG Environment
Outcome 2th Meeting (1 Feb 2006)
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Agreement on work plan
Information from models
Update of energy baseline
Methodological issues
- 5 meteorological years
- baseline & compliance with NECD
- Gap closure methodology
European Commission: DG Environment
Outcome 3th Meeting (15 March 2006)
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Agricultural baseline
Treatment of Transport in IAM
Cost-effectiveness and BAT-approaches
2020 target year for emission ceilings (role of interim
year 2015 still under discussion)
No ceiling for methane (first waits for results from
CLTRAP TF on Hemispheric Transport of Air Pollution)
Discussion on MTFR
Discussion on sensitivity cases
European Commission: DG Environment
CAFE Steering Group 2 May 2006
NECD-Baseline development
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Although the results of PRIMES (2005) match the
national NEC-projections for Europe as a whole, some
certain differences remain for certain countries
Some inconsistencies between national UNFCCC- and
NEC-projections
European Commission: DG Environment
CAFE Steering Group 2 May 2006
NECD-Baseline development (2)
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Both projections are likely to exceed in 2020 – at EU
level – the targets agreed for the first Kyoto commitment
period (2008 – 2012)
Air pollutant (baseline emissions) are sensitive towards
the stringency of the GHG/CO2-target
European Commission: DG Environment
CAFE Steering Group 2 May 2006
NECD-Baseline development (3)
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The Commission intends to use the national projections.
Further bilateral projections until 13 July 2006.
No national projections? Then the national baseline will
be based on PRIMES.
Any projection for the period 2012 -2020 will be
uncertain. Additional information of 4th National
Communication could be helpful.
European Commission: DG Environment
CAFE Steering Group 2 May 2006
NECD-Baseline development (4)
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National agricultural emissions are consitent with the
updated projections made by the CAPRI model for the
CAP midterm review. Ammonia emissions are lower than
in TS.
European Commission: DG Environment
Agenda 4th Meeting (13 July 2006)
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Results of new baseline comparison with previous TS
baseline
Discussion of City Delta approximation
European Commission: DG Environment
Agenda 5th Meeting (3/4 Oct 2006)
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NEC implementation issues
- Member State experience
- recognising uncertainty in the NECD
- sectoral ceilings
- contingent ceilings (link to EU measures)
- relative ceilings
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Trading and the results from ongoing study on optimal
control areas
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Discussion on non-technical measures
European Commission: DG Environment
Agenda 6th Meeting (14 Dec 2006)
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IAM results – reproduce Thematic Strategies
objectives
Ships scenario analysis
Some sensivity scenario
Discuss/revise required sensitivity cases
European Commission: DG Environment
Agenda 7th and 8th Meeting
7th meeting (Feb 2007)
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Sensitivity cases
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Non-technical measures
8th Meeting
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Final meeting of NECPI
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Agenda to be confirmed later
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Focusing on final advice of the Group to the
Commission
European Commission: DG Environment
Revision of EMEP/Corinair
Guidebook
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Revision funded by European Commission
Close cooperation between DG ENV- EEA and
CLTRAP bodies
Draft work plan to be presented at TFEIP in June 2006
Final approval by EB December 2008
Further maintenance by EEA
Legal base by comitology
European Commission: DG Environment
Conclusions TS AIR
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Thematic Strategy
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Air Quality Directive:
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Council Conclusions of 9 March 2006
European Parliament will vote beginning of July
Both focus on the need for more source-related more
Community legislation
Legislative proposal under discussion in Council and
Parliament. Probably a political agreement end of June
Revision NECD:
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The work for the revision of the NECD is planned and on track.
All pieces of the jig-saw puzzle to be ready in spring 2007.
European Commission: DG Environment