Permitting Public Health: Are Mixed Land Use Zones Improving Walkability? Carol Cannon, MA; Sue Thomas, PhD; Ryan Treffers, JD; Mallie J.
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Permitting Public Health: Are Mixed Land Use Zones Improving Walkability? Carol Cannon, MA; Sue Thomas, PhD; Ryan Treffers, JD; Mallie J. Paschall, PhD; Lauren Heumann, BS; Gregory Mann, BA; Dashiell Dunkell, MS; Saskia Nauenberg, BA HBSA: A Supporting Organization of Pacific Institute for Research and Evaluation DISCUSSION CDC’s Healthy Places Program identifies zoning and land use as critical for healthy communities; Zoning that segregates work, home, commercial, public and civic daily use activities perpetuates automobile use as primary transportation mode and discourages daily physical activities such as walking or biking; Public health compromised by diminished physical activity, leading to poor health indicators--obesity, diabetes, cancer, etc. LEGAL DATA: INDEPENDENT VARIABLE Variable: Comprehensiveness of each MUZ ordinance (adherence to APA guidelines) Legal Score (Comprehensiveness of Ordinance) and Walkability Score (Percentage of Daily Use Activities Within Zones)* Zoning ordinances from 22 California cities (populations of ≥ 50,000) collected and reviewed to identify mixed use zoning. Ordinances coded as allowing mixed use if: Independent Variable: Legal Final Score Dependent Variable: Total Percent of Walkability Use Categories Present In Zone One or more residential use(s) and One or more commercial use(s) permitted or conditionally permitted. Unstandardized Coefficients If ordinance only permitted public/civic uses and either ≥ one commercial OR ≥ one residential uses, ordinance not coded as mixed use. B (Constant) Strategy: Implement Mixed Land Use Zones (MUZs) to shorten distance between home and daily activities. Is this strategy working? Does mixed use zoning result in greater walkable proximity to daily use activities? * Defined as being pedestrian-friendly, pedestrian-accessible or pedestrian-oriented. METHODOLOGICAL GOALS 1) To determine the feasibility of using legal zoning data to predict neighborhood walkability. This effort was designed to augment the case studies prevalent in the field which use tools such as audits of community features, public opinion and public behavior surveys, and archival data to produce comparative, cross-sectional investigations. 2) To determine if the research design and tools available for this research produce interesting and important findings about the relationship between governmental policy and the walkability of mixed use zones within cities. SCORING AND ANALYSIS Walkability scoring: Each zone measured by number and percentage of use categories present, as well as total number of businesses found. Bivariate and multivariate analysis of relationships among legal and walkability data, including: Correlation of ordinance’s final legal score to percentage of walkability use categories present in zone created by ordinance; Control variables: City population size Socio-economic Status (SES) Size (area in square kilometers) of each zone .204 .026 46.065 Median Household Income t Sig. 7.799 .000 2.980 .662 15.458 .000 .000 .000 -.221 -1.843 .067 Race/Ethnicity: Black only -153.537 51.560 -.302 -2.978 .003 Race/Ethnicity: White only -1.798 .921 -.101 -1.954 .052 Race/Ethnicity: Hispanic/Latino/a of any race -87.769 31.929 -.698 -2.749 .006 Race/Ethnicity: American Indian/Alaskan only 330.184 77.563 .260 4.257 .000 Race/Ethnicity: Pacific Islander /Hawaiian only 796.752 543.497 .099 1.466 .144 -245.727 59.675 -1.094 -4.118 .000 Graduate/Professional Degree (% age 25+) 208.839 37.778 .751 5.528 .000 Conditional mixed use (residential and/or commercial uses conditionally permitted) Age: 19 and under 118.262 64.367 .378 1.837 .067 Overlay (zone that creates mixed use by combining more than one zone type) Age: 35 to 59 455.097 138.444 .718 3.287 .001 Other (zones that did not fit into above categories but still facilitated the mixing of uses) Age: 60 and over -166.273 99.453 -.260 -1.672 .096 168 Mixed Land Use Zone Ordinances identified. Each ordinance coded for 39 use measures; Area of Zone in Square Kilometers Four general use categories: Residential, Public and Civic, Commercial, and Industrial. Ordinances were categorized by type of mixed use zoning mandated: Explicitly mixed use (defined as such in wording of ordinance) Mixed use by right (residential and commercial uses permitted without conditions) High School graduates (% age 25+) * Controlling for city SES characteristics and area of zone in square kilometers. Legal Coding Ordinance Wording Commercial Redwood City, CA CN (Neighborhood Commercial District) Zoning Code, art. 13 (2010) 13.1 Purpose To provide centers for convenience shopping in the residential neighborhood planned and controlled to the extent that such centers will perform a vital service to the neighborhoods and become integral parts thereof. (Ord. 1130, eff. 7-10-64) 13.2 Permitted Uses. The following uses are permitted in the CN District if conducted entirely within a building: A. Grocery, retail bakery sales, drug, variety or hardware stores; B. Beauty, barber, shoe, gift, stationery, record, toy or flower shops; C. Neighborhood serving, ground floor dependent offices, financial services & medical offices, subject, however, to Section 13.10 provisions; D. Soda fountains & restaurants, not including live entertainment, dancing, or sale of liquor, beer, or other alcoholic beverages for consumption on the premises; E. Studios for arts, crafts, photography & dance; F. Parking garages for customer & employee parking only; Permitted Animal services (including sales, grooming, veterinary) x Artist work or sales spaces Drive-through facilities Unstandardized Coefficients Bars, taverns Entertainment and spectator sports venues Financial services x Food and beverage retail sales x Gas stations Offices Independent Variable (Legal) Equation #1: Entertainment Score Parking, commercial (non-accessory) Personal services including health clubs, gyms, laundry/dry cleaners, etc. x Repair services, consumer, including bicycles Equation #2: Financial Score Residential storage warehouses x Retail sales, general Vehicle sales, service, repair, auto parts & repair stores WALKABILITY DATA: DEPENDENT VARIABLE Variable: Number and type of daily activity uses in MUZ neighborhoods Google Earth used (key word searches, layers) to identify 43 locations and businesses constituting daily activity destinations. Name of businesses/destinations and total number in each category recorded. * Two geographical zones for each ordinance were not always present, hence the lower n. Interviews with City Planners: 15 City Planners interviewed about the history and implementation of mixed use zoning in their cities. Zoning Map OLS Regression Analyses: Key Results Across Individual Equations for Subsets of Walkability* x Restaurants Google Earth Map: “Grocery Store” Layer Key Markets Correlation of individual legal use scores to presence of analogous walkability use activities and number of businesses in zone. 59.628 Beta .362 For each MUZ type, two geographical zones randomly selected for analysis. (n=265).* Legal Scoring: Uses scored from 0 to 6 in each ordinance for closeness to, or distance from, APA model, taking into consideration both presence of use in ordinance and level of permission (explicitly permitted, conditionally permitted, or not permitted). Each ordinance given a final cumulative score. 69.921 Legal Final Score Hypothesis: Controlling for city population size and SES, the higher the MUZ comprehensiveness, the higher its walkability. Std. Error .242 RESEARCH QUESTIONS 2) What is the relationship between MUZ comprehensiveness (defined as greater adherence to the American Planning Association’s model MUZ) and walkability* of the resulting neighborhoods? Standardized Coefficients 1.173 Coded for whether use is explicitly permitted, conditionally permitted, or not permitted. 1) Can land use zoning create conditions for improved public health? Are municipal mixed use zone (MUZ) ordinances effective tools to increase walkable proximity to businesses and services, and ultimately, to improve public health? PRELIMINARY CONCLUSIONS PRELIMINARY RESULTS Equation #3: Food Score Equation #4: Medical Services Score Equation #5: Office Score Equation #6: Personal Services Score Equation #7: Repair Score Equation #8: Restaurant Score Equation #9: Retail Score Dependent Variable (Walkability) Presence of Entertainment (movie theaters, performing arts, sports arenas, other) in zone Presence of Financial Services (banks, ATMs, insurance, tax, and other related businesses) in zone Presence of Food Sales (groceries, markets, convenience stores) in zone Presence of Medical Offices (doctors, dentists, clinics, other healthcare services) in zone Presence of Offices (attorneys, computer services, government, other non-retail businesses/offices) in zone Presence of Personal Services (health and fitness, beauty, laundry, other) in zone Presence of Repair Businesses in zone Presence of Restaurants in zone Presence of Retail Businesses (books, clothing, department and thrift stores, pharmacies, electronics, home improvement, office supplies, ancillary, other) in zone Standardized Coefficients B Std. Error Beta** Sig. .017 .004 .258 .000 3.594 .719 .269 .000 3.794 .808 .261 .000 5.451 .905 .328 .000 4.300 .600 .331 .000 3.999 .661 .327 .000 .037 .009 .241 .000 .071 .010 .376 .000 Relationship between the comprehensiveness of municipal ordinances and the presence of daily use activities in the mixed use zones was significant. The more comprehensive and stringent the legal scores for specific use categories, the greater the presence of these uses in the MUZs. Analysis of legal zoning data is a feasible method for predicting neighborhood walkability. Comparative, crosssectional research designs can complement case study and archival approaches. This study raised the question: Under what conditions can the laws make a difference in offering walkable neighborhoods? City planners cited the economy as a major limiting factor for the development of new mixed use zones, resulting in numerous undeveloped or partially developed zones. LIMITATIONS The existence of a walkable neighborhood or zone is a separate question from whether people avail them of opportunities for physical activity. Further research is needed to determine the extent to which opportunity and its use intersect. Effective dates of ordinances are not consistently available. Some variation among results may be attributable to time between effective dates of original ordinances, effective dates of amendments to original ordinances, and/or timing of zone development. Despite legal designations of mixed used zones, some zones identified on city zoning maps were partially or completely undeveloped at the time of data collection. Some cities are in transition from land use-based zoning codes to form-based zoning. Form-based codes emphasize form and scale over individual use categories, and therefore score lower using this methodology. Regional differences may also affect the results. Cities in more rural areas tend to favor horizontal over vertical mixed use development. This leads to codes that emphasize single family housing over multiple-unit or other high density residential uses. ACKNOWLEDGEMENT 3.137 .499 .314 .000 This research was funded by the Robert Wood Johnson Foundation’s Public Health Law Research Program. Walkability Coding * Backwards stepwise regression used to determine best overall model for combined data (see previous table). The independent variables that emerged from that model [Area of Zone in Square Kilometers; Median Household Income; Race/Ethnicity: Black only; Race/Ethnicity: White only; Race/Ethnicity: Hispanic/Latino/a of any race; Race/Ethnicity: American Indian/Alaskan only; Race/Ethnicity: Pacific Islander /Hawaiian only; High School graduates (% age 25+); Graduate/Professional Degree (% age 25+); Age: 19 and under; Age: 35 to 59; Age: 60 and over] included in each of the equations pertaining to each walkability subset. ** The beta weights are included for ease of interpretation within each of these categories, not for comparison across-equations. Sue Thomas, PhD, [email protected], Carol Cannon, MA, [email protected], Ryan Treffers, JD, [email protected] Pacific Institute for Research and Evaluation, PIRE-Santa Cruz Office, P.O. Box 7042, Santa Cruz, CA 95061, 831-621-7937