Social, Ecological and Agricultural Resilience in the Face of Climate Change (SEARCH) المرونة االجتماعية و البيئية و الزراعية في مواجهة التغير المناخي Marj Sanour.

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Transcript Social, Ecological and Agricultural Resilience in the Face of Climate Change (SEARCH) المرونة االجتماعية و البيئية و الزراعية في مواجهة التغير المناخي Marj Sanour.

Social, Ecological and Agricultural Resilience in
the Face of Climate Change (SEARCH)
‫المرونة االجتماعية و البيئية و الزراعية في مواجهة التغير‬
‫المناخي‬
Marj Sanour Watershed
Palestine
‫ فلسطين‬- ‫حوض مرج صانور‬
Marj Sanour
‫مرج صانور‬
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Marj Sanour is located in the northern
part of West Bank within Jenin
governorate area.
Marj Sanour watershed forms a unique
closed watershed in the West Bank.
The catchment area of Marj Sanour
covers about 59 Km2 , lake area 16
Km2.
Lands of Marj Sanour are mainly
owned by some of the residents of the
seven surrounding villages. The
population of these villages reaches
about 30,000 inhabitants.
Rainfall is precipitated on the area
from October to May, while it ranges
between 400 to 1200 mm with an
average of 634 mm.
‫•يقع مرج صانور في شمال الضفة الغربية و يتبع‬
‫اداريا لمحافظة جنين‬
‫•يشكل مرج صانور حوضا مائيا سطحيا مغلقا يحاط‬
‫بالجبال من جميع االتجاهات‬
‫ تحتل‬، 2‫ كم‬59 ‫•مساحة الحوض الكلية حوالي‬
‫ بينما‬، 2‫ كم‬16 ‫االرض السهلية (بحيرة المرج) حوالي‬
.‫المساحة المتبقية تتشكل من الجبال و المرتفعات‬
‫•اراضي مرج صانور مملوكة لسكان قرى المرج‬
30000 ‫ في حين يبلغ عدد سكان المنطقة‬,‫السبعه‬
.‫نسمه‬
‫•االمطار تتساقط على المنطقة من بداية شهر تشرين‬
‫ في حين يتراوح معدل االمطار‬،‫أول و لغاية شهر ايار‬
‫ ملم و‬1200 – 400 ‫المتساقطة على الحوض ما بين‬
.‫ ملم‬634 ‫بمعدل سنوي يصل الى حوالي‬
Marj Sanour watershed; location and land use
‫ الموقع و استخدامات االراضي‬:‫حوض مرج صانور‬
‫‪The Planning Cycle‬‬
‫دورة التخطيط‬
‫الرؤية‬
‫التقييم‬
‫المراجعه‬
‫والتقييم‬
‫االستراتيجيات‬
‫التنفيذ‬
‫التخطيط‬
Stakeholder Analyses
‫تحليل المعنيين‬
Stakeholder
Primary / Secondary
Interest
Role
Farmers
Primary
Agricultural practices
Implementing +
Management
Ministry of Agriculture
Primary
Following agricultural practices
Policy, technology, fund,
planning, implementing
Weather data source
Information
Weather Department
Secondary
Environment Authority
Primary
Monitoring environmental
issues
Search + Evaluation
Water Authority
Primary
Following water and sanitation
sector
Policy + Search + Fund +
Technology +Evaluation
Municipalities
Primary
Following people affairs
Policy +Management +
Fund +Evaluation
Applying laws and conserving
resources
Policy (Monitoring)
Coordination between all
parties in the watershed
Policy
Police
Governorate
Secondary
Primary
Education Department
Secondary
Joint Council for water
and sanitation
primary
Manage water and sanitation
issues
Policy +Search +Fund
+Technology +Evaluation
+Application
Women centre
Primary
Consumers and awareness
Application
Charitable Association
Secondary
Helping poor people, and
awareness
Application
Watershed Association
Primary
Improve livelihood situation
Policy +Search +Fund
+Technology +Evaluation
+Application
Well owners
Primary
Managing and operating
agricultural wells
Application
Secondary
Monitoring health issues
Evaluation
Monitoring infrastructure,
municipalities and village
councils
Fund + Management
+Evaluation
Health directorate
Local
Governorate
Directorate
Primary
Guidance and awareness pupils Guidance and awareness
Stakeholder
Analyses
‫تحليل المعنيين‬
‫تصنيف المعنيين‬
Stakeholders categorization.
‫تحديد أنماط المعنيين وظروف التفاعل‬
‫بينهم‬
‫‪Stakeholder Effectiveness‬‬
‫تحليل العالقات بين المعنيين‬
Coordination relations between stakeholders in the watershed
Stakeholder
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10
Farmers
Agriculture Directorate
Environmental Directorate
Water Authority
Municipalities
Governorate
Joint Council for Water & Sanitation
Women Centre
Watershed Association
Well Owners
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10
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1-
2+
2+
1+
2-
+-
2+
2+
2-
2+
2+
2-
2+
1+
2-
2+
2+
2+
2+
2-
2-
1-
2+
2+
2+
2+
2+
2+
2+
1-
2+
2+
2+
....
2+
1+
2+
2+
2+
2+
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2+
1+
+-
2+
2-
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2+
1-
+-
2+
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1+
1-
2+
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1+
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1-
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Local Governorate Directorate
11
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Problem Tree
Marj Sanour…………Flooding & Drought
2003
2011
Problem tree of Marj Sanour
‫شجرة المشاكل لمرج صانور‬
Climatic threats matrix of Marj Sanour watershed.
‫مسببات و اثار المخاطر الناتجة عن العوامل المناخية في حوض مرج صانور‬
Vulnerability sources
Causes
Human
Natural
Event
Impacts
Sector
Intensive rain
a
Soil erosion in hilly areas
Agriculture
Natural closed watershed bounded
by mountains
a
Flooding of downstream area
Agriculture, and water
Low permeable bed soil
a
Destruction of crops and trees
Agriculture, and economic
Lack of infrastructure against
runoff in hilly areas
a
Destruction of infrastructure
Flooding
Un reclaimed hilly areas, and lack of
water harvesting techniques
a
Reduction of rainfall
a
a
Drought
Increasing of Temperature
Transfer of weed seeds and
spreading of human and
agricultural diseases
Health, and social
Water accumulation in downstream
area
Agriculture
Shifting of winter season
a
a
a
Frost
wave
Clear sky
Watershed nature
Drought
Reduction of abstracted water
Agriculture
Limited quantity of harvested
rainwater
Social
Increasing of power consumption
Social
Over pumping
Agriculture
Watershed area
Medium
Agriculture
Open areas
Medium
Industrial facilities
Increasing of diseases
Health
Weak awareness on healthy and
environmental issues
Environmental pollution
Environment
Industrial facilities and the use of
chemicals
Social
Social, and agriculture
Social
Agriculture
High
Over exploitation, and unsuitable
storage facilities
Flooding
Environment
Destruction of green houses
Agricultural land
Over pumping
Agricultural diseases
Increasing groundwater salinity
Destruction of infrastructure (pipes
and water meters)
Farmers and local
people
Drought
Over pumping
Destruction of simple facilities
Wind
storms
a
a
High
Lack of water harvesting
techniques
Agriculture
Water resources conflict
Watershed nature
Sudden change of temperature
Plowing and wind
Agriculture
Agriculture
Valley areas,
downstream areas,
and adjacent
residential areas
Weak awareness in protecting
public infrastructure
Lowering of groundwater level
Limiting of used agricultural land
Farmers and local
people
Agricultural pests, frost, wind,
and drought
Lack of land use strategy
Agriculture
Affected area
Low permeability of bed soil
Agriculture
Degradation of agricultural
production
Affected category
Lack of techniques
Economic
Inability to use the land
Other causes of the same impact
Degree of watershed
Sensitivity
to Climate
variability
Ownership conflict
Human abuses and occupation
military forces
Human abuses
Careless
Adaptive capacity analysis
‫تحليل القدرة على التكيف‬
Risk
Impacts
Soil erosion
Coping measure




Planting trees
Building stone
retaining walls
Avoid plowing
steep lands
Reverse plowing
Effective but not
enough


Not enough
Flood
Flooding of
Pump the water to
agricultural lands and adjacent lands and
inability to cultivate cultivate it
Effectiveness
Degree of the
Suggested adaptation
adaptive
measure
capacity
Land reclamation and
building new retaining
walls
Low
Crop damage
Re-cultivate the lands
with summer crops
Not enough
Infrastructure
damage

Not enough

Spread of diseases
and weed seeds
Build a drainage
canal
Rehabilitation
Remove of weeds
using chemicals and
deep plowing
Not enough


Recharge wells
Cultivate fodder
crops
Deep plowing
Make the
flooded lands a
natural reserve
Cultivate types of
crops that are tolerant
to flood water like
Alfalfa
Improve the roads and
develop a drainage
system
Vulnerability assessment of the watershed
‫تقييم الهشاشة لمنطفة حوض مرج صانور‬
Vulnerability Assessment of the watershed
Affected
area/ sector
Event
Exposure
Downstream
area
Water
sources
Plantation
area and
infrastructure
Flood
Drought
Frost
wave
Wind
storm
High-As it is a
closed
watershed,
runoff water
from hilly areas
drained and
accumulated in
downstream
area.
HighGroundwater
that forms the
main water
source is
directly
affected by the
precipitation
quantity.
Medium-The
area suffers
repeatedly from
frost wave in
winter months
causing severe
impacts on the
area.
MediumUnpredicted
windstorms
mostly cause
damage of
crops, and
infrastructure.
Degree of
Sensitivity of
the System
Highdownstream
area is very
sensitive to
flood.
Degree of the
adaptive
capacity
Low-suggested
adaptation
measures can
only upgrade the
system partially,
and these
options are
costly.
High-summer
water needs
already greater
than
production,
and many
regulatory
problems face
groundwater
abstraction.
MediumImpacts
magnitude and
affected areas
change from
year to year.
Medium-There
is ability to
regulate
groundwater
exploitation.
Some upgrade
measures by
now adopted but
it is not enough.
Medium-there
is ability to
upgrade the
system by
improving of
the system, but
it is considered
costly for
some people.
Low- Some
upgrades already
adopted, but
needs some
modifications.
Negative
impacts mostly
limited to some
crops.
Medium-some
modifications
can be applied to
reduce the
impacts.
Vulnerability
of the area
High
High
Medium
Medium
Social map showing the vulnerable areas of Marj
Sanour
Rainfall of Meithaloun Station
Maximum flood volume
1-2013
Resilience Vision
‫الرؤية‬
“Rural livelihoods in Marj Sanour watershed area are
rescued
through
demonstrating
effective
ecosystem/watershed management tool and
improving conjunctive use of both ground and
surface water in order to improve agricultural
practices”.
) ‫" سبل المعيشة الريفية في حوض مرج صانور (منطقة المسقط المائي‬
‫تم الحفاظ عليها من خالل االستخدام الفعال ألدوات إدارة النظام البيئي‬
‫ الحوض المائي وتحسن االستخدام المشترك لكال المياه الجوفية‬/
"‫والسطحية من أجل تحسين الممارسات الزراعية‬
Principal Factors Affecting the Vision
‫العوامل الرئيسية التي تؤثر على الرؤية‬
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Lack of development plan
Lack of working staff interest
Weakness of monitoring
Shortage of infrastructure
Political situation
Weakness of community interest
Availability of fund
Climate change
Factors’ Categorization
‫مصفوفة لتقييم العوامل وفقا ألهميتها وعدم التأكد‬
Increasing Importance
More important and less
uncertain
-Lack of development plan
-Shortage of infrastructure
-Weakness of community interest
Less important and less
uncertain
-Lack of working staff interest
-Political situation
More important and more
uncertain
-Availability of fund
- Climate change
Less important and more
uncertain
-Weakness of monitoring
Increasing uncertainty of happening
Possible Scenarios
‫السناريوهات المحتمله‬
• Scenario 1: Funding is available and there is a
change in the climate.
• Scenario 2: Funding is unavailable, but there
is a change in the climate.
• Scenario 3: Funding is available, but there is
no change in the climate.
• Scenario 4: Funding is unavailable and there
is no change in the climate.
Developing Resilience Strategies
‫تطوير استرتيجيات المرونه‬
• First: Diversity Strategy ‫التنوع‬
• Second: Self Organization Strategy‫الترتيب المؤسساتي‬
• Third: Learning Strategy ‫التعلم‬
• Fourth: Sustainable infrastructure and
technology Strategies ‫البنية التحتية و التكنولوجيا المستدامه‬
Project evaluation and ranking
‫تقييم المشاريع‬
Type of Projects
Land Management Projects
‫مشاريع ادارة االراضي‬
Rainwater Harvesting
Projects ‫مشاريع الحصاد المائي‬
Artificial Recharge Projects
‫مشاريع تغ ية الميا الجوفية‬
Water Transfer projects
‫مشاريع نقل الميا‬
Environment Economy
Social
Overall
‫بيئيا‬
‫اقتصاديا‬
‫اجتماعيا‬
‫الكلي‬
Score Rank Score Rank Score Rank Score Rank
30.4%
1
60.8%
1
90.6%
2
53.8%
1
21.1%
2
59.9%
2
91.0%
1
48.9%
2
15.2%
4
46.0%
3
79.0%
3
41.0%
3
17.5%
3
13.7%
4
45.1%
4
24.3%
4
Pilot Projects
‫المشاريع‬
Project ‫المشروع‬
Water Harvesting
‫حصاد مائي‬
2 Artificial Recharge Groundwater Wells
‫بئرين لتغ ية الميا الجوفية‬
Agricultural Water Pond (25000 m3)
3
‫ م‬25000 ‫بركه راعيه‬
Water ponds & Land Rehabilitation
Budget ‫( الميزانيه‬US$)
Spain
28000
Netherland
110000
Netherland
250000
Islamic Bank
3000000
Institution ‫المؤسسه‬
PHG
PHG, UAWC
PHG, UAWC
MOA
2013
Thank You
Marj Sanour Watershed
Palestine
‫ فلسطين‬- ‫حوض مرج صانور‬