Transcript Review the process Review the findings Analyze - Hypotheses  Evaluate the CSLI process ◦ Review – what exactly did CSLI do?  Generated questionnaire 

Review the process
Review the findings
Analyze - Hypotheses

Evaluate the CSLI process
◦ Review – what exactly did CSLI do?
 Generated questionnaire
 Oriented students in intro meeting
 Reviewed questionnaire with students
 Reviewed nature of surveys/sampling
 Trained students in telephone/marking instructions
 Conducted telephone interviews
 Target at least 400 completions
 Accomplished – 487 completions
 Issue and post on Web site – press release forthcoming
 Expect coverage in major media –Capital

Questionnaire issues – initial contact
◦ Was the opening statement OK?
◦ Hello, I’m a student calling from Anne Arundel Community College whose
Center for the Study of Local Issues is conducting a survey on issues affecting
Anne Arundel County Residents. Would you please take a few minutes to
complete this survey
◦ Suggestions?

Questionnaire issues - questions
- Did any specific questions give you more problems than
others?
 Clarity
 Public constantly asked for restatement
 Vagueness of what is being asked
◦ Did the respondents seem to think that the questions were
generally interesting?
◦ Did the respondents think that the survey was too long or
short?
◦ Other suggestions?

Public receptivity
 Were you surprised by how easy/hard it was to obtain a
completion?
 Problems with phone numbers?
 Idle chatter from respondents?
 Bias among interviewers?
 Partial completions?
 Other suggestions
County: Right or Wrong Direction? Spring ‘99 to Fall ‘11
Positives edging lower in fall 20111
70
66
60
50
62
57
58
54
62
60 61
58 58
55
57
53
51
55
51 52 51 50 52
52 52
47
49 50
47
40
30
20
10
34
27
31
29
29
33 32
31
27 26
27
26
25 24
25
24
23
23
21
20 19
20
20 21
19
19 18
18
18
17
16
16 17 17
15 15 14
15
13
12
32
28 27 28 28 28
25
23 22 22
21 20
0
Sp Fa Sp Fa Sp Fa Sp Fa Sp Fa Sp Fa Sp Fa Sp Fa Sp Fa Sp Fa Sp Fa Sp Fa Sp Fa
'99 '99 '00 '00 '01 '01 '02 '02 '03 '03 '04 '04 '05 '05 '06 '06 '07 '07 '08 '08 '09 '09 '10 '10 '11 '11
Wrong
Unsure
Right
Economy shows sharp rise as problem in Oct. 2011
60
50
48
40
38
33
30
20
23
21
17
16
10
48
19
17
16
16
15
12
12
11
9
7
12
11
9
7
12
10
8
6
16
15
12
9
7
6
36
21
36
35
21
19
17
14
12
10
9
7
6
4
11
10
8
6
5
4
12
10
8
7
5
11
10
8
6
5
13
9
8
6
9
8
6
4
3
2
0
13
12
11
10
5
4
'06
'07
'07
'08
‘08
'09
‘09
‘10
‘10
‘11
‘11
Fall
Spring
Fall
Spring
Fall
Spring
Fall
Spring
Fall
Spring
Fall
Economy
High taxes
Growth
Education
Transportation
Crime
Unsure/NA
Other
County – Economic Conditions vs. State and USA
55
46
45
35
35
30
31
32
49
48
44
45
33
27
25
15
5
11 11 11 11
5
S '09
-5
9
S '10
S '11
Federal
S '09
S '10
State
S '09
S '10
County
48
“Thinking about our county's economy, how would you rate economic
conditions in Anne Arundel County today -- excellent, good, only fair, or
poor?”
(Total percentage saying excellent and good)
80 74 76
74 74 71 74
71 71 69
70
62
56 56
60
CSLI - AA County
50
40 38
30
26 27
20
34 34
22
38
F
S
F
S
F
S
F
46 48
5
10 11 11 13 9
5
F
S
44 45
32
31 28
27
17
0
S
49 48
49
42
Gallup - USA
10
55
S
F
S
F
S
F
S
F
S
F
'02 '02 '03 '03 '04 '04 '05 '05 '06 '06 '07 '07 '08 '08 '09 '09 '10 '10 '11 '11
9
80
75
71
70
70
60
60
60
56
52
51
51
50
46 47
44
47
40
35
30 29
30
24 24
19
20
33 32 34
35
32
21 2021
15
11
10
6
4
6
8 7 7 9
8
0
Facing the possibility of
unemployment
Significant losses in your Facing the possibility of
stock or retirement
Delay in making a major
house foreclosure or loss purchase such as a home
accounts
S '08
F '08
S '09
or car
F '09
S '10
F '10
S '11
Health care insurance is
unavailable, too
expensive or inadequate
F '11
70
63
59
59
60
56
55 55
63
61
58
56 56
59 59
63
60
58
53
50
50
40
42
41
40
32
44
46
43
39
30
30
24
21
21
20
11
10
12
13
21
17
15
14
10
11
0
Unable to find affordable Wages or salaries are not Hard to afford the cost of Hard to afford the cost of
housing
rising as fast as the cost
transportation
utilities such as electricity relation to government
of living
S '08
F '08
or gas
S '09
F '09
S '10
Taxes are too high in
F '10
S '11
services provided
F '11
Condition
Hard to afford cost of transportation
Significant losses in your stock or retirement
accounts
Hard to afford cost of utilities such as
electricity or gas
Facing the possibility of unemployment
Unable to find affordable housing
Wages or salaries are not rising as fast as the
cost of living
Delay in making a major purchase such as a
home or car
Hard to afford cost of taxes*
Health care insurance is unavailable, too
expensive or inadequate
Facing the possibility of house foreclosure or
loss
Spring
‘08
Fall
‘08
Spring
‘09
Fall
‘09
Spring
‘10
Fall
‘10
Spring
‘ 11
Fall
‘11
Spring
’11Std.
Fall
Dev.
’10
40
32
21
17
21
24
41
30
-11
8.42
n.a.
71
75
70
56
60
52
60
8
7.96
61
50
53
42
44
43
46
39
-7
6.67
11
15
24
24
19
21
20
21
1
21
11
12
13
15
10
14
11
-3
4.15
3.28
56
59
55
55
56
56
63
59
-4
2.6
n.a.
n.a.
51
46
47
44
47
51
4
2.56
47
58
59
59
63
60
63
58
-5
2
35
30
29
33
32
34
35
32
-3
1.96
6
4
6
8
7
7
9
8
-1
1.45
30
27
26
25
18
20
15
14
10
5
0
Found a new or better job recently
Received a salary increase or other increase in income
recently
County
Students
60
54
50
50
42
44
44
40
37
28
30
34
36
33
30
27
25
20
20
Bette
Better
Same
Same
11
Worse
22
20
Same
Same
10
36
29
25
20
54
Worse
Better
13
Worse
Worse
Better
5
0
Economic growth
Unemployment
Inflation
Your personal
financial situation
Better County
Better Students
Same County
Same Students
Worse County
Worse Students
Inflation forecast =>
Better
Same
Worse
Economic growth
12
16
40
Unemployment
15
21
47
2
14
32
Those saying worse regarding…
Your personal financial situation
57
60
53
46
50
46
36
40
32
30
29
25
20
10
0
16
14
Better
Same
7
7
Worse
11
Same
10
Better
Unsure
7
2
Worse
State of Maryland
Unsure
Anne Arundel County
Better County
Better Students
Same County
Same Students
Worse County
Worse Students
Unsure County
Unsure Students
90
80
Students: 29% home;
18% work; 22% school;
29% somewhere else
Students at school:
33% Plan; 44% No plan;
22% Plan unclear
79
69
70
61
60
40
38
34
34
30
Work
School
31
Somewhere else
25
18
20
10
Home
46
50
15
12
3
2
5
14
5
8
1 1
0
% at this location
Plan
No Plan
Plan Unclear
Unsure/NA
Method
% Saying used
Successful
Not
successful
Other/No
answer
County Students
Mobile phone
66
71
40
55
5
Text message
42
78
57
30
14
Land line
telephone
40
17
45
37
18
Email
25
9
27
41
32
Social media
19
49
25
40
35
50
45
45
40
35
30
25
25
20
13
15
8
10
3
5
2
2
1
0
TV
Internet
Radio
“News”
Mobile phone Text messages Social media Word of mouth
60
57
50
45
42
42
Internet
40
TV
Radio
29
28
30
Mobile phone
26
25
“News”
Text messages
20
15
14
13
8
10
3
12
6
2
1
2
14141414 14
4
4
1
6
2
4
0
Overall
Home
Work
Word of mouth
14
Social media
5
2
1 1
0
School
4
3
4
3
0
Somewhere else
Damage from storms
Satisfaction with insurer (N=114)
Yes
24
33
No
75
30
No answer
-38
Power outage: Duration for 66% who
experienced an outage
Length of outage
Under 24 hours
1 to 2 days
3 to 4 days
5 to 6 days
More than 6 days
Total
Percentage
24
20
31
19
6
100
Total
99
101
Was BGE effective after
hurricanes hit the area
P<.01
Did BGE do all it could to
lower the impact before
hurricanes hit P<.03
Overall
No outage
67
63
52
53
Percentages saying “Yes”
Under
24
hours
89
64
1 to 3 to 5 to 6 More
2
4
than
days
days days
6 days
71
68
53
53
50
50
39
50
Support for Proposals meant to Replenish Maryland’s Transportation
Trust Fund
Proposal
Support Oppose
Unsure
/NA
Increase the toll on the Bay Bridge from
$2.50 to $4.00
Create a new tax on ownership of
vehicles
Increase the state’s property tax, adding
$63 million to the fund
33
64
4
10
86
4
11
86
3
Increase the corporate income tax rate by
one percent, adding $100 million to the
fund
57
39
4
70
61
60
40
54
53
50
47
39
37
30
47
47
43
42
34
33
35
32
30
28
20
40
37
25
24
10
0
Fall '06
Spring
'07
Fall '07
Spring
Fall '08
'08
Spring
Fall '09
'09
CSLI
Gallup
Spring
'10
Fall '10
Spring
'11
Fall '11
80
70
72
70
57
54
53
47
47
47
47
42
40
33
24
18
10
7
0
F '09
S '10
F '10
Republicans
Unaffiliated
24
17
Overall
Democrats
37
30
20
67
61
60
50
70
S '11
F '11
45
40
42
37
35
30
33
31
30
34
32
29
28
27
25
20
37
34
32
31
30
21
20
15
10
8
6
5
8
6
7
4
0
Spring
Fall
2009
Spring
Fall
Spring
2010
Democrats
Republicans
Fall
2011
Neither
No opinion
1. Identify a dependent variable – attitude, preference
2. Identify an independent variable – a social/demographic characteristic
3. Specify a likely relationship between the two based on a “theory” or hunch
you have about people and attitudes
Test Hypotheses using SPSS
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
Login
Go to CSLI Web site: http://www2.aacc.edu/csli
Double click on CSLI_Fall_2011_Data.sav
Weight the dataset /data/weight cases/weight cases by Weight
Cross-tabs - /Analyze/Descriptive Statistics/Crosstabs
Find Income75– click once on it to select it then use arrow to place in
columns box
7. Find ‘v4.2’ or ‘v4.3’ – click once to select it then use arrow to place in rows box
8. Click on “cells” and then click on Percentages “columns” then OK
9. Click on “statistics” and then click on Nominal “Phi and Cramer’s V” OK
10. Click on OK in main crosstabs dialog box
11. Check results: Did a higher percentage of under $75k agree with “unemployment”
than those over $75k?”
Were the results statistically significant – were the Phi and
Cramer’s V values under the column “Approx. Sig” under .05?
12. If the answer is yes to both these questions, then it is possible that
your hypothesis is correct – you have disproved the ‘null hypothesis”
13. Try it again with the “significant losses in stocks and retirement accounts” variable (v4.3)
14. Continue with other hypotheses
15. In the last 10 minutes, we will go around the room asking you to tell
us your most interesting finding