Transcript Review the process Review the findings Analyze - Hypotheses  Evaluate the CSLI process ◦ Review – what exactly did CSLI do?  Generated questionnaire 

Review the process
Review the findings
Analyze - Hypotheses

Evaluate the CSLI process
◦ Review – what exactly did CSLI do?
 Generated questionnaire
 Oriented students in intro meeting
 Reviewed questionnaire with students
 Reviewed nature of surveys/sampling
 Trained students in telephone/marking instructions
 Conducted telephone interviews
 Target at least 400 completions
 Accomplished – 440 completions
 Issue and post on Web site – already available
 Expect coverage in major media –Capital

Questionnaire issues – initial contact
◦ Was the opening statement OK?
◦ Hello, I’m a student calling from Anne Arundel Community College whose
Center for the Study of Local Issues is conducting a survey on issues affecting
Anne Arundel County Residents. Would you please take a few minutes to
complete this survey
◦ Suggestions?

Questionnaire issues - questions
- Did any specific questions give you more problems than
others?
 Clarity
 Public constantly asked for restatement
 Vagueness of what is being asked
◦ Did the respondents seem to think that the questions were
generally interesting?
◦ Did the respondents think that the survey was too long or
short?
◦ Other suggestions?

Public receptivity
 Were you surprised by how easy/hard it was to obtain a
completion?
 Problems with phone numbers?
 Idle chatter from respondents?
 Bias among interviewers?
 Partial completions?
 Other suggestions
County: Right or Wrong Direction? Spring ‘99 to Spring ‘12
70
66
62
60
57
58
54
62
60 61
58 58
55
53
51
50
57
55
51 52 51 50 52
40
34
30
10
29
29
33 32
31
47
49 50
47
43
41
32
28 27 28 28 28
27
25 24
25
25
24
23
23
23 22 22
21
21
21
20 19
20
20
20
19
19 18
18
18
17
17
17
16
16
16
15 15 14
15
13
12
27
20
31
52 52
26
27 26
0
Sp Fa Sp Fa Sp Fa Sp Fa Sp Fa Sp Fa Sp Fa Sp Fa Sp Fa Sp Fa Sp Fa Sp Fa Sp Fa Sp
'99 '99 '00 '00 '01 '01 '02 '02 '03 '03 '04 '04 '05 '05 '06 '06 '07 '07 '08 '08 '09 '09 '10 '10 '11 '11 '12
Right
Wrong
Unsure
60
Economy shows sharp drop as problem in March 2012
50
48
48
40
38
36
36
35
Economy
33
Taxes – too high
30
30
Growth
Education
Transportation
23
Crime / drugs
21
20
16
12
12
11
10
17
16
15
9
9
16
16
12
10
12
17
12
7
11
10
10
9
8
13
12
8
6
5
6
4
8
7
5
11
10
9
8
6
5
9
8
6
6
4
7
5
4
4
2
0
'06
'07
'07
'08
‘08
'09
‘09
‘10
‘10
‘11
‘11
12
Fall
Spring
Fall
Spring
Fall
Spring
Fall
Spring
Fall
Spring
Fall
Spring
County – Economic Conditions vs. State and USA
55
49
48
46
44
45
45
38
35
35
30
31
32
33
27
25
13
15
11 11 11 11
9
5
5
S '09
-5
S '10
Federal
S '11
S '09
S '10
State
S '09
S '10
County
51
48
80
75
71 70
70
60 60
60
56
52
50
51
51
S '08
4647 47 45
44
44
F '08
S '09
40
35
35
333234 32
32
3029
30
F '09
S '10
2424
20
F '10
21 21
19 20
15
17
16
14
11
10
6 6
4
Facing the
Significant
Facing the
Delay in making
Health care
Found a new or
possibility of
losses in your
possibility of
a major
insurance is
better job
stock or
retirement
accounts
house
purchase such unavailable, too
foreclosure or as a home or car
loss
F '11
S '12
8 7 7 9 88
0
unemployment
S '11
expensive or
inadequate
recently
Condition
Significant losses in your stock or
retirement accounts
Hard to afford cost of transportation
Hard to afford cost of utilities such as
electricity or gas
Received an income increase
Facing the possibility of unemployment
Wages or salaries are not rising as fast
as the cost of living
Unable to find affordable housing
Delay in making a major purchase such
as a home or car
Hard to afford cost of taxes*
Health care insurance is unavailable,
too expensive or inadequate
Facing the possibility of house
foreclosure or loss
Found a new or better job recently
Spring
‘08
Fall
‘08
Spring
Spring
Fall
Fall
Fall Spring
‘09
‘10
‘11
‘09
‘10
‘ 11
Spring
Sp ‘12’12
Fa ‘11
Std.
Dev.
n.a.
71
75
70
56
60
52
60
44
-16
9.84
40
32
21
17
21
24
41
30
36
6
8.31
61
50
53
42
44
43
46
39
39
0
6.80
26
35
9
11
15
24
24
19
21
20
21
17
-4
4.50
3.98
56
59
55
55
56
56
63
59
66
7
3.65
21
11
12
13
15
10
14
11
15
4
3.13
n.a.
n.a.
51
46
47
44
47
51
45
-6
2.55
47
58
59
59
63
60
63
58
63
5
2.12
35
30
29
33
32
34
35
32
32
0
1.95
6
4
6
8
7
7
9
8
8
0
1.41
14
16
2
1.00
40
Spring
2012
35
Fall 2011
30
26
27
28
23
25
18
20
15
35
14
16
10
5
0
Found a new or better job recently
Received a salary increase or other increase in
income recently
County
Students
County
Students
60
55
50
46
40
40
44
42
36
44
40
36
34
31
30
25
20
27
29
24
18
18
14
16
9
10
6
0
Economic growth
Better County
Unemployment
Better Students
Same County
Inflation
Same Students
Your personal financial situation
Worse County
Worse Students
Support for Various Issues – Spring 2012
Proposal
Legalizing same-sex marriage
Doubling the so-called ‘flush tax’ from $30
to $60 to help improve wastewater
treatment
Increasing state funding by $15 million for
building affordable rental housing in
Maryland
The next two proposals would require the
county to take funds from other agencies or
raise taxes to cover the costs.
Shifting pension fund contributions for
teachers from the state to the counties
Strictly enforcing the requirement that local
schools be funded at no less than last year’s
levels
Support
Pop/Students
Oppose
Unsure
No answer
46/59
47/26
5/13
2/1
32/25
56/37
10/25
3/13
37/35
51/38
10/25
2/3
22/25
63/29
12/42
3/4
65/53
28/16
6/27
1/4
21/11
74/66
5/30
0/0
6% Increase in gasoline tax
Support for Gambling– Spring 2012
Agree
Adding a location in Prince George’s County would
increase state revenue significantly
Adding table games would increase state revenue
significantly
Adding a site in Prince George’s County would reduce
revenue at the Arundel Mills site and therefore reduce
Anne Arundel County’s revenue
Adding more sites or table games would lead to
significantly more gambling addiction
Expanding gambling by adding another site has more
costs than benefits
Expanding gambling by adding table games has more
costs than benefits
Disagree
Unsure
No answer
47/51 44/19 7/30
1/0
51/55 38/19 9/26
2/0
33/28 48/39 15/33
3/0
49/53 43/21
2/2
7/25
42/27 43/37 11/35
4/2
34/21 48/40 13/37
5/3
Satisfaction with Various Government Agencies– Spring 2012
Level of satisfaction
(very satisfied, somewhat satisfied…)
Have you had any
direct contact within
two years
Very
Somewhat
Not very
NA
Yes
No
87/75
67/42
68/61
41/43
18/34
8
21
16
27
19
1
8
6
16
20
3
4
10
15
44
42/28
45/52
67/76
51/70
29/4
58
55
33
49
71
Department of Aging and
Disabilities
30/46
12
9
49
25/13
75
Department of Health
36/39
16
9
40
“No answers” removed below
32
33
35
--
32/33
68
Fire Department
Police Department
Public libraries
Public schools
Permit application center
Permit application center
Department of Aging and
Disabilities
59
23
17
--
Department of Health
59
26
14
--
Satisfaction with Various Government Agencies– Spring 2012
Pollution of the Bay hurting the
maritime industry and water-oriented
tourism
Budget constraints limiting the ability
of county government to provide
services
An over-dependency on government
employment
Air pollution causing illnesses
Changes in the quality of county
schools
Rising sea levels threatening low lying
areas with flooding
Very serious
Somewhat
serious
Not very
serious
Unsure/NA
Total
66/41
21
11
2
100
43/57
28
19
10
100
43/37
27
22
9
101
39/46
26
32
3
100
39/57
26
19
16
100
31/45
33
27
9
100
CSLI
Gallup
70
61
60
54
53
50
47
47
43
40
47
45
42
40
37
35
32
30
42
30
28
25
24
20
10
0
2007
2008
2008
2009
2009
2010
2010
2011
2011
2012
Fall
Spring
Fall
Spring
Fall
Spring
Fall
Spring
Fall
Spring
80
70
72
70
61
60
50
54
53
47
47
73
67
57
47
47
42
40
42
37
33
30
20
70
24
34
24
18
17
12
10
7
0
F '09
S '10
Overall
F '10
Democrats
S '11
Republicans
F '11
Unaffiliated
S '12
Democrats
Republicans
Neither
45
40
42
37
35
30
34
33
31
30
37
34
32
34
32
31
30
29
28
27
25
20
37
21
20
21
15
10
5
0
Spring
Fall
2009
Spring
Fall
2010
Spring
Fall
2011
Spring
2012
1. Identify a dependent variable – attitude, preference
2. Identify an independent variable – a social/demographic characteristic
3. Specify a likely relationship between the two based on a “theory” or hunch
you have about people and attitudes
Test Hypotheses using SPSS
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
Login
Go to CSLI Web site: http://www2.aacc.edu/csli
Double click on CSLI_Fall_2011_Data.sav
Weight the dataset /data/weight cases/weight cases by Weight
Cross-tabs - /Analyze/Descriptive Statistics/Crosstabs
Find Income75– click once on it to select it then use arrow to place in
columns box
7. Find ‘v4.2’ or ‘v4.3’ – click once to select it then use arrow to place in rows box
8. Click on “cells” and then click on Percentages “columns” then OK
9. Click on “statistics” and then click on Nominal “Phi and Cramer’s V” OK
10. Click on OK in main crosstabs dialog box
11. Check results: Did a higher percentage of under $75k agree with “unemployment”
than those over $75k?”
Were the results statistically significant – were the Phi and
Cramer’s V values under the column “Approx. Sig” under .05?
12. If the answer is yes to both these questions, then it is possible that
your hypothesis is correct – you have disproved the ‘null hypothesis”
13. Try it again with the “significant losses in stocks and retirement accounts” variable (v4.3)
14. Continue with other hypotheses
15. In the last 10 minutes, we will go around the room asking you to tell
us your most interesting finding