National Ambient Air Monitoring Networks Now and Later PM model evaluation workshop Also troubling is the delineated use of measurements and modeled predictions. …..Measurements are.
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National Ambient Air Monitoring Networks Now and Later PM model evaluation workshop Also troubling is the delineated use of measurements and modeled predictions. …..Measurements are the current tool for strict regulatory applications, and models are used as a planning tool. ………The reality is that measurements really are just estimates of surrounding reality, and in one sense no different from a predictive output from a model. ……. Both these tools need to be more effectively merged to support in unity a host of regulatory and planning applications. Topics Current networks…routine Anticipated changes Overview of incommensurability and artifact issues Supersites National Level Routine Networks…S/L/T’s, EPA PM2.5: FRM, cont., spec (trends (daily), SIP, IMPROVE, SS); >1000 sites PM10 >1000 sites O3 > 1000 sites NOx/NO (NO2) > 400 SO2 > 400 CO > 400 Pb > 400 O3 precursors, PAMS >70 sites S, N deposition, CASTNET, > 50 sites 2000-2002 3-Year Average Annual Mean PM2.5 Data from AQS 7/9/03. Sites that operated anytime 2000-2002 (n=1239) Mean > 18 [Meets NAAQS completeness criteria] 15 < mean < 18 [Meets NAAQS completeness criteria] 12 < mean < 15 [Meets NAAQS completeness criteria] Mean < 12 [Meets NAAQS completeness criteria] Does not meet NAAQS completeness criteria Urban and Rural PM2.5 Speciation Networks Active Sites as of 1/20/04: EPA data from AQS, IMPROVE data from VIEWS EPA Trends speciation site EPA State/Local/Tribal speciation site IMPROVE site Supersites IRD Study Domain Southeastern Canada Pittsburgh Baltimore Fresno St. Louis Los Angeles Atlanta Houston Phase I Phase II Both Phases New York PM2.5 Networks ~ 54 Trends ~175 SIPs ~150 IMPROVE SS 8 Routine Speciation Mass Sampling ~ 1050 FRMs ~ 200 cont. PM10 (81102) Monitors VI NAMS (190) Unofficial PAMS (1) SLAMS (608) Tribal (16) Unknown (12) Index Site (4) Other (239) Industrial Data (69) CO Monitors NAMS (98) Unofficial PAMS (1) SLAMS (320) Tribal (3) Unknown (1) Other (90) Industrial Data (5) NO2 Monitors NAMS (51) SLAMS (211) Other (98) PAMS (10) PAMS / NAMS (2) SO2 Monitors VI NAMS (127) SLAMS (286) Other (110) Unofficial PAMS (1) Tribal (6) Unknown (3) Industrial Data (68) Non-EPA Federal (4) PAMS / SLAMS (26) Unofficial PAMS (10) Tribal (5) Unknown (1) Industrial Data (17) Don’t believe it NO2 Monitors NAMS (51) SLAMS (211) Other (98) PAMS (10) PAMS / NAMS (2) PAMS / SLAMS (26) Unofficial PAMS (10) Tribal (5) Unknown (1) Industrial Data (17) O3 Monitors VI NAMS (194) Unofficial PAMS (8) SLAMS (616) Tribal (4) Unknown (3) Industrial Data (9) Non-EPA Federal (32) Other (208) PAMS (5) PAMS / NAMS (19) PAMS / SLAMS (14) Areas with PAMS Networks Portsmouth Boston Providence Springfield Milwaukee Greater Connecticut New York Sacramento Philadelphia Chicago Baltimore Washington San Joaquin Valley Santa Barabra Ventura County Southeast Desert Los Angeles San Diego Phoenix - Mesa Atlanta Dallas - Ft. Worth El Paso Houston Baton Rouge • • PAMS areas Type #2 site Type #1, #3, #4 site Air Toxics Monitoring Network: Pilot sites and proposed trend sites Pilot city site Proposed Trends site (rural) Proposed Trends site (urban) Pilot and Trends Active Tribal Monitoring Sites [AIRS extraction= 8/12/02; Monitor Type='TRIBAL MONITORS'; No Monitor End Date] Red = Criteria Pollutant; Blue = Other, Improve Protocol 520 total monitors 80 Criteria Pollutant monitors 48 total active sites incl. 2 IMPROVE protocol 38 Criteria Pollutant sites 11 more planned IMPROVE Protocol Sites Comments on Historical Routine Networks Adequate ground level spatial coverage Especially PM2.5 mass, ozone But, Aerosols (mass and species) too much reliance on integrated techniques providing no diurnal characterization Criteria gases Except for ozone and NO, many meaningless measurements Trace levels, source oriented/microscale siting (CO, SO2) Comments on Historical Routine Networks, cont. But, Other gases NOy….very limited True NO2..? VOCs…mostly ozone season through PAMS Other precursors and indicators Nitric acid and ammonia….episodic/intensive programs only Peroxides, hydroxyl radical….intensive programs only Artifacts/problems….later Very limited multiple pollutant sites Act of convenience rather than design Changes expected from Implementing National Monitoring Strategy National Core Network: NCORE Goal: Move from loosely tied single-pollutant networks to coordinated, highly leveraged multi-pollutant networks with real time reporting capability NADP PM PM PAMS PM CO O3 O3 PM IMPROVE CASTNET SO2 Toxics Instill order and communication Principal Data Objectives of NCore I’d like to say………… “Characterize air quality as efficiently as possible in time, space and composition (physical and chemical properties)” Since any data use or objective relies on a fundamental characterization and benefits by enhancement…. Principal Data Objectives of NCore Public Information Real-time Input of Data From Across the Country Using Continuous Technologies Spatial Mapping (E.G., AIRNOW), Health Advisories Health/Exposure Assessment Support Input for Periodic NAAQS Reviews Emissions Strategy Planning (Emphasis on Initial Timeframe) What are the best emission reduction approaches? Provide DATA for Routine Model Evaluation and Source Attribution Do measured data confirm strategies are working? Major National Initiatives (Acid Rain, Clear Skies, NOx SIPS, FMVCP) Including HAPS (National) and Visibility Assessments Air Quality Trends and Program Accountability Science Support Backbone for More Diagnostic Level Work (Same for Local Sips), Health Studies NAAQS Determinations and Related Regulatory Rqmts. Emphasis on More Pervasive Ozone and PM2.5 NCore Measurements Level 2: ~ 75 Multipollutant (MP) Sites,“Core Species” Plus Leveraging From PAMS, Speciation Program, Air Toxics L1 L2 Level 3 Minimum “Core” Level 2 Measurements Continuous NO,NOy,SO2,CO, PM2.5, PM10/PMc,O3,Meteorology (T,RH,WS,WD); Integrated PM2.5 FRM, HNO3, NH3, Level 1. 3-10 Master Sites Comprehensive Measurements, Advance Methods Serving Science and Technology Transfer Needs Level 3: Minimum Single Pollutant Sites (e.g.> 500 sites each for O3 and PM2.5 and related spatial Mapping Support Siting Approach – Level 2 Balance between functional design (best locations) and logistical concerns (national equity, capable agencies) Step 1….Assume ~ 50 major U.S. cities provide variety for health scientists….long term epidemiological studies Step 2….Identify important rural/regional gaps for model evaluation Step 3….Leverage existing infrastructure (Speciation/IMPROVE and CASTNET networks; PAMS, air toxics NATTS) Step 4…provide siting and implementation oversight ??? Proposed Siting Approach – Level 2… Health meets atmospheric sciences Suggested Rural Locations for Level 2 Sites 23 21 15 18 14 3 1 7 Transport, Corridor, Background and Inflow Locations 6 16 4 19 17 8 13 5 10 9 12 11 20 24 2 Urban & Rural PM2.5 Speciation Networks Current/Planned SS SS SS SS SS SS SS Trends (54) Supplemental (~215 sites currently known) SS Supersites Daily Sites IMPROVE IMPROVE Protocol Castnet conversion Supplemental Information Deploy in 2002 Deploy in 2003 01/02 Today Future Directions Air Toxic Monitoring Ozone – PAMS Core Core + PM spec Core Spec Toxics Core PM Spec PAMS Core Spec PAMS Toxics NCore: Further Integration & Optimization NOAA/NASA Satellite Data Global/Continental transport Other Networks: Deposition, Ecosystems Intensive/diagnostic Field Programs Longer Term Goal: Integrated Observation-modeling Complex Similar to Meteorological Models (FDDA) Model Adjustments Through Obs. All in Near Real Time Full Delivery of Model Dimensions (Space, Time, Chemistry, Physical Properties) Recent efforts fostering NCORE implementation Air toxics NATTS (trend sites) at PM2.5 speciation locations Addition of aethalometers to NATTS Joint OAQPS-OAP (within OAR) test program at CASTNET site(s) Additional flexibility in use of STAG (e.g., PM2.5) funds to support more precursor and indicator measurements RPO initiatives…. Issue ? Funding for Level 1 sites Introduction to measurement…Modeling ……………..incommensurabilities and other issues Spatial representation Volumetric (model) versus point representation (measurement) Breathing level measurements….most of mass often elevated Measurement Artifacts Model attempts to characterize reality relative to true ambient properties, and natural removal processes (e.g., deposition to land/water/foliage) Measurements techniques alter ambient properties (heating, dehumidification), and removal processes (changing concentration gradients) within sampler universe