Army Landfill Gas to Electricity Feasibility Study Mary Matthews Hains, PE AMEC Environment and Infrastructure.
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Army Landfill Gas to Electricity Feasibility Study Mary Matthews Hains, PE AMEC Environment and Infrastructure Learning Objectives • Understand the criteria that can be applied to identify strong landfill candidates for production of methane gas for electricity • Understand the technical and economic factors that prove the feasibility of landfill gas to electricity projects 10-3-12 Net Zero through Emerging Technologies 2 Purpose of Study • Identify renewable energy potential from landfill gases at all Army installations in CONUS • 121 sites considered 10-3-12 Net Zero through Emerging Technologies 3 Process • Develop evaluation criteria; score database • Identify strongest candidates through questionnaires, modeling, and on-site records review with stakeholders • Identify equipment specs and preliminary cost to calculate potential feasibility • Conduct charrette of feasible options; prepare programming documents 3-4-12 Net Zero through Emerging Technologies 4 Evaluation Criteria Waste Composition Excellent Good/ Marginal Poor MSW reported NA NA Local Electric Rates >10 ¢/kWh >7.5 ¢/kWh <7.5 ¢/kWh Most important 3-4-12 Size (Waste in Place) Gas Collection Net Zero System Installation Landfill Age >1.5 M Tons Active or Closed <5 yrs. ago Yes Yes >0.75 M Tons Closed >5 and <10 yrs. ago NA NA <0.75 M Tons Closed >10 yrs. ago NA NA Least important Net Zero through Emerging Technologies 5 Initial Screening • Southern DoD Landfill Database – Desktop analysis; uses broad assumptions • Unknown waste composition? Assume some MSW – Supplemented with other databases • DoD Solid Waste Annual Reporting – Shows remaining waste volume, projected closure date, and gas collection system type • EPA’s Landfill Methane Outreach Program – Defines candidates as active or closed <5 years, with >1M tons of waste, and no planned/operational LFG project 3-4-12 Net Zero through Emerging Technologies 6 • • • • • • • • • • • • O&M + Replacement Costs Lifetime Savings Project SIR Fort Belvoir 0 $ 1,050,000 $ 1,021,733 $ 2,207,520 1.07 Fort Lewis-McChord 2 $ 1,900,000 $1,509,267 $ 2,365,200 0.69 Fort Meade 0 $ 1,050,000 $ 551,880 $ 3,090,528 1.93 Fort Riley 1 1,050,000 315,360 883,008 0.65 Fort Hood 0 $ 1,900,000 $10,479,960 $ 23,935,824 1.93 Fort Roberts Preliminary modeling indicates insufficient gas quantities. Fort Pickett 1 1,050,000 $ 197,100 $788,400 0.63 Fort Irwin 0 $ 11,250,000 $ 6 3,087,293 $ 145,349,424 1.96 Sierra Army Depot Preliminary modeling indicates insufficient gas quantities. Fort Bliss Preliminary modeling indicates insufficient gas quantities. Yuma Proving Ground 2 $ 1,900,000 $ 4 ,539,980 $ 6,527,952 1.01 3-4-12 XD Report 7 Results of Initial Screening • 32 landfills of 121 in the database were recommended for further consideration – Produced red-yellow–green measles chart • To refine the data, questionnaires were sent to 32 locations; 28 responded • Scored to reflect completeness of the data received, the year closed, landfill size, % MSW, type of gas management system, and electricity rates 3-4-12 Net Zero through Emerging Technologies 8 Scoring and Refining Score = (A + (B + C) x D + E) x F; where: A = Completeness of data set (values = 0, 1, or 2) Not Submitted – 0; Partially Complete – 1; Substantially Complete – 2 B = Closure date (values = 0, 1, 2, 3, or 4) Unknown – 0; Prior to 2001 – 1; 2001-2006 – 2; 2006-2011 – 3; Active – 4 C = Landfill Size (values = 0, 1, 2, or 3) >1.5 m tons (large) – 3; >0.75 m tons (mid) – 2; <0.75 m tons (small) – 1; Unknown – 0 D = Percent Municipal Solid Waste (values = 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, or 5) None – 0; Unknown – 1; <25% - 2; 25-50% - 3; 50-75% - 4; >75% - 5 E = Gas Management System (values = 0, 1, or 2) None – 0; Passive – 1; Active – 2 F = Local electric rate (values in cents/kWh) 3-4-12 Net Zero through Emerging Technologies 9 Top 11 Candidates after Questionnaire/Scoring • • • • • • • • • • • 3-4-12 Fort Irwin, CA Fort Hood, TX* Fort Bliss, TX* Yuma Proving Ground, AZ Fort George G Meade, MD Fort Riley, KS Fort Belvoir, VA Camp Roberts, CA Fort Lewis-McChord, WA* Sierra Army Depot, CA* Fort Pickett, VA *Net Zero Base Net Zero through Emerging Technologies 10 Scored better than Fort Pickett but discarded... • • • • White Sands Missile Range, CA* Fort Hunter Liggett, CA* Fort Sill, OK** Fort Jackson, SC** * Lack of a gas collection system, low precipitation levels, and methane monitoring reports showing only a few ppm methane ** Low % MSW, low ($0.06$0.08/kwh) electric rates 3-4-12 Net Zero through Emerging Technologies 11 Preliminary Modeling • Used EPA’s LandGEM software to model potential methane output • Model estimates savings-to-investment ratio for proposed plant (>1.0 = feasible) – Using data, scoring, modeling results and discussions with client, further investigation through records review was proposed – Pickett, Belvoir, Meade, Hood, Yuma, Bliss, Lewis-McChord chosen 3-4-12 Net Zero through Emerging Technologies 12 Ex: Fort Meade: Methane Produced vs. Captured, Cells 1 and 2 35,000 Methane (cubic feet per hour) 30,000 25,000 Average Methane Production 20,000 15,000 Methane Captured 10,000 5,000 0 1970 3-4-12 1990 2010 2030 Year 2050 Net Zero through Emerging Technologies 2070 13 Fort Meade: Methane Production by Cell Methane Production (cubic feet per hour) 12,000 10,000 8,000 Cell 2 6,000 Cell 1 4,000 2,000 0 2015 3-4-12 2020 2025 2030 2035 Net Zero through Emerging Technologies 2040 2045 14 Cell Area (Acres) 24 41 1 Methane Production (cf/hr/acre) Fort Meade: Energy Density 185 180 175 170 165 160 155 150 145 140 135 2 3-4-12 1 Net Zero through Emerging Technologies 2 Cell Average 15 Refinements from On-site Records Review • Some electric rates were incorrectly reported, skewing results • Trade-offs are challenging to evaluate: – Some cultural barriers exist in defending the “closed landfill” status – Non-attainment areas biased against installation of new plant equipment • If you are going to wander around landfills, you need to watch out for ticks 3-4-12 Net Zero through Emerging Technologies 16 Results of Records Review, Second Screening Location Waste in Place Closure Year Electric Rates Fort Meade 0.51m tons Pre-2001 Small Fort Pickett Fort Hood Fort Bliss JB LewisMcChord % MSW $0.14/kWh Annual Precipitation 41 in. Bad Good Good Good 0.51m tons Pre-2001 $0.10/kWh 43 in. 100% Small Bad Good Good Good 3.14m tons Active* $0.053/kWh 32 in. 95% Large Good Bad Good Good 2.16m tons 2013 $0.08/kWh 9 in. 82% Large Good OK Bad Good 1.20m tons 2004 $0.038/kWh 41 in. 79% Mid OK Bad Good Good 83% Gas Collection System Passive Methane Present? Passive Yes None Yes Passive Yes Passive Yes Yes State why Yuma and Belvoir are gone 3-4-12 Net Zero through Emerging Technologies 17 Design Considerations • LFG plants have an estimated installed cost of $5000/kW • The potential plant output from this study group ranges between 250 - 848 kW – Small compared to total base demand – $1.2M - $4.2 M capital investment • Meade, Hood and Bliss will likely prove to have a reasonable payback period and sites with SIRs> 1.0 3-4-12 Net Zero through Emerging Technologies 18