Transcript 1. Project Title Name of Investigator(s) & Institutions 2. Regions IA Progress Update Prepare a table following the format below, summarizing the progress.

1. Project Title
Name of Investigator(s) & Institutions
2. Regions IA Progress Update
Prepare a table following the format below, summarizing the
progress in your regional studies. Identify each Study Region by
Country/Region Name (e.g., Senegal/Nioro)
Activity
Fast Track
RAPs
Scenario narratives
Crop yield simulations
- without adaptation
- with adaptation(s)
System 1 defined
System 1 parameterized
System(s) 2 defined
System (s) 2 parameterized
TOA-MD results
Add more activities if necessary
Study Region A
Completed
Completed
Completed
Study Region B
not included
In progress
In progress
Study Region C
not included
Not completed
Not completed
Completed
In progress
Completed
Completed
In progress
Partially
Draft - preliminary
Completed
Not completed
Completed
Completed
Not completed
Not completed
Only no adaptation
Completed
Not completed
Completed
Completed
Not completed
Not completed
Not completed
Complete this information
Enter name of each Sub-Region
3. Study Region Information
For each Sub Region:
a. Describe analysis and objectives
b. Describe Population & Strata (Identify
Population and Strata: include descriptive name
for each stratum, e.g., large farms, small farms;
or name of place if geographic strata, e.g.,
Machakos district, Vihiga district)
3. Study Region Information (cont.)
c. Characterizing System 1
• Describe the farming system (Sub-systems and
Activities)
• Construct a box-andarrow diagram of your
system 1 and how it
relates to system 2
(e.g., see example, you
can do by hand and
scan or draw in ppt)
3. Study Region Information (cont.)
d. Characterizing System 2
• RAPs and Scenarios:
– RAPs design:
» Describe process used (e.g., meeting with project team,
outside participants, etc.)
» RAPs Narratives – (Submit DevRAP matrix file to the TOATEAM)
– Adaptation scenarios and narratives
» Descriptive name for each scenarios
» Narrative for each scenario
3. Study Region Information (cont.)
e. Outcomes and Indicators
• Describe the outcomes and indicators for the Fast Track
climate impact assessment.
• In most cases, this will be
– changes in the yield distribution of the crop(s) included in
the analysis
– Percent of gainers/losers for each stratum, and aggregated
across strata
– Gains and losses in net returns for each stratum, and
aggregated across strata
3. Study Region Information (cont.)
f. Parameterization of Systems 1 and 2 :
Provide a table that summarizes the TOA-MD model
parameters used, by strata (define units for each variable
that is not a CV or correlation):
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Area, HH size, Farm size parameters (mean, CV)
Subsystems components:
Mean, s.d. of yields
Standard deviation of net returns
Prices and mean cost of production
Fixed costs (if any)
Correlation between systems
3. Study Region Information (cont.)
g. TOA-MD Results
Provide a table that summarizes the TOA-MD results,
aggregated and by strata, for the gains and losses (in
value and in %), and for the percent of gainers and
losers.
Provide an interpretation of these findings in relation
to the changes in climate and crop yields that were
inputs into the analysis
Present the gain/loss diagram, aggregated and by
strata
4. Plans for Project Completion
• Modeling
– Target date to finish Impact Assessments
• Publication and dissemination plans
– Pubs? Presentations?
5. Submit to the TOA-MD TEAM:
- Economists must submit the following information for their
fast-track study area (and additional study areas if available) to
the TOA-MD Team ([email protected])
by April 22 :
-
The Project’s Presentation (PowerPoint based on this template)
DevRAP Matrix and RAPs full narratives
TOA-MD Input data files
TOA-MD Output (results) files.