Transcript Document

Greater Manchester Forecast Model
2010 update
1
Contents



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2
Executive summary
Introduction / background
Macro context
What has changed
North West outlook
Greater Manchester outlook
Summary local authority forecasts
■ Bolton
■ Bury
■ Manchester
■ Oldham
■ Rochdale
■ Salford
■ Stockport
■ Tameside
■ Trafford
■ Wigan
■ Greater Manchester
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Annex A – local summary tables
■ Summary tables – Bolton
■ Summary tables – Bury
■ Summary tables – Manchester
■ Summary tables – Oldham
■ Summary tables – Rochdale
■ Summary tables – Salford
■ Summary tables – Stockport
■ Summary tables – Tameside
■ Summary tables – Trafford
■ Summary tables – Wigan
■ Summary tables – Greater Manchester
■ Summary tables – North West
■ Summary tables – UK
Annex B: GMFM variables
Contact information
Executive summary
3
Uncertainty over the pace of the recovery



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
Uncertainty exists over the extent to which the
global recovery is truly ‘locked in’. The Euro
has weakened as concerns grow over a
number of countries’ performances, and the
Fed has also warned of a slower recovery.
We project that the nervousness over the
Global economy, fears over the pace of public
expenditure cuts and the VAT increase will
curtail growth to a modest 1.6% this year and
2.2% in 2011 (below the Office for Budget
Responsibilities expectation of 2.3%).
Key to economic recovery is the fortunes of
the private sector as clearly the public sector
cuts will have a severe impact - though public
sector sell-offs, and the relatively weak
exchange rate supporting UK exports should
provide some boost to the private sector.
The labour market looks extremely challenging
with peak levels of employment achieved in
2008 not forecast to return until 2015 and job
levels only expected to begin to rise in 2012
as the private sector recovery gathers pace.
Risks are skewed to the downside, with
increased uncertainty over global growth
prospects given softer data in the US and the
European sovereign debt crisis. There is also
significant uncertainty about how the domestic
economy will weather tighter fiscal policy.
Annual UK growth (% change per annum),
1992-2020
%
5
4
3
2
1
0
-11991
1995
1999
2003
2007
2011
2015
2019
-2
-3
-4
-5
-6
Source : GMFM
UK employment growth (millions), 1992-2020
millions
33
32
31
30
29
28
27
26
1991
1995
Source : GMFM
4
1999
2003
2007
2011
2015
2019
Greater Manchester similar plight to UK
Greater Manchester key indicators
Employee growth (000s)
Employment growth (000s)
Resident employment (000s)
Population (000s)
GVA (£bn)
Households (000s)




5
1998-2008
99.8
120.3
65.1
58.3
9.0
81.5
2008-2010
-49.0
-46.3
-33.0
39.8
-1.5
25.8
2010-2020
119.3
129.0
103.0
157.8
14.6
107.3
Greater Manchester is expected to see a 1.1%
increase in GVA this year, with over 46,000
jobs lost in the sub-region between 2008 and
2010.
Job growth is expected to return in 2012 and
peak levels of employment achieved in 2008
are not forecast to return until 2014
Unemployment is expected to remain above
65,000 during the medium term as job growth
is insufficient to ‘hoover-up’ the excess labour
resulting from the fall out of the recession and
as public sector cuts filter through.
Largely as a result of population revisions, our
population estimates for Greater Manchester
have been revised upwards from the 09
update. Population within the region is
expected to reach 2.8 million by 2023.
Greater Manchester employment growth
(millions) 1992-2020
millions
1.40
1.35
1.30
1.25
1.20
1.15
1991
1995
1999
2003
2007
2011
2015
2019
Source : GMFM
Greater Manchester annual GVA growth, 19922020
% annual
5.0
4.0
3.0
2.0
1.0
0.0
-1.0
1992
1996
-2.0
-3.0
-4.0
-5.0
Source : GMFM
2000
2004
2008
2012
2016
2020
Comparative performance
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
Greater Manchester is forecast to suffer
slightly less than the UK and the wider region
over the recession, and by matching UK
growth rates in the medium term it maintains
its relative advantage.
This is a result of the sectoral pattern of the
recession, which saw a particularly severe
impact on the industrial and construction
sectors - the sectors with key concentrations
in the Greater Manchester conurbation
(namely business services in particular) have
a stronger outlook in our medium term
forecasts.
The North West overall growth falls behind as
the industrial locations and those dominated
by public services and consumer demand-led
employment have less capacity to grow
compared to the more export-orientated City
Region.
The resilience of private service sectors is an
important factor in this forecast as the public
sector cuts filter through. Those areas more
reliant upon the public sector will be more
severely impacted by the squeeze.
The productivity gap is unlikely to change
significantly over the forecast period, even
with faster employment growth.
Total employment growth, 2008-2020
(2008=100)
2008=100
108
UK
North West
Greater Manchester
City Region
106
104
102
100
98
96
94
2008
2010
2014
2016
2018
2020
GVA per employee (£000s), 1998-2020
£000s
52
47
UK
North West
Greater Manchester
City Region
42
37
32
27
1998
2002
Source : GMFM
6
2012
Source : GMFM
2006
2010
2014
2018
District overview
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7
Population
Employment
1.2
1.0
0.8
0.6
0.4
0.2
High Peak
Congleton
Vale Royal
Wigan
Warrington
Trafford
Stockport
Tameside
Salford
Oldham
-0.2
Rochdale
0.0
Macclesfield

1.4
% per
annum
Bury

Population and employment average annual
growth, 2010-2020
Manchester

The impact of the recession means that all
districts are expected to continue to contract
up to 2010/2011.
Districts in GM South are expected to see the
biggest increase in jobs in the recovery,
especially the regional centre Manchester, a
function of the sectoral composition of those
areas which have a higher concentration of
service sector export activity.
Districts with a higher relative dependence
upon the public sector and manufacturing are
expected to experience slower employment
growth.
Population is expected to continue growing in
the long run, with significant levels of natural
increase, and may outpace employment
growth despite some slowing of inward
migration as a result of the recession.
Migration remains a crucial unknown within
the forecast and the release of the 2009 data
suggested that migration was more resilient to
the recession than expected.
Bolton

Source : GMFM
Population and employment change, 2008-2020
Bolton
Bury
Manchester
Oldham
Rochdale
Salford
Stockport
Tameside
Trafford
Wigan
Greater Manchester
Warrington
Macclesfield
Congleton
Vale Royal
High Peak
Manchester City Region
2008-2010
Population
Employment
(000s)
(000s)
2.4
-4.3
1.9
-1.4
19.8
-8.8
1.2
-3.7
0.9
-4.5
3.6
-4.2
2.1
-3.8
2.0
-3.3
3.5
-7.5
2.3
-4.8
39.8
-46.3
3.0
-2.5
1.1
-2.9
-0.2
-2.2
-0.1
-2.4
0.6
-1.6
44.1
-57.8
2010-2020
Population
Employment
(000s)
(000s)
9.1
5.9
9.8
4.2
65.3
53.1
6.6
4.2
7.3
5.7
14.7
15.2
7.9
11.4
10.4
1.8
15.1
20.1
11.6
7.5
157.8
129.0
14.0
18.4
3.8
6.6
2.3
0.4
2.1
2.9
3.7
0.6
183.6
157.8
Key risks
 International retrenchment due to fragile nature of the
global recovery
 Commodity price inflation: there has been concern over
building inflationary pressures but at present the overall
rate is under control
 Consumer spending falls as a result of income squeeze
and a further tightening of credit availability by banks and
financial institutions could slow the recovery further
 Multiplier impacts of spending cuts turn out to be bigger
than expected and/or crowding in does not happen
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Winner and losers
 Potential Losers
■ Public sector workers
■ Industries reliant on public
sector business
■ Especially if they are highly
leveraged
■ Retail & Leisure
■ Areas that are heavily reliant on
public sector-related jobs
9
 Potential Winners (might be
relative)
■ Exporting industries
– Including manufacturing and
parts of financial & business
services
■ Suppliers to exporting industries
■ Parts of the country least
dependent on public sectorrelated jobs
Introduction / background
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Model overview
 The Greater Manchester Forecast Model (GMFM) was
originally designed as part of the Manchester/Salford
Pathfinder project and is now managed by AGMA.
 The model provides economic, demographic and housing
forecasts for the North West Local Authorities. At present
the City Region areas are forecast in detail with
surrounding Authorities in the region available in less
detail.
 The model is unique in providing a link between housing
and the economy and the model has undergone a number
of developments since its inception.
 Annex A provides summary data for each of the City
Region councils.
 Annex B lists the main variables available within the model.
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Report overview
 This report includes a summary of the forecasts produced in the sixth
annual update of the GMFM model (Autumn 2010).
 An accompanying technical manual sets out the structure of the model,
the linkages within and detailed descriptions of the data used.
 A spreadsheet containing the majority of the forecast variables is also
provided to accompany this report.
 This report summarises the key economic trends in the global
economy, the UK, The North West, Greater Manchester and the
individual City Region Local Authorities.
 This report provides a very brief summary of the information contained
and users / interested parties are encouraged to contact the model
custodians within the Commission for the New Economy and the
GMFM model team at Oxford Economics to discuss any issues or
questions they may have.
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Purpose and aims
 The GMFM model has a number of key aims:
■ A consistent evidence base for the City Region for use in strategy
and policy development.
■ A set of ‘base case’ forecasts for the City Region prepared by a
leading independent forecasting house (Oxford Economics).
■ A starting point for looking at scenarios or alternate futures.
■ A ‘trigger’ mechanism to raise awareness of a wide range of
emerging issues, for example impact of migration, housing
development etc.
■ An information resource collating a wide range of data in a central
location and in a consistent manner.
■ A tool to help capacity building within Greater Manchester with
respect to understanding and using forecast material.
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2010 update
The update process
 Carried out in August-September 2010,
this is the sixth update of the GMFM
model
 Data cut off was 31st August 2010.
 The update includes:
■ Application of new forecasts and
outlooks
■ Entry of new / revised data
■ Presentation of results to AGMA
■ Consultation with Local Authorities
on forecasts produced
■ Production of the final report (this
document ) and a data spreadsheet
New data included
 New global, UK, North West outlooks
 New data
■ ABI (07 revised and 08)
■ Mid-year population estimates
(revised 02-08 and 09)
■ Housing stock, house prices,
completions, vacancies and
demolitions
■ Earnings
■ Resident employment (09)
■ Unemployment
■ 2010 Blue Book (2006 prices)
■ Personal sector (regionally)
Next forecasts due:
Interim assessment Jan 2011, 6-monthly forecast March 2011
Key data dates:
December 2010 - Regional Accounts
December 2010 - 2009 ABI
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Macro context
15
World economy on road to recovery?
 Over the last few months, global growth
prospects have become more uncertain,
as weaker economic data has interacted
with financial stresses related to issues
such as the lingering European sovereign
debt crisis.
GDP growth: US, Eurozone and UK
% year
8
US
6
Forecast
UK
 Growth concerns have become
especially pronounced in the US. GDP
rose only 0.4% on the quarter in Q2 with
a similar modest increase likely in Q3,
and both the labour and housing markets
have shown worrying trends.
4
2
Eurozone
0
-2
-4
-6
1980
1984
1988
Source: Oxford Economics
16
1992
1996
2000
2004
2008
2012
 Developments in Asia have added to
global growth concerns. The expansion
of Chinese industry seems to have
slowed, and industrial output growth has
also come to sudden halt in Japan in
recent months.
Modest growth forecast, but big uncertainties
World GDP Growth
% Change on Previous Year
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
US
0.0
-2.6
2.7
2.6
3.5
3.8
-1.2
-5.2
2.5
1.4
2.1
2.0
0.3
-4.0
1.5
1.4
1.8
2.0
Germany
0.7
-4.7
3.1
1.8
1.7
2.0
France
0.1
-2.5
1.5
1.6
2.0
2.1
-1.3
-5.1
0.8
0.9
1.4
1.4
-0.1
-4.9
1.6
2.1
2.7
3.2
China
9.6
9.1
9.7
9.0
9.2
8.8
India
7.4
6.7
8.2
8.3
9.0
8.8
Other Asia
4.0
2.0
6.6
5.4
6.2
6.0
Mexico
1.5
-6.6
4.7
4.5
5.4
4.8
Brazil
5.2
-0.2
7.3
4.4
5.0
4.6
Other Latin America
4.8
-0.6
4.3
3.9
4.7
4.3
Eastern Europe
4.8
-5.6
3.0
3.9
5.2
5.7
MENA
4.7
1.8
6.6
7.5
7.1
6.7
World
1.4
-2.0
3.5
3.4
4.1
4.2
World (PPP)
2.8
-0.7
4.4
4.3
5.0
5.0
Japan
Eurozone
of which:
Italy
UK
17
 The outlook remains highly uncertain, with
the big question-mark being the behaviour of
the corporate sector. Despite the woes in the
financial sector, it is non-financial companies
– rather than banks or households – have
been the largest driver of the global cycle.
 The counterpart of the swing to government
deficits globally has been big surpluses not
for households but for non-financial
corporates, and these surpluses need to be
spent if the recovery is to continue since
governments and households are still
rebuilding their balance sheets and not every
country can devalue their way to export-led
growth.
 In this uncertain environment, risks are both
high and skewed towards the downside. On
the upside, the release of accumulated
corporate liquidity into a new investment
boom is possible but, on the downside, a
sub-par recovery or even a renewed global
financial crisis – triggered by re-emergence of
the Eurozone sovereign debt crisis – is more
likely.
Is the UK recovering strongly?…
UK: GDP
%/quarter
1.5
1.0
 The Q2 national accounts confirmed
growth for the quarter at 1.2%, but
big question marks over the quality
of the data remain unresolved.
0.5
0.0
-0.5
-1.0
-1.5
-2.0
-2.5
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Source : Haver Analytics
18
 The figures for construction output
look particularly odd, with output
now estimated to have grown by
9.5% on the quarter, contributing
0.6% points to GDP growth. This is
far stronger than the business
surveys suggest, even in the
context of the snow-related
disruption to Q1, and we are likely
to see some payback in the Q3
data, particularly given that the ONS
reported that new construction
orders fell by 14% in Q2.
…or heading back towards recession?
UK: Purchasing managers surveys
% balance*
65
Services business
activity
60
 It is not only the construction
sector which is likely to see slower
growth in Q3.
55
50
45
Manufacturing
activity
40
35
30
Construction
activity
*value over 50 indicates
rising activity
25
2005
2006
Source : CIPS/Markit
2007
2008
2009
2010
 The PMI surveys reported a
marked slowdown in the pace of
expansion in August in services
and manufacturing, as well as
construction, and though all of the
activity balances remain above the
important 50 ‘no change’ mark,
they are significantly weaker than
earlier in the year.
 Survey data points to GDP growth
of around 0.4% in Q3.
19
Unemployment has started to rise again
UK: Claimant count unemployment
Change on month (000s)
150
125

There are also signs that the
recent labour market improvement
is coming to an end - in August the
claimant count rose for the first
time in seven months.

The sectoral employment
breakdown continues to show little
job creation outside of the public
sector.

Surveys point to further private
sector job cuts ahead, so we
expect unemployment to begin
drifting upwards again as the
effects of the public sector job cuts
bite.
Actual
Three month moving
average
100
75
50
25
0
-25
-50
2005
2006
Source : Haver Analytics
20
2007
2008
2009
2010
Housing market heading for double dip…

There is growing evidence that the
housing market is heading for a
double dip.

A range of surveys have reported
falling prices over recent months,
with the Nationwide index
reporting successive monthly
declines for the first time since
early-2009. The supply shortages
which had previously held up
prices have eased, while demand
remains weak with net mortgage
lending barely positive.

We expect prices to fall by around
3% by year-end and to keep falling
in 2011H1.
UK: House prices
%/3m-on-3m
6
Halifax
4
Nationwide
2
0
-2
-4
-6
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
Source : Haver Analytics
21
A sharp fiscal squeeze is underway…
 Discretionary fiscal tightening in June
Budget £40bn by 2014-15, on top of
£73bn inherited from previous
government.
UK: Government finances
% of GDP
48
Forecast
46
44
Spending (exc
debt interest)
42
 Totals for Departmental Expenditure Limit
(DEL) set, but no detail until the
Comprehensive Spending Review.
40
38
36
Revenues
34
32
1973
 77% will come from reduced current
spending, including £11bn from reform of
the welfare system. Note Total Managed
Expenditure still expected to rise £68bn
(10%) between 2009/10 and 2014/15
1978
1983
1988
1993
1998
2003
2008
2013
■
Current spending (“resource” DEL) -£3bn
between 2009/10 and 2014/15
■
Equivalent to -£39bn (-10%) compared with
rising in line with general inflation
■
Promises to protect health and foreign aid
will mean 25% real terms cut across other
departments over 4 years.
Source : HM Treasury
22
…with significant economic impact…

Policy represents a significant acceleration in
the pace of deficit reduction. Important for
markets and credit ratings agencies pending
credible departmental spending cuts

No doubt that cuts of 25% in real budgets
have significant implications for jobs – the
biggest cost in many areas of the public
sector

The policy mix is consistent with previous
successful retrenchments and the measures
aimed at promoting business look well thought
out. The cuts are spread across the parliament
and the Chancellor has been wary of tightening
too aggressively too quickly

Indeed, Government costs have traditionally
risen faster than general inflation

But public sector pay is being frozen for two
years for those earning more than £21,000 –
and suppliers will also be put under pressure
by actions resulting from Green review



However, it does represent a significant risk.
Previous austerity Budgets were successful, in
part, because they supported strong recoveries
in consumer spending – this time other areas
will need to take up the mantle
With a heavy reliance on trade, external events
will have an important influence. It is also
imperative that the Bank of England maintains
a loose monetary stance to offset the negative
impacts on growth of fiscal tightening
UK: Public and private sector wages
Public sector as % of private sector
114
Median gross weekly pay in public
112
sector as % of private sector
110
108
106
104
102
100
The Chancellor must be willing to be flexible if
conditions begin to deteriorate.
98
1997
1999
Source : ASHE
23
2001
2003
2005
2007
2009
…including public sector job cuts…
 OBR estimate 610,000 (11%) fewer public sector jobs by 2015/6 (490,000 fewer by
2014/15). This is based on assuming:
■
DEL totals set out in June Budget
■
Spending cuts are split equally between cuts in wage costs and procurement within DEL
■
Increases in wage costs are reduced by the impact of the freeze
 Oxford Economics central forecast has fewer job losses in the public sector
■
300-350,000 net job losses between 2010 and 2015 in public admin & defence, education, and
health
 Several factors behind this:
■
Some private sector jobs in these parts of the economy
■
Scope for bigger cuts in procurement than pay, plus any additional savings in welfare payments
will allow smaller cuts in DEL
■
It is not clear Government will be able to or will want to achieve these cuts in practice – they are
phased over time, and full extent of cuts could be revised before we get there
 However, there is no doubt that this remains a risk factor for the forecast, both in terms
of the direct impact on public sector jobs and the potential impact on the supply chain.
24
…leading to a very different jobs market
Sectoral employment change, UK, 1998-2020
Agriculture
Extraction
Manufacturing
Utilities
Construction
Distribution & retail
Hotels & catering
Transport & comms
Financial services
Business services
Public admin & defence
Education
Health
Other personal services
Total
1998 - 2008
(000s)
-67
-3
-1417
-24
398
185
253
229
54
1630
179
549
791
363
3030
2008 - 2010
(000s)
79
-8
-348
6
-202
-374
-83
-135
-78
-112
-11
56
232
-56
-1030
2010 - 2020
(000s)
-98
-17
-514
-14
188
417
222
187
55
1778
-195
-112
74
335
2298
Note: Top 3 changes shaded in yellow and bottom 3 shaded in pink
 Squeeze on public sector means jobs growth may be even more dependent that usual
on business services – even if some public sector job losses are offset within the private
sector and after 2015.
25
Regaining productivity losses…
UK: Productivity
 The resilience of the UK labour
market since the beginning of the
recession has been quite
remarkable. While GDP fell by 6%
from its early 2008 peak,
employment (workforce jobs) has
only fallen by 3%. This is in stark
contrast to each of the previous
recessions where the proportionate
declines in employment were far
greater than GDP.
 The sharp fall in GDP accompanied
with a relatively muted decline in
employment has led to a sharp fall
in labour productivity. Therefore the
risk exists of a ‘jobless recovery’
exists, since much of the labour
needed to increase output may
currently be in employment,
implying a very flat employment
profile.
UK
£000s
52
UK
47
42
37
32
27
1998
2002
Source : GMFM
2006
2010
2014
2018
UK: Employment outlook
millions
33
32
31
30
29
28
27
26
1991
1995
Source : GMFM
26
1999
2003
2007
2011
2015
2019
Oxford Economics’ forecast
Forecast for UK
(Annual percentage changes unless specified)
Domestic Demand
Private Consumption
Fixed Investment
Stockbuilding (% of GDP)
Government Consumption
Exports of Goods and Services
Imports of Goods and Services
GDP
Industrial Production
CPI
Current Balance (% of GDP)
Government Budget (% of GDP)
Short-Term Interest Rates (%)
Long-Term Interest Rates (%)
Exchange Rate (US$ per £)
Exchange Rate (Euro per £)
27
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
-5.4
-3.4
-15.0
-1.2
1.2
-10.6
-12.4
-4.9
-10.2
2.2
-1.1
-10.8
1.20
3.65
1.57
1.12
2.5
0.9
1.5
0.0
2.0
2.8
6.1
1.6
2.1
3.1
-2.8
-10.0
0.69
3.61
1.54
1.19
1.1
0.8
3.0
0.5
-1.0
6.1
2.3
2.1
2.6
2.7
-2.2
-8.5
0.89
3.58
1.48
1.32
1.7
1.7
7.1
0.5
-2.0
7.7
3.8
2.7
2.2
1.7
-1.7
-6.4
1.81
4.51
1.45
1.31
2.2
2.4
7.3
0.5
-2.3
7.8
4.4
3.2
1.9
1.8
-1.0
-4.1
3.52
5.26
1.48
1.31
2.2
3.1
5.4
0.5
-3.0
7.1
4.2
3.1
0.9
1.9
-0.4
-2.5
4.70
5.25
1.51
1.30
Summary
 The GDP data for Q2 suggested a reasonably strong recovery, though a lack
of consistency with other indicators leads us to be cautious
 There are some signs that the pace of recovery has slowed in Q3, notably
from the PMI surveys, though all surveys continue to point to rising output
 The international outlook has darkened somewhat, with concerns about the
US and Eurozone. Demand for UK exports looks likely to slow but will
remain a key driver of the recovery
 The outlook for consumers remains bleak, despite stronger retail sales
figures in recent months, and we expect consumer spending to lag the wider
recovery
 The corporate sector remains a key uncertainty. The funds are there for
investment, but are the incentives?
 Our forecast shows a slow, export-led recovery. The outlook is highly
uncertain, but we consider a double-dip to be a relatively remote possibility
28
Outlook still highly uncertain
Corporate recovery
 Oxford forecast
 Renewed global boom
■ Gradual rise in business confidence
encourages corporates to invest
■ But weak banks combined with excess
capacity limit scale of investment
recovery
■ Consumer spending recovery limited by
pace of job growth and fiscal
retrenchment
■ But recovery strong enough that fiscal
crisis remains contained
■ Strong corporate liquidity feeds into new
investment boom
■ Faster growth boosts business and
consumer confidence, and trade
multiplier magnifies upturn
■ Bank balance sheets improve quickly
and credit growth resumes
■ Strong growth boosts tax revenues/cuts
social security payments, helping fiscal
consolidation
 Sub-par recovery
 Renewed crisis
■ Threat of double-dip means renewed
slump in asset prices as Eurozone
sovereign debt crisis re-emerges
■ Pressure to cut budget deficits rapidly in
all major economies
■ Rising unemployment and business
failures feed back into banking
■ Limited scope for monetary policy offset
■ Business optimism remains low and
corporates continue to hoard cash
■ Investment and job growth is modest as
capacity is underutilised
■ Monetary policy supports banking sector
but fiscal coffers are empty
■ Easier credit conditions mean benefits of
loose monetary policy feeds through to a
stronger housing and consumer recovery
Financial sector recovery
29
What has changed
30
Population and migration
Population, Greater Manchester, 1991-2020
000s

000s
2750
GM GMFM 09 (RHS)
2800
2700
GM GMFM 10 (RHS)
2750
2650
2700

2600
2650
2550
2600
2500
2550
2400
2500
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2450
Source : GMFM
Migration in the North West: Oxford vs. SNPP,
1992-2020

000s
12
10
8
6
4
Greater Manchester
GMFM 09
Greater Manchester
GMFM 10
SNPP (2006 based)
SNPP (2008 based)
2
0
-21992
1996
-4
-6
-8
-10
Source : GMFM
31
2000
2004
2008
2012
2016
Population estimates have been revised since
the publication of our last report. The revisions
are the result of improvements to the migration
statistics. The impact of the new data suggest
an upward revision to Greater Manchester.
The key uncertainty in our outlook is how
migration responds to changing economic
conditions. Latest available data for 2009
suggested that migration continued to rise and
is currently at its highest level since 2005.
Taking the latest data together with the rise in
unemployment and anecdotal evidence,
suggests that many recent migrant arrivals
have not retuned home - perhaps due to
limited opportunities in their home country or
elsewhere in Europe.
The migration estimates in the current release
are more modest (and well below the official
2006 or 2008 based projections), though risks
exist and it is unclear how migration will react
to the economic challenges and the ‘jobless
recovery’ which may lie ahead for the UK.
Natural increase GMFM and official forecasts
Natural increase in the North West: Oxford vs.
SNPP, 1992-2020
000s
20
18
16
14
12
Greater Manchester
GMFM 09
Greater Manchester
GMFM 10
SNPP (2006 based)
SNPP (2008 based)
10
8
6
4
2
0
1992
1996
Source : GMFM
32
2000
2004
2008
2012
2016
 It is important to bear in mind the impact
of the natural increase projections.
 Natural increase has been revised
downwards since our last report –
largely as a result of including the official
08 projections (we use official births and
death rates within the GMFM model).
 In the short term over 3,000 fewer
people per annum are expected as the
result of the natural increase projections.
However, from 2020 onwards the
revisions are minor.
 Natural increase remains strong and
continues to be the major component in
driving the projected population growth.
Total employment
Employment, Greater Manchester, 1991-2020
000s
1450
1400
GM GMFM 09 (RHS)
GM GMFM 10 (RHS)
1350
1300
1250
1200
1150
1100
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
1050
Source : GMFM
Note: For GM the last published data remains the 2006 ABI, 2007-08 are
based upon the published regional data
33
 Employment projections have generally
been revised upwards in the current
release of GMFM (an additional 28,000
jobs per annum over the medium term
jobs), as a result of the labour market
proving to be more resilient to the
recession than was originally feared.
This has been in stark contrast to each
of the previous recessions where the
proportionate declines in employment
were far greater than GDP.
 This may be for a number of reasons,
including companies hoarding labour in
anticipation of better times, and a
flexible labour market where employees
have been more willing to sacrifice
overtime, work less hours, and forego
pay rises/ bonus to keep their jobs.
 The amount of time for the GM
conurbation to regain lost jobs remains a
worrying statistic, with the forecasts
suggesting no return to the 2008 peak
before 2014.
Unemployment & GVA
Unemployment, Greater Manchester, 19912020
000s
140
GM GMFM 09 (RHS)
120
GM GMFM 10 (RHS)
100
80
60
40
20
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
0
Source : GMFM
GVA, Greater Manchester, 1991-2020
%
%
5.00
5.00
4.00
4.00
3.00
3.00
2.00
2.00
1.00
1.00
-1.00
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
0.00
-2.00
-1.00
-2.00
-3.00
-3.00
-4.00
-5.00
GM GMFM 09 (RHS)
-4.00
-6.00
GM GMFM 10 (RHS)
-5.00
Source : GMFM
34
0.00
 The unemployment outlook has been
revised downwards in light of the recent
flexibility of the labour market (a
downward revision of 25,000 over the
medium term).
 The key question looking forward is how
firms will react to the loss of productivity
resulting from a sharp fall in GDP
accompanied by a relatively muted
decline in employment. We expect firms
to try to claw back productivity losses
over a more prolonged period than they
did after previous recessions. So the risk
exists of a ‘jobless recovery’, since
much of the labour needed to increase
output may currently be in employment,
implying a very flat employment profile
in the short to medium term.
 In GVA terms the recovery within GM is
likely to be faster than the region largely
due to professional services being a key
driver of the recovery.
North West outlook
A long climb ahead
35
The forecast: job loss across the country

Total Employment: Regional groups

Index = (1981=100)
125
South
Midlands
North
Devolved
120
115
Forecast

110

105
100
95
90
1981
1986
1991
1996
Source : Oxford Economics
36
2001
2006
2011
2016
Though the economy is expected to return to
growth by 2010, it will take the labour market
longer to recover. The labour market outlook
remains challenging with job levels only
expected to begin to rise in 2012 as the
private sector recovery gathers pace.
The recession has hit industrial regions
hardest in employment terms and for many of
these regions, it may take as long as ten years
to return to peak 2008 employment levels.
The labour market recovery is expected to be
slow and will be sectorally distinct from the
pattern of growth which typified much of the
previous decade.
The outlook remains likely to be led by the
Southern economies in particular, on account
of the sectoral nature of the recovery being
heavily focussed on high skill export
orientated professional services. The fortunes
of the private sector are key to the recovery as
the public sector cuts will have a severe
impact on many regions. This means that the
outlook continues to suggest widening
regional differentials with the Northern and
devolved regions taking longer to recover.
The public sector, once supportive, will be a
drain on jobs
Regional Public Services Employment
South East
London
East
South West
West Midlands
East Midlands
Yorkshire & Humber
North West
North East
Wales
Scotland
Northern Ireland
UK
37
1998-08
000's
%
168
19.4
168
20.3
130
24.9
155
28.8
127
23.5
97
22.4
139
26.2
164
22.6
69
24.6
91
28.7
178
29.9
33
14.9
1518
23.7
2008-10
000's
%
29
2.8
67
6.8
42
6.4
16
2.3
28
4.2
29
5.5
23
3.5
39
4.4
25
7.2
7
1.7
-33
-4.3
5
1.8
277
3.5
2010-20
000's
%
-37
-3.4
-44
-4.1
-24
-3.4
-27
-3.8
-25
-3.6
-21
-3.7
-34
-5.0
-38
-4.1
-19
-5.1
-21
-4.9
-37
-5.0
-8
-3.1
-270
-3.3
 Public services employment expanded
rapidly over the last decade (over 1.5
million jobs) and was a key source of
employment growth for many regions.
 Expansion within the sector continued
throughout the recessionary period and
consequently this helped to shield
against severe contractions within
regional labour markets.
 It remains unclear as to how severe the
impact of the public sector cuts will be
regionally. However, it has the potential
to significantly hamper the economic
recovery and is likely to cost many
people their jobs. The forecasts suggest
the lost of almost 300,000 jobs over the
decade ahead (and more in the next five
years before a modest recovery
thereafter), with the most severe
impacts likely to be felt within the
Northern/devolved regions.
North West forecasts
North West: GVA growth
% annual
4.0
3.0
2.0
1.0
0.0
1992
1996
2000
2004
2008
2012
2016
2020
-1.0
-2.0
-3.0
-4.0
-5.0
Source : GMFM
North West: Employment outlook
000s
3610
3510
3410
3310
3210
3110
3010
1991 1995
Source : GMFM
38
1999
2003
2007
2011
2015
2019
 GVA growth is expected to return in
2010 (1.1%), though growth is likely to
remain subdued until 2012 when a more
rapid recovery sets in. The economy is
likely to be reliant on net trade to drive
the recovery forwards, and downside
risks exist. Growth within the North West
is expected to trail behind the UK slightly
as the more globally focussed Southern
regions lead the way.
 It is unlikely that we will see a significant
acceleration in labour demand as the
economy recovers as the labour market
appeared to be more resilient to the
recession that was expected. The
forecasts suggest a slow climb in
employment and thus is not expected to
recover its recession job losses until
2015 at the earliest. The medium term
outlook is very different to the recent
past and no return to the mid 90’s to late
00’s boom is projected.
North West
North West: Employment by broad sector
000s
2500
Private
services
2000
1500
Public
services
1000
500
Manufacturing
0
1991 1995
Source : GMFM
1999
2003
2007
2011
2015
2019
Key export sectors
000s
900
Financial & business
services
800
700
600
500
400
Manufacturing
300
200
1991
1995
Source : GMFM
39
1999
2003
2007
2011
2015
2019
 Sectorally, the North West’s (and
the UK’s) recovery is reliant on the
private services sector as
manufacturing is expected to
continue its long term decline (albeit
at a much slower rate) and the
impending public sector jobs losses
begin to bite as the spending cuts
are rolled out.
 Much of the weight of the economic
recovery (at least in terms of jobs)
is therefore dependent on the
business services sector – this
depends on professional services
exports continuing to expand rapidly
as they have done in the recent
past, perhaps supported by some of
the activities of the public sector
moving into the private sector as
the spending cuts are implemented.
North West
North West: Public Services Employment
(000's)
1000
900
800
700
600
1991
1995
Source : GMFM
40
1999
2003
2007
2011
2015
2019
 Public sector employment continued to
rise sharply between 2008-10 with an
increase of 40,000 net jobs. It is worth
highlighting that the recessionary impact
on jobs would have much more severe
than the estimated 120,000 job loss, if
such growth had not occurred.
 Despite the forecast of a stark end to
growth in public services jobs within the
North West, this still only implies
employment within the sector falling
back to its 2008 level (though a more
severe contraction is a possibility).
 The majority of the job losses are
projected within public admin and
defence (18,000), with a loss of over
14,000 within education and 6,000
within health.
North West (continued)
North West: Unemployment level and rate

Unemployment
480
(000s)
430
380
Unemployment rate
14.5
Unemployment
rate (RHS)
12.5
10.5
330
280
8.5
Unemployment
(LHS)
6.5
230
180
4.5
130
2.5
80
1985 1989 1993 1997 2001 2005 2009 2013 2017
Source : GMFM

North West: Net migration and natural increase
Natural
increase
25.0

20.0
15.0
10.0
Migration
000s
5.0
0.0
1992
-5.0
1996
-10.0
-15.0
-20.0
-25.0
Source : GMFM
41
2000
2004
2008
2012
2016
2020

Despite recent claimant count data suggesting
some improvement within the labour market,
we expect a return to rising levels of
unemployment. The latest sectoral data shows
little job creation outside the public sector and
survey information points to further private
sector job cuts ahead, and we expect
unemployment to begin drifting upwards again
as the public sector job cuts begin to bite.
The result of the sluggish employment outlook
leaves unemployment higher than it has been
in the recent past. We predict unemployment
to stay above 4% and remaining at a similar
level to the late 1990’s.
Natural increase is expected to continue to be
the main source of population growth within
the North West. Migration is expected to fall to
a small outflow in the short run due the limited
job opportunities during the recovery.
Unemployment could be lower if net migration
out of the region accelerates faster than the
baseline forecast.
North West forecasts (continued)
North West: Key indicators
Population
Employees total
Self employed total
Employment total
Unemployment level
Residence based employment
Residence employment rate
Net commuting
GVA total, £m
Households
North West
2010
2020
2619.9
2777.6
1110.0
1229.3
147.8
157.5
1257.9
1386.9
75.1
63.8
1076.7
1179.7
64.1
68.8
44299.9
58904.1
1134.3
1241.6

Change
2010-20
6.0 (%)
10.7 (%)
6.6 (%)
10.3 (%)
-11.2 (000s)
103 (000s)
4.8 (pp)
2.9 (% pa)
107.3 (000s)

Source: GMFM
North West: Change in employment (000s)
Agriculture
Extraction
Manufacturing
Electricity, gas & water
Construction
Distribution & hotels
Transport & communications
Finance & business services
Public admin. & defence
Education & health
Other personal services
Total employment
Selected sub-sectors
Retailing
Hotels & catering
Financial services
Professional business services
Additional data
Population
Unemployment (000s)
GVA (£m)
1998-2008
-1.9
-0.1
-189.4
-5.9
51.0
15.6
25.1
181.8
19.2
142.1
38.7
272.0
2008-2010
5.8
-0.2
-47.3
0.3
-29.5
-29.4
-7.3
-50.0
3.2
36.0
1.3
-117.6
2010-2020
-7.3
-0.5
-63.2
-1.0
21.7
77.5
21.5
167.6
-20.0
-8.4
34.3
221.3
18.6
19.4
15.5
40.0
-20.4
-3.3
-19.3
-2.2
31.0
22.3
3.5
39.2
81.9
-44.6
20392.8
260.4
29.8
22151.5
269.1
-32.2
32024.6
Source: GMFM
Note 1: Jobs based - includes self employed and employees
Note 2: Selected sub-sectors cover employee jobs only
42

The financial and business services sector is
the key sector driving the recovery. It is
expected to gain over 165,000 net jobs over
the coming decade, though the rate of
expansion is slightly slower than the previous
decade.
Sectorally the losses in manufacturing remain
significant, though much less than the decade
previous (largely due to a smaller sector). The
public sector contraction also adds pressure to
the employment outlook with a loss of close to
30,000 jobs forecast.
Unemployment is expected to remain above
the recent historical lows over the forecast
period due to the sluggish labour market
recovery and also a potential skills mismatch the sectors which lost jobs recently are not
where growth is forecast. The resident
employment rate (such a feature of targets
and policy) is lower by close to 2 percentage
points (though is it still close to 70).
Greater Manchester
A challenging outlook in uncertain times
43
Greater Manchester forecasts
Gr. Manchester: GVA growth

% annual
5.0
4.0
3.0
2.0
1.0

0.0
-1.0
1992
1996
2000
2004
2008
2012
2016
2020
-2.0
-3.0
-4.0
-5.0
Source : GMFM
Greater Manchester: Employment outlook
000s
1450
1400
1350

1300
1250
1200
1150
1991
1995
Source : GMFM
44
1999
2003
2007
2011
2015
2019
2023
The GVA outlook for GM is expected to be
similar to the national pattern, though growth
is expected to be weaker than the UK average
in 2010 (by 0.7 pp) due to a more severe
contraction within the financial and business
services.
Though the economy returned to growth in
2010, it will take the labour market longer to
recover. The labour market outlook remains
challenging with employment levels only
expected to begin to rise in 2012 as the
private sector recovery gathers pace. The
forecasts suggest that employment will not
recover its recession job losses until 2014 at
the earliest and the longer term rate of
employment growth is forecast to be slower
than that of the past decade due to relatively
muted public sector and consumer demand.
The capacity of the region in terms of skilled
labour and a strong professional services
sector mean that the recovery is expected to
be strong with GM enjoying employment
growth above the UK average.
Greater Manchester
Greater Manchester: Employment by broad sector
000s
900
800
Private
services
700
600
500
Public
services
400
300
200
Manufacturing
100
0
1991
1995
Source : GMFM
1999
2003
2007
2011
2015
2019
Key export sectors
000s
400
Financial & business
services
350
300
250
200
150
100
Manufacturing
50
0
1991
1995
Source : GMFM
45
1999
2003
2007
2011
2015
2019
 The labour market recovery will be slow
and will be sectorally distinct from the
pattern of growth which typified much of
the previous decade.
 The fortunes of the private sector are key
to the recovery as public sector
employment is likely to fall as spending
cuts are implemented. The location of
universities and major hospitals in the
Greater Manchester area provides some
insulation to the public sector job losses
as it is likely these front line services will
be less severely impacted than other
elements of the public sector.
 Manufacturing is expected to continue its
long term rate of decline, though at a
much slower rate than the previous
decade. Manufacturing within GM is
expected to fall below 100,000 for the first
time in 2017.
 Financial and business services are
expected to be the key driver of
employment growth over the decade
ahead as professional services exports
grow and some of the public sector’s
current tasks are moved into the private
sector.
Greater Manchester (continued)
Greater Manchester: Unemployment level and rate
 For many of the unemployed the
recession will last much longer than a
12.5
year or so as they will struggle to return
to the labour market with a possible
150
10.5
mismatch of skills with the needs of the
130
Unemployment
8.5
labour market. Consequently,
(LHS)
110
unemployment is expected to remain
90
6.5
above 65,000 within GM over the
70
medium term at a level similar to the late
4.5
50
Unemployment
1990’s.
rate (RHS)
30
2.5
 A key uncertainty within the forecast is
1985 1989 1993 1997 2001 2005 2009 2013 2017
Source : GMFM
the pattern of migration and how it
reacts to the recession and the sluggish
Greater Manchester: Net migration and natural increase
labour market recovery. Unemployment
could be lower, if net migration out of the
region accelerates, but at present there
is little sign of a significant outflow of
Natural
increase
people.
 Natural increase continues to be the
primary factor underpinning the
population forecast.
Unemployment
(000s)
170
Unemployment rate
25.0
20.0
15.0
000s
10.0
5.0
Migration
0.0
1992
1996
-5.0
-10.0
Source : GMFM
46
2000
2004
2008
2012
2016
2020
Greater Manchester forecasts
Greater Manchester: Key indicators
Population
Employees total
Self employed total
Employment total
Unemployment level
Residence based employment
Residence employment rate
Net commuting
GVA total, £m
Households
Greater Manchester
2010
2020
2619.9
2777.6
1110.0
1229.3
147.8
157.5
1257.9
1386.9
75.1
63.8
1076.7
1179.7
64.1
68.8
50.5
58.4
44299.9
58904.1
1134.3
1241.6
Change
2010-20
6.0 (%)
10.7 (%)
6.6 (%)
10.3 (%)
-11.2 (000s)
103 (000s)
4.8 (pp)
7.9 (000s)
2.9 (% pa)
107.3 (000s)

UK
2010-20
5.3 (%)
8.3 (%)
2.9 (%)
7.5 (%)
-260 (000s)
1961 (000s)
1.5 (pp)
2.8 (% pa)
-
Gr. Manchester: Change in employment (000s)
1998-2008
1.1
0.0
-76.6
-4.3
17.1
6.9
14.2
89.6
10.2
43.0
18.2
120.3
2008-2010
0.6
-0.1
-15.6
0.0
-11.5
-9.3
-3.8
-22.9
1.6
16.0
-1.2
-46.3
2010-2020
-0.8
-0.1
-23.9
-0.3
9.8
34.2
11.9
84.9
-6.8
4.7
15.6
129.0
13.1
7.9
9.9
13.7
-7.3
-0.4
-9.3
16.3
14.6
9.6
3.3
22.5
Source: GMFM
Note 1: Jobs based - includes self employed and employees
Note 2: Selected sub-sectors cover employee jobs only
47


Source: GMFM
Agriculture
Extraction
Manufacturing
Electricity, gas & water
Construction
Distribution & hotels
Transport & communications
Finance & business services
Public admin. & defence
Education & health
Other personal services
Total employment
Selected sub-sectors
Retailing
Hotels & catering
Financial services
Professional business services



Population growth is stronger than the region as a
whole, due to the strong natural increase levels
(migration remains a slight outflow in the forecast).
The relatively strong skills base and favourable
sectoral composition facilitate stronger labour
market growth for GM than for the whole region.
Unemployment is expected to be 25,000 higher in
the decade ahead than it was in 2008, reflecting
the longer term legacy of the recession and the
sectoral nature of the recovery.
Resident employment rate is expected to remain
below the national average at around 70% in 2020.
Sectorally the manufacturing sector continues to
have a negative impact on overall job terms
though the loss is much more modest than in the
decade past. Finance and business remains a key
growth sector, with growth similar to the previous
decade expected. Note it is the business subsector which is the net creator of jobs with finance
not expected to regain its recessionary job losses.
The public sectors are also expected to contact
over the decade ahead. However frontline services
such as education and health are expected to be
more insulated from job losses than other
elements of the public sector.
The public sector cuts widespread, resulting
in problems for all
Local Public Services Employment
Bolton
Bury
Manchester
Oldham
Rochdale
Salford
Stockport
Tameside
Trafford
Wigan
Greater Manchester
48
1998-2008
2.0
6.1
17.8
6.2
1.5
6.2
4.2
4.1
3.0
2.2
53.2
2008-2010
1.3
1.3
6.2
1.2
0.9
1.8
1.6
0.9
1.2
1.3
17.6
2010-2015
-1.3
-0.7
-0.7
-0.6
-0.8
-0.9
-1.2
-0.8
-0.5
-0.7
-8.3
 Public services employment expanded
significantly over the last decade (a net
increase of over 50,000 jobs) and was a
key source of employment growth for
many local areas.
 Expansion within the sector continued
rapidly throughout the recessionary
period, with almost 20,000 net jobs
created and thus helping to shield
against severe contractions within
regional labour markets.
 Details of the precise nature of the
public sector cuts remain unclear.
However, they have the potential to
significantly slow the recovery and are
likely to cost many people their jobs.
The forecasts suggest the lost of almost
10,000 jobs over the five years ahead,
with the most severe impacts likely to be
felt within Manchester city itself.
Greater Manchester: public sector outlook
Greater Manchester: Public Services Employment
(000's)
360
340
320
300
280
260
240
1991
1995
Source : GMFM
49
1999
2003
2007
2011
2015
2019
 Public sector employment has risen
sharply from 1998 onwards with the
creation of over 80,000 net additional
jobs (taking into account our local
estimates for 2009 & 2009 which are
consistent with UK & NW employment
data).
 The forecasts suggest a stark end to the
recent growth as cuts are implemented,
with job loss of around 10,000 expected
within the area by 2015. However,
employment within the sector only
reverts to its 2008 level (though a more
severe contraction is a possibility).
 Job losses are spread across the three
public services sectors, with the majority
projected within public admin and
defence (6,000 jobs), with a loss of over
2,000 jobs within education and health.
Summary local authority
forecasts
Note: More detailed forecasts for each Local Authority are provided in the
accompanying Excel model outputs.
Note: Employment data for districts is available up to 2008 (indicated on charts with a
solid line). Regional data up to 2010 (indicated on charts with a dotted line) allows for
a reasonable estimate of district employment
50
Forecasts for districts - Bolton
Bolton: Employment outlook
Bolton: Key indicators
Bolton
2010
2020
266.2
275.3
102.4
107.9
14.6
15.1
117.1
123.0
7.5
6.1
110.0
117.1
68.8
74.9
-6.2
-8.3
3573.8
4503.9
113.6
121.1
000s
150
Population
Employees total
Self employed total
Employment total
Unemployment level
Residence based employment
Residence employment rate
Net commuting
GVA total, £m
Households
145
140
135
130
125
120
Source: GMFM
115
2019
Bolton: Unemployment (000’s)
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
Source : Nomis, claimant Count
51
Jul-10
Sep-10
May-10
Jan-10
Mar-10
Nov-09
Jul-09
0
Sep-09

000's
10
Jan-08

2008 ABI data revealed a modest rise of 1,750 from
2007. This was largely driven by a sharp rise within
transport & communication employment. However the
overall employment level remains below its recent
peak in 2003.
Following the losses of the recession and with a
modest pick up expected, the forecasts suggest that it
will be 2015 at the earliest before Bolton’s
employment returns to its pre-recession peak.
Average GVA growth is forecast at a modest 2.3% per
annum, below the GM average as the weaker labour
market performance feeds through to output.
Mar-08

May-09
2015
Jan-09
2011
Mar-09
2007
Nov-08
2003
Jul-08
1999
Sep-08
1995
Source : GMFM
May-08
110
1991
Change
2010-2020
3.4 (%)
5.3 (%)
3.5 (%)
5.1 (%)
-1.4 (000s)
7.1 (000s)
6.2 (pp)
-2.1 (000s)
2.3 (% pa)
7.5 (000s)
GM
2010-2020
6.0 (%)
10.7 (%)
6.6 (%)
10.3 (%)
-10 (000s)
103 (000s)
4.8 (pp)
2.9 (% pa)
-
Forecasts for districts – Bolton (cont’d)
Bolton: Change in employment (000s)
Agriculture
Extraction
Manufacturing
Electricity, gas & water
Construction
Distribution & hotels
Transport & communications
Finance & business services
Public admin. & defence
Education & health
Other personal services
Total employment
Selected sub-sectors
Retailing
Hotels & catering
Financial services
Professional business services
1998-2008
0.0
0.0
-8.0
-1.3
2.1
-1.3
1.8
5.8
0.6
1.3
1.7
2.7
2008-2010
0.0
-0.1
-1.8
0.0
-1.0
-1.1
-0.2
-1.3
0.1
1.2
-0.2
-4.3
2010-2020
0.0
0.0
-2.6
0.0
0.8
2.6
0.5
4.8
-0.7
-0.6
1.1
5.9
-0.9
0.0
1.4
0.1
-0.8
-0.1
-0.6
0.0
1.1
0.5
0.3
0.7
Source: GMFM



Note 1: Jobs based - includes self employed and employees
Note 2: Selected sub-sectors cover employee jobs only
Bolton: Net migration and natural increase

2.0
Natural
increase
1.5
1.0
000s
0.5
0.0
1992
1996
2000
2004
2008
2012
2016
-0.5
-1.0
-1.5
Source : GMFM
52
Migration
2020
Bolton's employment is expected to rise by
almost 6,000 jobs over the decade ahead,
which more than offsets the recessionary
losses of 4,300. The outlook is driven primarily
by the financial and business services sector,
which is expected to expand by around 5,000
jobs.
Manufacturing continues to act as a drag on
employment growth (with the loss of over
2,500 jobs expected), though it is worth noting
that the pace of decline is significantly slower
than that experienced between 1998 and
2008.
The forecast suggest a modest loss of jobs
within the public sector during the decade
ahead (1,300 jobs), which will also curtail
overall employment growth.
Migration forecasts are projected to moderate
at around 500 net outflow per annum, higher
than the last two years’ data. Larger outflows
would reduce unemployment levels, but also
have a further dampening on already weak
demand and employment could therefore be
lower again.
Forecasts for districts - Bury
Bury: Employment outlook
Bury: Key indicators
000s
Bury
2010
183.5
60.6
11.2
71.8
4.2
80.5
72.4
-14.6
2285.8
78.0
77
Population
Employees total
Self employed total
Employment total
Unemployment level
Residence based employment
Residence employment rate
Net commuting
GVA total, £m
Households
76
75
74
73
72
71
70
69
2020
193.3
64.2
11.9
76.1
3.5
85.8
75.7
-16.1
2865.7
84.6
Change
2010-20
5.3 (%)
5.9 (%)
6.1 (%)
5.9 (%)
-0.7 (000s)
5.3 (000s)
3.3 (pp)
-1.6 (000s)
2.3 (% pa)
6.6 (000s)
Source: GMFM
68
67
53
Bury: Unemployment (000’s)
2019
000's
6
5
4
3
2
1
Source : NOMIS, claimant count
Jul-10
Sep-10
May-10
Jan-10
Mar-10
Nov-09
Jul-09
Sep-09
May-09
Jan-09
0
Mar-09
The latest ABI data for Bury suggests a slight decline
in employment levels in 2008, with a contraction of
over 400 jobs reported. However, employment within
the area remains significantly up on the early 00’s
despite its curious pattern.
The forecasts suggest that employment will not
recover its recession job losses until 2014 at the
earliest and unemployment will remain well above its
historical low. Employment growth is expected to be
relatively sluggish within the area, lagging behind the
Greater Manchester rate (5.9% compared to 10.3%)
Average GVA growth is forecast at a modest 2.3% per
annum, below the GM average as the weaker labour
market performance feeds through to output.
Nov-08
2015
Jul-08
2011
Sep-08

2007
May-08

2003
Jan-08

1999
Mar-08
1991
1995
Source : GMFM
GM
2010-20
6.0 (%)
10.7 (%)
6.6 (%)
10.3 (%)
-10 (000s)
103 (000s)
4.8 (pp)
2.9 (% pa)
-
Forecasts for districts – Bury (cont’d)
Bury: Change in employment (000s)
Agriculture
Extraction
Manufacturing
Electricity, gas & water
Construction
Distribution & hotels
Transport & communications
Finance & business services
Public admin. & defence
Education & health
Other personal services
Total employment
Selected sub-sectors
Retailing
Hotels & catering
Financial services
Professional business services
1998-2008
0.1
0.0
-6.1
0.0
-0.3
0.1
2.3
1.2
0.9
5.2
1.8
5.2
2008-2010
0.1
0.0
-1.1
0.0
-0.5
-0.6
0.1
-0.5
0.1
1.3
-0.1
-1.4
2010-2020
-0.1
0.0
-1.6
0.0
0.4
1.9
0.7
1.9
-0.3
0.1
1.2
4.2
0.8
0.8
0.0
0.2
-0.5
-0.1
-0.2
0.6
0.8
0.5
0.0
0.6


Source: GMFM
Note 1: Jobs based - includes self employed and employees
Note 2: Selected sub-sectors cover employee jobs only
Bury: Net migration and natural increase

1.2
1.0
Natural
increase
0.8
0.6
000s
0.4
0.2
0.0
1992
-0.2
Migration
1996
-0.4
-0.6
-0.8
-1.0
Source : GMFM
54
2000
2004
2008
2012
2016
2020
The medium term outlook is expected to be
weaker than the recent past, with an additional
4,200 jobs forecast over the decade ahead
compared to over 5,000 between 1998-08.
The outlook is driven primarily by the financial
and business services sector and the
distribution and hotels sector, which are each
expected to expand by around 2,000 jobs.
Details of the regional and local impact of the
cuts in public expenditure remain unclear.
However, with Bury having the highest
proportion of public sector employment within
the GM area (35% of employees in 2008), a
number of downside risks exist to the outlook.
If job losses were more severe, this would
have the potential to significantly hamper the
area’s economic recovery.
As the region slowly regains the employment it
lost in the recession, net migration is forecast
to remain in balance, though as in almost all of
the districts natural increase remains by far
the main contributor to population growth in
Bury.
Forecasts for districts - Manchester
Manchester: Employment outlook
Manchester: Key indicators
Manchester
2010
2020
493.0
558.3
295.9
346.5
23.5
26.0
319.4
372.5
17.1
15.5
186.1
214.3
53.7
57.4
96.3
114.4
12883.9
17991.9
213.8
244.9
000s
390
Population
Employees total
Self employed total
Employment total
Unemployment level
Residence based employment
Residence employment rate
Net commuting
GVA total, £m
Households
370
350
330
310
290
Change
2010-20
13.2 (%)
17.1 (%)
10.7 (%)
16.6 (%)
-1.6 (000s)
28.2 (000s)
3.7 (pp)
18.1 (000s)
3.4 (% pa)
31.1 (000s)
GM
2010-20
6.0 (%)
10.7 (%)
6.6 (%)
10.3 (%)
-10 (000s)
103 (000s)
4.8 (pp)
2.9 (% pa)
-
Source: GMFM
270
250
2019
Manchester: Unemployment (000’s)
55
16
14
12
10
8
6
4
2
Source : Nomis, claimant count
Jul-10
Sep-10
May-10
Jan-10
Mar-10
Nov-09
0
Jul-09

18
Sep-09

000's
20
May-09

The recent trends in Manchester employment are
relatively muted, with the latest 2008 ABI data
revealing a fairly flat employment profile after the
sharp acceleration of the early to mid 00’s.
The forecasts suggest that Manchester will not regain
its recessionary job losses until 2014 when the
recovery gathers pace. Residence employment rate is
expected to rise over the decade ahead, though
remaining below 60%.
Over the medium term, unemployment is expected to
remain above the recent historical lows at a level
similar to that experienced at the end of the 1990’s.
GVA growth is expected to be well above the GM
average (3.4% compared to 2.9%), reflecting the
strong recovery and medium term growth.
Jan-08

Jan-09
2015
Mar-09
2011
Nov-08
2007
Jul-08
2003
Sep-08
1999
May-08
1995
Mar-08
1991
Source : GMFM
Forecasts for districts – Manchester (cont’d)
Manchester: Change in employment (000s)
Agriculture
Extraction
Manufacturing
Electricity, gas & water
Construction
Distribution & hotels
Transport & communications
Finance & business services
Public admin. & defence
Education & health
Other personal services
Total employment
Selected sub-sectors
Retailing
Hotels & catering
Financial services
Professional business services
1998-2008
0.1
0.0
-9.2
-0.7
-3.0
-1.5
2.9
32.7
5.2
12.6
5.0
44.3
2008-2010
0.0
0.0
-1.7
0.0
-1.0
-1.3
-2.1
-9.2
0.6
5.5
0.3
-8.8
2010-2020
0.0
0.0
-3.1
0.0
0.6
11.0
5.6
31.8
-2.9
5.2
5.0
53.1
-0.6
4.4
5.2
6.1
-1.4
0.3
-4.9
9.6
4.9
4.5
2.0
12.3
Source: GMFM
Note 1: Jobs based - includes self employed and employees
Note 2: Selected sub-sectors cover employee jobs only
Manchester: Net migration and natural increase
Natural
increase
8.0
6.0
4.0
000s
2.0
0.0
1992
1996
2000
2004
2008
2012
2016
2020
-2.0
-4.0
-6.0
Source : GMFM
56
Migration
2024
 Much of the weight of the economic
recovery (at least in terms of jobs) has
been placed upon the business services
sector (with an additional 32,000 jobs
forecast over the decade ahead). Much
of the weight of the economic recovery
(at least in terms of jobs) is therefore
dependent on the business services
sector – this depends on professional
services exports continuing to expand
rapidly as they have done in the recent
past, perhaps supported by some of the
activities of the public sector moving into
the private sector as the spending cuts
are implemented.
 The natural increase in population has
general been on a rising trend, and is
expected to remain the key driver in the
population outlook for the area.
Forecasts for districts - Oldham
Oldham: Employment outlook
Oldham: Key indicators
000s
Oldham
2010
2020
219.3
225.9
73.4
77.1
10.9
11.4
84.3
88.4
6.6
5.4
81.0
86.9
61.7
66.3
-1.4
-3.7
2502.4
3132.0
91.1
97.1
94
86
Population
Employees total
Self employed total
Employment total
Unemployment level
Residence based employment
Residence employment rate
Net commuting
GVA total, £m
Households
85
Source: GMFM
93
92
91
90
89
88
87
Change
2010-20
3.0 (%)
5.0 (%)
4.4 (%)
4.9 (%)
-1.2 (000s)
6 (000s)
4.6 (pp)
-2.3 (000s)
2.3 (% pa)
6 (000s)
84
2019
Oldham: Unemployment (000’s)
57
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
Source : Nomis, claimant count
Jul-10
Sep-10
May-10
Jan-10
Mar-10
Nov-09
Jul-09
0
Sep-09

000's
8
May-09

Oldham’s recent employment performance is difficult
to interpret due to the 2005 spike. If this is to be
believed, the trend would suggest a fall in employment
in recent years.
The forecasts suggest that employment will not
recover its recession job losses until 2018 at the
earliest and unemployment will remain well above its
historical low. Employment growth is expected to be
relatively sluggish within the area, lagging behind the
Greater Manchester rate (4.9% compared to 10.3%)
GVA growth is projected below the regional average
and the resident employment is projected to creep up
to 66%, though it remains one of the lower rates in the
GM area
Jan-08

Jan-09
2015
Mar-09
2011
Nov-08
2007
Jul-08
2003
Sep-08
1999
May-08
1995
Mar-08
1991
Source : GMFM
GM
2010-20
6.0 (%)
10.7 (%)
6.6 (%)
10.3 (%)
-10 (000s)
103 (000s)
4.8 (pp)
2.9 (% pa)
-
Forecasts for districts – Oldham (cont’d)
Oldham: Change in employment (000s)
Agriculture
Extraction
Manufacturing
Electricity, gas & water
Construction
Distribution & hotels
Transport & communications
Finance & business services
Public admin. & defence
Education & health
Other personal services
Total employment
Selected sub-sectors
Retailing
Hotels & catering
Financial services
Professional business services
1998-2008
0.1
0.0
-12.4
0.1
0.9
0.3
0.2
4.8
0.7
5.5
0.9
1.2
2008-2010
0.0
0.0
-1.5
0.0
-1.2
-0.9
-0.1
-1.0
0.1
1.1
-0.2
-3.7
2010-2020
0.0
0.0
-2.7
0.0
0.6
2.2
0.2
3.3
-0.2
0.1
0.7
4.2
2.7
-0.4
-0.7
0.4
-0.7
-0.1
-0.1
-0.1
1.0
0.4
0.0
0.3
Source: GMFM
Note 1: Jobs based - includes self employed and employees
Note 2: Selected sub-sectors cover employee jobs only
Oldham: Net migration and natural increase
Natural
increase
2.0
1.5
1.0
000s
0.5
0.0
1992
1996
2000
2004
2008
2012
2016
-0.5
Migration
-1.0
-1.5
Source : GMFM
58
2020
 Overall employment is expected to fall
by almost 4,000 during the recessionary
period and the medium term outlook is
very different sectorally to the last
decade. Continued contraction within
the manufacturing sector will act as a
drag on overall growth and it is unlikely
that the public sector will be the source
of job growth as the details of the
impending cuts become clearer.
 The outlook is dependent upon
expansion within the financial and
business services sector and distribution
and hotels as the key source of job
growth over the decade ahead.
 Net migration is expected to remain
negative, with on average 700 people
leaving per annum. It is natural increase
which is driving the expected modest
increase in Oldham’s population.
Forecasts for districts - Rochdale
Rochdale: Employment outlook
Rochdale: Key indicators
000s
Rochdale
2010
2020
205.2
212.5
69.4
74.3
11.2
12.0
80.6
86.3
6.9
5.7
77.3
83.9
61.7
66.8
-2.9
-4.4
2647.5
3433.9
86.8
93.3
95
Population
Employees total
Self employed total
Employment total
Unemployment level
Residence based employment
Residence employment rate
Net commuting
GVA total, £m
Households
93
91
89
87
85
83
81
79
Change
2010-20
3.6 (%)
7.0 (%)
7.4 (%)
7.0 (%)
-1.2 (000s)
6.5 (000s)
5.1 (pp)
-1.5 (000s)
2.6 (% pa)
6.5 (000s)
Source: GMFM
77
75
59
2019
Rochdale: Unemployment (000’s)
000's
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
Source : Nomis, claimant count
Jul-10
Sep-10
May-10
Jan-10
Mar-10
Nov-09
Jul-09
Sep-09
May-09
Jan-09
0
Mar-09
The recent 2008 ABI data for Rochdale reveals a
sharp contraction within employment of over 5,000
jobs. The job losses are not specific to a key sector,
but rather they are widely spread across a number of
sectors including business services, distribution,
construction and education.
The inclusion of the recent ABI data has weakened
Rochdale’s outlook considerably. The labour market
outlook is extremely challenging and it is expected to
take up to 2017 before the area recovers their
recessionary job losses.
The sluggish labour market performance leaves
unemployment higher than it has been in the recent
past and above the corresponding UK rate throughout
the forecast.
Nov-08
2015
Jul-08
2011
Sep-08

2007
May-08

2003
Jan-08

1999
Mar-08
1991
1995
Source : GMFM
GM
2010-20
6.0 (%)
10.7 (%)
6.6 (%)
10.3 (%)
-10 (000s)
103 (000s)
4.8 (pp)
2.9 (% pa)
-
Forecasts for districts – Rochdale (cont’d)
Rochdale: change in employment (000s)
Agriculture
Extraction
Manufacturing
Electricity, gas & water
Construction
Distribution & hotels
Transport & communications
Finance & business services
Public admin. & defence
Education & health
Other personal services
Total employment
Selected sub-sectors
Retailing
Hotels & catering
Financial services
Professional business services
1998-2008
0.0
0.0
-5.6
0.0
0.6
-0.7
2.9
4.6
1.4
0.1
0.8
4.1
2008-2010
0.0
0.0
-1.9
0.0
-0.8
-0.7
-0.5
-1.4
0.1
0.8
-0.2
-4.5
2010-2020
-0.1
0.0
-2.4
0.0
1.0
2.0
1.2
4.0
-0.5
-0.2
0.7
5.7
-0.1
-0.1
-0.2
0.7
-0.5
-0.1
-0.2
0.2
0.7
0.5
0.0
0.6
Source: GMFM
Note 1: Jobs based - includes self employed and employees
Note 2: Selected sub-sectors cover employee jobs only
Rochdale: Net migration and natural increase
Natural
increase
2.0
1.5
1.0
000s
0.5
0.0
1992
-0.5
1996
-1.0
-1.5
-2.0
Source : GMFM
60
2000
2004
2008
2012
2016
Migration
2020
 Looking forward manufacturing
continues to act as a drag on
employment growth (with the loss of
around 2,500 jobs expected), though it
is worth noting that the pace of decline
is significantly slower than that
experienced between 1998 and 2008.
 However, it is expected that the growing
financial and professional services
sector will be more than able to more
than offset the manufacturing and public
sector job losses expected over the
decade ahead.
 At -600 Rochdale's migration is forecast
to remain a steady outflow as it has
through this decade, but natural
increase levels are more than sufficient
to offset the outflow and thus the
population is still expected to grow,
albeit at a lesser rate than the wider GM
region.
Forecasts for districts - Salford
Salford: Employment outlook
Salford: Key indicators in Salford
000s
Salford
2010
2020
226.6
241.3
112.5
126.8
11.7
12.7
124.3
139.4
7.2
6.3
97.8
108.9
67.1
72.2
12.3
14.4
4273.0
5799.5
100.4
109.2
145
Population
Employees total
Self employed total
Employment total
Unemployment level
Residence based employment
Residence employment rate
Net commuting
GVA total, £m
Households
140
135
130
125
120
115
110
105
Change
2010-20
6.5 (%)
12.6 (%)
7.8 (%)
12.2 (%)
-0.9 (000s)
11.1 (000s)
5.1 (pp)
2.1 (000s)
3.1 (% pa)
8.7 (000s)
Source: GMFM
100
61
2019
000's
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
Source : Nomis, claimant count
Jul-10
Sep-10
May-10
Jan-10
Mar-10
Nov-09
Jul-09
Sep-09
May-09
Jan-09
0
Mar-09
The 2008 ABI suggested strong growth in Salford and
continued a long term trend of growth which had begun to
slow. Despite the claimant count data from Jan 10 onwards
suggesting some improvement within the labour market, we
would expect unemployment to begin to drift upwards again.
The recession is forecast to see Salford lose 4,200 net jobs;
unemployment has already climbed by 3,500 since its low
point in 2008 suggesting that perhaps the job losses could
be higher
Unlike some GM areas Salford is expected to regain its lost
jobs, surpassing the 2008 peak by 2014 before heading on
toward 140,000 employed by 2020.
GVA growth is expected to average a strong 0.5 percentage
points above the national average in the decade ahead.
Salford: Unemployment (000’s)
Nov-08
2015
Jul-08

2011
Sep-08

2007
May-08

2003
Jan-08

1999
Mar-08
1991
1995
Source : GMFM
GM
2010-20
6.0 (%)
10.7 (%)
6.6 (%)
10.3 (%)
-10 (000s)
103 (000s)
4.8 (pp)
2.9 (% pa)
-
Forecasts for districts – Salford (cont’d)
Salford: Change in employment (000s)
Agriculture
Extraction
Manufacturing
Electricity, gas & water
Construction
Distribution & hotels
Transport & communications
Finance & business services
Public admin. & defence
Education & health
Other personal services
Total employment
Selected sub-sectors
Retailing
Hotels & catering
Financial services
Professional business services
1998-2008
-0.2
-0.1
-7.3
-0.1
2.3
1.5
1.6
14.8
-0.5
6.6
0.5
19.2
2008-2010
0.0
0.0
-1.3
0.0
-1.1
-0.7
0.0
-3.0
0.2
1.6
0.0
-4.2
2010-2020
-0.1
0.0
-1.6
0.0
1.4
2.6
0.9
11.0
-0.6
0.4
1.2
15.2
0.8
2.4
4.1
1.3
-0.4
-0.1
-1.6
1.9
0.9
0.8
0.5
2.1
Source: GMFM
Note 1: Jobs based - includes self employed and employees
Note 2: Selected sub-sectors cover employee jobs only
Salford: Net migration and natural increase
2.0
Natural
increase
1.5
1.0
Migration
0.5
000s
0.0
1992
-0.5
1996
-1.0
-1.5
-2.0
-2.5
Source : GMFM
62
2000
2004
2008
2012
2016
2020
 Salford's historical performance in the
decade to 2008 was extremely
impressive with finance and business
and education and health leading the
way. The outlook is slightly more
challenging sectorally - it is only financial
and business services expected to
contribute significantly to employment
growth in Salford.
 With severe public spending cuts on the
horizon, it is unlikely that the public
sector will contribute to any employment
growth. In fact, there is a risk that the
cuts may cost more jobs than what we
have built into our baseline.
 In common with most of the GM areas it
is natural increase which provides the
growth in population with migration
expected to remain roughly in balance.
Forecasts for districts - Stockport
Stockport: Employment outlook
Stockport: Key indicators
000s
Stockport
2010
2020
284.6
292.5
122.0
132.1
24.3
25.5
146.3
157.7
6.0
5.0
126.0
137.5
73.4
80.3
6.1
4.8
5040.8
6548.8
125.3
134.8
162
Population
Employees total
Self employed total
Employment total
Unemployment level
Residence based employment
Residence employment rate
Net commuting
GVA total, £m
Households
157
152
147
142
137
132
Change
2010-20
2.8 (%)
8.3 (%)
5.2 (%)
7.8 (%)
-0.9 (000s)
11.5 (000s)
7.0 (pp)
-1.4 (000s)
2.7 (% pa)
9.5 (000s)
Source: GMFM
127
63
2019
000's
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
Source : Nomis, claimant count
Jul-10
Sep-10
May-10
Jan-10
Mar-10
Nov-09
Jul-09
Sep-09
May-09
Jan-09
0
Mar-09
The 2008 ABI suggested a continuation of the recent
strong employment growth within Stockport, taking the
overall level of employment within the area above
150,000 for the first time.
The residence employment rate is also expected to
continue to rise over the decade ahead, peaking slightly
above 80% towards the end of the forecast period.
Unemployment is forecast to remain above the recent
historical lows over the decade ahead, at a level close to
5,000. This is similar to the levels experienced towards
the end of the 1990’s.
GVA growth is expected to remain below the national
average in the decade ahead
Stockport: Unemployment (000’s)
Nov-08
2015
Jul-08

2011
Sep-08

2007
May-08

2003
Jan-08

1999
Mar-08
1991
1995
Source : GMFM
GM
2010-20
6.0 (%)
10.7 (%)
6.6 (%)
10.3 (%)
-10 (000s)
103 (000s)
4.8 (pp)
2.9 (% pa)
-
Forecasts for districts – Stockport (cont’d)
Stockport: Change in employment (000s)
Agriculture
Extraction
Manufacturing
Electricity, gas & water
Construction
Distribution & hotels
Transport & communications
Finance & business services
Public admin. & defence
Education & health
Other personal services
Total employment
Selected sub-sectors
Retailing
Hotels & catering
Financial services
Professional business services
1998-2008
0.3
0.0
-6.4
-0.9
11.0
-1.9
3.0
9.9
1.6
2.5
1.4
20.8
2008-2010
0.1
0.0
-2.0
0.0
-1.3
-1.2
-0.1
-0.5
0.2
1.4
-0.3
-3.8
2010-2020
-0.1
0.0
-2.7
0.0
2.2
3.0
0.8
8.2
-0.4
-0.7
1.3
11.4
1.3
0.0
1.3
1.7
-0.9
-0.1
-0.8
2.2
1.1
0.5
0.3
1.9
Source: GMFM
Note 1: Jobs based - includes self employed and employees
Note 2: Selected sub-sectors cover employee jobs only
Stockport: Net migration and natural increase
Natural
increase
1.0
0.5
000s
0.0
1992
1996
-0.5
-1.0
-1.5
-2.0
Source : GMFM
64
2000
2004
2008
2012
2016
Migration
2020
 Stockport's historical performance in the
decade to 2008 was extremely
impressive with finance and business
and construction leading the way. The
outlook is slightly more challenging with
only financial and business services
expected to contribute significantly to
jobs. Construction employment is
expected to remain fairly flat over
decade ahead, failing to offset its
recessionary job losses.
 In common with most of the conurbation
it is natural increase which provides the
growth in population, migration
remaining roughly in balance, down from
recent highs of over 500 net inflows.
Forecasts for districts - Tameside
Tameside: Employment outlook
Tameside: Key indicators
000s
Tameside
2010
2020
216.4
226.8
65.2
66.8
11.8
12.1
77.1
78.9
6.3
5.0
92.3
96.7
69.2
71.2
-19.2
-22.1
2560.0
3134.8
95.4
105.5
95
79
Population
Employees total
Self employed total
Employment total
Unemployment level
Residence based employment
Residence employment rate
Net commuting
GVA total, £m
Households
77
Source: GMFM
93
91
89
87
85
83
81
Change
2010-20
4.8 (%)
2.3 (%)
2.5 (%)
2.3 (%)
-1.3 (000s)
4.4 (000s)
2.0 (pp)
-2.9 (000s)
2.0 (% pa)
10.1 (000s)
75
65
Tameside: Unemployment (000’s)
2019
000's
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
Source : Nomis, claimant count
Jul-10
Sep-10
May-10
Jan-10
Mar-10
Nov-09
Jul-09
Sep-09
May-09
Jan-09
0
Mar-09
The 2008 ABI showed a continuation of the recent decline in
employment within Tameside, with a fall of over 2,000 jobs
recorded. The overall level remains well below the peak in
2004, which can probably now be confirmed as an outlier (due
to a strange construction figure).
The recession is forecast to see Tameside lose 3,300 net jobs;
unemployment has already climbed by 2,800 since its low point
in 2008 suggesting that perhaps the job losses could be higher.
With severe losses in the recession and with only a very
modest pick up forecast, the employment outlook for Tameside
is extremely challenging with no return to its pre-recession level
expected. This is due to the sectoral nature of the recovery with
no expansion within the public sector forecast (a key source of
growth over the last decade).
Nov-08
2015
Jul-08
2011
Sep-08

2007
May-08

2003
Jan-08

1999
Mar-08
1991
1995
Source : GMFM
GM
2010-20
6.0 (%)
10.7 (%)
6.6 (%)
10.3 (%)
-10 (000s)
103 (000s)
4.8 (pp)
2.9 (% pa)
-
Forecasts for districts – Tameside (cont’d)
Tameside: Change in employment (000s)
Agriculture
Extraction
Manufacturing
Electricity, gas & water
Construction
Distribution & hotels
Transport & communications
Finance & business services
Public admin. & defence
Education & health
Other personal services
Total employment
Selected sub-sectors
Retailing
Hotels & catering
Financial services
Professional business services
1998-2008
0.2
0.1
-7.9
-0.8
0.8
2.5
0.7
1.1
0.4
3.7
1.0
1.9
2008-2010
0.1
0.0
-1.5
0.0
-1.1
-0.7
0.0
-0.8
0.1
0.9
-0.2
-3.3
2010-2020
-0.1
0.0
-2.7
0.0
0.4
2.1
0.2
1.6
-0.3
-0.2
0.9
1.8
2.2
-0.6
-0.6
0.0
-0.5
-0.1
-0.2
0.4
0.9
0.4
-0.1
0.3


Source: GMFM
Note 1: Jobs based - includes self employed and employees
Note 2: Selected sub-sectors cover employee jobs only
Tameside: Net migration and natural increase
Natural
increase
1.0
0.5

000s
0.0
1992
1996
2000
2004
2008
2012
2016
Migration
-0.5
-1.0
-1.5
Source : GMFM
66
2020
This sluggish labour market forecast has
resulted in the outlook for unemployment
remaining above its recent historical lows over
the medium term and above the
corresponding UK rate throughout the
forecast.
A challenging outlook for industry further
constrains Tameside’s employment growth
over the decade ahead, accompanied by a
contracting public sector. However, modest
growth is expected within both finance and
business and distribution and hotels result in
Tameside just about recovering its
recessionary job loss by 2020. Consequently,
GVA growth is expected to remain the slowest
within Greater Manchester due to limited
employment opportunities.
Natural increase is the main contributor to the
rising population expected but at a more
modest rate than in most locations and thus
overall population growth is below the regional
average. Migration is expected to remain
positive or in balance over the forecast period.
Forecasts for districts - Trafford
Trafford: Employment outlook
Trafford: Key indicators
000s
Trafford
2010
2020
217.3
232.4
114.7
133.4
13.1
14.5
127.9
147.9
4.4
3.9
98.8
111.9
74.5
80.8
4.7
7.1
4949.9
6920.3
96.1
105.7
155
Population
Employees total
Self employed total
Employment total
Unemployment level
Residence based employment
Residence employment rate
Net commuting
GVA total, £m
Households
150
145
140
135
130
125
120
115
Change
2010-20
7.0 (%)
16.3 (%)
10.6 (%)
15.7 (%)
-0.4 (000s)
13.1 (000s)
6.4 (pp)
2.4 (000s)
3.4 (% pa)
9.7 (000s)
Source: GMFM
110
67
2019
000's
6
5
4
3
2
1
Source : Nomis, claimant count
Jul-10
Sep-10
May-10
Jan-10
Mar-10
Nov-09
Jul-09
Sep-09
May-09
Jan-09
0
Mar-09
Overall employment levels within Trafford continued to
fall in 2008. The recent decline was largely due to a
significant fall within business services (over 2,700 jobs),
with the majority of these falling within labour
recruitment and the provision of personnel.
The recession outlook is challenging, with a further
7,500 net job losses predicted between 2008 and 2010.
However, unemployment has risen by around 2,900
during the period to September 2010 suggesting that the
losses may not be as large as currently projected.
Despite a relatively strong pick up expected, the
forecasts suggest that it will be 2014 before Trafford’s
employment returns to its pre-recession peak.
Trafford: Unemployment (000’s)
Nov-08
2015
Jul-08
2011
Sep-08

2007
May-08

2003
Jan-08

1999
Mar-08
1991
1995
Source : GMFM
GM
2010-20
6.0 (%)
10.7 (%)
6.6 (%)
10.3 (%)
-10 (000s)
103 (000s)
4.8 (pp)
2.9 (% pa)
-
Forecasts for districts – Trafford (cont’d)
Trafford: Change in employment (000s)
Agriculture
Extraction
Manufacturing
Electricity, gas & water
Construction
Distribution & hotels
Transport & communications
Finance & business services
Public admin. & defence
Education & health
Other personal services
Total employment
Selected sub-sectors
Retailing
Hotels & catering
Financial services
Professional business services
1998-2008
0.1
0.0
-6.5
-0.8
1.7
6.0
-3.0
8.3
0.9
2.2
3.1
12.0
2008-2010
0.0
0.0
-1.5
0.0
-1.7
-1.1
-0.4
-4.0
0.1
1.0
0.0
-7.5
2010-2020
-0.1
0.0
-2.1
0.0
1.3
4.1
1.1
13.4
-0.4
0.5
2.3
20.1
5.6
1.1
-0.2
2.4
-0.9
-0.1
-0.5
0.9
2.0
0.9
0.3
2.8


Source: GMFM
Note 1: Jobs based - includes self employed and employees
Note 2: Selected sub-sectors cover employee jobs only
Trafford: Net migration and natural increase
1.5
Natural
increase
1.0
Migration
000s
0.5
0.0
1992
1996
-0.5
-1.0
-1.5
-2.0
Source : GMFM
68
2000
2004
2008
2012
2016
2020

Sectorally the employment growth over the
decade ahead is driven primarily by financial
and business services. This is underpinned by
the expectation that professional services
exports will continue to remain strong as they
have done in the past, and also perhaps some
public sector activities moving into the private
sector as cuts are implemented.
The distribution and hotels outlook also
remains strong as the recovery gathers pace
and consumer confidence is restored, thus our
outlook would suggest an additional 4,100 net
jobs over the decade ahead. However, growth
within this sector will be much more modest
thanin the previous decade.
Our outlook for net migration is to remain
positive in the short run before returning to
being roughly in balance by 2020 as costs rise
and the recovery gathers pace. Natural
increase will remain as the key contributor to
population growth.
Forecasts for districts - Wigan
Wigan: Employment outlook
Wigan: Key indicators
Wigan
2010
2020
307.7
319.3
93.7
100.4
15.4
16.3
109.2
116.7
8.8
7.3
126.8
136.6
67.5
74.2
-24.7
-27.7
3582.8
4573.3
133.9
145.4
000s
120
Population
Employees total
Self employed total
Employment total
Unemployment level
Residence based employment
Residence employment rate
Net commuting
GVA total, £m
Households
118
116
114
112
110
108
106
104
Change
2010-20
3.8 (%)
7.1 (%)
5.4 (%)
6.9 (%)
-1.5 (000s)
9.8 (000s)
6.7 (pp)
-2.9 (000s)
2.5 (% pa)
11.5 (000s)
Source: GMFM
102
100
69
2019
000's
12
10
8
6
4
2
Source : Nomis, claimant count
Jul-10
Sep-10
May-10
Jan-10
Mar-10
Nov-09
Jul-09
Sep-09
May-09
Jan-09
0
Mar-09
The 2008 ABI showed a continuation of the 2007 decline
in employment within Wigan, with a fall of almost 2,000
jobs recorded, taking employment back to a level last
experienced in 2003.
The forecasts suggest that employment will not recover
its recession job losses until 2015 at the earliest and
unemployment will remain well above its historical low.
Employment growth is expected to be below the Greater
Manchester rate (6.9% compared to 10.3%)
However, GVA growth is projected below the national
average due to the sector composition of the forecast and
the resident employment is projected to continue to rise
over medium term.
Wigan: Unemployment (000’s)
Nov-08
2015
Jul-08
2011
Sep-08

2007
May-08

2003
Jan-08

1999
Mar-08
1991
1995
Source : GMFM
GM
2010-20
6.0 (%)
10.7 (%)
6.6 (%)
10.3 (%)
-10 (000s)
103 (000s)
4.8 (pp)
2.9 (% pa)
-
Forecasts for districts – Wigan (cont’d)
Wigan: Change in employment (000s)
Agriculture
Extraction
Manufacturing
Electricity, gas & water
Construction
Distribution & hotels
Transport & communications
Finance & business services
Public admin. & defence
Education & health
Other personal services
Total employment
Selected sub-sectors
Retailing
Hotels & catering
Financial services
Professional business services
1998-2008
0.5
0.0
-7.3
0.1
1.1
1.7
1.8
6.4
-1.0
3.2
2.2
8.9
2008-2010
0.1
0.0
-1.5
0.0
-1.7
-1.1
-0.4
-1.2
0.1
1.2
-0.2
-4.8
2010-2020
-0.2
0.0
-2.5
0.0
1.1
2.6
0.7
5.0
-0.5
0.2
1.4
7.5
1.3
0.3
-0.4
0.5
-0.8
-0.1
-0.3
0.6
1.2
0.6
0.0
0.8


Source: GMFM
Note 1: Jobs based - includes self employed and employees
Note 2: Selected sub-sectors cover employee jobs only
Wigan: Net migration and natural increase
1.5
Natural
increase
1.0
0.5
000s
Migration
0.0
1992
1996
-0.5
-1.0
-1.5
Source : GMFM
70
2000
2004
2008
2012
2016
2020

As per the majority of the other areas within
the GM area, financial and business
services are expected to drive the economic
recovery within Wigan. The forecast
suggests an additional 5,000 over the
decade ahead, which more than
compensate for the recessionary losses
within the sector. However, growth is
expected to be at a more modest rate than
in the last decade.
Continued contraction within manufacturing
is expected to act as a drag on employment,
though the rate of decline will slow
considerably with job losses of around 2,500
expected compared to 7,300 over the
previous decade.
With domestic demand likely to remain
subdued in the short run, the economy will
be reliant on net trade to drive the recovery
forwards. We expect exports to pick up as
the global recovery gathers momentum and
thus both manufacturing and financial and
business services are key sectors within the
recovery.
Annex A: Summary tables
Note: Below is a selection from the detailed forecasts provided to
each Local Authority in the accompanying Excel model outputs.
71
Summary tables - Bolton
Table 1: Key indicators
Demography
Total population
Working age population
Total migration
Labour market
Total employees
Self employed
Total employment (jobs)
Total employment (people)
Residence employment
Residence employment rate
Net commuting
Unemployment level
Unemployment rate
Output
Total GVA
Relative productivity
Housing
Households
Housing stock
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2022
2027
2032
262.9
165.0
-0.9
263.0
164.4
-0.9
263.8
163.9
-0.4
265.1
163.8
0.0
266.2
163.4
-0.3
267.2
163.0
-0.3
268.3
162.7
-0.3
269.4
162.3
-0.3
270.4
161.9
-0.4
271.3
161.4
-0.5
272.1
161.0
-0.5
272.9
160.5
-0.6
273.7
160.0
-0.6
276.6
158.6
-0.7
278.9
157.2
-0.8
280.0
156.2
-0.8
104.7
13.2
117.9
104.8
115.2
71.3
-10.3
4.5
2.8
105.2
13.8
119.0
105.8
114.7
71.3
-8.9
4.3
2.6
106.9
14.4
121.3
107.4
113.3
70.7
-5.9
4.8
2.9
105.1
14.4
119.4
106.0
112.4
70.1
-6.3
7.9
4.8
102.4
14.6
117.1
103.8
110.0
68.8
-6.2
7.5
4.6
102.4
14.5
116.9
103.6
109.9
68.9
-6.3
7.8
4.8
102.8
14.5
117.3
104.0
110.4
69.3
-6.4
7.7
4.7
103.8
14.7
118.6
105.1
111.7
70.3
-6.6
7.4
4.5
105.0
14.9
119.9
106.3
113.1
71.3
-6.9
7.3
4.5
106.1
15.0
121.1
107.3
114.5
72.3
-7.1
7.2
4.5
106.9
15.1
122.0
108.1
115.4
73.1
-7.4
6.9
4.3
107.4
15.1
122.5
108.5
116.1
73.8
-7.6
6.4
4.0
107.7
15.1
122.8
108.7
116.5
74.2
-7.8
6.2
3.9
107.7
15.2
122.9
108.6
117.3
75.4
-8.7
6.1
3.9
107.0
15.1
122.1
107.8
117.3
76.1
-9.5
6.1
3.9
106.2
15.1
121.3
106.9
117.1
76.5
-10.2
6.2
4.0
3598
93.0
3592
90.5
3679
90.5
3522
90.5
3574
90.9
3645
90.9
3741
90.8
3860
90.7
3972
90.6
4075
90.5
4168
90.4
4252
90.4
4334
90.3
4666
90.1
5075
90.0
5498
89.9
111
117088
111
117867
112
119254
113
118798
114
119178
114
120036
115
120856
116
121704
117
122561
118
123384
118
124172
119
124938
120
125688
122
128653
126
132192
129
135594
Table 2: Key indicators annual percentage change*
Demography
Total population
Working age population
Total migration (000s)
Labour market
Total employees
Self employed
Total employment (jobs)
Total employment (people)
Residence employment
Residence employment rate (pp)
Net commuting (000s)
Unemployment level
Unemployment rate (pp)
Output
Total GVA
Relative productivity (pp)
Housing
Households
Housing stock
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2018-22
avg pa
2022-27
avg pa
2027-32
avg pa
0.0
0.0
-0.1
0.0
-0.4
0.0
0.3
-0.3
0.5
0.5
0.0
0.3
0.4
-0.2
-0.3
0.4
-0.3
0.0
0.4
-0.2
0.1
0.4
-0.2
0.0
0.4
-0.2
-0.1
0.3
-0.3
-0.1
0.3
-0.3
-0.1
0.3
-0.3
0.0
0.3
-0.3
0.0
0.3
-0.2
0.0
0.2
-0.2
0.0
0.1
-0.1
0.0
-3.7
-2.6
-3.6
-4.6
-0.3
-0.2
-4.7
11.8
0.3
0.5
4.8
1.0
0.9
-0.4
0.0
1.4
-5.9
-0.2
1.7
4.2
2.0
1.5
-1.1
-0.6
3.0
12.4
0.3
-1.8
-0.3
-1.6
-1.3
-0.8
-0.6
-0.4
64.9
1.9
-2.5
1.8
-2.0
-2.1
-2.2
-1.4
0.2
-5.5
-0.3
0.0
-1.0
-0.2
-0.2
-0.1
0.1
-0.1
4.8
0.2
0.4
0.2
0.4
0.4
0.5
0.4
-0.1
-2.5
-0.1
1.0
1.4
1.1
1.1
1.2
1.0
-0.2
-3.9
-0.2
1.1
1.3
1.1
1.1
1.3
1.0
-0.2
-0.7
0.0
1.1
0.9
1.0
1.0
1.2
1.0
-0.2
-1.2
0.0
0.8
0.5
0.7
0.7
0.9
0.8
-0.2
-4.0
-0.2
0.5
0.1
0.4
0.4
0.6
0.6
-0.2
-7.7
-0.3
0.2
-0.2
0.2
0.2
0.4
0.5
-0.2
-3.5
-0.1
0.0
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.2
0.3
-0.2
-0.8
0.0
-0.1
0.0
-0.1
-0.1
0.0
0.2
-0.2
0.1
0.0
-0.1
-0.1
-0.1
-0.2
0.0
0.1
-0.1
0.2
0.0
-3.6
0.0
-0.2
-2.5
2.4
0.0
-4.3
0.0
1.5
0.4
2.0
-0.1
2.6
-0.1
3.2
-0.1
2.9
-0.1
2.6
-0.1
2.3
-0.1
2.0
-0.1
1.9
-0.1
1.9
-0.1
1.7
0.0
1.6
0.0
0.5
0.4
0.1
0.7
0.5
1.2
0.7
-0.4
0.7
0.3
0.7
0.7
0.7
0.7
0.7
0.7
0.7
0.7
0.6
0.7
0.6
0.6
0.6
0.6
0.6
0.6
0.6
0.6
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
* percentage changes unless otherwise noted
Note: Total employees represents the number of jobs in an area. Total employment (jobs) also represents the number of jobs in an area, but
includes self-employed jobs. Total employment (people) represents the number of people in employment in an area - i.e. it includes both full
time and part time employees but people with more than one job are counted only once
72
Summary tables – Bolton (continued)
Table 3: Employees by sector
Agriculture
Extraction
Manufacturing of:
Food, drink & tobacco
Textiles, clothing & leather
Wood & wood products
Pulp, paper & printing
Coke, oil and nuclear
Chemicals & pharmaceuticals
Rubber & plastic products
Other non-metals
Metals
Machinery & equipment nec
Electrical & optical equipment
Transport equipment
Other manufacturing nec
Electricity, gas & water
Construction
Distribution
Retail
Hotels & restaurants
Transport & communications
Financial intermediation
Business services
Public administration & defence
Education
Health
Other personal services
Total
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2022
2027
2032
0.2
0.0
0.2
0.1
0.2
0.1
0.2
0.0
0.2
0.0
0.2
0.0
0.2
0.0
0.2
0.0
0.2
0.0
0.2
0.0
0.2
0.0
0.2
0.0
0.2
0.0
0.2
0.0
0.2
0.0
0.1
0.0
3.0
1.8
0.2
1.8
0.0
0.8
1.7
0.3
1.7
1.3
1.3
0.9
1.5
0.3
6.6
8.4
12.2
5.5
4.1
3.2
15.0
7.9
8.0
12.6
4.3
104.7
2.9
1.2
0.2
1.7
0.0
0.9
1.9
0.3
1.9
1.2
1.5
0.8
1.6
0.3
7.0
8.8
12.3
6.0
4.2
3.5
15.0
5.5
8.8
13.2
4.4
105.2
2.7
1.1
0.2
1.5
0.0
0.7
1.7
0.3
1.8
1.1
1.7
0.8
1.5
0.2
6.3
8.4
12.4
5.7
5.8
3.8
15.6
5.9
9.4
13.1
5.2
106.9
2.6
0.9
0.2
1.4
0.0
0.6
1.6
0.2
1.7
1.0
1.7
0.6
1.4
0.2
6.1
8.0
12.2
5.8
5.6
3.6
15.3
5.9
9.3
13.9
5.1
105.1
2.7
0.9
0.2
1.3
0.0
0.5
1.7
0.2
1.6
0.9
1.6
0.5
1.3
0.2
5.4
8.2
11.6
5.6
5.5
3.2
14.5
6.0
9.3
14.2
5.2
102.4
2.7
0.8
0.2
1.2
0.0
0.5
1.8
0.2
1.5
0.8
1.6
0.5
1.3
0.2
5.4
8.2
11.7
5.6
5.5
3.3
14.7
5.8
9.2
14.1
5.3
102.4
2.7
0.8
0.1
1.2
0.0
0.5
1.8
0.2
1.5
0.8
1.6
0.5
1.3
0.2
5.5
8.3
11.8
5.6
5.6
3.3
15.1
5.7
9.1
14.1
5.4
102.8
2.6
0.8
0.1
1.2
0.0
0.5
1.8
0.2
1.4
0.8
1.6
0.5
1.3
0.2
5.6
8.4
12.0
5.7
5.6
3.4
15.8
5.5
9.0
14.0
5.5
103.8
2.6
0.7
0.1
1.1
0.0
0.5
1.7
0.2
1.4
0.7
1.6
0.5
1.3
0.2
5.7
8.5
12.2
5.8
5.7
3.5
16.6
5.5
8.9
14.0
5.6
105.0
2.6
0.7
0.1
1.1
0.0
0.5
1.7
0.2
1.3
0.7
1.5
0.5
1.3
0.2
5.8
8.6
12.4
5.9
5.8
3.5
17.4
5.4
8.8
14.0
5.8
106.1
2.6
0.6
0.1
1.1
0.0
0.5
1.7
0.2
1.3
0.7
1.5
0.5
1.2
0.2
5.8
8.7
12.6
6.0
5.9
3.5
18.0
5.4
8.8
14.0
5.9
106.9
2.5
0.6
0.1
1.0
0.0
0.4
1.7
0.2
1.2
0.6
1.5
0.5
1.2
0.2
5.8
8.8
12.7
6.0
5.9
3.5
18.5
5.4
8.7
14.0
6.0
107.4
2.5
0.6
0.1
1.0
0.0
0.4
1.7
0.2
1.2
0.6
1.5
0.5
1.2
0.2
5.8
8.8
12.7
6.1
5.9
3.5
18.8
5.3
8.7
14.1
6.0
107.7
2.4
0.4
0.1
0.9
0.0
0.4
1.6
0.2
1.0
0.5
1.4
0.4
1.2
0.2
6.0
8.8
12.8
6.1
5.9
3.6
19.3
5.3
8.6
14.4
6.2
107.7
2.2
0.3
0.1
0.7
0.0
0.4
1.6
0.2
0.8
0.4
1.2
0.4
1.1
0.1
6.1
8.8
12.7
6.0
5.8
3.6
19.7
5.2
8.5
14.6
6.2
107.0
2.0
0.2
0.1
0.6
0.0
0.3
1.5
0.2
0.6
0.3
1.1
0.3
1.1
0.1
6.2
8.7
12.6
5.9
5.8
3.6
20.1
5.2
8.4
14.9
6.3
106.2
Table 4: Employees by sector - annual percentage changes
73
Agriculture
Extraction
Manufacturing of:
Food, drink & tobacco
Textiles, clothing & leather
Wood & wood products
Pulp, paper & printing
Coke, oil and nuclear
Chemicals & pharmaceuticals
Rubber & plastic products
Other non-metals
Metals
Machinery & equipment nec
Electrical & optical equipment
Transport equipment
Other manufacturing nec
Electricity, gas & water
Construction
Distribution
Retail
Hotels & restaurants
Transport & communications
Financial intermediation
Business services
Public administration & defence
Education
Health
Other personal services
Total
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2018-22
avg pa
2022-27
avg pa
2027-32
avg pa
12.0
-6.8
-22.4
199.7
14.0
-29.0
-19.8
-78.2
25.0
-1.0
2.8
-2.1
-1.2
-2.1
-1.3
-2.1
-1.5
-2.4
-1.5
-2.3
-1.4
-2.3
-1.4
-2.3
-1.5
-2.4
-1.5
-2.6
-1.6
-3.1
-1.6
-3.3
11.5
-3.2
24.8
8.5
0.0
-3.7
8.7
10.8
-6.9
-14.8
-4.1
30.9
13.5
-27.2
6.1
-0.3
-9.4
-6.5
5.9
1.1
6.0
-37.3
-5.8
11.0
-8.0
-3.7
-1.4
-32.8
7.2
-7.9
0.0
10.8
12.8
8.1
11.6
-7.1
11.5
-10.5
2.5
-10.4
5.3
5.3
0.8
7.5
2.7
8.2
0.1
-30.3
9.9
4.6
2.1
0.5
-6.7
-11.7
-12.4
-10.4
0.0
-20.0
-8.6
-9.2
-2.4
-11.6
14.0
-8.9
-6.0
-37.5
-10.3
-4.9
0.9
-4.8
38.5
10.0
4.0
7.1
5.8
-0.2
17.6
1.7
-4.7
-14.7
-13.4
-5.5
6.4
-15.3
-7.0
-11.0
-4.5
-9.5
0.6
-19.8
-4.7
0.1
-2.9
-5.0
-1.9
2.1
-4.2
-5.5
-1.6
0.2
-0.3
5.8
-1.2
-1.8
2.9
-1.9
-1.6
-10.5
-17.9
-13.6
8.8
1.7
-10.3
-12.8
-7.5
-9.0
-5.6
8.5
-11.7
2.5
-4.3
-3.7
-1.4
-10.7
-5.5
1.9
-0.5
1.9
2.7
-2.5
-1.1
-4.5
-1.7
-3.6
-1.6
-1.6
1.7
0.1
-2.8
-2.6
1.0
-2.0
-2.4
-1.8
0.7
0.3
0.4
-0.3
0.6
1.3
1.3
-2.8
-0.7
-0.3
1.6
0.0
-0.1
-4.2
-2.1
-2.1
-1.5
-1.0
-0.1
0.1
-2.6
-3.5
0.4
0.4
-0.5
-2.0
1.2
1.0
1.4
0.4
1.0
1.8
2.8
-3.2
-1.1
-0.5
0.9
0.4
-0.4
-5.0
-2.1
-2.7
-2.5
-1.5
-0.4
0.0
-3.2
-3.9
-0.8
0.6
-0.6
-1.7
2.8
1.3
1.7
2.3
1.3
2.3
4.9
-2.1
-1.4
-0.5
2.0
1.0
-1.1
-5.8
-2.1
-3.2
-2.7
-2.0
-0.9
-0.5
-4.0
-4.4
-1.6
-1.5
-0.8
-1.7
1.9
1.4
1.7
1.7
1.6
1.5
5.2
-1.2
-1.2
-0.1
2.3
1.1
-1.3
-5.9
-2.2
-3.2
-2.5
-2.1
-0.7
-0.6
-4.2
-4.7
-1.7
-2.5
-0.9
-1.7
0.7
1.4
1.6
1.6
1.5
0.8
4.8
-0.9
-0.8
0.1
2.8
1.1
-1.3
-5.9
-2.2
-3.2
-2.8
-2.1
-0.8
-0.6
-4.1
-4.7
-1.7
-2.5
-0.9
-1.6
0.4
1.0
1.1
1.4
1.1
0.5
3.4
-0.6
-0.6
0.2
2.3
0.8
-1.3
-5.9
-2.2
-3.2
-3.0
-2.1
-0.8
-0.7
-4.2
-4.7
-1.7
-2.5
-0.9
-1.6
0.4
0.8
0.7
1.0
0.7
0.5
2.4
-0.4
-0.5
0.2
1.6
0.5
-1.3
-5.9
-2.2
-3.2
-3.0
-2.1
-0.8
-0.7
-4.2
-4.8
-1.7
-2.5
-0.9
-1.7
0.5
0.4
0.4
0.5
0.3
0.4
1.6
-0.3
-0.4
0.4
1.0
0.2
-1.3
-5.9
-2.3
-3.2
-3.0
-2.1
-0.8
-1.0
-4.2
-4.8
-1.7
-2.5
-0.8
-1.7
0.5
0.1
0.1
0.2
0.0
0.2
0.8
-0.2
-0.2
0.5
0.6
0.0
-1.4
-5.9
-2.5
-3.2
-3.0
-2.1
-0.9
-1.4
-4.2
-5.0
-1.8
-2.5
-0.8
-1.7
0.4
-0.1
-0.1
-0.3
-0.3
0.0
0.5
-0.3
-0.3
0.3
0.2
-0.1
-1.4
-6.5
-2.6
-3.3
-3.1
-2.2
-0.9
-1.5
-4.6
-5.5
-1.8
-2.6
-0.8
-1.7
0.3
-0.1
-0.1
-0.4
-0.3
0.0
0.4
-0.3
-0.3
0.3
0.2
-0.1
Summary tables - Bury
Table 1: Key indicators
Demography
Total population
Working age population
Total migration
Labour market
Total employees
Self employed
Total employment (jobs)
Total employment (people)
Residence employment
Residence employment rate
Net commuting
Unemployment level
Unemployment rate
Output
Total GVA
Relative productivity
Housing
Households
Housing stock
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2022
2027
2032
181.2
113.9
-0.5
181.6
113.8
-0.1
181.6
113.1
-0.7
182.6
113.4
0.4
183.5
113.6
0.2
184.4
113.7
0.1
185.3
113.9
0.2
186.4
114.1
0.2
187.3
114.4
0.1
188.3
114.5
0.1
189.3
114.6
0.0
190.3
114.8
0.0
191.3
114.9
0.0
195.4
116.0
0.0
200.0
117.9
0.0
204.1
120.4
0.0
62.1
10.7
72.8
66.3
86.2
77.4
-19.9
2.3
2.0
62.7
10.5
73.2
66.9
84.5
75.9
-17.6
2.2
2.0
62.2
11.0
73.2
66.9
82.4
74.5
-15.6
2.6
2.3
61.4
11.0
72.4
66.5
81.9
73.8
-15.4
4.5
4.0
60.6
11.2
71.8
65.9
80.5
72.4
-14.6
4.2
3.7
60.7
11.2
71.9
65.9
80.4
72.2
-14.5
4.4
3.9
60.9
11.2
72.1
66.1
80.7
72.3
-14.6
4.3
3.8
61.4
11.3
72.7
66.7
81.6
72.9
-14.9
4.1
3.6
61.9
11.5
73.4
67.3
82.6
73.6
-15.2
4.1
3.6
62.6
11.6
74.2
68.0
83.5
74.4
-15.5
4.1
3.5
63.1
11.7
74.8
68.5
84.3
75.0
-15.8
3.9
3.4
63.4
11.8
75.2
68.9
84.8
75.3
-16.0
3.6
3.1
63.7
11.8
75.5
69.1
85.2
75.5
-16.1
3.5
3.0
64.4
12.0
76.4
69.9
86.0
75.6
-16.1
3.5
3.0
65.0
12.2
77.2
70.5
86.2
74.5
-15.7
3.6
3.0
65.7
12.4
78.0
71.2
86.2
73.0
-15.0
3.7
3.0
2322
97.2
2329
95.5
2336
95.2
2237
94.8
2286
94.8
2334
94.6
2391
94.4
2460
94.2
2527
94.1
2589
93.9
2646
93.7
2699
93.5
2751
93.2
2978
92.5
3266
91.6
3570
90.8
76
79564
77
80226
77
80898
77
80670
78
80759
79
81391
79
81996
80
82651
81
83340
81
84024
82
84708
83
85402
83
86113
86
89098
90
93143
94
97373
Table 2: Key indicators annual percentage change*
Demography
Total population
Working age population
Total migration (000s)
Labour market
Total employees
Self employed
Total employment (jobs)
Total employment (people)
Residence employment
Residence employment rate (pp)
Net commuting (000s)
Unemployment level
Unemployment rate (pp)
Output
Total GVA
Relative productivity (pp)
Housing
Households
Housing stock
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2018-22
avg pa
2022-27
avg pa
2027-32
avg pa
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.2
-0.1
0.4
0.0
-0.6
-0.6
0.6
0.3
1.1
0.5
0.1
-0.2
0.5
0.1
-0.1
0.5
0.2
0.1
0.5
0.2
0.0
0.5
0.2
-0.1
0.5
0.1
-0.1
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.5
0.2
0.0
0.5
0.3
0.0
0.4
0.4
0.0
5.3
9.2
5.8
5.8
0.1
-0.1
3.6
16.9
0.3
0.9
-2.0
0.5
0.8
-2.0
-1.5
2.3
-2.0
0.0
-0.7
4.5
0.0
0.0
-2.4
-1.4
2.1
15.9
0.3
-1.3
0.1
-1.1
-0.6
-0.7
-0.7
0.1
76.2
1.7
-1.3
2.2
-0.8
-0.8
-1.8
-1.4
0.9
-6.8
-0.3
0.2
-0.5
0.1
0.0
-0.1
-0.2
0.1
5.0
0.2
0.3
0.3
0.3
0.3
0.3
0.1
-0.1
-2.5
-0.1
0.8
1.3
0.9
0.9
1.1
0.6
-0.3
-4.1
-0.2
0.9
1.3
1.0
1.0
1.2
0.7
-0.3
-0.8
0.0
1.0
1.1
1.0
1.0
1.2
0.8
-0.3
-1.2
0.0
0.8
0.7
0.8
0.8
0.9
0.6
-0.2
-3.9
-0.1
0.6
0.4
0.6
0.5
0.6
0.4
-0.2
-7.6
-0.3
0.4
0.2
0.4
0.4
0.4
0.2
-0.1
-3.3
-0.1
0.3
0.4
0.3
0.3
0.3
0.0
0.0
-0.6
0.0
0.2
0.3
0.2
0.2
0.1
-0.2
0.1
0.4
0.0
0.2
0.3
0.2
0.2
0.0
-0.3
0.1
0.6
0.0
6.2
0.4
0.3
-1.7
0.3
-0.2
-4.2
-0.4
2.2
0.0
2.1
-0.1
2.4
-0.2
2.9
-0.2
2.7
-0.1
2.4
-0.2
2.2
-0.2
2.0
-0.2
2.0
-0.2
2.0
-0.2
1.9
-0.2
1.8
-0.2
0.4
1.0
0.3
0.8
0.5
0.8
0.6
-0.3
0.8
0.1
0.7
0.8
0.8
0.7
0.8
0.8
0.8
0.8
0.8
0.8
0.8
0.8
0.8
0.8
0.8
0.8
0.9
0.9
0.9
0.9
0.9
0.9
* percentage changes unless otherwise noted
Note: Total employees represents the number of jobs in an area. Total employment (jobs) also represents the number of jobs in an area, but
includes self-employed jobs. Total employment (people) represents the number of people in employment in an area - i.e. it includes both full
time and part time employees but people with more than one job are counted only once
74
Summary tables – Bury (continued)
Table 3: Employees by sector
Agriculture
Extraction
Manufacturing of:
Food, drink & tobacco
Textiles, clothing & leather
Wood & wood products
Pulp, paper & printing
Coke, oil and nuclear
Chemicals & pharmaceuticals
Rubber & plastic products
Other non-metals
Metals
Machinery & equipment nec
Electrical & optical equipment
Transport equipment
Other manufacturing nec
Electricity, gas & water
Construction
Distribution
Retail
Hotels & restaurants
Transport & communications
Financial intermediation
Business services
Public administration & defence
Education
Health
Other personal services
Total
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2022
2027
2032
0.1
0.0
0.1
0.0
0.2
0.0
0.1
0.0
0.2
0.0
0.2
0.0
0.2
0.0
0.2
0.0
0.2
0.0
0.2
0.0
0.2
0.0
0.2
0.0
0.2
0.0
0.2
0.0
0.1
0.0
0.1
0.0
0.3
1.3
0.1
0.7
0.0
1.2
1.2
0.2
1.6
0.8
0.4
0.1
0.5
0.0
2.5
4.0
7.4
4.2
4.7
1.1
6.3
1.9
6.3
11.7
3.8
62.1
0.3
1.0
0.1
0.7
0.0
1.0
1.2
0.2
1.6
0.9
0.4
0.1
0.6
0.0
2.6
4.2
7.3
4.0
4.1
1.1
6.7
3.8
6.1
11.6
3.2
62.7
0.3
0.7
0.1
0.7
0.0
1.0
1.5
0.2
1.5
0.6
0.4
0.1
0.4
0.0
2.6
3.9
7.5
3.9
4.2
1.0
6.3
2.9
6.0
12.6
3.5
62.2
0.3
0.6
0.0
0.7
0.0
0.8
1.4
0.1
1.5
0.6
0.4
0.1
0.4
0.0
2.5
3.8
7.3
4.0
4.1
1.0
6.1
2.9
6.0
13.3
3.5
61.4
0.3
0.6
0.0
0.6
0.0
0.6
1.5
0.1
1.3
0.5
0.3
0.0
0.3
0.0
2.2
3.9
7.0
3.9
4.2
0.9
5.8
3.0
6.0
13.6
3.6
60.6
0.3
0.6
0.0
0.6
0.0
0.6
1.5
0.1
1.3
0.5
0.3
0.0
0.3
0.0
2.3
3.9
7.1
3.9
4.2
0.9
6.0
2.9
5.9
13.6
3.7
60.7
0.3
0.6
0.0
0.5
0.0
0.6
1.5
0.1
1.3
0.5
0.3
0.0
0.3
0.0
2.3
3.9
7.2
3.9
4.3
0.9
6.1
2.8
5.9
13.5
3.8
60.9
0.3
0.5
0.0
0.5
0.0
0.6
1.4
0.1
1.3
0.5
0.3
0.0
0.3
0.0
2.4
4.0
7.3
4.0
4.4
0.9
6.4
2.7
5.8
13.5
3.9
61.4
0.3
0.5
0.0
0.5
0.0
0.6
1.4
0.1
1.2
0.5
0.3
0.0
0.3
0.0
2.4
4.0
7.4
4.0
4.4
0.9
6.8
2.7
5.7
13.5
4.0
61.9
0.3
0.5
0.0
0.5
0.0
0.6
1.4
0.1
1.2
0.5
0.3
0.0
0.3
0.0
2.4
4.1
7.6
4.1
4.5
0.9
7.1
2.7
5.7
13.5
4.1
62.6
0.3
0.4
0.0
0.5
0.0
0.6
1.3
0.1
1.2
0.5
0.3
0.0
0.3
0.0
2.4
4.1
7.7
4.2
4.6
0.9
7.3
2.7
5.7
13.6
4.2
63.1
0.3
0.4
0.0
0.4
0.0
0.5
1.3
0.1
1.1
0.5
0.3
0.0
0.3
0.0
2.4
4.2
7.7
4.2
4.7
0.9
7.5
2.7
5.7
13.6
4.3
63.4
0.3
0.4
0.0
0.4
0.0
0.5
1.3
0.1
1.1
0.4
0.3
0.0
0.3
0.0
2.4
4.2
7.8
4.3
4.7
0.9
7.6
2.7
5.7
13.7
4.4
63.7
0.3
0.3
0.0
0.3
0.0
0.5
1.2
0.1
1.0
0.4
0.2
0.0
0.3
0.0
2.5
4.2
7.9
4.3
4.8
0.9
7.9
2.7
5.7
14.1
4.6
64.4
0.2
0.2
0.0
0.3
0.0
0.4
1.1
0.1
0.8
0.4
0.2
0.0
0.3
0.0
2.6
4.2
8.0
4.3
4.8
0.8
8.2
2.7
5.7
14.6
4.8
65.0
0.2
0.2
0.0
0.2
0.0
0.3
1.0
0.1
0.7
0.3
0.2
0.0
0.3
0.0
2.7
4.2
8.1
4.3
4.9
0.8
8.5
2.7
5.7
15.1
5.1
65.7
Table 4: Employees by sector - annual percentage changes
Agriculture
Extraction
Manufacturing of:
Food, drink & tobacco
Textiles, clothing & leather
Wood & wood products
Pulp, paper & printing
Coke, oil and nuclear
Chemicals & pharmaceuticals
Rubber & plastic products
Other non-metals
Metals
Machinery & equipment nec
Electrical & optical equipment
Transport equipment
Other manufacturing nec
Electricity, gas & water
Construction
Distribution
Retail
Hotels & restaurants
Transport & communications
Financial intermediation
Business services
Public administration & defence
Education
Health
Other personal services
Total
75
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2018-22
avg pa
2022-27
avg pa
2027-32
avg pa
-14.6
85.8
12.7
-53.5
31.9
14.3
-20.2
-21.3
24.4
-2.5
2.3
-3.6
-1.7
-3.5
-1.8
-3.6
-2.0
-3.8
-1.9
-3.7
-1.9
-3.6
-1.9
-3.6
-2.0
-3.7
-2.0
-3.9
-2.0
-4.3
-2.1
-4.6
19.1
10.3
-19.5
14.1
66.3
8.0
-4.8
-14.6
-5.6
20.9
-9.3
19.6
23.2
34.2
12.1
-5.3
-4.9
-2.5
27.5
17.5
14.8
-25.3
9.7
5.5
22.6
5.3
2.6
-17.3
83.4
-0.3
-19.5
-14.2
-4.5
10.6
0.7
17.5
5.7
-29.3
25.8
101.8
5.2
3.9
-1.4
-5.5
-13.0
-5.9
6.8
101.9
-2.6
-1.4
-16.3
0.9
30.7
-31.3
-43.7
-4.3
-50.7
-4.6
29.1
-22.5
-5.2
-30.0
-5.5
-7.3
-33.6
7.9
1.5
-5.2
2.7
-0.5
3.3
-1.0
-5.2
-22.8
-1.6
8.9
9.5
-0.7
-5.8
-17.4
-16.9
-6.6
6.4
-18.7
-8.2
-13.3
-3.2
-7.3
-3.2
-22.7
-4.7
8.8
-4.9
-4.9
-1.9
2.2
-3.2
-6.1
-3.6
0.3
-0.2
5.8
-0.6
-1.3
1.8
1.9
-5.7
-11.5
-17.9
-17.0
7.4
-0.9
-9.3
-10.7
-9.3
-9.6
-5.6
-3.5
-11.2
2.6
-4.2
-3.7
2.2
-9.3
-5.0
2.0
-0.4
2.0
4.2
-1.3
-2.1
-4.0
-6.1
-4.7
-1.6
-2.4
0.4
-2.4
-1.6
-0.3
-0.8
-1.7
-2.4
-0.7
1.9
0.3
0.5
-0.2
1.1
-0.1
2.5
-2.8
-0.7
-0.2
2.2
0.2
-1.2
-3.7
-6.8
-3.3
-1.5
-1.8
-1.3
-2.4
-1.3
-1.2
-1.4
0.6
-0.5
-0.9
1.4
1.0
1.5
0.5
1.4
0.1
3.0
-3.1
-0.9
-0.4
1.5
0.3
-1.4
-4.4
-7.1
-3.9
-2.5
-2.2
-1.7
-2.4
-2.0
-1.5
-2.5
0.8
-0.6
-0.6
2.7
1.4
1.8
2.4
1.6
0.6
4.9
-2.0
-1.3
-0.4
2.6
0.8
-2.2
-5.2
-7.5
-4.3
-2.7
-2.8
-2.1
-2.9
-2.8
-2.0
-3.3
-1.3
-0.8
-0.7
1.8
1.5
1.8
1.9
2.0
-0.1
5.0
-1.1
-1.0
0.0
2.9
0.9
-2.3
-5.3
-7.9
-4.4
-2.5
-2.8
-2.0
-2.9
-3.0
-2.3
-3.3
-2.2
-0.9
-0.6
0.5
1.4
1.8
1.7
1.9
-0.7
4.7
-0.7
-0.7
0.3
3.4
1.0
-2.3
-5.3
-8.4
-4.4
-2.8
-2.8
-2.0
-2.9
-2.9
-2.3
-3.2
-2.3
-0.9
-0.6
0.4
1.1
1.3
1.6
1.6
-0.9
3.4
-0.4
-0.4
0.4
3.0
0.8
-2.3
-5.3
-8.9
-4.4
-3.0
-2.8
-2.0
-2.9
-2.9
-2.3
-3.2
-2.3
-0.9
-0.6
0.5
0.8
0.9
1.2
1.2
-0.8
2.5
-0.2
-0.3
0.5
2.3
0.6
-2.3
-5.3
-9.6
-4.4
-3.0
-2.8
-2.0
-2.9
-2.9
-2.3
-3.2
-2.3
-0.9
-0.7
0.6
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
-0.6
1.7
-0.1
-0.1
0.7
1.8
0.4
-2.3
-5.3
-11.6
-4.4
-3.0
-2.8
-2.0
-3.0
-2.9
-2.3
-3.2
-2.3
-0.8
-0.7
0.7
0.2
0.4
0.4
0.5
-0.6
1.1
0.1
0.0
0.7
1.3
0.3
-2.3
-5.4
-22.4
-4.5
-3.0
-2.8
-2.0
-3.2
-2.9
-2.3
-3.1
-2.3
-0.8
-0.7
0.7
0.0
0.2
0.0
0.2
-0.7
0.8
0.0
0.0
0.6
1.0
0.2
-2.4
-5.9
64.5
-4.9
-3.1
-2.9
-2.0
-3.4
-3.0
-2.4
-3.2
-2.4
-0.8
-0.8
0.7
0.0
0.2
0.0
0.2
-0.6
0.7
0.0
0.0
0.6
1.0
0.2
Summary tables - Manchester
Table 1: Key indicators
Demography
Total population
Working age population
Total migration
Labour market
Total employees
Self employed
Total employment (jobs)
Total employment (people)
Residence employment
Residence employment rate
Net commuting
Unemployment level
Unemployment rate
Output
Total GVA
Relative productivity
Housing
Households
Housing stock
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2022
2027
2032
455.7
319.1
5.7
465.2
328.2
6.1
473.2
334.7
4.2
483.8
344.1
6.6
493.0
353.8
6.0
499.1
359.3
2.5
505.8
364.3
2.7
514.1
369.8
3.9
521.6
373.5
2.7
528.0
375.9
1.3
534.2
377.8
0.9
540.7
379.7
0.9
547.0
381.3
0.6
568.0
383.8
-1.2
581.3
374.7
-4.1
581.0
353.2
-7.0
304.7
21.8
326.5
288.3
185.6
59.5
102.7
11.4
3.6
304.1
21.6
325.7
287.9
191.0
59.5
96.9
11.1
3.4
305.9
22.4
328.2
287.8
188.3
57.5
99.5
11.5
3.4
302.1
23.0
325.1
287.9
188.9
56.0
99.0
17.2
5.0
295.9
23.5
319.4
282.4
186.1
53.7
96.3
17.1
4.8
297.8
23.3
321.1
283.8
187.2
53.2
96.6
18.0
5.0
301.6
23.5
325.1
287.2
189.3
53.0
97.9
17.7
4.9
308.5
24.0
332.5
293.7
193.1
53.3
100.6
17.2
4.7
316.3
24.5
340.8
301.0
197.2
54.0
103.8
17.4
4.6
324.0
25.0
348.9
308.2
201.3
54.8
106.9
17.4
4.6
330.5
25.3
355.8
314.2
204.9
55.5
109.4
16.9
4.5
336.0
25.5
361.5
319.2
207.9
56.1
111.4
15.8
4.2
340.4
25.6
365.9
323.0
210.3
56.5
112.7
15.4
4.0
350.7
26.4
377.1
332.5
217.4
58.2
115.1
15.7
4.1
355.1
26.7
381.9
336.3
222.4
61.1
113.9
16.1
4.3
353.6
26.6
380.3
334.6
224.8
65.5
109.8
16.2
4.6
12509
116.8
12946
119.2
13266
120.6
12782
120.7
12884
120.1
13245
120.2
13698
119.9
14280
119.6
14876
119.3
15445
119.1
15988
119.0
16499
118.9
17001
118.9
18893
118.9
20971
118.9
22823
119.1
195
203238
199
208295
203
213965
209
208232
214
209571
217
214163
220
217176
224
220477
227
224447
230
227847
233
230755
236
233675
239
236749
250
248018
260
258912
265
265559
Table 2: Key indicators annual percentage change*
Demography
Total population
Working age population
Total migration (000s)
Labour market
Total employees
Self employed
Total employment (jobs)
Total employment (people)
Residence employment
Residence employment rate (pp)
Net commuting (000s)
Unemployment level
Unemployment rate (pp)
Output
Total GVA
Relative productivity (pp)
Housing
Households
Housing stock
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2018-22
avg pa
2022-27
avg pa
2027-32
avg pa
1.9
3.0
0.0
2.1
2.9
0.4
1.7
2.0
-1.9
2.2
2.8
2.4
1.9
2.8
-0.6
1.2
1.6
-3.5
1.4
1.4
0.2
1.6
1.5
1.2
1.5
1.0
-1.2
1.2
0.6
-1.4
1.2
0.5
-0.4
1.2
0.5
0.0
1.2
0.4
-0.4
1.0
0.2
-0.4
0.5
-0.4
-0.5
0.0
-1.1
-0.6
2.6
-1.5
2.3
2.0
5.8
1.6
-4.6
8.5
0.2
-0.2
-0.5
-0.2
-0.2
2.9
0.0
-5.9
-2.9
-0.2
0.6
3.4
0.8
0.0
-1.4
-2.0
2.6
3.4
0.0
-1.2
2.8
-1.0
0.0
0.3
-1.4
-0.5
50.1
1.6
-2.0
2.2
-1.7
-1.9
-1.5
-2.4
-2.7
-0.7
-0.2
0.6
-0.8
0.5
0.5
0.6
-0.5
0.3
5.5
0.2
1.3
0.6
1.2
1.2
1.1
-0.1
1.3
-1.6
-0.1
2.3
2.0
2.3
2.3
2.0
0.3
2.7
-2.7
-0.2
2.5
2.2
2.5
2.5
2.1
0.6
3.2
0.7
0.0
2.4
1.9
2.4
2.4
2.1
0.8
3.1
0.1
0.0
2.0
1.3
2.0
2.0
1.8
0.7
2.5
-2.8
-0.2
1.7
0.9
1.6
1.6
1.5
0.6
2.0
-6.6
-0.3
1.3
0.3
1.2
1.2
1.2
0.4
1.4
-2.5
-0.1
0.9
0.7
0.8
0.8
0.9
0.4
0.7
-0.1
0.0
0.3
0.3
0.3
0.3
0.5
0.6
-0.2
0.5
0.0
-0.1
-0.1
-0.1
-0.1
0.2
0.9
-0.8
0.3
0.1
3.7
1.6
3.5
2.4
2.5
1.4
-3.6
0.1
0.8
-0.6
2.8
0.1
3.4
-0.2
4.2
-0.3
4.2
-0.2
3.8
-0.2
3.5
-0.1
3.2
-0.1
3.0
0.0
2.7
0.0
2.2
0.0
1.7
0.0
2.0
1.0
2.2
2.5
2.1
2.7
2.8
-2.7
2.2
0.6
1.4
2.2
1.5
1.4
1.8
1.5
1.5
1.8
1.3
1.5
1.3
1.3
1.3
1.3
1.3
1.3
1.1
1.2
0.8
0.9
0.4
0.5
* percentage changes unless otherwise noted
Note: Total employees represents the number of jobs in an area. Total employment (jobs) also represents the number of jobs in an area, but
includes self-employed jobs. Total employment (people) represents the number of people in employment in an area - i.e. it includes both full
time and part time employees but people with more than one job are counted only once
76
Summary tables – Manchester (continued)
Table 3: Employees by sector
Agriculture
Extraction
Manufacturing of:
Food, drink & tobacco
Textiles, clothing & leather
Wood & wood products
Pulp, paper & printing
Coke, oil and nuclear
Chemicals & pharmaceuticals
Rubber & plastic products
Other non-metals
Metals
Machinery & equipment nec
Electrical & optical equipment
Transport equipment
Other manufacturing nec
Electricity, gas & water
Construction
Distribution
Retail
Hotels & restaurants
Transport & communications
Financial intermediation
Business services
Public administration & defence
Education
Health
Other personal services
Total
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2022
2027
2032
0.2
0.0
0.1
0.0
0.2
0.0
0.2
0.0
0.2
0.0
0.2
0.0
0.2
0.0
0.2
0.0
0.2
0.0
0.2
0.0
0.2
0.0
0.2
0.0
0.2
0.0
0.2
0.0
0.1
0.0
0.1
0.0
2.2
1.5
0.2
2.4
0.0
1.2
1.0
0.3
0.9
0.7
1.5
0.9
0.9
0.2
6.5
13.9
22.6
22.2
30.0
24.9
64.4
22.2
32.8
35.5
15.6
304.7
2.0
1.4
0.1
2.5
0.0
1.1
1.1
0.2
0.8
1.0
2.2
1.2
0.7
0.3
5.8
14.4
22.9
22.7
29.5
24.3
65.4
21.7
30.9
36.3
15.3
304.1
2.0
1.5
0.1
2.0
0.0
1.0
1.0
0.3
0.9
0.7
2.3
1.2
0.6
0.1
5.3
12.5
23.2
21.8
29.2
25.7
70.5
20.2
31.4
37.6
14.6
305.9
1.8
1.3
0.1
1.9
0.0
1.0
0.9
0.2
0.8
0.6
2.2
1.1
0.6
0.2
5.0
11.9
22.3
22.6
27.2
24.0
68.7
20.4
31.9
40.4
14.7
302.1
1.8
1.2
0.1
1.7
0.0
1.0
0.9
0.2
0.7
0.5
2.0
1.1
0.6
0.1
4.4
12.2
21.9
22.1
26.9
20.7
65.4
20.8
32.2
41.8
15.3
295.9
1.8
1.2
0.1
1.7
0.0
0.9
0.9
0.2
0.7
0.5
2.0
1.1
0.6
0.1
4.4
12.2
22.3
22.2
27.2
20.9
66.4
20.2
32.2
42.0
15.6
297.8
1.8
1.1
0.1
1.6
0.0
0.9
0.9
0.2
0.7
0.5
1.9
1.1
0.5
0.1
4.5
12.3
23.1
22.5
27.7
21.2
68.7
19.5
32.2
42.2
15.9
301.6
1.7
1.1
0.1
1.6
0.0
0.9
0.9
0.2
0.6
0.5
1.9
1.1
0.5
0.1
4.6
12.5
23.7
23.3
28.4
21.7
72.7
19.1
32.2
42.5
16.5
308.5
1.7
1.0
0.1
1.5
0.0
0.9
0.9
0.2
0.6
0.5
1.8
1.1
0.5
0.1
4.7
12.6
24.4
24.0
29.1
22.0
77.4
18.8
32.1
42.9
17.0
316.3
1.6
1.0
0.1
1.5
0.0
0.9
0.9
0.2
0.6
0.5
1.7
1.0
0.5
0.1
4.7
12.8
25.0
24.6
29.9
22.2
82.2
18.6
32.1
43.4
17.7
324.0
1.6
0.9
0.1
1.4
0.0
0.8
0.9
0.2
0.6
0.5
1.7
1.0
0.5
0.1
4.8
13.0
25.5
25.2
30.5
22.4
86.1
18.4
32.2
43.8
18.2
330.5
1.5
0.8
0.1
1.4
0.0
0.8
0.8
0.2
0.5
0.4
1.6
1.0
0.5
0.1
4.8
13.1
25.9
25.6
31.1
22.5
89.3
18.3
32.4
44.3
18.7
336.0
1.5
0.8
0.1
1.3
0.0
0.8
0.8
0.2
0.5
0.4
1.5
1.0
0.5
0.1
4.9
13.1
26.2
26.0
31.4
22.6
91.7
18.1
32.5
44.9
19.1
340.4
1.3
0.6
0.1
1.2
0.0
0.7
0.8
0.2
0.4
0.4
1.3
0.9
0.5
0.1
4.9
13.1
27.0
26.8
32.3
22.7
97.4
17.6
33.1
47.1
20.0
350.7
1.2
0.5
0.1
1.0
0.0
0.6
0.7
0.1
0.3
0.3
1.1
0.8
0.5
0.1
4.9
13.1
27.3
26.8
32.6
22.3
102.0
16.4
33.2
48.6
20.5
355.1
1.0
0.3
0.1
0.8
0.0
0.5
0.6
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.9
0.7
0.5
0.1
4.8
13.0
27.0
26.2
32.6
21.7
104.7
14.9
32.5
49.1
20.7
353.6
Table 4: Employees by sector - annual percentage changes
Agriculture
Extraction
Manufacturing of:
Food, drink & tobacco
Textiles, clothing & leather
Wood & wood products
Pulp, paper & printing
Coke, oil and nuclear
Chemicals & pharmaceuticals
Rubber & plastic products
Other non-metals
Metals
Machinery & equipment nec
Electrical & optical equipment
Transport equipment
Other manufacturing nec
Electricity, gas & water
Construction
Distribution
Retail
Hotels & restaurants
Transport & communications
Financial intermediation
Business services
Public administration & defence
Education
Health
Other personal services
Total
77
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2018-22
avg pa
2022-27
avg pa
2027-32
avg pa
40.8
12.0
-51.7
77.3
94.4
-76.0
-20.2
-21.3
24.4
-2.5
2.3
-3.6
-1.7
-3.5
-1.8
-3.6
-2.0
-3.8
-1.9
-3.7
-1.9
-3.6
-1.9
-3.6
-2.0
-3.7
-2.0
-3.9
-2.0
-4.3
-2.1
-4.6
16.4
0.5
24.9
-5.4
-87.4
-1.0
-19.6
-20.5
-17.6
2.1
-14.8
27.7
6.8
-1.7
-8.2
-19.4
-2.5
-8.3
-4.9
12.7
8.4
34.3
2.9
1.9
6.6
2.6
-6.4
-7.7
-1.9
5.9
22.1
-4.2
15.9
-10.3
-11.1
30.7
42.2
36.9
-25.9
67.8
-11.2
3.3
1.2
2.3
-1.7
-2.2
1.5
-2.4
-5.6
2.3
-2.2
-0.2
-3.0
6.0
-25.7
-18.4
5.6
-8.9
-15.9
12.4
6.4
-31.4
4.8
-0.3
-7.4
-59.5
-9.1
-13.3
1.5
-4.0
-1.0
5.5
7.9
-6.9
1.7
3.6
-4.4
0.6
-7.2
-13.9
-12.7
-5.5
6.4
-2.8
-8.2
-13.3
-3.5
-8.1
-3.7
-4.3
-4.7
15.2
-5.4
-5.0
-4.0
3.9
-6.8
-6.6
-2.5
0.8
1.5
7.6
0.6
-1.2
-1.1
-2.8
-0.7
-10.5
-17.9
-3.5
7.4
-0.9
-14.5
-11.4
-9.7
-7.0
-5.6
-17.1
-11.9
2.5
-2.0
-2.3
-1.0
-13.5
-4.8
2.2
1.0
3.4
3.8
-2.0
-0.8
-4.6
-0.8
-3.6
-1.6
-2.3
0.4
-2.4
-3.5
-1.1
-1.3
-1.4
-2.4
-1.6
0.1
0.3
2.2
0.5
1.3
0.7
1.5
-3.2
0.1
0.5
2.4
0.6
-1.7
-4.3
-1.2
-2.1
-1.5
-1.6
-1.3
-2.4
-3.3
-2.0
-1.9
0.9
-0.5
-1.8
1.1
1.0
3.2
1.3
1.8
1.4
3.5
-3.4
-0.1
0.4
1.9
1.3
-2.0
-5.0
-1.2
-2.7
-2.5
-2.1
-1.7
-2.4
-3.9
-2.3
-3.0
1.1
-0.6
-1.5
2.8
1.3
2.9
3.5
2.3
2.3
5.8
-2.1
-0.2
0.7
3.3
2.3
-2.7
-5.8
-1.2
-3.2
-2.7
-2.6
-2.1
-2.9
-4.7
-2.8
-3.7
-1.0
-0.8
-1.6
2.3
1.4
2.8
2.8
2.7
1.7
6.4
-1.3
-0.1
1.0
3.4
2.5
-2.9
-5.9
-1.2
-3.2
-2.5
-2.7
-2.0
-2.9
-5.0
-3.1
-3.8
-2.0
-0.9
-1.5
1.1
1.4
2.5
2.5
2.6
1.0
6.2
-1.2
0.0
1.0
3.7
2.4
-2.9
-5.9
-1.2
-3.2
-2.8
-2.7
-2.0
-2.9
-4.9
-3.1
-3.7
-2.0
-0.9
-1.5
0.9
1.0
1.9
2.3
2.1
0.6
4.8
-0.9
0.3
1.1
3.3
2.0
-2.9
-5.9
-1.2
-3.2
-3.0
-2.7
-2.0
-2.9
-4.9
-3.1
-3.7
-2.0
-0.9
-1.5
0.8
0.8
1.6
1.9
1.7
0.5
3.7
-0.8
0.4
1.1
2.6
1.7
-2.9
-5.9
-1.2
-3.2
-3.0
-2.7
-2.0
-2.9
-5.0
-3.1
-3.7
-2.0
-0.9
-1.6
0.7
0.4
1.3
1.4
1.2
0.5
2.7
-0.7
0.5
1.3
1.9
1.3
-2.9
-5.9
-1.3
-3.2
-3.0
-2.7
-2.0
-3.0
-5.0
-3.1
-3.7
-2.0
-0.8
-1.5
0.5
0.1
0.9
0.9
0.8
0.2
1.7
-0.8
0.5
1.2
1.3
0.9
-2.9
-5.9
-1.4
-3.2
-3.0
-2.7
-2.0
-3.2
-5.2
-3.1
-3.7
-2.0
-0.8
-1.5
-0.1
-0.1
0.3
0.0
0.2
-0.3
1.0
-1.3
0.1
0.7
0.6
0.3
-3.0
-6.5
-1.4
-3.3
-3.1
-2.8
-2.0
-3.4
-5.9
-3.2
-3.8
-2.1
-0.8
-1.6
-0.5
-0.1
-0.2
-0.4
0.0
-0.6
0.6
-1.8
-0.3
0.3
0.2
-0.1
Summary tables - Oldham
Table 1: Key indicators
Demography
Total population
Working age population
Total migration
Labour market
Total employees
Self employed
Total employment (jobs)
Total employment (people)
Residence employment
Residence employment rate
Net commuting
Unemployment level
Unemployment rate
Output
Total GVA
Relative productivity
Housing
Households
Housing stock
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2022
2027
2032
217.7
134.6
-1.2
217.8
134.4
-0.9
218.1
134.1
-1.0
218.7
134.1
-0.5
219.3
134.2
-0.5
219.8
134.1
-0.7
220.3
134.0
-0.7
221.0
134.1
-0.6
221.5
134.0
-0.6
222.1
134.0
-0.7
222.7
133.9
-0.7
223.4
133.8
-0.7
224.1
133.7
-0.7
226.6
133.1
-0.7
229.0
132.6
-0.7
230.7
132.3
-0.6
76.5
10.6
87.2
82.1
89.6
68.1
-7.5
3.9
2.9
78.9
11.3
90.2
85.1
86.1
65.6
-1.1
4.0
3.0
77.0
11.0
88.0
83.0
84.2
64.3
-1.3
4.3
3.2
75.3
10.7
86.0
81.3
82.9
63.3
-1.6
6.8
5.1
73.4
10.9
84.3
79.5
81.0
61.7
-1.4
6.6
5.0
73.3
10.8
84.1
79.3
80.9
61.7
-1.5
7.0
5.2
73.5
10.8
84.3
79.5
81.2
62.0
-1.7
6.8
5.1
74.1
11.0
85.1
80.3
82.3
62.7
-2.0
6.5
4.9
74.8
11.1
85.9
81.0
83.3
63.5
-2.3
6.5
4.8
75.5
11.2
86.7
81.7
84.4
64.3
-2.6
6.4
4.8
76.0
11.2
87.3
82.3
85.2
64.9
-2.9
6.1
4.6
76.4
11.3
87.7
82.6
85.8
65.4
-3.1
5.6
4.2
76.6
11.3
87.9
82.8
86.2
65.8
-3.3
5.4
4.1
77.0
11.4
88.4
83.3
87.2
66.9
-3.9
5.4
4.1
77.3
11.5
88.8
83.5
87.8
67.6
-4.3
5.5
4.1
77.7
11.6
89.3
83.9
88.3
68.2
-4.4
5.6
4.2
2569
89.8
2618
87.0
2588
87.7
2463
87.9
2502
88.4
2550
88.3
2613
88.2
2691
88.1
2764
88.0
2832
87.9
2895
87.8
2952
87.7
3009
87.6
3245
87.1
3552
86.6
3879
86.2
89
94502
90
92925
90
92639
90
93792
91
93870
92
94519
92
95053
93
95611
93
96226
94
96804
94
97381
95
97982
96
98607
98
101245
102
104777
105
108383
Table 2: Key indicators annual percentage change*
Demography
Total population
Working age population
Total migration (000s)
Labour market
Total employees
Self employed
Total employment (jobs)
Total employment (people)
Residence employment
Residence employment rate (pp)
Net commuting (000s)
Unemployment level
Unemployment rate (pp)
Output
Total GVA
Relative productivity (pp)
Housing
Households
Housing stock
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2018-22
avg pa
2022-27
avg pa
2027-32
avg pa
-0.1
0.0
-0.2
0.0
-0.2
0.3
0.1
-0.2
-0.1
0.3
0.0
0.5
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.2
-0.1
-0.2
0.2
-0.1
0.0
0.3
0.0
0.1
0.3
0.0
0.0
0.3
0.0
0.0
0.3
-0.1
0.0
0.3
-0.1
0.0
0.3
-0.1
0.0
0.3
-0.1
0.0
0.2
-0.1
0.0
0.2
0.0
0.0
-3.3
-0.5
-3.0
-3.1
-0.4
-0.3
-2.3
21.3
0.5
3.1
6.2
3.5
3.6
-3.9
-2.5
6.4
1.7
0.1
-2.4
-3.0
-2.4
-2.5
-2.2
-1.3
-0.2
7.7
0.2
-2.2
-2.5
-2.2
-2.1
-1.6
-1.0
-0.4
58.7
1.9
-2.6
1.7
-2.1
-2.1
-2.3
-1.6
0.2
-2.3
-0.1
-0.1
-0.9
-0.2
-0.2
-0.1
0.0
-0.1
4.8
0.2
0.3
0.2
0.3
0.2
0.5
0.3
-0.2
-2.6
-0.1
0.9
1.4
0.9
0.9
1.3
0.7
-0.3
-4.1
-0.2
0.9
1.2
1.0
0.9
1.3
0.8
-0.3
-0.8
0.0
0.9
0.9
0.9
0.9
1.2
0.8
-0.3
-1.4
-0.1
0.7
0.5
0.7
0.6
0.9
0.6
-0.3
-4.1
-0.2
0.5
0.2
0.5
0.4
0.7
0.5
-0.2
-7.8
-0.4
0.3
0.0
0.3
0.2
0.5
0.4
-0.2
-3.5
-0.1
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.3
0.3
-0.2
-0.7
0.0
0.1
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.2
-0.1
0.3
0.0
0.1
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.5
0.0
-3.1
-0.1
1.9
-2.8
-1.2
0.7
-4.8
0.1
1.6
0.6
1.9
-0.1
2.5
-0.1
3.0
-0.1
2.7
-0.1
2.5
-0.1
2.2
-0.1
2.0
-0.1
1.9
-0.1
1.9
-0.1
1.8
-0.1
1.8
-0.1
0.1
1.1
0.3
-1.7
0.2
-0.3
0.7
1.2
0.7
0.1
0.6
0.7
0.6
0.6
0.6
0.6
0.6
0.6
0.6
0.6
0.6
0.6
0.6
0.6
0.7
0.6
0.7
0.7
0.7
0.7
0.7
0.7
* percentage changes unless otherwise noted
Note: Total employees represents the number of jobs in an area. Total
employment (jobs) also represents the number of jobs in an area, but
includes self-employed jobs. Total employment (people) represents the number of people in employment in an area - i.e. it includes both full
time and part time employees but people with more than one job are counted only once
78
Summary tables – Oldham (continued)
Table 3: Employees by sector
Agriculture
Extraction
Manufacturing of:
Food, drink & tobacco
Textiles, clothing & leather
Wood & wood products
Pulp, paper & printing
Coke, oil and nuclear
Chemicals & pharmaceuticals
Rubber & plastic products
Other non-metals
Metals
Machinery & equipment nec
Electrical & optical equipment
Transport equipment
Other manufacturing nec
Electricity, gas & water
Construction
Distribution
Retail
Hotels & restaurants
Transport & communications
Financial intermediation
Business services
Public administration & defence
Education
Health
Other personal services
Total
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2022
2027
2032
0.1
0.0
0.1
0.0
0.2
0.0
0.1
0.0
0.2
0.0
0.2
0.0
0.2
0.0
0.2
0.0
0.2
0.0
0.2
0.0
0.2
0.0
0.1
0.0
0.1
0.0
0.1
0.0
0.1
0.0
0.1
0.0
2.3
1.1
0.4
1.4
0.0
0.6
1.0
0.0
2.0
1.5
1.8
0.4
1.5
0.1
5.6
5.8
10.9
3.9
3.4
1.2
7.4
3.1
7.5
9.9
3.5
76.5
1.7
1.1
0.5
1.4
0.0
0.6
1.0
0.0
1.8
1.7
1.7
0.3
1.5
0.1
5.9
6.3
11.0
3.9
3.2
1.1
9.1
3.1
7.9
10.2
3.5
78.9
1.4
1.0
0.4
1.4
0.0
0.5
0.8
0.1
1.8
1.4
1.8
0.3
0.9
0.3
5.2
5.7
11.1
4.1
3.0
0.8
9.7
3.3
7.5
10.9
3.4
77.0
1.3
0.9
0.3
1.3
0.0
0.5
0.7
0.1
1.8
1.3
1.7
0.3
0.9
0.4
4.8
5.5
10.9
4.1
2.9
0.7
9.1
3.3
7.5
11.6
3.3
75.3
1.4
0.9
0.3
1.2
0.0
0.5
0.8
0.1
1.6
1.2
1.6
0.2
0.8
0.3
4.2
5.6
10.4
4.0
2.8
0.6
8.6
3.4
7.5
11.8
3.4
73.4
1.3
0.8
0.3
1.1
0.0
0.5
0.8
0.1
1.6
1.1
1.6
0.2
0.8
0.3
4.3
5.7
10.4
4.0
2.9
0.6
8.8
3.3
7.4
11.8
3.5
73.3
1.3
0.8
0.3
1.1
0.0
0.5
0.8
0.1
1.6
1.1
1.5
0.2
0.8
0.3
4.3
5.7
10.6
4.0
2.9
0.6
9.0
3.2
7.4
11.8
3.5
73.5
1.3
0.7
0.3
1.1
0.0
0.5
0.8
0.1
1.5
1.1
1.5
0.2
0.8
0.3
4.4
5.8
10.7
4.1
2.9
0.6
9.5
3.1
7.3
11.8
3.6
74.2
1.3
0.7
0.3
1.0
0.0
0.4
0.8
0.1
1.5
1.1
1.5
0.2
0.8
0.3
4.5
5.9
10.9
4.1
3.0
0.6
10.1
3.1
7.2
11.8
3.7
74.9
1.2
0.7
0.3
1.0
0.0
0.4
0.7
0.1
1.4
1.0
1.4
0.2
0.8
0.3
4.5
6.0
11.1
4.2
3.0
0.6
10.6
3.1
7.1
11.8
3.8
75.6
1.2
0.6
0.3
1.0
0.0
0.4
0.7
0.1
1.4
1.0
1.4
0.2
0.8
0.3
4.6
6.1
11.2
4.3
3.0
0.6
11.0
3.1
7.1
11.9
3.8
76.1
1.2
0.6
0.3
0.9
0.0
0.4
0.7
0.1
1.3
1.0
1.3
0.1
0.8
0.3
4.6
6.2
11.3
4.3
3.0
0.6
11.3
3.1
7.1
11.9
3.9
76.5
1.2
0.6
0.3
0.9
0.0
0.4
0.7
0.1
1.3
0.9
1.3
0.1
0.8
0.3
4.6
6.2
11.3
4.3
3.1
0.6
11.5
3.1
7.1
12.0
3.9
76.8
1.1
0.4
0.3
0.8
0.0
0.4
0.7
0.1
1.1
0.8
1.1
0.1
0.7
0.3
4.7
6.3
11.4
4.3
3.0
0.6
12.1
3.2
7.1
12.5
4.0
77.2
0.9
0.3
0.3
0.7
0.0
0.3
0.6
0.1
1.0
0.7
0.9
0.0
0.7
0.2
4.8
6.3
11.3
4.3
3.0
0.6
12.8
3.2
7.1
12.9
4.1
77.5
0.8
0.2
0.3
0.6
0.0
0.3
0.5
0.0
0.8
0.6
0.8
0.0
0.7
0.2
5.0
6.4
11.3
4.2
3.0
0.6
13.5
3.2
7.1
13.4
4.2
77.9
Table 4: Employees by sector - annual percentage changes
79
Agriculture
Extraction
Manufacturing of:
Food, drink & tobacco
Textiles, clothing & leather
Wood & wood products
Pulp, paper & printing
Coke, oil and nuclear
Chemicals & pharmaceuticals
Rubber & plastic products
Other non-metals
Metals
Machinery & equipment nec
Electrical & optical equipment
Transport equipment
Other manufacturing nec
Electricity, gas & water
Construction
Distribution
Retail
Hotels & restaurants
Transport & communications
Financial intermediation
Business services
Public administration & defence
Education
Health
Other personal services
Total
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2018-22
avg pa
2022-27
avg pa
2027-32
avg pa
48.2
56.8
4.1
-29.1
23.8
0.0
-19.7
-21.3
25.2
-2.5
2.9
-3.6
-1.1
-3.5
-1.2
-3.6
-1.4
-3.8
-1.4
-3.7
-1.3
-3.6
-1.3
-3.6
-1.4
-3.7
-1.4
-3.9
-1.5
-4.3
-1.5
-4.6
-18.1
-4.7
16.7
-5.0
0.0
-10.3
-7.6
-30.7
6.8
-1.9
-11.1
-63.6
7.2
185.5
24.4
-9.9
-9.2
-6.0
6.6
-15.1
-2.2
-0.8
6.1
-2.2
-11.3
-3.3
-27.5
-6.5
12.4
4.6
0.0
0.1
-6.3
-19.6
-9.4
17.4
-1.6
-15.2
0.0
17.1
5.3
8.3
0.4
0.3
-5.0
-10.0
22.6
1.4
5.0
3.6
1.6
3.1
-15.3
-4.7
-19.9
-5.3
0.0
-16.8
-15.2
212.1
3.2
-18.4
5.8
-11.1
-39.7
245.3
-12.5
-9.2
1.3
4.9
-5.6
-31.3
6.1
4.7
-5.1
6.9
-4.3
-2.4
-5.8
-14.8
-12.3
-5.5
0.0
-1.7
-8.2
-13.3
-3.6
-8.1
-6.4
-4.2
-4.7
9.7
-7.1
-4.7
-2.2
1.9
-4.0
-7.8
-5.3
0.6
-0.2
5.9
-1.5
-2.2
1.8
-1.5
-0.3
-10.5
0.0
-2.7
7.4
-0.9
-9.3
-11.4
-7.9
-10.9
-5.6
-6.9
-12.3
2.8
-4.4
-3.8
-2.3
-11.2
-5.6
2.3
-0.4
2.2
2.9
-2.6
-2.1
-4.4
-0.4
-3.6
0.0
-2.3
0.4
-2.4
-1.9
-1.1
-0.9
-6.4
-2.4
-1.6
0.6
0.6
0.3
-0.4
0.5
0.0
1.7
-2.5
-0.6
-0.1
1.5
-0.1
-1.2
-4.1
-0.8
-2.1
0.0
-1.6
-1.3
-2.4
-1.6
-2.0
-1.5
-4.4
-0.5
-1.8
1.2
1.3
1.3
0.3
0.9
0.4
3.2
-2.8
-0.9
-0.3
0.9
0.3
-1.4
-4.8
-0.8
-2.7
0.0
-2.1
-1.7
-2.4
-2.3
-2.3
-2.6
-4.4
-0.6
-1.5
2.7
1.6
1.6
2.2
1.2
0.9
5.4
-1.7
-1.2
-0.2
1.9
0.9
-2.2
-5.6
-0.8
-3.2
0.0
-2.6
-2.1
-2.9
-3.0
-2.8
-3.4
-6.6
-0.8
-1.6
1.9
1.7
1.6
1.7
1.5
0.2
5.5
-0.8
-1.0
0.2
2.3
1.0
-2.3
-5.7
-0.8
-3.2
0.0
-2.7
-2.0
-2.9
-3.2
-3.1
-3.4
-7.7
-0.9
-1.5
0.5
1.7
1.5
1.5
1.4
-0.5
5.2
-0.4
-0.7
0.4
2.7
0.9
-2.3
-5.7
-0.8
-3.2
0.0
-2.7
-2.0
-2.9
-3.1
-3.1
-3.3
-8.1
-0.9
-1.5
0.3
1.3
1.0
1.4
1.0
-0.7
3.8
-0.1
-0.4
0.5
2.3
0.7
-2.3
-5.7
-0.8
-3.2
0.0
-2.7
-2.0
-2.9
-3.1
-3.1
-3.3
-8.4
-0.9
-1.5
0.4
1.0
0.7
1.0
0.6
-0.6
2.9
0.1
-0.3
0.6
1.6
0.5
-2.3
-5.7
-0.8
-3.2
0.0
-2.7
-2.0
-2.9
-3.1
-3.1
-3.3
-8.7
-0.9
-1.6
0.5
0.7
0.4
0.5
0.3
-0.5
2.0
0.2
-0.1
0.8
1.1
0.3
-2.3
-5.7
-0.9
-3.2
0.0
-2.7
-2.0
-3.0
-3.1
-3.1
-3.3
-9.6
-0.8
-1.5
0.6
0.4
0.2
0.2
0.0
-0.5
1.4
0.3
0.0
0.8
0.7
0.2
-2.3
-5.7
-1.0
-3.2
0.0
-2.7
-2.0
-3.2
-3.1
-3.1
-3.2
-13.0
-0.8
-1.5
0.6
0.2
0.0
-0.3
-0.3
-0.5
1.1
0.3
0.0
0.7
0.3
0.1
-2.4
-6.3
-1.1
-3.3
0.0
-2.8
-2.0
-3.4
-3.3
-3.2
-3.3
-30.3
-0.8
-1.6
0.6
0.2
0.0
-0.3
-0.3
-0.4
1.1
0.3
0.0
0.7
0.3
0.1
Summary tables - Rochdale
Table 1: Key indicators
Demography
Total population
Working age population
Total migration
Labour market
Total employees
Self employed
Total employment (jobs)
Total employment (people)
Residence employment
Residence employment rate
Net commuting
Unemployment level
Unemployment rate
Output
Total GVA
Relative productivity
Housing
Households
Housing stock
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2022
2027
2032
204.3
128.9
-1.5
204.0
128.4
-1.3
204.3
127.9
-0.8
204.7
127.9
-0.7
205.2
128.2
-0.6
205.7
128.4
-0.7
206.3
128.5
-0.6
207.1
128.7
-0.5
207.9
128.7
-0.6
208.6
128.6
-0.6
209.3
128.5
-0.7
210.1
128.4
-0.7
210.9
128.3
-0.6
214.2
128.0
-0.6
217.9
128.0
-0.6
220.9
128.0
-0.6
76.5
11.4
87.9
80.5
84.9
67.5
-4.4
4.0
3.1
78.3
11.9
90.2
82.8
84.2
67.1
-1.4
3.8
2.9
73.9
11.2
85.1
78.9
81.2
64.9
-2.2
4.2
3.3
71.4
11.1
82.5
76.3
79.3
63.4
-3.0
7.3
5.7
69.4
11.2
80.6
74.5
77.3
61.7
-2.9
6.9
5.4
69.4
11.1
80.5
74.4
77.3
61.5
-2.9
7.2
5.6
69.8
11.1
80.9
74.7
77.8
61.8
-3.0
7.0
5.5
70.5
11.3
81.8
75.6
78.8
62.5
-3.3
6.8
5.3
71.3
11.5
82.8
76.5
80.0
63.4
-3.5
6.7
5.2
72.2
11.6
83.8
77.4
81.0
64.3
-3.7
6.6
5.2
72.8
11.7
84.6
78.1
81.9
65.0
-3.9
6.4
5.0
73.4
11.8
85.2
78.6
82.6
65.6
-4.0
5.9
4.6
73.7
11.8
85.6
78.9
83.1
66.0
-4.2
5.7
4.4
74.7
12.1
86.8
80.0
84.5
67.3
-4.5
5.7
4.5
75.7
12.4
88.1
81.1
85.6
68.2
-4.6
5.9
4.6
76.8
12.8
89.5
82.3
86.8
69.1
-4.5
6.1
4.7
2809
97.4
2893
96.2
2792
97.9
2613
97.2
2648
97.8
2707
97.9
2787
98.0
2882
98.1
2973
98.1
3057
98.1
3135
98.1
3207
98.1
3280
98.1
3588
98.1
3998
98.3
4443
98.5
85
89429
85
89669
85
90056
86
88846
87
89022
87
89718
88
90328
89
90969
89
91658
90
92319
91
92966
91
93624
92
94298
95
97128
98
100957
102
104860
Table 2: Key indicators annual percentage change*
Demography
Total population
Working age population
Total migration (000s)
Labour market
Total employees
Self employed
Total employment (jobs)
Total employment (people)
Residence employment
Residence employment rate (pp)
Net commuting (000s)
Unemployment level
Unemployment rate (pp)
Output
Total GVA
Relative productivity (pp)
Housing
Households
Housing stock
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2018-22
avg pa
2022-27
avg pa
2027-32
avg pa
-0.2
-0.1
-0.2
-0.1
-0.4
0.2
0.1
-0.3
0.5
0.2
0.0
0.1
0.3
0.3
0.1
0.2
0.1
-0.1
0.3
0.1
0.1
0.4
0.1
0.1
0.4
0.0
-0.1
0.3
-0.1
-0.1
0.3
-0.1
0.0
0.4
-0.1
0.0
0.4
-0.1
0.0
0.4
-0.1
0.0
0.4
0.0
0.0
0.3
0.0
0.0
2.2
-0.5
1.8
1.7
-0.4
-0.2
1.7
19.0
0.5
2.3
4.6
2.6
2.9
-0.9
-0.3
3.0
-6.0
-0.2
-5.6
-5.9
-5.6
-4.7
-3.6
-2.2
-0.9
12.1
0.4
-3.4
-1.1
-3.1
-3.4
-2.4
-1.6
-0.7
71.4
2.4
-2.7
0.6
-2.3
-2.4
-2.4
-1.7
0.1
-5.3
-0.3
0.0
-0.8
-0.1
-0.1
0.0
-0.1
-0.1
4.9
0.3
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.6
0.3
-0.1
-2.4
-0.1
1.1
1.7
1.1
1.1
1.4
0.7
-0.2
-3.9
-0.2
1.2
1.6
1.2
1.2
1.4
0.9
-0.2
-0.6
0.0
1.2
1.3
1.2
1.2
1.4
0.9
-0.2
-1.1
-0.1
0.9
0.9
0.9
0.9
1.1
0.7
-0.2
-3.9
-0.2
0.7
0.6
0.7
0.7
0.8
0.6
-0.2
-7.6
-0.4
0.5
0.3
0.5
0.4
0.6
0.4
-0.1
-3.3
-0.1
0.4
0.5
0.4
0.4
0.5
0.3
-0.1
-0.5
0.0
0.3
0.5
0.3
0.3
0.3
0.2
0.0
0.5
0.0
0.3
0.5
0.3
0.3
0.3
0.2
0.0
0.7
0.0
1.9
0.0
3.0
-1.2
-3.5
1.7
-6.4
-0.6
1.3
0.6
2.3
0.1
2.9
0.1
3.4
0.1
3.1
0.0
2.8
0.0
2.6
0.0
2.3
0.0
2.3
0.0
2.3
0.0
2.2
0.0
2.1
0.0
0.0
0.1
0.3
0.3
0.4
0.4
0.8
-1.3
0.8
0.2
0.7
0.8
0.7
0.7
0.8
0.7
0.7
0.8
0.7
0.7
0.7
0.7
0.7
0.7
0.7
0.7
0.7
0.7
0.8
0.8
0.8
0.8
* percentage changes unless otherwise noted
Note: Total employees represents the number of jobs in an area. Total employment (jobs) also represents the number of jobs in an area, but
includes self-employed jobs. Total employment (people) represents the number of people in employment in an area - i.e. it includes both full
time and part time employees but people with more than one job are counted only once
80
Summary tables – Rochdale (continued)
Table 3: Employees by sector
Agriculture
Extraction
Manufacturing of:
Food, drink & tobacco
Textiles, clothing & leather
Wood & wood products
Pulp, paper & printing
Coke, oil and nuclear
Chemicals & pharmaceuticals
Rubber & plastic products
Other non-metals
Metals
Machinery & equipment nec
Electrical & optical equipment
Transport equipment
Other manufacturing nec
Electricity, gas & water
Construction
Distribution
Retail
Hotels & restaurants
Transport & communications
Financial intermediation
Business services
Public administration & defence
Education
Health
Other personal services
Total
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2022
2027
2032
0.2
0.0
0.2
0.0
0.2
0.0
0.1
0.0
0.2
0.0
0.2
0.0
0.2
0.0
0.2
0.0
0.2
0.0
0.2
0.0
0.2
0.0
0.2
0.0
0.2
0.0
0.2
0.0
0.1
0.0
0.1
0.0
0.6
2.3
0.2
0.9
0.0
1.8
1.3
0.1
2.0
1.5
1.1
0.3
0.5
0.1
5.0
5.9
8.2
5.1
6.9
1.0
9.6
2.7
6.7
9.4
3.0
76.5
0.7
2.0
0.3
0.9
0.0
1.7
1.5
0.1
2.0
2.0
1.0
0.4
0.5
0.1
5.1
6.5
8.1
4.7
6.5
0.9
11.3
3.4
6.4
8.7
3.3
78.3
0.8
1.9
0.3
0.7
0.0
1.6
1.6
0.1
1.9
2.3
0.5
0.2
0.4
0.1
4.2
5.6
7.6
4.2
7.2
0.9
9.8
4.3
5.5
8.8
3.1
73.9
0.7
1.6
0.3
0.7
0.0
1.3
1.5
0.1
1.9
2.1
0.5
0.2
0.4
0.1
3.9
5.4
7.4
4.3
6.9
0.9
9.0
4.3
5.4
9.3
3.1
71.4
0.7
1.7
0.3
0.6
0.0
1.1
1.6
0.1
1.7
1.9
0.5
0.1
0.4
0.1
3.5
5.5
7.1
4.2
6.6
0.7
8.4
4.3
5.4
9.5
3.2
69.4
0.7
1.6
0.3
0.6
0.0
1.1
1.6
0.1
1.6
1.9
0.5
0.1
0.4
0.1
3.5
5.5
7.1
4.2
6.7
0.7
8.6
4.2
5.4
9.4
3.2
69.4
0.7
1.6
0.3
0.6
0.0
1.1
1.6
0.1
1.6
1.9
0.5
0.1
0.4
0.1
3.6
5.6
7.2
4.2
6.8
0.8
8.9
4.1
5.3
9.4
3.2
69.8
0.7
1.5
0.3
0.6
0.0
1.0
1.6
0.1
1.6
1.8
0.5
0.1
0.4
0.1
3.7
5.7
7.3
4.3
6.9
0.8
9.4
4.0
5.3
9.3
3.3
70.5
0.7
1.5
0.3
0.6
0.0
1.0
1.6
0.1
1.5
1.8
0.5
0.1
0.4
0.1
3.8
5.8
7.4
4.4
7.1
0.8
10.0
3.9
5.2
9.3
3.4
71.3
0.7
1.4
0.3
0.5
0.0
1.0
1.5
0.1
1.5
1.7
0.5
0.1
0.4
0.1
3.9
5.9
7.5
4.5
7.2
0.8
10.6
3.9
5.2
9.3
3.5
72.2
0.7
1.3
0.3
0.5
0.0
1.0
1.5
0.1
1.4
1.7
0.5
0.1
0.4
0.1
3.9
5.9
7.6
4.5
7.3
0.8
11.1
3.9
5.2
9.3
3.5
72.8
0.7
1.2
0.3
0.5
0.0
0.9
1.5
0.1
1.4
1.7
0.5
0.1
0.4
0.1
3.9
6.0
7.7
4.6
7.4
0.8
11.5
3.9
5.2
9.4
3.6
73.4
0.7
1.2
0.3
0.5
0.0
0.9
1.5
0.1
1.3
1.6
0.5
0.1
0.4
0.1
4.0
6.0
7.7
4.6
7.5
0.8
11.8
3.9
5.2
9.4
3.6
73.7
0.6
0.9
0.2
0.4
0.0
0.8
1.4
0.1
1.2
1.5
0.5
0.1
0.4
0.1
4.2
6.1
7.8
4.7
7.7
0.7
12.7
3.9
5.2
9.6
3.7
74.7
0.6
0.7
0.2
0.4
0.0
0.7
1.3
0.1
1.0
1.3
0.4
0.1
0.4
0.1
4.5
6.1
7.8
4.8
7.9
0.7
13.8
3.8
5.3
9.9
3.8
75.7
0.5
0.5
0.2
0.3
0.0
0.6
1.2
0.1
0.9
1.1
0.4
0.1
0.4
0.1
4.8
6.1
7.8
4.8
8.0
0.7
14.9
3.8
5.3
10.1
3.9
76.8
Table 4: Employees by sector - annual percentage changes
81
Agriculture
Extraction
Manufacturing of:
Food, drink & tobacco
Textiles, clothing & leather
Wood & wood products
Pulp, paper & printing
Coke, oil and nuclear
Chemicals & pharmaceuticals
Rubber & plastic products
Other non-metals
Metals
Machinery & equipment nec
Electrical & optical equipment
Transport equipment
Other manufacturing nec
Electricity, gas & water
Construction
Distribution
Retail
Hotels & restaurants
Transport & communications
Financial intermediation
Business services
Public administration & defence
Education
Health
Other personal services
Total
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2018-22
avg pa
2022-27
avg pa
2027-32
avg pa
107.8
-58.2
-7.5
112.7
4.7
-100.0
-20.2
0.0
24.4
0.0
2.3
0.0
-1.7
0.0
-1.8
0.0
-2.0
0.0
-1.9
0.0
-1.9
0.0
-1.9
0.0
-2.0
0.0
-2.0
0.0
-2.0
0.0
-2.1
0.0
25.9
-3.0
24.7
19.0
0.0
1.8
-13.4
0.9
20.4
8.8
6.7
-27.4
34.3
64.1
-3.3
-0.4
4.3
0.3
18.1
19.9
-2.3
-7.0
4.6
-2.1
-4.1
2.2
11.1
-11.9
38.3
-9.1
0.0
-5.5
12.2
0.8
-4.0
34.7
-7.0
37.4
10.2
85.3
1.4
11.1
-1.7
-8.6
-6.5
-4.9
17.0
25.4
-3.4
-8.1
12.9
2.3
9.7
-6.5
12.4
-14.2
0.0
-4.9
9.4
-2.0
-2.1
14.7
-48.1
-45.0
-11.7
-8.0
-18.0
-13.9
-6.4
-9.5
11.0
0.3
-13.3
24.0
-15.3
1.6
-6.3
-5.6
-5.1
-14.3
-12.7
-5.5
0.0
-17.7
-7.7
-13.3
-2.9
-7.5
0.5
-23.9
-4.0
8.9
-5.8
-4.8
-2.2
2.1
-4.9
-8.6
-7.8
0.0
-0.3
5.5
-1.5
-3.4
2.5
3.4
-0.7
-10.5
0.0
-16.0
8.0
-0.9
-10.9
-10.9
-6.6
-9.7
-5.0
-5.5
-10.7
2.7
-4.5
-3.6
-3.3
-12.6
-6.2
1.7
-0.4
1.8
2.4
-2.7
-1.4
-1.7
-0.8
-3.6
0.0
-2.4
1.0
-2.4
-1.9
-0.5
1.7
-1.8
-1.7
-1.6
1.0
0.4
0.3
-0.2
1.1
0.1
1.7
-3.0
-0.6
-0.4
1.4
0.0
-0.5
-1.5
-1.2
-2.1
0.0
-1.8
-0.8
-2.4
-1.6
-1.4
1.1
0.6
0.2
-1.8
1.8
1.1
1.2
0.6
1.5
0.6
3.8
-3.3
-0.9
-0.6
0.8
0.5
-0.7
-4.4
-1.2
-2.7
0.0
-2.2
-1.2
-2.4
-2.2
-1.7
-0.1
0.8
0.1
-1.5
3.5
1.4
1.6
2.5
1.8
1.1
6.0
-2.2
-1.2
-0.5
1.9
1.1
-1.5
-5.2
-1.2
-3.2
0.0
-2.8
-1.6
-2.9
-3.0
-2.2
-0.9
-1.3
-0.2
-1.6
2.6
1.6
1.7
2.0
2.1
0.4
6.2
-1.2
-0.9
-0.1
2.3
1.2
-1.6
-5.3
-1.2
-3.2
0.0
-2.8
-1.5
-2.9
-3.2
-2.5
-1.0
-2.3
-0.2
-1.5
1.3
1.5
1.6
1.9
2.0
-0.2
5.8
-0.9
-0.6
0.1
2.8
1.2
-1.6
-5.3
-1.2
-3.2
0.0
-2.8
-1.5
-2.9
-3.1
-2.5
-1.1
-2.3
-0.2
-1.5
1.1
1.2
1.1
1.8
1.7
-0.5
4.5
-0.5
-0.3
0.2
2.4
0.9
-1.6
-5.3
-1.2
-3.2
0.0
-2.8
-1.5
-2.9
-3.1
-2.5
-1.1
-2.3
-0.1
-1.5
1.2
0.9
0.8
1.4
1.3
-0.4
3.5
-0.4
-0.1
0.3
1.7
0.7
-1.6
-5.3
-1.2
-3.2
0.0
-2.8
-1.5
-2.9
-3.1
-2.5
-1.1
-2.3
-0.1
-1.6
1.2
0.6
0.5
0.9
1.0
-0.3
2.7
-0.2
0.0
0.5
1.1
0.5
-1.6
-5.3
-1.3
-3.2
0.0
-2.8
-1.5
-3.0
-3.1
-2.5
-1.2
-2.4
-0.1
-1.5
1.3
0.3
0.3
0.6
0.7
-0.3
2.0
-0.1
0.1
0.6
0.7
0.4
-1.6
-5.3
-1.4
-3.2
0.0
-2.8
-1.5
-3.2
-3.1
-2.5
-1.3
-2.4
-0.1
-1.5
1.3
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.4
-0.3
1.7
-0.1
0.2
0.5
0.4
0.3
-1.7
-5.8
-1.4
-3.3
0.0
-2.9
-1.5
-3.4
-3.2
-2.7
-1.4
-2.4
-0.2
-1.6
1.2
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.4
-0.2
1.6
-0.1
0.2
0.5
0.4
0.3
Summary tables - Salford
Table 1: Key indicators
Demography
Total population
Working age population
Total migration
Labour market
Total employees
Self employed
Total employment (jobs)
Total employment (people)
Residence employment
Residence employment rate
Net commuting
Unemployment level
Unemployment rate
Output
Total GVA
Relative productivity
Housing
Households
Housing stock
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2022
2027
2032
220.8
144.1
0.9
221.3
144.6
-0.2
223.0
145.6
0.8
225.0
147.3
1.1
226.6
148.7
0.8
227.9
149.6
0.3
229.3
150.5
0.5
231.1
151.4
0.6
232.6
151.9
0.4
234.0
152.3
0.2
235.4
152.6
0.2
236.9
152.9
0.1
238.4
153.2
0.1
244.1
154.1
-0.1
249.1
154.2
-0.5
251.9
152.8
-0.8
114.0
10.0
124.0
108.9
103.1
73.1
5.8
4.0
2.8
114.8
10.5
125.3
110.1
103.6
73.2
6.5
4.0
2.8
117.2
11.2
128.5
113.3
100.3
70.3
13.0
4.2
2.9
115.8
11.4
127.2
112.9
100.0
69.3
12.8
7.2
4.9
112.5
11.7
124.3
110.1
97.8
67.1
12.3
7.2
4.9
112.6
11.6
124.2
110.0
97.8
66.7
12.2
7.6
5.1
113.5
11.6
125.1
110.8
98.6
66.8
12.2
7.4
4.9
115.5
11.8
127.4
112.8
100.3
67.5
12.5
7.2
4.8
117.9
12.1
129.9
115.0
102.1
68.5
12.9
7.2
4.8
120.2
12.2
132.5
117.3
103.9
69.5
13.4
7.2
4.7
122.2
12.4
134.6
119.1
105.4
70.4
13.7
7.0
4.6
123.8
12.4
136.3
120.6
106.6
71.0
14.0
6.5
4.2
125.0
12.5
137.5
121.7
107.5
71.5
14.1
6.3
4.1
128.1
12.8
140.9
124.6
109.9
72.7
14.7
6.4
4.2
130.7
13.2
143.8
127.0
111.7
73.9
15.3
6.6
4.3
132.7
13.4
146.1
128.9
112.9
75.4
16.0
6.8
4.4
4053
99.6
4216
100.9
4428
102.8
4258
102.7
4273
102.4
4371
102.5
4506
102.5
4679
102.3
4858
102.2
5031
102.2
5196
102.2
5349
102.3
5500
102.3
6085
102.5
6816
102.6
7564
102.8
97
101789
97
101591
98
104325
99
106495
100
106613
101
107618
102
108414
103
109312
104
110344
105
111296
106
112193
106
113108
107
114062
111
117982
116
122987
120
127709
Table 2: Key indicators annual percentage change*
Demography
Total population
Working age population
Total migration (000s)
Labour market
Total employees
Self employed
Total employment (jobs)
Total employment (people)
Residence employment
Residence employment rate (pp)
Net commuting (000s)
Unemployment level
Unemployment rate (pp)
Output
Total GVA
Relative productivity (pp)
Housing
Households
Housing stock
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2018-22
avg pa
2022-27
avg pa
2027-32
avg pa
0.6
1.3
0.0
0.2
0.4
-1.1
0.8
0.7
1.0
0.9
1.1
0.3
0.7
1.0
-0.4
0.6
0.6
-0.4
0.6
0.6
0.1
0.8
0.6
0.2
0.7
0.4
-0.2
0.6
0.2
-0.2
0.6
0.2
-0.1
0.6
0.2
0.0
0.6
0.2
0.0
0.6
0.2
0.0
0.4
0.0
-0.1
0.2
-0.2
-0.1
0.9
-2.5
0.6
0.7
4.1
2.0
-3.3
15.7
0.3
0.7
4.2
1.0
1.1
0.5
0.1
0.7
-0.5
0.0
2.1
7.2
2.5
2.9
-3.2
-2.9
6.5
6.1
0.1
-1.2
1.7
-1.0
-0.4
-0.3
-1.0
-0.1
70.8
2.0
-2.8
2.8
-2.3
-2.5
-2.3
-2.3
-0.5
0.1
0.0
0.1
-1.2
0.0
-0.1
0.1
-0.4
-0.1
4.9
0.2
0.8
0.3
0.7
0.7
0.8
0.1
0.1
-2.1
-0.1
1.8
1.8
1.8
1.8
1.7
0.7
0.3
-3.2
-0.2
2.0
1.8
2.0
2.0
1.8
1.0
0.4
0.2
0.0
2.0
1.5
2.0
2.0
1.8
1.1
0.4
-0.3
0.0
1.6
1.0
1.6
1.6
1.4
0.9
0.3
-3.2
-0.2
1.3
0.6
1.2
1.2
1.1
0.7
0.3
-7.0
-0.3
1.0
0.2
0.9
0.9
0.8
0.5
0.2
-2.8
-0.1
0.7
0.6
0.7
0.7
0.6
0.3
0.1
-0.2
0.0
0.4
0.5
0.4
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.6
0.0
0.3
0.4
0.3
0.3
0.2
0.3
0.1
0.7
0.0
1.6
0.9
4.0
1.3
5.0
2.0
-3.8
-0.1
0.3
-0.3
2.3
0.1
3.1
0.0
3.8
-0.2
3.8
-0.1
3.6
0.0
3.3
0.0
3.0
0.1
2.8
0.1
2.6
0.0
2.3
0.0
2.1
0.0
0.9
-0.2
0.7
-0.2
0.9
2.7
1.2
2.1
0.9
0.1
0.7
0.9
0.8
0.7
0.9
0.8
0.9
0.9
0.8
0.9
0.8
0.8
0.8
0.8
0.9
0.8
0.9
0.8
0.8
0.8
0.7
0.8
* percentage changes unless otherwise noted
Note: Total employees represents the number of jobs in an area. Total employment (jobs) also represents the number of jobs in an area, but
includes self-employed jobs. Total employment (people) represents the number of people in employment in an area - i.e. it includes both full
time and part time employees but people with more than one job are counted only once
82
Summary tables – Salford (continued)
Table 3: Employees by sector
Agriculture
Extraction
Manufacturing of:
Food, drink & tobacco
Textiles, clothing & leather
Wood & wood products
Pulp, paper & printing
Coke, oil and nuclear
Chemicals & pharmaceuticals
Rubber & plastic products
Other non-metals
Metals
Machinery & equipment nec
Electrical & optical equipment
Transport equipment
Other manufacturing nec
Electricity, gas & water
Construction
Distribution
Retail
Hotels & restaurants
Transport & communications
Financial intermediation
Business services
Public administration & defence
Education
Health
Other personal services
Total
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2022
2027
2032
0.1
0.0
0.1
0.0
0.2
0.0
0.2
0.0
0.2
0.0
0.2
0.0
0.2
0.0
0.2
0.0
0.2
0.0
0.2
0.0
0.2
0.0
0.2
0.0
0.2
0.0
0.2
0.0
0.2
0.0
0.2
0.0
0.8
0.3
0.5
0.5
0.0
2.0
0.7
0.6
1.2
1.1
1.2
0.1
0.5
0.1
6.2
10.0
7.2
6.6
5.8
5.7
23.6
7.9
12.2
15.0
4.1
114.0
0.8
0.3
0.5
0.8
0.0
1.8
0.7
0.7
1.0
1.3
1.1
0.1
0.5
0.1
6.7
10.4
7.0
5.9
5.6
5.8
24.3
7.7
11.8
15.6
4.1
114.8
0.8
0.4
0.4
0.6
0.0
1.4
0.6
0.8
0.9
1.2
0.9
0.1
0.5
0.3
7.2
9.0
7.2
6.5
5.6
6.8
28.2
6.6
10.9
16.2
3.8
117.2
0.8
0.3
0.3
0.6
0.0
1.2
0.5
0.7
0.9
1.1
0.9
0.1
0.5
0.3
7.0
8.5
7.1
6.7
5.4
6.3
27.7
6.7
10.9
17.3
3.8
115.8
0.8
0.3
0.3
0.5
0.0
1.1
0.6
0.7
0.8
1.0
0.8
0.1
0.5
0.3
6.2
8.8
6.8
6.5
5.4
5.2
26.4
6.8
10.8
17.7
3.9
112.5
0.8
0.3
0.3
0.5
0.0
1.0
0.6
0.7
0.8
1.0
0.8
0.1
0.5
0.3
6.3
8.8
6.8
6.5
5.5
5.2
26.6
6.6
10.7
17.7
4.0
112.6
0.8
0.3
0.3
0.5
0.0
1.0
0.5
0.7
0.8
1.0
0.8
0.1
0.4
0.3
6.4
8.9
7.0
6.5
5.6
5.3
27.4
6.4
10.6
17.7
4.1
113.5
0.7
0.3
0.3
0.5
0.0
1.0
0.5
0.7
0.7
0.9
0.8
0.1
0.4
0.3
6.6
9.0
7.1
6.7
5.7
5.4
28.8
6.3
10.5
17.7
4.2
115.5
0.7
0.2
0.3
0.5
0.0
1.0
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.9
0.8
0.1
0.4
0.3
6.7
9.1
7.2
6.8
5.8
5.5
30.5
6.3
10.4
17.8
4.3
117.9
0.7
0.2
0.3
0.5
0.0
1.0
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.9
0.8
0.1
0.4
0.3
6.8
9.2
7.4
6.9
5.9
5.6
32.3
6.2
10.3
17.9
4.5
120.2
0.7
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.0
1.0
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.8
0.1
0.4
0.3
6.9
9.3
7.5
7.1
6.0
5.6
33.7
6.2
10.3
18.0
4.6
122.2
0.7
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.0
0.9
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.7
0.1
0.4
0.3
7.0
9.4
7.5
7.2
6.1
5.6
34.8
6.2
10.2
18.1
4.7
123.8
0.7
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.0
0.9
0.5
0.6
0.6
0.8
0.7
0.0
0.4
0.3
7.1
9.4
7.6
7.2
6.2
5.7
35.6
6.2
10.2
18.3
4.8
125.0
0.6
0.1
0.3
0.4
0.0
0.9
0.5
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.6
0.0
0.4
0.2
7.4
9.5
7.7
7.3
6.3
5.8
37.5
6.3
10.2
19.1
5.1
128.1
0.5
0.1
0.3
0.3
0.0
0.8
0.4
0.5
0.5
0.6
0.6
0.0
0.4
0.2
7.8
9.4
7.8
7.3
6.4
5.9
39.5
6.2
10.1
19.8
5.3
130.7
0.5
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.0
0.7
0.4
0.4
0.4
0.5
0.5
0.0
0.3
0.2
8.1
9.4
7.8
7.2
6.4
6.0
41.2
6.2
9.9
20.4
5.5
132.7
Table 4: Employees by sector - annual percentage changes
83
Agriculture
Extraction
Manufacturing of:
Food, drink & tobacco
Textiles, clothing & leather
Wood & wood products
Pulp, paper & printing
Coke, oil and nuclear
Chemicals & pharmaceuticals
Rubber & plastic products
Other non-metals
Metals
Machinery & equipment nec
Electrical & optical equipment
Transport equipment
Other manufacturing nec
Electricity, gas & water
Construction
Distribution
Retail
Hotels & restaurants
Transport & communications
Financial intermediation
Business services
Public administration & defence
Education
Health
Other personal services
Total
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2018-22
avg pa
2022-27
avg pa
2027-32
avg pa
-60.0
-100.0
15.2
0.0
91.0
-36.9
-20.2
-93.4
24.4
-2.5
2.3
-3.6
-1.7
-3.5
-1.8
-3.6
-2.0
-3.8
-1.9
-3.7
-1.9
-3.6
-1.9
-3.6
-2.0
-3.7
-2.0
-3.9
-2.0
-4.3
-2.1
-4.6
10.1
5.0
-2.0
-3.4
13.2
-6.2
8.0
16.7
6.0
-4.3
-15.8
-64.1
-1.8
36.3
10.4
-4.6
3.2
5.7
-3.1
34.4
4.2
-20.2
7.1
4.3
-16.7
0.9
7.8
1.6
4.3
56.9
-98.3
-6.9
-3.0
13.8
-18.8
16.3
-10.9
18.5
2.6
-15.4
8.2
4.2
-3.5
-10.6
-2.3
1.0
3.3
-3.0
-2.7
3.5
1.2
0.7
0.0
17.9
-28.7
-23.4
-100.0
-22.8
-18.9
20.7
-7.9
-9.5
-12.5
-29.9
7.3
164.8
7.9
-13.8
3.3
11.8
-1.4
17.7
15.9
-13.3
-8.2
4.3
-7.7
2.1
-5.8
-13.4
-12.7
-5.5
0.0
-14.2
-8.2
-12.8
-2.7
-8.1
-0.8
-8.2
-5.2
9.0
-3.0
-5.0
-1.5
2.5
-3.6
-7.4
-1.7
0.7
-0.1
6.4
-0.3
-1.2
1.8
-5.1
-0.7
-10.5
0.0
-12.6
7.4
-0.2
-11.3
-11.4
-9.1
-11.1
-6.1
-8.0
-11.2
2.5
-4.1
-3.4
1.7
-17.1
-4.9
2.2
-0.4
2.4
3.6
-2.8
-2.1
-5.6
-0.8
-3.6
0.0
-1.6
0.4
-1.8
-1.9
-1.1
-0.2
-5.9
-2.9
-1.7
0.4
0.3
0.6
-0.1
0.9
0.7
0.9
-2.7
-0.7
0.1
2.2
0.1
-1.2
-5.4
-1.2
-2.1
0.0
-0.9
-1.3
-1.8
-1.6
-2.0
-0.8
-3.8
-1.0
-1.9
1.4
1.0
1.6
0.6
1.4
1.4
2.9
-3.0
-1.0
-0.1
1.6
0.8
-1.4
-6.1
-1.2
-2.7
0.0
-1.4
-1.7
-1.8
-2.2
-2.3
-1.9
-3.8
-1.1
-1.6
3.2
1.3
2.0
2.6
1.9
2.2
5.3
-1.8
-1.2
0.1
2.8
1.8
-2.2
-6.9
-1.2
-3.2
0.0
-2.0
-2.1
-2.3
-3.0
-2.8
-2.7
-6.0
-1.4
-1.7
2.7
1.4
2.0
2.0
2.3
1.7
5.9
-0.9
-1.1
0.4
3.1
2.0
-2.3
-7.0
-1.2
-3.2
0.0
-2.0
-2.0
-2.3
-3.2
-3.1
-2.7
-7.1
-1.4
-1.6
1.5
1.4
1.9
1.8
2.2
1.0
5.7
-0.6
-0.7
0.6
3.6
2.0
-2.3
-7.0
-1.2
-3.2
0.0
-2.0
-2.0
-2.3
-3.1
-3.1
-2.7
-7.4
-1.4
-1.6
1.3
1.0
1.4
1.7
1.8
0.6
4.4
-0.3
-0.5
0.7
3.2
1.6
-2.3
-7.0
-1.2
-3.2
0.0
-2.0
-2.0
-2.3
-3.1
-3.1
-2.7
-7.7
-1.4
-1.6
1.3
0.8
1.0
1.4
1.3
0.6
3.3
-0.1
-0.3
0.8
2.5
1.3
-2.3
-7.0
-1.2
-3.2
0.0
-2.0
-2.0
-2.3
-3.1
-3.1
-2.7
-8.0
-1.4
-1.6
1.3
0.4
0.7
0.8
0.9
0.6
2.4
0.0
-0.2
0.9
1.9
1.0
-2.3
-7.1
-1.3
-3.2
0.0
-2.0
-2.0
-2.4
-3.1
-3.1
-2.7
-8.7
-1.4
-1.6
1.1
0.1
0.5
0.5
0.6
0.5
1.5
0.1
-0.1
1.0
1.4
0.7
-2.3
-7.1
-1.4
-3.2
0.0
-2.1
-2.0
-2.7
-3.1
-3.1
-2.6
-11.1
-1.4
-1.6
0.9
-0.1
0.2
-0.1
0.2
0.3
1.0
0.0
-0.2
0.8
0.9
0.4
-2.4
-8.1
-1.4
-3.3
0.0
-2.1
-2.0
-2.8
-3.2
-3.2
-2.7
-24.1
-1.4
-1.7
0.8
-0.1
0.0
-0.2
0.2
0.3
0.9
-0.2
-0.3
0.6
0.8
0.3
Summary tables – Stockport
Table 1: Key indicators
Demography
Total population
Working age population
Total migration
Labour market
Total employees
Self employed
Total employment (jobs)
Total employment (people)
Residence employment
Residence employment rate
Net commuting
Unemployment level
Unemployment rate
Output
Total GVA
Relative productivity
Housing
Households
Housing stock
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2022
2027
2032
281.7
175.8
-1.1
282.0
175.3
-0.3
282.5
175.0
-0.2
283.6
175.3
0.4
284.6
175.3
0.2
285.6
175.4
0.3
286.7
175.6
0.4
287.8
175.7
0.4
288.7
175.7
0.3
289.5
175.5
0.1
290.2
175.2
0.0
290.8
174.9
0.0
291.4
174.6
-0.1
293.5
173.3
-0.1
295.5
171.6
-0.1
297.1
170.4
-0.1
121.7
20.2
141.9
127.2
136.3
79.2
-9.2
2.8
1.6
122.7
20.3
143.1
128.4
134.4
78.3
-6.0
2.9
1.6
126.7
23.4
150.1
135.1
130.1
75.9
5.0
3.4
1.9
125.8
23.7
149.6
135.4
129.8
75.6
5.6
6.2
3.5
122.0
24.3
146.3
132.2
126.0
73.4
6.1
6.0
3.4
122.1
24.0
146.1
132.0
125.8
73.2
6.2
6.3
3.6
122.9
24.1
146.9
132.7
126.6
73.5
6.1
6.1
3.5
124.7
24.5
149.2
134.8
128.9
74.7
5.9
5.9
3.4
126.7
24.9
151.6
137.0
131.3
76.1
5.7
5.9
3.4
128.6
25.2
153.8
139.0
133.5
77.5
5.5
5.9
3.3
130.1
25.3
155.4
140.4
135.1
78.5
5.3
5.6
3.2
131.0
25.4
156.5
141.3
136.2
79.2
5.1
5.2
3.0
131.6
25.4
157.0
141.8
136.9
79.7
4.9
5.1
2.9
132.3
25.6
158.0
142.5
137.7
80.8
4.8
5.0
2.9
132.6
25.8
158.4
142.8
137.3
81.3
5.5
5.1
3.0
133.0
26.0
159.0
143.2
136.5
81.3
6.7
5.2
3.0
4625
99.4
4785
100.3
5135
102.1
4974
102.1
5041
102.6
5137
102.4
5285
102.4
5478
102.2
5665
102.1
5840
102.1
5997
102.2
6137
102.2
6273
102.2
6812
102.3
7493
102.4
8213
102.5
122
124106
123
124746
123
125049
124
126916
125
126977
126
127986
127
128973
128
130005
129
131072
130
132107
131
133087
132
134028
133
134940
137
138672
141
143289
146
147813
Table 2: Key indicators annual percentage change*
Demography
Total population
Working age population
Total migration (000s)
Labour market
Total employees
Self employed
Total employment (jobs)
Total employment (people)
Residence employment
Residence employment rate (pp)
Net commuting (000s)
Unemployment level
Unemployment rate (pp)
Output
Total GVA
Relative productivity (pp)
Housing
Households
Housing stock
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2018-22
avg pa
2022-27
avg pa
2027-32
avg pa
-0.2
0.0
0.2
0.1
-0.3
0.8
0.2
-0.2
0.1
0.4
0.2
0.6
0.3
0.0
-0.2
0.4
0.1
0.1
0.4
0.1
0.1
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.3
0.0
-0.1
0.3
-0.1
-0.1
0.2
-0.2
-0.1
0.2
-0.2
-0.1
0.2
-0.1
0.0
0.2
-0.2
0.0
0.1
-0.2
0.0
0.1
-0.1
0.0
4.3
10.6
5.1
5.4
-0.3
-0.2
7.0
15.2
0.2
0.9
0.7
0.8
0.9
-1.4
-0.9
3.1
3.3
0.1
3.2
15.2
4.9
5.2
-3.2
-2.4
11.0
16.2
0.3
-0.7
1.4
-0.4
0.2
-0.3
-0.4
0.6
84.8
1.6
-3.0
2.2
-2.2
-2.3
-2.9
-2.2
0.6
-3.9
-0.1
0.1
-1.2
-0.1
-0.2
-0.2
-0.2
0.0
4.7
0.2
0.6
0.3
0.6
0.6
0.6
0.4
-0.1
-2.2
-0.1
1.5
1.8
1.5
1.6
1.8
1.2
-0.2
-3.3
-0.1
1.6
1.7
1.6
1.6
1.9
1.4
-0.2
-0.1
0.0
1.5
1.2
1.5
1.4
1.7
1.3
-0.2
-0.8
0.0
1.1
0.7
1.0
1.0
1.2
1.0
-0.2
-3.6
-0.1
0.7
0.3
0.7
0.6
0.8
0.7
-0.2
-7.4
-0.2
0.4
-0.1
0.4
0.3
0.5
0.5
-0.2
-3.3
-0.1
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.3
-0.1
-0.7
0.0
0.0
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.1
0.1
0.2
0.0
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
-0.1
0.0
0.2
0.4
0.0
6.4
1.2
3.5
0.9
7.3
1.8
-3.1
0.0
1.3
0.6
1.9
-0.2
2.9
-0.1
3.6
-0.1
3.4
-0.1
3.1
0.0
2.7
0.0
2.3
0.0
2.2
0.0
2.1
0.0
1.9
0.0
1.9
0.0
0.3
0.5
0.4
0.5
0.7
0.2
0.7
1.5
0.8
0.0
0.8
0.8
0.8
0.8
0.8
0.8
0.8
0.8
0.7
0.8
0.7
0.7
0.7
0.7
0.7
0.7
0.7
0.7
0.7
0.7
0.6
0.6
* percentage changes unless otherwise noted
Note: Total employees represents the number of jobs in an area. Total employment (jobs) also represents the number of jobs in an area, but
includes self-employed jobs. Total employment (people) represents the number of people in employment in an area - i.e. it includes both full
time and part time employees but people with more than one job are counted only once
84
Summary tables – Stockport (continued)
Table 3: Employees by sector
Agriculture
Extraction
Manufacturing of:
Food, drink & tobacco
Textiles, clothing & leather
Wood & wood products
Pulp, paper & printing
Coke, oil and nuclear
Chemicals & pharmaceuticals
Rubber & plastic products
Other non-metals
Metals
Machinery & equipment nec
Electrical & optical equipment
Transport equipment
Other manufacturing nec
Electricity, gas & water
Construction
Distribution
Retail
Hotels & restaurants
Transport & communications
Financial intermediation
Business services
Public administration & defence
Education
Health
Other personal services
Total
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2022
2027
2032
0.4
0.1
0.4
0.1
0.4
0.0
0.3
0.0
0.4
0.0
0.4
0.0
0.4
0.0
0.4
0.0
0.4
0.0
0.4
0.0
0.4
0.0
0.4
0.0
0.3
0.0
0.3
0.0
0.3
0.0
0.3
0.0
1.7
0.6
0.2
2.5
0.0
0.4
0.9
0.2
1.3
1.5
2.2
1.0
0.6
0.1
8.9
10.0
13.7
6.6
5.6
5.4
22.7
5.3
9.6
14.0
6.1
121.7
1.7
0.6
0.2
2.6
0.0
0.5
0.8
0.1
1.2
1.4
2.3
1.3
0.6
0.1
8.9
10.4
13.5
6.4
5.4
4.4
23.5
6.9
8.7
15.2
5.4
122.7
1.8
0.3
0.2
2.7
0.0
0.8
0.9
0.2
1.2
1.2
2.1
1.4
0.6
0.2
12.3
9.3
13.7
5.9
6.7
5.2
23.3
5.6
9.3
15.2
6.2
126.7
1.7
0.3
0.1
2.5
0.0
0.7
0.8
0.1
1.1
1.1
1.9
1.4
0.6
0.3
12.3
8.9
13.4
6.1
6.5
4.9
23.7
5.6
9.3
16.0
6.1
125.8
1.7
0.3
0.1
2.3
0.0
0.5
0.9
0.1
1.0
1.0
1.8
1.3
0.5
0.2
11.0
9.1
12.8
5.8
6.4
4.4
22.7
5.7
9.2
16.3
6.3
122.0
1.7
0.3
0.1
2.2
0.0
0.5
0.9
0.1
1.0
1.0
1.8
1.2
0.5
0.2
11.1
9.1
12.9
5.8
6.5
4.4
22.9
5.6
9.2
16.3
6.4
122.1
1.7
0.3
0.1
2.1
0.0
0.5
0.8
0.1
1.0
1.0
1.7
1.3
0.5
0.2
11.2
9.3
13.0
5.8
6.5
4.5
23.6
5.5
9.1
16.2
6.4
122.9
1.6
0.2
0.1
2.1
0.0
0.5
0.8
0.1
0.9
1.0
1.7
1.3
0.5
0.2
11.5
9.4
13.3
6.0
6.6
4.6
24.8
5.4
8.9
16.1
6.5
124.7
1.6
0.2
0.1
2.0
0.0
0.5
0.8
0.1
0.9
0.9
1.7
1.2
0.5
0.2
11.8
9.5
13.5
6.1
6.8
4.6
26.2
5.3
8.8
16.1
6.7
126.7
1.6
0.2
0.1
2.0
0.0
0.5
0.8
0.1
0.9
0.9
1.6
1.2
0.5
0.2
11.9
9.7
13.7
6.2
6.9
4.7
27.6
5.3
8.8
16.1
6.9
128.6
1.5
0.2
0.1
1.9
0.0
0.5
0.8
0.1
0.9
0.9
1.6
1.2
0.5
0.2
12.0
9.8
13.8
6.2
7.0
4.7
28.7
5.3
8.7
16.1
7.0
130.1
1.5
0.2
0.1
1.9
0.0
0.5
0.8
0.1
0.8
0.8
1.5
1.1
0.5
0.2
12.1
9.9
13.9
6.3
7.0
4.7
29.4
5.3
8.7
16.1
7.1
131.0
1.5
0.2
0.1
1.8
0.0
0.4
0.8
0.1
0.8
0.8
1.5
1.1
0.5
0.2
12.2
10.0
13.9
6.3
7.1
4.7
30.0
5.3
8.6
16.2
7.2
131.6
1.3
0.1
0.1
1.6
0.0
0.4
0.7
0.1
0.7
0.7
1.3
1.0
0.5
0.2
12.5
10.1
13.9
6.3
7.1
4.7
30.9
5.3
8.5
16.5
7.3
132.3
1.2
0.1
0.1
1.4
0.0
0.3
0.6
0.0
0.6
0.6
1.2
0.9
0.5
0.2
12.8
10.1
13.9
6.2
7.0
4.7
31.9
5.4
8.4
16.7
7.4
132.6
1.0
0.1
0.1
1.2
0.0
0.3
0.6
0.0
0.5
0.5
1.0
0.7
0.5
0.1
13.2
10.2
13.8
6.1
7.0
4.7
32.9
5.4
8.3
17.0
7.5
133.0
Table 4: Employees by sector - annual percentage changes
85
Agriculture
Extraction
Manufacturing of:
Food, drink & tobacco
Textiles, clothing & leather
Wood & wood products
Pulp, paper & printing
Coke, oil and nuclear
Chemicals & pharmaceuticals
Rubber & plastic products
Other non-metals
Metals
Machinery & equipment nec
Electrical & optical equipment
Transport equipment
Other manufacturing nec
Electricity, gas & water
Construction
Distribution
Retail
Hotels & restaurants
Transport & communications
Financial intermediation
Business services
Public administration & defence
Education
Health
Other personal services
Total
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2018-22
avg pa
2022-27
avg pa
2027-32
avg pa
84.6
48.3
17.9
4.6
-8.0
-40.0
-20.2
-21.3
24.4
-2.5
2.3
-3.6
-1.7
-3.5
-1.8
-3.6
-2.0
-3.8
-1.9
-3.7
-1.9
-3.6
-1.9
-3.6
-2.0
-3.7
-2.0
-3.9
-2.0
-4.3
-2.1
-4.6
-6.1
29.1
1.3
16.1
-41.0
-29.0
-1.2
-11.9
7.1
-0.5
-10.1
-24.4
24.0
119.5
72.2
5.2
2.0
-4.9
1.9
-11.6
27.0
-9.5
-3.0
-9.8
-14.2
4.3
-1.2
-12.1
38.7
3.6
48.3
25.9
-12.5
-42.8
-5.1
-6.2
2.6
36.0
-2.6
61.7
-0.4
4.2
-1.8
-2.7
-4.3
-19.4
3.7
29.0
-8.9
8.8
-11.0
0.9
8.9
-41.2
-27.0
2.7
10.2
53.7
8.7
31.6
-4.7
-14.0
-8.5
2.8
2.7
85.8
38.9
-10.6
1.8
-7.0
24.3
17.9
-0.8
-18.8
6.7
-0.3
13.6
3.2
-6.5
-14.8
-12.7
-5.3
6.4
-18.7
-8.2
-15.4
-3.1
-8.1
-9.5
-0.1
-4.7
18.0
0.1
-4.8
-2.0
2.0
-3.5
-4.7
1.7
0.7
-0.4
5.7
-1.2
-0.7
-0.1
-1.8
-0.7
-10.3
-17.9
-17.0
7.4
-3.4
-11.0
-11.4
-7.1
-7.1
-5.6
-21.1
-10.6
2.8
-4.4
-3.8
-1.0
-11.0
-4.3
2.3
-0.5
1.9
2.4
-3.0
-0.7
-4.5
-0.8
-3.3
-1.6
-2.4
0.4
-4.9
-2.0
-1.1
-0.2
-2.2
-2.4
-1.6
0.5
0.5
0.4
-0.3
0.6
0.6
1.0
-2.4
-0.8
-0.3
1.5
0.1
-1.2
-4.2
-1.2
-1.9
-1.5
-1.8
-1.3
-5.0
-1.8
-2.0
-0.8
0.1
-0.5
-1.8
1.2
1.2
1.3
0.4
1.2
1.3
2.8
-2.7
-1.1
-0.5
0.9
0.6
-1.5
-5.0
-1.2
-2.5
-2.5
-2.2
-1.7
-5.0
-2.4
-2.3
-1.9
0.3
-0.6
-1.5
3.0
1.5
1.6
2.2
1.6
2.1
5.2
-1.7
-1.4
-0.5
2.0
1.5
-2.2
-5.8
-1.2
-2.9
-2.7
-2.8
-2.1
-5.6
-3.2
-2.8
-2.7
-1.7
-0.8
-1.6
2.4
1.7
1.6
1.7
2.0
1.4
5.6
-0.8
-1.2
-0.2
2.3
1.6
-2.4
-5.9
-1.2
-3.0
-2.5
-2.8
-2.0
-5.7
-3.4
-3.1
-2.7
-2.7
-0.9
-1.5
1.2
1.6
1.5
1.5
1.8
0.7
5.3
-0.5
-0.9
0.0
2.7
1.5
-2.3
-5.9
-1.2
-3.0
-2.8
-2.8
-2.0
-5.7
-3.3
-3.1
-2.7
-2.7
-0.9
-1.5
0.8
1.2
1.0
1.4
1.3
0.2
3.8
-0.2
-0.6
0.1
2.3
1.1
-2.3
-5.9
-1.2
-3.0
-3.0
-2.8
-2.0
-5.8
-3.3
-3.1
-2.6
-2.7
-0.9
-1.5
0.7
1.0
0.6
0.9
0.8
0.2
2.7
0.0
-0.6
0.2
1.5
0.7
-2.3
-5.9
-1.2
-3.0
-3.0
-2.8
-2.0
-5.9
-3.3
-3.1
-2.6
-2.7
-0.9
-1.5
0.7
0.6
0.3
0.4
0.4
0.2
1.8
0.1
-0.5
0.3
0.9
0.4
-2.3
-5.9
-1.3
-3.0
-3.0
-2.8
-2.0
-6.2
-3.3
-3.1
-2.6
-2.7
-0.8
-1.5
0.6
0.3
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
1.0
0.2
-0.3
0.4
0.5
0.2
-2.3
-5.9
-1.4
-3.0
-3.0
-2.8
-2.0
-7.1
-3.3
-3.1
-2.6
-2.7
-0.8
-1.5
0.5
0.1
-0.1
-0.4
-0.2
0.0
0.7
0.2
-0.3
0.3
0.2
0.0
-2.4
-6.5
-1.4
-3.1
-3.1
-2.9
-2.0
-8.7
-3.5
-3.2
-2.6
-2.8
-0.8
-1.6
0.5
0.1
-0.1
-0.3
-0.2
0.1
0.6
0.2
-0.3
0.3
0.2
0.1
Summary tables - Tameside
Table 1: Key indicators
Demography
Total population
Working age population
Total migration
Labour market
Total employees
Self employed
Total employment (jobs)
Total employment (people)
Residence employment
Residence employment rate
Net commuting
Unemployment level
Unemployment rate
Output
Total GVA
Relative productivity
Housing
Households
Housing stock
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2022
2027
2032
213.2
135.8
-0.3
213.2
135.6
-0.4
214.4
135.8
0.4
215.3
136.0
0.3
216.4
136.1
0.4
217.4
136.1
0.3
218.4
136.2
0.4
219.3
136.3
0.3
220.3
136.5
0.3
221.3
136.6
0.2
222.3
136.9
0.3
223.3
137.2
0.3
224.5
137.5
0.3
229.0
138.7
0.4
233.9
140.4
0.2
237.8
142.4
0.0
71.7
11.4
83.1
78.7
96.9
73.0
-18.2
3.2
2.4
70.7
11.5
82.2
77.9
96.9
73.1
-19.0
3.3
2.4
68.4
12.0
80.4
76.2
95.8
72.1
-19.6
3.7
2.7
66.7
11.6
78.3
74.3
94.3
70.8
-20.0
6.6
4.8
65.2
11.8
77.1
73.1
92.3
69.2
-19.2
6.3
4.7
65.1
11.7
76.8
72.9
92.1
69.0
-19.2
6.6
4.9
65.2
11.7
76.9
72.9
92.3
69.1
-19.4
6.5
4.7
65.5
11.9
77.4
73.4
93.3
69.7
-19.9
6.2
4.5
65.9
12.0
77.9
73.8
94.2
70.3
-20.4
6.1
4.5
66.3
12.0
78.4
74.3
95.2
70.9
-20.9
6.0
4.4
66.6
12.1
78.6
74.5
95.8
71.2
-21.3
5.7
4.2
66.7
12.1
78.8
74.6
96.2
71.3
-21.6
5.3
3.8
66.8
12.1
78.8
74.7
96.5
71.3
-21.8
5.1
3.7
66.6
12.1
78.7
74.5
96.7
70.8
-22.2
5.0
3.6
66.1
12.1
78.2
73.9
96.1
69.5
-22.2
5.0
3.6
65.6
12.1
77.7
73.4
95.2
67.9
-21.8
5.1
3.6
2721
99.8
2687
98.0
2637
97.9
2513
98.5
2560
98.9
2607
98.9
2669
98.8
2743
98.7
2811
98.6
2872
98.6
2927
98.5
2977
98.4
3027
98.2
3241
97.7
3513
97.2
3795
96.9
93
96912
93
97210
94
97885
94
97729
95
98107
96
99087
97
100099
98
101166
100
102244
101
103356
102
104439
103
105497
104
106541
107
110587
112
115398
116
119996
Table 2: Key indicators annual percentage change*
Demography
Total population
Working age population
Total migration (000s)
Labour market
Total employees
Self employed
Total employment (jobs)
Total employment (people)
Residence employment
Residence employment rate (pp)
Net commuting (000s)
Unemployment level
Unemployment rate (pp)
Output
Total GVA
Relative productivity (pp)
Housing
Households
Housing stock
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2018-22
avg pa
2022-27
avg pa
2027-32
avg pa
0.1
0.5
0.3
0.0
-0.1
-0.1
0.6
0.1
0.8
0.4
0.2
-0.1
0.5
0.1
0.2
0.5
0.0
-0.1
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.4
0.1
-0.1
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.5
0.2
0.0
0.5
0.2
0.0
0.5
0.2
0.0
0.5
0.2
0.0
0.4
0.2
0.0
0.3
0.3
0.0
-1.3
-3.9
-1.6
-2.0
0.1
-0.3
-1.8
13.1
0.3
-1.4
1.2
-1.0
-1.0
0.0
0.1
-0.8
1.8
0.0
-3.3
4.3
-2.2
-2.2
-1.2
-1.0
-0.6
13.9
0.3
-2.5
-3.2
-2.6
-2.4
-1.5
-1.3
-0.4
77.0
2.1
-2.2
1.7
-1.6
-1.7
-2.1
-1.6
0.8
-3.3
-0.2
-0.2
-0.8
-0.3
-0.3
-0.2
-0.2
0.0
4.7
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.3
0.1
-0.2
-2.8
-0.1
0.5
1.1
0.6
0.6
1.0
0.6
-0.5
-4.4
-0.2
0.6
1.0
0.6
0.6
1.0
0.6
-0.5
-1.2
-0.1
0.6
0.7
0.6
0.6
1.0
0.5
-0.5
-1.7
-0.1
0.4
0.3
0.4
0.4
0.7
0.3
-0.4
-4.4
-0.2
0.2
0.0
0.2
0.2
0.5
0.1
-0.3
-8.1
-0.3
0.1
-0.2
0.0
0.0
0.2
0.0
-0.2
-3.7
-0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
-0.1
0.1
-0.1
-0.1
-0.9
0.0
-0.1
0.0
-0.1
-0.1
-0.1
-0.3
0.0
0.0
0.0
-0.1
0.0
-0.1
-0.1
-0.2
-0.3
0.1
0.2
0.0
-0.3
1.3
-1.2
-1.8
-1.9
-0.1
-4.7
0.6
1.9
0.4
1.9
-0.1
2.4
-0.1
2.8
-0.1
2.5
0.0
2.2
0.0
1.9
-0.1
1.7
-0.1
1.7
-0.1
1.7
-0.1
1.6
-0.1
1.6
-0.1
0.5
1.0
0.4
0.3
0.9
0.7
0.7
-0.2
1.0
0.4
1.0
1.0
1.1
1.0
1.1
1.1
1.1
1.1
1.0
1.1
1.0
1.0
1.0
1.0
1.0
1.0
0.9
0.9
0.8
0.9
0.8
0.8
Note: Total employees represents the number of jobs in an area. Total employment
also represents
the number of jobs in an area, but
* percentage changes(jobs)
unless otherwise
noted
includes self-employed jobs. Total employment (people) represents the number of people in employment in an area - i.e. it includes both full
time and part time employees but people with more than one job are counted only once
86
Summary tables – Tameside (continued)
Table 3: Employees by sector
Agriculture
Extraction
Manufacturing of:
Food, drink & tobacco
Textiles, clothing & leather
Wood & wood products
Pulp, paper & printing
Coke, oil and nuclear
Chemicals & pharmaceuticals
Rubber & plastic products
Other non-metals
Metals
Machinery & equipment nec
Electrical & optical equipment
Transport equipment
Other manufacturing nec
Electricity, gas & water
Construction
Distribution
Retail
Hotels & restaurants
Transport & communications
Financial intermediation
Business services
Public administration & defence
Education
Health
Other personal services
Total
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2022
2027
2032
0.1
0.0
0.2
0.0
0.2
0.1
0.2
0.1
0.2
0.1
0.2
0.1
0.2
0.1
0.2
0.1
0.2
0.1
0.2
0.1
0.2
0.1
0.2
0.1
0.2
0.1
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
2.8
1.7
0.3
1.2
0.0
1.3
1.6
0.6
2.2
1.4
0.7
0.5
1.6
0.3
3.7
5.3
9.0
3.9
2.4
0.9
7.2
3.6
6.4
9.3
3.3
71.7
2.3
1.7
0.3
1.1
0.0
0.9
1.5
0.4
2.0
1.7
0.8
0.4
1.7
0.4
3.9
6.1
8.4
3.8
2.2
0.8
6.9
3.8
7.1
9.0
3.4
70.7
2.4
1.0
0.2
1.0
0.0
0.9
1.3
0.4
1.9
1.2
0.8
0.4
1.6
0.1
4.2
5.9
8.8
3.3
2.6
0.8
6.7
3.4
6.6
8.8
3.6
68.4
2.2
0.9
0.2
0.9
0.0
0.9
1.2
0.4
1.9
1.1
0.8
0.4
1.5
0.1
3.9
5.6
8.6
3.3
2.5
0.7
6.3
3.4
6.6
9.3
3.6
66.7
2.3
0.9
0.2
0.8
0.0
0.8
1.3
0.4
1.7
1.0
0.8
0.4
1.5
0.1
3.4
5.7
8.3
3.2
2.5
0.7
5.9
3.5
6.5
9.5
3.7
65.2
2.2
0.9
0.2
0.8
0.0
0.8
1.3
0.4
1.7
1.0
0.8
0.4
1.4
0.1
3.4
5.8
8.3
3.2
2.5
0.6
6.0
3.4
6.5
9.4
3.7
65.1
2.2
0.8
0.2
0.8
0.0
0.8
1.3
0.4
1.6
1.0
0.8
0.4
1.4
0.1
3.5
5.8
8.4
3.2
2.5
0.6
6.2
3.3
6.4
9.4
3.8
65.2
2.1
0.8
0.2
0.8
0.0
0.8
1.3
0.4
1.6
1.0
0.7
0.4
1.4
0.1
3.6
5.9
8.6
3.3
2.5
0.6
6.5
3.2
6.4
9.3
3.9
65.5
2.1
0.8
0.2
0.7
0.0
0.8
1.3
0.3
1.5
0.9
0.7
0.4
1.4
0.1
3.6
6.0
8.7
3.4
2.6
0.6
6.8
3.2
6.3
9.3
3.9
65.9
2.0
0.7
0.2
0.7
0.0
0.7
1.2
0.3
1.5
0.9
0.7
0.4
1.4
0.1
3.6
6.1
8.9
3.4
2.6
0.6
7.0
3.1
6.2
9.4
4.1
66.3
1.9
0.7
0.2
0.7
0.0
0.7
1.2
0.3
1.4
0.9
0.7
0.4
1.4
0.1
3.6
6.2
9.0
3.5
2.6
0.6
7.3
3.1
6.2
9.4
4.2
66.6
1.9
0.7
0.2
0.7
0.0
0.7
1.2
0.3
1.4
0.9
0.7
0.4
1.4
0.1
3.6
6.2
9.0
3.5
2.6
0.6
7.4
3.1
6.2
9.4
4.2
66.7
1.8
0.6
0.2
0.7
0.0
0.7
1.2
0.3
1.4
0.8
0.7
0.4
1.4
0.1
3.6
6.2
9.1
3.5
2.6
0.6
7.5
3.1
6.2
9.5
4.3
66.8
1.6
0.5
0.2
0.6
0.0
0.6
1.1
0.3
1.2
0.7
0.6
0.3
1.3
0.1
3.7
6.3
9.2
3.6
2.6
0.6
7.7
3.1
6.2
9.8
4.4
66.6
1.4
0.4
0.2
0.5
0.0
0.5
1.0
0.2
1.0
0.6
0.5
0.3
1.3
0.1
3.8
6.3
9.3
3.6
2.6
0.5
7.9
3.1
6.2
10.1
4.5
66.1
1.2
0.3
0.1
0.4
0.0
0.5
0.9
0.2
0.9
0.6
0.5
0.3
1.2
0.1
3.8
6.3
9.4
3.6
2.5
0.5
8.0
3.1
6.2
10.4
4.6
65.6
Table 4: Employees by sector - annual percentage changes
87
Agriculture
Extraction
Manufacturing of:
Food, drink & tobacco
Textiles, clothing & leather
Wood & wood products
Pulp, paper & printing
Coke, oil and nuclear
Chemicals & pharmaceuticals
Rubber & plastic products
Other non-metals
Metals
Machinery & equipment nec
Electrical & optical equipment
Transport equipment
Other manufacturing nec
Electricity, gas & water
Construction
Distribution
Retail
Hotels & restaurants
Transport & communications
Financial intermediation
Business services
Public administration & defence
Education
Health
Other personal services
Total
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2018-22
avg pa
2022-27
avg pa
2027-32
avg pa
87.3
318.0
10.3
-100.0
23.5
0.0
-20.2
-7.5
24.4
3.7
2.3
-3.8
-1.7
-3.7
-1.8
-3.7
-2.0
-3.9
-1.9
-3.9
-1.9
-3.5
-1.9
-3.5
-2.0
-3.6
-2.0
-3.8
-2.0
-4.1
-2.1
-4.3
-16.5
-3.8
3.5
12.1
-23.6
66.1
5.6
0.7
0.6
-9.1
-1.7
13.3
18.7
20.0
-1.3
-2.6
-0.8
-1.2
0.8
0.6
-20.4
7.5
0.6
6.2
-1.3
-1.3
-19.8
-2.2
3.5
-6.7
-22.6
-28.5
-6.7
-28.2
-9.4
15.6
9.6
-12.8
4.5
16.5
3.1
14.4
-6.8
-2.4
-9.2
-15.9
-3.1
5.7
10.3
-3.6
1.3
-1.4
4.0
-38.2
-18.7
-13.2
-9.8
-2.6
-15.1
10.7
-3.3
-26.5
-0.6
8.4
-4.8
-67.4
8.8
-4.0
4.9
-14.6
17.7
2.9
-3.4
-11.1
-6.5
-2.3
7.1
-3.3
-6.3
-15.8
-12.7
-5.5
6.4
-4.2
-7.8
-13.3
-3.4
-7.8
1.8
-3.3
-4.7
14.5
-7.0
-4.9
-2.0
2.0
-4.3
-8.6
-5.7
0.2
-0.3
5.7
-1.4
-2.5
1.2
2.2
-0.7
-10.5
-17.9
-4.5
7.9
-0.9
-9.8
-11.1
-8.6
-6.6
-5.6
-16.6
-12.6
2.7
-4.2
-3.6
0.6
-12.3
-6.4
2.0
-0.4
2.0
3.1
-2.2
-2.7
-3.0
-0.8
-3.6
-1.6
-2.3
0.8
-2.4
-1.9
-0.8
0.4
-1.3
-2.4
-1.6
1.1
0.4
0.5
-0.3
0.4
-0.8
1.6
-2.8
-0.7
-0.2
1.6
-0.2
-1.7
-2.7
-1.2
-2.1
-1.5
-1.6
-0.9
-2.4
-1.6
-1.7
-0.2
1.1
-0.5
-1.9
1.1
1.1
1.4
0.5
0.8
-0.5
2.6
-3.1
-1.0
-0.4
1.0
0.1
-2.0
-3.5
-1.2
-2.7
-2.5
-2.1
-1.3
-2.4
-2.3
-2.0
-1.4
1.2
-0.6
-1.6
2.5
1.4
1.7
2.3
1.0
-0.1
4.7
-2.1
-1.4
-0.5
1.9
0.5
-2.7
-4.3
-1.2
-3.2
-2.7
-2.6
-1.7
-2.9
-3.0
-2.5
-2.2
-0.8
-0.8
-1.6
1.5
1.6
1.7
1.8
1.4
-0.9
4.7
-1.2
-1.1
0.0
2.3
0.6
-2.9
-4.4
-1.2
-3.2
-2.5
-2.7
-1.6
-2.9
-3.2
-2.8
-2.2
-1.8
-0.9
-1.6
0.2
1.5
1.7
1.7
1.3
-1.5
4.3
-0.8
-0.7
0.2
2.8
0.6
-2.9
-4.5
-1.2
-3.2
-2.8
-2.7
-1.6
-2.9
-3.1
-2.8
-2.2
-1.9
-0.9
-1.5
0.0
1.2
1.2
1.6
0.9
-1.8
3.0
-0.4
-0.4
0.3
2.4
0.4
-2.9
-4.5
-1.2
-3.2
-3.0
-2.7
-1.6
-2.9
-3.1
-2.8
-2.2
-1.9
-0.9
-1.5
0.1
0.9
0.9
1.2
0.6
-1.6
2.1
-0.3
-0.3
0.4
1.7
0.2
-2.9
-4.5
-1.2
-3.2
-3.0
-2.7
-1.6
-2.9
-3.1
-2.8
-2.2
-1.9
-0.9
-1.6
0.2
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.2
-1.5
1.3
-0.1
-0.2
0.6
1.2
0.1
-2.9
-4.5
-1.3
-3.2
-3.0
-2.7
-1.6
-3.0
-3.1
-2.8
-2.2
-1.9
-0.8
-1.6
0.3
0.3
0.4
0.4
-0.1
-1.4
0.7
0.0
0.0
0.7
0.8
0.0
-2.9
-4.6
-1.4
-3.2
-3.0
-2.7
-1.6
-3.2
-3.1
-2.8
-2.2
-1.9
-0.8
-1.6
0.3
0.0
0.2
-0.1
-0.3
-1.5
0.5
0.0
0.0
0.6
0.4
-0.1
-3.0
-5.0
-1.4
-3.3
-3.1
-2.8
-1.6
-3.4
-3.3
-2.9
-2.2
-2.0
-0.8
-1.6
0.3
0.0
0.1
-0.1
-0.4
-1.5
0.4
-0.1
0.0
0.6
0.4
-0.1
Summary tables - Trafford
Table 1: Key indicators
Demography
Total population
Working age population
Total migration
Labour market
Total employees
Self employed
Total employment (jobs)
Total employment (people)
Residence employment
Residence employment rate
Net commuting
Unemployment level
Unemployment rate
Output
Total GVA
Relative productivity
Housing
Households
Housing stock
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2022
2027
2032
212.6
133.8
0.0
213.3
134.2
-0.2
213.8
133.9
-0.5
215.3
134.4
0.6
217.3
135.3
0.9
218.9
135.6
0.6
220.6
136.1
0.6
222.1
136.5
0.5
223.5
137.0
0.5
224.9
137.4
0.4
226.3
137.9
0.4
227.8
138.5
0.5
229.3
139.2
0.5
235.4
142.2
0.4
241.1
145.1
0.0
244.7
147.1
-0.6
124.1
12.7
136.8
111.7
105.0
80.1
6.7
2.4
1.8
123.8
13.0
136.9
110.5
106.4
80.9
4.1
2.3
1.7
122.3
13.1
135.4
109.5
102.5
78.1
7.0
2.5
1.9
118.6
12.9
131.5
106.7
101.4
76.9
5.4
4.5
3.3
114.7
13.1
127.9
103.6
98.8
74.5
4.7
4.4
3.2
114.9
13.0
127.9
103.5
98.9
74.3
4.6
4.6
3.4
116.3
13.0
129.3
104.6
99.9
74.7
4.7
4.5
3.3
118.9
13.3
132.2
106.9
101.9
75.9
5.0
4.4
3.2
122.0
13.6
135.6
109.6
104.0
77.3
5.5
4.4
3.2
125.1
13.9
139.0
112.2
106.2
78.6
6.0
4.4
3.2
127.7
14.1
141.8
114.4
108.0
79.6
6.4
4.3
3.1
129.8
14.3
144.0
116.2
109.4
80.3
6.7
4.0
2.9
131.4
14.3
145.7
117.4
110.5
80.6
6.9
3.9
2.8
134.9
14.7
149.6
120.3
113.0
80.8
7.3
4.0
2.8
137.6
15.1
152.7
122.4
114.6
80.3
7.7
4.1
2.8
139.7
15.4
155.1
123.9
115.6
80.0
8.3
4.2
2.9
5180
115.4
5284
115.8
5219
115.1
4927
115.0
4950
115.3
5057
115.2
5229
115.1
5455
114.9
5690
114.7
5922
114.6
6142
114.7
6345
114.7
6541
114.9
7275
115.4
8169
115.8
9080
116.2
93
94603
93
95328
94
95815
95
96575
96
96862
97
98326
98
99580
100
100777
100
101860
101
102826
102
103722
103
104595
104
105486
108
109145
112
113567
116
117613
Table 2: Key indicators annual percentage change*
Demography
Total population
Working age population
Total migration (000s)
Labour market
Total employees
Self employed
Total employment (jobs)
Total employment (people)
Residence employment
Residence employment rate (pp)
Net commuting (000s)
Unemployment level
Unemployment rate (pp)
Output
Total GVA
Relative productivity (pp)
Housing
Households
Housing stock
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2018-22
avg pa
2022-27
avg pa
2027-32
avg pa
0.3
0.7
0.1
0.3
0.3
-0.2
0.2
-0.2
-0.3
0.7
0.4
1.1
0.9
0.6
0.4
0.7
0.3
-0.4
0.8
0.3
0.1
0.7
0.3
-0.1
0.7
0.3
-0.1
0.6
0.3
-0.1
0.6
0.4
0.0
0.7
0.5
0.1
0.7
0.5
0.1
0.7
0.5
0.0
0.5
0.4
-0.1
0.3
0.3
-0.1
3.2
-2.3
2.6
3.7
1.9
0.9
2.0
11.9
0.2
-0.2
2.5
0.1
-1.1
1.3
0.8
-2.6
-2.4
0.0
-1.3
0.4
-1.1
-0.9
-3.7
-2.8
2.9
8.9
0.2
-3.0
-1.5
-2.9
-2.5
-1.1
-1.2
-1.6
80.2
1.5
-3.2
2.0
-2.7
-3.0
-2.5
-2.4
-0.6
-3.3
-0.1
0.2
-1.3
0.0
-0.1
0.1
-0.2
-0.2
4.9
0.1
1.2
0.5
1.1
1.0
0.9
0.4
0.1
-1.7
-0.1
2.3
2.1
2.3
2.2
2.0
1.2
0.3
-2.6
-0.1
2.6
2.3
2.5
2.5
2.2
1.3
0.5
0.8
0.0
2.6
2.0
2.5
2.4
2.1
1.3
0.5
0.3
0.0
2.1
1.5
2.0
2.0
1.7
1.0
0.4
-2.6
-0.1
1.6
1.0
1.6
1.5
1.3
0.7
0.3
-6.5
-0.2
1.2
0.4
1.1
1.1
1.0
0.3
0.2
-2.5
-0.1
0.8
0.7
0.8
0.7
0.6
0.1
0.1
-0.1
0.0
0.4
0.5
0.4
0.4
0.3
-0.1
0.1
0.6
0.0
0.3
0.4
0.3
0.3
0.2
-0.1
0.1
0.7
0.0
3.3
0.7
2.0
0.4
-1.2
-0.7
-5.6
0.0
0.5
0.2
2.2
-0.1
3.4
-0.1
4.3
-0.2
4.3
-0.2
4.1
-0.1
3.7
0.0
3.3
0.1
3.1
0.1
2.8
0.1
2.4
0.1
2.2
0.1
0.6
0.4
0.6
0.8
0.5
0.5
1.0
0.8
1.5
0.3
1.3
1.5
1.2
1.3
1.1
1.2
0.9
1.1
0.9
0.9
0.8
0.9
0.9
0.8
0.9
0.9
0.9
0.9
0.8
0.8
0.7
0.7
Note: Total employees represents the number of jobs in an area. Total employment
(jobs)
represents
the number of jobs in an area, but
* percentage changes
unlessalso
otherwise
noted
includes self-employed jobs. Total employment (people) represents the number of people in employment in an area - i.e. it includes both full
time and part time employees but people with more than one job are counted only once
88
Summary tables – Trafford (continued)
Table 3: Employees by sector
Agriculture
Extraction
Manufacturing of:
Food, drink & tobacco
Textiles, clothing & leather
Wood & wood products
Pulp, paper & printing
Coke, oil and nuclear
Chemicals & pharmaceuticals
Rubber & plastic products
Other non-metals
Metals
Machinery & equipment nec
Electrical & optical equipment
Transport equipment
Other manufacturing nec
Electricity, gas & water
Construction
Distribution
Retail
Hotels & restaurants
Transport & communications
Financial intermediation
Business services
Public administration & defence
Education
Health
Other personal services
Total
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2022
2027
2032
0.1
0.0
0.2
0.0
0.2
0.0
0.2
0.0
0.2
0.0
0.2
0.0
0.2
0.0
0.2
0.0
0.2
0.0
0.2
0.0
0.2
0.0
0.2
0.0
0.2
0.0
0.2
0.0
0.1
0.0
0.1
0.0
4.0
0.3
0.1
2.5
0.2
1.1
0.6
0.8
0.9
0.7
1.1
0.5
0.6
0.2
7.5
9.5
15.4
6.4
8.2
4.2
34.5
4.6
5.7
8.4
6.0
124.1
3.3
0.2
0.1
1.9
0.1
0.8
0.6
0.6
0.8
0.9
1.1
0.5
0.6
0.5
7.9
10.3
15.9
6.3
6.9
3.0
35.4
4.3
6.3
9.2
6.2
123.8
3.6
0.3
0.2
1.8
0.1
0.7
0.6
0.6
0.8
0.6
1.1
0.5
0.6
0.2
7.5
10.3
15.5
6.4
6.6
3.3
33.9
4.4
6.2
9.9
6.5
122.3
3.4
0.3
0.2
1.7
0.1
0.6
0.5
0.5
0.8
0.6
1.0
0.4
0.5
0.2
7.0
9.8
15.2
6.5
6.3
3.1
32.2
4.4
6.2
10.4
6.5
118.6
3.5
0.3
0.2
1.5
0.1
0.5
0.6
0.5
0.7
0.5
0.9
0.3
0.5
0.2
6.0
10.1
14.6
6.3
6.2
2.8
30.1
4.6
6.3
10.7
6.7
114.7
3.4
0.3
0.2
1.5
0.1
0.4
0.6
0.5
0.7
0.5
0.9
0.3
0.5
0.2
6.0
10.1
14.8
6.3
6.2
2.8
30.2
4.4
6.3
10.7
6.9
114.9
3.4
0.2
0.2
1.5
0.1
0.4
0.5
0.5
0.7
0.5
0.9
0.3
0.5
0.2
6.1
10.2
15.0
6.4
6.3
2.8
31.1
4.3
6.3
10.7
7.0
116.3
3.3
0.2
0.1
1.5
0.1
0.4
0.5
0.5
0.7
0.5
0.9
0.3
0.5
0.2
6.3
10.4
15.3
6.5
6.4
2.9
32.9
4.2
6.2
10.7
7.2
118.9
3.2
0.2
0.1
1.4
0.1
0.4
0.5
0.4
0.6
0.5
0.9
0.3
0.5
0.2
6.5
10.5
15.6
6.7
6.6
2.9
35.0
4.2
6.2
10.7
7.4
122.0
3.2
0.2
0.1
1.4
0.1
0.4
0.5
0.4
0.6
0.5
0.9
0.3
0.5
0.2
6.6
10.7
15.9
6.8
6.8
3.0
37.2
4.2
6.2
10.7
7.7
125.1
3.1
0.2
0.1
1.4
0.1
0.4
0.5
0.4
0.6
0.4
0.8
0.3
0.5
0.2
6.7
10.8
16.1
6.9
6.9
3.0
39.0
4.2
6.2
10.8
8.0
127.7
3.0
0.2
0.1
1.3
0.1
0.4
0.5
0.4
0.6
0.4
0.8
0.3
0.5
0.2
6.8
10.9
16.3
7.0
7.0
3.0
40.5
4.1
6.2
10.8
8.2
129.8
2.9
0.2
0.1
1.3
0.1
0.3
0.5
0.4
0.6
0.4
0.8
0.3
0.5
0.2
6.8
11.0
16.4
7.1
7.1
3.0
41.6
4.2
6.2
10.9
8.4
131.4
2.7
0.1
0.1
1.2
0.1
0.3
0.5
0.3
0.5
0.4
0.7
0.3
0.5
0.2
7.1
11.1
16.7
7.2
7.2
3.0
43.9
4.2
6.4
11.3
8.9
134.9
2.4
0.1
0.1
1.1
0.1
0.3
0.4
0.3
0.4
0.3
0.6
0.3
0.4
0.1
7.3
11.0
16.9
7.2
7.2
3.0
46.2
4.2
6.5
11.7
9.4
137.6
2.1
0.1
0.0
1.0
0.1
0.2
0.4
0.2
0.4
0.3
0.6
0.2
0.4
0.1
7.4
11.0
17.0
7.2
7.1
3.0
48.2
4.2
6.6
12.0
9.8
139.7
Table 4: Employees by sector - annual percentage changes
Agriculture
Extraction
Manufacturing of:
Food, drink & tobacco
Textiles, clothing & leather
Wood & wood products
Pulp, paper & printing
Coke, oil and nuclear
Chemicals & pharmaceuticals
Rubber & plastic products
Other non-metals
Metals
Machinery & equipment nec
Electrical & optical equipment
Transport equipment
Other manufacturing nec
Electricity, gas & water
Construction
Distribution
Retail
Hotels & restaurants
Transport & communications
Financial intermediation
Business services
Public administration & defence
Education
Health
Other personal services
Total
89
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2018-22
avg pa
2022-27
avg pa
2027-32
avg pa
28.0
-18.7
4.9
-54.4
24.7
0.0
-20.2
-21.3
24.4
-2.5
2.3
-3.6
-1.7
-3.5
-1.8
-3.6
-2.0
-3.8
-1.9
-3.7
-1.9
-3.6
-1.9
-3.6
-2.0
-3.7
-2.0
-3.9
-2.0
-4.3
-2.1
-4.6
-1.3
2.6
12.9
8.4
9.1
-19.3
-1.8
22.2
-1.7
-13.8
-10.4
-0.4
0.5
169.2
-0.9
-2.4
5.6
8.2
7.1
-8.9
7.8
-6.8
4.2
5.4
-1.9
3.2
-16.7
-1.5
10.4
-22.8
-44.5
-25.8
-5.7
-30.0
-13.2
28.7
-1.6
5.0
0.5
137.6
5.1
7.9
3.4
-0.1
-16.0
-30.2
2.7
-6.8
11.5
9.4
2.4
-0.2
9.8
28.7
33.1
-9.5
-24.9
-12.6
-4.1
-0.8
6.9
-27.3
4.9
7.9
0.5
-69.2
-5.4
0.3
-2.5
0.6
-4.3
10.2
-4.1
2.7
-1.4
7.1
4.9
-1.3
-5.8
-8.3
-14.9
-4.3
11.5
-19.0
-8.2
-13.3
-2.5
-8.1
-8.6
-24.9
-4.7
1.6
-6.7
-4.8
-1.7
2.3
-4.7
-6.1
-5.1
0.5
0.3
6.0
-0.6
-3.0
1.8
-7.6
-3.3
-9.4
-14.1
-17.3
7.4
-0.9
-11.8
-11.4
-7.9
-9.8
-5.6
6.9
-13.1
2.7
-3.8
-3.2
-2.0
-9.4
-6.7
2.4
0.4
2.5
3.8
-3.2
-2.1
-4.5
-3.5
-2.4
2.7
-3.1
0.4
-2.4
-1.9
-1.1
-0.1
-1.7
-2.4
-1.7
-0.4
0.4
0.8
0.0
0.7
0.3
0.5
-2.5
0.0
0.0
2.5
0.2
-1.2
-4.2
-4.0
-0.9
2.7
-2.5
-1.3
-2.4
-1.6
-2.0
-0.7
0.6
-0.5
-1.9
1.1
1.1
1.7
0.7
1.4
1.4
3.0
-2.9
-0.3
-0.2
1.9
1.2
-1.4
-5.0
-4.0
-1.5
1.5
-3.0
-1.7
-2.4
-2.2
-2.3
-1.8
0.8
-0.6
-1.6
3.2
1.4
2.0
2.6
2.0
2.4
5.7
-1.9
-0.7
-0.2
2.9
2.3
-2.2
-5.8
-4.1
-2.0
1.1
-3.5
-2.1
-2.9
-3.0
-2.8
-2.6
-1.2
-0.8
-1.7
2.8
1.6
2.0
2.0
2.5
1.8
6.4
-0.9
-0.5
0.2
3.3
2.6
-2.3
-5.9
-4.2
-2.1
1.1
-3.6
-2.0
-2.9
-3.2
-3.1
-2.6
-2.2
-0.9
-1.6
1.7
1.5
1.9
1.8
2.4
1.2
6.3
-0.6
-0.2
0.4
3.8
2.6
-2.3
-5.9
-4.3
-2.1
0.7
-3.6
-2.0
-2.9
-3.1
-3.1
-2.6
-2.3
-0.9
-1.6
1.5
1.2
1.4
1.7
1.9
0.7
4.9
-0.3
0.1
0.5
3.3
2.1
-2.3
-5.9
-4.4
-2.1
0.4
-3.6
-2.0
-2.9
-3.1
-3.1
-2.6
-2.3
-0.9
-1.6
1.4
0.9
1.1
1.4
1.4
0.6
3.8
-0.1
0.3
0.6
2.7
1.6
-2.3
-5.9
-4.5
-2.1
0.3
-3.6
-2.0
-2.9
-3.1
-3.1
-2.5
-2.3
-0.9
-1.6
1.3
0.5
0.8
0.9
0.9
0.5
2.7
0.1
0.4
0.8
2.1
1.2
-2.3
-5.9
-4.9
-2.1
0.1
-3.6
-2.0
-3.0
-3.1
-3.1
-2.5
-2.3
-0.8
-1.6
0.9
0.3
0.5
0.6
0.4
0.3
1.7
0.2
0.5
0.9
1.6
0.8
-2.3
-5.9
-5.7
-2.2
-0.3
-3.7
-2.0
-3.2
-3.1
-3.1
-2.5
-2.3
-0.8
-1.6
0.6
-0.1
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
1.1
0.0
0.4
0.7
1.1
0.4
-2.4
-6.5
-7.1
-2.3
-0.6
-3.9
-2.0
-3.4
-3.2
-3.2
-2.5
-2.4
-0.8
-1.7
0.4
-0.1
0.1
-0.1
-0.1
-0.1
0.9
-0.1
0.3
0.5
1.0
0.3
Summary tables - Wigan
Table 1: Key indicators
Demography
Total population
Working age population
Total migration
Labour market
Total employees
Self employed
Total employment (jobs)
Total employment (people)
Residence employment
Residence employment rate
Net commuting
Unemployment level
Unemployment rate
Output
Total GVA
Relative productivity
Housing
Households
Housing stock
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2022
2027
2032
304.1
193.7
-0.2
304.1
193.0
-0.3
305.4
192.5
0.4
306.5
192.3
0.3
307.7
191.9
0.2
309.0
191.5
0.3
310.4
191.2
0.3
311.7
190.9
0.3
313.0
190.4
0.2
314.2
190.0
0.2
315.3
189.4
0.1
316.4
188.8
0.1
317.4
188.3
0.1
321.0
186.3
0.1
324.2
184.6
0.2
326.6
183.9
0.3
102.2
15.1
117.3
109.2
132.0
69.6
-22.8
5.1
2.6
100.4
15.5
115.9
107.9
133.0
70.4
-25.1
4.7
2.4
98.5
15.5
113.9
106.4
131.4
69.7
-25.1
5.4
2.8
96.2
15.2
111.4
104.3
129.8
68.9
-25.4
9.5
5.0
93.7
15.4
109.2
102.1
126.8
67.5
-24.7
8.8
4.6
93.8
15.3
109.1
102.1
126.8
67.5
-24.7
9.3
4.8
94.3
15.3
109.7
102.6
127.5
68.0
-24.9
9.1
4.7
95.5
15.6
111.1
103.9
129.2
69.0
-25.4
8.7
4.6
96.7
15.8
112.5
105.2
131.0
70.1
-25.8
8.7
4.5
97.9
16.0
113.9
106.4
132.7
71.1
-26.3
8.6
4.5
98.8
16.1
114.9
107.4
134.0
72.0
-26.7
8.2
4.3
99.4
16.2
115.6
108.0
135.0
72.7
-27.0
7.6
4.0
99.9
16.2
116.0
108.4
135.6
73.3
-27.2
7.3
3.9
100.6
16.3
117.0
109.2
137.1
74.9
-28.0
7.3
3.9
101.0
16.5
117.5
109.6
138.1
76.1
-28.5
7.4
4.0
101.5
16.6
118.2
110.1
139.0
76.9
-28.9
7.6
4.1
3789
98.4
3744
96.8
3720
97.4
3548
97.7
3583
97.7
3651
97.5
3752
97.3
3877
97.2
3996
97.1
4106
97.0
4206
96.9
4297
96.8
4387
96.7
4755
96.5
5221
96.2
5717
96.0
130
134669
131
135948
132
137788
133
135951
134
136050
135
137256
136
138496
138
139769
139
141040
140
142297
141
143516
142
144691
143
145816
147
150065
152
155013
157
159859
Table 2: Key indicators annual percentage change*
Demography
Total population
Working age population
Total migration (000s)
Labour market
Total employees
Self employed
Total employment (jobs)
Total employment (people)
Residence employment
Residence employment rate (pp)
Net commuting (000s)
Unemployment level
Unemployment rate (pp)
Output
Total GVA
Relative productivity (pp)
Housing
Households
Housing stock
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2018-22
avg pa
2022-27
avg pa
2027-32
avg pa
0.2
0.1
-0.4
0.0
-0.3
-0.1
0.4
-0.2
0.7
0.4
-0.1
-0.1
0.4
-0.2
-0.1
0.4
-0.2
0.1
0.4
-0.2
0.1
0.4
-0.2
0.0
0.4
-0.2
-0.1
0.4
-0.3
-0.1
0.4
-0.3
-0.1
0.3
-0.3
0.0
0.3
-0.3
0.0
0.3
-0.3
0.0
0.2
-0.2
0.0
0.1
-0.1
0.0
2.5
2.9
2.6
2.5
-1.5
-1.1
4.7
16.8
0.4
-1.7
2.4
-1.2
-1.1
0.8
0.8
-2.3
-7.0
-0.2
-2.0
0.0
-1.7
-1.5
-1.2
-0.6
0.0
15.4
0.4
-2.3
-1.5
-2.2
-1.9
-1.3
-0.8
-0.4
74.9
2.1
-2.6
1.3
-2.0
-2.1
-2.3
-1.4
0.7
-7.3
-0.4
0.1
-1.0
-0.1
-0.1
0.0
0.1
0.0
5.0
0.2
0.5
0.4
0.5
0.5
0.6
0.4
-0.2
-2.4
-0.1
1.2
1.6
1.3
1.3
1.4
1.0
-0.4
-3.8
-0.2
1.3
1.5
1.3
1.3
1.4
1.1
-0.5
-0.5
0.0
1.2
1.1
1.2
1.2
1.3
1.1
-0.5
-1.1
0.0
0.9
0.7
0.9
0.9
1.0
0.9
-0.4
-3.9
-0.2
0.7
0.3
0.6
0.6
0.7
0.7
-0.3
-7.7
-0.3
0.4
0.0
0.4
0.4
0.5
0.6
-0.3
-3.4
-0.1
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.3
0.4
-0.2
-0.7
0.0
0.1
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.3
-0.1
0.3
0.0
0.1
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.2
-0.1
0.5
0.0
2.4
-0.2
-1.2
-1.6
-0.6
0.6
-4.6
0.3
1.0
0.0
1.9
-0.3
2.8
-0.1
3.3
-0.1
3.1
-0.1
2.7
-0.1
2.4
-0.1
2.2
-0.1
2.1
-0.1
2.0
-0.1
1.9
-0.1
1.8
0.0
0.7
0.6
0.5
0.9
0.7
1.4
0.8
-1.3
0.9
0.1
0.9
0.9
0.9
0.9
0.9
0.9
0.9
0.9
0.9
0.9
0.8
0.9
0.8
0.8
0.8
0.8
0.7
0.7
0.6
0.7
0.6
0.6
changes unless otherwise noted
Note: Total employees represents the number of jobs in an area. Total* percentage
employment
(jobs) also represents the number of jobs in an area, but
includes self-employed jobs. Total employment (people) represents the number of people in employment in an area - i.e. it includes both full
time and part time employees but people with more than one job are counted only once
90
Summary tables – Wigan (continued)
Table 3: Employees by sector
Agriculture
Extraction
Manufacturing of:
Food, drink & tobacco
Textiles, clothing & leather
Wood & wood products
Pulp, paper & printing
Coke, oil and nuclear
Chemicals & pharmaceuticals
Rubber & plastic products
Other non-metals
Metals
Machinery & equipment nec
Electrical & optical equipment
Transport equipment
Other manufacturing nec
Electricity, gas & water
Construction
Distribution
Retail
Hotels & restaurants
Transport & communications
Financial intermediation
Business services
Public administration & defence
Education
Health
Other personal services
Total
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2022
2027
2032
0.5
0.1
0.7
0.1
0.6
0.1
0.5
0.0
0.6
0.0
0.6
0.0
0.6
0.0
0.6
0.0
0.6
0.0
0.6
0.0
0.6
0.0
0.6
0.0
0.5
0.0
0.5
0.0
0.4
0.0
0.4
0.0
5.8
0.8
0.5
0.9
0.0
0.6
1.2
0.7
1.7
0.6
1.6
0.7
0.6
0.1
8.0
5.9
13.3
6.3
6.1
1.8
13.0
4.4
7.9
13.3
5.6
102.2
5.2
0.8
0.6
0.8
0.0
0.7
1.2
0.5
1.7
0.7
1.2
0.7
0.7
0.2
8.1
6.4
12.5
5.8
6.2
1.7
13.5
4.4
8.1
12.5
5.5
100.4
4.8
0.8
0.6
0.7
0.0
0.7
1.2
0.6
1.6
0.7
1.1
0.6
0.6
0.3
7.9
6.1
13.3
5.6
6.3
1.5
13.2
4.1
7.7
12.4
5.4
98.5
4.5
0.6
0.6
0.6
0.0
0.6
1.1
0.5
1.5
0.6
1.1
0.6
0.5
0.4
7.5
5.8
13.0
5.8
6.0
1.4
12.7
4.1
7.7
13.2
5.3
96.2
4.6
0.6
0.5
0.6
0.0
0.5
1.2
0.5
1.4
0.5
1.0
0.5
0.5
0.3
6.6
5.9
12.5
5.5
5.8
1.3
12.0
4.1
7.7
13.5
5.5
93.7
4.5
0.6
0.5
0.5
0.0
0.5
1.2
0.5
1.4
0.5
1.0
0.5
0.5
0.3
6.6
5.9
12.5
5.5
5.8
1.3
12.2
4.0
7.6
13.5
5.6
93.8
4.5
0.6
0.5
0.5
0.0
0.5
1.2
0.5
1.3
0.5
1.0
0.5
0.5
0.3
6.7
6.0
12.7
5.6
5.9
1.3
12.6
3.9
7.5
13.5
5.7
94.3
4.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.0
0.5
1.2
0.5
1.3
0.5
0.9
0.5
0.5
0.3
6.9
6.0
12.9
5.7
6.0
1.3
13.4
3.8
7.4
13.5
5.8
95.5
4.4
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.0
0.5
1.2
0.5
1.3
0.5
0.9
0.5
0.5
0.3
7.0
6.1
13.1
5.8
6.1
1.3
14.1
3.7
7.3
13.5
5.9
96.7
4.3
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.0
0.4
1.2
0.4
1.2
0.5
0.9
0.5
0.5
0.3
7.1
6.2
13.4
5.9
6.2
1.3
14.9
3.7
7.3
13.6
6.1
97.9
4.2
0.4
0.5
0.5
0.0
0.4
1.2
0.4
1.2
0.5
0.8
0.5
0.5
0.2
7.1
6.3
13.5
6.0
6.3
1.3
15.5
3.7
7.2
13.7
6.3
98.8
4.2
0.4
0.5
0.5
0.0
0.4
1.2
0.4
1.1
0.4
0.8
0.5
0.5
0.2
7.1
6.3
13.6
6.0
6.3
1.3
16.0
3.6
7.2
13.8
6.4
99.4
4.1
0.4
0.5
0.4
0.0
0.4
1.2
0.4
1.1
0.4
0.8
0.5
0.5
0.2
7.2
6.4
13.7
6.1
6.3
1.3
16.4
3.6
7.2
13.9
6.5
99.9
3.8
0.3
0.5
0.4
0.0
0.4
1.1
0.4
1.0
0.4
0.7
0.4
0.5
0.2
7.3
6.4
13.7
6.1
6.3
1.2
17.3
3.6
7.1
14.4
6.7
100.6
3.5
0.2
0.4
0.3
0.0
0.3
1.1
0.3
0.8
0.3
0.5
0.4
0.4
0.2
7.5
6.3
13.7
6.0
6.3
1.2
18.3
3.5
7.0
14.9
6.8
101.0
3.2
0.2
0.4
0.3
0.0
0.3
1.0
0.3
0.7
0.3
0.4
0.3
0.4
0.2
7.7
6.3
13.6
5.9
6.2
1.2
19.3
3.4
7.0
15.5
7.0
101.5
Table 4: Employees by sector - annual percentage changes
91
Agriculture
Extraction
Manufacturing of:
Food, drink & tobacco
Textiles, clothing & leather
Wood & wood products
Pulp, paper & printing
Coke, oil and nuclear
Chemicals & pharmaceuticals
Rubber & plastic products
Other non-metals
Metals
Machinery & equipment nec
Electrical & optical equipment
Transport equipment
Other manufacturing nec
Electricity, gas & water
Construction
Distribution
Retail
Hotels & restaurants
Transport & communications
Financial intermediation
Business services
Public administration & defence
Education
Health
Other personal services
Total
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2018-22
avg pa
2022-27
avg pa
2027-32
avg pa
82.4
47.3
34.8
8.1
-10.7
-27.0
-20.2
-21.3
24.4
-2.5
2.3
-3.6
-1.7
-3.5
-1.8
-3.6
-2.0
-3.8
-1.9
-3.7
-1.9
-3.6
-1.9
-3.6
-2.0
-3.7
-2.0
-3.9
-2.0
-4.3
-2.1
-4.6
11.6
-4.0
16.9
-8.8
-75.4
-11.3
-9.0
-8.0
14.5
0.3
12.9
-13.9
12.4
-6.3
11.7
-0.7
-10.6
-4.5
11.8
18.2
5.4
-5.6
-5.5
16.1
0.2
2.5
-10.7
-5.6
16.1
-1.7
-100.0
22.6
-5.5
-20.8
2.7
24.1
-25.4
-0.2
4.9
74.3
1.8
7.8
-6.2
-9.1
1.3
-4.1
3.2
-0.5
1.8
-6.1
-2.0
-1.7
-7.9
-5.2
0.4
-20.0
0.0
3.1
1.3
12.2
-7.9
-12.3
-2.8
-8.9
-17.9
35.6
-2.2
-5.2
6.4
-1.8
0.5
-10.4
-1.5
-7.6
-4.6
-0.2
-1.9
-2.0
-5.2
-15.4
-12.7
-5.7
6.4
-17.9
-7.0
-13.3
-3.7
-8.1
-1.0
-9.6
-4.7
21.2
-5.8
-5.0
-2.1
2.0
-4.5
-7.5
-4.0
-0.1
-0.4
6.1
-1.2
-2.3
2.4
-1.7
-0.7
-10.7
-17.9
-16.2
8.8
-0.9
-9.1
-11.4
-10.2
-7.9
-5.6
-26.1
-12.3
2.5
-4.4
-3.7
-3.1
-10.8
-5.5
1.7
-0.5
2.3
3.0
-2.6
-1.6
-4.8
-0.8
-3.8
-1.6
-2.4
1.7
-2.4
-1.9
-1.1
-1.5
-2.1
-2.4
-1.5
0.6
0.3
0.5
-0.3
0.7
0.1
1.7
-3.0
-0.7
0.1
1.8
0.1
-0.6
-4.5
-1.2
-2.3
-1.5
-1.8
-0.1
-2.4
-1.6
-2.0
-2.0
0.2
-0.5
-1.8
1.3
1.0
1.4
0.4
1.1
0.7
3.4
-3.3
-1.0
-0.1
1.2
0.5
-0.9
-5.2
-1.2
-2.9
-2.5
-2.2
-0.5
-2.4
-2.3
-2.3
-3.2
0.4
-0.6
-1.5
2.9
1.3
1.7
2.3
1.4
1.3
5.6
-2.3
-1.4
-0.1
2.2
1.2
-1.6
-6.1
-1.2
-3.3
-2.7
-2.8
-0.9
-2.9
-3.0
-2.8
-3.9
-1.6
-0.8
-1.6
2.1
1.4
1.7
1.8
1.7
0.5
5.9
-1.4
-1.1
0.3
2.6
1.3
-1.8
-6.1
-1.2
-3.4
-2.5
-2.8
-0.8
-2.9
-3.2
-3.1
-3.9
-2.6
-0.9
-1.5
0.8
1.4
1.6
1.6
1.6
-0.2
5.5
-1.0
-0.8
0.5
3.0
1.2
-1.8
-6.1
-1.2
-3.4
-2.8
-2.8
-0.8
-2.9
-3.1
-3.1
-3.9
-2.6
-0.9
-1.5
0.5
1.0
1.1
1.5
1.2
-0.5
4.1
-0.7
-0.5
0.6
2.6
0.9
-1.8
-6.2
-1.2
-3.4
-3.0
-2.8
-0.8
-2.9
-3.1
-3.1
-3.9
-2.7
-0.9
-1.5
0.5
0.8
0.7
1.1
0.8
-0.5
3.1
-0.6
-0.4
0.7
1.9
0.7
-1.8
-6.2
-1.2
-3.4
-3.0
-2.8
-0.8
-2.9
-3.1
-3.1
-3.9
-2.7
-0.9
-1.5
0.6
0.4
0.4
0.5
0.4
-0.4
2.2
-0.5
-0.3
0.8
1.3
0.4
-1.8
-6.2
-1.3
-3.4
-3.0
-2.8
-0.9
-3.0
-3.1
-3.1
-3.9
-2.7
-0.8
-1.5
0.6
0.1
0.2
0.2
0.1
-0.4
1.5
-0.4
-0.2
0.9
0.8
0.2
-1.8
-6.2
-1.4
-3.4
-3.0
-2.8
-0.9
-3.2
-3.1
-3.1
-3.8
-2.7
-0.8
-1.5
0.5
-0.1
0.0
-0.3
-0.2
-0.5
1.2
-0.4
-0.2
0.8
0.5
0.1
-1.8
-6.8
-1.4
-3.6
-3.1
-2.9
-0.9
-3.4
-3.3
-3.2
-4.0
-2.7
-0.8
-1.5
0.5
-0.1
0.0
-0.3
-0.1
-0.4
1.1
-0.4
-0.2
0.7
0.5
0.1
Summary tables - Cheshire
Table 1: Key indicators
Demography
Total population
Working age population
Total migration
Labour market
Total employees
Self employed
Total employment (jobs)
Total employment (people)
Residence employment
Residence employment rate
Net commuting
Unemployment level
Unemployment rate
Output
Total GVA
Relative productivity
Housing
Households
Housing stock
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2022
2027
2032
686.1
425.6
1.2
687.5
424.9
1.0
688.2
422.1
-0.4
689.2
420.5
0.1
692.7
421.2
2.5
695.5
421.3
2.0
698.5
421.9
2.3
701.5
422.4
2.3
704.3
422.7
2.1
706.9
422.9
2.0
709.6
423.2
2.0
712.5
423.7
2.3
715.5
424.3
2.5
728.1
427.7
2.7
741.6
432.5
2.5
752.8
437.5
2.1
318.0
45.2
363.2
324.1
325.7
78.1
-1.6
6.9
1.6
315.0
45.1
360.2
321.9
324.7
78.0
-2.8
6.6
1.5
315.8
46.9
362.7
324.0
317.1
76.7
7.0
7.3
1.7
307.4
47.5
354.8
318.6
315.6
76.6
3.0
13.5
3.2
299.4
48.7
348.1
312.2
305.9
74.1
6.3
12.3
2.9
299.8
48.2
348.0
312.0
305.5
74.0
6.5
12.9
3.1
301.6
48.1
349.8
313.6
307.5
74.4
6.1
12.6
3.0
305.7
48.7
354.4
317.7
313.2
75.6
4.5
12.1
2.9
310.1
49.2
359.3
322.1
319.2
77.0
2.9
12.1
2.9
314.4
49.5
363.9
326.2
324.8
78.3
1.4
12.0
2.8
317.6
49.7
367.3
329.1
328.8
79.2
0.3
11.6
2.7
319.9
49.7
369.6
331.1
331.4
79.7
-0.4
10.7
2.5
321.3
49.5
370.8
332.0
332.8
79.9
-0.7
10.3
2.4
323.3
49.6
372.9
333.4
334.0
79.5
-0.6
10.3
2.4
323.9
49.5
373.4
333.3
332.3
78.3
1.0
10.4
2.4
324.6
49.4
373.9
333.3
330.5
76.9
2.8
10.6
2.4
13615
114.2
13873
115.5
13958
114.8
13298
115.0
13385
114.5
13693
114.6
14109
114.8
14615
114.8
15091
114.8
15530
114.8
15936
114.9
16308
114.9
16675
115.1
18168
115.6
20065
116.3
22062
117.1
292
356190
293
359599
295
361871
297
360100
300
360361
303
364199
306
367652
309
371133
312
374508
314
377709
317
380757
319
383755
322
386789
332
399137
345
414600
357
429855
Table 2: Key indicators annual percentage change*
Demography
Total population
Working age population
Total migration (000s)
Labour market
Total employees
Self employed
Total employment (jobs)
Total employment (people)
Residence employment
Residence employment rate (pp)
Net commuting (000s)
Unemployment level
Unemployment rate (pp)
Output
Total GVA
Relative productivity (pp)
Housing
Households
Housing stock
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2018-22
avg pa
2022-27
avg pa
2027-32
avg pa
0.3
0.3
-1.5
0.2
-0.2
-0.2
0.1
-0.6
-1.4
0.1
-0.4
0.6
0.5
0.2
2.4
0.4
0.0
-0.5
0.4
0.1
0.3
0.4
0.1
-0.1
0.4
0.1
-0.1
0.4
0.0
-0.2
0.4
0.1
0.1
0.4
0.1
0.2
0.4
0.2
0.2
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.4
0.2
0.0
0.3
0.2
-0.1
3.0
5.1
3.3
2.6
1.0
0.6
5.1
26.0
0.3
-0.9
-0.1
-0.8
-0.7
-0.3
-0.1
-1.2
-4.3
-0.1
0.2
3.9
0.7
0.7
-2.4
-1.4
9.8
11.6
0.2
-2.7
1.2
-2.2
-1.7
-0.5
-0.1
-3.9
84.3
1.5
-2.6
2.7
-1.9
-2.0
-3.1
-2.5
3.3
-9.2
-0.3
0.1
-1.2
0.0
-0.1
-0.1
-0.1
0.2
4.8
0.1
0.6
0.0
0.5
0.5
0.7
0.4
-0.5
-2.2
-0.1
1.4
1.1
1.3
1.3
1.8
1.3
-1.5
-3.5
-0.1
1.4
1.0
1.4
1.4
1.9
1.3
-1.6
-0.4
0.0
1.4
0.8
1.3
1.3
1.8
1.3
-1.5
-0.9
0.0
1.0
0.3
0.9
0.9
1.2
0.9
-1.1
-3.7
-0.1
0.7
0.0
0.6
0.6
0.8
0.5
-0.7
-7.4
-0.2
0.4
-0.4
0.3
0.3
0.4
0.2
-0.3
-3.3
-0.1
0.2
0.0
0.2
0.1
0.2
0.0
0.0
-0.7
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
-0.1
-0.2
0.3
0.2
0.0
0.0
-0.1
0.0
0.0
-0.1
-0.3
0.4
0.4
0.0
3.0
-0.4
1.9
1.3
0.6
-0.6
-4.7
0.2
0.7
-0.5
2.3
0.1
3.0
0.1
3.6
0.0
3.3
0.0
2.9
0.0
2.6
0.0
2.3
0.1
2.3
0.1
2.2
0.1
2.0
0.1
1.9
0.1
0.6
0.9
0.5
1.0
0.6
0.6
0.7
-0.5
1.1
0.1
0.9
1.1
0.9
0.9
0.9
0.9
0.9
0.9
0.8
0.9
0.8
0.8
0.8
0.8
0.8
0.8
0.8
0.8
0.8
0.8
0.7
0.7
* percentage changes unless otherwise noted
Note: Total employees represents the number of jobs in an area. Total employment
(jobs) also represents the number of jobs in an area, but
includes self-employed jobs. Total employment (people) represents the number of people in employment in an area - i.e. it includes both full
time and part time employees but people with more than one job are counted only once
92
Summary tables – Cheshire (continued)
Table 3: Employees by sector
Agriculture
Extraction
Manufacturing of:
Food, drink & tobacco
Textiles, clothing & leather
Wood & wood products
Pulp, paper & printing
Coke, oil and nuclear
Chemicals & pharmaceuticals
Rubber & plastic products
Other non-metals
Metals
Machinery & equipment nec
Electrical & optical equipment
Transport equipment
Other manufacturing nec
Electricity, gas & water
Construction
Distribution
Retail
Hotels & restaurants
Transport & communications
Financial intermediation
Business services
Public administration & defence
Education
Health
Other personal services
Total
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2022
2027
2032
4.8
0.7
5.0
0.7
5.4
0.4
4.3
0.3
5.3
0.3
5.5
0.3
5.4
0.3
5.3
0.3
5.2
0.3
5.1
0.3
5.0
0.3
4.9
0.2
4.8
0.2
4.4
0.2
4.0
0.2
3.6
0.1
4.5
1.8
0.6
4.2
1.3
10.7
3.1
1.4
3.9
2.0
2.4
8.3
1.3
0.7
14.3
18.4
36.7
25.5
15.9
17.7
50.0
10.4
25.5
35.6
16.3
318.0
4.5
1.7
0.6
4.3
1.0
6.7
2.8
1.1
3.8
2.5
2.1
7.0
1.4
0.7
14.0
18.8
37.1
23.9
14.7
17.9
56.1
10.5
25.4
35.8
14.8
315.0
4.6
1.3
0.6
3.6
1.0
5.8
2.5
1.4
3.8
2.5
2.1
6.6
1.3
0.7
13.2
19.5
36.6
23.7
14.7
18.8
58.3
10.0
24.4
37.5
15.7
315.8
4.3
1.1
0.5
3.4
1.0
5.9
2.3
1.2
3.7
2.3
2.1
4.4
1.2
0.8
12.7
18.5
35.7
24.1
14.0
17.5
56.7
10.0
24.3
39.5
15.5
307.4
4.4
1.1
0.5
3.1
0.8
5.8
2.5
1.2
3.3
2.0
1.9
3.9
1.2
0.7
11.1
19.0
34.2
23.2
13.9
15.8
53.3
10.2
24.2
40.3
15.9
299.4
4.4
1.0
0.5
3.0
0.8
5.7
2.5
1.2
3.3
2.0
1.9
3.9
1.2
0.7
11.2
19.1
34.4
23.1
14.0
15.9
54.0
9.9
24.1
40.2
16.2
299.8
4.3
1.0
0.5
3.0
0.8
5.6
2.5
1.1
3.2
2.0
1.9
3.9
1.2
0.7
11.4
19.3
34.9
23.2
14.1
16.0
55.6
9.6
23.9
40.0
16.3
301.6
4.3
0.9
0.5
2.9
0.8
5.6
2.5
1.1
3.2
1.9
1.8
3.9
1.2
0.7
11.7
19.5
35.4
23.8
14.3
16.3
58.4
9.4
23.6
39.8
16.7
305.7
4.2
0.9
0.5
2.8
0.8
5.4
2.4
1.1
3.1
1.9
1.8
3.9
1.2
0.7
11.9
19.8
36.0
24.2
14.6
16.4
61.6
9.2
23.4
39.8
17.1
310.1
4.1
0.8
0.5
2.8
0.8
5.3
2.4
1.1
3.0
1.8
1.7
3.8
1.2
0.7
12.1
20.1
36.6
24.6
14.8
16.5
64.7
9.2
23.3
39.8
17.5
314.4
4.1
0.8
0.5
2.7
0.7
5.2
2.4
1.0
2.9
1.8
1.7
3.7
1.2
0.7
12.1
20.3
37.0
24.9
15.0
16.4
67.1
9.1
23.2
39.9
18.0
317.6
4.0
0.7
0.4
2.7
0.7
5.1
2.3
1.0
2.8
1.7
1.6
3.6
1.2
0.7
12.2
20.4
37.3
25.2
15.1
16.4
68.8
9.1
23.2
40.1
18.3
319.9
3.9
0.7
0.4
2.6
0.7
5.0
2.3
1.0
2.8
1.7
1.6
3.5
1.2
0.7
12.3
20.5
37.5
25.4
15.2
16.4
70.0
9.1
23.2
40.3
18.5
321.3
3.6
0.5
0.4
2.4
0.6
4.6
2.2
0.9
2.5
1.5
1.4
3.2
1.2
0.6
12.6
20.5
37.9
25.7
15.2
16.3
72.3
9.1
23.3
41.4
19.0
323.3
3.3
0.4
0.4
2.1
0.5
4.1
2.0
0.7
2.2
1.2
1.2
2.9
1.2
0.6
12.9
20.4
38.1
25.5
15.0
16.1
74.5
9.0
23.5
42.5
19.4
323.9
3.0
0.3
0.4
1.9
0.4
3.6
1.9
0.6
1.9
1.1
1.1
2.6
1.2
0.5
13.2
20.3
38.3
25.3
14.8
15.9
76.5
9.0
23.6
43.7
19.7
324.6
Table 4: Employees by sector - annual percentage changes
93
Agriculture
Extraction
Manufacturing of:
Food, drink & tobacco
Textiles, clothing & leather
Wood & wood products
Pulp, paper & printing
Coke, oil and nuclear
Chemicals & pharmaceuticals
Rubber & plastic products
Other non-metals
Metals
Machinery & equipment nec
Electrical & optical equipment
Transport equipment
Other manufacturing nec
Electricity, gas & water
Construction
Distribution
Retail
Hotels & restaurants
Transport & communications
Financial intermediation
Business services
Public administration & defence
Education
Health
Other personal services
Total
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2018-22
avg pa
2022-27
avg pa
2027-32
avg pa
3.0
-0.7
3.6
-7.4
7.8
-40.0
-20.2
-21.3
24.4
-2.5
2.3
-3.6
-1.7
-3.5
-1.8
-3.6
-2.0
-3.8
-1.9
-3.7
-1.9
-3.6
-1.9
-3.6
-2.0
-3.7
-2.0
-3.9
-2.0
-4.3
-2.1
-4.6
-12.5
-30.2
-36.7
-24.3
-1.3
-8.7
3.1
8.5
-1.5
12.5
7.3
-7.0
-28.7
7.4
15.6
2.4
-5.6
3.8
1.2
9.8
9.6
-9.3
3.5
8.5
33.0
3.0
0.8
-6.6
9.7
3.3
-18.3
-37.6
-8.9
-25.0
-3.0
25.7
-10.6
-15.7
8.6
0.1
-1.5
2.1
1.1
-6.6
-7.4
1.3
12.1
0.5
-0.5
0.6
-8.8
-0.9
0.2
-24.7
-14.0
-17.8
-6.7
-12.7
-10.6
30.1
-0.3
-1.5
-0.8
-5.4
-8.8
4.5
-6.0
3.8
-1.4
-0.8
-0.1
4.9
4.0
-4.8
-4.0
4.7
6.1
0.2
-5.0
-16.1
-12.7
-4.5
6.4
0.9
-7.7
-13.3
-2.8
-8.1
-2.4
-33.1
-3.8
7.9
-4.1
-5.0
-2.3
1.8
-4.5
-6.7
-2.7
-0.1
-0.4
5.4
-1.5
-2.7
2.7
-0.2
-0.7
-9.6
-17.9
-0.8
8.0
-0.9
-9.9
-11.4
-8.6
-11.0
-4.8
-6.7
-12.2
2.5
-4.3
-3.6
-0.8
-9.9
-6.0
2.0
-0.2
2.0
2.7
-2.6
-1.7
-4.4
-0.8
-2.6
-1.6
-1.8
1.0
-2.4
-1.5
-1.1
-0.3
-1.7
-1.5
-1.7
0.8
0.3
0.4
-0.3
0.6
0.4
1.3
-2.8
-0.5
-0.3
1.6
0.1
-0.7
-4.1
-1.2
-1.1
-1.5
-1.1
-0.8
-2.4
-1.2
-2.0
-0.9
0.6
0.4
-2.0
1.4
1.0
1.4
0.4
1.1
1.0
2.9
-3.2
-0.8
-0.5
1.0
0.6
-0.9
-4.8
-1.2
-1.7
-2.5
-1.6
-1.2
-2.4
-1.9
-2.3
-2.0
0.8
0.3
-1.7
3.0
1.3
1.7
2.3
1.4
1.6
5.1
-2.1
-1.2
-0.5
2.0
1.4
-1.7
-5.6
-1.2
-2.2
-2.7
-2.1
-1.6
-2.9
-2.6
-2.8
-2.8
-1.2
0.0
-1.7
2.2
1.4
1.7
1.8
1.7
0.9
5.4
-1.2
-0.9
-0.1
2.4
1.4
-1.8
-5.7
-1.2
-2.2
-2.5
-2.2
-1.4
-2.9
-2.8
-3.1
-2.8
-2.2
0.0
-1.7
0.9
1.4
1.6
1.6
1.6
0.2
5.1
-0.8
-0.6
0.1
2.8
1.4
-1.8
-5.7
-1.2
-2.2
-2.8
-2.2
-1.5
-2.9
-2.8
-3.1
-2.8
-2.2
0.0
-1.6
0.7
1.0
1.1
1.5
1.2
-0.2
3.7
-0.5
-0.3
0.3
2.4
1.0
-1.8
-5.7
-1.2
-2.2
-3.0
-2.2
-1.5
-2.9
-2.8
-3.1
-2.8
-2.3
0.0
-1.6
0.6
0.8
0.8
1.1
0.8
-0.2
2.6
-0.3
-0.2
0.3
1.7
0.7
-1.8
-5.7
-1.2
-2.3
-3.0
-2.2
-1.5
-2.9
-2.8
-3.1
-2.8
-2.3
0.0
-1.7
0.6
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.4
-0.1
1.7
-0.2
0.0
0.6
1.2
0.4
-1.8
-5.7
-1.3
-2.3
-3.0
-2.2
-1.5
-3.0
-2.8
-3.1
-2.7
-2.3
0.0
-1.7
0.6
0.1
0.3
0.3
0.1
-0.2
1.0
0.0
0.1
0.6
0.8
0.2
-1.8
-5.7
-1.4
-2.3
-3.0
-2.2
-1.5
-3.2
-2.8
-3.1
-2.7
-2.3
0.0
-1.7
0.5
-0.1
0.1
-0.1
-0.2
-0.3
0.6
-0.1
0.1
0.5
0.4
0.0
-1.9
-6.3
-1.4
-2.4
-3.1
-2.3
-1.5
-3.4
-2.9
-3.2
-2.8
-2.4
-0.1
-1.7
0.5
-0.1
0.1
-0.1
-0.2
-0.2
0.5
-0.1
0.1
0.5
0.4
0.0
Summary tables – Greater Manchester
Table 1: Key indicators
Demography
Total population
Working age population
Total migration
Labour market
Total employees
Self employed
Total employment (jobs)
Total employment (people)
Residence employment
Residence employment rate
Net commuting
Unemployment level
Unemployment rate
Output
Total GVA
Relative productivity
Housing
Households
Housing stock
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2022
2027
2032
2554.2
1644.5
-
2565.5
1651.9
-
2580.1
1656.6
-
2600.6
1668.7
-
2619.9
1680.6
-
2635.1
1687.0
-
2651.7
1693.4
-
2670.4
1700.3
-
2687.4
1704.6
-
2702.6
1706.8
-
2717.6
1708.3
-
2733.0
1709.9
-
2748.3
1711.5
-
2804.5
1714.5
-
2851.8
1706.8
-
2875.7
1687.2
-
1158.1
137.1
1295.2
1157.7
1134.8
69.0
22.9
43.6
2.7
1161.6
140.0
1301.6
1163.1
1134.8
68.7
28.3
42.5
2.6
1159.0
145.1
1304.1
1164.4
1109.7
67.0
54.7
46.6
2.8
1138.4
145.1
1283.4
1151.6
1100.6
66.0
51.0
77.8
4.7
1110.0
147.8
1257.9
1127.2
1076.7
64.1
50.5
75.1
4.5
1112.2
146.4
1258.6
1127.5
1077.1
63.8
50.4
78.8
4.7
1120.7
146.9
1267.6
1135.2
1084.3
64.0
50.9
77.1
4.6
1138.6
149.4
1288.0
1153.1
1101.1
64.8
52.0
74.4
4.4
1158.6
151.8
1310.5
1172.8
1119.0
65.6
53.8
74.3
4.4
1178.5
153.9
1332.4
1192.0
1136.4
66.6
55.6
73.7
4.3
1194.8
155.1
1350.0
1207.1
1150.2
67.3
57.0
71.1
4.2
1207.6
155.8
1363.4
1218.7
1160.8
67.9
57.9
65.9
3.9
1216.9
156.0
1372.9
1226.6
1168.4
68.3
58.3
63.9
3.7
1237.2
158.7
1395.9
1245.3
1187.0
69.2
58.4
64.4
3.8
1248.2
160.7
1408.9
1255.0
1197.4
70.2
57.6
65.5
3.8
1252.7
162.0
1414.7
1258.6
1202.5
71.3
56.1
66.6
3.9
44173.3
-
45094.6
-
45799.7
-
43837.7
-
44299.9
-
45305.1
-
46672.8
-
48407.1
-
50136.0
-
51772.0
-
53304.7
-
54717.6
-
56106.0
-
61543.5
-
68081.1
-
74591
-
1091.4
-
1099.0
-
1108.5
-
1121.5
-
1134.3
-
1144.9
-
1156.1
-
1168.2
-
1179.4
-
1189.8
-
1200.1
-
1210.6
-
1221.0
-
1261.9
-
1308.8
-
1350
-
Table 2: Key indicators annual percentage change*
Demography
Total population
Working age population
Total migration (000s)
Labour market
Total employees
Self employed
Total employment (jobs)
Total employment (people)
Residence employment
Residence employment rate (pp)
Net commuting (000s)
Unemployment level
Unemployment rate (pp)
Output
Total GVA
Relative productivity (pp)
Housing
Households
Housing stock
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2018-22
avg pa
2022-27
avg pa
2027-32
avg pa
0.4
0.8
-
0.4
0.4
-
0.6
0.3
-
0.8
0.7
-
0.7
0.7
-
0.6
0.4
-
0.6
0.4
-
0.7
0.4
-
0.6
0.3
-
0.6
0.1
-
0.6
0.1
-
0.6
0.1
-
0.6
0.1
-
0.5
0.1
-
0.4
-0.1
-
0.2
-0.2
-
1.5
1.1
1.5
1.3
1.2
0.2
2.3
13.8
0.3
0.3
2.1
0.5
0.5
0.0
-0.3
5.4
-2.5
-0.1
-0.2
3.7
0.2
0.1
-2.2
-1.7
26.4
9.7
0.2
-1.8
-0.1
-1.6
-1.1
-0.8
-1.0
-3.8
66.8
1.8
-2.5
1.9
-2.0
-2.1
-2.2
-1.9
-0.4
-3.5
-0.2
0.2
-0.9
0.1
0.0
0.0
-0.2
-0.2
5.0
0.2
0.8
0.4
0.7
0.7
0.7
0.2
0.5
-2.2
-0.1
1.6
1.7
1.6
1.6
1.5
0.7
1.2
-3.5
-0.2
1.8
1.7
1.7
1.7
1.6
0.9
1.8
-0.2
0.0
1.7
1.3
1.7
1.6
1.6
0.9
1.8
-0.7
0.0
1.4
0.8
1.3
1.3
1.2
0.7
1.4
-3.5
-0.2
1.1
0.5
1.0
1.0
0.9
0.6
0.9
-7.3
-0.3
0.8
0.1
0.7
0.7
0.7
0.4
0.4
-3.1
-0.1
0.5
0.4
0.5
0.4
0.4
0.3
0.1
-0.5
0.0
0.2
0.3
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.2
-0.1
0.4
0.0
0.1
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.2
-0.3
0.4
0.0
2.3
-
2.1
-
1.6
-
-4.3
-
1.1
-
2.3
-
3.0
-
3.7
-
3.6
-
3.3
-
3.0
-
2.7
-
2.5
-
2.4
-
2.1
-
1.9
-
0.7
0.0
0.7
0.0
0.9
0.0
1.2
0.0
1.1
0.0
0.9
0.0
1.0
0.0
1.0
0.0
1.0
0.0
0.9
0.0
0.9
0.0
0.9
0.0
0.9
0.0
0.8
0.0
0.7
0.0
0.6
0.0
* percentage changes unless otherwise noted
Note: Total employees represents the number of jobs in an area. Total employment (jobs) also represents the number of jobs in an area, but
includes self-employed jobs. Total employment (people) represents the number of people in employment in an area - i.e. it includes both full
time and part time employees but people with more than one job are counted only once
94
Summary tables – Greater Manchester (continued)
Table 3: Employees by sector
Agriculture
Extraction
Manufacturing of:
Food, drink & tobacco
Textiles, clothing & leather
Wood & wood products
Pulp, paper & printing
Coke, oil and nuclear
Chemicals & pharmaceuticals
Rubber & plastic products
Other non-metals
Metals
Machinery & equipment nec
Electrical & optical equipment
Transport equipment
Other manufacturing nec
Electricity, gas & water
Construction
Distribution
Retail
Hotels & restaurants
Transport & communications
Financial intermediation
Business services
Public administration & defence
Education
Health
Other personal services
Total
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2022
2027
2032
2.1
0.2
2.3
0.3
2.6
0.3
2.0
0.2
2.5
0.2
2.6
0.2
2.6
0.2
2.5
0.2
2.5
0.2
2.4
0.2
2.4
0.2
2.3
0.2
2.3
0.2
2.1
0.1
1.9
0.1
1.7
0.1
23.4
11.7
2.6
14.9
0.3
10.8
11.3
3.7
15.5
11.2
12.9
5.3
8.8
1.5
60.6
78.8
120.0
70.6
77.3
49.5
203.6
63.7
103.1
139.1
55.4
1158.1
20.8
10.3
3.0
14.6
0.2
10.1
11.4
3.2
14.7
12.9
13.2
5.9
8.9
2.2
61.8
83.9
118.8
69.4
73.8
46.5
211.1
64.6
102.3
141.3
54.4
1161.6
20.6
8.9
2.6
13.1
0.2
9.3
11.1
3.5
14.4
11.0
12.8
5.6
7.7
1.9
62.7
76.7
120.4
67.5
77.1
49.8
217.3
60.6
100.5
145.5
55.3
1159.0
19.4
7.6
2.3
12.4
0.2
8.1
10.2
3.0
13.9
10.2
12.3
5.1
7.4
2.1
60.0
73.0
117.5
69.3
73.2
46.5
211.0
60.9
100.8
154.7
55.0
1138.4
19.7
7.6
2.3
11.1
0.2
7.1
11.0
3.0
12.4
9.0
11.3
4.7
7.0
1.9
53.0
74.9
113.0
67.1
72.3
40.5
199.8
62.2
100.9
158.5
56.8
1110.0
19.4
7.3
2.2
10.7
0.2
7.0
11.1
2.9
12.2
8.9
11.2
4.6
6.8
1.8
53.2
75.2
113.9
67.1
73.0
40.7
202.4
60.4
100.5
158.6
57.9
1112.2
19.2
7.0
2.2
10.5
0.2
6.8
11.0
2.9
12.0
8.7
11.1
4.6
6.8
1.8
53.9
76.0
116.0
67.7
74.1
41.3
208.7
58.5
99.8
158.4
58.7
1120.7
19.0
6.7
2.2
10.2
0.2
6.7
10.9
2.8
11.7
8.5
10.9
4.6
6.7
1.8
55.5
77.0
118.2
69.5
75.5
42.1
220.3
57.4
98.9
158.4
60.2
1138.6
18.6
6.3
2.1
9.9
0.2
6.5
10.7
2.7
11.3
8.3
10.6
4.5
6.7
1.7
56.8
78.2
120.6
71.0
77.2
42.8
233.5
56.7
98.2
158.9
62.0
1158.6
18.2
6.0
2.1
9.6
0.2
6.4
10.5
2.7
10.9
8.1
10.3
4.4
6.6
1.7
57.4
79.3
122.8
72.4
78.8
43.1
246.9
56.2
97.7
159.6
64.0
1178.5
17.8
5.7
2.1
9.3
0.2
6.2
10.4
2.6
10.5
7.8
10.0
4.3
6.6
1.7
57.8
80.2
124.4
73.8
80.2
43.3
257.7
55.9
97.5
160.6
65.8
1194.8
17.4
5.3
2.0
9.0
0.2
6.0
10.2
2.5
10.2
7.6
9.7
4.2
6.5
1.7
58.3
80.9
125.6
74.8
81.2
43.4
266.2
55.7
97.5
161.6
67.2
1207.6
17.1
5.0
2.0
8.8
0.2
5.9
10.1
2.5
9.9
7.3
9.5
4.1
6.4
1.6
58.7
81.3
126.5
75.5
81.9
43.6
272.5
55.5
97.5
163.0
68.2
1216.9
15.7
4.0
1.9
7.7
0.2
5.3
9.5
2.2
8.6
6.5
8.5
3.7
6.2
1.5
60.4
81.8
128.1
76.9
83.3
43.8
286.7
55.0
98.1
168.7
70.9
1237.2
14.1
3.0
1.7
6.6
0.1
4.6
8.8
1.9
7.3
5.6
7.4
3.2
6.0
1.4
62.1
81.7
128.7
76.5
83.6
43.4
300.3
53.8
97.9
173.8
72.9
1248.2
12.6
2.2
1.6
5.6
0.1
4.0
8.1
1.6
6.1
4.7
6.4
2.8
5.7
1.3
63.5
81.5
128.5
75.4
83.5
42.7
311.4
52.1
96.9
177.9
74.4
1252.7
Table 4: Employees by sector - annual percentage changes
95
Agriculture
Extraction
Manufacturing of:
Food, drink & tobacco
Textiles, clothing & leather
Wood & wood products
Pulp, paper & printing
Coke, oil and nuclear
Chemicals & pharmaceuticals
Rubber & plastic products
Other non-metals
Metals
Machinery & equipment nec
Electrical & optical equipment
Transport equipment
Other manufacturing nec
Electricity, gas & water
Construction
Distribution
Retail
Hotels & restaurants
Transport & communications
Financial intermediation
Business services
Public administration & defence
Education
Health
Other personal services
Total
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2018-22
avg pa
2022-27
avg pa
2027-32
avg pa
32.9
22.6
6.0
44.6
12.7
0.7
-20.1
-33.0
24.5
0.7
2.4
-3.6
-1.6
-3.5
-1.7
-3.5
-1.9
-3.7
-1.9
-3.7
-1.8
-3.5
-1.8
-3.5
-1.9
-3.5
-1.9
-3.7
-1.9
-4.1
-2.0
-4.3
1.0
0.0
10.6
5.3
-16.4
-0.9
-3.9
1.5
2.8
-2.7
-6.8
-14.7
12.6
16.8
11.0
-5.6
-2.7
-3.5
2.8
7.7
7.0
-4.2
2.0
3.0
-2.2
1.5
-10.9
-12.2
14.7
-2.1
-40.6
-7.1
0.5
-14.6
-4.8
15.1
2.3
11.0
0.8
43.7
2.0
6.4
-1.0
-1.8
-4.5
-6.1
3.7
1.4
-0.8
1.6
-1.8
0.3
-1.0
-13.1
-12.3
-10.2
-15.1
-7.3
-2.8
9.6
-2.3
-14.2
-3.1
-4.8
-13.0
-15.3
1.4
-8.5
1.3
-2.7
4.5
7.1
2.9
-6.1
-1.7
3.0
1.7
-0.2
-5.7
-14.6
-12.9
-5.4
9.1
-13.5
-7.8
-13.1
-3.4
-8.0
-3.9
-8.8
-4.7
11.4
-4.3
-4.9
-2.4
2.7
-5.2
-6.5
-2.9
0.5
0.3
6.3
-0.6
-1.8
1.6
-0.5
-1.0
-10.4
-15.8
-12.0
7.9
-0.7
-10.4
-11.4
-8.4
-7.9
-5.6
-11.0
-11.7
2.6
-3.8
-3.2
-1.1
-13.0
-5.3
2.1
0.1
2.5
3.3
-2.5
-1.7
-3.7
-1.1
-3.4
0.8
-2.2
0.9
-2.2
-2.1
-1.1
-0.3
-2.1
-2.4
-1.6
0.5
0.4
0.8
0.0
1.0
0.6
1.3
-2.9
-0.4
0.0
2.0
0.2
-1.0
-3.5
-1.5
-2.0
0.9
-1.6
-0.9
-2.2
-1.8
-1.9
-0.9
0.2
-0.4
-1.8
1.3
1.1
1.8
0.8
1.5
1.3
3.2
-3.2
-0.7
-0.1
1.4
0.8
-1.2
-4.7
-1.5
-2.6
-0.2
-2.1
-1.2
-2.2
-2.5
-2.2
-2.0
0.4
-0.6
-1.5
3.0
1.4
2.0
2.8
1.9
2.1
5.5
-2.0
-0.9
0.0
2.6
1.6
-2.0
-5.5
-1.5
-3.0
-0.5
-2.6
-1.6
-2.6
-3.2
-2.7
-2.8
-1.6
-0.8
-1.6
2.3
1.5
2.0
2.2
2.2
1.5
6.0
-1.1
-0.7
0.3
2.9
1.8
-2.1
-5.6
-1.5
-3.1
-0.4
-2.6
-1.5
-2.6
-3.4
-3.0
-2.8
-2.6
-0.9
-1.5
1.0
1.5
1.8
2.0
2.1
0.8
5.7
-0.9
-0.5
0.5
3.3
1.7
-2.1
-5.6
-1.5
-3.1
-0.7
-2.6
-1.5
-2.6
-3.3
-3.0
-2.8
-2.7
-0.8
-1.5
0.8
1.1
1.3
1.8
1.7
0.4
4.4
-0.6
-0.2
0.6
2.8
1.4
-2.1
-5.6
-1.5
-3.1
-1.0
-2.6
-1.5
-2.6
-3.3
-3.0
-2.8
-2.7
-0.8
-1.5
0.8
0.8
1.0
1.4
1.3
0.4
3.3
-0.4
-0.1
0.7
2.1
1.1
-2.1
-5.6
-1.5
-3.1
-1.0
-2.6
-1.5
-2.6
-3.3
-3.0
-2.8
-2.7
-0.8
-1.6
0.8
0.5
0.7
0.9
0.9
0.4
2.4
-0.3
0.0
0.8
1.6
0.8
-2.1
-5.6
-1.6
-3.1
-1.1
-2.6
-1.5
-2.8
-3.3
-3.0
-2.8
-2.7
-0.8
-1.5
0.7
0.2
0.4
0.5
0.5
0.2
1.5
-0.2
0.1
0.9
1.1
0.5
-2.1
-5.6
-1.7
-3.1
-1.2
-2.6
-1.5
-3.0
-3.3
-3.0
-2.7
-2.7
-0.8
-1.6
0.6
0.0
0.1
-0.1
0.1
-0.2
1.0
-0.4
0.0
0.6
0.6
0.2
-2.2
-6.1
-1.8
-3.2
-1.4
-2.7
-1.6
-3.2
-3.5
-3.1
-2.8
-2.8
-0.8
-1.6
0.5
0.0
0.0
-0.3
0.0
-0.3
0.7
-0.6
-0.2
0.5
0.4
0.1
Summary tables – North West
Table 1: Key indicators
Demography
Total population
Working age population
Total migration
Labour market
Total employees
Self employed
Total employment (jobs)
Total employment (people)
Residence employment
Residence employment rate
Net commuting
Unemployment level
Unemployment rate
Output
Total GVA
Relative productivity
Housing
Households
Housing stock
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2022
2027
2032
6852.0
4234.7
0.3
6863.7
4239.2
-2.7
6874.1
4236.3
-8.2
6897.9
4243.5
5.7
6926.5
4258.7
9.8
6947.8
4277.8
2.3
6972.9
4290.8
5.5
7000.4
4308.4
7.3
7026.7
4323.9
5.5
7051.3
4338.0
3.2
7076.9
4351.1
3.7
7105.0
4363.9
5.6
7134.5
4377.7
6.9
7256.3
4411.9
8.8
7387.7
4491.8
7.0
7491.7
4457.1
4.0
3009.4
381.8
3401.2
3064.9
3059.4
72.2
5.5
115.6
2.7
3013.2
387.7
3408.7
3077.6
3054.9
72.1
22.7
110.0
2.6
2993.0
400.7
3402.4
3070.8
3050.0
72.0
20.8
119.6
2.8
2936.5
403.7
3348.5
3019.6
2965.2
69.9
54.4
192.2
4.5
2864.6
411.8
3284.8
2959.8
2899.7
68.1
60.1
181.0
4.3
2863.8
407.4
3279.5
2954.3
2894.0
67.7
60.3
188.3
4.4
2875.8
407.6
3291.7
2964.8
2903.9
67.7
60.9
183.6
4.3
2909.4
412.7
3330.3
2999.4
2937.9
68.2
61.5
176.6
4.1
2946.9
417.7
3372.9
3037.3
2974.1
68.8
63.3
175.6
4.1
2984.6
421.5
3414.4
3074.0
3008.9
69.4
65.1
173.8
4.0
3014.5
423.6
3446.3
3102.0
3035.2
69.8
66.8
167.1
3.8
3036.8
424.3
3469.4
3121.8
3053.8
70.0
68.0
154.5
3.5
3052.2
423.7
3484.2
3134.2
3065.6
70.0
68.6
149.5
3.4
3082.4
427.7
3518.4
3161.0
3090.8
70.1
70.3
149.7
3.4
3100.3
430.4
3539.0
3175.4
3101.5
69.0
73.9
151.9
3.4
3115.7
432.8
3556.7
3187.2
3109.7
69.8
77.4
154.7
3.5
111622
-
113692
-
114025
-
109113
-
110310
-
112581
-
115681
-
119603
-
123388
-
126905
-
130183
-
133191
-
136177
-
148273
-
163470
-
179245
-
2927
3115798
2942
3137466
2958
3165016
2981
3145833
3007
3152348
3030
3180189
3054
3204292
3079
3229690
3103
3256183
3126
3281397
3149
3305358
3172
3329320
3196
3353919
3292
3455008
3415
3585001
3536
3713713
Table 2: Key indicators annual percentage change*
Demography
Total population
Working age population
Total migration (000s)
Labour market
Total employees
Self employed
Total employment (jobs)
Total employment (people)
Residence employment
Residence employment rate (pp)
Net commuting (000s)
Unemployment level
Unemployment rate (pp)
Output
Total GVA
Relative productivity (pp)
Housing
Households
Housing stock
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2018-22
avg pa
2022-27
avg pa
2027-32
avg pa
0.2
0.4
-10.2
0.2
0.1
-3.0
0.2
-0.1
-5.5
0.3
0.2
13.9
0.4
0.4
4.1
0.3
0.4
-7.5
0.4
0.3
3.2
0.4
0.4
1.8
0.4
0.4
-1.8
0.4
0.3
-2.3
0.4
0.3
0.5
0.4
0.3
1.9
0.4
0.3
1.3
0.4
0.2
0.7
0.4
0.3
-0.3
0.3
-0.1
-0.6
2.6
1.1
2.3
2.6
1.1
0.5
45.3
14.1
0.3
0.1
1.5
0.2
0.4
-0.1
-0.2
17.2
-4.8
-0.1
-0.7
3.3
-0.2
-0.2
-0.2
-0.1
-1.9
8.8
0.2
-1.9
0.7
-1.6
-1.7
-2.8
-2.1
33.6
60.7
1.7
-2.4
2.0
-1.9
-2.0
-2.2
-1.8
5.7
-5.8
-0.3
0.0
-1.1
-0.2
-0.2
-0.2
-0.4
0.1
4.0
0.2
0.4
0.1
0.4
0.4
0.3
0.0
0.6
-2.5
-0.1
1.2
1.2
1.2
1.2
1.2
0.5
0.6
-3.8
-0.2
1.3
1.2
1.3
1.3
1.2
0.6
1.8
-0.5
0.0
1.3
0.9
1.2
1.2
1.2
0.6
1.9
-1.1
-0.1
1.0
0.5
0.9
0.9
0.9
0.4
1.7
-3.8
-0.2
0.7
0.2
0.7
0.6
0.6
0.2
1.2
-7.5
-0.3
0.5
-0.1
0.4
0.4
0.4
0.0
0.6
-3.3
-0.1
0.3
0.2
0.3
0.3
0.2
0.0
0.5
-0.6
0.0
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
-0.2
0.7
0.3
0.0
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.7
0.4
0.0
2.3
-
1.9
-
0.3
-
-4.3
-
1.1
-
2.1
-
2.8
-
3.4
-
3.2
-
2.9
-
2.6
-
2.3
-
2.2
-
2.2
-
2.0
-
1.9
-
0.6
0.7
0.5
0.7
0.6
0.9
0.8
-0.6
0.9
0.2
0.8
0.9
0.8
0.8
0.8
0.8
0.8
0.8
0.7
0.8
0.7
0.7
0.7
0.7
0.7
0.7
0.7
0.7
0.7
0.7
0.7
0.7
Note: Total employees represents the number of jobs in an area. Total* employment
(jobs)
alsonoted
represents the number of jobs in an area, but
percentage changes unless
otherwise
includes self-employed jobs. Total employment (people) represents the number of people in employment in an area - i.e. it includes both full
time and part time employees but people with more than one job are counted only once
96
Summary tables – North West (continued)
Table 3: Employees by sector
Agriculture
Extraction
Manufacturing of:
Food, drink & tobacco
Textiles, clothing & leather
Wood & wood products
Pulp, paper & printing
Coke, oil and nuclear
Chemicals & pharmaceuticals
Rubber & plastic products
Other non-metals
Metals
Machinery & equipment nec
Electrical & optical equipment
Transport equipment
Other manufacturing nec
Electricity, gas & water
Construction
Distribution
Retail
Hotels & restaurants
Transport & communications
Financial intermediation
Business services
Public administration & defence
Education
Health
Other personal services
Total
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2022
2027
2032
18.8
2.3
19.4
2.9
21.5
2.2
17.1
2.0
21.3
2.0
21.8
1.9
21.4
1.9
21.1
1.8
20.6
1.8
20.2
1.7
19.9
1.6
19.5
1.6
19.1
1.5
17.6
1.3
15.9
1.1
14.4
0.9
55.1
23.0
7.5
37.9
9.6
39.6
28.2
12.3
40.7
27.5
26.6
45.6
22.5
7.6
147.4
186.8
321.9
211.9
179.3
107.6
461.8
178.2
273.2
391.2
145.1
3009.4
54.0
21.6
8.8
37.7
9.8
33.8
27.7
10.6
39.8
30.6
25.9
46.9
22.6
11.4
147.2
195.5
319.6
204.1
170.8
103.2
479.1
180.1
276.8
393.0
140.3
3013.2
51.7
19.5
7.2
35.1
9.0
30.8
26.9
11.3
39.8
24.9
24.9
46.3
19.7
7.9
151.4
184.5
321.6
203.4
173.9
107.3
484.5
169.3
270.4
402.7
145.3
2993.0
48.8
16.6
6.3
33.3
9.3
27.8
24.8
9.9
38.6
22.9
23.9
41.5
18.8
8.4
144.6
174.9
314.6
207.6
166.1
100.2
470.2
169.5
269.7
425.7
143.6
2936.5
49.5
16.4
6.2
29.8
7.7
25.3
26.7
9.8
34.8
20.3
21.9
38.3
17.8
8.2
127.7
179.5
301.2
200.0
163.8
87.9
445.2
172.5
268.7
434.2
147.7
2864.6
48.9
15.8
6.2
28.8
7.6
24.8
26.9
9.6
34.2
20.2
21.8
37.7
17.4
8.1
128.7
180.1
302.4
199.4
165.0
88.2
451.4
167.3
266.7
432.7
150.2
2863.8
48.4
15.2
6.1
28.3
7.5
24.4
26.6
9.4
33.7
19.8
21.6
38.0
17.4
8.0
130.3
182.0
306.6
200.2
167.0
89.0
464.9
161.8
264.1
430.5
151.7
2875.8
47.9
14.4
6.1
27.6
7.4
23.9
26.2
9.2
33.0
19.4
21.1
38.4
17.3
7.9
134.0
184.5
311.7
204.9
169.5
90.4
489.2
158.2
260.6
428.6
154.9
2909.4
47.0
13.6
6.0
26.7
7.2
23.4
25.8
9.0
32.1
18.9
20.5
38.0
17.2
7.8
136.7
187.3
317.0
208.7
172.8
91.2
516.6
156.2
257.8
428.4
158.8
2946.9
46.0
12.9
5.9
25.9
7.1
22.8
25.4
8.7
31.2
18.4
19.9
37.2
17.1
7.7
137.8
190.1
322.1
212.1
175.9
91.5
544.0
154.7
256.0
429.1
163.4
2984.6
45.1
12.1
5.9
25.2
6.9
22.2
24.9
8.5
30.2
17.8
19.4
36.4
17.0
7.6
138.7
192.2
325.6
215.4
178.4
91.4
565.5
153.7
254.9
430.3
167.6
3014.5
44.1
11.5
5.8
24.4
6.7
21.6
24.5
8.3
29.4
17.3
18.8
35.6
16.9
7.5
139.5
193.8
328.2
218.0
180.3
91.4
582.2
153.0
254.2
432.0
170.7
3036.8
43.3
10.8
5.8
23.7
6.5
21.1
24.1
8.1
28.5
16.8
18.3
34.9
16.7
7.4
140.5
194.7
330.0
219.6
181.4
91.4
594.3
152.6
253.8
434.5
172.9
3052.2
39.9
8.6
5.5
21.0
5.9
19.0
22.6
7.2
25.3
15.0
16.3
32.0
16.3
7.1
144.3
195.8
333.0
222.5
183.1
91.0
620.9
151.9
254.1
446.7
178.3
3082.4
36.0
6.4
5.2
18.1
5.1
16.7
20.8
6.2
21.8
13.0
14.2
28.7
15.8
6.6
148.7
195.6
334.8
221.8
182.9
90.0
648.5
150.3
254.0
459.5
182.9
3100.3
32.4
4.6
4.8
15.4
4.5
14.6
19.1
5.3
18.7
11.1
12.2
25.6
15.3
6.2
153.0
195.3
336.0
220.7
182.3
88.8
673.4
148.4
253.5
471.9
187.2
3115.7
Table 4: Employees by sector - annual percentage changes
97
Agriculture
Extraction
Manufacturing of:
Food, drink & tobacco
Textiles, clothing & leather
Wood & wood products
Pulp, paper & printing
Coke, oil and nuclear
Chemicals & pharmaceuticals
Rubber & plastic products
Other non-metals
Metals
Machinery & equipment nec
Electrical & optical equipment
Transport equipment
Other manufacturing nec
Electricity, gas & water
Construction
Distribution
Retail
Hotels & restaurants
Transport & communications
Financial intermediation
Business services
Public administration & defence
Education
Health
Other personal services
Total
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2018-22
avg pa
2022-27
avg pa
2027-32
avg pa
5.7
3.7
3.2
26.2
10.9
-25.5
-20.2
-9.1
24.4
1.4
2.3
-3.1
-1.7
-3.1
-1.8
-3.1
-2.0
-3.3
-1.9
-3.2
-1.9
-3.1
-1.9
-3.1
-2.0
-3.1
-2.0
-3.3
-2.0
-3.7
-2.1
-4.0
-2.9
-11.3
-9.2
-3.3
-7.0
-5.3
-5.3
3.7
2.4
1.0
-8.4
2.5
-1.5
8.9
6.8
-0.9
-0.3
2.4
5.1
7.2
10.3
-1.7
3.0
1.6
2.8
2.6
-2.1
-5.8
16.6
-0.5
1.7
-14.7
-1.8
-13.3
-2.1
11.2
-2.8
2.7
0.3
49.8
-0.1
4.6
-0.7
-3.7
-4.8
-4.1
3.7
1.1
1.3
0.5
-3.3
0.1
-4.2
-9.9
-18.0
-6.9
-8.5
-9.0
-3.1
6.5
-0.1
-18.5
-3.6
-1.2
-12.6
-30.9
2.9
-5.6
0.6
-0.4
1.8
3.9
1.1
-6.0
-2.3
2.5
3.6
-0.7
-5.6
-15.0
-12.8
-5.3
4.2
-9.7
-7.9
-12.6
-2.9
-8.0
-4.2
-10.5
-4.7
6.4
-4.5
-5.2
-2.2
2.1
-4.5
-6.6
-2.9
0.1
-0.3
5.7
-1.2
-1.9
1.5
-0.9
-0.5
-10.3
-17.5
-8.8
7.8
-0.6
-10.0
-11.3
-8.5
-7.6
-5.4
-2.4
-11.7
2.6
-4.3
-3.6
-1.4
-12.3
-5.3
1.8
-0.4
2.0
2.9
-2.4
-1.3
-4.1
-0.6
-3.4
-1.2
-2.1
0.8
-2.1
-1.6
-0.9
-0.4
-1.5
-2.2
-1.3
0.7
0.4
0.4
-0.3
0.7
0.3
1.4
-3.0
-0.7
-0.3
1.6
0.0
-0.9
-3.8
-1.0
-1.9
-1.1
-1.5
-1.0
-2.1
-1.4
-1.8
-1.0
0.8
-0.2
-1.5
1.2
1.1
1.4
0.4
1.2
0.9
3.0
-3.3
-1.0
-0.5
1.0
0.4
-1.1
-4.7
-1.0
-2.5
-2.1
-2.0
-1.4
-2.1
-2.0
-2.1
-2.1
1.0
-0.4
-1.2
2.8
1.4
1.7
2.3
1.6
1.6
5.2
-2.2
-1.3
-0.5
2.1
1.2
-1.9
-5.6
-1.1
-3.0
-2.3
-2.5
-1.8
-2.6
-2.8
-2.6
-2.9
-1.1
-0.6
-1.3
2.1
1.5
1.7
1.8
1.9
0.9
5.6
-1.3
-1.1
-0.1
2.5
1.3
-2.0
-5.6
-1.1
-3.0
-2.1
-2.5
-1.6
-2.6
-3.0
-2.9
-2.9
-2.1
-0.6
-1.2
0.8
1.5
1.6
1.7
1.8
0.3
5.3
-1.0
-0.7
0.2
2.9
1.3
-2.0
-5.6
-1.1
-3.0
-2.4
-2.5
-1.6
-2.6
-2.9
-2.9
-2.9
-2.1
-0.6
-1.2
0.6
1.1
1.1
1.6
1.4
-0.1
4.0
-0.6
-0.4
0.3
2.5
1.0
-2.0
-5.6
-1.1
-3.0
-2.6
-2.5
-1.6
-2.6
-2.9
-2.9
-2.9
-2.1
-0.6
-1.2
0.6
0.8
0.8
1.2
1.0
0.0
2.9
-0.4
-0.3
0.4
1.9
0.7
-2.0
-5.6
-1.1
-3.0
-2.6
-2.5
-1.7
-2.6
-2.9
-2.9
-2.8
-2.1
-0.6
-1.3
0.7
0.5
0.5
0.7
0.6
0.0
2.1
-0.3
-0.2
0.6
1.3
0.5
-2.0
-5.6
-1.1
-3.0
-2.6
-2.5
-1.6
-2.8
-2.9
-2.9
-2.8
-2.1
-0.6
-1.2
0.7
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.3
-0.1
1.3
-0.1
0.0
0.7
0.9
0.3
-2.0
-5.7
-1.2
-3.0
-2.6
-2.5
-1.6
-3.0
-2.9
-2.9
-2.8
-2.2
-0.6
-1.2
0.6
0.0
0.1
-0.1
0.0
-0.2
0.9
-0.2
0.0
0.6
0.5
0.1
-2.1
-6.2
-1.3
-3.1
-2.7
-2.6
-1.7
-3.1
-3.0
-3.0
-2.8
-2.2
-0.6
-1.3
0.6
0.0
0.1
-0.1
-0.1
-0.3
0.8
-0.2
0.0
0.5
0.5
0.1
Summary tables - UK
Table 1: Key indicators
Demography
Total population
Working age population
Total migration
Labour market
Total employees
Self employed
Total employment (jobs)
Total employment (people)
Residence employment
Residence employment rate
Net commuting
Unemployment level
Unemployment rate
Output
Total GVA
Relative productivity
Housing
Households
Housing stock
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2022
2027
2032
60584.2
37707.4
189.8
60985.7
37915.7
212.1
61398.2
38090.1
192.3
61791.9
38235.9
175.5
62150.6
38414.0
135.8
62467.2
38659.5
90.8
62792.1
38838.5
95.8
63116.0
39039.1
90.8
63439.3
39246.6
85.8
63762.4
39447.5
80.0
64091.6
39641.6
80.0
64425.9
39818.4
80.0
64763.3
39993.3
80.0
66107.6
40407.1
80.0
67664.8
41285.4
80.0
69072.6
41172.9
80.0
27012.4
4049.0
31287.2
27699.8
27905.0
74.0
944.9
2.5
27130.6
4156.0
31496.2
27853.0
28099.2
74.1
863.7
2.3
27345.4
4182.0
31736.5
28051.1
28309.9
74.3
905.2
2.4
26571.0
4183.0
30963.3
27355.1
27665.5
72.4
1532.2
4.0
26219.6
4274.8
30706.2
27114.2
27369.6
71.2
1470.2
3.8
26222.9
4223.0
30651.7
27064.4
27311.6
70.6
1534.1
4.0
26356.0
4225.1
30786.3
27181.2
27426.4
70.6
1496.4
3.9
26667.6
4269.3
31142.1
27498.1
27742.2
71.1
1437.4
3.7
27059.1
4320.1
31584.5
27887.1
28130.5
71.7
1425.0
3.6
27457.4
4359.4
32022.1
28268.5
28511.2
72.3
1408.4
3.6
27789.0
4381.2
32375.4
28572.3
28814.5
72.7
1350.6
3.4
28038.9
4387.7
32631.9
28789.5
29031.3
72.9
1238.9
3.1
28203.8
4377.9
32787.0
28916.9
29158.3
72.9
1201.4
3.0
28545.3
4418.0
33168.6
29217.4
29457.4
72.9
1215.1
3.0
28865.1
4465.4
33535.8
29497.6
29735.7
72.0
1228.5
3.0
29194.3
4514.2
33913.8
29787.9
30024.2
72.9
1242.1
3.0
1154840
-
1188792
-
1187971
-
1130093
-
1150485
-
1175543
-
1209559
-
1250604
-
1293143
-
1333576
-
1372090
-
1407319
-
1441364
-
1579130
-
1759518
-
1950499
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Table 2: Key indicators annual percentage change*
Demography
Total population
Working age population
Total migration (000s)
Labour market
Total employees
Self employed
Total employment (jobs)
Total employment (people)
Residence employment
Residence employment rate (pp)
Net commuting (000s)
Unemployment level
Unemployment rate (pp)
Output
Total GVA
Relative productivity (pp)
Housing
Households
Housing stock
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2018-22
avg pa
2022-27
avg pa
2027-32
avg pa
0.6
0.8
-73.2
0.7
0.6
22.3
0.7
0.5
-19.8
0.6
0.4
-16.8
0.6
0.5
-39.7
0.5
0.6
-45.0
0.5
0.5
5.0
0.5
0.5
-5.0
0.5
0.5
-5.0
0.5
0.5
-5.8
0.5
0.5
0.0
0.5
0.4
0.0
0.5
0.4
0.0
0.5
0.3
0.0
0.5
0.4
0.0
0.4
0.0
0.0
1.1
2.0
1.1
1.5
1.5
0.5
9.6
0.2
0.4
2.6
0.7
0.6
0.7
0.1
-8.6
-0.2
0.8
0.6
0.8
0.7
0.7
0.2
4.8
0.1
-2.8
0.0
-2.4
-2.5
-2.3
-2.0
69.3
1.6
-1.3
2.2
-0.8
-0.9
-1.1
-1.1
-4.0
-0.2
0.0
-1.2
-0.2
-0.2
-0.2
-0.6
4.3
0.1
0.5
0.0
0.4
0.4
0.4
0.0
-2.5
-0.1
1.2
1.0
1.2
1.2
1.2
0.4
-3.9
-0.2
1.5
1.2
1.4
1.4
1.4
0.6
-0.9
-0.1
1.5
0.9
1.4
1.4
1.4
0.6
-1.2
-0.1
1.2
0.5
1.1
1.1
1.1
0.4
-4.1
-0.2
0.9
0.1
0.8
0.8
0.8
0.2
-8.3
-0.3
0.6
-0.2
0.5
0.4
0.4
0.0
-3.0
-0.1
0.4
0.1
0.3
0.3
0.3
0.0
-0.4
0.0
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.2
-0.1
0.2
0.0
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.0
3.4
-
2.9
-
-0.1
-
-4.9
-
1.8
-
2.2
-
2.9
-
3.4
-
3.4
-
3.1
-
2.9
-
2.6
-
2.4
-
2.3
-
2.2
-
2.1
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
changes unless otherwise noted
Note: Total employees represents the number of jobs in an area. Total* percentage
employment
(jobs) also represents the number of jobs in an area, but
includes self-employed jobs. Total employment (people) represents the number of people in employment in an area - i.e. it includes both full
time and part time employees but people with more than one job are counted only once
98
Summary tables – UK (continued)
Table 3: Employees by sector
Agriculture
Extraction
Manufacturing of:
Food, drink & tobacco
Textiles, clothing & leather
Wood & wood products
Pulp, paper & printing
Coke, oil and nuclear
Chemicals & pharmaceuticals
Rubber & plastic products
Other non-metals
Metals
Machinery & equipment nec
Electrical & optical equipment
Transport equipment
Other manufacturing nec
Electricity, gas & water
Construction
Distribution
Retail
Hotels & restaurants
Transport & communications
Financial intermediation
Business services
Public administration & defence
Education
Health
Other personal services
Total
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2022
2027
2032
270.3
64.2
274.0
68.3
281.8
66.3
242.8
62.0
295.0
59.9
301.5
58.3
296.3
56.8
290.9
55.3
284.9
53.8
279.2
52.3
273.8
50.8
268.4
49.4
263.0
48.1
242.1
42.4
218.2
35.7
195.9
29.7
418.5
116.8
76.9
381.9
17.0
192.0
197.9
107.0
381.2
267.9
311.7
319.9
169.9
100.7
1279.2
1688.0
2831.6
1836.8
1580.5
1059.5
4540.2
1554.0
2406.2
3392.6
1450.0
27012.4
416.5
108.2
81.2
373.7
16.0
180.1
186.9
105.2
377.8
273.0
313.6
310.5
165.7
113.8
1277.8
1708.3
2832.3
1814.1
1594.2
1066.4
4716.4
1549.0
2405.2
3380.4
1421.8
27130.6
403.0
100.7
75.0
349.4
16.4
162.2
178.0
103.0
388.2
263.3
298.1
314.2
161.0
111.8
1268.0
1690.1
2881.3
1851.6
1583.5
1081.3
4884.7
1512.9
2410.5
3476.2
1432.7
27345.4
376.8
84.4
64.2
324.9
17.0
145.1
161.9
88.3
371.4
238.8
281.1
279.6
151.7
111.3
1221.6
1591.6
2802.0
1808.3
1507.8
1066.8
4642.7
1519.0
2438.9
3562.3
1408.6
26571.0
390.9
86.5
65.1
300.5
14.2
135.8
177.5
89.6
341.1
216.5
261.2
261.5
146.7
114.5
1144.6
1599.6
2630.0
1750.4
1425.6
986.7
4708.7
1508.0
2437.5
3677.3
1394.5
26219.6
388.3
82.8
64.7
290.7
14.0
133.1
178.6
87.8
335.4
214.7
260.4
257.7
143.5
113.0
1152.1
1602.0
2639.5
1743.6
1435.3
989.6
4769.7
1459.4
2423.5
3666.9
1416.7
26222.9
385.1
79.4
64.1
285.5
13.9
131.3
176.6
86.0
330.6
211.1
258.1
260.0
143.2
111.4
1166.1
1616.3
2668.8
1754.0
1452.3
999.0
4915.2
1407.6
2402.3
3649.1
1436.0
26356.0
381.0
75.4
63.4
278.7
13.6
128.9
173.9
84.3
323.8
206.9
252.9
262.8
142.8
110.0
1194.8
1635.9
2706.8
1787.2
1473.9
1013.7
5169.4
1372.5
2373.5
3631.8
1463.4
26667.6
374.1
71.0
62.8
270.8
13.3
125.8
170.7
82.2
314.6
201.8
245.8
260.3
141.9
108.6
1218.8
1658.4
2749.8
1821.6
1502.8
1025.4
5468.9
1351.1
2350.6
3629.5
1499.7
27059.1
366.9
66.8
62.1
263.1
13.0
122.8
167.6
80.2
305.0
196.2
239.0
255.2
141.1
107.3
1228.2
1679.9
2791.4
1853.9
1531.0
1030.8
5771.0
1334.8
2337.6
3635.8
1545.2
27457.4
359.7
62.9
61.5
255.7
12.7
119.8
164.7
78.2
295.9
190.7
232.3
250.1
140.3
106.1
1235.2
1696.7
2825.2
1884.9
1553.7
1032.8
6011.5
1327.3
2331.2
3649.0
1586.1
27789.0
352.7
59.2
60.9
248.4
12.4
116.9
161.7
76.3
287.1
185.5
225.9
245.0
139.4
104.8
1242.3
1708.6
2851.2
1909.9
1570.0
1034.1
6197.0
1322.0
2328.0
3665.0
1616.6
28038.9
345.9
55.7
60.3
241.4
12.1
114.1
158.9
74.4
278.6
180.3
219.7
240.0
138.6
103.6
1249.4
1714.8
2867.5
1924.3
1579.9
1034.7
6326.7
1318.3
2327.5
3688.0
1638.4
28203.8
319.7
43.7
57.7
215.1
10.9
103.4
147.9
66.7
247.0
161.1
196.7
220.9
135.3
98.6
1279.2
1717.7
2896.7
1952.0
1594.0
1037.1
6620.5
1312.8
2340.7
3795.0
1690.4
28545.3
289.8
32.2
54.3
186.2
9.6
91.5
135.2
57.7
212.5
140.0
171.7
199.1
131.3
92.7
1320.0
1713.2
2919.6
1952.2
1597.6
1038.0
6965.8
1299.7
2352.5
3910.5
1738.1
28865.1
261.9
22.9
51.1
160.1
8.4
80.5
123.3
49.5
181.6
120.8
149.3
178.9
127.4
87.1
1361.8
1708.7
2942.7
1953.1
1601.3
1038.9
7293.4
1286.7
2364.2
4028.4
1786.7
29194.3
Table 4: Employees by sector - annual percentage changes
99
Agriculture
Extraction
Manufacturing of:
Food, drink & tobacco
Textiles, clothing & leather
Wood & wood products
Pulp, paper & printing
Coke, oil and nuclear
Chemicals & pharmaceuticals
Rubber & plastic products
Other non-metals
Metals
Machinery & equipment nec
Electrical & optical equipment
Transport equipment
Other manufacturing nec
Electricity, gas & water
Construction
Distribution
Retail
Hotels & restaurants
Transport & communications
Financial intermediation
Business services
Public administration & defence
Education
Health
Other personal services
Total
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2018-22
avg pa
2022-27
avg pa
2027-32
avg pa
-2.1
6.9
1.4
6.4
2.8
-2.9
-13.8
-6.5
21.5
-3.3
2.2
-2.7
-1.7
-2.6
-1.8
-2.6
-2.1
-2.8
-2.0
-2.8
-2.0
-2.7
-1.9
-2.7
-2.0
-2.8
-2.0
-3.0
-2.1
-3.4
-2.1
-3.6
-2.9
-10.9
-2.0
-3.6
-0.1
-2.6
-5.9
-1.7
-1.9
-3.4
-4.8
-3.8
-3.6
6.3
5.1
0.0
-0.1
-0.5
0.3
0.0
5.2
-0.2
1.6
2.0
2.0
1.1
-0.5
-7.4
5.6
-2.1
-5.8
-6.2
-5.5
-1.7
-0.9
1.9
0.6
-2.9
-2.5
13.0
-0.1
1.2
0.0
-1.2
0.9
0.7
3.9
-0.3
0.0
-0.4
-1.9
0.4
-3.2
-6.9
-7.7
-6.5
2.5
-9.9
-4.8
-2.1
2.7
-3.5
-4.9
1.2
-2.8
-1.8
-0.8
-1.1
1.7
2.1
-0.7
1.4
3.6
-2.3
0.2
2.8
0.8
0.8
-6.5
-16.2
-14.3
-7.0
3.5
-10.6
-9.0
-14.3
-4.3
-9.3
-5.7
-11.0
-5.8
-0.5
-3.7
-5.8
-2.8
-2.3
-4.8
-1.3
-5.0
0.4
1.2
2.5
-1.7
-2.8
3.7
2.5
1.3
-7.5
-16.6
-6.4
9.6
1.5
-8.2
-9.3
-7.1
-6.5
-3.3
2.9
-6.3
0.5
-6.1
-3.2
-5.5
-7.5
1.4
-0.7
-0.1
3.2
-1.0
-1.3
-0.7
-4.4
-0.6
-3.3
-1.1
-2.0
0.6
-2.0
-1.7
-0.8
-0.3
-1.4
-2.2
-1.2
0.7
0.1
0.4
-0.4
0.7
0.3
1.3
-3.2
-0.6
-0.3
1.6
0.0
-0.8
-4.1
-1.0
-1.8
-1.0
-1.4
-1.2
-2.0
-1.4
-1.7
-0.9
0.9
-0.2
-1.5
1.2
0.9
1.1
0.6
1.2
1.0
3.1
-3.6
-0.9
-0.5
1.4
0.5
-1.1
-5.0
-1.0
-2.4
-2.0
-1.8
-1.5
-2.0
-2.1
-2.0
-2.0
1.1
-0.3
-1.2
2.5
1.2
1.4
1.9
1.5
1.5
5.2
-2.5
-1.2
-0.5
1.9
1.2
-1.8
-5.8
-1.0
-2.8
-2.2
-2.4
-1.9
-2.5
-2.8
-2.5
-2.8
-1.0
-0.6
-1.3
2.0
1.4
1.6
1.9
2.0
1.1
5.8
-1.6
-1.0
-0.1
2.5
1.5
-1.9
-5.9
-1.0
-2.8
-2.1
-2.4
-1.8
-2.5
-3.0
-2.8
-2.8
-2.0
-0.6
-1.2
0.8
1.3
1.5
1.8
1.9
0.5
5.5
-1.2
-0.5
0.2
3.0
1.5
-1.9
-5.9
-1.0
-2.8
-2.3
-2.4
-1.8
-2.5
-3.0
-2.8
-2.8
-2.0
-0.6
-1.2
0.6
1.0
1.2
1.7
1.5
0.2
4.2
-0.6
-0.3
0.4
2.6
1.2
-1.9
-5.9
-1.0
-2.8
-2.5
-2.4
-1.8
-2.5
-3.0
-2.8
-2.8
-2.0
-0.6
-1.2
0.6
0.7
0.9
1.3
1.0
0.1
3.1
-0.4
-0.1
0.4
1.9
0.9
-1.9
-5.9
-1.0
-2.8
-2.5
-2.4
-1.8
-2.5
-3.0
-2.8
-2.8
-2.0
-0.6
-1.2
0.6
0.4
0.6
0.8
0.6
0.1
2.1
-0.3
0.0
0.6
1.3
0.6
-1.9
-5.9
-1.1
-2.8
-2.5
-2.4
-1.8
-2.6
-3.0
-2.8
-2.7
-2.0
-0.6
-1.2
0.6
0.1
0.3
0.4
0.3
0.1
1.3
-0.1
0.1
0.7
0.9
0.4
-1.9
-5.9
-1.2
-2.8
-2.5
-2.4
-1.8
-2.9
-3.0
-2.8
-2.7
-2.1
-0.6
-1.2
0.6
-0.1
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
1.0
-0.2
0.1
0.6
0.6
0.2
-2.0
-6.4
-1.2
-3.0
-2.6
-2.5
-1.8
-3.0
-3.1
-2.9
-2.7
-2.1
-0.6
-1.2
0.6
-0.1
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.9
-0.2
0.1
0.6
0.6
0.2
Annex B: Variables in GMFM
The GMFM Technical Note provides more details on the
coverage of GMFM, but the following slide gives a
summary of most of the variables contained within the
model.
100
Variables in GMFM


101
Demography
■ Population
– Total and working age (15-59/64)
– By 5-year age band, male/female
– Ethnic minority population
■ Migration
– Total and working age (15-59/64)
– 5 year age bands, male/female
– Domestic and international – inflows,
outflows and net
■ Births and deaths
– Male/female
■ Natural increase
Labour market
■ Employee jobs
– Full time/part time – 14 sectors
– Male/female – 14 sectors
– 59 sectors
■ Self-employed jobs
– 8 sectors – male/female totals
– People based – 8 sectors
■ Total employment
– Jobs- and people-based
– 9 sectors
■ Resident employment/rate

(Labour market continued)
■ Net commuting
– By occupation 9 major groups
■ Unemployment/rate
■ Occupations/rates
– Workplace/residence based
– By 26 minor occupation groups
■ Skills
– NVQ levels 0 – 4+

Economy
■ GVA (£m, 2006 prices)
– 61 sectors
■ Relative productivity (NW = 100)
– 25 sectors
■ Average earnings
– 24 sectors
■ Consumer expenditure
■ Household income

Housing
■ House prices (£000s, indexed 1990=100)
■ Housing stock
– By tenure
– Demolitions and completions
■ Households
– Occupancy rates in 5 year age bands
– Households by tenure
Contact information
Contact info:
Alan Wilson
Director of Consulting Services, Oxford Economics
01865 268904
[email protected]
Neil Gibson
Director of Regional Services, Oxford Economics
02892 660669
07803 728994
[email protected]
Kerry Houston
Head of Regional Model Development
02892 660669
[email protected]
Helen Mc Dermott
Economist
02892 660669
[email protected]
102