Transcript FMATS Organizational Study

Draft Long-Range Transportation Plan
Destination 2035
Orange County Business Council
Infrastructure Committee
December 14, 2010
Background
LRTP
OC SCS
SCAG RTP/
SCS
FTIP
• 2035 horizon year for Orange County
• Includes “fundable” projects and must be financially
constrained
• Links land use and transportation for Greenhouse Gas
reduction purposes
• Provides Orange County’s input into SCAG SCS
• 2020/2035 horizon years for SCAG region
• Must be financially constrained
• Projects must be included in RTP
• Financially constrained, six-year project listing
LRTP = Long-Range Transportation Plan, RTP = Regional Transportation
Plan, FTIP = Federal Transportation Improvement Program, SCS =
Sustainable Communities Strategy
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Goals
Expand
Choices
By:
• Improving
connectivity
• Improving travel
mode accessibility
• Expanding
multimodal
integration
Improve
Performance
By:
• Increasing person
throughput
• Reducing travel time
• Raising level of
service
Work Toward
Sustainability
By:
• Promoting alternative
modes
• Reducing air pollution
• Preventing and
treating run-off
• Supporting timely
maintenance
3
Challenges
Population will
grow by 453,000
persons (14.5
percent) by
2035, the
equivalent of 6
cities the size of
Tustin.
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Challenges
Employment will
grow by 172,000
jobs (10.6
percent) by
2035, the
equivalent of
adding about
680 major
businesses to
the Orange
County
economy.
5
Challenges
2035: Peak
period freeway
speeds will fall
by approximately
40 percent
without capacity
improvements.
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Challenges
Transportation
Capacity
Population and
Employment
Growth
1.5 million daily hours lost to congestion in 2035.
Productivity loss = 187,500 jobs (equivalent)
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Plan Scenarios
Preferred 2035 Plan
Population,
Housing,
Employment
In 2035
“Baseline” 2035
Population,
Housing,
Employment
in 2035
“Fundable”
Projects
(M2, etc.)
“Funded”
Projects in
2035
2008 Base Year
Current Transportation
Supply
Current
Demographics
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Solutions: Major Plan Elements


Increase Metrolink service up to 30-minute headways
Add approximately 400,000 revenue vehicle hours of bus
service (a 25 percent increase) including “Go Local”
rubber-tired service

Support efforts for fixed-guideway transit systems

Add about 300 vanpools, doubling existing levels

Expand bikeways network by 750 miles, or 75 percent

Study express bus routes for longer-distance travel

Support connections to the CA High Speed Rail System
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Solutions: Elements, cont.




Test bike sharing programs at key Metrolink stations
Add 414 lane miles, or about 25 percent to the freeway
and HOV network including new toll pricing projects
Implement continuous access on HOV facilities1
Fund about 800 additional lane miles to the Master Plan
of Arterial Highways (a 13 percent increase)

Construct key road/rail grade separations

Add signal synchronization to a 750-mile network

Implement M2 environmental strategies
1 Continuous
HOV access on all HOV lanes except where barrier separation is
required for safety purposes.
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Freeways
Freeway
expansion/
management will
address future
congestion on
Orange County
freeways.
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Bus
Frequent and
faster bus
services will
improve transit
effectiveness.
12
Rail-Bus
Guideway and
rubber-tired rail
feeder projects will
support increased
Metrolink service.
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Express Bus
Express bus
service is a key
component for
expanding
transportation
choices for longer
distance
commuters.
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HOV
HOV continuous
access
expansion will
improve safety
and operations.
15
Streets
Future street
projects are
critical to keep
local traffic
moving.
16
Signals
Signal
synchronization
will maximize the
use of available
capacity.
17
Bikeways
Bikeways
expansion will
offer new
commuting
opportunities.
“Bike stations”
will increase
accessibility to
bikes and offer
increased
flexibility.
18
Vanpools
Vanpool program
expansion is
possible with
marketing and
promotion to
new areas and
businesses.
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LRTP Draft Results
Population
and
Employment
Fundable
Projects
Projected
Revenues
Delay savings = 105,000
job equivalents
Transit ridership
increases by 10 percent
Future average speeds
return to 89% of 2008
levels
Daily 2035 delay
reduced by 56
percent
Note: Including CAHSR
ridership would increase
transit ridership by 20
percent.
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Financial Forecast
LRTP Revenue by Source in $Billions
Total = $39.4 billion
(To 2035)
Federal $6.3
Local $17.5
State $5.9
Measure M2
$9.7
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Next Steps
 Public review period
(November 2010 – January 2011)
 Prepare final Draft (January - February 2011)
 LRTP adoption by the OCTA Board of Directors
(March 2011)
 Incorporate Final LRTP into:
 OC Sustainable Communities Strategy
 Regional Transportation Plan
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