Transcript Slide 1

Cooperative Research
Program
Ingrid Guch
CoRP Symposium
August 2006
NOAA/NESDIS
Cooperative Research Program
•NOAA’s Center for Satellite Applications and
Research (STAR) has teamed with academic
partners across the country via four
Cooperative Institutes and one Cooperative
Center.
•CIRA @ Colorado State University
•CIMSS @ University of Wisconsin
•CIOSS @ Oregon State University
•CICS @ University of Maryland
•CREST – consortium of universities managed
by CUNY
•Three branches of STAR are in the
Cooperative Research Program and collocated
with a Cooperative Institute
• The Regional and Mesoscale Meteorology
Branch at CIRA/CSU
• The Advanced Satellite Products Branch at
CIMSS/UW
• The Satellite Climate Studies Branch at
CICS/UM
Desired Research
Results for 2025
Dramatic Improvements in
Forecasting Extreme Events
Highly Skillful
Seasonal to Decadal
Climate Predictions
National Suite of Air Quality
Services
Improved Understanding of
Physical, Chemical, Biological,
and Societal Interactions
Ocean Exploration for
Humankind
Global Earth Observation
System of Systems
MODIS Polar Winds in NCEP GFS
NCEP began using the MODIS
polar winds product in the
Global Forecast System (GFS)
on November 29, 2005. Six
other numerical weather
prediction centers currently use
the MODIS winds in operational
forecast system: the ECMWF,
NASA GMAO, the Japan
Meteorological Agency (JMA),
the Canadian Meteorological
Centre (CMC), U.S. Navy
FNMOC, and the UK Met
Office.
Improving Volcanic Cloud Warnings
From the 1544 UTC VAAC message:
IR image
Ash product
“REMARKS: WE HAVE RECEIVED A REPORT
FROM NAVY AVIATION IN THE AREA
INDICATING AN ERUPTION OF SANTA ANA
TO FL460. THE ERUPTION CANNOT BE
SEEN IN THE 1515Z IMAGE POSSBILY
BECAUSE OF WEATHER CLOUDS IN THE
AREA. MODEL DATA SUGGESTS ANY ASH
NEAR FL460 WILL MOVE TOWARD THE
WEST”
From the 1601 UTC VAAC message:
“REMARKS: THE ERUPTION IS NOW
BELIEVED TO HAVE STARTED AT ABOUT
1400Z AND AN AREA PREVIOUSLY
THOUGHT TO BE THUNDERSTORMS IS
NOW IDENTIFIED AS THICK ASH. A
FORECAST WILL BE ISSUED AS SOON AS
POSSIBLE”
The automated Pavolonis et al. technique (JTECH)
would have identified the Santa
Ana ash cloud in the 1445 UTC image (one of the first images capturing the eruption).
This product would have likely helped the Washington Volcanic Ash Advisory Center
(VAAC) issue a more timely warning statement.
SSMI Climate Time Series
• Monthly mean products
derived from SSM/I since
July 1987:
– Precipitation rate and
frequency
– Snow cover frequency
– Sea-ice concentration
– Oceanic total precipitable water
– Oceanic cloud liquid water and
frequency
– Ocean surface wind speed
• Products are archived at
NCDC
• Used by NCEP/CPC, JMA,
GEWEX/GPCP
Warm Phase
Neutral
Phase
Cold Phase
Chesapeake Bay Ecosystem
Modeling
• Initiate development of
fully integrated
ecosystem model of
Chesapeake Bay
– Implement Regional
Ocean Modeling System
for bay
– Implement NCEP
Weather Research &
Forecast (wRF)
Modeling System for Bay
• Chair IOCCG Working
Group to finalize “Why
Ocean Color?” Report
• Upcoming Events
– AGU Ocean Sciences
Meeting, Honolulu, HI
February 20 – 24, 2006
SeaWiFS true-color image of Mid-Atlantic Region
from April 12, 1998.
Image provided by the SeaWiFS Project, NASA/Goddard Space Flight Center and ORBIMAGE
Global Precipitation Climatology Project
• GPCP is a project that is part of
the WCRP/GEWEX program
– Comprises of various “centers”,
several of which are
NOAA/Climate Program supported
• Current product suite (1979 –
present)
– Monthly mean 2.5°x2.5°
latitude/longitude
– Merged satellite and gauge, error
estimates
– Satellite components: microwave
and infrared estimates, error
estimates
– Gauge analysis, error estimates
– Intermediate analysis products,
e.g., merged satellite estimates
– Daily 1 x 1 degree, Pentad
RAMM / CIRA TROPICAL CYCLONE IR ARCHIVE
-- IR images, 640 x 480 with 4 km resolution in
Mercator projection
-- began in 1998 with goal of documenting entire
hurricane life cycles at 30-min interval
-- all Atlantic hurricanes since 1995, all named
storms since 1996
-- all eastern Pacific named storms since 1997
-- automated, global coverage since late 2004, with
2 complete SH seasons
-- as of 15 March 2006:
464 tropical cyclones
125,000+ images
APPLICATIONS:
- improvements to the Statistical Hurricane Intensity
Prediction Scheme (SHIPS)
- inner core wind algorithm for the CIRA/RAMM
tropical cyclone satellite surface wind analysis
- objective wind radii estimates
- long period animations and TC comparison studies
- center relative average images
- development on improved Objective Dvorak Technique
intensity estimates
< Atlantic hurricanes 4-km X 2 zoom
4-km: NWPac, EPac,
SPac, NIO, SIO
>
GOES-R ABI Product Development
• New product development for GOES-R
Risk Reduction
• Initial focus on fog/stratus and
dust detection products
• Thee-color techniques
• Utilizing MODIS and MSG data
• Web-based demonstration planned
• Quasi-operational forum
Thee-Color
Product Name
Red
component
Green
component
Blue
component
MSG “natural”
color product
1.6 µm
0.86 µm
0.6 µm
MSG “day snowfog” product
0.8 µm*
1.6 µm*
3.9 µm
(solar/reflected
part only)*
Modified theecolor fog/stratus
product
0.6 µm albedo
1.6 µm albedo
Shortwave (3.9
µm) albedo
Operational and near-operational satellites sensors supported
Assume 1 Primary POES AM, 1 Backup POES AM, 1 Primary POES PM, 1 Backup POES PM, 1 GOES East, 1
GOES West
50
45
40
35
GOES-R
GOES N/P
# of Sensors
30
GOES I/M
GOES-H
NPOESS
25
NPP
METOP
NOAA N/N'
20
NOAA KLM
NOAA-G/H/I/J
15
10
5
0
1990-1994
1995-1999
2000-2004
2005-2009
2010-2014
2015-2020
Earth Observing Satellites Launched/Planned as of July 2006
90
80
8
70
7
60
50
40
5
64
30
8
20
5
10
2
3
22
3
9
5
0
1990-1994
1995-1999
International
2000-2004
NASA
NOAA
USGS
2005-2009
Expected Data Growth