Transcript Slide 1

CHALLENGES AND OPPORTUNITIES FACING
LOW CARBON ENERGY TECHNOLOGIES
FOR ELECTRIC POWER GENERATION TO 2050
CAETS Working Group Report
30 June 2011
•Preamble
•First CAETS report
•Scope for a second report
•Work to date
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Preamble
• The introduction of low emission technologies is of wide interest to
companies, government and community. However, much of the advice
available is neither comprehensive nor unbiased.
• The Academies play a significant role in providing unbiased, authoritative,
independent, comprehensive and timely advice.
• Activity through CAETS can aid individual Academies by increasing the
credibility of their advice.
• Recent OECD work indicates that we still have much to learn:
– Innovative capacity is a far stronger indicator of investment in low emission technologies
than R&D, feed in tariffs and renewable energy targets
– R&D investment in emerging technologies has more impact than in mature technologies
– OECD ENV/EPOC/GSP(2010)10Final 7 July 2010 Climate Policy and Technological
Innovation and Transfer: An Overview of Trends and Recent Empirical Results Nick
Johnstone
First CAETS Report
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In November 2010, the CAETS Working Group Report Deployment of Low
Emissions Technologies for Electric Power Generation in Response to Climate
Change was published, following endorsement by CAETS at the Council Meeting,
Calgary, July 2009.
The Working Group comprised of CAETS representatives from Australia, Canada,
Germany, India, Japan, Korea, South Africa and UK.
The report had clear recommendations, particularly for focus on:
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Improved efficiency of energy end use and means of promoting efficient usage globally;
Basic research leading to technical breakthroughs and cost reductions in renewable energy;
Advanced nuclear reactors, as well as small nuclear reactors suited to distributed generation;
Research, development and commercialisation of carbon capture and storage technologies;
New technology for electricity distribution networks, especially to optimise systems to handle
fluctuating renewable sources and loads from charging electric vehicles.
Following the wide response from the First Report, and continued interest from
the Working Group, Phase II of the report is being produced.
Scope for a second Report
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There are challenges and opportunities in the implementation of low emission
technologies for electricity production.
This report addresses the focal questions:
– What are the most promising initiatives for individual technologies
that might accelerate their investment and deployment ?
– What integration and combinations of technologies will likewise
accelerate investment and deployment?
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By “individual technologies” we refer to clusters of technologies, eg CCS, nuclear, wind, etc
We propose that the process will involve further steps:
– Recruit lead Academies to write first pass notes on individual topics -2m
– Circulate to other interested Academies for comment and contributions -2m
– Integration of responses (might need a meeting) – 2m
– Production of final report (ATSE responsibility) -2m
Work to date
• Working group formed from contributors to the first report: Dr Vaughan
Beck, ATSE; Professor Frank Behrendt, Acatech: Professor Robert Evans,
CAE; Dr Philip Lloyd, SAAE; Professor John Loughhead, RAEng; Professor
Myongsook Oh, NAEK; Dr Baldev Raj , INAE
• Informal meeting here in Mexico to discuss progress
• Due to the tragic circumstances in Japan, the Engineering Academy of
Japan is unable to contribute to the Second Working Group Report. We
would like to thank EAJ, especially Dr Iizuka, for their important
contributions.
• Discussion invited at Council and “volunteers” to populate the study
“INDIVIDUAL” TECHNOLOGY ASSESSMENTS
Section
Nominal Title
Responsibility
1
INTEGRATION, HYBRID SOLUTIIONS
ATSE, RAEng
2
HYDRO
CAE
3
SOLAR: various forms including solar thermal with storage
INAE
4
CARBON SEQUESTRATION
ATSE
5
GEOTHERMAL: Hot rocks
ATSE
6
GAS
SAAE
7
WAVE & TIDAL
RAEng
8
WIND + BIOMASS
Acatech
9
COAL: including IGCC & Carbon capture
NAEK
10
NUCLEAR
Responsibility TBC
First draft considerations
Section
Nominal Title
Responsibility
1
INTRODUCTION
CAE
2
RISK ASSESSMENT: Financial and Technical
INAE
3
ECONOMIC ANALYSIS: For individual technologies (based on LCOE and option
value analysis)
ATSE
4
IDENTIFYING A MIX OF TECHNOLOGIES TO MEET DEMAND:
Identify different techniques
SAAE
5
ENGINEERING CHALLENGES: To deploy LCE technologies at scale
RAEng
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GRID INTEGRATION CHALLENGES FOR LCE TECHNOLOGIES
Acatech
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CHALLENGES FACING INDUSTRY TO INTRODUCE LCE TECHNOLOGIES
NAEK
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CHALLENGES FACING GOVERNMENTS TO INTRODUCE LCE TECHNOLOGIES
Responsibility TBC