Transcript Slide 1

Big Change #1
TOP-DOWN
COMMAND & CONTROL
OLD
SINGLE-CULTURE
SINGLE-ORGANIZATION
EQUITIES
LEADERS
DECIDE
SECRET
SOURCES & METHODS
OBSCURE DETAIL
TIME
IMPACT
SHORT
TIME
IMPACT
LONG
OBVIOUS DETAIL
OPEN
SOURCES & METHODS
PEOPLE
DECIDE
MULTI-CULTURAL &
TRANS-NATIONAL
EQUITIES
NEW
BOTTOM-UP
INFORMATION-SHARING
Big Change #2
I
N
F
O
R
M
A
T
I
O
N
Available
Information
Actionable
Intelligence
The New
Intelligence
Gap: the
difference
between what
you can know
and what you
can use!
TIME
Open source information is more complex than secrets…
New Craft of Intelligence
China, Islam, Ethnic, Etc.
Narrowly focused!
I
IV
Lessons of History
Spies & Secrecy
II
III
Global Coverage
National Intelligence
Cost-Sharing with Others-Shared Early Warning
Harness distributed
intelligence of Nation
IV - Organizational Intelligence
Out-Sourcing of
Information
Processing
Organizational
Memory System
EXTERNAL
CHUNKS
(Intellectual Property)
Patents, Etc.
Data
Visualization
III - External Information
Environmental Monitoring
Technology Monitoring
Customer Monitoring
Trade Secrets
Meta-Data
Government Monitoring
E-Commerce
TECHNICAL
Automated Analysis
Project/Group
Management
Heterogeneous
Search & Retrieval
Data
Conversion
Vendor Reporting
Knowledge Capital™
Rolodexes/E-Mail
Expert Hires
“Just Enough,
Just in Time”
Business
Intelligence
Institutionalized
Local
Knowledge
HUMAN
Training
Personal Brand
Cell #
Churning
(Rotationals)
Internal Reporting
PERSONALITY
(Insight/Intuition)
Trip
Reports
INTERNAL
I - Knowledge Management
II - Collaborative Work
Copyright OSS.Net, Inc. © 2006. All Rights Reserved.
SECRET BIG DATA
NOT SECRET BIG DATA
• NSA-NGA
• UN, Red Cross, NGOs…
• SAIC
• NASA , public geospatial
• HARRIS
• Factiva
• NG-MS
SECRET
DISTRIBUTED DATA
S
I
P
R
N
E
T
Open
Source
Information
System –
External
(OSIS-X)
• LEXIS-NEXIS
NOT SECRET
DISTRIBUTED DATA
• Intelink
• CISCO
• ARDA
• Google/Libraries
• ITIC
• Amazon Inside the Book
• JHU/APL
• Napster Plus
HUMINT
Point of
Entry Raw
Produces
Actionable
Intelligence
SIGINT
IMINT
MASINT OSINT
OPS
OTHER
Dots need to be connecting at every level,
Including immediately upon ingestion.
Processed
Raw
OPINTEL
Finished
Intelligence
Policy
Package
Today, one third of the dots connect here.
(Collect 2/3rd, spill half—some say 80%)
Public
Perception
HUMINT SIGINT
IMINT
MASINT OSINT
OPS
OTHER
Credits: Mike Hayden, Original Concept; Robert Steele, Labels & OSINT-Ops-Other; Steve Edwards, Turned Upside Down
Open Literature
Conversion of
Paper Documents
to Digital Form
Automated
Foreign Language
Translation
Clustering and
Linking of
Related Data
Non-Text Data
Processing Images,
Video, Audio,
Signal Data
Statistical Analysis
to Reveal
Anomalies
Interactive Search
and Retrieval of
Data
Collaborative
Work
OLD:
Restricted Information
Automated Extraction
of Data Elements From
Text and Images
Detection of
Changing Trends
Graphic and MapBased Visualization
of Data
Notetaking and
Organizing Ideas
Desktop
Publishing and
Word Processing
Standardizing
and Converting
Data Formats
Detection of Alert
Situations
Modeling and
Simulations
Structured
Argument
Analysis
Production of
Graphics, Videos and
Online Briefings
Revision Tracking
and Realtime Group
Review
Seven Intelligence Tribes:
National
The Way Ahead
Religions
& Clans
NGO &
Media
Military
Academic
Law Enforcement
Business
Focus of Global Effort
Strategic Forecasting
10% Need, 40% Cost
Top
Secret
Tribal
Secret
Partial Sharing
Shared Among Tribes
Primary Research &
Experts on Demand
20% Need, 30% Cost
Help Desk (Tell Me
More Right Now)
30% Need, 20% Cost
Daily/Weekly Reports
40% Need, 10% Cost
Creating the World Brain:
Web-Based Virtual Intelligence Teams
Expert Forum
Shared
Shared
Calendar
Rolodex
Distance
Learning
OPG
VPN
Shared
24/7 Plot
Virtual
Library
Virtual
Budget
Weekly Review
Regional Intelligence Center
Chief of Center
Singapore
Deputy for Collection
Australia
OSINT
HUMINT
IMINT
SIGINT
Deputy for Processing
Malaysia
Digitization
Translation
Visualization
Analytic Support
Deputy for Counterintelligence
Japan
Deputy for Analysis
China
Warning
Estimative
Countries
Issues
Deputy for Covert Action
Thailand
DELETED
DELETED
Putting It All Together
Why Cisco, IBM, & Google Must Play Well Together
NETWORK ARCHITECTURE:
• processing in the bit stream
• interoperation
SEMANTIC ARCHITECTURE:
• text-capable
• scaled
INTELLIGENCE ARCHITECTURE:
• incorporates open sources, on and off line
• matches global real time knowledge to individual situations
Competing Osint Models I
Cold War Model—TIRED
Obstructs information sharing
Post 9-11 Model—WIRED
Facilitates information sharing
Validated
OSINT
SI/TK
SI/TK
Selective Importation
Just Enough, Just in Time
System High/Firewall
Default to Validated OSINT
CIA Open Source Center Approach
Independent Open Source Agency
Supporting IC, USG, & 7 Tribes
Competing OSINT Models II
ADDNI/OS View of OSINT
Concerned only with US IC
Masint
Imint
Sigint
Humint
FI
Osint
Humint Sigint
OSS CEO View of OSINT
Decision-Support for Nation
Imint Masint
OSINT
OSINT is both a supporting discipline,
and an all-source discipline.