Transcript รูปประกอบวารสารพลังงาน

Ratio of Energy Consumption Value to GDP
(Million Baht)
Data
1997
GDP (at present value)
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
4,732,600 4,626,400 4,637,100 4,916,500 5,123,400 5,433,300
Value of Final Energy Demand
Ratio of Final Energy Demand to GDP
Value of Final Energy Demand
Petroleum
Electricity
Natural Gas
Coal/Lignite
Renewable Energy
-
573,029
548,127
543,192
687,983
754,185
777,306
12.11
11.85
11.71
13.99
14.72
14.31
320,408
162,304
5,671
306,417
175,652
5,494
303,000
167,977
6,815
409,037
198,821
11,696
432,409
232,393
13,670
437,564
245,244
15,992
6,397
4,740
5,534
5,050
7,211
7,950
78,536
55,824
59,866
63,379
68,502
70,557
Source : GDP : Economic and Finance Stats. Q1/ 2002, Bank of Thailand
http://www.bot.or.th/BOT homepage/databank/EconData/Thai_Key/Thai_Key.asp
Forecasted Value of National Energy
Consumption in the Future
(Assumption: Energy Elasticity = 1.4 :1 and Est. GDP Growth Rate = 5% per year)
2,500
Unit: Billion Baht
2,145
2,000
1,529
1,500
1,090
1,000
573
777
500
0
1997
2002
2007
2012
2017
Btu per1995U.S. Dollars Using Market Exchange Rates
Comparison of Energy Intensity
25,000
World Primary Energy Consumption per Dollar of Gross Domestic Product
1980--2001
Economic structure in developed countries has been reformed to save energy
Malaysia
20,000
Thailand
15,000
USA
UK
10,000
France
Japan
5,000
0
Energy Intensity [Total Primary Energy Consumption Per Dollar of Gross Domestic Product]
http://www.eia.doe.gov/pub/international/iealf/tablee1g.xls
Energy demand is 1.4 times higher than GDP growth
T o ta l F in a l E n e rg y C o n su m p tio n & G D P
Energy Elasticity = ∆t Energy Consumption/ ∆t GDP
4.80
Ave. Energy Elasticity
1.4 : 1.0
lo g (E n e r g y )
4.70
4.60
4.50
New Target
1:1
or lower
4.40
4.30
4.20
4.10
3.05
3.10
3.15
3.20
3.25
3.30
3.35
3.40
3.45
3.50
3.55
l o g (G D P )
Thailand
Energy Elasticity
1985 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000
2001
Energy-GDP
Elasticity
Avg.'85-2001
0.97 1.24 1.47 1.08 1.51 1.34 1.64 1.94 -3.50 0.47 0.58 0.97
1.07
1.40
Source : EIA,DOE, BP Statistic Review of World Energy, EGAT
Value of Potential Energy Saved
3.1 trillion Baht can be saved from energy efficiency
2,500
Unit : Billion Baht
3,112
2,145
2,000
528
1,529
1,500
263
1,090
1,000
98
777
573
500
0
2540
1997
2545
2002
2550
2007
2555
2012
2560
2017
(Assumption: Energy Elasticity = 1:1 and GDP Growth Rate = 5% per year)
Energy Consumption by Economic Sector
ktoe
60,000
Agriculture 6%
50,000
Resident & Commercial 21%
40,000
30,000
Industry 36%
20,000
10,000
0
Transport 37%
2535
1992
2536
1993
2537
1994
2538
1995
2539
1996
2540
1997
2541
1998
2542
1999
2543
2000
2544
2001
2545
2002
Industry=Manufacturing+Mining+Construction
Share of Energy Demand in the Transportation
Sector in Thailand
Energy Demand
Share
ktoe
(%)
Land Transportation
14,743
79.1
Road
Rail
14,638
78.6
105
0.5
Water Transportation
851
4.6
Domestic
Overseas
57
0.3
794
4.3
Air Transportation
3,038
16.3
Domestic
307
1.6
Overseas
2,731
14.7
Transport Mode
50,000
45,000
40,000
35,000
30,000
25,000
2546
2003
2547
2004
2548
2005
2549
2006
2550
2007
2551 2009
2552
2008
2553
2010
2554
2011
2012
Installed Capacity
20,000
Reserve Margin 15%
15,000
August-02
Average power demand growth 1,580 MW per year
2555
2012
2013
2556
2013
2014
2557
2014
2015
2558
2015
New Power Plant 4x700 MW
2011
New Power Plant 3x70W0 MW
2010
New Power Plant 1x700 MW
2009
New Power Plant 3x700 MW
2008
New Power Plant 3x700 MW
2007
New Power Plant 2x700 MW
2006
Lao-Nam Thern 2 # 920 MW,
Bang Pakong Combined Cycle Power Plant # 5 1x700 MW.
New Power Plant 1x700 MW
2005
Union Co. #2 1x700 MW
North Bangkok & South Bangkok
Combined Cycle Power Plants #3 2x700 MW.
2004
Gulf Co., Union Co. #1 2x700 MW
Southern Combined Cycle Power Plant 1x700 MW
2003
BLCP Co. #1,2 2x673.25 MW
55,000
SPPs 107 MW, Lam TaklongPump Storage #1-2 2x250 MW.
MW
Lan Krabeu 122 MW,Bo Win 713 MW, Eastern Power Co.,Ltd. 350 MW.
Power System Adequacy
(Generation & Transmission Systems)
2016
Installed Capacity
10,000
2559
2016
Structure of Community Development Fund Utilization
Community Development Fund (CDF)
(3 Designated Authorizing Committees)
X%
Community Development
Fund Committee (CDFC)
• consider fund utilization for
overall development of quality
of life and the environment
Y%
Provincial Committees
of the CDFC
• consider fund utilization for
the development of quality of
life and the environment at the
provincial level
consider fund utilization
under the CDF framework
Z%
Community Committees
of the CDFC
• consider fund utilization for
the development of quality of
life and the environment at the
local level
Strategic Energy Landbridge
 Trading centre for BIMST-EC
 Oil
Petrochemical
Gulf of Thailand
 Refinery & Petrochemical
complex
 Strategic crude
Stockpiling
 Marine
Maintenance/repair
facility
Refinery
Sichon
Oil depot
Trans-isthmus pipeline
Petrochemical
complex
Oil depot
Phang Nga
Tap Lamu
Nakhon
Srithammarat
Pipeline
Length 240 KM.
Diameter 42”
Krabi
ExistingCapacity
road
1.0 MBD
system
Phuket
Tank Capacity 2 x 5.0 mm.BBL
Andaman Sea
Trang
Investment Cost 719 mm.USD