Transcript TITLE OF PRESENTATION PLACE YOUR NAME

Renewables Go Big
Big Wind
Christian Kjaer
Chief Executive Officer
European Wind Energy Association
European Parliament, 2 September 2009
Global Annual and Cumulative capacity
(1996-2008)
Global market for wind turbines in 2008: €35 billion
Annual wind energy installations MW
Source: EWEA
Cumulative wind energy installations
Source: EWEA
New power capacity additions 1999-2008 (EU-27, GW)
Total installed: 200 GW
GW
120
100
100,0
80
58,9
60
40
20
0
10,4
Natural
Gas
50%
Wind
Coal
29%
5%
8,8
PhotoVoltaic
4%
7,0
5,8
Fuel
Oil
4%
Nuclear
3%
3,9
3,4
1,8
Hydro Biomass Other
2%
2%
1%
Source: EWEA, EPIA and Platts PowerVision
New power generating capacity in 2008 (EU, GW)
Total installed: 23,851 MW
MW
9000
8,484
8000
6,932
7000
6000
5000
4,200
4000
3000
2,495
2000
762
1000
0
Wind
Gas
36%
29%
Photovoltaic
18%
Fuel
Oil
10%
Coal
3%
473
296
149
Hydro Biomass Other
2%
1%
1%
60
Nuclear
0,3%
Source: EWEA, EPIA and Platts PowerVision
Wind development is similar to other power sources
18 years of global wind energy development (1991-2008)
compared to the first 18 years of nuclear development (1961-1976)
MW
150000
125000
100000
Annual Wind
Annual Nuclear
Total Wind
Total Nuclear
75000
50000
25000
0
'61 '62 '63 '64 '65 '66 '67 '68 '69 '70 '71 '72 '73 '74 '75 '76 '77 '78
'91 '92 '93 '94 '95 '96 '97 '98 '99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08
Source: EWEA – IAEE
Wind power installed in Europe by end of 2008 (cumulative)
Source: EWEA, Pure Power (March 2008)
Wind Energy in EU-27 – status 2008
• 65 GW installed capacity, incl. 1.47 GW offshore
• Annual installations of 8.5 GW (43% of total), incl. 0.35 GW offshore
• Electricity production of 142 TWh
• Meeting 4.2% of total EU electricity demand
• Providing power equivalent to the needs of 35 million average EU households
• Avoiding 108 Mt of CO2 – equivalent to taking more than 50 million cars off the road
(20% of the EU car fleet) and equal to 31% of the EU-15’s Kyoto obligation
• Annual avoided fuel cost of €5.4 billion*
• Annual avoided CO2 costs of approximately €2.4 billion*
• Annual investments in wind turbines of €11 billion*
*Source: Pure Power; Wind Energy Scenarios to 2030; EWEA March 2008; www.EWEA.org
How Much Renewable Electricity?
How Much Wind Power?
20% Renewable Energy by 2020 requires:
• 35% electricity from RES
• 25% heating from RES
• 10% biofuels from RES
Electricity 2005: 15% incl. 10% large hydro and 3% wind
Excluding large hydro the share of renewable electricity must
increase from 5% to app. 25%, in 15 years depending on power
demand
1 EC
baseline scenario EU demand (2020): 4163.7 TW/h
March 2009: EWEA increased its 2020 target from 180
GW to 230 GW (incl. 40 GW offshore)
Rising energy demand and contribution from wind power
2000: 12.9 GW
2008: 66 GW
2020: 230 GW
Two decades to
install 0.9% of EU
electricity demand
Accelerating pace:
reaching 4.2%
end 2008
14%-18%
despite growing
demand
Demand:
2,577 TWh
Demand:
3,380 TWh
Demand:
4,107 TWh
Source: EWEA
Average annual EU wind power installations required to
reach 230 GW by 2020
GW
20
18
16
14
12
10
8
6
4
2
0
2008
level
2008
2009-2010
2011-2015
2016-2020
Source: EWEA
New EWEA Target for the European Union
• 230 GW wind power in 2020
(including 40 GW offshore)
• 600 TWh per year by 2020
• 14–18 % of EU Electricity Demand
Requires app. €200 bn in non-R&D
investments in 2009-2020
(€125 bn onshore / €75 bn offshore)
Electricity Generating Cost in the EU, 2015 and 2030
Three Major Global Challenges
• Energy crisis and sustained high fuel prices
• Environmental crisis (IPCC: 25-40% CO2 reduction)
• Financial crisis
And three major European Challenges:
• App. 350 GW of new electricity generating capacity must be
constructed before 2020 (50% of current total)
• Increasing energy imports at higher cost
• Ineffective competition in EU power market and insufficient
investment in power infrastructure
Thank you very much for your attention
www.ewea.org
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