Transcript House Committee on Redistricting and the House Committee

The University of Texas at San
Antonio
Applied Demography Society
Alumni Lecture Series
October 21, 2014
San Antonio, TX
Mission
The Office of the State Demographer disseminates
demographic and related socioeconomic data to the
State of Texas and the general public. The State
Demographer’s Office monitors demographic and
socioeconomic changes in the State in order to better
inform the executive and legislative branches of Texas
government. Special emphasis is placed on data that
may be useful to policy makers in dealing with issues
regarding the demand for state services.
Meeting the Mission
• Data Portal, Publications, and Reports
http://txsdc.utsa.edu/
• Population Estimates and Projections Program
http://txsdc.utsa.edu/Data/TPEPP/Estimates/Index.aspx
• Resource Witness at Legislative Hearings
• Public Presentations
http://osd.state.tx.us
• Data Requests
• Custom Research Projects
• Annual Conference for Data Users and Applied Demography
Conference
Population Projections,
Texas, 2010 - 2050
Population Projections by Race/Ethnicity
2000-2010 Migration Scenario
60,000,000
Migration Scenarios
35,000,000
NH-White
Zero
55,000,000
50,000,000
30,000,000
.5 of 2000-2010
2000-2010
45,000,000
NH-Black
Hispanic
25,000,000
NH-Other
20,000,000
40,000,000
15,000,000
35,000,000
10,000,000
30,000,000
5,000,000
25,000,000
0
20,000,000
2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050
Source: Texas State Data Center Population Estimates and Projections Program, 2012 Projections
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Policy Areas Impacted by Texas
Demography
• Projecting the educational attainment of the future
Texas labor force
• Estimating and projecting the need for adult basic
education
• Estimating and projecting the transit urban gaps
• Projecting obesity and diabetes for the Texas
population
• Identifying demographic, socioeconomic, geospatial,
and housing characteristics related to household
energy consumption
• Streamlining the waiver application process for nursing
facility placement applications
• TxDOT One-Stop online demographic tool
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Some Findings
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Percent of Population with High School Degree or
Higher, 2010 and 2030
87.3%
88%
86%
84%
81.9%
82%
77.9%
80%
78%
76%
74%
72%
2010-2030
ACS 2010
Const 1.0
Trend 1.0
Percent of Population with Bachelor’s Degree or
Higher, 2010 to 2030
27%
25.8%
26%
25%
23.6%
24%
23%
21.8%
22%
21%
20%
19%
2010-2030
ACS 2010
Const 1.0
Trend 1.0
Nursing Facility Placement Web
Application
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Nursing Facility Placement Web
Application
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Projected Increase in Obesity in Texas by Ethnicity, 2006 to
2040
Source: Office of the State Demographer projections, using 2000-2004 migration
scenario population projections
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Demographics & Destiny
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Hans Rosling’s The Joy of Stats BBC Four
http://youtu.be/jbkSRLYSojo
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Contact
Office of the State Demographer
Office: (512) 463-8390 or (210) 458-6530
E-mail: [email protected]
Website: http://osd.state.tx.us
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