Transcript Document

Texas Demographic
Characteristics and Trends
State Agency Leadership
February 13, 2012
Austin, TX
Growing States, 2000-2010
2000
Population*
United States
2010
Population*
Numerical
Change
2000-2010
Percent
Change
2000-2010
281,421,906
308,745,538
27,323,632
9.7%
Texas
20,851,820
25,145,561
4,293,741
20.6%
California
33,871,648
37,253,956
3,382,308
10.0%
Florida
15,982,378
18,801,310
2,818,932
17.6%
Georgia
8,186,453
9,687,653
1,501,200
18.3%
North Carolina
8,049,313
9,535,483
1,486,170
18.5%
Arizona
5,130,632
6,392,017
1,261,385
24.6%
15.7% of numerical
change in U.S.
Note: Population values are decennial census counts for April 1, 2000 and April 1, 2010.
Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2000 and 2010 Census Counts.
Total Population and Components of
Population Change in Texas, 1950-2011
Percent Change
Due to
Year*
Population
Numerical
Change**
Percent
Change
--
--
Natural
Increase
Net
Migration
--
--
1950
7,711,194
1960
9,579,677
1,868,483
24.2
93.91
6.09
1970
11,196,730
1,617,053
16.9
86.74
13.26
1980
14,229,191
3,032,461
27.1
41.58
58.42
1990
16,986,510
2,757,319
19.9
65.85
34.15
2000
20,851,820
3,865,310
22.8
49.65
50.35
2009
24,782,302
3,930,484
18.8
54.04
45.33
2010
25,145,561
4,293,741
20.6
2011
25,674,681
529,120
2.1
54.79
44.99
All values for the decennial dates are for April 1st of the indicated census year.
Values for 2009 and 2011 are for July 1 as estimated by the U.S. Census Bureau.
** Change is from previous decade/time period
Note: Residual values are not presented in this table.
Source: Derived from U.S. Census Bureau Estimates for dates indicated by the Texas State Data Center.
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Estimated Annual Net Migration to
Texas, 2000 to 2009
250,000
International
State-to-State
200,000
150,000
100,000
50,000
Hurricane Katrina
0
2000 to 2001 to 2002 to 2003 to 2004 to 2005 to 2006 to 2007 to 2008 to
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Source: U.S. Bureau of the Census 2009 Estimates
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Percent of Migrants to Texas by
Race and Ethnicity, 2000-2009
52% of all migrants were international
100%
5%
90%
80%
23%
18%
12%
8%
15%
70%
60%
67% of all
migrants
28%
50%
50%
40%
40%
Other
30%
Black
20%
44%
24%
10%
33%
Hispanic
White
0%
Net domestic
migration
(848,702 migrants )
International
migration
(933,083 migrants)
Total
Sources: Percentages of domestic and international migrants by race and ethnicity derived from the 2006-2008 American Community Survey. Total numbers of domestic and
international migrants between 2000-2009 are from Table 4. Cumulative Estimates of the Components of Resident Population Change for the United States, Regions, States,
and Puerto Rico: April 1, 2000 to July 1, 2009, U.S. Census Bureau.
States with Largest Estimated
Unauthorized Immigrant Populations, 2010
State
Estimate
(thousands)
Range
California
2,550
(2,350 - 2,750)
Texas
1,650
(1,450 - 1,850)
Florida
825
(725 - 950)
New York
625
(525 - 725)
New Jersey
550
(425 - 650)
Illinois
525
(425 - 625)
Georgia
425
(300 - 550)
Arizona
400
(275 - 500)
Source: Pew Hispanic Center estimates based on residual methodology applied to March Supplements to the
Current Population Survey (February 1, 2011).
6.5% of
Texas’ 2010
Population
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Texas Racial and Ethnic Composition,
2000 and 2010
2010
2000
Hispanic
or Latino
32%
NH
Other
4%
Hispanic
or Latino
38%
NH
White
53%
NH Black
11%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2000 and 2010 Census Counts.
NH White
45%
NH Other
6%
NH Black
11%
Texas Population Pyramid
by Race/Ethnicity, 2010
Male White, Non-Hispanic
Male Hispanic
Male Black, Non-Hispanic
Male Asian, Non-Hispanic
Male Other, Non Hispanic
Female White, Non-Hispanic
Female Hispanic
Female Black, Non-Hispanic
Female Asian, Non-Hispanic
Female Other, Non Hispanic
100 to 104 years
95 years
90 years
85 years
80 years
75 years
70 years
65 years
60 years
55 years
50 years
45 years
40 years
35 years
30 years
25 years
20 years
15 years
10 years
5 years
Under 1 year
200,000
150,000
100,000
Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2010 Census Count.
50,000
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
Texas Population Pyramid
by White (non-Hispanic), 2010
Male White, Non-Hispanic
Female White, Non-Hispanic
100 to 104 years
95 years
90 years
85 years
80 years
75 years
70 years
65 years
60 years
55 years
50 years
45 years
40 years
35 years
30 years
25 years
20 years
15 years
10 years
5 years
Under 1 year
200,000
150,000
100,000
Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2010 Census Count.
50,000
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
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Texas Population Pyramid
by Race/Ethnicity, 2010
Male Hispanic
Male Black, Non-Hispanic
Male Asian, Non-Hispanic
Male Other, Non Hispanic
Female Hispanic
Female Black, Non-Hispanic
Female Asian, Non-Hispanic
Female Other, Non Hispanic
100 to 104 years
95 years
90 years
85 years
80 years
75 years
70 years
65 years
60 years
55 years
50 years
45 years
40 years
35 years
30 years
25 years
20 years
15 years
10 years
5 years
Under 1 year
200,000 150,000 100,000
Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2010 Census Count.
50,000
0
50,000
100,000 150,000 200,000
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Texas White (non-Hispanic) and Hispanic
Populations by Age, 2010
250000
200000
Population
White (non-Hispanic)
Hispanic
150000
100000
50000
0
Age
Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2010 Census Count.
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Total Population by County, 2010
Total Population
Number of People
82 - 9,999
10,000 - 24,999
Population % Change, 2000 to 2010
Percent Change
-21% - -10.1%
-10% - -0.1%
25,000 - 99,999
0% - 24.9%
100,000 - 999,999
25% - 54.9%
1,000,000 - 4,092,459
55% - 81.8%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2000 and 2010 P.L. 94-171 Redistricting Data.
Maps produced by the Office of the State Demographer.
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Percent Change in Population by County,
2000 to 2010
Non-Hispanic White
Percent Change
Hispanic
Percent Change
-51.4% - -10.1%
-29.4% - -0.1%
-10% - -0.1%
0% - 24.9%
0% - 24.9%
25% - 54.9%
55% - 62.1%
Less than 100 population
25% - 54.9%
55% - 99.9%
100% - 165.7%
Less than 100 population
Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2000 and 2010 P.L. 94-171 Redistricting Data.
Maps produced by the Office of the State Demographer.
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Percent Change in Population by County,
2000 to 2010
Non-Hispanic Black
Non-Hispanic Asian
Percent Change
-49% - -10.1%
Percent Change
-10% - -0.1%
-27.9% - -10.1%
0% - 24.9%
-10% - -0.1%
25% - 74.9%
0% - 24.9%
75% - 3000%
25% - 54.9%
Less than 100 population
55% - 697%
less than 100 population
Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2000 and 2010 P.L. 94-171 Redistricting Data.
Maps produced by the Office of the State Demographer.
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Projected Racial and Ethnic Population
Percentages for Texas, 2000-2040
70%
60%
50%
40%
Anglo
30%
Black
Hispanic
20%
Other
10%
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
2022
2024
2026
2028
2030
2032
2034
2036
2038
2040
0%
Source: Texas State Data Center. 2008 Population Projections, 2000-2007 Migration Scenario.
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Projected Population Growth in Texas,
2000-2040
Year
Source: Texas State Data Center. 2008 Population Projections.
16
Projected Increase in Obesity in Texas by
Ethnicity, 2006 to 2040
Source: Office of the State Demographer.
2006 Texas State Data Center Population Projections, 2000-2004 Migration Scenario
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Percent Health Insurance Coverage by Race/Ethnicity
and Type of Insurance, 2010
70
66
61
60
52
50
45
37
40
32
30
20
25
29
34
23
26
20
22
15
14
10
0
White
Black
None
Hispanic
Public
Asian
Other
Private
Note: Public includes individuals with public only and those with public plus private insurance. Private includes individuals who only have
private insurance.
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Source: American Community Survey, 2010 PUMS data
Population Aged 65 Years and Older in
Texas Counties, 2010
Percent of total population
Population 65 years plus
Number of People
Percent
12 - 9,999
6.9% - 9.9%
10,000 - 24,999
10% - 14.9%
25,000 - 49,999
15% - 19.9%
50,000 - 99,999
20% - 24.9%
100,000 - 333,487
Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2010 Summary File 1 Data.
Maps produced by the Office of the State Demographer.
25% - 31.1%
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Percent of Persons Aged 65 Years and Older in
Texas Counties, 2000 Census and 2040 Projected
2000
2040
Percent
5% - 9.9%
10% - 14.9%
15% - 19.9%
20% - 24.9%
25% - 30.7%
Source: Texas State Data Center. 2008 Population Projections, 0.5 Migration Scenario.
Maps produced by the Office of the State Demographer.
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Educational Attainment in Texas, 2009
Level of Educational
Attainment
Percent of persons aged
25 years and older
State
Ranking
High school diploma
or equivalency
79.9%
50
Bachelors
25.5%
31
Graduate
8.5%
33
Source: U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey, 1-Year Sample 2009.
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Race/Ethnic Composition by Education Level in the
Labor Force (aged 25 years and greater), Texas, 2009
3%
9%
19%
15%
6%
8%
67%
71%
Less Than High School
College and Greater
Source: Derived from 2009 American Community Survey 1-Year Estimates by the Office of the State Demographer.
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Projected Percent of Labor Force by Educational
Attainment in Texas, 2000 and 2040
35.0
30.1
30.0
29.0
28.7
28.7
23.9
Percent
25.0
20.0
18.8
18.2
15.0
12.9
10.0
5.3
5.0
4.4
0.0
No High School Diploma High School Graduate
Some College
2000
2040
Source: Texas State Data Center. 2008 Population Projections, 1.0 Migration Scenario.
Bachelor's Degree
Graduate/Professional
Degree
Demographics and Destiny
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Texas Demographics
• Growing more and faster than all states
• Growth driven by balance of natural increase and
net migration
• Unauthorized migrants about 6.5% of the
population
• Increasing diversity driven by growth of Hispanic
population
• Solid age structure for economic growth
• Challenges in growing an educated labor force
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Contact
Lloyd Potter, Ph.D.
Office: (512) 463-8390 or (210) 458-6530
Email: [email protected]
Internet: http://osd.state.tx.us
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