Transcript Slide 1

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Access in a New Era
Funding Update
Julian Gravatt, Assistant Chief Executive
Association of Colleges
23 March 2012
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Access
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update
The wider context
Higher education funding and finance
Further education funding and finance
Some concluding thoughts
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Events
trump
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2007:
The credit crunch (Northern Rock)
2008:
The banking collapse (Lehmans, RBS, Lloyds)
2009:
Bank rate 0.5%, Quantitative easing, Fiscal Stimulus
2010:
Eurozone Crisis starts, Coalition government
2011:
The Arab Spring, the summer riots in UK
2012:
What’s the most important thing this year?
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Funding
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ed
Coalition agreement (May 2010) had two priorities
Economic recovery
Reduction in government deficit
Higher education funding left to the Browne review (Oct 2010)
Decisions (autumn 2010) to:
protect spending on research
remove teaching funding/replace with fees & loans
measures to protect access (fee cap, loan changes etc)
reduce spending on FE skills by 25%
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budget
The imperative
“The issue is how the higher education sector
makes its contribution to deficit reduction”
Vince Cable, Parliament, 12 Oct 2010
Total spending rises...
Teaching grants cut from £5 bil to < £2 bil)
Student loans rise from £3 bil to £7 bil
...but every £1 in loans costs 30 pence in
interest subsidies and write-off
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Quotas
2012-13
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360,000 full-time entrants a year
est. 65,000 AAB+ places
2012-13 quota = 2011-12 less 9%
20,000 places up for grabs if fees < £7,500
11,000 places to Colleges, 9,000 to Unis
Withdrawal of University places in Colleges
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Universities
& HE
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teaching
Universities have diverse income – UK teaching, research, overseas
HE teaching income rising in some Universities
Growing competition between Universities for AAB+ students;
Divergence in University fortunes
Universities control 93% of the student loan quotas in 2012-13
Uncertainty about student demand and the pace of reform
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Colleges
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teaching
Long tradition of College higher education but evolution depends on
local factors (eg compare Outer vs Inner London, Essex, Suffolk etc)
266 Colleges offer government-funded HE courses
25 Colleges >1,000 FTE students
30 Colleges have 500-100 FTE students
210 Colleges have less than 500 (a long tail)
Colleges account for 7% of HE full-time entrants
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19+FE
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funding
Budget cut £4 bil (2011) to £3 bil (2015)
Single Adult Skills Budget
Initial plan to reduce 100% entitlements
inactive benefits, ESOL
second level 2s
level 3s for over 25s
Partial reversal of rule changes in 2011
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SFA
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2010
12% cut in adult learning (before election)
Single adult skills budget
2011
Smaller (2%) cut than expected for 2011-12
Many Colleges missed 2010-11 targets
SFA distributed extra funds in autumn 2011
2012
Large (12%) cash cuts in provisional allocations
Final allocations for 2012-13 due shortly
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Skills
funding
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policy
Colleges have some freedom with diminishing budgets BUT
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Expectation that apprenticeships and unemployed come first
Course funding rates have been cut
Some courses have been declared ineligible
System and rules still pretty complicated
Meanwhile
• SFA downsizing and managing multiple initiatives
• New growth initiatives every month
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FE
loans
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A revenue/capital switch (like HE)
Level 3 & 4 courses, over 24s
Similar to 2012 HE fee loans
Big differences between HE & FE admin
Big implementation risks
Briefing paper on www.aoc.co.uk
.
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Access
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Understand HE /19-24 FE/25+ FE funding & fees
Forecast income (SFA rates * student numbers)
What will happen to student demand as things change?
How can things be done differently to sustain your area?
Changes in course hours
Changes to teaching input
Other sources of income
Other cost reductions
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Some
challenges
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& opportunities
Some big uncertainties
- where competition will come from
- political direction
- student & employer response to higher fees
- which courses are worth doing
Income reduction/staffing changes are a permanent fact of life
Would you rather be somewhere other than London?
Has it ever been particularly easy?