Transcript Slide 1

Federal Budget Update: What to
Expect in FY 2015 and Beyond
NCPHA Spring Conference
Raleigh, NC
May 13, 2014
Federal Funds
Information for States
www.ffis.org
Overview
The federal budget and how it works
 What to expect this year

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FY 2015 appropriations
Mandatory sequestration (across-the-board cuts)
Issues to watch
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Deficit reduction, changes to Budget Control Act (BCA)
ACA program expirations
Where the money goes:
pieces of the federal budget pie
Composition of Federal Outlays in FY 2013
($ in Billions, % of Total)
Trends in state grant funding
Source: FFIS Grants Database
Federal grants going to North Carolina:
per capita, 2013
Major Category
Medicaid
Per Capita
$817
Rank
28
Other State
Local
Individual/Other
512
58
346
44
39
24
$1,733
35
Total
What programs areas are supported by
state/local grants?
Federal grants going to North Carolina:
share of funding by function
What are the major health grants?
Types of grants
Mandatory
Capped
Uncapped
Discretionary
Block Grant
Categorical
Grant
Formula
Grant
Direct
Appropriation
Annual
Appropriation
Formula
Grant
Project Grant
Mandatory vs. discretionary
health grants
Health Care Reform
Mandatory Funding
 Amended uncapped entitlements (Medicaid)
 Reauthorized capped entitlements (CHIP)
 Directly appropriated funding for new and existing programs
Discretionary Funding
 Extended authorization of existing programs
 Authorized new programs that must receive annual approp.
–
Creative funding mechanisms (Prevention and Public Health Fund,
initial direct appropriations)
What agencies have benefited from
Prevention and Public Health Fund?
Focus on FY 2015: Budget Control Act
(BCA) Recap
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$984 billion in cuts through FY 2021 (~$109 billion/year,
half from defense, half from nondefense)
FY 2013 sequestration occurred on March 1, 2013
– “Fix” reduced cuts from $109b to $85b
Many mandatory and a few discretionary programs are
exempt (special rules for some programs)
ATB cuts in FY 2013, different process for FY 2014+
Bipartisan Budget Act (BBA) provided some sequester relief
in FY 2014 and FY 2015
House, Senate, President Adhering
to BBA in FY 2015
Status of FY 2015 Appropriations
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House is moving appropriations bills, Senate plans
to begin in mid-May
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302(b) allocations
Easy bills moving first
Aggressive timetable
Many state grants likely to be level-funded
Prediction: Labor/HHS/Education will not be among the
bills passed before October 1
How have major health grants fared?
Program ($ in millions)
Health Centers
FY 2010
FY 2013
FY 2014
FY 2014 vs.
FY 2010
$2,190
$2,950
$3,651
67%
662
605
634
-4%
2,312
2,249
2,319
0.3%
185
131
142
-23%
1,799
1,710
1,820
1%
Mental Health BG
421
437
484
15%
Immunization grants
497
469
588
18%
Preventive Health BG
102
75
160
57%
Public Health Emergency
Preparedness
761
623
656
-14%
Maternal Child Health BG
Ryan White HIV/AIDS
Rural Health
Substance Abuse BG
Budget proposals to watch
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Extend Medicaid primary care payment increase
Potential cuts to public health programs because
of new coverage under ACA
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Refugee Assistance, Access to Recovery, State HighRisk Pool, Section 317 Immunizations, and National
Breast and Cervical Cancer Early Detection
Additional funding for substance abuse/mental
health
Reductions to the Prevention and Public Health
Fund
BCA still the law of the land
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Amended discretionary caps enforced by
sequestration
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Mandatory sequestration still in place
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BBA extended to FY 2023
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President proposes repeal, Congress unlikely to agree
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ATB percentages applied to current-law levels
Defense
Nondefense
FY 2014
-9.8%
-7.2%
FY 2015
-9.5%
-7.3%
Mandatory programs: FY 2015 OMB
sequestration estimates
Program
Maternal, Infant, and Early
Childhood Home Visiting
PreSequester
($ in millions)
Sequester Cut
($ in millions)
???
???
$3,244
-65
Affordable Insurance
Exchange Grants
836
-61
Money follows the person
434
-32
Prevention and Public Health
Fund
1,000
-73
Social Services Block Grant
1,700
-124
???
???
ACA Health Centers (2%)
Aging and Disability
Resource Center
What happens after FY 2015?
Pressure to tackle deficit diminishing,
long-term issues remain
Source: CBO Budget and Economic Outlook, 2/14
House and President take different
approaches to deficit reduction
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Discretionary caps
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Mandatory programs (health care spending)
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President’s budget increases defense and nondefense
House cuts nondefense and shifts savings into defense
President’s budget (-$400 billion/10yrs.): Medicare changes
House (-$3 trillion/10 years): repeals ACA, converts Medicaid
into block grant, modifies Medicare
Tax Policy
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President’s budget increases revenues, doesn’t include
comprehensive tax reform
House proposes revenue-neutral tax reform
Deadlines on the horizon
October 1,
2014
January 1,
2015
• Enact FY 2015
budget or pass a
Continuing
Resolution (CR)
• Aging and Disability
Resource Centers
(ADRCs)
• HHS cannot award
additional exchange
grants
March 15,
2015
• Raise debt limit
Deadlines on the horizon
April 1,
2015
• Medicaid Qualifying
Individual and
Transitional Medical
Assistance
• MIECHV
• ADRCs, Area
Agencies on Aging
• SHIPS
• Family-to-family
Sept. 30,
2015
• Health Profession
Opportunity Grant
• Personal
Responsibility
Education Program
• Abstinence Ed.
• CHIP
• Community Health
Centers
Beyond
• Prevention of
chronic disease in
Medicaid (1/1/16)
• Money Follows the
Person (9/30/16)
• DSH Cuts (10/1/16)
• CMS Innovation
Center (9/30/19)
• PPHF (indefinite)
More questions than answers
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FY 2015: states can expect level funding for
most programs; little chance of major
legislation
FY 2016:
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BCA: discretionary funding increases; many open
questions
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Will Congress amend the caps? Up or down?
Will deficit reduction be a focus?
Will ACA programs be extended?
The policies will stem from the politics.
Questions?
For more information: www.ffis.org,
Trinity Tomsic ([email protected] )