Transcript Considerations for Software Test and Evaluation
Collaboration to Meet Future T&E Needs
ITEA 14 September 2010
Mr. Mike Crisp Deputy Director, Air Warfare Operational Test and Evaluation 1
Need vs. Speed vs. Cost: A Balancing Act in Acquisition
• Requirements Process stressed in Meeting Today’s Needs • DoD Budgets Under Pressure • Warfighter Demand Cycle inside Acquisition OODA Loop • Concurrent Development, Production, Operations, and Support – Program Managers doing it all • Configuration Control – How many one or two of a kind can we manage?
• DoD Acquisition Life Cycle Framework – Complex Systems Integration in Fluid Operational Environments – Adaptive and Flexible enough to support rapid fielding?
• JUONS, Rapid Block upgrades, Milestones, Increments
Innovative and Adaptive Approaches Required
Challenges for Building Effective Integrated Test Partnership
• Limited Test Resources: Range Capabilities, Size, Forces (Manpower & Materiel) • Limited Test Time: Fielding & Production Schedules, Range Availability • Limited Test Articles: Unit Cost, Production Time • Requirements Validation: Do requirements satisfy mission requirements? Are they unambiguous, testable and technically realistic?
• Test Planning: Integrated test approach or serial? Active Participation in T&E WIPT? Early Identification of Operational Test Requirements?
• Test Execution: Operationally Representative Test Environments?
Integrated Test Approach and Partnering Can be Improved
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DOT&E Initiatives
Testers Engage Early
Requirements are Unambiguous Testable Relevant to mission accomplishment Technically Realistic
Integrated Testing
Developmental Operational Live Fire
Field New Capabilities Rapidly
Accelerated Testing
Improve Suitability
Reliability Growth 4
Rapid Fielding • Number One Priority of SECDEF • Examples:
– Extended Range Multi-Purpose UAS • Early Fielding Report based on Customer Test
Field New Capabilities Rapidly
Accelerated Testing – Project ODIN • ATEC Observations Led to Improved Effectiveness – MRAP • DoD 5000 Process Adapted for Rapid Development
ERMP UAS Counter IED OPS MRAP Live Fire Test
Engage Early
Testers Engage Early
Requirements are …
• DOT&E Action Officer as a Team Member
– Requirements Validation • Do requirements satisfy mission requirements?
• Are they unambiguous, testable and technically realistic – Test Planning • Active Participation in T&E WIPT • Early Identification of Operational Test Requirements – Test Execution • Operationally Representative Test Environments 6
Integrated Testing
Integrated Testing
Developmental Operational Live Fire
• Weapon System Acquisition Reform Act
– Established Director of Developmental Test – Formally Implemented Integrated Testing
• Test Process as a Continuum
– Developmental Testing – Live-fire Testing – Operational Testing
• Optimize Testing for Program Execution
– Design of Experiments – Operational Test Evaluation Utilizes All Data 7
Improve Suitability
• After System Effectiveness . . . Suitability is the Key Concern • Systems frequently judged Un-Suitable • Reliability and Maintainability account for 80% of Not Suitable ratings
Improve Suitability
Reliability Growth 8
Implementation (Continued) • Integrated Testing
– Test Process as a Continuum • Developmental Testing • Live-fire Testing • Operational Testing – Use Statistical Analysis • Data Collected over Long Period & Multiple Tests • Design of Experiments • Normalization of Data 9
Common Activities • Replicating the “real world” environment as closely as practical • Need for a distributive live/virtual/constructive (LVC) representation of the Joint Operational Environment • Development and use of validated Tactics, Techniques, and Procedures (TTPs) • Development of COCOM/JS approved Joint Mission Threads • Data collection, management, archiving, and retrieval processes The Test and Training Communities are Missing Opportunities for Cost-effective, Relevant Partnerships 10
Common Activities • Replicating the “real world” environment as closely as practical • Need for a distributive live/virtual/constructive (LVC) representation of the Joint Operational Environment • Development and use of validated Tactics, Techniques, and Procedures (TTPs) • Development of COCOM/JS approved Joint Mission Threads • Data collection, management, archiving, and retrieval processes The Test and Training Communities are Missing Opportunities for Cost-effective, Relevant Partnerships 11
Bottom Line on What’s Needed •
Strong partnership between the COCOMS, Test, and Training communities
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Committed leadership for strategic institutional funding, co investment, and cross-community management of joint test and training resources and infrastructure
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Need to overcome preference for OPM (Other People’s Money)
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Need to continue to work towards implementation of joint test and training roadmaps
It Takes Time and Effort – but Potential for Increased Efficiencies and Effectiveness Justifies Both 12
Design of Experiments (DOE)
• Test planning is a science!
• DOE is a scientific tool for developing robust test plans.
• DOE equips us to determine: – Power
Analyze
– Confidence – Breadth of coverage • The iterative nature of DOE facilitates Integrated Test design
Measurement Method Machine Mother nature Material Manpower
DOE
Test Design
Design of Experiments
• Integrated Test – DOE Approach – Inform each stage of testing from previous tests.
– Span the battlespace through a compilation of tests.
– Use screening experiments in DT to ensure a rigorous OT.
Developmental Test DT/OT Testing Operational Test
• DOE Provides: – Most powerful allocation of test resources for a given number of tests.
– A scientific, structured, objective way to plan tests.
– An approach to integrated test.
– A structured, mathematical analysis for summarizing test results.
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Design of Experiments:JASSM-ER
• • • • • • Binomial Distribution was Primary Method to Establish JASSM-ER Integrated Test Design Resulted in 21-shot Design Assumes ≤ 2 failures, to Demonstrate 0.80 Reliability with 80% Confidence 24 Factors Considered; Refined Design by Reducing Factors Previously Evaluated in Baseline JASSM OT • Primary Factors: Range, Release Mach, Release Altitude, & Target Type Ensures Key Performance Differences between Baseline JASSM & JASSM-ER are Evaluated • 21-event Test Design Created Using
¾
–fractional Design to Estimate Main Effects & Interactions with Range Uses 5 Combined DT/OT Shots 15
Conclusion
• • • • •
Our Goals
– Greater Rigor and Effectiveness in Testing – Introduce New Statistical Developments
Results
– Better Confidence, Power & Breadth in Tests
Our Products
– More Effective and Suitable Systems Rigor is Key to Constructing & Executing Efficient Tests Only Efficient Testing can be Defended in the Current and Future Budget Environment 16
Questions
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