Transcript DeMaria, Schumacher

HFIP Regional Ensemble Call
Audio = 1-800-857-6535
Passcode = 71511#
Meeting ID = 558-002-890
23 July 2012
HFIP Regional Ensemble Call
 Today’s Agenda
 Product Update (Mark DeMaria)
 Display Update (Paula McCaslin)
 Ensemble Update (Brian Etherton)
HFIP Ensemble Product Subgroup
Update on Prototype Products
Andrea Schumacher / Mark DeMaria
July 23, 2012 Conference Call
3
2 Prototype Ensemble Products
Planned for Aug. 1, 2012
1.
Genesis ensembles from global models
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T. Marchok lead (GFDL)
Development continuing
2. Hybrid dynamical-statistical wind speed probabilities
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A. Schumacher, M. DeMaria (co-leads)
Arrangements made to have ensemble tracks/intensities
pushed to CIRA from GFDL
Script being developed at CIRA for real time runs
Initial coordination to post products on HFIP web page
4
HFIP Ensemble Display Subgroup
Update on HFIP Web Page
Paula McCaslin
July 23, 2012 Conference Call
5
HFIP Ensemble Subgroup
Update on Realtime 2012 Ensemble
Brian Etherton
June 18, 2012 Conference Call
6
HFIP Regional Ensemble
 Formal work to be an EMC/GSD effort, running on SJET, for summer 2012.
 20-member ensemble, ‘basin-scale’ 27km domain
 Forecast length=120hr at 00Z and 12Z, 9hr at 06Z and
18Z
 Use GEFS for IC/BC, add on smaller scale perturbations
via dynamical downscaling / cycling method
 Start from EMC scripting set (Zhan Zhang), with GSD
modifications to incorporate small scale perturbations
 Still trying to ‘ensemble-ize’ basinscale scripts.
HFIP Regional Ensemble Call
 Meeting summaries/presentations to be located here:
http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/research/tropical_cyclones/hfip/add_conference_call_summaries.asp
 Next Call
 Tentatively scheduled for Monday, August 27th, at 11AM Pacific,
Noon Mountain, 1PM Central, 2PM Eastern (Daylight Time)
 Speakers… likely the three subgroup leads