Transcript DeMaria
HFIP Regional Ensemble Call
Audio = 1-800-857-6535
Passcode = 13677#
Meeting ID = 748-323-442
18 June 2012
HFIP Regional Ensemble Call
Today’s Agenda
Product Update (Mark DeMaria)
Display Update (Paula McCaslin)
Ensemble Update (Brian Etherton)
HFIP Ensemble Product Subgroup
Update on Prototype Products
Mark DeMaria
May 14, 2012 Conference Call
3
2 Prototype Ensemble Products
Planned for Aug. 1, 2012
1.
Genesis ensembles from global models
T. Marchok lead (GFDL)
Development continuing
2. Hybrid dynamical-statistical wind speed probabilities
A. Schumacher, M. DeMaria (co-leads)
Arrangements made to have ensemble tracks/intensities
pushed to CIRA from GFDL
Script being developed at CIRA for real time runs
Coordination needed with Paula to post products on HFIP
web page
4
HFIP Ensemble Display Subgroup
Update on HFIP Web Page
Paula McCaslin
June 18, 2012 Conference Call
5
HFIP Ensemble Subgroup
Update on Realtime 2012 Ensemble
Brian Etherton
June 18, 2012 Conference Call
6
HFIP Regional Ensemble
Formal work to be an EMC/GSD effort, running on S-JET,
for summer 2012.
20-member ensemble, ‘basin-scale’ 27km domain
Forecast length=120hr at 00Z and 12Z, 9hr at 06Z and 18Z
Use GEFS for IC/BC, add on smaller scale perturbations via
dynamical downscaling / cycling method
Hope to tap into products work
Future years aim for multi-physics ensemble, as well as higher
resolution
Start from EMC scripting set (Zhan Zhang), with GSD
modifications to incorporate small scale perturbations
HFIP Regional Ensemble Call
Meeting summaries/presentations to be located here:
http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/research/tropical_cyclones/hfip/add_conference_call_summaries.asp
Next Call
Tentatively scheduled for Monday, July 16th, at 11AM Pacific, Noon
Mountain, 1PM Central, 2PM Eastern (Standard Time)
Speakers… likely the three subgroup leads