Transcript PPT presentation

Canada’s trade in services by industry
■
Statistics Canada
Presentation for OECD-Eurostat Expert
Meeting on Trade in services
September 19th, 2007
1
Presentation
 Description of Canadian statistics
 Issues with the current methodology
 Redesign of the trade in services program:
improved methodology
2
Description of Canadian statistics
 Transactions by industry available for commercial
services (all services excluding travel, transportation
and government services)
 26 categories of commercial services
 8 industrial groups: 2 for goods and 6 for services
 Based on North American Industrial Classification
(NAICS)
 1 memorandum item for ICT industry
 No geographical breakdown
 Available since reference year 1999
 Plan to backcast to 1990
3
2005
Based on North American Industrial Classification System
Manag
ement
of
compan
ies &
enterpri
ses [55]
Other
service
s
produci
ng
industri
es
Memor
andum
item:
Inform
ation &
commu
nicatio
n
technol
ogy
Manufa
cturing
[31-33]
Other
goods
produci
ng
industri
es
Total,
service
s
produc
ing
industr
ies
Trade
and
transpo
rtation
Informa
tion,
culture
and
arts
Finance
and
insuran
ce [52]
Profess
ional,
scientifi
c&
technic
al
service
s [54]
6,158
5,401
757
30,731
3,800
7,337
6,351
9,991
921
2,330
10,163
200
195
5
2,430
998
1,278
0
68
30
55
1,519
Construction services
57
52
5
165
11
0
0
125
28
1
0
Insurance services
11
11
0
3,877
0
0
3,640
1
231
5
0
8
3
5
1,914
2
39
1,719
64
12
78
41
Computer and information
services
168
147
20
4,585
313
1,559
174
2,423
36
81
3,811
Royalties and licence fees
812
799
13
2,635
379
1,285
10
884
36
41
1,685
Non-financial commissions
104
97
7
738
569
14
86
59
6
3
311
15
2
13
305
190
0
0
4
0
111
0
1,110
892
218
4,018
385
309
647
1,860
468
350
863
40
40
0
462
53
185
41
168
1
13
34
Research and development
1,030
1,011
19
1,778
539
216
11
978
0
35
1,159
Architectural, engineering, and
other technical services
1,265
890
375
3,418
160
5
21
3,001
40
192
304
Miscellaneous services to
business
1,078
1,001
78
2,144
170
470
1
339
33
1,131
413
Audio-visual services
260
260
0
2,034
32
1,977
0
18
0
6
21
Personal, cultural and
recreational services
0
0
0
229
0
0
0
0
0
229
Commercial services by
category and by industry
Total,
goods
produc
ing
industr
ies
CREDITS (in millions of C$)
Total, commercial services
Communications services
Other financial services
Equipment rentals
Management services
Advertising and related
services
0
4
2005
Based on North American Industrial Classification System
Manag
ement
of
compan
ies &
enterpri
ses [55]
Other
service
s
produci
ng
industri
es
Memor
andum
item:
Inform
ation &
commu
nicatio
n
technol
ogy
Manufa
cturing
[31-33]
Other
goods
produci
ng
industri
es
Total,
service
s
produc
ing
industr
ies
Trade
and
transpo
rtation
Informa
tion,
culture
and
arts
Finance
and
insuran
ce [52]
Profess
ional,
scientifi
c&
technic
al
service
s [54]
11,736
10,557
1,179
26,767
4,455
5,995
8,658
4,622
655
2,382
6,207
14
13
1
2,420
823
1,414
1
119
41
23
1,515
141
85
56
65
32
0
0
4
28
1
1
Insurance services
85
73
12
5,474
17
3
5,149
4
257
45
5
Other financial services
57
46
12
2,795
5
15
2,568
94
44
70
16
Computer and information
services
226
185
41
1,942
356
460
126
934
12
54
1,135
Royalties and licence fees
3,979
3,833
145
4,338
1,516
1,437
23
717
37
608
1,526
285
282
3
340
267
16
23
25
8
2
39
73
39
34
993
633
5
4
38
2
310
1
2,527
2,161
366
2,710
537
303
631
870
51
319
1,302
Advertising and related
services
118
116
2
320
24
82
89
46
2
78
21
Research and development
893
858
35
438
49
53
1
256
52
26
387
Architectural, engineering, and
other technical services
831
568
264
1,420
40
15
8
1,252
87
19
72
2,500
2,293
207
1,219
142
207
35
262
6
566
113
Audio-visual services
6
5
1
2,086
15
1,984
0
2
28
56
74
Personal, cultural and
recreational services
0
0
0
206
0
0
0
0
0
206
Commercial services by
category and by industry
Total,
goods
produc
ing
industr
ies
DEBITS (in millions of C$)
Total, commercial services
Communications services
Construction services
Non-financial commissions
Equipment rentals
Management services
Miscellaneous services to
business
0
5
Description of Canadian statistics
 Large concentration of services in few industries
 Limited number of published industrial categories
 Statistics compiled at NAICS-6 digits level
• Published at NAICS-2 digits or even less
 Frequent requests from users as lack of details for
published statistics
 Increasing interest in these statistics for issues such
as outsourcing
6
Issues with the current methodology
 Strength of using diversified sources vs. weakness
of using different sources
 Current industrial classification extracted from
different sources but not consistently updated
 Sources used:
• Main survey on international trade in services
• Large number of specialized surveys covering specific industries
• Administrative data on trade between affiliates
 Sources cover diverse parts of the units (enterprise,
establishment, etc.)
 No link with central Business Register (BR)
• BOP had its own frame
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Issues with the current methodology
 Possible duplication
 Not an accurate portray of the units (could still
estimate for an inactive unit)
 No consistent treatment between units
 Interrogation about data quality = limitation of
published categories
 Difficulty to link data with other economic statistics
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Redesign of the trade in services program
 Global project to improve trade in (commercial)
services program
 Objectives: Improve coverage, methodology,
questionnaires, compatibility with other statistics, etc.
 Involve a link with the Business Register
• Complete structure of the unit will be available in the new BR
 Industrial classification extracted from Business
Register
• Industrial classification based on the dominant activity
 Industrial classification (NAICS) will be an important
indicator for the stratification of the services sample
9
Redesign of the trade in services program
 First step [fall 2007]: Link BOP units with Business
Register
 Find the appropriate top enterprise for each unit
 Eliminate non-matches
 Able to provide inputs to Business Register
 Change in the collection process: Is the top
enterprise always the best to provide statistics?
10
Redesign of the trade in services program
 Second step [winter 2008]: Use Business Register
to determine the target population and the sample
 Establish criteria of selection based on known trade
in services activities, industrial classification, and
revenues
 Over sampling certain industries
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Redesign of the trade in services program
 Third step [2009?]: Increase the level of published
details for trade by industry
 More confident in statistics due to better and more
consistent methodology
 Probable break in time series
 Link micro data on trade in services with other
economic micro data (employment, investments, etc.)
 Other projects: Export and import registers
 Reactive statistics on country of control
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Thank you for your attention
Questions / Comments ?
13