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Stretching the limits – Keeping
the principles
High Level Forum on Official Statistics
NY, 27 February 2012
Heli Jeskanen-Sundström
Director General
Structure
Short introduction
Elements of statistical systems
Is it our business?
Where are the limits?
About the future
Some useful lessons learnt
Final remarks
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A short introduction
As a background to this presentation I was thinking
three big challenges:
Measuring problems relating to the globalisation
of economies
Measuring sustainable development
Measuring well-being
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Elements of statistical systems I
WHAT ?
purpose of measurement, user needs
HOW IN THEORY?
Measurement framework (preferably supported by
scientific theory/evidence)
concepts, definitions, statistical units,
classifications, methodologies, assumptions,
counting rules
Etc.
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Elements of statistical systems II
HOW IN PRACTICE?
Rules and guidelines for practical implementation
Data sources, reporting units
Technical tools and information systems
Methodologies and assumptions (incl. use of
proxies, modelling techniques, imputing,
valuation and monetizing)
Etc.
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Elements of statistical systems III
HOW DOES IT WORK?
Evaluation of the chosen solutions
Quality assurance framework
Coherence vis-à-vis existing other systems
Is the output meaningful
Cost-effictiveness of the measurement system
Etc.
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Is it “our business”?
A wrong argument: “If we are not doing it, someone else
will do”
User needs: “need to know” and “nice to know”
Direct national and international decision making (e.g.
government programs, Member States’ contributions to
international organisations, follow-up of international
agreements)
Monitoring important national and international
strategies and policies
Other
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Is it “our business”?
Implications to the credibility of official statistics
Are our measurement systems commonly/largely
acceptable? among users, data providers, other
stakeholders, among those who’s conditions we are
describing?
Can we maintain the fundamental principles of official
statistics: impartiality, professionalism, scientific
principles and standards, transparency, statistical
confidentiality, relevance, reliability, quality
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Where are the limits?
Current conditions.....forecasting the future
Material...........nonmaterial/immaterial
Observable.............non-observable
Objective conditions.....subjective opinions/feelings
National..............transnational/global
Statistics............research
Public statistics.......only for administrative use
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About the future: what is unmeasurable today, might
be measurable tomorrow (and vice versa)
A lot of new data sources, new tools, new
research, new methods, new innovations will help
to remove the current limits
Some promising new examples
European Statistical System’s work on MNE’s
UNECE/OECD/Eurostat: impact of globalisation on
national accounts and related work
UN work on measuring ecosystems and services
OECD work on measuring subjective well-being
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Some useful lessons learnt
Better to eat an elephant one bite at a time
More analytical work and prioritisation
Broader co-operation and partnership
Scientific community, multidisciplinary approach,.....
The role and meaning of co-ordination is changing
More experimental frameworks and statistics?
certainly more piloting and testing needed
The devil is in the details
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Final remarks
Statistical measuring is not only a technical issue, but a lot
more than that
Everything which is measurable in technical terms, is not
necessarily “our business”
After all, a statistical system is an international convention
of the statistical community based on justified needs. Our
way of describing the societies must be accepted by
ourselves and considered legitimate also by our
stakeholders
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