Transcript "Futures Region" Benchmarking Indicators

‘Futures Region’
Benchmarking Indicators
FUTURREG 2nd SC Meeting
Thessaloniki, 24 January 2006
Observatory of Innovation, Cardiff Business School
Core indicators 1-5
Use of futures tools
1. What is the range of futures tools that are known to be
in use in the region?
2. What is the perceived level of awareness about futures
tools in the region?
3. How much sharing of knowledge or information
regarding futures tools commonly exists in the region?
4. What dissemination of and access to futures tools
exists in the region?
5. How many experts (individuals or organisations) on 1
or more futures tools are active in the region?
Futures Region Benchmarking
Indicators. CBS
Core indicators 6-10
Futures capacity of the region in policy making
6. The number of organisations regularly using futures in
their policy making
7. Strategic position of the organisations commonly using
futures tools in poliocy making
8. The range of inputs/knowledge sources typically in use
in futures for policy making
9. The extent of INTRA-regional networking around
futures in policy making
10. The extent of collaborative working between actors in
futures
Futures Region Benchmarking
Indicators. CBS
Core indicators 11-15
Real applications of futures in policy making
11. The number of recent or current applications of futures
in policy making
12. The number of planned or proposed applications of
futures in policy making
13. The extent of INTER-regional collaboration on futures
applications
14. The range of issues or policy areas being addressed
using futures applications in policy making
15. The impact of futures application on policy making
Futures Region Benchmarking
Indicators. CBS
Scoring, indicators 1-5
Use of futures tools
What is the range of futures tools that are known to be in use in the
region?
What is the perceived level of awareness about futures tools in the
region?
How much sharing of knowledge or information regarding futures tools
commonly exists in the region?
What dissemination of and access to futures tools exists in the region?
How many experts (individuals or organisations) on 1 or more futures
tools are active in the region?
0
1
2
3
4
None
1 to 3
3 to 4
4 to 6
more than 6
None
Low
awareness &
limited to a
small number
of groups
Good level of
awareness but
limited to a small
number of groups
Notes:
A futures tool could be scenario building;
technology scanning; Trends analysis etc.
This may need to be calibrated to take
regional differences into account - typically
size of the region and its instituional
complexity. These ratings are for Wales but
may not be the same ones for Malta or
Finland
Good level of
High level of
awareness
awareness &
distributed across
widespread This is a subjective judgement that should
groups &
across groups be apparent from the regional profiling
organisations
& organisations
actively involved
in the region
in futures work
Closely linked to the next parameter
(dissemination) but more related to the
openness of the experts in the regions to
regularly exchange experience and
knowledge than references to publications
etc.
None
Occassional and
Occassional
Frequent but with
Frequent,
usually subject to
and limited to
access typically systematic and
'set-piece' sharing
academic or
limited to experts
freely
e.g. through annual
experts groups
or practitioners
accessible
conferences etc
None
Occassional and
Occassional
usually subject to Frequent but with
Frequent,
See above - also - dissemination may
and limited to 'set-piece' events or access typically systematic and
include web sites; publications; newsletters;
academics or
publications
limited to experts
freely
conferences etc
experts groups
e.g.annual
or practitioners
accessible
conferences etc
None
This may need to be calibrated to take
regional differences into account - typically
size of the region and its instituional
complexity. These ratings are for Wales but
may not be the same ones for Malta or
Finland
1 to 4
5 to 10
11 to 20
Futures Region Benchmarking
Indicators. CBS
above 20
Scoring, indicators 6-10
Futures capacity of the region in policy making
The number of organisations regularly using futures in their policy
making
0
None
1
1 to 3
2
4 to 6
3
7 to 10
Medium, typically
High, typically
Low,
Low, typically
single discipline
regional
typically local authority regional bodies eg
development
single issue or community
Environment
bodies or private
Strategic position of the organisations commonly using futures tools in
interest
based or
Agency or private
companies with
poliocy making
groups(e.g.
private
companies with
significant
Friends of
companies
significant regional regional impact
the Earth)
(SMEs)
impact (employment (employment or
or supply chain)
supply chain)
The range of inputs/knowledge sources typically in use in futures for
policy making
The extent of INTRA-regional networking around futures in policy
making
The extent of collaborative working between actors in futures
Low,
Low,
previously
internal
commissioned
sources &
or off-the-shelf
concerns
inputs
above 10
This may need to be calibrated to take
regional differences into account - typically
size of the region and its instituional
complexity. These ratings are for Wales but
may not be the same ones for Malta or
Finland
High, typically
regional
governments or
national bodies
with significant
regional impact
High, research,
stakeholder
engagement
and public
debate
Inputs may include information regarding the
regional economy, global or sectoral trends;
delphi reports; stakeholder engagements;
focus groups; scenario workshops etc
None
High, inputs from
High,
Low, futures
across the region transparent and
Medium, inputs
conducted
and face to face fully debated
sought from across
'behind closed
engagement from use of futures
the region
doors'
other
and analysis of
groups/experts
results
This is similar to parameter regarding inputs
above but focuses on the networking around
the analysis and debating of results &
outcomes
None
Medium, actors
Low, actors
occassionally meet
are not
and are allowed to
encouraged to
collaborate if there
be
are gains to their
collaborative
organisations
Medium,
commissioned
research or inputs
Medium,
commissioned
research plus
stakeholder
engagement
4
High, regular
dialogue and
High, regular
exchanges and
dialogue and
individuals
exchanges take
working for
place between
actors are
organisations
encouraged
using futures
and rewarded
to collaborate
Futures Region Benchmarking
Indicators. CBS
Scoring, indicators 11-15
Real applications of futures in policy making
0
1
2
3
4
The number of recent or current applications of futures in policy
making
None
1 to 3
4 to 6
7 to 10
above 10
A 5 year time horizon could apply (past) - As
above comment regarding the possible need
to flex these numbers according to the scale
of the region being assessed.
The number of planned or proposed applications of futures in policy
making
None
1 to 3
4 to 6
7 to 10
above 10
A 5 year time horizon could apply (future) As above comment regarding the possible
need to flex these numbers according to the
scale of the region being assessed.
The extent of INTER-regional collaboration on futures applications
None
The range of issues or policy areas being addressed using futures
applications in policy making
None
The impact of futures application on policy making
None
Full
For example, if all of Wales interregional
Active
engagement in collaboration on futures rested on Cardiff
Some Limited engagement
engagement in
futures
Business School engagement in FOREN,
typically limited in futures networks
futures networks networks for a the result would be 3,. However if we had
to Conference for a small number
for a small
significant
only attended the Mobilising Regional
attendance
of experts
number of experts
number of
Foresight Conference in October 2003, the
experts
result would be 1
1
2 to 4
5 to 7
above 7
Issues or policy areas could be sustainable
development; quality of life; innovation or at
company level the challenge from a new
market or new technology etc
Significant and
Significant
Limited to an annex
transparent
impact and fully Impact may be interpreted as a piece of
Present but not
or note in policy or impact in one or embedded in futures work clearly influencing the direction
visible
strategy documents more examples of policy making or choice of policies.
policy making
at all levels
Futures Region Benchmarking
Indicators. CBS
Example - Wales
Use of futures tools
What is the range of futures tools that are known to be in use in the
region?
What is the perceived level of awareness about futures tools in the
region?
0
1
2
3
4
None
1 to 3
3 to 4
4 to 6
more than 6
None
How much sharing of knowledge or information regarding futures tools
commonly exists in the region?
None
Low
awareness &
limited to a
small number
of groups
Occassional
and limited to
academic or
experts groups
What dissemination of and access to futures tools exists in the region?
None
Occassional
and limited to
academics or
experts groups
How many experts (individuals or organisations) on 1 or more futures
tools are active in the region?
None
1 to 4
Good level of
awareness but
limited to a small
number of groups
Occassional and
usually subject to
'set-piece' sharing
e.g. through annual
conferences etc
Occassional and
usually subject to
'set-piece' events or
publications
e.g.annual
conferences etc
Good level of
High level of
awareness
awareness &
distributed across
widespread
groups &
across groups
organisations
& organisations
actively involved
in the region
in futures work
Frequent but with
Frequent,
access typically systematic and
limited to experts
freely
or practitioners
accessible
Wales
Score
Futures Region Benchmarking
Indicators. CBS
above 20
7
20
1
1
2
11 to 20
Total
Potential
Score
1
Frequent but with
Frequent,
access typically systematic and
limited to experts
freely
or practitioners
accessible
5 to 10
Total
Indices
Score
2