Document 7476682

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Transcript Document 7476682

Kona IEA working group
meeting
PIFSC
May 24, 2016
What is an IEA?
An IEA is a formal synthesis and quantitative
analysis of information on relevant natural and
socio–economic factors in relation to specified
ecosystem management goals
There is a framework in place
Components: Scoping, data/drivers, modeling,
advising
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NOAA Fisheries IEA Current Focus
Work Plan being finalized
• Data management and integration
• Data gaps
• Ecosystem models and socioeconomic modules
• Integrative indicators of ecosystem status
• Operational IEA within the California Current
• Management strategy evaluation
• Expansion into GoMex and NE Shelf
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California Current (furthest along)
Implement an initial IEA in the California Current (CC)
—Establish data management and ecosystem-modeling
infrastructure
—Focus on a subset of drivers, pressures, and
management strategies that influence key
ecosystem management targets
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California Current Deliverables
—
Data system and management framework
—
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Test indicator performance
Atlantis based model framework
Statistical and analytical models and analyses for risk
assessment and management strategy evaluation (MSE)
—
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Publications documenting CC IEA creation and application of
MSE
CC Ecosystem Status Report
MSE products
—
Engagement with sector/partners
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Northeast (Mid-Phase)
Continue Development of IEA Structure for the Northeast Shelf
— Augment ecosystem indicators in Driver-Pressure-State-ImpactResponse format developed for Ecosystem Status Report
— Continue development and implementation of multispecies and
ecosystem models for NE Shelf
— Expand data management infrastructure
Deliverables
— Complete paper on implementation of DPSIR framework in Northeast
— Complete and validate parameter estimates for ATLANTIS model
— Complete white paper on options for EBM on the Northeast Continental
Shelf
— Initial implementation of Management Strategy Evaluation for Northeast
Continental Shelf LME
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Gulf of Mexico (Initial phase)
Establish the foundation for Gulf of Mexico (GOM) IEA
development
—
—
Extend data management infrastructure
Review and develop ecosystem indicators
Deliverables
—
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Identify and accumulate relevant GOM data sets
Update parameter database for use in food web and
ecosystem models
Negotiation of data-sharing and collaboration
Review trophic linkage data within current Ecopath with
Ecosim model with potential future input into Atlantis
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Kona IEA Overall Objectives
Strawman vision: Provide evaluation of management
strategies and advice to promote a healthy,
sustainable and productive Kona region
—Integration of diverse ecosystem information
—Incorporate economic and social science data
—Evaluate benefits and risks to social and ecological sector
posed by management actions
—Synthesize best-available science for effective
ecosystem-based management
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Kona IEA meeting initial steps
IEA 5 step process
Scoping: What are our key
(ecosystem) management issues?
Scoping
Develop EI
Identify: What are the main drivers of
the system?
Monitoring of ecosystem
indicators and
management
effectiveness
Work plan: what needs to be done
and who will do it?
Risk Analysis
Assessment of
Ecosystem Status
Management
Strategy Evaluation
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Kona (Non-official pilot project)
Establish the foundation for Kona IEA development
1.
2.
3.
4.
Scoping: Identify management goals, drivers
Create data management infrastructure
Review and develop ecosystem indicators
Create/refine Ecosystem model(s)
Deliverables
—
—
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Identify and accumulate relevant Kona data sets (portal) (Y1)
Construct/refine ecosystem indicators (point, TS) (Y1/2)
Construct preliminary Kona Ecopath(sim) model (Y1?/2)
Negotiation of data-sharing and collaboration (Y1?/2)
2-3 page “brochure” detailing work to date and future IEA plan
(external) i.e. “what would we do with funding” (Y1)
Action plan for work towards IEA (internal) (Y1)
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Where do we start?
Three lists:
1.List of management issues
1. List for partners
2.List of data
1. Available now for data portal
2. Needs “work”
3.List of projects (end: portal, writeup/brochure)
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Example Final products – August?
Data Portal (web)
Brochure (print)
PIFSC - Kona IEA
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Where do we start?
Three lists:
1.List of management issues
1. List for partners
2.List of data
1. Available now for data portal
2. Needs “work”
3.List of projects (e.g. portal, writeup/brochure)
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List 1 – Key management issues
1. Identify important ecosystem indicators (health)
2. Identify important habitats
3. Identify economic/anthropogenic impacts
1. Impacts from coastal development (runoff/sedimentation),
aquaculture, ocean energy, etc
2. Positive impacts from tourism
1. Capacity of Kona to sustain tourism?
4. Impacts of fishing (extractive)
1. Commercial/non-commercial/subsistence
1. Traditional vs modern (conflict)
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List 1 – Key management issues
1. Effects of climate change on Kona region
2. Shared user areas
1. MPAs (e.g. HB Sanctuary; overlap in use/conflict area)
2. Recreational dive industry/aquarium fish collectors
3. Institutional capacity (ability/capacity of inst. To address
conflicts and manage on ecosystem scale)
3. Introduced species/species diversity/endemic
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Where do we start?
Three lists:
1.List of management issues
1. List for partners
2.List of data
1. Available now for data portal
2. Needs “work”
3.List of projects (e.g. portal, writeup/brochure)
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List 2 – Data and status
1. MHI MRI Kona database – Kimberly
2. FEAT/WPFin (CML data, dealer, state data)
1. Mar Rec Inf Prog. Ma - PIFSC
3. Shackeroff 2008 (lit search/data), 2008 study Op
thesis, 2003 thesis WHFC.
4. Turtles (Stacy)
5. State has 26 sites (4x/yr) Fish/Coral cover
6. 20 years of N/S shallow recruitment (Ed) Ted
Hobson’s Kona series, DAR has 3 locations from
70s coral reef fish.
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List 2 – Data and status
1. MHI MRI Kona database – Kimberly
2. FEAT/WPFin (CML data, dealer, state data)
1. Mar Rec Inf Prog. Ma - PIFSC
3. Shackeroff 2008 (lit search/data), 2008 study Op
thesis, 2003 thesis WHFC.
4. Turtles (Stacy)
5. State has 26 sites (4x/yr) Fish/Coral cover
6. 20 years of N/S shallow recruitment (Ed) Ted
Hobson’s Kona series, DAR has 3 locations from
70s coral reef fish.
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List 2 – Data and status
McManus – Current meters along coast (UH? Hilo?)
Hydrographic data (Humphreys, TC, Sette?)
Satellite (resolution?)
Icthyoplankton (Humphreys, West?)
Fletcher hazard data (USGS?, HIG, Rooney) erosion
etc.
6. Bur. Census, labor on employment, population.
Hawaii.gov website downloadable GIS (Kimberly)
7. Geomorphology (Kimberly)
8. Hawaii biological survey data
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
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List 2 – Data and status
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
CRED? Coris database has information on MHI
NDBC Buoys/Ocean models (e.g. HYCOM, tidal)
Coastal water quality sites DOH, watershed class
Physics (eddies, tides, currents, winds: papers)
Native Hawaiian wind database (Kimberly)
Cold water pipe: time series?
Queen Lili Child center (Kimberly)
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List 2 – Available data
1. etc
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Where do we start?
Three lists:
1.List of management issues
1. List for partners
2.List of data
1. Available now for data portal
2. Needs “work”
3.List of projects (e.g. portal, brochure)
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List 3 – Projects (in house/contract?)
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
Data recovery
Data portal
Outreach
Brochure
etc
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List 3 – Projects (in house/contract?)
1. etc
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The Process
Determine key ecosystem issues
Incorporate relevant ecosystem information to prioritize
development of indicators
Determine targets and thresholds for managementrelated indicators (consistent with legislation)
Evaluate the relationships between pressure and status
indicators using appropriate research, models, and
forecasts
Provide routine reporting and updates on the status
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