Cosmic Structures: Challenges for Astro-Statistics * Data compression – e.g. P(k) * Features in P(k) * Parameter estimation and model selection * Beyond the 2-point.

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Transcript Cosmic Structures: Challenges for Astro-Statistics * Data compression – e.g. P(k) * Features in P(k) * Parameter estimation and model selection * Beyond the 2-point.

Cosmic Structures:
Challenges for Astro-Statistics
* Data compression – e.g. P(k)
* Features in P(k)
* Parameter estimation and model selection
* Beyond the 2-point statistic
* The big questions:
dark matter, dark energy, galaxy formation
Ofer Lahav
Department of Physics and Astronomy
University College London
F
2MASS Galactic chart (Tom Jarrett)
Redshift Surveys
The Cosmic Web
SDSS
CfA Great Wall
Great
Attractor
2dFGRS
Is the universe a fractal?
A short answer: NO
N(<R) / RD
D=1.2
clumpiness
Small scales
Correlation Function per Type
dP / n [1+(r)] dV
(r) = (r/r0)-
Why a power law?
different slopes for blue
and red explained by
different halo
Occupation numbers
Madgwick et al. 03
Halo model for LSS
Picture credit: Cooray & Sheth (2002)
The halo model – the ‘new biasing’
P(k) = Plin+Phalo
Truncated NFW fit with
C=2.4§ 0.2
using 2dF Groups
Collister & Lahav, astro-ph/0412516
Neutrinos decoupled when they were still relativistic,
hence they wiped out structure on small scales
112 neutrinos per cm3
CDM+HDM
WDM
CDM
From 2dF  < 0.04 ;
M < 1.8 eV (Elgaroy & OL 2003)
From Ly-a+SDSS +CMB M < 0.17 eV (Seljak et al. 2006)
Mock
Universes:
Models vs.
Epoch
Same amplitudes, different phases
Chiang & Coles 2000
Non-Gaussianity in LSS
 Guassian density contrast pdf will turn
into (roughly) a log-normal pdf.
 Gravity is an amplifier: the rich gets richer
the poor gets poorer
• Needed: non-G tests, shape finders
CiC
2dF
early type
Wild et al 2004
Minkowski
functionals
(
)
2
Wavelet MF V3 applied to 2dF
Martinez et al.
Are the 2dFGRS superclusters
anomalous?
7 Abell clusters
77 groups (>8)
20 Abell clusters
93 groups (>8)
Baugh et al., Erdogdu et al., Murphy & OL
MegaZ-LRG
*Training on ~13,000 2SLAQ
*Generating with ANNz
Photo-z for ~1,000,000 LR
over 5,000 sq deg
z = 0.046
Collister, Lahav,
Blake et al.
power spectra out to 1 Gpc
vary 4 parameters
Non-linear P(k)
Linear P(k)
Blake et al., astro-ph/0605303
Minimum fitted
multipole
Baryon Wiggles as Standard Ruler
The Dark Energy Survey
•
4 complementary techniques:
* Cluster counts & clustering
* Weak lensing
* Galaxy angular clustering
* SNe Ia distances
Build new 3 deg2 camera
on the CTIO Blanco 4m
Construction 2005-2009
Survey 2009-2014 (~525 nights)
5000 deg2 g, r, i, z
300, 000, 000 galaxies with photo-z
Science goal: w to ~5-10% on each technique
LSS - The Steps Ahead
* Spetcroscopic and photometric Surveys
Of 106 – 108 galaxies
* Beyond the 2-point statistic:
higher meoments, MF, shape finders, phases…
* The interplay with galaxy formation
* Dark energy surveys (BAO, WL)
* The VO infra-structure