MCC Impact Evaluation of Mozambique Land Reform Jigar Bhatt & Jennifer Witriol Millennium Challenge Corporation World Bank ARD Conference March 2009
Download ReportTranscript MCC Impact Evaluation of Mozambique Land Reform Jigar Bhatt & Jennifer Witriol Millennium Challenge Corporation World Bank ARD Conference March 2009
MCC Impact Evaluation of Mozambique Land Reform
Jigar Bhatt & Jennifer Witriol Millennium Challenge Corporation World Bank ARD Conference March 2009
Overview
MCC Land Tenure Services Project
Objectives Activities Scope and Rollout Area Selection Methodology
Impact Evaluation Strategy
Indicators Data Collection Initial Evaluation Plan Evaluation: Pillars 1, 2 and 3 Implementers Project Rollout and Design Implications Impact Evaluation Design Options
Next Steps Questions
Land Tenure Services Project: Objective
Establish more efficient and secure access to land by improving the policy framework; upgrading land information systems and services; helping beneficiaries meet immediate needs for registered land rights; and increasing access to land for investment
Land Tenure Services Project: Activities
Policy Monitoring Pillar (I) Address implementation problems with the existing land law Conduct regulatory reviews to improve upon land policy environment Support training for predictable, speedy resolution of disputes Capacity Building Pillar (II) Build the institutional capacity to implement policies and to provide quality public land-related services by investing in human and information resources, including upgrading land information management systems, land offices, and cadastral services.
Site-specific Pillar (III) Facilitate access to land use by helping individuals and businesses with clear information on land rights and access and with registering their grants-of-land use Delimitation / Demarcation and land use planning in hot spot areas
Land Tenure Services Project: Scope and Rollout
National land administration and policy assessment and strategy formation: Year 1 4 Northern Provinces: Cabo Delgado, Nampula, Niassa and Zambezia 8 municipalities, 12 districts and “hot spot” areas in each Pilot areas: Year 2 Rollout in Northern provinces over remaining areas: Year 3-4
Land Tenure Services Project: Area Selection Methodology
Outreach by MCA and provincial government Interested municipalities and districts submit application, including hot spot areas NLPAG shortlists project areas based on selection criteria to 5 districts and 3 municipalities in each province Random selection of 3 out of 5 districts and 2 out of 3 municipalities that short listed
Indicators: Activity Level
Project Activity Indicator Policy and Legal Support Institutional Capacity Building
Adopting legislation that allows land use rights to be transferred without undue delay or risk Promote knowledge and awareness of land tenure reforms Legal Strengthening National, Provincial and Municipal Institutional Strengthening / upgrading Land use inventory, mapping, and planning process Land use inventory, mapping, and planning process
Site Specific: Increasing access and tenure rights
Increasing community tenure rights Demarcations Streamlining access to land in priority areas Number of new or revised regulations, revisions to specific articles of existing law, or decrees changing administrative procedures Percentage of population made aware of land tenure laws / changes Number of paralegals trained by CFJJ Number of people trained / offices upgraded Number of targeted districts fully covered by base maps developed under projects Percentage of parcels in selected districts included in the cadastral database Number of communities delimited / receiving user rights Number of parcels demarcated Number of investors receiving assistance with land access
Indicators: Objectives and Outcomes
Indicators
Small-holder land value Urban parcelholder land value
Definition
Value per hectare Value per parcel
Unit of Measurement
Meticais, 2009 values Meticais, 2009 values Value of Investments Value of fixed investments Number of new businesses Number of partnerships between communities & investors Number of new businesses formally registered & established Number of partnerships between private investors and communities Time to get land usage rights (DUAT) Cost to get land usage rights (DUAT) Number of days required to obtain land usage rights (DUAT) Amount of money required to obtain land usage rights (DUAT) Number of land parcels that have conflicts Number of land parcels experiencing a live conflict Efficient, free and secure land transfers / transactions Transactions tracked and registered.
Meticais, 2009 values Businesses Community Partnerships Days Meticais, 2009 values Land parcels Transaction
Level of Disaggregation
None None Agricultural / urban / community None None Small holders and urban parcelholder Small holders and urban parcelholder New / existing Formal / informal
Data Collection
TIA
Household Survey
Business Census
Administrative Data
FIAS/Doing Business
Initial Evaluation Plan
Simultaneous interventions require a complex and multi-faceted approach to evaluation Evaluating Pillar I: Policy Monitoring and Legal TA National Level TIA Evaluation of outreach and educational activities Evaluating Pillars II & III National Level TIA Baseline and Follow-up surveys using experimental / quasi-experimental research design Evaluation of institutional upgrading / capacity building and site specific activities
Evaluating Pillar I
National Level TIA – administered in all rural districts in Mozambique Before / After design Snapshot in 2009 vs. Snapshot in 2013 Tests rural households’ knowledge of land law with a focus on 1997 Land Law Reform and Gender / Women’s access and rights to Land
Evaluating Pillars II & III
Multiple Layered Approach using Interaction Effects TIA & Pillar II Comparing impact of institutional strengthening and Tech Asst on indicators of investment, conflicts, and transactions (costs, types, frequency) in Northern Provinces vs. Rest of Country Cannot remove effect of Pillar I, Policy Monitoring
Pillar II Intervention Area (Northern Moz)
-
=
Potential intervention effect
TIA Coverage (All Moz)
Evaluating Pillars II & III cont.
Evaluating the Site Specific Component (Pillar III) Through Interaction effects: Capacity Building (II) + Securing access to land (III) vs. just Capacity Building (II) or no intervention Why? Areas receiving site specific access to land also affected by all other ‘higher level’ interventions How to resolve?
Timing of implementation Community Land Fund Evaluation – Focuses on securing community access to land
With Pillar III Without Pillar III Possible Comparisons With Pillar II
Box=Both interventions Box=Just capacity building
Without Pillar II
Box=Just securing access to land Box = No intervention
Implementers
The Mozambican Ministry of Agriculture Department of Economics and US based Michigan State University Implementing Entity Agreement between MCA and Ministry of Agriculture Department of Economics (the implementers of the Trabalho Inquerito Agricola, or TIA).
MCC contract with the Michigan State University, which has a team based at the Ministry of Agriculture in Maputo.
Project Rollout and Design Implications
Evaluating the Site Specific Access to Land Component (III) Project area selection method changed due to environment Required intensive field work Districts/Municipalities not randomized Experimental design through hot spot selection Difficult to compare hot spot areas chosen for different reasons (conflict, agricultural investment, land planning) Potentially choose neighboring area as control (even if not hot spot) Choose hot spots with similar concerns across districts/municipalities (potential for different base characteristics) Rollout implications: Pilot 8 hotspots chosen from 2 Provinces in first year
Impact Evaluation Design Options
Evaluating the Site Specific Access to Land Component (III) Option 1: Random selection of hotspot for intervention Step 1: Have district/muni propose at least 2 hotspots Step 2: Randomly select one hotspot for MCA intervention Option 2: Matching hotspots to their bordering areas Step 1: Have district/muni propose at least 2 hotspots Step 2: Identify hotspot for intervention Step 3: Identify area that: a) shares border with hotspot; b) is nearly identical to hotspot in important ways; and c) will not receive intervention.
Next Steps
Evaluating Policy Monitoring (I) and Upgrading/TA (II) Analyze 2009 TIA data Evaluating Site Specific activity (III) Determine which 2 Provinces receive intervention first Determine evaluation design: Randomized selection or Matching hotspot(s) Determine geographic focus of evaluation – urban / rural Evaluating Community Land Fund (III) Determine feasibility of rigorously evaluating CLF