Heat Pump Water Heater Model Validation, Market Progress Assessment, and Process Evaluation RTF HPWH Sub-Committee Meeting October 15, 2012 EvergreenEcon.com.

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Transcript Heat Pump Water Heater Model Validation, Market Progress Assessment, and Process Evaluation RTF HPWH Sub-Committee Meeting October 15, 2012 EvergreenEcon.com.

Heat Pump Water Heater Model Validation, Market Progress Assessment, and Process Evaluation

RTF HPWH Sub-Committee Meeting October 15, 2012

EvergreenEcon.com

Topics

Quick Review of Study GoalsMetering Site SelectionSite Recruiting Process & StatusMetering ProtocolsProcess & Market Evaluation UpdatesSchedule Update 2

Goal Review

For active UES, need more information in 3 Primary Data Collection Areas:

• • •

Hot water consumption In-field COP Space Conditioning Interaction

Quick Review of Study Goals

Metering Site Selection

3

Metered Hot Water Consumption

• • • •

Metered DHW Energy Use Only (no flow):

• • •

DHP Field Studies (all electric tanks)

NEEA: 95 sites

BPA: 50 sites RBSA Metering (gas and electric tanks):

100 sites Total # Sites with Metered Energy Use: 245 Metered DHW Energy and Hot Water Use:

• • • •

BPA/EPRI: 32 HPWH Sites + ~10 Traditional Tank Sites NEEA/Fluid: 30 HPWH Sites NEEA/RTF: 50 sites Total # Sites; Metered Energy and Flow: 120 National Studies:

LBL Database Assume hot water use across all tank water heater types is similar

4

Measurements: In-Field COP

Data Collected

• •

Continuous monitoring; one minute intervals

• • • • •

Hot water consumption (gallons) HPWH energy consumption

Compressor and electric resistance element run time extracted in data processing ΔT of water delivered Ambient temperature Inlet and Exhaust air temperature

Two-Time Measurements

For ducted units (assumes constant speed fan)

Airflow Sample

100+ Sites from 3 studies across the region

• •

Site selection determined by need to quantify independent performance variables Proposed selection in subsequent slides

5

Measurements: Space Conditioning Interaction

Interaction primarily determined through simulation using measurements as simulation constraints

Data collected:

• •

Continuous monitoring; one minute intervals

• • •

House heating energy use Outside temperature (Optionally, monthly billing data may produce a heating estimate)

One-time measurements:

House Audit, including

• •

Unheated Buffer Space-to-House UA Unheated Buffer Space estimate of internal gains (equipment audit) Sample

100+ Sites from 3 studies across the region

6

HPWH Savings Estimate

Build calibrated & validated models of HPWH performance

Overlay simulation estimates on regional maps of natural (or potential) HPWH distribution

Validating the model requires measurement of independent performance variables across:

• • •

Heating climate zones, Installation locations, and Tank sizes

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Site Selection Drivers

Quantify independent performance variables

• • •

Environmental: Pre-determined by climate HPWH installation location. Primary drivers for our site selection categories.

• •

Ambient conditions of HPWH installation space Cold water inlet temperature User: Secondary drivers for site selection – diverse user base & long metering period will likely provide needed variation

• • •

Draw pattern, Tank temperature setpoint, Control strategy selection Equipment: Previously measured in lab so not a metering driver (but can also be confirmed in the field)

• • •

Tank volume & heat loss rate Heating component output capacity & efficiency Control strategies

8

Site Selection

Memo from August 30, 2012 Combined Current Studies Garage Unheated Basement Interior Interior Ducted Tier 1 Small Size < 55 gallons Large Size > 55 gallons HZ1 HZ2 HZ3 HZ1 HZ2 HZ3

14 2 2 - 0 1 0 - 0 0 2 - 3 0 0 - 0 0 0 - 0 0 0 --

HZ1

8 3 - 9

Total Sites: Tier 2 Any Size HZ2

4 0 - 6

HZ3

0 0 - 0

54 Planned New Installs Garage Unheated Basement Interior Interior Ducted Tier 1 Small Size < 55 gallons Large Size > 55 gallons HZ1 HZ2 HZ3 HZ1 HZ2 HZ3

3 4 - 2 2 2 - 1 1 0 - 5 3 4 - 0.5

0.5

2 - 0.5

0.5

0 --

Final Disposition Garage Unheated Basement Interior Interior Ducted HZ1

0 0 - 4

Total Sites: Tier 2 Any Size HZ2

0.5

1 - 6

HZ3

0.5

1 - 6

50 Tier 1 Small Size < 55 gallons Large Size > 55 gallons HZ1 HZ2 HZ3 HZ1 HZ2 HZ3

14 5 6 - 2 3 2 - 1 1 2 - 8 3 4 - 0.5

0.5

2 - 0.5

0.5

0 --

Total Sites: HZ1

8 3 - 13

Tier 2 Any Size HZ2

4.5

1 - 12

104 HZ3

0.5

1 - 99 9

Site Recruiting: Process & Status

Sorted / Screened Call List Recruiter Calls to Determine Eligibility Recruiter Schedules Pre-Qualification Inspection Visit Field Tech Conducts Qualification Inspection Visit Recruiter Schedules HPWH & Meter Installation Visit yes Ecotope & Field Tech Determine Final Qualification no Recruiter notifies site of ineligibility •

Status

• •

Calling began last week Some pre-qualification visits already scheduled

10

Metering Protocols

Draft Protocol Memo from October 3, 2012

Refer to Memo

11

Test Metering Site Successful

12

Process & Market Evaluation Updates

Interview and Survey Guide Development

• • • • • • •

Currently developing in-depth interview guides for: NEEA & Fluid Staff Manufacturers, Distributors, Retailers Installers (e.g., plumbers, contractors) Partner Utility Staff Currently developing CATI survey guides for 100 homes:

• • •

Homeowners with HPWHs installed through the market Homeowners with HPWHs installed through our validation work Survey disposition will be driven by market success

Priority is surveying households who installed HPWHs through the market All interviews and surveys will occur in 2013, other than for NEEA staff

13

Schedule Update

Field Work

Site recruiting October-November 2012

• •

Metering installs November-December 2012 Metering period through June 30, 2012

Process & Market

NEEA staff interviews early November, 2012

All other interviews and surveys in January-February, 2013

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Questions?

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