Heat Pump Water Heater Model Validation, Market Progress Assessment, and Process Evaluation RTF HPWH Sub-Committee Meeting October 15, 2012 EvergreenEcon.com.

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Transcript Heat Pump Water Heater Model Validation, Market Progress Assessment, and Process Evaluation RTF HPWH Sub-Committee Meeting October 15, 2012 EvergreenEcon.com.

Heat Pump Water Heater Model Validation, Market Progress Assessment, and Process Evaluation

RTF HPWH Sub-Committee Meeting October 15, 2012

EvergreenEcon.com

Topics

• Quick Review of Study Goals • Metering Site Selection • Site Recruiting Process & Status • Metering Protocols • Process & Market Evaluation Updates • Schedule Update 2

Goal Review

•

For active UES, need more information in 3 Primary Data Collection Areas:

• • •

Hot water consumption In-field COP Space Conditioning Interaction

•

Quick Review of Study Goals

•

Metering Site Selection

3

Metered Hot Water Consumption

• • • •

Metered DHW Energy Use Only (no flow):

• • •

DHP Field Studies (all electric tanks)

•

NEEA: 95 sites

•

BPA: 50 sites RBSA Metering (gas and electric tanks):

•

100 sites Total # Sites with Metered Energy Use: 245 Metered DHW Energy and Hot Water Use:

• • • •

BPA/EPRI: 32 HPWH Sites + ~10 Traditional Tank Sites NEEA/Fluid: 30 HPWH Sites NEEA/RTF: 50 sites Total # Sites; Metered Energy and Flow: 120 National Studies:

•

LBL Database Assume hot water use across all tank water heater types is similar

4

Measurements: In-Field COP

•

Data Collected

• •

Continuous monitoring; one minute intervals

• • • • •

Hot water consumption (gallons) HPWH energy consumption

•

Compressor and electric resistance element run time extracted in data processing ΔT of water delivered Ambient temperature Inlet and Exhaust air temperature

•

Two-Time Measurements

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For ducted units (assumes constant speed fan)

•

Airflow Sample

•

100+ Sites from 3 studies across the region

• •

Site selection determined by need to quantify independent performance variables Proposed selection in subsequent slides

5

Measurements: Space Conditioning Interaction

•

Interaction primarily determined through simulation using measurements as simulation constraints

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Data collected:

• •

Continuous monitoring; one minute intervals

• • •

House heating energy use Outside temperature (Optionally, monthly billing data may produce a heating estimate)

•

One-time measurements:

•

House Audit, including

• •

Unheated Buffer Space-to-House UA Unheated Buffer Space estimate of internal gains (equipment audit) Sample

•

100+ Sites from 3 studies across the region

6

HPWH Savings Estimate

•

Build calibrated & validated models of HPWH performance

•

Overlay simulation estimates on regional maps of natural (or potential) HPWH distribution

•

Validating the model requires measurement of independent performance variables across:

• • •

Heating climate zones, Installation locations, and Tank sizes

7

Site Selection Drivers

•

Quantify independent performance variables

• • •

Environmental: Pre-determined by climate HPWH installation location. Primary drivers for our site selection categories.

• •

Ambient conditions of HPWH installation space Cold water inlet temperature User: Secondary drivers for site selection – diverse user base & long metering period will likely provide needed variation

• • •

Draw pattern, Tank temperature setpoint, Control strategy selection Equipment: Previously measured in lab so not a metering driver (but can also be confirmed in the field)

• • •

Tank volume & heat loss rate Heating component output capacity & efficiency Control strategies

8

Site Selection

•

Memo from August 30, 2012 Combined Current Studies Garage Unheated Basement Interior Interior Ducted Tier 1 Small Size < 55 gallons Large Size > 55 gallons HZ1 HZ2 HZ3 HZ1 HZ2 HZ3

14 2 2 - 0 1 0 - 0 0 2 - 3 0 0 - 0 0 0 - 0 0 0 --

HZ1

8 3 - 9

Total Sites: Tier 2 Any Size HZ2

4 0 - 6

HZ3

0 0 - 0

54 Planned New Installs Garage Unheated Basement Interior Interior Ducted Tier 1 Small Size < 55 gallons Large Size > 55 gallons HZ1 HZ2 HZ3 HZ1 HZ2 HZ3

3 4 - 2 2 2 - 1 1 0 - 5 3 4 - 0.5

0.5

2 - 0.5

0.5

0 --

Final Disposition Garage Unheated Basement Interior Interior Ducted HZ1

0 0 - 4

Total Sites: Tier 2 Any Size HZ2

0.5

1 - 6

HZ3

0.5

1 - 6

50 Tier 1 Small Size < 55 gallons Large Size > 55 gallons HZ1 HZ2 HZ3 HZ1 HZ2 HZ3

14 5 6 - 2 3 2 - 1 1 2 - 8 3 4 - 0.5

0.5

2 - 0.5

0.5

0 --

Total Sites: HZ1

8 3 - 13

Tier 2 Any Size HZ2

4.5

1 - 12

104 HZ3

0.5

1 - 99 9

Site Recruiting: Process & Status

Sorted / Screened Call List Recruiter Calls to Determine Eligibility Recruiter Schedules Pre-Qualification Inspection Visit Field Tech Conducts Qualification Inspection Visit Recruiter Schedules HPWH & Meter Installation Visit yes Ecotope & Field Tech Determine Final Qualification no Recruiter notifies site of ineligibility •

Status

• •

Calling began last week Some pre-qualification visits already scheduled

10

Metering Protocols

•

Draft Protocol Memo from October 3, 2012

•

Refer to Memo

11

Test Metering Site Successful

12

Process & Market Evaluation Updates

•

Interview and Survey Guide Development

• • • • • • •

Currently developing in-depth interview guides for: NEEA & Fluid Staff Manufacturers, Distributors, Retailers Installers (e.g., plumbers, contractors) Partner Utility Staff Currently developing CATI survey guides for 100 homes:

• • •

Homeowners with HPWHs installed through the market Homeowners with HPWHs installed through our validation work Survey disposition will be driven by market success

•

Priority is surveying households who installed HPWHs through the market All interviews and surveys will occur in 2013, other than for NEEA staff

13

Schedule Update

•

Field Work

•

Site recruiting October-November 2012

• •

Metering installs November-December 2012 Metering period through June 30, 2012

•

Process & Market

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NEEA staff interviews early November, 2012

•

All other interviews and surveys in January-February, 2013

14

Questions?

15