Transcript program framework 1. Articulate program goals 2. Develop system level model for goal attainment 3.

program framework
1. Articulate program goals
2. Develop system level model for goal
attainment
3. Assess current management efforts –
identify gaps
4. Develop management strategy
5. Develop monitoring program
6. Assess performance
7. Manage adaptively
program framework
1. Articulate program goals
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explicit
unambiguous
measurable
realistic
attainable
program framework
1. Articulate program goals
2. Describe factors influencing goal
attainment
3. Assess current management efforts –
identify gaps
4. Develop management strategy
5. Develop monitoring program
6. Assess performance
7. Manage adaptively
program framework
2. Describe factors influencing goal
attainment
– what has to be managed to attain goal
– simple model of system
– can be improved as knowledge/time permit
Success implementing EBM requires a
theory of change
What must be done to produce the necessary
and desired outcomes?
Adequately articulated,
the theory of change:
organizes action
enables monitoring
facilitates adaptive
management
Logic models
monitoring
to
reduce
uncertainty
Validating assumptions about system
behavior
Goal modeling
identification of factors potentially affecting attainment
biological factors
chemical factors
• fauna
• flora
• microorganisms
•
•
•
•
salinity
pH
nutrients
toxics
physical factors
• structure
• hydrology
• temperature
human factors
• use objectives
• modification of system
• knowledge
program framework
1. Articulate program goals
2. Develop system level model for goal
attainment
3. Assess current management efforts –
identify gaps
4. Develop management strategy
5. Develop monitoring program
6. Assess performance
7. Manage adaptively
program framework
3. Assess current management efforts –
identify gaps
– simple initial assessment
– critical factors not currently managed
– opportunities for coordination
4. Develop management strategy
– explicit, measurable intervention
– clear, observable outcome
program framework
1. Articulate program goals
2. Develop system level model for goal
attainment
3. Assess current management efforts –
identify gaps
4. Develop management strategy
5. Develop monitoring program
6. Assess performance
7. Manage adaptively
program framework
5. Develop monitoring program
– monitoring reflects management priorities
– monitoring designed to reduce uncertainty in
system model
– indicators link condition and management
efforts
– monitoring data is appropriate to decision
thresholds for adaptive management
Adaptive management
uncertainties
• model
• BMP
performance
• stressor
trajectories
• system
behavior
Monitoring must
1. Document conditions
•
Status and trends
2. Document interventions
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Track implementation of
management strategies
3. Reduce uncertainty
•
Validate assumptions
about system behavior
program framework
1. Articulate program goals
2. Develop system level model for goal
attainment
3. Assess current management efforts –
identify gaps
4. Develop management strategy
5. Develop monitoring program
6. Assess performance
7. Manage adaptively
response
Establishing
performance
expectations
response
response
time
time
time
response
Establishing
performance
expectations
time
response
response
Identifying
uncertainty
time
time
program framework
1. Articulate program goals
2. Develop system level model for goal
attainment
3. Assess current management efforts –
identify gaps
4. Develop management strategy
5. Develop monitoring program
6. Assess performance
7. Manage adaptively
program framework
1. articulate program goals
2. refine system level model for goal
attainment
3. re-assess current management efforts –
identify gaps
4. revise management strategy
5. adjust monitoring program
6. assess performance
7. manage adaptively