Transcript BRAZIL – THE SOYBEAN SECTOR IN THE BR-163 ROAD INFLUENCE AREA Integrated Assessment and Planning for Sustainable Development Second Review Meeting Geneva, September 21-22, 2005

BRAZIL – THE SOYBEAN SECTOR
IN THE BR-163 ROAD INFLUENCE
AREA
Integrated Assessment and Planning for
Sustainable Development
Second Review Meeting
Geneva, September 21-22, 2005
Background (1)

Original focus
Soybean sector in the context of Amazon
Sustainable Development Plan (PAS).
– New investment policy for the Amazon region, by
the new federal government;
– Soybean export investment interests, major
economic changes in the region.
Background (2) Original Focus - Objectives
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Objectives:
– Addressing sustainable agriculture, environmental
management, poverty alleviation, and sustainable trade
promotion.
– Assessing the planning procedural and substantive aspects
of the plan that take into account social, economic and
environmental linkages and causalities.
– Introducing legitimate participatory methods in the planning
process and decision-making that involve all relevant
stakeholders.
Background (3) New Focus

Soybean sector in the BR-163 influence
area
– Creation of GTI-BR163 -Interministerial
Group to formulate sustainable
development plan
– Clear political interest (government and
private sector -PPP)
– Urgency
Background (4) New Focus - Objectives
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Objectives:
– Assess the economic, social and environmental
impacts of the pavement of the BR163 highway in
its influence area
– Assess the soybean sector as the driving force of
the economy in the region
– Draw relevant policy recommendations
Why?
– More Focused
– Feasible
Background (5) Key policy scenarios
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Competitive globalisation scenario
– Foster competitive integration in the globalised
market
– Strong governance
Distributivist scenario
– Regulatory and incentive policies addressing
social inequalities
– Strong governance
Critical scenario
– No policies to address reduction of negative
impacts
– Weak governance
Background (6) Productive sector
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Soybean sector for the scenario 1 - competitive
globalisation
– Main beneficiary of the pavement and other
infrastructure investments in the region;
– High international commodity demand;
– Increasing competitiveness - technical capability
of occupying degraded pastureland.
Background (7) Key Methods
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Review of existing aproaches and methods to
address social, economic and environmental
impacts - substantive aspects
– New geography theoretical approach to examine
territorial dynamics in the Amazon region (Becker)
– Linkages of land grabbing, BR163 and
agribusiness (Oliveira, Castro)
– Linkages between deforestation and the BR3
highway (Nepstad, Fearnside)
 Stakeholders mapping - planning process
aspects.
Background (8) Implementation Process
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First National Workshop to launch the project and
discuss key issues with stakeholders
Install the Steering Committee - MoE, MoNI, CDS,
UNEP/Brazil
February’s Mid Term Review inputs
Methodological discussion - review priority areas,
tools.
Terms of Reference and Consultant selection
Implementation
Assessment framework
Scenario 1 Competitive
Globalisation
Scenario 2 Distributivist /
strong govern.
Scenario 3 Critical / weak
governance
Transf. Vector 1
- Soybean,
livestock
Production expansion
New potential market
Reduction illegal
logging
New land settlements
Local productive
arrangements APL
Secondary roads
Intensify land grabbing
Threats to social
programmes
Transf. Vector 2
- Urbanise
conditions of
life
Bettering urban
services
Technology and
professional
development
Strengthen services to
smallholders:
transport,credit,
information
Adaptive technologies
Appropriation of local
power by business
interests
Increase migration,
poverty and crime.
Transf. Vector 3
- Effective
environmental
restrictions
IBAMA/INCRA reforms
Env. Norms/effective
surveillance,
monitoring
New conservation
units created
IBAMA/INCRA reforms
Norms for expansion buffer zone, environ.
Projects
Create extractivist /
conservation units
Abortion of
IBAMA/INCRA reforms
No regulation of
expansion
Degradation of
Conservation Units
Economic , Social, and Environmental
effects
Competitive
Globalisation
Scenario
Distributive
Scenario
Critical
Scenario
Private sector
Local
government
Winner
Winner
Temporary
Winner
Rural,
traditional
populations
Winner
Winner
Loser
Environment,
Federal, State
government
Winner
Winner
Loser
Recommendations (1) - Policy making
process
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Gain IAP Project recognition as a valid exercise
to help the improvement of the Sustainable
BR163 planning process
Call attention to the institutional reforms needed
for the success of the plan
Practical measures from the Sustainable BR163
planners to adopt the IAP Project
recommendations
Establish transparent decision-making process
Recommendations (2) - Policy making
process
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Improve indigenous peoples and local
communities participation in public
consultations
 Improve coordination of the
implementation and monitoring process,
introducing IA as a regular method of
assessment and monitoring tool
Enabling conditions
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2nd National Workshop - call all key stakeholders
to discuss and validate the recommendations
(general guidelines) - National Project
 High level talks to include the recommendation in
the actual process of GTI members planning.
 Initiate complementary study to select key social,
economic and environmental indicators and
elaborate a monitoring system, using the
assessment framework proposed - Project +
 When - this year
Lessons learned (1)
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A. Selection of the planning process - not too
many and complex issues, with too many
interministerial partnerships. Problem of focus
B. Good understanding of the IAP methodology,
especially by the implementing institution, is
crucial: previous exercise in the choice of tools,
detailed procedures and approaches are key
aspect to be observed before the implementation.
C. Selection of implementing institutions - clear
compromise
Lessons learned (2)
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D. Academic excelency of the consultants
can be innovative in tools and
approaches, and produce good results
 E.
 F