NSF I-Corps The Lean LaunchPad Lecture 8: Resources, Activities & Costs Version 6/13/12 Key Activities What’s Most Important for the Business?

Download Report

Transcript NSF I-Corps The Lean LaunchPad Lecture 8: Resources, Activities & Costs Version 6/13/12 Key Activities What’s Most Important for the Business?

NSF I-Corps
The Lean LaunchPad
Lecture 8:
Resources, Activities & Costs
Version 6/13/12
Key Activities
What’s Most Important for the Business?
© 2012 Steve Blank
Key Resources
What’s Are Your Most Important Assets?
Cost Structure
What are the Costs and Expenses
© 2012 Steve Blank
Key Resources
Four Critical Resources
•
•
•
•
Physical
Financial
Human
Intellectual
Physical Resources
• company facilities
– office space, company location
• product/services
– supply of silicon wafers or iron ore, or
thousands of feet of warehouse space?
• Many physical goods are capital intensive
Financial Resources
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Friends and Family
Crowdfunding
Angels
Venture Capital
Corporate partners
Others: SBA or SBIR grants
Lease-lines
Factoring
Vendor-financing
Human Resources
• qualified employees
• mentors, teachers, coaches, advisors
Mentors, Teachers, Coaches
• Mentors, teachers, coaches advance your
personal career
– If you want to learn a specific subject find a teacher
– If you want to hone specific skills or reach an exact
goal hire a coach
– If you want to get smarter and better over your career
find someone who cares about you enough to be a
mentor
Advisors
• Advisors are people you need to help advance
your company’s success
– Founders fail when they believe their visions are facts
– Listening to experienced advice can help you sort
through whether your vision is a hallucination
– Getting an advisory board (by expanding your circle
of accumulated wisdom past their investors) is so
important that it’s an explicit step in the Customer
Development process
Qualified Employees/Culture
• Are the difference between a good idea that
never went anywhere and a billion dollar firm
MBA295F
Customer Development
16
Executive Traits by Stage
EntrepreneurialDriven Learning and
Discovery
Mission-Oriented
Management
Process-Managed
Execution and Growth
Personal
Contribution
Superstar
Leader
Manager of plans,
goals, process, and
personnel
Time Commitment
24/7
As needed
Long term 9 to 5
Planning
Opportunistic and
agile
Mission- and goaldriven
Process-, and goaldriven
Process
Hates and eliminates
As needed, driven Implements and uses
by mission
Management Style
Autocratic, star
system
Distributed to
departments
May be bureaucratic
Span of Control
Hands-on
Mission-driven,
synchronized
Distributed down the
organization
Focus
High and passionate
vision
Mission
Execution
Uncertainty/Chaos
Brings order out of
chaos
Focuses on fast
response
Focuses on
repeatability
Executive Traits by Stage
Executive Traits by Stage
Executive Traits by Stage
Intellectual Property
Trademark protects branding & marks
•
Trademark gives you the right to prevent others from
using “confusingly similar” marks and logos
•
Trademark protection lasts as long as you use the mark
•
The more you use the mark, the stronger your protection
•
Trademark registration is optional, but has significant
advantages if approved
•
Country by country
Copyright protects creative
works of authorship
• Copyright gives right to prevent others from copying,
distributing or making derivatives of your work
– Protects “expressions” of ideas but does not protect the
underlying ideas
• (Way) more than just technology:
– songs, books, movies, photos, etc.
• Copyright protection lasts practically forever
• Copyright does not prevent independent development
• Registration is optional, but is required to sue for
infringement
Trade Secrets
• Information that is kept secret and has economic
value to the business
• Coke recipe, customer lists, product road maps.
• No registration required
• Can last for as long as you take reasonable
steps to keep confidential
Contract
• Protection agreed to by contract
• No registration process
• You have whatever protection is defined in the contract
(e.g., NDA gives you certain rights to protection of your
confidential information)
• The protection lasts for the time period defined in the
contract
Patents
• A government granted monopoly
– prevents others from making, using or selling your invention
– Even if the other’s infringement was innocent or accidental
• Invention must be non-obvious
• Protection lasts typically for 15-20 years
• Application and examination is required
– Typical cost for application and exam is $10-30k
– Typical time for application and exam is 1-4 years
• Must file in U.S. within one year of sale, offer for sale,
public disclosure or public use
• Provisional application alternative
What Can be Patented?
•
Just about anything . . .
– Circuits, hardware
– Software, applied algorithms
– Formulas, designs
– User interfaces
– Applications, systems
– Business processes (sometimes)
• But not these . . .
–
–
Scientific principles
Pure mathematical algorithms
• And, pending Supreme Court Case raises concerns regarding
patentability of “methods” inventions
Costs
Metrics that Matter
Search vs. Execution Metrics
• Existing companies execute plans
• Startups search for them
• Income Statement, Balance Sheet, etc are
execution documents
• You first need to derive the metrics that matter
Metrics That Matter
• Value proposition: product cost, mkt size/share, competition?
• Customer Relationships: customer acquisition costs, conversion
rates, lifetime value?
• Market Type: revenue curves
• Operating Costs: basic operating costs of the business?
• Channel: Channel margin, promotion, shelf-space charges?
• Revenue Streams: average selling price, # of customers/year,
achievable revenue?
• Burn Rate: per month? When will the company run out of cash?
Robotic Agriculture
Resource, Activities Example
We’ve hit our first milestones
Jun 2011
Mar 2013
First unit
Jun 2012
Dec 2011
Technology Track
Post-processed
Image recognition
Real-time
image
recognition
First unit
Prototype
Customer Discovery Track
Select 1st
target crop
Testing agreement Customer trial and
with top producer
customer order
Finance Track
Friends and
family round
$125 K
F&F
Applied
for grants
Seed Round
$800 K
Seed
Confidential
Series A
$3-5 M
Series
A
Medical Device
Resource, Activities & Cost Example
MammOptics
Financial / Operations Timeline
2012
Cash Reserve
Q1 Q2
Q3 Q4
Q3 Q4
Q1
Q2
2016
2015
Q3 Q4
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4 Q1
Q2
Q3
2017
Q4
$20M
Series A
$3.5 MM
Proof of
Concept
Q3 Q4
Q1
Q2 / IPO
Q3
M&A
$50 MM
Financial
timeline
System
Launch
Regulatory / Clinical
Beta Prototype
Laboratory
Prototype
Q2
Series B
$9 MM
$15M
Initialize
Q1
2018
Series D
$35 MM
Series C
$30.5 MM
$30M
$5M
Marketable
Product
BetaVersion
Testing
Second Release
1st
Release
Test
2nd Release
Test
Publication
Publication
Clinical
Milestones
Design
Milestones
Q1 Q2
2014
$40M
$10M
Regulatory/ IP
Milestones
2013
Pilot
Studies
US Interim Trials
US Pivotal Clinical
Trials
Clinical
Results
Post-Market Clinical
Studies
Non-Specific Codes
Provisional
Patent
Technology
Licensing
IRB /
IDE
IC and
Processin
g Patents
FDA – Class II – 510 (k)
with Clinical Trials
Cat III
CPT
Application
and System
Patents
Specific Codes
(Cat. I CPT / APC)
Initial
Product
Launch
34
12/4/2009
MammOptics
Financial / Operations Timeline
2012
Cash Reserve
Q1 Q2
Q3 Q4
2013
Q1 Q2
Q3 Q4
2014
Q1
Q2
Q3 Q4
2016
2015
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4 Q1
Q2
Q3
2017
Q4
Q1
Q2
2018
Q3 Q4
Q1
Q2
$40M
$30M
$20M
$15M
$10M
$5M
Proof of
Concept
Clinical
Milestones
Design
Milestones
Initialize
Regulatory/ IP
Milestones
Provisional
Patent
Technology
Licensing
35
12/4/2009
Q3
MammOptics
Financial / Operations Timeline
2012
Cash Reserve
Q1 Q2
Q3 Q4
Q3 Q4
Q1
Q2
Q3 Q4
2016
2015
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4 Q1
Q2
Q3
2017
Q4
Q1
Q2
2018
Q3 Q4
Q1
Q2
$30M
$20M
$15M
$5M
Series A
$3.5 MM
System
Initialize
Proof of
Concept
Beta Prototype
Laboratory
Prototype
Clinical
Milestones
Design
Milestones
Q1 Q2
2014
$40M
$10M
Regulatory/ IP
Milestones
2013
BetaVersion
Testing
Pilot
Studies
Provisional
Patent
Technology
Licensing
36
12/4/2009
Q3
MammOptics
Financial / Operations Timeline
2012
Cash Reserve
Q1 Q2
Q3 Q4
2013
Q1 Q2
2014
Q3 Q4
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4 Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
Q3 Q4
Q1
Q2
$20M
Series B
$9 MM
$15M
Series A
$3.5 MM
System
Design
Milestones
Q2
2018
$30M
$5M
Clinical
Milestones
Q1
2017
$40M
$10M
Regulatory/ IP
Milestones
Q3 Q4
2016
2015
Regulatory / Clinical
Beta Prototype
Laboratory
Prototype
Marketable
Product
BetaVersion
Testing
Pilot
Studies
IRB /
IDE
IC and
Processin
g Patents
Application
and System
Patents
37
12/4/2009
Q3
MammOptics
Financial / Operations Timeline
2012
Cash Reserve
Q1 Q2
Q3 Q4
2013
Q1 Q2
2014
Q3 Q4
Q1
Q2
2016
2015
Q3 Q4
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4 Q1
$40M
Series C
$30.5 MM
$30M
$20M
Series B
$9 MM
$15M
$10M
$5M
System
Regulatory/ IP
Milestones
Clinical
Milestones
Design
Milestones
Regulatory / Clinical
Second Release
1st
Release
Test
Publication
Pilot
Studies
IRB /
IDE
IC and
Processin
g Patents
US Interim Trials
US Pivotal Clinical
Trials
Cat III
CPT
Application
and System
Patents
38
Q2
Q3
2017
Q4
Q1
Q2
Q3 Q4
2018
Q1
Q2
Q3
MammOptics
Financial / Operations Timeline
2012
Cash Reserve
Q1 Q2
Q3 Q4
2013
Q1 Q2
Q3 Q4
2014
Q1
Q2
2016
2015
Q3 Q4
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4 Q1
Q2
Q3
2017
Q4
$40M
$30M
$20M
Q1
Q2
2018
Q3 Q4
Q1
Q2
Series D
$35 MM
Series C
$30.5 MM
$15M
$10M
$5M
Launch
Design
Milestones
Second Release
Clinical
Milestones
Regulatory / Clinical
Publication
2nd Release
Test
Publication
US Pivotal Clinical
Trials
Clinical
Results
Non-Specific Codes
Regulatory/ IP
Milestones
US Interim Trials
FDA – Class II – 510 (k)
with Clinical Trials
Initial
Product
Launch
39
12/4/2009
Q3
MammOptics
Financial / Operations Timeline
2012
Cash Reserve
Q1 Q2
Q3 Q4
2013
Q1 Q2
Q3 Q4
2014
Q1
Q2
Q3 Q4
2016
2015
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4 Q1
Q2
Q3
2017
Q4
$40M
Q1
Q2
2018
Q3 Q4
Q1
Q2 / IPO
Q3
M&A
$50 MM
Series D
$35 MM
$30M
$20M
$15M
$10M
$5M
Launch
Design
Milestones
Regulatory / Clinical
Regulatory/ IP
Milestones
Clinical
Milestones
Publication
Clinical
Results
Post-Market Clinical
Studies
Non-Specific Codes
FDA – Class II – 510 (k)
with Clinical Trials
Specific Codes
(Cat. I CPT / APC)
Initial
Product
Launch
12/4/2009
MammOptics
Financial / Operations Timeline
2012
Cash Reserve
Q1 Q2
Q3 Q4
Q3 Q4
Q1
Q2
2016
2015
Q3 Q4
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4 Q1
Q2
Q3
2017
Q4
$20M
Series A
$3.5 MM
Proof of
Concept
System
Q3 Q4
Q1
Q2 / IPO
Q3
M&A
$50 MM
Launch
Regulatory / Clinical
Beta Prototype
Laboratory
Prototype
Q2
Series B
$9 MM
$15M
Initialize
Q1
2018
Series D
$35 MM
Series C
$30.5 MM
$30M
$5M
Marketable
Product
BetaVersion
Testing
Second Release
1st
Release
Test
2nd Release
Test
Publication
Publication
Clinical
Milestones
Design
Milestones
Q1 Q2
2014
$40M
$10M
Regulatory/ IP
Milestones
2013
Pilot
Studies
US Interim Trials
US Pivotal Clinical
Trials
Clinical
Results
Post-Market Clinical
Studies
Non-Specific Codes
Provisional
Patent
Technology
Licensing
IRB /
IDE
IC and
Processin
g Patents
FDA – Class II – 510 (k)
with Clinical Trials
Cat III
CPT
Application
and System
Patents
Specific Codes
(Cat. I CPT / APC)
Initial
Product
Launch
41
12/4/2009
Apple
Resource, Activities & Cost Example
Digital Hub
Product User
PARTNER
NETWORK
component
makers, shipping &
logistic suppliers
KEY
ACTIVITIES
build whole
devices both
h/w & s/w
Digital Lifestyle
VALUE
PROPOSITON
solutions for
differentiated
customers professional &
consumer
KEY
brand
- Apple,
RESOURCES
PowerMac,
iMac
COST STRUCTURE
Invest in
R&D
Digital Platform
CUSTOMER
RELATIONSHIPS
differentiated
markets
DISTRIBUTION
CHANNELS
online
store
Computers,
software &
services
REVENUE STREAMS
CUSTOMER
SEGMENTS
High-end
mass market
Digital Hub
Product User
PARTNER
NETWORK
component
makers, shipping &
logistic suppliers
KEY
ACTIVITIES
build whole
devices both
h/w & s/w
Digital Lifestyle
VALUE
PROPOSITON
solutions for
differentiated
customers professional &
consumer
KEY
brand
- Apple,
RESOURCES
PowerMac,
iMac
COST STRUCTURE
Invest in
R&D
Digital Platform
CUSTOMER
RELATIONSHIPS
differentiated
markets
DISTRIBUTION
CHANNELS
online
store
Computers,
software &
services
REVENUE STREAMS
CUSTOMER
SEGMENTS
High-end
mass market
Product User
PARTNER
NETWORK
component
makers
KEY
ACTIVITIES
VALUE
PROPOSITON
CUSTOMER
RELATIONSHIPS
CUSTOMER
SEGMENTS
build whole
devices both
h/w & s/w
solutions for
differentiated
customers professional &
consumer
differentiated
markets
High-end
mass market
Shipping &
logistic
suppliers
KEY
brand
- Apple,
RESOURCES
PowerMac,
iMac
DISTRIBUTION
CHANNELS
Wholesalers,
retailers, resellers
innovative
designers
online store
IP & patents
&
agreements
COST STRUCTURE
Invest in
R&D
Computers,
software &
services
REVENUE STREAMS
Product User
PARTNER
NETWORK
Digital Hub
KEY
ACTIVITIES
KEY
RESOURCES
COST STRUCTURE
VALUE
PROPOSITON
CUSTOMER
RELATIONSHIPS
DISTRIBUTION
CHANNELS
REVENUE STREAMS
CUSTOMER
SEGMENTS
Product User
PARTNER
NETWORK
Digital Hub
KEY
ACTIVITIES
KEY
RESOURCES
COST STRUCTURE
Digital Lifestyle
VALUE
PROPOSITON
CUSTOMER
RELATIONSHIPS
DISTRIBUTION
CHANNELS
REVENUE STREAMS
CUSTOMER
SEGMENTS
Product User
PARTNER
NETWORK
Digital Hub
KEY
ACTIVITIES
KEY
RESOURCES
COST STRUCTURE
Digital Lifestyle
VALUE
PROPOSITON
Digital Platform
CUSTOMER
RELATIONSHIPS
DISTRIBUTION
CHANNELS
REVENUE STREAMS
CUSTOMER
SEGMENTS