Project Management Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall. 2–1
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Project Management
Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall.
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Work Breakdown Structure
Relocation of St. John’s Hospital Organizing and Site Preparation Level 0 Physical Facilities and Infrastructure Level 1 Select administration staff Purchase and deliver equipment Site selection and survey Select medical equipment Construct hospital Develop information system Level 2 Prepare final construction plans Bring utilities to site Interview applicants for nursing and support staff
Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall.
Install medical equipment Train nurses and support staff Figure 2.1
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Diagramming the Network AON approach (Activity On Node)
S AON T U Activity Relationships S precedes T, which precedes U.
S T U S and T must be completed before U can be started. Figure 2.2
Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall.
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Diagramming the Network
S T S AON T U U V Figure 2.2
Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall.
Activity Relationships T and U cannot begin until S has been completed.
U and V can’t begin until both S and T have been completed. 2 – 4
Diagramming the Network
AON S T U V S T U Figure 2.2
Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall.
V Activity Relationships U cannot begin until both S and T have been completed; V cannot begin until T has been completed.
T and U cannot begin until S has been completed and V cannot begin until both T and U have been completed.
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Network Diagram
S = 36 A 0 12 S = 2 S = 41 S = 0 Start S = 2 S = 2 S = 0 S = 0 S = 0 S = 0 Figure 2.4
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S = 26 Finish 2 – 6
Project Schedule
The earliest start time (ES) for an activity is the latest earliest finish time of any preceding activities
The earliest finish time (EF) is the earliest start time plus its estimated duration
The latest finish time (LF) for an activity is the latest start time of any preceding activities
The latest start time (LS) is the latest finish time minus its estimated duration
For simplicity, all projects start at time zero.
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Activity Slack
Activity slack is the maximum length of time an activity can be delayed without delaying the entire project
Activities on the critical path have zero slack
Activity slack can be calculated in two ways S = LS – ES or S = LF – EF
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Calculation of Slack Time
Slack Time = LF – EF EF = summing Expected Time from left to right
If two or more activities precede an activity, choose the largest EF of these activities LF = summing Expected Time from right to left
Set LF equals to EF for the last activity If two or more activities precede an activity, choose the smallest LF of these activities
Refers to the time in which an activity can be completed without delaying the project
Tasks on the critical path has Slack Time = 0 LS = LF - t; ES = EF - t 2 – 9
Gantt Chart
Figure 2.5
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Comparison of Gantt Charts and Network Diagrams
Gantt Charts Visually shows duration of tasks Visually shows time overlap between tasks Visually shows slack time Network Diagrams Visually shows dependencies between tasks Visually shows which tasks can be done in parallel Shows slack time by data in rectangles
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Cost-Time Relationships
8000 — 7000 — 6000 — 5200 5000 — 4000 — Crash cost (CC) Linear cost assumption Estimated costs for a 2-week reduction, from 10 weeks to 8 weeks 3000 — Normal cost (NC) 0 — | 5 | 6 | 7 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 (Crash time) (Normal time) Time (weeks) Figure 2.6
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Statistical Analysis
Area under curve between a and b is 99.74%
a m
Mean Time Beta distribution
b
Figure 2.7
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a
3 σ 3 σ
m
Mean Time Normal distribution
b
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Statistical Analysis
The mean of the beta distribution can be estimated by
t e
= a + 4m + b 6
The variance of the beta distribution for each activity is 2 σ 2 =
b
– a 6
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Analyzing Probabilities:
Because the central limit theorem can be applied, the mean of the distribution is the earliest expected finish time for the project
T E
Expected activity times = = Mean of normal distribution
Because the activity times are independent σ 2 =
(Variances of activities on the critical path)
Using the z-transformation z =
T
– T
E
σ 2 where T = due date for the project
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