Office of Institutional Research and Planning

The mission of the Foothill-De Anza Community College District Office of Institutional Research and Planning is to plan, organize, design, define, collect, analyze, maintain, and disseminate research, information, and data about the functioning and performance of the district, its colleges, its programs, and its students.

Including: … insure accuracy of state and federal reports on student outcomes … provide reliable, complete and understandable data and information … ensure the integrity of student data residing on the student information system .. verify and interpret results for use in a variety of on-line and printed reports.

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Changing Demographics: An Update on FHDA Student Characteristics

Andrew LaManque, Ph.D.

Elaine Kuo, Ph.D.

Mallory Newell, Ed.D.

Institutional Research and Planning December 2, 2011 2

Outcomes of Today’s Presentation

Primary Describe key attributes of students at FHDA, including needs, goals, and successes. Understand future population trends in Santa Clara County and the implications for FHDA.

Articulate questions important to ask when starting a research project at FHDA. Secondary (maybe!) Interpret and draw conclusions from a cross tabulation of descriptive statistics. Be aware of common pitfalls in analyzing data using percents, averages, and survey samples. 3

Office of Institutional Research and Planning

The mission of the Foothill-De Anza Community College District Office of Institutional Research and Planning is to plan, organize, design, define, collect, analyze, maintain, and disseminate research, information, and data about the functioning and performance of the district, its colleges, its programs, and its students.

Including: … insure accuracy of state and federal reports on student outcomes … provide reliable, complete and understandable data and information … ensure the integrity of student data residing on the student information system .. verify and interpret results for use in a variety of on-line and printed reports.

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Office of Institutional Research and Planning

IR generally reports information useful for longer term planning and decision-making Tends to be less frequent in use – weekly, quarterly, yearly Tends to be in aggregate form - division, department, college Tends to look at data over time – year to year, quarter to quarter Tends to come from a data warehouse and includes ‘frozen’ data (currently ODS/EDW) 5

Websites

www.research.fhda.edu

www.deanza.edu/ir www.foothill.edu/staff/irs/FHresearch/index.php

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Making a Research Request

What is the purpose – how do you plan to use the data?

What do you want to know?

What is the population you would like information on?

Which students, in which classes or programs?

What is the time frame – year, quarter, etc?

Do you want to track students over time (cohort/longitudinal) or look at students at a moment in time (cross sectional) What is the comparison group?

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Test Your Knowledge……

Fill in the PREDICTED column to questions 1-10. Throughout the presentation fill in the ACTUAL column on your own sheet. At the end of the presentation compare your predicted answers to the actual answers. 8

Student Background Characteristics: Where do our students come from?

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Which service areas feed into De Anza College?

Enrollment by Service Area - De Anza College

San Mateo, 2% Foothill, 4% West Valley Mission, 27% De Anza, 21% San Jose Evergreen, 28% Service areas outside of Santa Clara County make up 19% of the enrollment. Fall 2010 Source: FHDA IR&P 10

Which service areas feed into Foothill College?

Enrollment by Service Area - Foothill College

San Mateo, 15% Foothill, 25% West Valley Mission, 13% San Jose Evergreen, 11% De Anza, 11% Service areas outside of Santa Clara County make up 26% of the enrollment. Fall 2010 Source: FHDA IR&P 11

100% 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% What is the education level of our students?

Enrollment by Highest Education Level

Based on fall enrollment.

De Anza 2008 2009 2010 Foothill Source: FHDA IR&P 12

What is the education level of the parents of our students?

Enrollment by Parent's Highest Education

100% 80%

Less than a Bachelor’s Degree De Anza - 63%

60%

Foothill - 58%

40% 20% 17% 15% 22% 20% 24% 23% 23% 24% 14% 18% 0% Less than High School High School Some College/AA Bachelor's Graduate Degree De Anza Foothill De Anza total N = 8,207, FH = 5,286 CCCApply supplemental question parent /guardian #1, students who applied and enrolled in fall 2011.

Source: FHDA IR&P 13

What is the family income of our students?

Enrollment by Family Income

100% 80%

1/3 of FHDA students reported their family income to be under $25,000/year

60% 40% 20% 34% 31% 23% 22% 16% 16% 27% 31% 0% Under $25,000 $25,000-$49,000 $50,000-$75,000 Over $75,000 De Anza Foothill CCCApply supplemental questions, students who applied and enrolled in fall 2011. De Anza = 7,159, Foothill = 4,539 Source: FHDA IR&P 14

Student Enrollment Characteristics

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100% What is the three year trend in educational goal at each college?

Enrollment by Educational Goal

80% 60% DA - Transfer 51% 40% 20% FH - Transfer 29% 14% 10% 0% Based on fall enrollment.

2008 60% 40% DA - Degree/Certificate 12% FH - Degree/Certificate 10% 2009 2010 Source: FHDA IR&P 16

100% What is the three year trend in full-time status at both colleges?

Enrollment by Full-timeStatus

80% 60% 40% De Anza 39% 20% 0% Based on fall enrollment.

2008 21% 2009 Foothill 44% 28% 2010 Source: FHDA IR&P 17

What is the three year trend for Pell recipients at each college?

Enrollment by Pell Recipients

4,500 4,000 3,500 3,000 2,500 2,893 De Anza 2,000 1,500 Foothill 1,000 500 966 0 2008-09 Federal Pell recipients, year to year comparisons.

2009-10 3,985 1,687 2010-11 Source: FHDA IR&P 18

What ethnic groups does each college serve at the highest rate?

Enrollment by Ethnicity - Fall 2010

100% 80% 60% 40% 35% 20% 0% 3% 5% 13% 22% 7% 1% 21% 4% 3% 11% 38% 6% 1% De Anza Native American, Pacific Islander, Unrecorded not graphed.

Foothill Source: FHDA IR&P 19

What is the distribution of student transfers across ethnic groups?

100% 80% 73% 60% 40% 20% 0%

Foothill-De Anza - Transfer Rates by Ethnicity

43% 46% 35% 45% 22% 51% 48% Transfer Velocity Cohort , 2004-05 who transferred within 6 years.

Source: FHDA IR&P 20

Summary of Demographic Trends – FHDA Students

Higher proportion from out of service area Growing Latino population Family incomes less than $25,000/annually More students with a goal of transfer Increasingly enrolled full-time Variations in transfer rates by ethnicity 21

Ethnicity Data See Handout

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County Demographics

Where do our students live?

What are the population projections for Santa Clara County?

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Ethnicity by Census Tract

http://projects.nytimes.com/census/2010/explorer Foothill De Anza Source: American Community Survey 24

What is the projected trend for potential FHDA students by ethnicity?

100% 80%

Santa Clara County Adult Population Projections

Hispanics 2010: 315,170 Hispanics 2035: 528,331 Whites 2010: 614,227 Whites: 2035: 623,295 60% 40% 27% 27% 29% 23% 20% 0% 0% 1% 3% 2% 1% 3% American Indian African American Asian County 2010 Hispanic Pacific Islander County 2035 44% 35% White 2% 3% Multiracial Source: CA Department of Finance 25

Projected net shift in sources of enrollment from 2009 to 2035 for the FHDA District

+3.2% +1.8% +1.6% +1.2% +0% +3.9% 2009 capture rate: 1.5% +7.3% -0.5% -0.1% +0.6% Methodology

: Percentages were calculated by applying current capture rates

for each age group

to 2035 projections

for each of the age groups

shift figure for each Zone.

and summing across all age groups to get a projected share figure for each Zone. The 2009 share figure was then subtracted from the projected 2035 share to get a net Source: FHDA IR&P, Gregory Stoup 26

Source: Foothill GIS Class Project Fall 2011 Instructor Alan Rich

Onizuka Educational Center

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County Demographic Trends

Population growth continues next 25 years 23% increase among adult population Latinos increasing with largest numbers Population growth in San Jose, Santa Clara 28

Academic Preparedness

How does Silicon Valley students compare with the rest of their peers in California?

What are the college-going rates of Santa Clara county high school graduates?

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100% 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% How do Silicon Valley high school graduates compare to the rest of CA?

2008-09 Silicon Valley & CA HS Rate of Graduation & Share of HS Graduates Meeting UC/CSU Requirements

87% 78% 50% 35% Graduation Rates Silicon Valley Graduates Meeting UC/CSU Requirements Calif ornia Source: Joint Venture, Index of Silicon Valley 2011 & CA Department of Education 30

What is the college-going rate by gender and ethnicity for public high school graduates to CA public institutions?

100%

2009 College-Going Rate from Santa Clara County Public High Schools to Any CA Public College or University by Gender and Ethnicity

80% 60% 61% 55% 40% 20% 35% 33% 36% 43% 29% 30% 0% African American Asian/PI Men Filipino Women Includes attendance at CA community college, CSU or UC institution .

Hispanic 34% 35% White Source: CPEC 31

Economic Impact Study

1/3 of jobs will require training involving up to one year’s worth of experience, training and/or instruction.

Source: Tim Nadreau, EMSI 32

Academic Outcomes

What are some of the course success rates among FHDA students?

Course Success Rates by Ethnicity

Student Success Metric: less than 5 percentage point difference 15 14 13 12 11 4 3 2 1 0 10 9 8 7 6 5 10.8

10.4

9.3

9.9

9.1

9.5

9.8

9.5

9.1

9.2

Foothill Gap De Anza Gap 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 Source: ARCC Report The bars represent the difference in course success between the group of under-served students (African American, Filipino, and Latino) and all other students (as a group). Job Corps students excluded.

Percent Successful in Basic Skills Courses *

50 40 30 20 10 0 100 Student Success Metric: 85% or highest in peer group Peer High 90 80 87.1

83.9

80.4

83.1

80.7

81.6

82.4

78.6

77.8

77.2

70 60 Foothill 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 De Anza 2009-10 Source: ARCC Report * Foothill and De Anza are in the same peer group for this measure

Who is progressing through the Algebra sequence?

2007-08 Cohort of New FHDA Students who Started in Elementary Algebra and Were Successful in Intermediate Algebra after Three Years

100% 80% 60% 36 out of 72 50% 241 out of 390 62% 68 out of 141 48% 235 out of 384 139 out of 310 61% 45% 40% 20% 0% African American Asian/PI Filipino Hispanic White Cohort ending in 2007-08= 1470. Cohort was tracked through 2009-10. Other and Unknown categories not included.

Source: FHDA IR&P 36

Who is progressing through the Calculus sequence?

100%

FHDA Successful Second Quarter Calculus Students Who Started as a Cohort in Fall 2009 First Quarter Calculus

80% 60% 40% 20% 1 out of 6 17% 145 out of 425 33% 1 out of 15 7% 5 out of 35 14% 25 out of 99 25% 0% African American Asian/PI Filipino Hispanic Cohort = 724; De Anza = 421, Foothill = 303; Figures do not include Other and Unknown.

White Source: FHDA IR&P 37

Academic Preparedness and Outcomes Summary

High school graduation rates for our area higher than state rate Half of Silicon Valley HS graduates meet CSU/UC requirements Majority of jobs will require postsecondary education or training Course success rates reveal differences when examined at a cohort level Percentages vs. numbers 38

Test Your Knowledge……

FHDA Office of Institutional Research and Planning Predictions Exercise

Please provide your predicted answer to each question, then fill in the actual answer which will be given during the presentation. At the end, compare what you predicated with the actual results. 1 While full-time enrollment has increased at both colleges between 2008 and 2010, which college enrolled a higher percentage rate of full-time students?

2 What percentage of De Anza students enrolled in Fall 2010 identify themselves as Filipino?

3 Which service area, after its own, does Foothill draw its largest enrollment?

4 Has the percentage over the past three years of Foothill students who declared an educational goal of earning a certificate/degree or transferring been trending up or down?

5 What percentage of De Anza students come from families with incomes of $25,000 or less?

6 What is the number of De Anza students who received a Pell grant in 2010-11?

7 What is the FHDA district six-year transfer rate to a four-year institution for Asian students (not including Filipinos or Pacific Islanders)?

8 What is the percentage rate among African American male students from Santa Clara County who attend any California public institution (UC/CSU/CCC)?

9 What percentage of Silicon Valley high school students meet UC/CSU requirements in 2008-09?

10 Which ethnic group in Santa Clara County is projected to increase the most between 2010 and 2035?

Prediction Actual De Anza 5% San Mateo Up 34% 3,985 73% 35% 50% Hispanic

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