Re-imagine’s Requisites: The Leadership Tom Peters/06.18.04 Slides at … tompeters.com Montgomery Ward … Kmart … Sears … Macy’s … Hutzler’s … Wanamaker’s … DEC …
Download ReportTranscript Re-imagine’s Requisites: The Leadership Tom Peters/06.18.04 Slides at … tompeters.com Montgomery Ward … Kmart … Sears … Macy’s … Hutzler’s … Wanamaker’s … DEC …
Re-imagine’s Requisites: 11 The Leadership Tom Peters/06.18.04 Slides at … tompeters.com Montgomery Ward … Kmart … Sears … Macy’s … Hutzler’s … Wanamaker’s … DEC … Wang … Compaq … Chase Manhattan … American Motors … Chrysler … U. S. Steel … Bethlehem Steel … AT&T … Soviet Union … Wal*Mart … Dell … Microsoft … U.S.A. … “Uncertainty is the only thing to be sure of.” —Anthony Muh, head of investment in Asia, Citigroup Asset Management “If you don’t like change, you’re going to like irrelevance even less.” —General Eric Shinseki, Chief of Staff, U. S. Army “It’s no longer enough to be a ‘change agent.’ You change insurgent— must be a provoking, prodding, warning everyone in sight that complacency is death.” —Bob Reich Biases Importance of Success Factors by Various “Gurus”/Estimates by Tom Peters Strategy Systems Passion Execution Porter 50% 20 15 15 Drucker 35% 30 15 20 Bennis 25% 20 30 25 Peters 15% 20 35 30 Successful Businesses’ Dozen Truths: TP’s 30-Year Perspective 1. Insanely Great & Quirky Talent. 2. Disrespect for Tradition. 3. Totally Passionate (to the Point of Irrationality) Belief in What We Are Here to Do. 4. Utter Disbelief at the BS that Marks “Normal Industry Behavior.” 5. A Maniacal Bias for Execution … and Utter Contempt for Those Who Don’t “Get It.” 6. Speed Demons. 7. Up or Out. (Meritocracy Is Thy Name. Sycophancy Is Thy Scourge.) 8. Passionate Hatred of Bureaucracy. 9. Willingness to Lead the Customer … and Take the Heat Associated Therewith. (Mantra: Satan Invented Focus Groups to Derail True Believers.) 10. “Reward Excellent Failures. Punish Mediocre Successes.” 11. Courage to Stand Alone on One’s Record of Accomplishment Against All the Forces of Conventional Wisdom. 12. A Crystal Clear Understanding of the power of a Good Story (Brand Power). Kevin Roberts’ Credo 1. Ready. Fire! Aim. 2. If it ain’t broke ... Break it! 3. Hire crazies. 4. Ask dumb questions. 5. Pursue failure. 6. Lead, follow ... or get out of the way! 7. Spread confusion. 8. Ditch your office. 9. Read odd stuff. 10. Avoid moderation! Sir Richard’s Rules: Follow your passions. Keep it simple. Get the best people to help you. Re-create yourself. Play. Source: Fortune/10.03 “In Tom’s world, it’s always better to try a swan dive and deliver a colossal belly flop than to step timidly off the board while holding your nose.” —Fast Company /October2003 Purpose It is the foremost task— and responsibility— of our generation to re-imagine our enterprises, private and public. —from the back cover, Re-imagine! “Management has a lot to do with answers. Leadership is a function of questions. And the first question for a leader always is: ‘Who do we intend to be?’ Not ‘What are we going to do?’ but ‘Who do we intend to be?’” —Max De Pree, Herman Miller Re-imagine! Do we rest on our laurels or reinvent our corners of the world? T.I.B.*: In the end we are uniquely responsible for using our power and resources to leave the world a better place than when we arrived. *This I Believe 60 – 30 = 90 – 60* *90 – 60 > 60 – 30 (??) One Person, Not So Senior! LCDR Charles Swift, Guantanamo Bay defense attorney SPC Joe Darby Context: The Change Tsunami Jobs Technology Globalization War, Warfighting & Security Jobs New Technology Globalization War, Warfighting & Security The Perfect (Jobs) Storm Off-shoring WC Automation Reluctance to hire “In a global economy, the government cannot give anybody a guaranteed success story, but you can give people the tools to make the most of their own lives.” —WJC, from Philip Bobbitt, The Shield of Achilles: War, Peace, and the Course of History “14 MILLION service jobs are in danger of being shipped overseas” — The Dobbs Report/USN&WR/11.03/re new UCB study “Income Confers No Immunity as Jobs Migrate” —Headline/USA Today/02.04 + People skills & emotional intelligence (financial service sales, 78%/248K; RNs, 28%/512K; lawyers, 24%/182K) Imagination & creativity (architects, 44%/60K; designers, 43%/230K; photographers, 38%/50K) Analytic reasoning (legal assts, 66%/159K; electronic engs, 28%/147K; computer operators, 55%/367K) Source: “Where the Jobs Are”/NYT/05.13.2004/data 1994-2004 Formulaic intelligence (health record clerks, 63%/36K; secretaries & typists, 30%/1.3M; bookkeepers, 13%/247K) Manual dexterity (sewing machine ops, 50%/347K; lathe ops, 49%/30K; butchers, 23%/67K) Muscle power (timber cutters, 32%/25K; farm workers, 20%/182K) Source: “Where the Jobs Are”/NYT/05.13.2004/data 1994-2004 “One Singaporean worker costs as much as … 3 … in Malaysia 8 … in Thailand 13 … in China 18 … in India.” Source: The Straits Times/08.18.03 “The proper role of a healthily functioning economy is to destroy jobs and to put labor to use elsewhere. Despite this truth, layoffs and firings will always sting, as if the invisible hand of free enterprise has slapped workers in the face.” —Joseph Schumpeter “There is no job that is America’s God-given right anymore.” —Carly Fiorina/ HP/ 01.08.2004 “WHAT ARE PEOPLE GOING TO DO WITH THEMSELVES?” —Headline/ Fortune/ 11.03 (“We should finally admit that we do not and cannot know, and regard that fact with serenity rather than anxiety.”) “We erect walls to foreign trade and even discourage job-displacing innovations. But time and again through our history, we have discovered merely to preserve the comfortable features of the present, rather than reaching for new levels of prosperity, is a sure path to stagnation.” —Alan Greenspan/03.12.2004 Jobs Technology Globalization War, Warfighting & Security <1000A.D.: paradigm shift: 1000s of years 1000: 100 years for paradigm shift 1800s: > prior 900 years 1900s: 1st 20 years > 1800s 2000: 10 years for paradigm shift 21st century: 1000X tech change than 20th century (“the ‘Singularity,’ a merger between humans and computers that is so rapid and profound it represents a rupture in the fabric of human history”) Ray Kurzweil E.g. … Jeff Immelt: 75% of “admin, back room, finance” “digitalized” in years. Source: BW (01.28.02) Productivity! McKesson 2002-2003: Revenue … +$7B Employees … +500 Source: USA Today/06.14.04 “A bureaucrat is an expensive microchip.” Dan Sullivan, consultant and executive coach “I genuinely believe we are living through the greatest intellectual moment in history.” Matt Ridley, Genome “In 25 years, you’ll probably be able to get the sum total of all human knowledge on a personal device.” Greg Blonder, VC [was Chief Technical Adviser for Corporate Strategy @ AT&T] [Barron’s 11.13.2000] “A California biotechnology company has put the entire sequence of the human genome on a single chip, allowing researchers to conduct a single experiment on the complex relationships between the 30,000 genes that make up a human being.” —Page 3, Financial Times/10.03.2003 Jobs Technology Globalization War, Warfighting & Security “Asia’s rise is the economic event of our age. Should it proceed as it has over the last few decades, it will bring the two centuries of global domination by Europe and, subsequently, its giant North American offshoot to an end.” —Financial Times (09.22.2003) “The world has arrived at a rare strategic inflection point where nearly half its population—living in China, India and Russia—have been integrated into the global market economy, many of them highly educated workers, who can do just about any job in the world. We’re talking about three billion people.” —Craig Barrett/Intel/01.08.2004 China Roars! Chinese Industrial Growth Rate Slows! April ’03 to April ’04: 19.1% May ’03 to May ’04: 17.5% Source: NYT/06.11.04 1990-2003: Exports 8X ($380B); 6% global exports 2003 vs. 3.9% 2000; 16% of Total Global Growth in 2002. Source: “China Takes Off”, David Hale & Lyric Hughes Hale/Foreign Affairs/Nov-Dec2003 1998-2003: 45,000,000 layoffs in state sector; offset by $450B in foreign investment; foreign companies account for 50+% of exports vs. 31% in Mexico, 15% in Korea. Source: “China Takes Off”, David Hale & Lyric Hughes Hale/Foreign Affairs/Nov-Dec2003 50% of output from private firms, 37% from state-owned firms; 80% of workforce (incl. rural) now in private employ. Source: “China Takes Off”, David Hale & Lyric Hughes Hale/Foreign Affairs/Nov-Dec2003 Population growth = 1%; two-thirds of housing privately owned, 90% of urban Chinese own a home (vs. 61% in Japan) Source: “China Takes Off”, David Hale & Lyric Hughes Hale/Foreign Affairs/Nov-Dec2003 200 cities with >1,000,000 population. Source: “China Takes Off”, David Hale & Lyric Hughes Hale/Foreign Affairs/Nov-Dec2003 Shanghai. 17 million people. $10,000 p.c. (10X China). 2000-2003: 30% p.a. growth. Source: Washington Post / 06.13.04 2003: China-Hong Kong leading producer in 8 of 12 key consumer electronic product areas (>50%: DVDs, digital cameras; >33.33%: DVD-ROM drives, personal desktop and notebook computers; >25% mobile phones, color TVs, PDAs, car stereos). Source: “China Takes Off,” David Hale & Lyric Hughes Hale/Foreign Affairs/Nov-Dec2003 “Going Global: Flush with billions in foreign reserves, China is embarking on a buying spree” —Cover/ Newsweek/ 03.01.04/ on China’s aggressive offshore acquisition activity (buying brands, technology, etc.) World economic output: U.S.A., 21%; EU, 16%; China, 13% (2X since1991) Source: New York Times/12.14.2003 “America, like everyone else, must get used to being a loser as well as a gainer in the global economy. In the end, the 21st century is unlikely to be the American Century.” —“When the Chinese Consumer Is King”/New York Times/12.14.2003. “The notion that God intended Americans to be permanently wealthier than the rest of the world, that gets less and less likely as time goes on.” —Robert Solow, Nobel laureate in economics/New York Times/12.14.2003 In Store: International Equality, Intranational Inequality “The new organization of society implied by the triumph of individual autonomy and the true equalization of opportunity based upon merit will lead to very great rewards for merit and great individual autonomy. This will leave individuals far more responsible for themselves than they have been accustomed to being during the industrial period. It will also reduce the unearned advantage in living standards that has been enjoyed by residents of advanced industrial societies throughout the 20th century.” James Davidson & William Rees-Mogg,The Sovereign Individual Indian GDP/1990-2002: Ag, 34% to 21%; services, 40% to 56% Source: The Economist / 02.04 Level 5 (top) ranking/Carnegie Mellon Software Engineering Institute: 35 of 70 companies in world are from India Source: Wired/02.04 No Limits? “Short on Priests, U.S. Catholics Outsource Prayer to Indian Clergy” —New York Times/06.13.04 (“Special intentions,” $.90 for Indians, $5.00 for Americans) “Forget India, Let’s Go to Bulgaria” —Headline, BW/03.04, re SAP, BMW, Siemens et al. “near-shoring” Jobs Technology Globalization War, Warfighting & Security “This is a dangerous world and it is going to become more dangerous.” “We may not be interested in chaos but chaos is interested in us.” Source: Robert Cooper, The Breaking of Nations: Order and Chaos in the Twenty-first Century “The world’s new dimension (computers, Internet, globalization, instantaneous communication, widely available instruments of mass destruction and so on) amounts to a new metaphysics that, by empowering individual zealots or agitated tribes with unappeasable grievances, makes the world unstable and dangerous in radically new ways.” —Lance Morrow/Evil “The new century risks being overrun by both anarchy and technology. The two great destroyers of history may reinforce each other. Both the spread of terrorism and that of weapons of mass destruction point to a world in which Western governments are losing control. The spread of the technology of mass destruction represents a potentially massive redistribution of power away from the advanced industrial (and democratic) states and toward smaller states that may be less stable and have less of a stake in an orderly world; or more dramatically still, it may represent a redistribution of power away from the state itself and towards individuals, that is to say terrorists or criminals. In the past to be damaging, an ideological movement had to be widespread to recruit enough support to take on authority. Henceforth, comparatively small groups will be able to do the sort of damage which before only state armies or major revolutionary movements could achieve. A few fanatics with a ‘dirty bomb’ or biological weapons will be able to cause death on a scale not previously envisaged. … Emancipation, diversity, global communication—all of the things that promise an age of riches and creativity—could also bring a nightmare in which states lose control of the means of violence and people lose control of their futures.”—Robert Cooper, The Breaking of Nations: Order and Chaos in the Twenty-first Century “Before we can talk about the security requirements for today and tomorrow, we have to forget the security rules of yesterday.” —Robert Cooper, The Breaking of Nations: Order and Chaos in the Twenty-first Century All Bets Are Off! “There will be more confusion in the business world in the next decade than in any decade in history. And the current pace of change will only accelerate.” Steve Case “Let’s compete—by training the best workers, investing in R & D, erecting the best infrastructure and building an education system that graduates students who rank with the worlds best. Our goal is to be competitive with the best so we both win and create jobs.” —Craig Barrett (Time/03.01.04) The “Ownership Society” (GWB): “This is a bundle of proposals that treat workers as self-reliant pioneers who rise through several employers and careers. To thrive, these pioneers need survival tools. They need to own their own capital reserves, their retraining programs, their own pensions and their own health insurance.” —David Brooks/NYT/12.20.03 Successful Businesses’ Dozen Truths: TP’s 30-Year Perspective 1. Insanely Great & Quirky Talent. 2. Disrespect for Tradition. 3. Totally Passionate (to the Point of Irrationality) Belief in What We Are Here to Do. 4. Utter Disbelief at the Bullshit that Marks “Normal Industry Behavior.” 5. A Maniacal Bias for Execution … and Utter Contempt for Those Who Don’t “Get It.” 6. Speed Demons. 7. Up or Out. (Meritocracy Is Thy Name. Sycophancy Is Thy Scourge.) 8. Passionate Hatred of Bureaucracy. 9. Willingness to Lead the Customer … and Take the Heat Associated Therewith. (Mantra: Satan Invented Focus Groups to Derail True Believers.) 10. “Reward Excellent Failures. Punish Mediocre Successes.” 11. Courage to Stand Alone on One’s Record of Accomplishment Against All the Forces of Conventional Wisdom. 12. A Crystal Clear Understanding of Brand Power. The Leadership 11 The Leadership11 1. Talent Management 2. Metabolic Management 3. Technology Management 4. Barrier Management 5. Forgetful Management 6. Metaphysical Management 7. Opportunity Management 8. Portfolio Management 9. Failure Management 10. Cause Management 11. Passion Management The Leadership11 1. Talent Management 2. Metabolic Management 3. Technology Management 4. Barrier Management 5. Forgetful Management 6. Metaphysical Management 7. Opportunity Management 8. Portfolio Management 9. Failure Management 10. Cause Management 11. Passion Management Steel: 75,000,000 tons in ’82 to 102,000,000 tons in ’02. 289, 000 steelworkers in ’82 to 74,000 steelworkers in ’02. Source: Fortune/11.24.03 “WHERE IS YOUR JOB GOING”: writing software, designing chips, reading MRIs, processing mortgages, preparing tax returns, managing computer networks (etc: GE Capital’s 15,000 in Delhi), preparing PP slides for McKinsey (350 in Chennai), equity analysis of U.S. companies (Morgan Stanley) … Source: Fortune/11.24.03 “WHAT ARE PEOPLE GOING TO DO WITH THEMSELVES?” —Headline /Fortune/ 11.03 (“We should finally admit that we do not and cannot know, and regard that fact with serenity rather than anxiety.”) “Unless mankind redesigns itself by changing our DNA through altering our genetic makeup, computergenerated robots will take over the world.” – Stephen Hawking, in the German magazine Focus The Leadership11 Talent Management In an age of value-added through imagination, creativity and intellectual capital … the leader’s Job One is the recruitment, development and retention of awesome talent. Brand = Talent. “When land was the scarce resource, nations battled over it. The same is happening now for talented people.” Stan Davis & Christopher Meyer, futureWEALTH Age of Agriculture Industrial Age Age of Information Intensification Age of Creation Intensification Source: Murikami Teruyasu, Nomura Research Institute “The Creative Class derives its identity from its members’ roles as purveyors of creativity. Because creativity is the driving force of economic growth, in terms of influence the Creative Class has become the dominant class in society.” —Richard Florida, The Rise of the Creative Class (38M, 30%) “The leaders of Great Groups love talent and know where to find it. They revel in the talent of others.” Warren Bennis & Patricia Ward Biederman, Organizing Genius PARC’s Bob Taylor: “Connoisseur of Talent” Talent! Tina Brown: “The first thing to do is to hire enough talent that a critical mass of excitement starts to grow.” Source: Business2.0/12.2002-01.2003 T.A.: Model 25/8/53 Sports Franchise GM “In most companies, the Talent Review Process is a farce. At GE, Jack Welch and his two top HR people visit each division for a day. They review the top 20 to 50 people by name. They talk about Talent Pool strengthening issues. The Talent Review Process is a contact sport at GE; it has the intensity and the importance of the budget process at most companies.” —Ed Michaels From “1, 2 or you’re out” [JW] to … “Best Talent in each industry segment to build best proprietary intangibles” [EM] Source: Ed Michaels, War for Talent “Top performing companies are two to four times more likely than the rest to pay what it takes to prevent losing top performers.” Ed Michaels, War for Talent (05.17.00) DD$21M “Where do good new ideas come from? That’s simple! From differences. Creativity comes from unlikely juxtapositions. The best way to maximize differences is to mix ages, cultures and disciplines.” Nicholas Negroponte “Our business needs a massive transfusion of talent, and talent, I believe, is most likely to be found among non-conformists, dissenters and rebels.” David Ogilvy “AS LEADERS, WOMEN RULE: New Studies find that female managers outshine their male counterparts in almost every measure” Title, Special Report, BusinessWeek, 11.20.00 Women’s Strengths Match New Economy Imperatives: Link [rather than rank] workers; favor interactive-collaborative leadership style [empowerment beats top-down decision making]; sustain fruitful collaborations; comfortable with sharing information; see redistribution of power as victory, not surrender; favor multi-dimensional feedback; value technical & interpersonal skills, individual & group contributions equally; readily accept ambiguity; honor intuition as well as pure “rationality”; inherently flexible; appreciate cultural diversity. Source: Judy B. Rosener, America’s Competitive Secret: Women Managers “Are men obsolete?” —Headline, USN&WR/06.03.03 What’s your company’s … EVP? Employee Value Proposition, per Ed Michaels et al., The War for Talent; IBP/Internal Brand Promise per TP EVP = Challenge, professional growth, respect, satisfaction, opportunity, reward Source: Ed Michaels et al., The War for Talent Our Mission To develop and manage talent; to apply that talent, throughout the world, for the benefit of clients; to do so in partnership; to do so with profit. WPP Talent’s “Big Two” Rules GREAT Finance Dept. = GREAT Football Team DIFFERENCES Among Cello Players = DIFFERENCES Among Hotel GMs The Top 5 “Revelations” Better talent wins. Talent management is my job as leader. Talented leaders are looking for the moon and stars. Over-deliver on people’s dreams – they are volunteers. Pump talent in at all levels, from all conceivable sources, all the time. Source: Ed Michaels et al., The War for Talent Talent’s Rules 1. Talent = 25/8/53 2. Some people are better than other people. Some people are a helluva lot better than other people 3. Think “Roster” 4. Think “V.C.” 5. Talent = Brand 6. Talent is what leaders do. Talent Department People Department Center for Talent Excellence Seriously Cool People Who Recruit & Develop Seriously Cool People Etc. “Firms will not ‘manage the careers’ of their employees. They will provide opportunities to enable the employee to develop identity and adaptability and thus be in charge of his or her own career.” Tim Hall et al., “The New Protean Career Contract” Quests! “Ninety percent of what we call ‘management’ consists of making it difficult for people to get things done.” – P.D. “I don’t know.” Distinct …or Exstinct “If there is nothing very special about your work, no matter how hard you apply yourself, you won’t get noticed, and that increasingly means you won’t get paid much either.” Michael Goldhaber, Wired “better material welfare” vs. “maximize the opportunity of its people” —Philip Bobbitt, The Shield of Achilles: War, Peace, and the Course of History “In a global economy, the government cannot give anybody a guaranteed success story, but you can give people the tools to make the most of their own lives.” —WJC, from Philip Bobbitt, The Shield of Achilles: War, Peace, and the Course of History Country Guarantee No One Is in Need U.S.A. Germany France UK Italy 35% 58% 61% 61% 65% Source: Economist/11.08.2003 Provide Freedom to Pursue Goals 58% 38% 36% 35% 22% “My ancestors were printers in Amsterdam from 1510 or so until 1750, and during that entire time they didn’t have to learn anything new.” Peter Drucker, Business 2.0 (08.22.00) “Knowledge becomes obsolete incredibly fast. The continuing professional education of adults is the No. 1 industry in the next 30 years … mostly on line.” Peter Drucker, Business 2.0 (22August2000) Prep: 1 hour per 1 minute (WSC) “Forget ‘practice makes perfect.’ Substitute ‘perfect practice makes perfect.’ ” (TT) “Major difference between ‘best’ and ‘average’? ‘Best’ get as much pleasure from practice as performance.” —Ben Zander Edward Jones’ Training Machine* 146 hours/employee/year New hires: 4X avg. 3.8% of payroll * #1, “The 100 Best Companies To Work For”/Fortune/01.2003 T.T.D./Assignment Construct a 1/8-page or 1/4-page ad for Brand You … for the Yellow Pages “You are the storyteller of your own life, and you can create your own legend or not.” Isabel Allende “For Marx, the path to social betterment was through collective resistance of the proletariat to the economic injustices of the capitalist system that produced such misshapenness and fragmentation. For Emerson, the key was to jolt individuals into realizing the untapped power of energy, knowledge and creativity of which all people, at least in principle, are capable. He too hated all systems of human oppression; but his central project, and the basis of his legacy, was to unchain individual minds.” —Lawrence Buell, Emerson I AM A TALENT FANATIC. I STACK UP WITH THE BEST FOOTBALL COACHES. OUR TALENT IS ON QUESTS TO RE-IMAGINE TOMORROW. THE TALENT I RECRUIT AND DEVELOP IS MY PREMIER LEGACY. (Scale of 1 to 10?) The Leadership11 1. Talent Management 2. Metabolic Management 3. Technology Management 4. Barrier Management 5. Forgetful Management 6. Metaphysical Management 7. Opportunity Management 8. Portfolio Management 9. Failure Management 10. Cause Management 11. Passion Management The Leadership11 Metabolic Management The “metabolism” of enterprisecompetition-invention has speeded up remarkably. It is the leader’s mission to increase—and manage—the Metabolic Rate of her or his organization. “How we feel about the evolving future tells us who we are as individuals and as a civilization: Do we search for stasis—a regulated, engineered world? Or do we embrace dynamism—a world of constant creation, discovery and competition? Do we value stability and control or evolution and learning? Do we think that progress requires a central blueprint, or do we see it as a decentralized, evolutionary process?? Do we see mistakes as permanent disasters, or the correctable byproducts of experimentation? Do we crave predictability or relish surprise? These two poles, stasis and dynamism, increasingly define our political, intellectual and cultural landscape.” —Virginia Postrel, The Future and Its Enemies “If things seem under control, you’re just not going fast enough.” Mario Andretti “I’m not comfortable unless I’m uncomfortable.” —Jay Chiat “We are in a brawl with no rules.” Paul Allaire “Strategy meetings held once or twice a year” to “Strategy meetings needed several times a week.” Source: New York Times on Meg Whitman/eBay Rate of Leaving F500 1970-1990: Source: The Company, John Micklethwait & Adrian Wooldridge (1974-200: One-half biggest 100 disappear) “Far from being a source of comfort, bigness became a code for inflexibility.” —John Micklethwait & Adrian Wooldridge, The Company “Active mutators in placid times tend to die off. They are selected against. Reluctant mutators in quickly changing times are also selected against.” Carl Sagan & Ann Druyan, Shadows of Forgotten Ancestors “The secret of fast progress is inefficiency, fast and furious and numerous failures.” Kevin Kelly The Kotler Doctrine: 1965-1980: R.A.F. (Ready.Aim.Fire.) 1980-1995: R.F.A. (Ready.Fire!Aim.) 1995-????: F.F.F. (Fire!Fire!Fire!) “We have a ‘strategic’ plan. It’s called doing things.” — Herb Kelleher “If Microsoft is good at anything, it’s avoiding the trap of worrying about criticism. Microsoft fails constantly. They’re eviscerated in public for lousy products. Yet they persist, through version after version, until they get something good enough. Then they leverage the power they’ve gained in other markets to enforce their standard.” Seth Godin, Zooming Culture of Prototyping “Effective prototyping may be the most valuable core competence an innovative organization can hope to have.” Michael Schrage Think about It!? Innovation = Reaction to the Prototype Michael Schrage “If it works, it’s obsolete.” —Marshall McLuhan OODA Loop/Boyd Cycle “Unraveling the competition”/ Quick Transients/ Quick Tempo (NOT JUST SPEED!)/ Agility/ “So quick it is disconcerting” (adversary over-reacts or under-reacts)/ “Winners used tactics that caused the enemy to unravel before the fight” (NEVER HEAD TO HEAD) BOYD: The Fighter Pilot Who Changed the Art of War (Robert Coram) “Blitzkrieg is far more than lightning thrusts that most people think of when they hear the term; rather it was all about high operational tempo and the rapid exploitation of opportunity.” BOYD: The Fighter Pilot Who Changed the Art of War (Robert Coram) “Float like a butterfly. Sting like a bee.” —Ali “Maneuverists” BOYD: The Fighter Pilot Who Changed the Art of War (Robert Coram) Eric’s Army Flat. Fast. Agile. Adaptable. Light … But Lethal. Talent/ “I Am an Army of One.” Info-intense. Network-centric. The New Infantry Battalion/ New York Times/12.01.2002 “Pentagon’s Urgent Search for Speed.” 270 soldiers (1/3rd normal complement); 140 robotic off-road armored trucks. “Every soldier is a sensor.” “Revolutionary capabilities.” Find-to-hit: 45 minutes to 15 minutes … in just one year. “Rather than have massive armies that people can go along and inspect, it is now about having rapidly deployable expediency forces that can be dropped by land, sea or air and with full support.” —MoD official, on Defense Secretary Geoff Hoon’s defense white paper (12.2003) WE ARE ON A PERMANENT HIGH. WE LIVE ON SPEED. WE TACK AND JIBE ON A NANOSECOND’S NOTICE. RECRIMINATION IS MINIMAL. ACTION RULES. I AM PROACTIVE AROUND THE CAUSE (Scale of 1 to 10?) OF URGENCY. The Leadership11 1. Talent Management 2. Metabolic Management 3. Technology Management 4. Barrier Management 5. Forgetful Management 6. Metaphysical Management 7. Opportunity Management 8. Portfolio Management 9. Failure Management 10. Cause Management 11. Passion Management The Leadership11 Technology Management The Internet and other associated technologies are changing … everything. The leader must take direct charge of the full-bore implementation of the new technologies. The wise leader is his own CIO. “E-commerce is happening the way all the hype said it would. Internet deployment is happening. Broadband is happening. Everything we ever said about the Internet is happening. And it is very, very early. We can’t even glimpse IT’s potential in changing the way people work and live.” —Andy Grove (BusinessWeek/August 2003) square feet “Our entire facility is digital. No paper, no film, no medical records. Nothing. And it’s all integrated—from the lab to X-ray to records to physician order entry. Patients don’t have to wait for anything. The information from the physician’s office is in registration and vice versa. The referring physician is immediately sent an email telling him his patient has shown up. … It’s wireless in-house. We have 800 notebook computers that are wireless. Physicians can walk around with a computer that’s pre-programmed. If the physician wants, we’ll go out and wire their house so they can sit on the couch and connect to the network. They can review a chart from 100 miles away.” —David Veillette, CEO, Indiana Heart Hospital (HealthLeaders/12.2002) “Dawn Meyerreicks, CTO of the Defense Information Systems Agency, made one of the most fateful military calls of the 21st century. After 9/11 … her office quickly leased all the available transponders covering Central Asia. The implications should change everything about U.S. military thinking in the years ahead. “The U.S. Air Force had kicked off its fight against the Taliban with an ineffective bombing campaign, and Washington was anguishing over whether to send in a few Army divisions. Donald Rumsfeld told Gen. Tommy Franks to give the initiative to 250 Special Forces already on the ground. They used satellite phones, Predator surveillance drones, and GPS- and laser-based targeting systems to make the air strikes brutally effective. “In effect, they ‘Napsterized’ the battlefield by cutting out the middlemen (much of the military’s command and control) and working directly with the real players. … The data came in so fast that HQ revised operating procedures to allow intelligence analysts and attack planners to work directly together. Their favorite tool, incidentally, was instant messaging over a secure network.”—Ned Desmond/“Broadband’s New Killer App”/Business 2.0/ OCT2002 “The mechanical speed of combat vehicles has not increased since Rommel’s day, so the difference is all in the operational speed, faster communications and faster decisions.” —Edward Luttwak, on the unprecedented pace of the move toward Baghdad Eric’s Army Flat. Fast. Agile. Adaptable. Light … But Lethal. Talent/ “I Am an Army of One.” Info-intense. Network-centric. “Hyperlinks subvert hierarchy!” The Cluetrain Manifesto Words to Live By … “Hierarchy is an organization with its face toward the CEO and it’s ass toward the customer.” Kjell Nordstrom and Jonas Ridderstrale, Funky Business WebWorld = Everything Web as a way to run your business’s innards Web as connector for your entire supply-demand chain Web as “spider’s web” which re-conceives the industry Web/B2B as ultimate wake-up call to “commodity producers” Web as the scourge of slack, inefficiency, sloth, bureaucracy, poor customer data Web as an Encompassing Way of Life Web = Everything (P.D. to after-sales) Web forces you to focus on what you do best Web as entrée, at any size, to World’s Best at Everything as next door neighbor “There’s no use trying,” said Alice. “One can’t believe impossible things.” “I daresay you haven’t had much practice,” said the Queen. “When I was your age, I always did it for half an hour a day. Why, sometimes I’ve believed as many as six impossible things before breakfast.” Lewis Carroll I’net … allows you to dream dreams you could never have dreamed before! … Case: CRM Amen! “The Age of the Never Satisfied Customer” Regis McKenna “CRM has, almost universally, failed to live up to expectations.” Butler Group (UK) FT: “The aim [of CRM] is to make customers feel as they did in the preelectronic age when service was more personal.” No! No! No! DIM/Self-service Rules! ATMs Checkout Phones Speedpass The Web (eBay, Amazon, Travelocity, Mapquest, banking et al.) HR, Project management, etc. Minus 1.3M secretaries CGE&Y (Paul Cole): “Pleasant “Systemic Opportunity.” “Better job of what we do today” vs. “Rethink overall enterprise strategy.” Transaction” vs. Here We Go Again: Except It’s Real This Time! Bank online: 24.3M (10.2002); 2X Y2000. Wells Fargo: 1/3rd; 3.3M; 50% lower attrition rate; 50% higher growth in balances than off-line; more likely to cross-purchase; “happier and stay with the bank much longer.” Source: The Wall Street Journal/10.21.2002 TECHNOLOGY CHANGES EVERYTHING. I AM A TRUE BELIEVER. NOW IS THE MOMENT FOR INSANELY BOLD INVESTMENT AND TOTAL CORPORATE RE-IMAGINATION. (Scale of 1 to 10?) The Leadership11 1. Talent Management 2. Metabolic Management 3. Technology Management 4. Barrier Management 5. Forgetful Management 6. Metaphysical Management 7. Opportunity Management 8. Portfolio Management 9. Failure Management 10. Cause Management 11. Passion Management The Leadership11 Barrier Management The “corporate metabolism” cannot be speeded up and the new technologies cannot be fully exploited unless all barriers to X-functional communication (throughout the entire supply and demand chain) are destroyed. The leader must lead—get directly involved in the minutiae of this STRATEGIC task. “IT MAY SOMEDAY BE SAID THAT THE 21ST CENTURY BEGAN ON SEPTEMBER 11, 2001. … “Al-Qaeda represents a new and profoundly dangerous kind of organization—one that might be called a ‘virtual state.’ On September 11 a virtual state proved that modern societies are vulnerable as never before.”—Time/09.09.2002 “The deadliest strength of America’s new adversaries is their very fluidity, Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld believes. Terrorist networks, unburdened by fixed borders, headquarters or conventional forces, are free to study the way this nation responds to threats and adapt themselves to prepare for what Mr. Rumsfeld is certain will be another attack. … “ ‘Business as usual won’t do it,’ he said. His answer is to develop swifter, more lethal ways to fight. ‘Big institutions aren’t swift on their feet in adapting but rather ponderous and clumsy and slow.’ ”—The New York Times/09.04.2002 From: To: Weapon v. Weapon Org structure v. Org structure “Our military structure today is essentially one developed and designed by Napoleon.” Admiral Bill Owens, former Vice Chairman, Joint Chiefs of Staff “The organizations we created have become tyrants. They have taken control, holding us fettered, creating barriers that hinder rather than help our businesses. The lines that we drew on our neat organizational diagrams have turned into walls that no one can scale or penetrate or even peer over.” —Frank Lekanne Deprez & René Tissen, Zero Space: Moving Beyond Organizational Limits. “In an era when terrorists use satellite US gatekeepers stand armed against them with pencils and paperwork, and archaic computer systems that don’t talk to each other.” phones and encrypted email, Boston Globe (09.30.2001) “Dawn Meyerreicks, CTO of the Defense Information Systems Agency, made one of the most fateful military calls of the 21st century. After 9/11 … her office quickly leased all the available transponders covering Central Asia. The implications should change everything about U.S. military thinking in the years ahead. “The U.S. Air Force had kicked off its fight against the Taliban with an ineffective bombing campaign, and Washington was anguishing over whether to send in a few Army divisions. Donald Rumsfeld told Gen. Tommy Franks to give the initiative to 250 Special Forces already on the ground. They used satellite phones, Predator surveillance drones, and GPS- and laser-based targeting systems to make the air strikes brutally effective. “In effect, they ‘Napsterized’ the battlefield by cutting out the middlemen (much of the military’s command and control) and working directly with the real players. … The data came in so fast that HQ revised operating procedures to allow intelligence analysts and attack planners to work directly together. Their favorite tool, incidentally, was instant messaging over a secure network.”—Ned Desmond/“Broadband’s New Killer App”/Business 2.0/ OCT2002 Message: eCommerce is not a technology play! It is a relationship, partnership, organizational and communications play, made possible by new technologies. Message: There is no such thing as an effective B2B or Internet-supply chain strategy in a low-trust, bottleneckedcommunication, six-layer organization. “Ebusiness is about rebuilding the organization from the ground up. Most companies today are not built to exploit the Internet. Their business processes, their approvals, their hierarchies, the number of people they employ … all of that is wrong for running an ebusiness.” Ray Lane, Kleiner Perkins “The corporation as we know it, which is now 120 years old, is not likely to survive the next 25 years. Legally and financially, yes, but not structurally and economically.” Peter Drucker, Business 2.0 BARRIERS MUST GO. PERIOD. I AM INTIMATELY INVOLVED WITH THE GRUBBY DETAILS OF TOTAL PROCESS RE-DESIGN. WE WILL NOT PARTNER WITH THOSE THAT (Scale of 1 t0 10?) DON’T “GET IT.” The Leadership11 1. Talent Management 2. Metabolic Management 3. Technology Management 4. Barrier Management 5. Forgetful Management 6. Metaphysical Management 7. Opportunity Management 8. Portfolio Management 9. Failure Management 10. Cause Management 11. Passion Management The Leadership11 Forgetful Management The new competitive realities demand that we turn our backs on the ones who brung us. Every leader needs a FORMAL “forgetting strategy.” Forbes100 from 1917 to 1987: 39 members of the Class of ’17 were alive in ’87; 18 in ’87 F100; 18 F100 “survivors” underperformed the market by 20%; just 2 (2%), GE & Kodak, outperformed the market 1917 to 1987. S&P 500 from 1957 to 1997: 74 members of the Class of ’57 were alive in ’97; 12 (2.4%) of 500 outperformed the market from 1957 to 1997. Source: Dick Foster & Sarah Kaplan, Creative Destruction: Why Companies That Are Built to Last Underperform the Market “It is generally much easier to kill an organization than change it substantially.” Kevin Kelly, Out of Control Cortez! Leaders “dump the ones who brung ’em” —Nokia, HP, 3M, PerkinElmer, Corning, etc. Survivors underperform.” “It’s just a fact: —Dick Foster Forget>“Learn” “The problem is never how to get new, innovative thoughts into your mind, but how to get the old ones out.” Dee Hock Success Kills! “The more successful a company, the flatter its forgetting curve.” — Gary Hamel and C.K. Prahalad “FORGET IT” IS MY MISSION AND MANTRA. WE MUST SEVER MANY/MOST OF OUR TIES TO THE PAST … AND IMAGINE COMPLETELY NEW WORLDS. EVERYONE KNOWS THAT “FORGETTING” IS MY PASSION. (Scale of 1 to 10?) The Leadership11 1. Talent Management 2. Metabolic Management 3. Technology Management 4. Barrier Management 5. Forgetful Management 6. Metaphysical Management 7. Opportunity Management 8. Portfolio Management 9. Failure Management 10. Cause Management 11. Passion Management The Leadership11 Metaphysical Management A brand new value proposition is emerging. We are moving toward more and more ethereal “products” and “services.” The leader must oversee this process—become the Metaphysician-in-Chief. “While everything may it is also increasingly the same.” be better, Paul Goldberger on retail, “The Sameness of Things,” The New York Times “The ‘surplus society’ has a surplus of similar companies, employing similar people, with similar educational backgrounds, coming up with similar ideas, producing similar things, with similar prices and similar quality.” Kjell Nordström and Jonas Ridderstråle, Funky Business “Companies have defined so much ‘best practice’ that they are now more or less identical.” Jesper Kunde, Unique Now ... or Never “This is an essay about what it takes to create and sell something remarkable. It is a plea for originality, passion, guts and daring. You can’t be remarkable by following someone else who’s remarkable. One way to figure out a theory is to look at what’s working in the real world and determine what the successes have in common. But what could the Four Seasons and Motel 6 possibly have in common? Or Neiman-Marcus and Wal*Mart? Or Nokia (bringing out new hardware every 30 days or so) and Nintendo (marketing the same Game Boy 14 years in a row)? It’s like trying to drive looking in the The thing that all these companies have in common is that they have nothing in common. They are outliers. They’re on rearview mirror. the fringes. Superfast or superslow. Very exclusive or very cheap. Extremely big or extremely small. The reason its so hard to follow the leader is this: The leader is the leader precisely because he did something remarkable. And that remarkable thing is now taken—so it’s no longer remarkable when you decide to do it.” —Seth Godin, Fast Company/02.2003 “We make over three new product announcements a day. Can you remember them? Our customers can’t!” Carly Fiorina 09.11.2000: HP bids $18,000,000,000 for PricewaterhouseCoopers consulting business! “These days, building the best server isn’t enough. That’s the price of entry.” Ann Livermore, Hewlett-Packard Systems Integrator of choice. Global Services: Gerstner’s IBM: $35B. Pledge/’99: Business Partner Charter. 72 strategic partners, aim for 200. Drop many in-house programs/products. (BW/12.01). “[Sam] Palmisano’s strategy is to expand tech’s borders by pushing users—and entire industries—toward radically different business models. The payoff for IBM would be access to an ocean of revenue—Palmisano estimates it at $500 billion a year— that technology companies have never been able to touch.” —Fortune/06.14.04 “UPS wants to take over the sweet spot in the endless loop of goods, information and capital that all the packages [it moves] represent.” ecompany.com/06.01 (E.g., UPS Logistics manages the logistics of 4.5M Ford vehicles, from 21 mfg. sites to 6,000 NA dealers) E.g. … UTC/Otis + Carrier: boxes to “integrated building systems” Units of “Coolth” Leased AC: Omnicom: 57% (of $6B) from marketing services And the Winners Are … Televisions –12% Cable TV service +5% Toys -10% Child care +5% Photo equipment -7% Photographer’s fees +3% Sports Equipment -2% Admission to sporting event +3% New car -2% Car repair +3% Dishes & flatware -1% Eating out +2% Gardening supplies -0.1% Gardening services +2% Source: WSJ/05.16.03 IBM/Q3/10.15.03/Rev: +5% Services/Consulting: +11% Software: +5% Hardware: -5% PCs: -2% Technology/Chips: -33% Turnkey Nation HP … Sun … Farmers Group … Northwestern Mutual Financial Network … IBM … AT&T … Ericsson … GE Power Systems … GE Industrial Systems … Ford … Siemens … Home Depot … Deere … UTC Otis … UTC Carrier … UPS … Springs Industries … RCI … Equity Office Properties … Omnicom … India … Etc. “Experiences are as distinct from services as services are from goods.” Joseph Pine & James Gilmore, The Experience Economy: Work Is Theatre & Every Business a Stage “Club Med is more than just a ‘resort’; it’s a means of rediscovering oneself, of inventing an entirely new ‘me.’ ” Source: Jean-Marie Dru, Disruption “Guinness as a brand is all about community. It’s about bringing people together and sharing stories.”—Ralph Ardill, Imagination, in re Guinness Storehouse “The [Starbucks] Fix” Is on … “We have identified a ‘third place.’ And I really believe that sets us apart. The third place is that place that’s not work or home. It’s the place our customers come for refuge.” Nancy Orsolini, District Manager Experience: “Rebel Lifestyle!” “What we sell is the ability for a 43-year-old accountant to dress in black leather, ride through small towns and have people be afraid of him.” Harley exec, quoted in Results-Based Leadership WHAT CAN BROWN DO FOR YOU? The “Experience Ladder” Experiences Services Goods Raw Materials “I see us as being in the art business. Art, entertainment and mobile sculpture, which, coincidentally, also happens to provide transportation.” Bob Lutz: Source: NYT 10.19.01 “Lexus sells its cars as containers for our sound systems. It’s marvelous.”—Sidney Harman/ Harman International It’s All About EXPERIENCES: “Trapper” to “Wildlife Damage-control Professional” Trapper: <$20 per beaver pelt. WDCP: $150/“problem beaver”; $750-$1,000 for flood-control piping … so that beavers can stay. Source: WSJ/05.21.2002 Moving Companies WSJ/08.2003: “In Texas, They’ll fill your empty fridge with brie and wine. An outfit in New York promises quick high-speed Internet hookup. And when Allied Van Lines finishes unloading your couch, they’ll have a feng shui expert figure out the right spot. …” Duet … Whirlpool … “washing machine” to “fabric care system” … white goods: “a sea of undifferentiated boxes” … $400 to $1,300 … “the Ferrari of washing machines” … consumer: “They are our little mechanical buddies. They have personality. When they are running efficiently, our lives are running efficiently. They are part of my family.” … “machine as aesthetic showpiece” … “laundry room” to “family studio” / “designer laundry room” (complements Sub-Zero refrigerator and home-theater center) Source: New York Times Magazine/01.11.2004 1997-2001 >$600: 10% to 18% $400-$600: 49% to 32% <$400: 41% to 50% Source: Trading Up, Michael Silverstein & Neil Fiske “Clients want either the best or the least expensive; there is no in between.” —John Dijulius, Secret Service DREAM: “A dream is a complete moment in the life of a client. Important experiences that tempt the client to commit substantial resources. The essence of the desires of the consumer. The opportunity to help clients become what they want to be.”—Gian Luigi Longinotti-Buitoni “No longer are we only an insurance provider. Today, we also offer our customers the products and services that help them achieve their dreams, whether it’s financial security, buying a car, paying for home repairs, or even taking a dream vacation.” —Martin Feinstein, CEO, Farmers Group The marketing of Dreams (Dreamketing) Dreamketing: Touching the clients’ dreams. Dreamketing: The art of telling stories and entertaining. Dreamketing: Promote the dream, not the product. Dreamketing: Build the brand around the main dream. Dreamketing: Build the “buzz,” the “hype,” the “cult.” Source: Gian Luigi Longinotti-Buitoni “Trustmarks come aftere brands; Lovemarks come after Trustmarks. Think about how you make the most money. You make it when loyal users, heavy users, use your product all the time. So having a long-term Love affair is better than having a trusting relationship.” —Kevin Roberts, Saatchi & Saatchi, The Future Beyond Brands: Lovemarks (Revised) Experience Ladder Dreams Come True Awesome Experiences Solutions Services Goods Raw Materials And Tomorrow … “Fifteen years ago companies competed on price. Now it’s Tomorrow it’s design.” quality. Robert Hayes All Equal Except … “At Sony we assume that all products of our competitors have basically the same technology, price, performance and Design is the only thing that differentiates one product from another in the marketplace.” features. Norio Ohga “Design is treated like a religion at BMW.” Fortune “We don’t have a good language to talk about this kind of thing. In most people’s vocabularies, design means veneer. … But to me, nothing could be further from the Design is the fundamental soul meaning of design. of a man-made creation.” Steve Jobs “The sun is setting on the Information Society—even before we have fully adjusted to its demands as individuals and as companies. We have lived as hunters and as farmers, we have worked in factories and now we live in an information-based society whose icon is the computer. We stand facing the fifth kind of society: the Dream Society. … The Dream Society is emerging this very instant—the shape of the future is visible today. Right now is the time for decisions—before the major portion of consumer purchases are made for emotional, nonmaterialistic reasons. Future products will have to appeal to our hearts, not to our heads. Now is the time to add emotional value to products and services.” —Rolf Jensen/The Dream Society:How the Coming Shift from Information to Imagination Will Transform Your Business “A shipping clerk earning $25,000 a year treats herself to silk pajamas at Victoria’s Secret. A dual-income couple earning $125,000 orders a $4,000 Viking range for their townhouse even though the developer offered to throw in a perfectly serviceable generic range at no extra charge. These purchases reflect an important worldwide behavioral shift. Consumers today are willing to pay a significant premium for goods and services that are emotionally important to them and that deliver the perceived values of quality, performance and engagement. But in other categories that aren’t emotionally important, they become bargain hunters: a passionate Mercedes driver will shop at Target every weekend; a construction worker who splurges on a $3,000 set of Callaway golf clubs will buy store brand groceries.” —Trading Up: The New American Luxury/Michael Silverstein & Neil Fiske “Most executives have no idea how to add value to a market in the metaphysical world. But that is what the market will cry out for in the future. There is no lack of ‘physical’ products to choose between.” Jesper Kunde, Unique Now ... or Never [on the excellence of Nokia, Nike, Lego, Virgin et al.] 15 “Leading” Biz Schools Design/Core: 0 Design/Elective: 1 Creativity/Core: 0 Creativity/Elective: 4 Innovation/Core: 0 Innovation/Elective: 6 Source: DMI/Summer 2002 New Market Realities Selling Dreams: How to Make Any Product Irresistible, Gian Luigi Longinotti-Buitoni The Dream Society: How the Coming Shift from Information to Imagination Will Transform Your Business, Rolf Jensen Trading Up: The New American Luxury, Michael Silverstein & Neil Fiske I FULLY COMPREHEND THAT THE “BASIC VALUE PREMISE” IS SHIFTING … DRAMATICALLY AND RAPIDLY. I AM WHOLLY COMMITTED TO BECOMING “MASTER METAPHYSICIAN.” (Scale of 1 to 10?) The Leadership11 1. Talent Management 2. Metabolic Management 3. Technology Management 4. Barrier Management 5. Forgetful Management 6. Metaphysical Management 7. Opportunity Management 8. Portfolio Management 9. Failure Management 10. Cause Management 11. Passion Management The Leadership11 Opportunity Management The two biggest (by far) “trends” are ignored—or at least not treated as Strategic Priority One—by most. Women! Boomers & Geezers! Why? (And … what does the leader plan to do about it?) Women & the Marketspace. ????????? Home Furnishings … 94% Vacations … 92% (Adventure Travel … 70%/ $55B travel equipment) Houses … 91% D.I.Y. (major “home projects”) … 80% Consumer Electronics … 51% (66% home computers) Cars … 68% (90%) All consumer purchases … 83% Bank Account … 89% Household investment decisions … 67% Small business loans/biz starts … 70% Health Care … 80% $5+T > Japan 10M/28M/$3.6T > Germany Yeow! 1970 … 1% 2002 … 50% 91% women: ADVERTISERS DON’T UNDERSTAND US. (58% “ANNOYED.”) Source: Greenfield Online for Arnold’s Women’s Insight Team (Martha Barletta, Marketing to Women) Carol Gilligan/ In a Different Voice Men: Get away from authority, family Women: Connect Men: Self-oriented Women: Other-oriented Men: Rights Women: Responsibilities FemaleThink/ Popcorn “Men and women don’t think the same way, don’t communicate the same way, don’t buy for the same reasons.” “He simply wants the transaction to take place. She’s interested in creating a relationship. Every place women go, they make connections.” “Men seem like loose cannons. Men always move faster through a store’s aisles. Men spend less time looking. They usually don’t like asking where things are. You’ll see a man move impatiently through a store to the section he wants, pick something up, and then, almost abruptly he’s ready to buy. For a man, ignoring the price tag is almost a sign of virility.” Paco Underhill, Why We Buy* (*Buy this book!) Women's View of Male Salespeople Technically knowledgeable; assertive; get to the point; pushy; condescending; insensitive to women’s needs. Source: Judith Tingley, How to Sell to the Opposite Sex (Martha Barletta, Marketing to Women) Read This: Barbara & Allan Pease’s Why Men Don’t Listen & Women Can’t Read Maps “It is obvious to a woman when another woman is upset, while a man generally has to physically witness tears or a temper tantrum or be slapped in the face before he even has a clue that anything is going on. Like most female mammals, women are equipped with far more finely tuned sensory skills than men.” Barbara & Allan Pease, Why Men Don’t Listen & Women Can’t Read Maps “Resting” State: 30%, 90%: “A woman knows her children’s friends, hopes, dreams, romances, secret fears, what they are thinking, how they are feeling. Men are vaguely aware of some short people also living in the house.” Barbara & Allan Pease, Why Men Don’t Listen & Women Can’t Read Maps “As a hunter, a man needed vision that would allow him to zero in on targets in the distance … whereas a woman needed eyes to allow a wide arc of vision so that she could monitor any predators sneaking up on the nest. This is why modern men can find their way effortlessly to a distant pub, but can never find things in fridges, cupboards or drawers.” Barbara & Allan Pease, Why Men Don’t Listen & Women Can’t Read Maps “Female hearing advantage contributes significantly to what is called ‘women’s intuition’ and is one of the reasons why a woman can read between the lines of what people say. Men, however, shouldn’t despair. They are excellent at imitating animal sounds.” Barbara & Allan Pease, Why Men Don’t Listen & Women Can’t Read Maps Senses Vision: Men, focused; Women, peripheral. Hearing: Women’s discomfort level I/2 men’s. Smell: Women >> Men. Touch: Most sensitive man < Least sensitive women. Source: Martha Barletta, Marketing to Women “When a woman is upset, she talks emotionally to her friends; but an upset man rebuilds a motor or fixes a leaking tap.” Barbara & Allan Pease, Why Men Don’t Listen & Women Can’t Read Maps “Women are more comfortable talking or thinking about people and relationships, while men prefer to contemplate things.” —research reported in the New York Times (08.10.2003) Editorial/Men: Tables, rankings.* Editorial/Women: Narratives that cohere.* *Redwood (UK) Read This Book … EVEolution: The Eight Truths of Marketing to Women Faith Popcorn & Lys Marigold EVEolution: Truth No. 1 Connecting Your Female Consumers to Each Other Connects Them to Your Brand “The ‘Connection Proclivity’ in women starts early. When asked, ‘How was school today?’ a girl usually tells her mother every detail of what happened, while a boy might grunt, ‘Fine.’ ” EVEolution “Women don’t buy They join them.” brands. EVEolution 2.6 vs. 1. Men and women are different. 2. Very different. 3. VERY, VERY DIFFERENT. 4. Women & Men have a-b-s-o-l-u-t-e-l-y nothing in common. 5. Women buy lotsa stuff. 6. WOMEN BUY A-L-L THE STUFF. 7. Women’s Market = Opportunity No. 1. 8. Men are (STILL) in charge. 9. MEN ARE … TOTALLY, HOPELESSLY CLUELESS ABOUT WOMEN. 10. Women’s Market = Opportunity No. 1. Psssst! Wanna see my “porn” collection? Boomers & Geezers. Subject: Marketers & Stupidity “It’s 18-44, stupid!” Subject: Marketers & Stupidity “18-44 is stupid, stupid!” Or is it: 2000-2010 Stats 18-44: -1% 55+: +21% (55-64: +47%) “Some 350,00 people turn 50 each month in the United States, providing an enormous and growing pool of potential buyers [of giant RVs] for at least the next decade.” — Craig Kennison, industry analyst/Chicago Tribune/06.07.2004 44-65: “New Consumer Majority” * *45% larger than 18-43; 60% larger by 2010 Source: Ageless Marketing, David Wolfe & Robert Snyder “The New Consumer Majority is the only adult market with realistic prospects for significant sales growth in dozens of product lines for thousands of companies.” —David Wolfe & Robert Snyder, Ageless Marketing “Baby-boomer Women: The Sweetest of Sweet Spots for Marketers” —David Wolfe and Robert Snyder, Ageless Marketing Aging/“Elderly” $$$$$$$$$$$$ “I’m in charge!” “NOT ACTING THEIR AGE: As Baby Boomers Zoom into Retirement, Will America Ever Be the Same?” USN&WR Cover/06.01 “Sixty Is the New Thirty” —Cover/AARP/11.03 50+ $7T wealth (70%)/$2T annual income 50% all discretionary spending 79% own homes/40M credit card users 41% new cars/48% luxury cars $610B healthcare spending/ 74% prescription drugs 5% of advertising targets Ken Dychtwald, Age Power: How the 21st Century Will Be Ruled by the New Old Median Household Net Worth <35: $7K 35-44: $44K 45-54: $83K 55-64: $112K 65-69: $114K 70-74: $120K >74: $100K Source: U.S. Census Net Worth Household Heads 55-64 = 15X <35 Source: U.S. Census/WSJ “Marketers attempts at reaching those over 50 have been miserably unsuccessful. No market’s motivations and needs are so poorly understood.”—Peter Francese, founding publisher, American Demographics “ ‘Age Power’ will st 21 rule the century, and we are woefully unprepared.” Ken Dychtwald, Age Power: How the 21st Century Will Be Ruled by the New Old No: “Target Marketing” Yes: “Target Innovation” & “Target Delivery Systems” “BofA Is Betting Its Future on the Hispanic Market” * “We expect to get no less than 80 % of our future growth in retail banking from the Hispanic market.” —Ken Lewis, CEO, BofA *Fortune/04.2003 I GET IT! WOMEN! BOOMERS & GEEZERS! IT’S WHERE THE LOOT IS! WE ARE “GOING STRATEGIC” ON THIS! (Scale to 10?) of 1 The Leadership11 1. Talent Management 2. Metabolic Management 3. Technology Management 4. Barrier Management 5. Forgetful Management 6. Metaphysical Management 7. Opportunity Management 8. Portfolio Management 9. Failure Management 10. Cause Management 11. Passion Management The Leadership11 Portfolio Management We must think of the “rosters” of talent, customers, suppliers, leader, projects, initiatives—and the Board— in terms of portfolios. I.e.: Is our portfolio as strange as these strange times demand? The leader is a “V.C.” (venture capitalist) creating and managing several strategically vital portfolios. “Good management was the most powerful reason [leading firms] failed to stay atop their industries. Precisely because these firms listened to their customers, invested aggressively in technologies that would provide their customers more and better products of the sort they wanted, and because they carefully studied market trends and systematically allocated investment capital to innovations that promised the best returns, they lost their positions of leadership.” Clayton Christensen, The Innovator’s Dilemma The High Standard Deviation Enterprise. THINK WEIRD: Saviors-in-Waiting Disgruntled Customers Off-the-Scope Competitors Rogue Employees Fringe Suppliers Wayne Burkan, Wide Angle Vision: Beat the Competition by Focusing on Fringe Competitors, Lost Customers, and Rogue Employees CUSTOMERS: “Futuredefining customers may account for only 2% to 3% of your total, but they represent a crucial window on the future.” Adrian Slywotzky, Mercer Consultants COMPETITORS: “The best swordsman in the world doesn’t need to fear the second best swordsman in the world; no, the person for him to be afraid of is some ignorant antagonist who has never had a sword in his hand before; he doesn’t do the thing he ought to do, and so the expert isn’t prepared for him; he does the thing he ought not to do and often it catches the expert out and ends him on the spot.” Mark Twain “To grow, companies need to break out of a vicious cycle of competitive benchmarking, imitation and pursuit.” —W. Chan Kim & Rene Mauborgne, “Think for Yourself —Stop Copying a Rival,” Financial Times/08.11.03 “How do dominant companies lose there position? Two-thirds of the time, they pick the wrong competitor to worry about.” —Don Listwin, CEO, Openware Systems/WSJ/06.01.2004 (commenting on Nokia) Employees: “Are there enough weird people in the lab these days?” V. Chmn., pharmaceutical house, to a lab director (06.01) Audie Murphy was the most decorated soldier in WW2. He won every medal we had to offer, plus 5 presented by Belgium and France. There was one common medal he never won … … the Good Conduct medal. Herman Melville on JPJ: “intrepid, unprincipled, reckless, predatory, with boundless ambition, civilized in externals but a savage at heart.” —from Evan Thomas, John Paul Jones: Sailor, Hero, Father of the American Navy Suppliers: “There is an ominous downside to strategic supplier relationships. An SSR supplier is not likely to function as any more than a mirror to your organization. Fringe suppliers that offer innovative business practices need not apply.” Wayne Burkan, Wide Angle Vision: Beat the Competition by Focusing on Fringe Competitors, Lost Customers, and Rogue Employees Boards: “Extremely contentious boards that regard dissent as an obligation and that treat no subject as undiscussable” —Jeffrey Sonnenfeld, Yale School of Management We become who we hang out with! WEIRD IDEAS THAT WORK: (1) Hire slow learners (of the organizational code). (1.5) Hire people who make you uncomfortable, even those you dislike. (2) Hire people you (probably) don’t need. (3) Use job interviews to get ideas, not to screen candidates. (4) Encourage people to ignore and defy superiors and peers. (5) Find some happy people and get them to fight. (6) Reward success and failure, punish inaction. (7) Decide to do something that will probably fail, then convince yourself and everyone else that success is certain. (8) Think of some ridiculous, impractical things to do, then do them. (9) Avoid, distract, and bore customers, critics, and anyone who just wants to talk about money. (10) Don’t try to learn anything from people who seem to have solved the problems you face. (11) Forget the past, particularly your company’s success. Bob Sutton, Weird Ideas That Work: 11½ Ideas for Promoting, Managing, and Sustaining Innovation Advice to Corporate Leaders: “Consider the metaphor of the windmill: You can harness raw power but you can’t control it. … Hire artists, clowns, or other disrupters to come in and challenge your corporate environment. … Hire a corporate anthropologist to analyze how tolerant your organization is of deviants and other innovators. … Once the anthropologist leaves, hire a shaman to drive out the evil spirits of conformity. …” Source: Ryan Matthews & Watts Wacker, Fast Company (03.02) “Deviance tells the story of every mass market ever created. What Deviants, Inc. starts out weird and dangerous becomes America’s next big corporate payday. So are you looking for the next mass market idea? It’s out there … way out there.” Source: Ryan Matthews & Watts Wacker, Fast Company (03.02) “ ‘Giant’ projects contain within them the almost certain seeds of mediocrity. The very fact of their size causes constant scrutiny and thence ‘political’ interference. Such ‘oversight’ drains the passion of the champions and risks—to the point of certainty—fatal ‘dumbing down’ and thence loss of the very distinction and quirkiness sought in the first place.”— Exec, Hollywood Big Idea/s V.C. Portfolio Roster I AM A “V.C.” I OBSESS ABOUT MY VARIOUS “ROSTERS”— EMPLOYEES, CUSTOMERS, ETCETERA. I MEASURE MY ROSTERS’ “WEIRDNESS QUOTIENT.” (Scale to 10?) of 1 The Leadership11 1. Talent Management 2. Metabolic Management 3. Technology Management 4. Barrier Management 5. Forgetful Management 6. Metaphysical Management 7. Opportunity Management 8. Portfolio Management 9. Failure Management 10. Cause Management 11. Passion Management The Leadership11 Failure Management Screwing up is more important than ever in strange times. The screw-up rate is the best indicator of sufficiently rapid adaptation. The leader must “manage” the screw-up process—literally. “Wealth in this new regime flows directly from innovation, not optimization. That is, wealth is not gained by perfecting the known, but by imperfectly seizing the unknown.” Kevin Kelly, New Rules for the New Economy The [New] Ge Way DYB.com “Perfection is achieved only by institutions on the point of collapse.” — C. Northcote Parkinson “The secret of fast progress is inefficiency, fast and furious and numerous failures.” Kevin Kelly RM: “A lot of companies in the Valley fail.” RN: “Maybe not enough fail.” RM: “What do you mean by that?” RN: “Whenever you fail, it means you’re trying new things.” Source: Fast Company “The Silicon Valley of today is built less atop the spires of earlier triumphs than upon the rubble of earlier debacles.” —Newsweek/ Paul Saffo (03.02) Silicon Valley Success [Failure?] Secrets “Pursuit of risk”: 4 of 20 in V.C. portfolio go bust; 6 lose money; 6 do okay; 3 do well; 1 hits the jackpot Source: The Economist Excellence = 1 in 20 “... natural selection is death. ... Without huge amounts of death, organisms do not change over time. ... Death is the mother of structure. ... It took four billion years of death ... to invent the human mind ...” — The Cobra Event DG to TP: “Sam is not afraid to fail.” * *NASA failing #1, from the shuttle disaster report (July 2003): “fear of retribution by lower-level employees.” “Fail faster. Succeed sooner.” David Kelley/IDEO Fail. Forward. Fast. –High-tech Exec “No matter. Try again. Fail again. Fail better.” —Samuel Beckett “Success is the ability to go from failure to failure without losing your enthusiasm.” —Winston Churchill “Reward excellent failures. Punish mediocre successes.” Phil Daniels, Sydney exec (and, de facto, Jack) WE DO NO “WITCH HUNTS”! WE FULLY UNDERSTAND THAT WE ARE AS GOOD AS OUR “EXCELLENT FAILURES.” WE CHERISH THE BOLD AND BLOODIED ONES. (Scale 1 to 10?) of The Leadership11 1. Talent Management 2. Metabolic Management 3. Technology Management 4. Barrier Management 5. Forgetful Management 6. Metaphysical Management 7. Opportunity Management 8. Portfolio Management 9. Failure Management 10. Cause Management 11. Passion Management The Leadership11 Cause Management People “sign up” for causes worth pursuing. Turning the enterprise into a cause-worth-committing-to is a primary task of the leader. “Create a ‘cause,’ not a ‘business.’ ” G.H.: “I never, ever thought of myself I was interested in creating things I would be proud of.” —Richard Branson as a businessman. CEO Assignment2002 (Bermuda): “Please leap forward to 2007, 2012, or 2022, and write a business history of What will have been said about your company during your tenure?” Bermuda. Ah, kids: “What is your vision for the future?” “What have you accomplished since your first book?” “Close your eyes and imagine me immediately doing something about what you’ve just said. What would it be?” “Do you feel you have an obligation to ‘Make the world a better place’?” “Management has a lot to do with answers. Leadership is a function of questions. And the first question for a leader always is: ‘Who do we intend to be?’ Not ‘What are we going to do?’ but ‘Who do we intend to be?’” —Max De Pree, Herman Miller Demo = Story “A key – perhaps the key – to leadership is the effective communication of a story.” Howard Gardner, Leading Minds: An Anatomy of Leadership Good to Great: Fannie Mae … Kroger … Walgreens … Philip Morris … Pitney Bowes … Abbott … Kimberly-Clark … Wells Fargo AGENDA SETTERS: “Set the Table”/ Pioneers/ Questors/ Adventurers US Steel … Ford … Macy’s … Sears … Litton Industries … ITT … The Gap … Limited … Wal*Mart … P&G … 3M … Intel … IBM … Apple … Nokia … Cisco … Dell … MCI … Sun … Oracle … Microsoft … Enron … Schwab … GE … Southwest … Laker …People Express … Ogilvy … Chiat/Day … Virgin … eBay … Amazon … Sony … BMW … CNN … Huh? “Quiet, workmanlike, stoic leaders bring about the big transformations.”--JC Huh? “Humility: The Surprise Factor in Leadership … bosses with Gungho Qualities and Charisma May Be Out of Fashion” —Headline/FT/ re JCollins/10.03 (TP: scribble: “Nelson, Wellington, Montgomery, Disraeli, Churchill, Thatcher”) Pastels? T. Paine/P. Henry/A. Hamilton/T. Jefferson/B. Franklin A. Lincoln/U. S. Grant/W. T. Sherman TR/FDR/LBJ/RR/JFK M.L. King C. de Gaulle M. Gandhi W. Churchill M. Thatcher Picasso Mozart Copernicus/Newton/Einstein J. Welch/L. Gerstner/L. Ellison/B. Gates/S. Ballmer/S. Jobs/S. McNealy A. Carnegie/J. P. Morgan/H. Ford/J.D. Rockefeller/T. A. Edison “rough … sarcastic … bullying” WE WILL SUCCEED TO THE EXTENT THAT OUR TEAM “CAN’T WAIT FOR THE WEEKEND TO END.” WE AIM TO DENT THE UNIVERSE! (Scale of 1 t0 10?) The Leadership11 1. Talent Management 2. Metabolic Management 3. Technology Management 4. Barrier Management 5. Forgetful Management 6. Metaphysical Management 7. Opportunity Management 8. Portfolio Management 9. Failure Management 10. Cause Management 11. Passion Management The Leadership11 Passion Management Passion moves mountains. Creating a “passionate enterprise” is a modern leadership imperative. “A leader is a dealer in hope.” Napoleon (+TP’s writing room pics) Hackneyed but none the less LEADERS SEE CUPS AS “HALF FULL.” true: “[Ronald Reagan] radiated an almost transcendent happiness.” Half-full Cups: Lou Cannon, George (08.2000) “Ronald Reagan does not enter history tentatively—he does so with certainty and panache. At home and on the world stage, his were not the pallid etchings of a timorous politician. They were the bold strokes of a confident and accomplished leader.”—Brian Mulroney Mulroney on great leaders/RR: “ … magical quality that sets some men and women apart so that millions will follow them as they conjure up grand visions and invite their countrymen to dream big and exciting dreams” Source: RR eulogies at National Cathedral 06.11.2004 “I’m not sure about his politics, but that’s not what made him great. He inspired people. He made us all feel better about ourselves.” —bystander, California, during RR funeral BZ: “I am a … Dispenser of Enthusiasm!” “You can’t behave in a calm, rational manner. You’ve got to be out there on the lunatic fringe.” — Jack Welch, on GE’s quality program Message: Leadership is all about love! [Passion, Enthusiasms, Appetite for Life, Engagement, Commitment, Great Causes & Determination to Make a Damn Difference, Shared Adventures, Bizarre Failures, Growth, Insatiable Appetite for Change.] [Otherwise, why bother? Just read Dilbert. TP’s final words: CYNICISM SUCKS.] “I didn’t have a ‘mission statement’ at Burger King. I had a dream. Very simple. It was something like, ‘Burger King is 250,000 people, every one of whom gives a shit.’ Every one. Accounting. Systems. Not just the drive through. Everyone is ‘in the brand.’ That’s what we’re talking about, nothing less.” — Barry Gibbons T. J. Peters 1942 – 2--HE WOULDA DONE SOME REALLY COOL STUFF BUT … HIS BOSS WOULDN’T LET HIM! T. J. Peters 1942 – 2--- HE WAS A PLAYER! “If you ask me what I have come to do in this world, I who am an artist, I will reply: I am here to live my life out loud.” — Émile Zola “May you live all the days of your life.” — Jonathan Swift The Re-imagineer’s Credo … or, Pity the Poor Brown* Technicolor Times demand … Technicolor Leaders and Boards who recruit … Technicolor People who are sent on … Technicolor Quests to execute … Technicolor (WOW!) Projects in partnership with … Technicolor Customers and … Technicolor Suppliers all of whom are in pursuit of … Technicolor Goals and Aspirations fit for … Technicolor Times. *WSC “the wildest chimera of a moonstruck mind” —The Federalist on Jefferson’s Louisiana Purchase Successful Businesses’ Dozen Truths: TP’s 30 Year Perspective 1. Insanely Great & Quirky Talent. 2. Disrespect for Tradition. 3. Totally Passionate (to the Point of Irrationality) Belief in What We Are Here to Do. 4. Utter Disbelief at the Bullshit that Marks “Normal Industry Behavior.” 5. A Maniacal Bias for Execution … and Utter Contempt for Those Who Don’t “Get It.” 6. Speed Demons. 7. Up or Out. (Meritocracy Is Thy Name. Sycophancy Is Thy Scourge.) 8. Passionate Hatred of Bureaucracy. 9. Willingness to Lead the Customer … and Take the Heat Associated Therewith. (Mantra: Satan Invented Focus Groups to Derail True Believers.) 10. “Reward Excellent Failures. Punish Mediocre Successes.” 11. Courage to Stand Alone on One’s Record of Accomplishment Against All the Forces of Conventional Wisdom. 12. A Crystal Clear Understanding of Brand Power. Kevin Roberts’ Credo 1. Ready. Fire! Aim. 2. If it ain’t broke ... Break it! 3. Hire crazies. 4. Ask dumb questions. 5. Pursue failure. 6. Lead, follow ... or get out of the way! 7. Spread confusion. 8. Ditch your office. 9. Read odd stuff. 10. Avoid moderation! Sir Richard’s Rules: Follow your passions. Keep it simple. Get the best people to help you. Re-create yourself. Play. Source: Fortune/10.03 “In Tom’s world, it’s always better to try a swan dive and deliver a colossal belly flop than to step timidly off the board while holding your nose.” —Fast Company /October2003 I AM AN … ENTHUSIAST. MY ENTHUSIAM IS CONTAGIOUS. WE HAVE FUN. WE AIM TO GO ON “QUESTS” AND CHANGE THE WORLD. THAT IS MY COMMITMENT. THAT IS MY LEGACY. THAT IS MY (LOUD) LIFE. (Scale of 1 to 10?) The Leadership11 1. Talent Management 2. Metabolic Management 3. Technology Management 4. Barrier Management 5. Forgetful Management 6. Metaphysical Management 7. Opportunity Management 8. Portfolio Management 9. Failure Management 10. Cause Management 11. Passion Management HTSH: Engage! Commit! Engage! Try! Fail! Get up! Try again! Fail again! Try again! But never, ever stop moving on! Progress for humanity is engendered by those who join and savor the fray by giving one hundred percent of themselves to their dreams! Not by those timid souls who remain glued to the sidelines, stifled by tradition, and fearful of losing face or giving offense to the reigning authorities. Key words: Commit! Engage! Try! Fail! Persist! HTSH: You Must Care Make the time each day to offer an expression of appreciation to just one of your fellow human beings. It is the accumulation of such “small” kindnesses and acts of recognition that add up to a life worth having been lived. In short … you must care. You must wear your passion and compassion on your sleeve, and attend assiduously to the moment. It will not come ’round again. Key word: Care