Transcript PDCWG Report to ROS David Kee Chair CPS Energy Sydney Niemeyer Vice Chair NRG Energy.

PDCWG
Report to ROS
David Kee Chair
CPS Energy
Sydney Niemeyer Vice Chair
NRG Energy
Meetings
• No meeting since end of November
• Next meeting Jan 24, 2013
NPRR 486 (from Dec report)
• PDCWG recommends to continue to table
this NPRR
• ERCOT system tuning is scheduled for
early January with analysis and report to
PDCWG by February (tentative)
• PDCWG will be prepared to provide ROS
its report by the March 2013 ROS meeting
(tentative)
RRS
• Compliance evaluation of performance is
being combined between Qualification and
Testing requirements
• Clearly defining and separating of the two
sets of requirements should be noted as
new focus
ERCOT CPS1 By Day - November-2012
200
70000
190
66500
180
63000
170
59500
160
56000
150
52500
140
49000
130
45500
120
42000
110
38500
100
35000
90
31500
80
28000
70
24500
60
21000
50
17500
40
14000
30
10500
20
7000
10
3500
0
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11 12
13
14
15 16
17
18
19 20
Day
CPS 1
Avg CPS 1
Peak Energy
21
22
23 24
25
26 27
28
29
30
ERCOT Peak Energy
NERC CPS 1
ERCOT Monthly CPS1 = 169.25
ERCOT CPS2 By Day - November-2012
ERCOT Monthly CPS2 = 97.57
100%
70000
66500
98%
63000
59500
96%
56000
52500
94%
49000
NERC CPS 2
92%
42000
38500
90%
35000
31500
88%
28000
24500
86%
21000
17500
84%
14000
10500
82%
7000
3500
80%
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11 12
13 14 15
16 17 18
19 20
Day
CPS 2
Avg CPS 2
Peak Energy
21 22 23
24 25 26
27 28 29
30
ERCOT Peak Energy
45500
15
1:
15
2:
15
3:
15
4:
15
5:
15
6:
15
7:
15
8:
15
9:
1
10 5
:1
11 5
:1
12 5
:1
13 5
:1
14 5
:1
15 5
:1
16 5
:1
17 5
:1
18 5
:1
19 5
:1
20 5
:1
21 5
:1
22 5
:1
23 5
:1
5
0:
ERCOT CPS1 15 Minute Average - Monthly Score
200
November-2012
Interval Ending
CPS 1 = 169.25
180
160
140
120
100
80
60
40
20
0
ERCOT CPS1 By Day - December-2012
200
70000
190
66500
180
63000
170
59500
160
56000
150
52500
140
49000
130
45500
120
42000
110
38500
100
35000
90
31500
80
28000
70
24500
60
21000
50
17500
40
14000
30
10500
20
7000
10
3500
0
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
Day
CPS 1
Avg CPS 1
Peak Energy
ERCOT Peak Energy
NERC CPS 1
ERCOT Monthly CPS1 = 167.71
ERCOT CPS2 By Day - December-2012
ERCOT Monthly CPS2 = 96.86
100%
70000
66500
98%
63000
59500
96%
56000
52500
94%
49000
NERC CPS 2
92%
42000
38500
90%
35000
31500
88%
28000
24500
86%
21000
17500
84%
14000
10500
82%
7000
3500
80%
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
Day
CPS 2
Avg CPS 2
Peak Energy
ERCOT Peak Energy
45500
15
1:
15
2:
15
3:
15
4:
15
5:
15
6:
15
7:
15
8:
15
9:
1
10 5
:1
11 5
:1
12 5
:1
13 5
:1
14 5
:1
15 5
:1
16 5
:1
17 5
:1
18 5
:1
19 5
:1
20 5
:1
21 5
:1
22 5
:1
23 5
:1
5
0:
ERCOT CPS1 15 Minute Average - Monthly Score
200
December-2012
Interval Ending
CPS 1 = 167.71
180
160
140
120
100
80
60
40
20
0
140
140
130
130
120
120
110
110
100
100
CPS1 Average
170
2
v- 1
Nop- 12
Sel-12
Ju y-122
Mar- 1
Man-12
Ja v- 111
Nop- 1
Sel-11
Ju y-111
Mar- 1
Man-11
Ja v- 10
Nop- 10
Sel-100
Ju y-1
Mar- 10
Man-10
Ja v- 09
Nop- 09
Sel-09
Ju y-09
Mar- 09
Man-09
Ja v- 088
Nop- 0
Sel-08
Ju y-088
Mar- 0
Man-08
Ja v- 077
Nop- 0
Sel-077
Ju y-0
Mar- 07
Man-07
Ja v- 06
Nop- 06
Sel-066
Ju y-0
Mar- 06
Man-06
Ja v- 05
Nop- 05
Sel-05
Ju y-05
Mar- 05
Man-05
Ja v- 044
Nop- 0
Sel-04
Ju y-044
Mar- 0
Man-04
Ja v- 03
Nop- 03
Sel-033
Ju y-0
Ma
12 Month Rolling Average
Monthly Average
170
ERCOT CPS1
160
160
150
150
85
CPS2
ERCOT CPS2 Score*
2
t-1
Oc 2
l -1
Ju 2
r-1
Ap 2
n-1
Ja 1
t-1
Oc 1
l -1
Ju 1
r-1
Ap 1
n-1
Ja 0
t-1
Oc 0
l -1
Ju 0
r-1
Ap 0
n-1
Ja 9
t-0
Oc 9
l -0
Ju 9
r-0
Ap 9
n-0
Ja 8
t-0
Oc 8
l -0
Ju 8
r-0
Ap 8
n-0
Ja 7
t-0
Oc 7
l -0
Ju 7
r-0
Ap 7
n-0
Ja 6
t-0
Oc 6
l -0
Ju 6
r-0
Ap 6
n-0
Ja 5
t-0
Oc 5
l -0
Ju
Trend (Monthly CPS2 Score)
Month
CPS2
*ERCOT as a single
control area is exempt
from CPS2. These
scores are For
Information Only
100
95
90
80
75
70
1/
1
7/ /20
1 00
1/ /20
1 00
7/ /20
1 01
1/ /20
1 01
7/ /20
1/ 02
1/ 200
1 2
7/ /20
1/ 03
1/ 200
1/ 3
7/ 20
1/ 04
1/ 20
1/ 04
7/ 20
1/ 05
1/ 20
1/ 05
7/ 20
1/ 06
1/ 20
1/ 06
7/ 20
1/ 07
1/ 20
1/ 07
7/ 20
1/ 08
1/ 200
1/ 8
7/ 20
1/ 09
1/ 200
1/ 9
7/ 20
1/ 10
1/ 201
1/ 0
7/ 20
1/ 11
1/ 20
1/ 11
7/ 20
1/ 12
20
12
Daily RMS1 of ERCOT Frequency
0.0500
0.0450
0.0400
0.0350
0.0300
0.0250
0.0200
0.0150
0.0100
1/
4/1/20
7/1/2004
10 1/ 0
/1 2 0 4
1/ /20 04
4/1/2004
7/1/2005
10 1/ 0
/1 2 0 5
1/ /20 05
4/1/2005
7/1/2006
10 1/ 0
/1 2 0 6
1/ /20 06
4/1/2006
7/1/2007
10 1/ 0
/1 2 0 7
1/ /20 07
4/1/2007
7/1/2008
10 1/2 0
/1 008
1/ /20 8
4/1/2 08
0
7/1/2009
10 1/2 0
/1 009
1/ /20 9
4/1/2009
7/1/2 10
10 1/201
/1 010
1/ /20 0
4/1/2010
7/1/2011
10 1/ 1
/1 2 0 1
1/ /20 11
4/1/2011
7/1/2012
10 1/ 1
/1 2 0 2
/2 1 2
01
2
Daily RMS1 of ERCOT Frequency
0.0500
0.0450
0.0400
0.0350
0.0300
0.0250
0.0200
0.0150
0.0100
1/
4/ 200
1/ 7
7/ 200
1 7
1 0 /2 0
/1 0 7
/2
1/ 00
1/ 7
4/ 200
1/ 8
7/ 200
1 8
1 0 /2 0
/1 0 8
/2
1/ 00
1/ 8
4/ 200
1/ 9
7/ 200
1 9
1 0 /2 0
/1 0 9
/2
1/ 00
1/ 9
4/ 201
1/ 0
7/ 201
1 0
1 0 /2 0
/1 1 0
/
1/ 201
1/ 0
4/ 201
1/ 1
7/ 201
1 1
1 0 /2 0
/1 1 1
/2
1/ 01
1/ 1
4/ 201
1/ 2
7/ 201
1 2
1 0 /2 0
/1 1 2
/2
01
2
1/
Daily RMS1 of ERCOT Frequency
0.0500
0.0450
0.0400
0.0350
December 2012
was the first month
with all days below
0.020 Hz RMS1.
0.0300
0.0250
0.0200
0.0150
0.0100
60
60
60
60
60
60
60
60
60
60
60
59
59
59
59
59
59
59
59
59
59
.1
00
.0
90
.0
80
.0
70
.0
60
.0
50
.0
40
.0
30
.0
20
.0
10
.0
00
.9
90
.9
80
.9
70
.9
60
.9
50
.9
40
.9
30
.9
20
.9
10
.9
00
Comparing November 2010
vs November 2012 profile of frequency in 5 mHz bins
0.12
0.1
0.08
0.06
0.04
Nov-10
Nov-12
0.02
0
59
.9
00
59
.9
10
59
.9
20
59
.9
30
59
.9
40
59
.9
50
59
.9
60
59
.9
70
59
.9
80
59
.9
90
60
.0
00
60
.0
10
60
.0
20
60
.0
30
60
.0
40
60
.0
50
60
.0
60
60
.0
70
60
.0
80
60
.0
90
60
.1
00
Comparing December 2010 vs December 2012
profile of frequency in 5 mHz bins
0.12
0.1
0.08
0.06
0.04
0.02
0
Dec-10
Dec-12
60
60
.0
1
60
.0
2
60
.0
3
60
.0
4
60
.0
5
60
.0
6
60
.0
7
60
.0
8
60
.0
9
60
.1
59
.9
59
.9
1
59
.9
2
59
.9
3
59
.9
4
59
.9
5
59
.9
6
59
.9
7
59
.9
8
59
.9
9
One Minute Occurances
ERCOT Frequency Profile Comparison
January through December of each Year
60000
50000
40000
30000
20000
10000
0
2010
2012
ERCOT Total Energy
45,000,000
40,000,000
35,000,000
25,000,000
20,000,000
15,000,000
10,000,000
5,000,000
2010
2011
r
N
ov
em
be
D
r
ec
em
be
r
ob
e
O
ct
m
be
r
t
pt
e
Se
Au
gu
s
Ju
ly
Ju
ne
ay
M
Ap
ril
2009
M
ar
c
h
y
ar
br
u
2008
Fe
ar
y
0
Ja
nu
MWH
30,000,000
2012
ERCOT Total Energy from Wind Generation
3,500,000
3,000,000
2,000,000
1,500,000
1,000,000
500,000
2011
r
N
ov
em
be
D
r
ec
em
be
r
ob
e
O
ct
m
be
pt
e
Se
Au
r
t
Ju
ly
gu
s
Ju
ne
2010
ay
M
ril
Ap
2009
M
ar
c
h
y
ar
br
u
2008
Fe
ar
y
0
Ja
nu
MWH
2,500,000
2012
ERCOT % Energy from Wind Generation
14.00%
12.00%
10.00%
8.00%
6.00%
4.00%
2.00%
2011
r
N
ov
em
be
r
D
ec
em
be
r
ob
e
O
ct
Se
pt
e
m
be
r
t
gu
s
Ju
ly
Au
Ju
ne
2010
ay
M
ril
Ap
2009
M
ar
c
h
y
ar
br
u
2008
Fe
Ja
nu
ar
y
0.00%
2012
Questions?