The Balance of Care Approach: Modelling complexity in services for older people Paul Forte & Tom Bowen www.balanceofcare.com +44 7818 066653 ORAHS 2010, Genoa, Italy,
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The Balance of Care Approach: Modelling complexity in services for older people Paul Forte & Tom Bowen www.balanceofcare.com +44 7818 066653 ORAHS 2010, Genoa, Italy, 19-23 July 2010 Contents • The Balance of Care approach: - whole system demand-supply modelling • An example of a telecare application: - model development and application - changing care pathways Areas of strategic importance for health and social care • Organisational issues: – supporting partnership working; innovative connections; workforce development • Information issues: – sharing of data, information and intelligence; common definitions • People issues: – harnessing drive of health and social care professionals – facilitating client and carer engagement The Balance of Care model High dependency Older People Medium dependency Low dependency The Balance of Care model Acute care bed High dependency NHS Community nurse Older People Medium dependency Physiotherapist Occupational therapist Day care centre Local Authority Care assistant Low dependency Care home Independent sector The Balance of Care model Acute care bed High dependency NHS Option 1 Community nurse Older People Medium dependency Physiotherapist option 2 Occupational therapist Day care centre option 3 Local authority Care assistant Low dependency Care home Independent sector Balances to be struck… Care Professionals Health Services High Dependency Non-Clinical Managers Social Services Low Dependency Developing a model for telecare • Support for social services to develop business cases for telecare in the wider context of the organisation and provision of local health and social services • Identification of potential increased cost effectiveness through: – reduced admission to long-term care homes – reduced cost of home care packages – savings to the NHS (eg. through reduced admissions to hospital) Model demo here Telecare Valley P3 - Case management - frail older people £ 550 £ Totals Unit Cost: £24,780 £20,658 £12,258 Allocation: 50% 40% 10% Allocated Clients: 275 220 55 0 0 0 550 Current Home with Avoid adm Opt 4 Opt 5 Opt 6 Cost 49 52 52 £694,375 1 1 £6,875 730 730 £6,945,950 2 2 £13,750 Code Service Description £ No. of Clients: 100% S1 Community nurse S2 Physiotherapist S3 Care Assistant S4 OT S5 Geriatrician £ S6 Rehab asst £ S7 Care home EMH £ S8 Care home (non-EMH) £ S9 Acute bed S10 Comm hospital bed S11 Telecare S12 CPN £ S13 Night sitter £ S14 Extra care housing £ S15 Day care £ 1095 21 21 0 £4,158,000 £ 52 52 Total Cost: £6,814,445 £4,544,804 £674,201 Quality Score: 80% 100% 100% £214,500 £ £ £ £12,033,450 90% Services Day care Current Extra care housing Night sitter CPN Telecare Comm hospital bed Acute bed Care home (non-EMH) Care home EMH Rehab asst Geriatrician OT Care Assistant Physiotherapist Community nurse Cost (£'000) Current and Projected Expenditure by Service Projected 18000 16000 14000 12000 10000 8000 6000 4000 2000 0 Total Service Usage by Scenario Service Annual Units Current Baseline Low invest Extended Community nurse WTE 0 18 19 19 Physiotherapist WTE 0 0 0 0 Care Assistant WTE 0 644 785 722 OT WTE 0 4 8 8 Geriatrician WTE 0 0 0 0 Rehab asst WTE 0 0 0 0 Care home EMH Places 0 218 186 186 Care home (non-EMH) Places 0 1124 787 787 Acute bed Beds 0 32 28 28 Comm hospital bed Beds 0 0 0 0 Packages 0 0 865 2165 CPN WTE 0 0 0 0 Night sitter WTE 0 0 2 2 Extra care housing Places 0 0 190 190 Day care Places 0 0 0 0 Telecare Resource modelling for dementia services • Same model structure but adapted for a dementia patient classification and care options • Local application and costing • Support for joint strategic planning Simplified Care Options Mild Community psychiatric nurse Community support wkr (psych) Health Care Supt wkr (PCT prov) Home care supt (soc ser) Not frail Carer No carer 1 hr pa 1 hr pa - Frail Carer No carer 1 hr pa 1 hr pa - Moderate Not frail Frail Carer No carer Carer No carer Community psychiatric nurse 1 visit pcm 1 visit pcm 1 visit pcm 1 visit pcm Community support wkr (psych) 2 visit pcm 4 visit pcm 2 visit pcm 4 visit pcm Health Care Supt wkr (PCT prov) 2 hrs pcm 4 hrs pcm Home care supt (soc ser) 1 hr pw 6 hrs pw Severe Not frail Frail Carer No carer Carer No carer Community psychiatric nurse 1 visit pcm 1 visit pcm 1 visit pcm 1 visit pcm Community support wkr (psych) 3 visit pcm 6 visit pcm 4 visit pcm 8 visit pcm Health Care Supt wkr (PCT prov) Home care supt (soc ser) 2 hr pw 5 hrs pw 3 hr pw 6 hrs pw Potential Resource Requirements for Key Services Staff Type WTE Annual Cost Community psychiatric nurse 181 £4.7 million Community support worker (psych) 400 £6.0 million Health Care Supt worker (PCT prov) 82 £1.2 million Home care support (Adult services) 238 £5.0 million Total community staff 901 £16.9 million Care Homes places (inc respite) 2007 £67.8 million Category descriptions Category Label Intended Population Base Data Source for Telecare Valley Care home residents - not EMH Permanent care home residents over 65 supported by council (excluding Elderly Mental Health) England residents at 31-03-2004 / 150 Care home residents - EMH Permanent care home residents over 65 supported by council (Elderly Mental Health) England residents at 31-03-2004 / 150. Case management - frail older people Numbers over 65 receiving intensive home care (> 10 hours per week). These are assumed to be the people who would be included in case management schemes for frail older people. Based on England number receiving intensive home care (over 10 hours) at 31-03-2004 / 150. Other long term care needs Numbers over 65 receiving home care (5- 10 hours per week). These are assumed to be the people who require continuing social care support, but do not have chronic healthcare needs appropriate for case management. Based on England number receiving 5-10 hours of home care at 31-03-2004 / 150 Other low intensity needs Numbers over 65 receiving home care (< 5 hours per week) Other England low intensity home care (<5hrs per week) at 31-03-2004 / 150 Unsupported at home >65 Total resident population 65 years and over, not receiving a social care service England 2001 Census, resident population over 65, divided by 150, and net of estimated values for P1 to P5 inclusive. Patient categories P6 Unsupported at home (aged over 65) P1 Care Home Residents (not EMH) P3 Frailty Case Management (Severe) P5 Other low intensity needs (Minor) P2 Care Home Residents (EMH) P4 Other long term care needs (Moderate) Meaningful groups of population >65 years for telecare planning purposes