Introduction to Investments Spring 2012, BUS-123 Introduction to Investments Frank Paiano – “Paco” Professor, Business, Professional & Technical Studies Welcome, Everyone!

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Transcript Introduction to Investments Spring 2012, BUS-123 Introduction to Investments Frank Paiano – “Paco” Professor, Business, Professional & Technical Studies Welcome, Everyone!

Introduction to Investments
Spring 2012, BUS-123
Introduction to Investments
Frank Paiano – “Paco”
Professor, Business, Professional &
Technical Studies
Welcome, Everyone!
1
First – A Perspective
“It is a gloomy moment in history.
Never has the future seemed so
dark and incalculable. The United
States is beset with racial,
industrial and commercial chaos,
drifting we know not where. Of our
troubles, no one can see the end.”
Harper’s Magazine, 1847
2
CHAPTERS 1, 3, Lecture Notes
3
A Brief History of Risk and Return (Chapter 1)
Security Types (Chapter 3)
Time Horizon & Short-term Investments (Lecture)
What I have tried to do here is create what I believe
should be the contents of the first chapter of an
Introduction to Investments & Securities textbook.
“In investing money, the amount of interest you want should
depend upon on whether you want to eat well or sleep well”
-- J. Kenfield Morley
4
What is an Investment?


An investment is any vehicle into which
resources can be placed with the expectation
that it will generate positive income, or that its
value will be preserved or increased, or both
Investment returns (a.k.a. investment rewards)
 Income – interest, dividends, rent
 a.k.a. cash flows
 Increased value / Decreased value
 a.k.a. capital gains, capital appreciation (Yippee!)
 a.k.a. capital losses (Boo! Hiss!)
Investments come in all shapes, flavors and sizes
5
Types of Investments

Securities
 Investments that represent debt or ownership or the
legal right to acquire or sell an ownership interest
 (a.k.a. financial investments)

Property
 Real property (land, buildings) and personal property
(precious metals, autos, art, collectibles, etc.)
 (a.k.a. real estate, hard assets, tangible assets,
commodities)

Personal
 Examples: Education and Training, Travel
 College is often the best investment a person will ever
make – Why?
This class concentrates on securities
6
Types of Investments

(continued)
Primary Assets
 Debt
 Funds lent in exchange for interest income and the
promised repayment of the loan at a given future date
 Examples: Bonds, Short-term investments (savings accts, etc.)
 Equity
 Ownership in a business or a property
 Examples: Stocks (corporations), Partnerships, Sole
Proprietorships, Real Estate, Real Estate Investment Trusts

Derivative Assets
 Securities that derive their value from an underlying
security or asset – normally highly speculative
 Examples: Options, Futures
Some in the industry do not classify derivatives as investments
7
Types of Investments
(continued)
 Direct Investments
 Your name is on the investment and you control the
investment – can buy or sell as you wish
 Examples: Real Estate, Stocks, Bonds
 Indirect Investments
 Someone else is in control of the investment
 You have limited control, or more likely, no control
over the underlying investment
 Examples: Mutual Funds, REIT, Limited Partnership*
*You can buy or sell your shares in the mutual fund, REIT, or limited
partnership, but you do not control the underlying investments
8
Types of Investments
(continued)
 Domestic Investments
 Based inside the United States
Global =
Domestic
and
(a.k.a. Foreign)
International
 International Investments
 Based outside the United States

Be careful of this subtle distinction
 International (a.k.a. Foreign) ≠ Global
“The world is a very small place these days economically.”
Sixty-five percent (by value) of the parts in the Ford Mustang
come from the U.S. and Canada. Ninety percent of the parts in
the Toyota Sienna – which is built in Indiana – come from the
U.S. and Canada. Which is the more American car? (Forbes)
Types of Investments
Domestic or
Foreign?
(continued)
Budweiser
Foreign
Fox Network
Foreign
Shell Oil
Foreign
Seagram’s
Foreign
Bayer Aspirin
Foreign
Vaseline
Foreign
Arco
Foreign
Foreign
Friskies
Foreign
Gerber
Foreign
Motel 6
Foreign
Carnation
Foreign
Union Bank
Cup-a-Soup
Foreign
Volvo & Saab
Foreign
Domestic
Foreign
Ben & Jerry’s Foreign
Farmers Ins
Domestic or Foreign?
9
Types of Investments
Australia
Top 18 Austria
countries Belgium
Canada
according Denmark
to per France
capita Germany
Hong Kong
income Italy
(alphabetical Japan
order) Netherlands
Norway
Singapore
Spain
Sweden
Switzerland
UK
USA
Which
country
had the
best
average
annual
return over
the past
quarter
century?
Sweden
Netherlands
Denmark
Switzerland
France
Australia
UK
Belgium
Germany
Norway
Canada
USA
Spain
Hong Kong
Austria
Italy
Singapore
Japan
Global
Investing
10
(continued)
14.0%
24.9%
12.8% Average
19.5%
11.7% annual
19.6%
11.5%
18.8%
return
10.5%
23.1%
1973
10.5% from24.7%
10.5% to 2009
22.9%
10.4%
21.3%
10.3%
22.3%
10.2%
27.9%
9.6%
20.4%
9.5%
15.8%
9.2%
23.4%
9.0%
33.1%
8.4%
23.7%
7.5%
26.0%
7.3%
29.0%
7.0%
22.1%
The return of the stock markets in the developed world has been 9.2%.
11
Types of Investments
 Short-term Investments
 Up to a 1 year
 Intermediate-term Investments
 2 to 5 years
 Long-term Investments
 5 or more years
(continued)
These are
general
guidelines used
throughout the
industry
I disagree with the general guidelines. Here are mine:
 Short-term – 1 to 2 years
 Intermediate – 3 to 5, maybe even 6 or even 7 years
 Long-term – 7 years or longer (10 to 30 years)
Before you make an investment, you must know your time horizon!
12
Types of Investments
(continued)
 Liquid Investments
 Easily and quickly converted into cash
 There is a ready market to purchase the
investment and change of ownership happens
quickly
 Examples: Stocks, Bonds, Mutual Funds, REITs
 Illiquid Investments
 May be difficult to convert into cash
 Market for investment is small or change of
ownership happens slowly or both
 Examples: Real Estate, Partnerships, Collectibles
13
Risk & the Risk/Return Spectrum
 Risk is the chance that actual investment
returns will differ from the expected returns
 What is the typical definition of risk?
 “The possibility of suffering harm or loss; danger”
 In general, the higher the expectation of
investment returns, the higher the risk level
 The Risk / Return Spectrum
 Low-risk – 3% to 5%
 Moderate-risk – 5% to 8%
 High-risk – 8% to 12%
 Speculative-risk – Greater than 12%
These are
my
guidelines
 Speculation is often not considered investing
 (I certainly do not consider it investing…)
14
Let’s Try Some Examples…

What type of investment is…
 Bank of America passbook savings account
 Nestle’s Foods, Inc.
 Southwestern College Propositions AA & R Bonds
 Duplex in Spring Valley (rent one, live in other)
 Qualcomm Corporation
 Loan to Uncle Harry
Security
or
Property?
Debt
or
Equity?
Direct Domestic
or
or
Indirect? Foreign?
Short,
Inter, or
Long
Term?
Low,
Moderate,
or High
Risk?
Liquid
or
Illiquid?
Measuring Investment Return
15
 Return is straight-forward to measure
 Total Dollar Return
 The return on an investment measured in
dollars that accounts for all cash flows and
capital gains or losses
 Total Percent Return
 The return on an investment measured as a
percentage that accounts for all cash flows and
capital gains or losses
Measures of return allow us to compare investment alternatives
Measuring Investment Risk
16
 Risk is difficult to measure
 There are many ways, all of them are imperfect
 One popular measure is standard deviation
 Standard Deviation
 Measures the volatility of an investment
 In any given year, there is about a ⅔ chance that
the return of an investment will be within one
standard deviation of the historical average return
(average return plus or minus one standard deviation)
 The higher the standard deviation, the more
volatile the investment
 The greater the variance from the norm
We will investigate standard deviation in detail later in this chapter
Investments Overview
 Equity
Securities – a.k.a. Common Stocks
 Fixed-Income Securities – a.k.a. Bonds
 Short-term Investments – a.k.a. “Cash”
 Mutual Funds – a.k.a. Investment Companies
 Hybrid Securities – Preferred Stocks,
Convertible Securities
 Others – Real Estate, Physical Assets
 Derivatives – Options, Futures
Let us look at each in more detail
17
Investments Overview
Chapters 5
through 8, 17
(continued)

Equity Securities – a.k.a. Common Stocks
 Represents ownership in a corporation
 Investors receive…
 Dividends – optional payments to shareholders
 Capital Gains – shares increase in value
 Limited Liability
 Moderate-risk to high-risk to speculative-risk
 “Volatility” – euphemism for “I lost a whole lotta’ money!”
 Historically best returns over time
 8% to 12% (I normally tell people 8% to 10%)
 Should be considered a long-term investment
2008 Definition: “Stocks are equity investment
instruments designed to lose value.”
18
Investments Overview
Chapters 9 & 10,
18 through 20
(continued)

Fixed-Income Securities – a.k.a. Bonds
 Long-term loans to
 Corporations (Corporate bonds)
 State and local governments (Municipal bonds)
 Federal government (Treasury bonds)
 Bond investors lend their money to the bond




issuers (corporation, state or local municipality, Treasury)
The bond investors then receive interest and a
promise that the loan will be repaid when due
Historically much less riskier than stocks but…
Also less reward – 4-6% (govt/mun) to 6-8% (corp)
Good intermediate-term / long-term investment
2008 Definition: “Bonds are fixed-rate investment
instruments designed to lose value.”
19
Investments Overview
Lecture Notes,
Chapters 3, 19
(continued)

Short-term Investments






a.k.a. “Cash” “Short-term vehicles”
Normally up to 1 year (1 to 3 years)
Usually guaranteed (or pretty darned close)
Liquid (many let you simply write a check!)
Very low risk of losing principal
Hence, very low reward
 2% to 5% over time (currently less than 1%)
 “A place to park your money”
 Also used for holding an “emergency fund”
2008 Definition: “Short-term investments are instruments
designed to accept what remains of investors’ money after
they have given up on stocks and bonds.”
20
Lecture Notes,
Chapters 3, 19
Investments Overview
(continued)

Short-term Investments – Examples
 Deposit accounts at financial institutions
 Passbook savings accounts at banks, share
accounts at credit unions
More about short Series EE or I savings bonds
term investments
 U.S. Treasury bills (T-bills)
later in this
 Certificates of Deposit (CDs)
presentation…
 Money market accounts
 Money market mutual funds
 Commercial paper (Corporate IOUs)
 Banker’s acceptance notes (Bank IOUs)
21
22
Investments Overview
Chapter 4
(continued)

Mutual Funds
 a.k.a. Investment companies
 A company that pools investors’ money and
invests in a diversified portfolio of securities
 Investors get…
 Diversification
 Mutual fund can purchase hundreds of securities
 Professional money management
 Very popular form of investment
 Range from low-risk to speculative-risk
2008 Definition: “Yeah, them too.”
23
Investments Overview
(continued)
STOCKS
Stock
mutual
funds
BONDS
Balanced
mutual
funds
Bond
mutual
funds
“CASH”
Money
market
mutual
funds
a “mutual” fund
a.k.a. investment company
Professional Money Management
Diversification
Approximately 50% of American households own mutual funds.
Or used to …
Investments Overview
Chapters 3
and 18
(continued)

Hybrid Investments
 Preferred Stock
 Represents ownership in corporation, but…
 Dividends are not considered optional
 Convertible Securities
 A bond or preferred stock that can be converted
into common stock
 Hybrid investments are designed to offer the
stability of fixed-income investments (bonds)
with the opportunity for capital growth of equity
investments (stocks)
Some in the industry categorize these with stocks,
some categorize them with bonds
24
25
Investments Overview
Lecture Notes
(continued)

Other Popular Investment Vehicles
 Real estate
 Examples: residential, commercial, raw land, Real
Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)
 Tangible assets
 Examples: precious metals, jewels, art, collectibles
 Tax-advantaged investments
 Examples: oil and gas limited partnerships, lowincome housing projects
If there is sufficient time and interest, we will look at some
or all of these, especially real estate and tangible assets.
By the way, none of these were spared in 2008, either.
Investments (???) Overview
26
Chapters 14
and 15
(continued)

Derivative Assets
 Speculative securities that derive their value from
an underlying security or asset
 Options – a.k.a. Options Contracts
 Calls and puts
 Futures – a.k.a. Futures Contracts
 Commodities
 Stock indexes
 Many in the financial world (myself included)
do not
categorize these as investments
The derivative speculators did not feel so all alone in 2008.
Usually, they are the only ones who are proud to have only lost 30%.
27
Our Emphases in this Course

Equities – a.k.a. Stocks
 You are an owner

Fixed-Income Securities – a.k.a. Bonds
 You are a loaner

Short-term Securities – a.k.a. “Cash”
 Your principal is safe (often guaranteed)

Mutual Funds – a.k.a. Investment Companies
 Your investments are managed on your behalf
For the vast majority of investors, these are the most popular
and most important financial investment options
28
Investments: What are ___?
Investment companies that pool investors'
money and invest in a diversified portfolio of
securities. Investors get diversification and
professional money management.
A. short-term securities
B. common stocks
C. bonds
D. mutual funds
The correct answer is (D). Investment company is the legal
term; mutual fund is the popular term.
29
Investments: What are ___?
Represent ownership in a corporation.
Investors receive dividends and capital
gains (or capital losses).
hybrid securities
B. common stocks
C. bonds
D. short-term securities
A.
The correct answer is (B). When people use the term “stocks,”
they are talking about common stocks.
30
Investments: What are ___?
Investments with very little risk, and
correspondingly, very little return. Often
used as a place to "park your money" or for
an emergency fund of 3 to 6 months
income.
A. hybrid securities
B. common stocks
C. bonds
D. short-term securities
The correct answer is (D). Low risk, low return.
31
Investments: What are ___?
Fixed-income securities that represent loans
to corporations, municipalities (state & local
governments & agencies), and the Federal
government. Investors receive interest and
a promise to repay the loan.
A.
B.
C.
D.
hybrid securities
common stocks
bonds
short-term securities
The correct answer is (C). Bonds are “fixed-income” investments.
32
Investments: What are ___?
Securities designed to offer the stability of
fixed-income investments with the
opportunity for capital growth of equity
investments. Examples include preferred
stock and convertible bonds.
A.
B.
C.
D.
derivatives
common stocks
bonds
hybrid securities
The correct answer is (D). The best (?) of both worlds.
33
Investments: What are ___?
Speculative securities that derive their value
from an underlying security or asset.
Examples include options contracts and
futures contracts.
A.
B.
C.
D.
derivatives
hybrid securities
bonds
short-term securities
The correct answer is (A). You can make a lot of money;
you can lose a lot of money.
34
What are Reasonable Expectations?
What are reasonable long-term expectations
of returns from the following investments?
A.
B.
C.
D.
E.
F.
stocks
bonds
short-term securities
mutual funds
hybrid securities
derivatives
8% - 12%
4% - 8%
2% - 5%
?
?
?
Now, let us look at investment returns and risks in detail…
35
Investment Return – Revisited

Over the long term, equities (stocks) have
produced the best returns
 Equities – Stocks
 8% to 12% (I usually tell people 8% to 10%)
 Fixed-income Securities – Bonds
 Treasury & Municipal Bonds – 4% to 6%
 Corporate Bonds – 6% to 8%
 Short-term Investments – “Cash”
 2% to 5%
 Mutual funds will more or less (often less) reflect
the underlying assets that they invest in
Growth of $1 Investment
36
1925 – 2009
Growth of $1 Investment
37
1801 – 2009
38
Investment Risk – Revisited

It is no accident that stocks and bonds have
produced better returns than short-term
investments (a.k.a. “cash”)
 Otherwise, why would investors assume the
higher risks of stocks and bonds? Why wouldn’t
they just assume the…

Risk-free Rate of Return
 The return on guaranteed short-term
investments
 Specifically, the return on U. S. Treasury Bills

Risk Premium
 The reward for bearing risk; the extra return on a
risky asset over the risk-free rate of return
39
Investment Risk Premiums
40
Investment Risk – Revisited
(continued)

Risk versus Reward; Risk versus Return
 Investment return is very straight-forward
 How much did you start with and how much did
you end with? That is your return!
 But measuring how much risk you took to
receive that return is much more difficult

Each year, the investment community
measures the average annual return and the
amount of variance from the average return
 Using statistics, the resulting measures of risk
are called variance and standard deviation
41
Investment Risk – Revisited
(continued)

Variance and Standard Deviation
 We will leave the calculations for your statistics
class
 Suffice to say the higher the variance and
standard deviation, the riskier the investment
 i.e. The higher the variance and standard deviation,
the more the investment return will deviate from the
average annual return
?
?
var(R) σ 2 
?
 R
n
?
?
i 1
 R
2
i
n 1
?
?
?
?
?
stddev(R) σ  var(R)
?
?
These are just fancy, schmancy terms for, “You Can Lose Yer Money!”
Distribution of Annual Returns
on Common Stocks: 1926 to 2011
Does this distribution resemble anything you are familiar with?
42
43
The Normal Distribution – The “Bell curve”
Investment returns over time tend to mirror a normal distribution
Historical Returns, Standard Deviations, and
Frequency Distributions: 1926-2009
The greater the standard deviation, the wider the distribution of returns
and the riskier the investment
44
45
Another View of Risk versus Return
Average Annual Return versus Annual Return Standard Deviation
46
A Global View of Risk versus Return
Now we can
complete the
global picture
regarding risk
versus return.
Who had the
best riskadjusted
return?
Sweden
Netherlands
Denmark
Switzerland
France
Australia
UK
Belgium
Germany
Norway
Canada
USA
Spain
Hong Kong
Austria
Italy
Singapore
Japan
Return
14.0%
12.8%
11.7%
11.5%
10.5%
10.5%
10.5%
10.4%
10.3%
10.2%
9.6%
9.5%
9.2%
9.0%
8.4%
7.5%
7.3%
7.0%
Standard
Deviation
24.9%
19.5%
19.6%
18.8%
23.1%
24.7%
22.9%
21.3%
22.3%
27.9%
20.4%
15.8%
23.4%
33.1%
23.7%
26.0%
29.0%
22.1%
Sweden may
57. 59%
have had the
23. 42%
best average
24. 05%
18.annual
99%
return,
46. 20%
but you had to
56. 33%
44.accept
94%
almost
34. 81%
60% more risk
41. 14%
76. 58%
to get that
29. 11%
return.
0.00%
48. 10%
109.49%
50. 00%
64. 56%
83. 54%
39. 87%
The standard deviation of the developing world was 15.2% with a
9.2% average annual return.
47
So, Does You’se Got’s It Yet?
You’se Wants High Returns?
You’se Gonna’ Gets High Risk!
You’se Gonna’ Lose Some Money, Maybe All’s Yer Money!
If’n Anybodies Tells You’se Different,
De’re Lying!
So when (not if) you see an advertisement for a “12% Safe Rate of Return,”
you will know that the chances of losing your money are pretty high. When
you see claims such as 300% or even 3000% (and you will if you are involved
in investing for any length of time), sit on your hands and grab your wallet!
P.S. By the way, they are also breaking the law.
Examples: Wade Cook, WizeTrade, Day Trading Coach, Optionetics, etc.
48
But Isn’t Somebody Doing It?

Yes, it is true
 Some people make tremendous rates of
return

But those people are not Investors
 They are Traders (a.k.a. Speculators)

Being a Trader can be very profitable
 But it is also very stressful and very perilous
 And you are up against the best in the world
Story: John Gutfreund versus John Meriweather
John Bogle: http://www.forbes.com/2009/01/09/intelligentinvestingbogle.html
So What is a Realistic Rate of
Return For Me?

49
After you have taken this course, you will
have a strong knowledge of the most
popular types of investments
 Stocks, Bonds, “Cash,” Mutual Funds, etc.
 You will also know what levels of returns and
what levels of risks you should reasonably
expect to receive

And if you are a patient, long-term investor, I
believe it is realistic to expect 8% to 10%
 I am certainly working on it myself!
Of course, as we will reiterate time and time again,
there are no guarantees!
50
But Is 9% or 10% Good Enough?

It turns out the answer to this question is, “YES!”
If you start early …
If you are patient and consistent …
If you do not get cocky or greedy …
If you do not chase after every “Next Big Thing”
that comes along …
 And most importantly, you don’t PANIC when
the market swoons!




 As it inevitably will do from time to time

The trick is to take advantage of the Time
Value of Money
 a.k.a. Compound Annual Return
The Time Value of Money

51
The amount to which a sum you invest now
will increase based on a specified rate of
return and time period
 Calculating amounts into the future is called
compounding – a.k.a. the future value of money
 Future value can be computed for a single
amount – a.k.a. a lump sum or principal
 Future value can also be determined for a series
of deposits – a.k.a. stream of investments, “annuity”
We will also learn how to move from the future back to the present
(a.k.a. discounting, the present value of money) when we learn how to
assign valuations to stocks and bonds
The Time Value of Money
52
(continued)
Let us do some future value exercises…
One last comment on risk versus return
Psst! Here is One of Paiano’s Secret Tips…
53
Avoid Large Losses!
Where would you put $100?
Investment A
Investment B
Year 1
Year 2
85%
-50%
$185
$92.50
10%
9%
$110
$120
Now, before we embark on the process of identifying and familiarizing
ourselves with the longer-term, higher-yielding investments, let us learn how
and where to “park our money” using short-term investments.
54
Uh, Wait a Sec. One More Time…
The greater the variance and standard
deviation of the average annual returns of
an investment, ______________.
the greater the risk (a.k.a. the more volatile)
B. the lesser the risk (a.k.a. the less volatile)
C. there is no correlation (a.k.a. no relationship)
D. standard what? (I always hated statistics…)
A.
The correct answer is (A). Don’t you dare get this one wrong
on the exam!
55
Short-term Investments

Review
 a.k.a. “Cash” “Short-term vehicles”
 Normally up to 1 year (1 to 3 years)
 Usually guaranteed (or pretty darn close)
 Liquid
 Very low risk of losing principal…
 Hence, very low reward
 2% to 5% over time
 “A place to park your money”
 Also used for holding an “emergency fund”
56
Interest on Short-term Investments

Stated rate of interest
 Most common form of interest
 Example: Nominal rate on a savings account

Discount basis
 Method of earning interest on a security by
purchasing it at a price below its redemption
value; the difference is the interest earned
 The interest “accrues” on the investment
 Treasury bills, corporate paper
 Example: Purchase a security now for $4,800
that will be redeemed for $5,000 in nine
months. Interest would be $200.
57
Risks of Short-term Investments

Risk of default (a.k.a. capital losses)
 None or almost none
 Your principal is safe, often guaranteed

Risk of losing purchasing power
 High! Short-term investments barely keep up
with inflation

Risk of lost opportunity cost
 High! Unless your time horizon is very short,
there are several investment alternatives, almost
all of which will give you a better rate of return
Repeat after me: “There is no such thing as a risk-free investment.”
58
Types of Short-term Investments

Deposit accounts
 Passbook savings account
 Share account at credit unions
 Negotiable Order of Withdrawal (NOW) account
 Checking accounts that pay interest
 Money Market Deposit Account (MMDA)
 Limited check writing privileges
Deposit accounts are offered by banks and credit unions. They
are often called demand accounts since the funds are available
upon demand. They provide the highest level of liquidity and are
usually guaranteed up to $100,000 (currently $250,000) by the
government or a government agency.
59
Types of Short-term Investments
(continued)

Series EE Savings Bonds
 Discount method of payment
 a.k.a. Accrual-type security
 Example: $100 bond cost $50
 Do not pay income tax on interest until redeemed
 Free from state and local income taxes
 Free from federal income taxes if used for higher
education
 Popular gift for newborns
60
Types of Short-term Investments
(continued)

Series HH Savings Bonds
 Issued at face value and pay interest twice a year
 Being phased out – can no longer purchase

Series I Savings Bonds
 Also issued at face value
 Inflation indexed!
 Guaranteed to outpace inflation (but not by much)
 Pay accrued interest at bond’s maturity of 30 years
 Again, free from taxes if used for higher education
 Maximum purchase of $30,000 per year
The Series I bonds are becoming more popular with those
concerned about inflation
61
Types of Short-term Investments
(continued)

Treasury Bills
 Obligations of the United States Treasury
 Sold at a discount, redeemed at face value
 Varying short-term maturities
 Typically one-, three- and six-month maturities
 Generally regarded as the safest of all
investments – a.k.a. “risk-free return”
 Used as the benchmark for all other investments
 Free from state and local income tax
 Can be purchased directly from the Treasury
 www.treasurydirect.gov
62
Types of Short-term Investments
(continued)

Certificates of Deposit (a.k.a. CDs)
 Savings instruments in which funds must remain
on deposit for a specified period
 Periods range from 7 days to several years
 Penalty for early withdrawal
 Insured to same $100,000 per investor
 (Again, currently $250,000)
 Brokered CDs
 Sold by brokerage firms; normally offer higher yields
 Can be sold prior to maturity without incurring a
penalty
Careful! CDs will usually rollover automatically if you do not redeem
them. You can specify that your CD proceeds be automatically rolled into
your checking or savings account.
63
Types of Short-term Investments
(continued)

Commercial Paper
 Short-term, unsecured promissory notes (IOUs)
issued by corporations with very high credit
standings
 90-day, 180-day and 270-day maturities
 Maximum maturity is 270 days
 By keeping the maturity less than one year,
commercial paper does not need to be registered
with the Securities and Exchange Commission
 Usually sold in multiples of $100,000
 Hence, commercial paper is usually purchased by
institutional investors (exp: money market mutual funds)
64
Types of Short-term Investments
(continued)

Banker’s Acceptance Notes
 Short-term, low-risk investment vehicles arising
from bank guarantees of business transactions
 Sold at a discount from their face value and
generally provide yields slightly below those of
CDs and commercial paper
 Typically 30-day to 90-day maturities
 As with commercial paper, usually the minimum
denomination is $100,000
65
Types of Short-term Investments
(continued)

Money Market Mutual Funds
 A mutual fund that pools the capital of a large
number of investors and uses it to invest
exclusively in short-term securities
 Virtually all brokerage firms and mutual fund
companies offer them
 Money Market Mutual Funds are not guaranteed
 Unlike Money Market Deposit Accounts from a bank
or credit union
 Still considered virtually risk-free
 If there is ever a default, other companies step in
and bail out the investors (with blessing from govt)
 Virtually all offer check-writing privileges and
direct transfer to and from checking accounts
66
Choice of Short-term Investments

So, which short-term investment is for me?
 Commercial paper and banker’s acceptance notes are




usually only suitable for institutional investors
Savings bonds make cute gifts for newborns
Many investors purchase Treasury bills directly from the
Treasury (www.treasurydirect.gov)
Certificates of Deposit are okay for those that are sure
that they will not need the money until maturity
Money Market Mutual Funds and Deposit Accounts are
the preferred choice by most investors
 Especially since every bank, credit union, brokerage firm and
mutual fund company offers them
 But most non-investors still use a passbook savings
account from a bank (they have not taken this course yet)
67
The Emergency Fund Debate

Should you have an Emergency Fund?
 Many financial experts recommend that households
create an emergency fund of three, six or even nine
months of income
I simply do not agree with the concept of an emergency fund of
three to nine months of living expenses. As long as you have
access to cash (via a line of credit, for example) there is no
good reason to keep $10,000 to $25,000 or more in a savings
account earning 2%. Instead, use the money to pay down high
interest debt, especially credit card debt. Exceptions: salespeople, the
self-employed, and those
P.S. You are adequately insured, right?
who get laid off often
68
Short-term Investments: What are _?
A mutual fund that pools the capital of a
large number of investors and uses it to
invest exclusively in short-term securities.
A. commercial paper
B. money market mutual funds
C. passbook savings accounts
D. Certificates of Deposit (CDs)
The correct answer is (B). Money market mutual funds and
their counterparts at banks and credit unions have rates
close to CDs without the early withdrawal penalty.
69
Short-term Investments: What are _?
Savings instruments in which funds must
remain on deposit for a specified period.
There is normally a penalty for early
withdrawal.
A. commercial paper
B. money market mutual funds
C. passbook savings accounts
D. Certificates of Deposit (CDs)
The correct answer is (D). If interest rates are going down,
you can lock in a good rate. But you better hope you do not
need the money until the CD matures!
70
Short-term Investments: What are _?
Short-term, unsecured promissory notes
(IOUs) issued by corporations with very high
credit standing, normally sold in $100,000
denominations.
A. commercial paper
B. money market mutual funds
C. passbook savings accounts
D. Certificates of Deposit (CDs)
The correct answer is (A). Commercial paper and their cousins,
banker’s acceptance notes, are normally only purchased by
institutional investors such as money market mutual funds.
71
Short-term Investments: What are _?
A guaranteed demand account at a bank or
credit union that normally pays little interest
but will often be offered with a toaster or
waffle iron which makes it all worthwhile.
A. commercial paper
B. money market mutual funds
C. passbook savings accounts
D. Certificates of Deposit (CDs)
The correct answer is (C). No comment.
CHAPTERS 1, 3, Lecture Notes
72
A Brief History of Risk and Return (Chapter 1)
Security Types (Chapter 3)
Time Horizon & Short-term Investments (Lecture)
Coming Up Next: Chapter 4, Mutual Funds